Cleveland Guardians Top 48 Prospects

Travis Bazzana Photo by: Phil Masturzo/USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Cleveland Guardians. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as my own observations. This is the fifth year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.

A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.

All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here.

Guardians Top Prospects
Rk Name Age Highest Level Position ETA FV
1 Angel Genao 21.0 A+ SS 2027 50
2 Travis Bazzana 22.7 AA 2B 2026 50
3 Chase DeLauter 23.6 AAA RF 2025 50
4 Cooper Ingle 23.2 AA C 2027 50
5 Parker Messick 24.6 AAA SP 2026 50
6 Jaison Chourio 20.0 A+ CF 2027 50
7 Braylon Doughty 19.5 A SP 2029 45+
8 Gabriel Rodriguez 18.1 R SS 2029 45+
9 C.J. Kayfus 23.6 AAA 1B 2026 45
10 Juan Brito 23.7 AAA 2B 2025 45
11 Welbyn Francisca 19.0 A 2B 2029 45
12 Matt Wilkinson 22.4 A+ SP 2026 45
13 Kahlil Watson 22.1 AA CF 2026 45
14 Ralphy Velazquez 20.0 A+ 1B 2028 45
15 Robert Arias 18.7 R CF 2030 40+
16 Austin Peterson 25.7 AA SP 2026 40+
17 Jacob Cozart 22.4 A+ C 2027 40+
18 Andrew Walters 24.5 MLB SIRP 2026 40+
19 Joey Oakie 19.0 R SP 2029 40
20 Chase Mobley 19.0 R SP 2029 40
21 Petey Halpin 23.0 AAA CF 2025 40
22 Josh Hartle 22.2 A+ SP 2026 40
23 Christian Cairo 23.9 AAA SS 2025 40
24 Johan Rodriguez 17.8 R SS 2030 40
25 Jackson Humphries 20.8 A+ MIRP 2027 40
26 Caden Favors 23.7 A+ SIRP 2028 40
27 George Valera 24.5 AAA RF 2025 40
28 Johnathan Rodríguez 25.5 MLB RF 2025 40
29 Alfonsin Rosario 20.9 A+ RF 2028 40
30 Erik Sabrowski 27.6 MLB SIRP 2025 40
31 Franco Aleman 24.9 AAA SIRP 2025 40
32 Matt Jachec 23.8 A+ MIRP 2027 40
33 Yorman Gómez 22.5 A+ SIRP 2026 40
34 Jogly Garcia 21.7 A SIRP 2027 40
35 Justin Campbell 24.3 R SP 2026 35+
36 Doug Nikhazy 25.8 MLB SP 2025 35+
37 Will Dion 25.1 AAA SP 2025 35+
38 Jake Fox 22.3 AA CF 2026 35+
39 Michael Kennedy 20.5 A+ SP 2027 35+
40 Jose Devers 22.0 A+ SS 2027 35+
41 Aidan Major 22.0 R SP 2027 35+
42 Dauri Fernandez 18.2 R SS 2030 35+
43 Juneiker Caceres 17.8 R RF 2030 35+
44 Joey Cantillo 25.4 MLB SIRP 2024 35+
45 Zak Kent 27.2 MLB SIRP 2025 35+
46 Steven Pérez 24.1 A+ SIRP 2026 35+
47 Kendeglys Virguez 21.0 A SIRP 2027 35+
48 Nick Mitchell 21.7 A RF 2028 35+
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50 FV Prospects

Signed: International Signing Period, 2021 from Dominican Republic (CLE)
Age 21.0 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 195 Bat / Thr S / R FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/55 45/55 30/55 50/50 40/50 60

Genao entered the 2025 season as the 33rd ranked prospect in all of baseball (a couple of spots ahead of Travis Bazzana) and very well might have moved up by now had he not strained his shoulder toward the end of spring training. He began 2025 on the IL, played in sim games and took live BP on the complex, and, as of list publication, is set to begin a rehab assignment in Arizona.

Genao does a little bit of everything. He was a contact-oriented, switch-hitting infield prospect when he signed, but as he has grown and matured, he’s become stronger and has begun to deliver brutal blows to the baseball. Genao has one of the cooler-looking swings in the minors, with a gorgeous finish up above his head. He has better bat control from the left side (a 81% contact rate compared to 73% from the right) but has dangerous ambidextrous bat speed, uncommon for a switch-hitter and even more so for a shortstop. Aspects of Genao’s swing might leave him vulnerable around his hands once he starts facing good velocity, but for now he’s performed in a well-rounded fashion commensurate with a foundational everyday shortstop. He slashed a BABIP-aided .330/.379/.499 split between the two A-ball levels in 2024 and turned 21 just a couple days prior to list publication.

Though in the past Genao (pronounced “hen-now”) has had some throwing accuracy issues, he has the hands and raw arm strength to comfortably remain at shortstop. Too often Genao’s throws from deep in the hole have featured a lower arm slot, but before he got hurt in 2025, it looked like he was doing a better job of staying on top of the baseball. If Genao can have a healthy second half of 2025 at Double-A and perform similar to the way he did in 2024, he’ll finish the season as a top 15 overall prospect. He’s very likely to be added to Cleveland’s 40-man roster after the season, and among the current Guardians youngsters, he has the best chance to be the org’s next homegrown impact player.

Drafted: 1st Round, 2024 from Oregon State (CLE)
Age 22.7 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 199 Bat / Thr L / R FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/50 50/55 40/55 60/60 35/40 40

A six-sport athlete at Turramurra High School in Australia (about 20 minutes north of the Sydney Opera House), Bazzana ran track (100m dash, long jump and high jump), played soccer, basketball, and rugby, lettered in cricket from grades seven (!) through 12 and was captain of his high school’s state championship team, and was on Australia’s U18 Baseball World Cup roster in 2019. He was immediately a good college hitter at Oregon State, where he slashed .360/.497/.660 throughout his career and .407/.568/.911 as a junior with 28 homers and only 37 strikeouts. The Guardians made him the first overall pick in the 2024 draft and he was hitting a combined .246/.365/.417 across his first 60 pro games when, just a few days before list publication, Bazzana left with trainers while holding his right side; he was grabbing at his hip/oblique/lower back area earlier in the game as well. He was diagnosed with a right oblique strain, and is expected to miss eight to 10 weeks.

A compact athlete cut from the same cloth as Rougned Odor and Brian Dozier, Bazzana has plus-plus feel for the strike zone, roughly average plate coverage and raw power, and swing loft that ensures he hits for power in games. This guy doesn’t have titanic, high-end thump, but he can bang to all fields. Short levers enable Bazzana to turn on inside pitches with power (this is where he’s most dangerous), while his raw strength and bat speed give him oppo-gap doubles pop. The nature of his bat path leaves him vulnerable to fastballs around his hands. Pitchers can get him to whiff if they execute up there, and if Bazzana can make adjustments to cover that hole, he’ll be a special all-round hitter instead of just a good one.

It’s enough offense to project Bazzana as a solid everyday player even though he’s landlocked at second base. He isn’t an especially graceful defender, and his footwork around the bag, as well as his throwing accuracy as the pivot man on double plays, can be clunky. On slow rollers hit in front of him, Bazzana makes some nice plays. He’s a slightly below-average defender without versatility. Bazzana is a quality player and prospect, but not so talented that he projects to machete his way to the bigs in a matter of weeks. Cleveland tends to manipulate their roster in ways that maximize their timeline of player control. Especially with a crowded field of middle infielders around him (in addition to those on the 40-man already, Angel Genao is a post-2025 must-add, while Travis is not), Bazzana’s big league timeline is probably more in the late-2026 or early-2027 range.

Drafted: 1st Round, 2022 from James Madison (CLE)
Age 23.6 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 235 Bat / Thr L / L FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/55 55/60 40/60 45/40 40/40 60

DeLauter has not been able to stay on the field since entering pro ball, and he’s now had several foot/ankle fractures and sprains dating back to college, some of which have recurred. As of list publication, he has played just 84 non-rehab minor league games since being drafted in 2022. The latest of DeLauter’s injuries was a sports hernia; he had surgery in early March, began rehab games in Arizona in early May, and is set to join Triple-A Columbus.

When DeLauter has been healthy, he’s been great. He has a career OPS just a shade under .900, and even though he’s played in fewer than one season’s worth of career games, he has still managed to reach Triple-A Columbus, and has a shot to debut and graduate in 2025. DeLauter’s unique swing, during which he alters his footwork as a means of directing his barrel around the zone, often has a weird, truncated finish. It seems to work for him, in part because DeLauter’s hands are so strong and are able to generate thunderous power without help from big rotational movement. While he’s best at clearing his hips to crush pitches on the inner third, DeLauter is also capable of taking ones on the outer third deep to the opposite field. His background contact data and lack of chase both reinforce the hitterish scouting look, though of course both of those have been generated across a woefully small sample.

The constant injuries may have an impact on DeLauter’s mobility, and his lack of playing time has made it hard to evaluate his defense; at his size, however, he’s absolutely ticketed for a corner outfield spot, it’s just a matter of whether or not he’ll be a liability. On talent, DeLauter looks like a heart-of-the-order hitter, but his persistent injuries are now an inextricable part of his profile and force his FV grade down a shade compared to the start of 2024.

Drafted: 4th Round, 2023 from Clemson (CLE)
Age 23.2 Height 5′ 10″ Weight 190 Bat / Thr L / R FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 35/40 30/35 50/50 45/55 50

Ingle is one of the twitchier athletes in the minors, with his quickness impacting the game in many different ways. This has been the case for Ingle on offense for a while. He was an excellent contact hitter at Clemson and has carried that ability seamlessly into pro ball. Of compact build, Ingle can wait forever before he decides whether or not to swing. He’s a count-working nightmare who spoils a ton of tough pitches and sprays line drive contact all over the field. In 2024, Ingle slashed .305/.419/.478 at mostly High-A. He walked more than he struck out and kept hitting even after he was promoted to Double-A Akron later in the year. He’s back in Akron to start 2025 and is hitting for even more power.

Key recent developments for Ingle involve his physique and defense. He has always been on the smaller side of what is typical for a big league catcher, and while that remains true, he has added 15 pounds or so and is noticeably stockier than when he signed. The added strength has made Ingle a much quieter receiver and it hasn’t cost him any quickness; he is incredibly agile, and it shows in his blocking (though sometimes his lack of size is a problem) and the way he exits his crouch when he throws. Ingle’s arm strength is only fair, so he needs to get rid of the baseball as quickly as possible and he does. His accuracy can suffer because of his haste, but overall this approach worked for him in 2024, as he hosed 26% of would-be base stealers and trended better after he was promoted to Akron. It’s still fair to wonder how Ingle’s body will hold up against the rigors of catching most days at the big league level (he caught 74 games in 2024), but he now has the skills to play the position well, and his combination of contact and on-base ability should be enough for him to clear the offensive bar at catcher and become a primary option.

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2022 from Florida State (CLE)
Age 24.6 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 220 Bat / Thr L / L FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
50/50 45/45 45/45 60/70 50/55 91-95 / 97

Messick leads the minors in strikeouts since 2023, and has been a remarkably consistent strike-thrower whose fastball has punched above its weight since he was at Florida State. In 2024, he split the season between High- and Double-A, pitched 133.2 innings, K’d 30.2% of opposing hitters, and posted a 2.83 ERA. So far in 2025, he’s having similar success at Triple-A Columbus, with a sub-3.00 ERA and a 33.3% K%.

Messick’s 92 mph fastball doesn’t have a ton of carry to it, but it does run uphill and can garner whiffs via its angle. His changeup is at least plus, and the loose, whippy nature of Messick’s arm action helps sell it to hitters like a podcaster hawking dietary supplements. It has sharp, late dive and at times moves to Messick’s gloveside like a slider. His two breaking balls — a mid-70s curveball and mid-80s slider — combined give him 45-grade breaking balls that he mostly uses to garner strike one. Pitchers with plus command and plus changeups tend to overachieve, and the ultra-competitive, sneaky athletic Messick (who has shed a good bit of weight since college) is in that vein. He’s tracking like a contender’s fourth starter and could be up at some point in 2025, a little bit ahead of his chalk 40-man timeline.

Signed: International Signing Period, 2022 from Venezuela (CLE)
Age 20.0 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 175 Bat / Thr S / R FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/55 40/50 30/45 50/50 35/55 55

Chourio grinds out tough, high-quality at-bats and is very hard to make swing and miss. He posted a 144 wRC+ as a teenager in full season ball in 2024, in large part because his plate discipline is so mature, and walked about 20% of the time. His ability to battle with two strikes and spoil tough pitches until he gets one he can handle is very impressive. Chourio swings hard for his age, he has terrific breaking ball recognition, he moves the barrel around well from the left side, and he’s shown the occasional ability to flatten his bat path to cover high fastballs.

There are some adjustments to be made here if Chourio is going to hit for power in the big leagues and be an impact player. He’s hitting the ball on the ground a ton right now. He only slugged .398 in 2024 and is slugging under .300 so far in 2025; he has eight career home runs in going on four seasons. A large portion of his balls in play against fastballs end up going oppo because Chourio is late to the contact point, and his right-handed swing is not very good. It’s plausible adjustments will simply occur as Chourio is forced to deal with better velocity than he has seen in A-ball. If they don’t, then it’s more important that Chourio improves as a center field defender. He’s a plus runner and stole 44 bases in 2024, but his feel for center field is only fair. He has looked a little better out there so far in 2025, which is largely why he moved into the Top 100 at the end of spring training. Ultimately, the bat-to-ball ability and plate discipline are still driving an exciting profile, even though there are obvious things Chourio needs to work on. After a shoulder strain sidelined him in mid-May, he’s set to begin a rehab assignment in the ACL.

45+ FV Prospects

Drafted: 1st Round, 2024 from Chaparral HS (CA) (CLE)
Age 19.5 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 196 Bat / Thr R / R FV 45+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
45/50 45/60 60/70 40/50 25/60 91-94 / 97

Doughty was arguably the most polished high school pitcher in the 2024 draft. Impressive balance over his blocking leg and release consistency allowed him to throw quality fastball strikes and command both of his breaking balls with precision, all while toying with hitters’ timing via Cueto-ish changes in his cadence. Doughty’s fastball sat mostly 91-93 during a brief summer showcase look, then was more more 92-94 and touching 96 during his senior spring. It was briefly in the 93-97 range during spring training but has backed into the low 90s as Doughty has stretched out. That’s going to be fine, as Doughty’s arm stroke is deceptive and quick, and his fastball averages roughly 18 inches of vertical break. Plus, he commands it to the part of the zone where it’s most effective. The shape of his heater pairs nicely with his power curveball, which is one of the sexier curves in the minors and often spins around 3,000 rpm. Talent for spin and a short, consistent arm stroke should allow Doughty to add a quality second breaking ball and improve his changeup, respectively. This is a mid-rotation starter kit with a higher-than-usual floor for a teenage pitching prospect because Doughty’s command is so advanced.

Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Venezuela (CLE)
Age 18.1 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 175 Bat / Thr L / R FV 45+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/50 35/50 20/50 60/50 40/50 55

The Guardians have a cornucopia of interesting rookie ball position player prospects, and Rodriguez is the one who has a chance to do a little bit of everything because of his combination of present skill and physical projection at a high-waisted 6-foot-1 or so. He slashed .269/.506/.398 in his 2024 DSL debut and then lit up the backfields during 2025 spring training, but he began the complex regular season on the shelf with a hamstring injury.

Rodriguez’s swing has lovely whole-body rotation and dangerous verve that he wields with ease and comfort. It can get long at times because his bottom hand is doing the driving, but Rodriguez has shown feel for altering his posture to flatten his path and get on top of higher fastballs, which he sprays the other way. Whether that will continue against upper-level velocity is uncertain, but there’s at least a little bit of several offensive ingredients — on-base skill, contact feel, good bat speed, strength projection — in Rodriguez’s pantry, and there are a few different ways to cook up an everyday shortstop with that mix of skills. On defense, Rodriguez’s speed gives him sufficient range, and he bends well for his size. We’re probably not talking about multiple 60- and 70-grade tools here, but there are right-tail outcomes where Rodriguez is average or better at everything. Were he domestic high schooler, he would be a first round pick.

45 FV Prospects

9. C.J. Kayfus, 1B

Drafted: 3rd Round, 2023 from Miami (CLE)
Age 23.6 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 192 Bat / Thr L / L FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
45/50 45/45 40/45 45/45 50/55 30

Kayfus is a norm-defying first baseman who lacks the size typical of a big league corner bat at a medium-framed 6-feet even. He slashed a career .350/.453/.548 at Miami and has been a superlative minor league performer in pro ball, with the 142 wRC+ he posted during the second half of last year constituting the lowest Kayfus has had during any minor league window in his pro career. He got off to a hot start at Akron in 2025 and was quickly promoted to Triple-A, where he continues to rake.

Kayfus has gorgeous hitting hands that produce airborne contact from gap to gap. Neither his contact rate nor his peak measureable raw power are especially exciting, but throughout his career he has demonstrated over and over that he has feel for impacting the baseball in such a way that it maximizes his output. That said, Kayfus’ 2025 contact rate is currently in a bit of a red flag area, at 68%. There really aren’t many tenured first basemen with career contact rates that low. His swing works in such a way that it leaves him slightly vulnerable to good velocity up and away from him, and his splits against pitches 93 mph and above (.278/.366/.389 combined the last two seasons) are more in line with what a visual report on Kayfus reads like: well-rounded, nothing plus. This projection anticipates Kayfus’ contact will normalize back to his career mean of around 73%, which is the big league average. Kayfus doesn’t have high-end raw power, but he does hit the ball hard consistently enough to do doubles damage. Readers should not expect anything like the .536 career SLG% Kayfus has posted as of list publication, but there should be enough power for him to play a meaningful platoon role. An above-average first base defender, Kayfus saw increased time in the outfield in 2024 (left field only) and has been exposed to right field early in 2025. He has a pretty terrible arm, but he makes the routine plays out there. Defensive versatility would help make him rosterable as a 400 PA platoon man, which is his projection here.

10. Juan Brito, 2B

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2018 from Dominican Republic (COL)
Age 23.7 Height 5′ 11″ Weight 202 Bat / Thr S / R FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/55 45/50 40/45 50/50 40/40 40

Brito was a 2023 Pick to Click who looked too rough around the edges on defense that year to justify putting on the 2024 Top 100. In 2024, as Brito slashed .256/.365/.443 (.320 xwOBA, per Baseball Savant), his defense improved enough to consider him a viable, albeit below-average, second base defender. Primarily a middle infielder in Colorado’s org before coming to Cleveland as part of the Nolan Jones trade, the Guardians also tried Brito at third base in 2023, and then at a first base and in right field in 2024. It’s not as though Brito is suddenly a Gold Glove second baseman, but he’s consistent enough to play there in big league games, and he’s backed into having uncommon defensive versatility. He entered 2025 in competition to win the Guardians’ everyday second base job, but his spring got off to a rough start, and though he got hot late in the Cactus League calendar, he was optioned to Columbus. He hit well for a couple weeks before injuring a ligament in his thumb, which will cost him two to three months.

Brito’s offensive skill set hovers around average across the board. He has good bat control and some low-ball power from both sides of the plate, though his swing has more consistent lift as a left-handed hitter. Brito hunts fastballs so fastidiously that he tends to chase them, but his bat control allows him to get away with it. Overall, his contact and power metrics are right in line with the big league average among second basemen. He’s a platoon-neutral player who can hit from both sides of the dish, and now he’s viable at an up-the-middle position, and likely will be at one or two others soon. Brito is a low-variance prospect likely to produce in the 1.5 annual WAR range for the next half decade or so.

Signed: International Signing Period, 2023 from Dominican Republic (CLE)
Age 19.0 Height 5′ 9″ Weight 165 Bat / Thr S / R FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/60 40/45 20/40 60/60 30/40 45

Francisca is a compact, switch-hitting bat control prodigy who signed for $1.3 million in 2023. He hit his way from the Goodyear complex to Low-A in 2024 and slashed .326/.411/.474 combined on the year. Though he’s been walking about as much as he’s struck out early in 2025, Francisca’s surface-level performance has been lackluster. Still, where he has really been struggling is on defense. While he’s speedy and athletic enough to make the occasional spectacular play, Francisca’s hands and arm accuracy are both below average, and he’s an erratic teenage defender at this stage in his development. Apprehension in this area — if his hands don’t improve, he won’t be an infielder at all — is largely why Francisca has slid out of the Top 100 on this update.

Though he’s having awful BABIP luck early in 2025, he’s still an exciting young hitter with freaky barrel feel, especially against low pitches. He can scrape the ball off his shoe tops and make flush gap-to-gap contact. If Francisca can’t stay at shortstop, the possibility exists for him to become a Diet Luis Arraez sort of player. Francisca’s contact ability isn’t quite that cartoonish and elite, but it’s going to be enough to make an impact even if he’s playing a below-average second base and a second position, probably a corner somewhere.

Drafted: 10th Round, 2023 from Central Arizona College (CLE)
Age 22.4 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 270 Bat / Thr L / L FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
60/60 50/50 45/50 45/55 89-92 / 96

Nicknamed “Tugboat,” Wilkinson is a 270-pound lefty who is incredibly athletic for a player of his build. His drop-and-drive delivery gets him so low to the ground that his left shin is almost scraping across the top of the mound. His fastball only sits about 90 mph, but it still played like a dominant pitch in 2024 because of its rising action and Wilkinson’s ability to command it to effective locations. Feasting off his fastball, he was able to strike out 37.6% of opposing hitters; Wilkinson worked 118.2 innings and allowed just 71 hits.

Though his results have been middling to start 2025, Wilkinson’s projection is arguably more favorable because it looks like his changeup is taking a step forward. His loose, whippy arm speed should give hitters the look of a fastball out of his hand, and he’s improving his feel for making that pitch move. An emerging issue here is that Wilkinson’s slider plays best as a surprise strike, and his arm slot is noticeably different when he’s trying to finish it out of the zone for chase. His best ones have sharp enough movement to freeze lefties, while his not-so-good ones have long, slow break and are very vulnerable. Let’s not lose the thread here, though. This is a starter with real fastball playability and the command to weaponize it. Wilkinson looks like a good bet to pitch as a no. 4/5 starter in a good rotation, with mid-rotation ceiling if he can sharpen his secondary stuff.

13. Kahlil Watson, CF

Drafted: 1st Round, 2021 from Wake Forest HS (MIA)
Age 22.1 Height 5′ 10″ Weight 178 Bat / Thr L / R FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 50/55 40/55 55/55 30/45 70

Watson was a tooled out, mercurial high schooler who wore out his welcome in Miami and was traded to Cleveland for Josh Bell in 2023. As a 21-year-old at Double-A in 2024, Watson hit a career-best 16 homers in just 96 games, but struck out 30.7% of the time. Sent back to Akron to start 2025, Watson is off to a slightly improved start from a strikeout standpoint (his contact rate is north of 70%) and is getting to more of his slightly above-average raw power. Watson is a short-levered hitter (Jimmy Rollins is a fair comp in terms of size, build, and swing) whose cut is geared for lift. He can ambush pitches around his belt and smash them to his pull side. He’s best when he’s getting extended on pitches up and away from him, but he has flashed low-ball power as well.

Perhaps the bigger development here is that Watson seems to have left the infield behind and has been exclusively deployed in the outfield, mostly in center. He’s an average straight line runner but looks comfortable tracking balls hit over his head. He lacks the procedural know-how of a seasoned outfielder, and this often shows when Watson decides where to throw the baseball. But his pure arm strength, especially with a full crow hop, is sensational. He has a shot to stick in center field, and if he doesn’t, he is going to have an impact arm in right. Center field viability could allow Watson to play something approaching an everyday role. Even with a 40 hit tool, if he’s getting to his power and playing quality defense, he’s at least going to be a good part-time player, and he might have some years with a 2-plus WAR peak.

Drafted: 1st Round, 2023 from Huntington Beach HS (CA) (CLE)
Age 20.0 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 230 Bat / Thr L / R FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 55/60 35/55 30/30 30/40 40

Velazquez’s bat speed stood apart from most of his peers in the 2023 high school draft class, and even though he wasn’t a lock to remain a catcher, his offensive upside made him a late-first round prospect. In pro ball, the Guardians have barely even tried to catch Ralphy, though he played some left field before settling in as a first base-only defender in 2025.

The fall from “potential catcher” to “first base-only prospect” is substantial, illustrated by the last decade of league-wide wRC+ for catchers (about 90) versus first base (108). The latter bar is now the one Ralphy has to clear to be something like an average regular, and while he’s a well-rounded hitter who does enough in both the contact and power departments to be considered a future big leaguer, it doesn’t look like he’ll have a premium, elite tool that would spearhead that kind of star-level impact at the plate. Velazquez slashed .231/.347/.385 in 2024, which is not emblematic of his talent. His contact rates (81% in-zone, 73% overall) were about average last year, while his measureable underlying power (112 mph max, 105 EV90) was a shade above. Visual assessment of Velazquez more or less corroborates this. He’s best against middle-in pitches but isn’t so hapless on the outer third as to suggest it’s going to collapse his production against better pitching. Velazquez is always going to be a low BABIP hitter because of his lack of speed and the nature of his contact, but his BABIP has been below .200 since his promotion to High-A, and at some point that’s going to normalize, as should his surface stats. Ralphy continues to project as the larger half of a corner platoon on pace for a 2028 or 2029 debut.

40+ FV Prospects

15. Robert Arias, CF

Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (CLE)
Age 18.7 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 180 Bat / Thr L / L FV 40+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/65 30/45 20/35 60/60 40/50 50

Arias was a superlative bat-to-ball amateur prospect who the Guardians signed for a little less than $2 million in 2024. He had the kind of pro debut you’d expect from a slash-and-dash bat-to-ball prodigy, a .247/.367/.347 line with just 8.3% strikeouts and 29 steals in 41 games. Arias has the tools of a top-of-the-order catalyst. He’s a speedy, old school leadoff hitter type with a downward sloping swing. Arias’ broad shouldered frame allows one to dream on his eventual strength, but it will probably take a future swing change for him to actually tap into power.

The speed to be an impact center field defender is here, though Arias’ reads and routes need polish. His natural feel for the position has only looked fair so far, but in the games of his I’ve scouted, he’s had to play defense while dealing the howling, uninterrupted desert wind of Goodyear. It isn’t typical for a guy who hits fewer than 20 annual bombs to be an average everyday center fielder, but Arias’ contact feel is special enough that he has a slight chance to do exactly that. More likely, he’s a low-end regular or good fourth outfielder, barring a swing change.

16. Austin Peterson, SP

Drafted: 9th Round, 2022 from Connecticut (CLE)
Age 25.7 Height 6′ 6″ Weight 234 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
40/40 50/55 45/45 30/45 60/70 88-92 / 95

Since Peterson entered pro ball, the 6-foot-6 strike-throwing Leviathan has the third-lowest lowest walk rate (4.4%) among minor league starters with at least 200 innings. In 2024 (half at High-A and half at Double-A), Peterson made 27 starts, worked 160 innings, and carried a 2.64 ERA. He generates plus vertical movement and extension on a 90 mph fastball that he peppers to the top of the zone. Off of that, Peterson locates an average low-80s slider with machine-like precision and consistency. His feel for grazing the edge of the zone with his slider is remarkable, and that pitch plays up due to its location quality. Peterson can manipulate his breaking ball shape into more of a curveball, which he tends to land in the zone. His arm action is loose and whippy, but he hasn’t developed anything close to an average changeup yet. There are aspects of Peterson’s profile that are freaky — his size, bodily looseness and command — but his stuff is not. He’s going to have more regular season value than a typical backend starter because of his durability and efficiency — the innings load here will be huge — but as pitcher usage changes in the playoffs, Peterson would play more of a bulk role on most contending clubs.

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2024 from North Carolina State (CLE)
Age 22.4 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 216 Bat / Thr L / R FV 40+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/20 45/50 30/40 30/30 45/60 70

Both of Cozart’s parents played D-I sports at UCF, and his brother pitched at Chapel Hill and Greensboro through 2024, but he doesn’t appear the be related to Zack, the former big leaguer. Jacob had two big offensive seasons as a sophomore and junior at NC State, but was ranked 46th on the 2024 Draft Board because of his great defense. Cozart has below-average bat speed and is geared for low-ball contact. He’s strong enough to do damage when he runs into pitches he can golf to his pull side, but he is going to whiff too much to be a primary catcher.

Still, Cozart’s defense is exceptional, too good to declare him a rudimentary backup. He’s a sleight-of-hand pitch framer, super strong at the catch point, and is almost always moving back toward the heart of the zone when he receives the baseball. His arm would grade as a 70 if it were more accurate. Cozart is quick out of his crouch and will pop in the 1.80s, though some throws sail on him. He can be a little more theatrical than is necessary on defense, and at times is more likely to get an eye roll from the umpire rather than a borderline strike call. His ball-blocking technique is different now than it was in college, and Cozart is adjusting to that early in his first full pro season. He’s a great all-around defender who’ll play a long time in the big leagues because of it. The high-end outcome for Cozart would be like a lefty-hitting Jake Rogers, where he gets to enough power to have some 2-ish WAR seasons at peak, but realistically, he’s a team’s luxury backup.

18. Andrew Walters, SIRP

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2023 from Miami (CLE)
Age 24.5 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 220 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Splitter Command Sits/Tops
70/70 55/60 30/40 20/30 96-98 / 100

Walters was selected by Baltimore in the 2022 draft as an eligible sophomore but didn’t sign. Back at “The U” in 2023, he struck out 72 and walked just seven in 44.2 innings before signing with Cleveland for just shy of $1 million. Though he wasn’t especially polished, Walters’ monstrous riding fastball overwhelmed Double- and Triple-A hitters in his first full season, and by the end of 2024, he had gotten a September cup of coffee.

Walters is still throwing his fastball more than 70% of the time, but his slider has tighter movement than when he was in college, and he’s trying to incorporate a splitter into his mix. His feel for location hasn’t improved at all, and his conditioning has arguably regressed. Walters’ pitches end up strewn about the zone and beyond it in ways that impact both their individual effectiveness and his overall dependability. His fastball/slider combo is nasty enough that he could be a high-leverage reliever if the command piece improves to even 40-grade quality. For now, Walters is a higher-variance middle reliever.

40 FV Prospects

19. Joey Oakie, SP

Drafted: 3rd Round, 2024 from Ankeny Centennial HS (IA) (CLE)
Age 19.0 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 195 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Cutter Command Sits/Tops
40/55 40/55 20/40 20/55 20/40 90-94 / 97

Oakie was young for the 2024 draft and featured a nasty rise/run fastball, an extreme drop-and-drive delivery, and a low-three-quarters slot. He is so low to the ground at release that his right shin is nearly flat against the mound. The whole operation creates a pretty extreme upshot angle on a fastball that has been 93-96 at its best, but that has fluctuated all over the 89-94 mph range throughout much of the last year or so. Oakie’s feel for release is crude; he is much more of a powerful athlete than a graceful one. He scatters pitch locations like dandelion seeds, and this is especially true of his slider. Oakie is athletic but of smaller build, and he’s not quite as physically projectable as the other teenage pitchers. There is substantial relief risk here, but Oakie checks the fastball traits boxes pretty emphatically, and several of the visual scouting ones. He signed for $2 million in 2024 rather than go to Iowa, and is a fairly crude, high-variance dev project.

20. Chase Mobley, SP

Drafted: 10th Round, 2024 from Durant HS (FL) (CLE)
Age 19.0 Height 6′ 5″ Weight 205 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
50/60 55/60 30/45 20/40 92-96 / 99

Mobley is a lanky, 6-foot-5 righty who signed for $1.8 million last year rather than head to Florida State. He gets deep into his legs during his delivery and his low arm slot contributes to a low release. It creates sub-optimal tail and sinking shape on his mid-90s heater, but it still plays as a bat-misser when he locates it up. Mobley was up to 99 mph last spring, but often works in the 92-96 mph range throughout his starts. His breaking ball has sweeper shape at curveball velocities, 77-79 mph on the showcase but more 82-84 during my 2025 spring looks, and is consistently plus. Mobley’s delivery isn’t fluid or natural looking; it’s stiff and deliberate and appears hard to repeat. He struggles to throw strikes and carries a ton of relief risk, but he’s also a 6-foot-5 teenager with mid-90s velocity and a plus breaking ball. There’s late-inning relief potential here even if Mobley fails to develop as a strike-thrower and craftsman. He hasn’t pitched yet in a regular season ACL game but also isn’t on the IL.

Drafted: 3rd Round, 2020 from St. Francis HS (CA) (CLE)
Age 23.0 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr L / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/40 45/45 30/35 60/60 50/55 70

Halpin has tracked like a future fifth outfielder for practically his entire pro career based largely on his speed and defense. Even though he has drastically altered his swing since entering pro ball (his stance has really opened up), his offensive profile is very similar to his amateur scouting report. Halpin’s swing is geared for low-ball contact, and he tends to inside-out the baseball to left field. His strikeout rates have crept up as he’s climbed through the minors, and he’s likely to mature into below-average offensive tools, but Halpin’s secondary skills will give him roster utility as a fifth outfielder.

22. Josh Hartle, SP

Drafted: 3rd Round, 2024 from Wake Forest (PIT)
Age 22.2 Height 6′ 5″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr L / L FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Cutter Command Sits/Tops
30/30 45/45 50/50 50/55 40/45 35/60 90-93 / 96

Hartle was a 6-foot-5 lefty who had a ton of profile in high school. He wasn’t throwing hard then, but you could dream on his build and delivery, especially under the tutelage of Wake Forest’s pitching dev program. It looked like Hartle was making the leap as a sophomore, even without increased velocity, but his performance backed up during his junior year and the Pirates signed him for $850,00 in the 2024 third round. During the offseason, he was traded to Cleveland as part of the Spencer Horwitz shuffle, and he opened 2025 at High-A Lake County. Hartle still isn’t throwing especially hard, but his mechanical consistency, balance, and ease for a pitcher his size are still remarkable. He has platoon-neutralizing weapons in his changeup and curveball, while his cutter and slider act as a way to keep hitters from hammering a mediocre heater. It’s not the high-variance/high-upside profile of his high school days, as Hartle now projects as an innings-eating fifth starter.

Drafted: 4th Round, 2019 from Calvary Christian HS (FL) (CLE)
Age 23.9 Height 5′ 9″ Weight 190 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 30/30 20/30 50/50 60/60 45

The son of 17-year (wowzers) big league veteran Miguel Cairo, Christian is a skilled shortstop defender who was boxed out of a 40-man spot in Cleveland by the Guardians’ mantle-deep group of same-aged shortstops. The Braves took Cairo in the 2024 Rule 5 Draft because of his defense, and he competed with Nick Allen for an Opening Day roster spot as the team’s glove-first utilityman, a competition that Allen won. Cairo was sent back to Cleveland and assigned to Triple-A.

At age 23, Cairo slashed .240/.354/.326 during a 2024 campaign split between Double-A Akron and Triple-A Columbus. Though he lacks prototypical shortstop arm strength (and sometimes air mails throws when he’s a bit out of range), Cairo is otherwise an elegant and skillful shortstop defender with fantastic footwork and actions, a plus fielder despite his substandard arm. He has below-average bat speed but pretty good feel for moving the barrel around the zone, and Cairo generates soft line drive spray to all fields. He’s an inoffensive last infielder on an active roster.

24. Johan Rodriguez, SS

Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Cuba (CLE)
Age 17.8 Height 5′ 11″ Weight 165 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/50 30/45 20/45 50/50 40/50 55

Rodriguez is a smedium-framed Cuban shortstop who has sneaky pop for an infielder his size. He rotates hard and generates exciting bat speed for a smaller, younger player. He won’t turn 18 until the very end of July and should add some amount of strength through physical maturity, but he doesn’t have the same projection as, say, a 6-foot-2 player might. Elements of Rodriguez’s swing (especially its beautiful finish) are similar to those of Rockies shortstop Ezequiel Tovar, and it’s possible that, like Tovar, Rodriguez has a more substantial power ceiling than this initial eval is giving him credit for. Rodriguez has above-average range and arm strength, and projects to stay at shortstop. He has a reasonable shot to develop a roughly average contact/power combination and turn into a low-end regular. A utility outcome is more likely.

25. Jackson Humphries, MIRP

Drafted: 8th Round, 2022 from Fuquay-Varina HS (NC) (CLE)
Age 20.8 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr L / L FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
45/45 55/60 60/60 50/55 30/40 90-94 / 97

Humphries has a violent overhand delivery with a long arm swing and a grotesque head whack. There aren’t really starters whose mechanics look like Humphries’ do, but Cleveland has developed him as one so far. He has the repertoire depth for it but not the command, which is why he’s projected as a multi-inning reliever here. Humphries only throws his low-90s fastball for strikes at a 55% clip. All three of his secondary pitches flash plus. Both of his breaking balls have devastating depth at times, and hitters are often left frozen by them as they struggle to pick up the baseball out of Humphries’ hand. His changeup took a big step forward in 2024 and is missing bats at a plus rate so far in 2025. The pitch has sharp, late movement and enough action to miss bats away from righties. The changeup progression is particularly important because it gives Humphries the toolkit to deal with righty batters more easily. He still needs to improve as a strike-thrower to be trusted in meaningful spots, but he has the potential to be an integral part of a bullpen a few years from now.

26. Caden Favors, SIRP

Drafted: 6th Round, 2024 from Wichita State (CLE)
Age 23.7 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 205 Bat / Thr L / L FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Command Sits/Tops
45/55 55/60 30/50 91-94 / 96

Favors’ college career began at Seminole State, before Mike Pelfrey recruited him to Wichita as a walk-on. He spent two years in the Shockers bullpen before working as the Friday night starter in 2024, his senior season. Favors broke 2025 camp with an aggressive assignment to High-A and has struggled with walks in the Lake County rotation amid a two to three tick velo spike. Walks were not an issue for him in college, when Favors was only sitting 89, and now he’s sitting closer to 92 and topping out at 96. Favors’ vertical arm stroke hides the ball behind his body for a long time, and his heater has a little bit of natural cut. He can bury an overhand curveball in the dirt with plus-flashing depth. These two pitches comprise the foundation of an eventual lefty relief profile. Because he was relatively underdeveloped and dealt with a revolving door of coaches in college, it’s worth it to deploy Favors as a starter for a while to see if he can develop another pitch or two.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2017 from Dominican Republic (CLE)
Age 24.5 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr L / L FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/30 55/60 45/55 45/45 55/60 60

Valera has only had one completely healthy full season in pro baseball since signing in 2017. In 2024, he suffered a hamstring issue early and a ruptured patellar tendon late. He began 2025 on the IL, recovering and working out in Arizona during extended spring training followed by a complex-level rehab assignment just prior to list publication. Injuries seem likely to be a continuous part of Valera’s career, and they’ve already claimed much of what was supposed to be his developmental time, which might be why he now projects as a second-division platoon outfielder similar to Jake Cave.

Valera’s elaborate, multi-part hand load and abbreviated finish give him one of the funkier swings in pro ball. He can clean out pitches in the top two thirds of the strike zone and has the hand speed to do damage to all fields. Because he’s hunting high pitches, Valera tends to expand the zone against elevated fastballs, and he swings underneath a ton of them. His contact rate has been hovering around 70% for most of the last couple of years, which is low enough to be an orange flag when projecting him into a big league role.

Valera’s ball skills look like a fit in center field, but his speed and range do not, and this was the case even before his knee surgery. He makes lots of tough reads off the bat look easy, but also often cedes ground to his corner outfielders on gappers because he isn’t fast enough to get there. He could play center field in a pinch, but he’s better in right, where he’s forecast as a plus defender with a plus arm. Risk that there’s been fallout from the knee injury applies, of course, but Valera will have roster utility as a lefty power bat who plays good corner outfield defense.

Drafted: 3rd Round, 2017 from Carlos Beltran Academy HS (PR) (CLE)
Age 25.5 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 224 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/30 65/65 45/55 40/40 40/40 70

Rodríguez was one of the youngest players in the 2017 draft and didn’t turn 18 until several months after he was selected. He was also, unsurprisingly, one of the most raw, and it took him over a half decade to be added to the 40-man roster, as he struggled with strikeouts and had an early-career dalliance with switch-hitting. He’s now a power-hitting right fielder who is pretty chase-prone.

Rodríguez’s swing is big, aggressive, and a little long such that he struggles to be on time against fastballs. An outsized portion of his extra-base contact comes against mistake breaking balls that he can pull. There’s big, big bat speed and raw power here, but not the contact and OBP combination typical of a corner outfielder. We’re talking a 50% swing rate and a 77% in-zone contact rate undercutting comfortably plus power and an impact arm. It’s not quite as extreme a skill set as Guardians fans were subject to during the last couple of years of Oscar Gonzalez, but Rodríguez probably isn’t more than a 150-PA contributor.

Drafted: 6th Round, 2023 from P27 Academy (SC) (CHC)
Age 20.9 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 210 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/30 60/65 25/55 45/45 30/50 70

Rosario is a native of the Dominican Republic who grew up in Newark, then went to an athletics-focused school in South Carolina while he was also a fixture on the showcase circuit in the lead up to the 2023 draft. The Cubs properly assessed Rosario’s signability (he was committed to a Florida JUCO) and got a deal done with the slugger for $325,600. Then Rosario had a monstrous extended spring run in Arizona in 2024 and was promoted to Low-A before he played a regular season game in the Complex League; he slashed .230/.344/.423 with 16 bombs in just 109 games, albeit with a 32.2% K%. During the offseason, he was traded to Cleveland for changeup artist Eli Morgan.

Rosario is off to a similarly extreme power-over-hit start to his 2025. His K% has come down is closer to 24% as of list publication, and his contact rate is better (it was 58% last year and has been 66% in 2025 so far), but it’s still not good. Rosario has plus raw power right now and he’ll deposit mistakes into the next ZIP code, but he doesn’t track pitches especially well, nor does he move the bat around the zone. Breaking pitches play like plus-plus offerings against him, and he’s starting to see more of them as opposing teams realize what he can and can’t do as a hitter (Rosario is only seeing 39% fastballs).

Though he’s playing center field a lot of the time, Rosario lacks the comfort and feel of a big league center fielder, and projects as a corner-only outfield defender. There is enough power here to be excited about Rosario as a dangerous bench bat or perhaps to have a peak window similar to Steven Souza Jr.’s, but the number of strikeouts indicate bust risk, or at least year-to-year performance volatility.

30. Erik Sabrowski, SIRP

Drafted: 14th Round, 2018 from Cloud County CC (KS) (SDP)
Age 27.6 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 230 Bat / Thr R / L FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Command Sits/Tops
55/55 50/50 55/55 40/40 91-94 / 95

Sabrowski was a two-way junior college player who set the Cloud County single season record for strikeouts with 117 ponchados in only 66 innings. He also led the team in homers in his draft year. He didn’t make his pro debut until three years after he was drafted because he needed Tommy John soon after signing and also lost time to the pandemic. He pitched in just eight games in 2021 before he blew out again, and the Guardians scooped him in the Minor League phase of the Rule 5 Draft that winter. He returned in 2023 and mowed through the upper minors during the next two seasons before throwing a dozen innings with the big league club in 2024. He began 2025 on the IL with elbow inflammation. Sabrowski’s riding low-90s fastball punches above its weight at just 92-94 mph. During his 2024 postseason appearances, Sabrowski leaned more heavily on his upper-80s cutter/slider as a way to get ahead of hitters, then he’d bend in his slower 12-to-6 curveball or elevate his fastball later in counts. It’s the stuff of a solid second lefty in a good bullpen.

31. Franco Aleman, SIRP

Drafted: 10th Round, 2021 from Florida (CLE)
Age 24.9 Height 6′ 6″ Weight 235 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Command Sits/Tops
60/60 60/60 50/50 94-97 / 99

Aleman has altered his approach to pitching since leaving Florida (he was at St. John’s River and Florida International prior to UF) and is now much more apt to take advantage of the way his fastball plays at the top of the zone. Aleman has also added a couple ticks of velo in pro ball, averaging 95.7 mph on his fastball as he climbed to Columbus. He began 2025 on the shelf recovering from hernia surgery, but returned in early May and has made a couple appearances at Triple-A as of list publication. The size of an NBA wing player at a long-levered 6-foot-6, Aleman also releases the baseball seemingly right on top of hitters. His low-ish slot wreaks havoc on righties’ ability to pick up the baseball out of his hand and makes it tough for them to spot his slider. Aleman is a pretty standard fastball/slider middle reliever who has a good shot to debut at some point in 2025.

32. Matt Jachec, MIRP

Drafted: 18th Round, 2023 from Indiana State (CLE)
Age 23.8 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 205 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
40/45 60/70 40/45 50/60 89-92 / 95

A 2024 revelation, Jachec might have the best breaking ball in the entire Guardians system. He worked two innings at a time across 36 appearances and K’d 104 batters in 72 frames last year. He also walked just 6% of opponents. Jachec’s slider has late bite and big, curveball-like depth. It has enough finish to play as a backfoot weapon against lefties as well as a chase pitch away from righties. Consistent glove-side command of this pitch really helps it max out, and it’s going to be a premium weapon in short bursts out of the bullpen. Jachec’s funky, long, low-three-quarters arm slot creates tailing action on his fastball, and he commands it to locations where it isn’t vulnerable. Though he’s begun 2025 on the IL, Jachec has a shot to finish the season in the upper minors and put himself in the conversation for a relief role at some point late next year.

33. Yorman Gómez, SIRP

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Venezuela (CLE)
Age 22.5 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 230 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Command Sits/Tops
50/60 50/55 45/45 30/40 93-96 / 97

Gómez is enjoying a nearly two-tick velo spike with a move to the bullpen, and after sitting 92-93 mph in 2024, he’s sitting 93-96 and has been up to 97. It’s not as though Gómez is suddenly a single-inning reliever at High-A — he’s still working four frames at a time and had to start one half of a doubleheader last week — and he might have even more in the tank if the Guardians want to deploy him an inning at a time. Gómez lacks the offspeed pitch to start. He throws a couple of different breaking balls, but his curveball release point is noticeably higher than that of his slider/cutter, so that isn’t an answer for dealing with lefties. Gómez’s delivery requires a lot of effort in general, and is more typical of a reliever. It makes sense for Gómez to stay stretched out for most of this year, but Cleveland should give him a late-season look in a single-inning role to see if his velo climbs again. If it does, Gómez will have made a compelling 40-man case.

34. Jogly Garcia, SIRP

Signed: International Signing Period, 2022 from Venezuela (CLE)
Age 21.7 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 170 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Command Sits/Tops
45/55 55/60 30/40 91-95 / 97

After struggling with walks in his first two rookie ball seasons, Garcia had a breakout 2024 of sorts in his second tour of the Arizona Complex League, with a 28.1% K% and 5.2% BB%. He’s striking out even more guys at Low-A to start 2025, as Jogly’s K% was around 42% through his first eight appearances. Garcia’s delivery isn’t especially consistent, and even though he improved as a strike-thrower in 2024, he is still more likely than not to wind up in the bullpen. He’ll occasionally show you 94-97 in short bursts, but he’ll sit more 92-95 throughout entire starts. Garcia’s fastball has “round down” tilt; the shape of its movement tends to run into barrels. That’s largely why he takes a slider-heavy approach to pitching, even as a starter. Garcia has a plus two-planed gyro slider in the 81-85 mph range. His feel for locating it is much better than that of his fastball. Garcia will mix four- and two-seamers, and also alter his breaking ball shape to look more like a curveball — that is the extent of his repertoire right now. There’s a large gap to to bridge between his current skills and those of a typical big league starter. Instead, Garcia has a shot to be a Kevin Ginkel sort of sinker/slider reliever.

35+ FV Prospects

Drafted: 1st Round, 2022 from Oklahoma State (CLE)
Age 24.3 Height 6′ 7″ Weight 219 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
45/50 45/50 50/60 30/50 91-94 / 97

This graceful 6-foot-7 righty was Cleveland’s 2022 comp pick, but Campbell has yet to throw a pro pitch at an affiliate because he has had three surgeries. In May 2023, Campbell had decompression surgery to relieve pressure on his ulnar nerve. Then he had Tommy John in April of 2024, followed by surgery on the tendons his right wrist/thumb area last October. He is currently throwing bullpens in Arizona and has touched 97.

Campbell had premium extension/approach angle traits, a plus changeup, and a starter-worthy command foundation when he was drafted. He was a prime breakout candidate if, like so many college starters before him in this org, he could somehow throw a little bit harder. Given his size and mechanical fluidity, that seemed plausible. Campbell probably has less trade value than the little bit this FV grade indicates because teams aren’t in the habit of acquiring pitchers who haven’t thrown in a meaningful game for almost three years. But because Campbell is at least throwing (and throwing fairly hard) in a controlled rehab setting right now, he remains on the main list radar as we wait with bated breath for him to break the seal on his once promising pro career.

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2021 from Ole Miss (CLE)
Age 25.8 Height 5′ 11″ Weight 205 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Cutter Command Sits/Tops
40/40 50/50 55/55 55/60 30/35 90-93 / 95

Nikhazy was a dominant college starter at Ole Miss and has struck out more than a batter per inning in pro ball even though he pitches with 30-grade velocity. Deception, fastball angle, and secondary stuff quality have helped Nikhazy climb despite shaky pitch execution. He had what was pretty comfortably a career-best strike-throwing season in 2024, and worked 123.2 innings split between Double- and Triple-A. This season, Nikhazy’s delivery has changed somewhat. It was already somewhat cross-bodied, but now Nikhazy is cutting the angle even more, and the shift in angle is helping his slower breakers land in the zone with big two-plane shape. On pure stuff, Nikhazy’s best pitches are his best changeups, but his arm stroke is not fluid or consistent enough to execute that pitch consistently. From a stuff standpoint, Nikhazy could pitch at the back of a big league rotation pretty comfortably (he made a brief debut earlier this season in the second game of a doubleheader), but his lack of command (he walked six in that three-inning outing) dilutes his effectiveness enough to put him more in the no. 6-9 starter bucket.

37. Will Dion, SP

Drafted: 9th Round, 2021 from McNeese State (CLE)
Age 25.1 Height 5′ 10″ Weight 180 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Cutter Command Sits/Tops
40/40 45/45 50/55 45/45 60/60 89-91 / 93

Dion is an ultra-consistent strike-throwing little southpaw with plus command of four generic (but distinctly shaped) pitches. You’ve seen Dion’s delivery before if you’ve ever watched Clayton Kershaw pitch, as his short-levered overhand stroke is uncannily similar to that of the Hall of Fame lefty’s. It imparts similarly deceptive riding life on Dion’s fastball, which plays better than its raw velocity. At Triple-A to start 2025, Dion’s fastball continues to miss bats at a plus rate despite sitting 90 mph. His curveball was his money pitch in college, but he’s accelerated his changeup and slider usage so far in pro ball. All of his secondaries are about average to the eye, but his feel for locating his changeup so consistently has helped that pitch play closer to plus. He’s a strike-throwing spot starter.

38. Jake Fox, CF

Drafted: 3rd Round, 2021 from Lakeland Christian School (CLE)
Age 22.3 Height 5′ 11″ Weight 185 Bat / Thr L / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/50 30/30 20/30 60/60 50/60 60

Fox was a contact-oriented high school prospect who signed for $850,000 in 2021 rather than go to Florida. After entering pro ball as an infielder, he began to transition to the outfield in 2023 and is now out there full-time. Fox took to center field pretty well. He doesn’t have elite range, but his ball skills and reads are great considering he hasn’t been playing there very long, and he has an impact arm. This defensive ability is the crux of Fox’s profile and forecast as a fringe 40-man guy. He does have deft feel for contact, but the quality of that contact is so poor due to his lack of power that his hit tool will probably play down a bit. He swing features big, slow movement in his lower body but short action with his hands, and he can alter the posture of his upper body to put the bat on the ball (which is a trait common in this system). Center field gloves like this are rare enough to project Fox will wear a big league uniform even though he doesn’t do much on offense. He is a high-end upper-level depth option.

Drafted: 4th Round, 2022 from Troy HS (NY) (PIT)
Age 20.5 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 205 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
20/20 50/55 45/55 35/60 86-90 / 91

Kennedy has advanced command of two good offspeed pitches and well-below-average fastball velocity, sitting 88-91. He was a 2022 over-slot fourth rounder who signed for $1 million rather than go to LSU. In 2024, he pitched his way to High-A in the Pirates org, then was traded to the Guardians as part of the Spencer Horwitz deal during the offseason. A short-levered 6-foot-1, Kennedy’s physical traits combine with his low-to-the-ground delivery to help his fastball have shallow angle toward the top of the zone, but his utter lack of velocity still makes it a vulnerable pitch. He needs to pitch off his secondary stuff in order to succeed. The vertical snap and 11-to-5 movement of Kennedy’s 77-83 mph breaking ball play nicely off of his fastball, and his feel for locating his 82-84 mph changeup improved in 2024; that pitch has generated above-average chase and miss throughout the last year and change. Kennedy also likes to alter his leg kick to mess with hitters’ timing. He’s a pitchability spot starter with more ceiling if, despite lacking obvious physical projection, he can somehow find more velocity as he gets deeper into his 20s.

40. Jose Devers, SS

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Dominican Republic (CLE)
Age 22.0 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 145 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/30 45/50 30/40 60/60 45/55 70

Devers has performed on offense for fits and starts during his pro career, but unless he gets meaningfully stronger (he’s still rail thin as age 22), it’s his defense that will eventually allow him to wear a big league uniform. Devers’ expansive approach and meager plate coverage limit his contact ability. He swings quite hard for his size and has nearly average raw power, though his whiffs and chases curb his access to it. On defense, Devers is acrobatic and rangy; he has average hands, and an incredible arm often bails him out of tough spots. It wouldn’t be entirely surprising if at some point Devers gets put on the mound; his arm is on that level and he’s a sensational little athlete. For now, though, he projects as a bottom-of-the-40-man shortstop.

41. Aidan Major, SP

Drafted: 5th Round, 2024 from West Virginia (CLE)
Age 22.0 Height 5′ 11″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr L / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
50/55 45/55 40/50 30/40 92-94 / 96

Major is a three-pitch starter prospect who struggled to throw strikes in his transition from the bullpen as a junior. He was a better strike-thrower as a sophomore, but was young for his class at the time of the 2024 draft. Across the entire 2024 college season, Major sat 93-94 with plus vertical break. He has a great looking arm action, and his slider and changeup flash plus. The cambio sits 84-87 mph with more consistent location than his 82-85 mph slider. Major’s velo across his entire repertoire was up late in the year during high-leverage postseason innings. He’s begun the 2025 season on the IL, but he presents interesting raw material for Cleveland’s dev group as a slightly younger than usual college draftee with the potential for a viable starter’s repertoire.

42. Dauri Fernandez, SS

Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (CLE)
Age 18.2 Height 5′ 9″ Weight 155 Bat / Thr S / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/60 30/35 20/30 55/55 40/50 50

Fernandez was among the Guardians’ younger 2024 DSL prospects and was also one of their most advanced contact hitters. He slashed .287/.370/.407 in his pro debut season and is off to an even more raucous start in 2025.

Fernandez is a classic Guardians middle infield prospect, a compact little switch-hitter who is tough to make swing and miss from both sides of the plate. He has a bit more bat speed from the right side, but a little more swing-and-miss from that side, too. The way Fernandez is able to control the bat even though his swing involves whole-body effort is exciting. He sprays liners to all fields and runs well. He lacks physical projection and is probably more likely to be a utility infielder of modest impact, though it’s plausible that he could end up being more than that with truly superlative contact skill. He’ll need to keep proving that’s in play at each minor league level.

Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Venezuela (CLE)
Age 17.8 Height 5′ 10″ Weight 170 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/55 30/45 20/40 45/45 30/50 50

Caceres is a compact lefty-hitting corner outfielder with precocious barrel feel. He had more walks than strikeouts and a .929 OPS in his first DSL season. An illustrative stat: Caceres had 17 extra-base hits in 40 DSL games last year, but not one of them was a home run. This is a well-rounded young doubles machine, not a slugger. Caceres’ swing is a little long and his hands work in a similar fashion to Alek Thomas‘. Because he is a short-levered guy, that has been okay so far, and his ability to adjust his hands to move the barrel around is exciting and advanced. Caceres lacks the speed to play center field and the overt physical projection of a power-hitting corner guy. He’ll need to prove at each level that he has special feel for contact; a strong side platoon forecast is one of realistic optimism.

44. Joey Cantillo, SIRP

Drafted: 16th Round, 2017 from Kailua HS (HI) (SDP)
Age 25.4 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 220 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
40/40 50/50 40/40 70/70 30/35 90-94 / 97

Cantillo was drafted by the Padres and traded to Cleveland at the pandemic year deadline as part of the massive Josh Naylor, Mike Clevinger, Cal Quantrill, Gabriel Arias (and more) swap that, in retrospect, was a boon for Cleveland. Cantillo hasn’t developed as a strike-thrower, nor from a velo standpoint, but his parachuting changeup is a special pitch that has generated a plus-plus swinging strike rate against big league hitters in parts of two seasons. He debuted as a starter last year but didn’t pitch enough to exhaust rookie eligibility. This season, Cantillo broke camp in the bullpen and has now been rostered enough to graduate. Cantillo’s max-effort delivery is difficult for him to control, and he scatters his fastball all over the zone. At roughly 92 mph, it is vulnerable when left in the heart of the zone. Cantillo can change gears with two different breaking balls, both of which he tends to drop into the zone for strikes. The Guardians have preserved one of Cantillo’s options, and he’s been wild enough that it wouldn’t be shocking if they decided to use it at some point. He needs to progress as a strike thrower to remain on a big league staff in perpetuity.

45. Zak Kent, SIRP

Drafted: 9th Round, 2019 from Virginia Military Institute (TEX)
Age 27.2 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 208 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Command Sits/Tops
45/45 60/60 60/60 40/40 93-94 / 96

Kent first reached Triple-A with Texas in 2022, then had six combined IL stints from 2022 through 2024. During that time, he was put on the Rangers’ 40-man and later traded to Cleveland for cash. He’s moved to the bullpen in 2025 and made his big league debut at the very beginning of the season. Kent has two really nasty breaking balls that just keep dropping and dropping until they’re being flailed at in the dirt. His 93 mph fastball survives because Kent tends to hide the ball well. He hasn’t experienced much of a velo spike in short relief and continues to look like an up/down reliever.

46. Steven Pérez, SIRP

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2018 from Venezuela (CLE)
Age 24.1 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
55/60 40/55 45/50 40/45 93-94 / 96

After five combined seasons in rookie ball (six if you count the missing 2020 minor league season), Pérez finally reach full season ball in 2024 and posted a 2.20 ERA at Low-A Lynchburg. Assigned to High-A Lake County to start 2025, Pérez is having an even better season, especially from a strike-throwing standpoint. He looks like a standard middle relief lefty with a mid-90s fastball and a good slider, plus a serviceable changeup to offset righties. Pérez will sit 93-94 and bump 96 a couple of times in his best outings. His heater features nearly 20 inches of vertical break on average, and his explosive overhand delivery and loose arm sow deception. His vertical slot also creates overhand tumble on Pérez’s slider, which flashes bat-missing depth. Much of Pérez’s prospectdom is tied to his ability to keep throwing strikes. If he can sustain performance similar to what he’s been able to do early in 2025, he’ll be reliable enough to hold down a roster spot. If not, then Pérez will have backed into the up/down reliever bucket. He’s making a compelling case to be added to the 40-man roster after the season.

47. Kendeglys Virguez, SIRP

Signed: International Signing Period, 2022 from Venezuela (CLE)
Age 21.0 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 185 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Command Sits/Tops
55/60 45/50 30/40 94-97 / 98

After one year as a starter, Virguez moved back to the bullpen in 2024, had a velo spike, and pitched well across a season split between the domestic complex and Low-A, with a 3.57 ERA and 32% strikeout rate A low-three-quarters arm slot imparts running action on his mid-to-upper 90s fastball, which is a knuckle-bruising nightmare tailing in on the hands of righty batters. Virguez’s slider played like a plus-plus pitch in 2024 but is more average to the eye. It definitely benefits from his low-ish arm slot, especially against righties, but it lacks vertical depth and length. Slider improvement is the key variable for Virguez, who began 2025 on the IL and is rehabbing in Arizona. If that pitch progresses (or a different secondary pitch emerges), he’ll have a fairly standard middle inning look.

48. Nick Mitchell, RF

Drafted: 4th Round, 2024 from Indiana (TOR)
Age 21.7 Height 5′ 10″ Weight 185 Bat / Thr L / R FV 35+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/55 40/40 30/35 50/50 30/40 50

Mitchell is a relatively small corner outfield prospect who hit for superlative contact in college and during a brief post-draft run at Low-A Dunedin. He was traded to the Guardians as part of the Andrés Giménez deal. Mitchell’s college career began at Western Illinois (they’re the Leathernecks), where he hit a combined .348 in two seasons and led the team in every offensive category as a sophomore. Mitchell transferred to Indiana for his draft season and played right field all year, amassing a .335/.458/.512 line despite missing time at the very start of the season with a broken hand. Toronto drafted Mitchell in the fourth round, signed him for a little less than $500,000, and then he went out and hit .289/.350/.467 at Dunedin during the last month of the minor league season. He began the 2025 season in extended spring training due to left hamstring and ankle issues.

Mitchell is a small-framed 5-foot-10 but takes a healthy rip for a guy his size. His athleticism is evident in the verve of his best swings, but Mitchell generates it without elaborate movement; his swing is simple and compact, and generates all-fields line drive spray. He made in-zone contact at a 90% rate at both IU and Dunedin, though his chase rate took a leap in pro ball (something to watch going forward). Mitchell’s power-indicating metrics from 2024, like his hard-hit rate and peak exit velocities, are comfortably below average but need to be viewed with his preseason broken hand in mind. Though they were roughly the same in pro ball, even as Mitchell got further and further away from his injury, he should be monitored for an uptick in this area in 2025. As of list publication, he has still been rehabbing in Arizona and hasn’t played enough to produce meaningful data in this regard.

Mitchell has been given reps in center field as a pro, but his feel for the position isn’t great. He played exclusively right field at Indiana and doesn’t always look great there either (though Mitchell throws well). Barring a meaningful uptick in his power, Mitchell’s profile is similar to that of current Guardians outfielder Will Brennan: a good contact-hitting corner guy with significantly less power than is typical for an everyday player. Mitchell could be a similar platoon type but is more of a prospect sleeper for now.

Other Prospects of Note

Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.

Defense-Aided Profiles
Kody Huff, C
Alex Mooney, INF
Dayan Frias, INF

All three of these guys can kind of play a premium position and do at least one other thing well. Huff, a Phoenix native who went to Stanford, is an average defender who is hitting the ball harder than he ever has before, but his strikeouts are excessive. He could be a fine third catcher on a 40-man. Mooney is a plus athlete with a powerful top hand and bend-y lower body. He’s rough around the edges on defense but could have a relevant power-hitting peak down the line because of how athletic his swing is. Frias has plateaued as a defender. He once looked like a future plus third base glove, but instead he’s merely average. He still has good lefty bat speed, switch-hitting utility, and defensive versatility.

Daniel Espino
Daniel Espino, RHP

We’re now at a point where Espino, who was once maybe the best pitching prospect in the sport, needs to show that he’s healthy before it’s reasonable to project a realistic big league future for him. He was once touching 102 mph and bending in huge secondary stuff, but he hasn’t pitched in several years due to multiple severe injuries.

Soft-Tossing Depth Starters
Ryan Webb, LHP
Rodney Boone, LHP
Aaron Davenport, RHP

Webb is a slider-heavy 26-year-old lefty out of Georgia who entered 2025 coming off two consecutive years of strong statistical performance in the mid- and upper-minors. He has a cricket bowler’s arm action and pitches heavily off a low-80s slider. Once part of a great college rotation at UC Santa Barbara, Boone’s sneaky fastball, above-average changeup and plus command have allowed the 25-year-old to pitch well up through Double-A. Davenport has been super durable (he’s thrown 100 or more innings each of the last four seasons) and is pitching well in Double-A off the back of his invisible 89 mph fastball. None of his secondaries are plus.

Power Sleepers
Jorge Burgos, 1B/OF
Jonathan Martinez, INF
Luis Merejo, 1B/RF

Burgos has plus lefty bat speed, and his swing is geared to get to all of his power. He hit 18 bombs last year but struck out nearly 30% of the time, which is too much for a poor 1B/OF defender. Martinez is another of the many interesting Guardians infielders in their complex group; he has plus bat speed but below-average feel for contact. Merejo is an 18-year-old righty slugger who is struggling to make contact in full season ball so far in 2025, but he has plus-plus bat speed and has a 50% hard-hit rate as of list publication.

Bat-to-Ball Types
Christian Knapczyk, 2B
Yeiferth Castillo, LF
Maick Collado, 1B
Bennett Thompson, C

Knapczyk is a hitterish second base-only defender without the power to play there every day. He’s performed well in A-ball, which is to be expected as he’s a 23-year-old who comes out of the ACC. Castillo is a stocky, 18-year-old Venezuelan outfielder whose listed height and weight (5-foot-8, 155 pounds) constitute a comical underestimation of his size. He has a great rookie ball contact track record, but he’s a maxed out 1B/LF type of athlete who needs to keep his strikeout rate in the single digits to keep climbing the list. Collado is a switch-hitting first baseman with good feel for contact but not enough power for a first base-only bat. Thompson was a Day Three pick out of Oregon in 2024 ($150,000) who has had offensive success at Low-A so far in 2025. He has a punchy swing and good strength for his size. I’m skeptical of his swing’s long-term viability, but he’s done enough so far to be on the radar.

Extra Relievers
Magnus Ellerts, RHP
Bradley Hanner, RHP
Tyler Thornton, RHP
Jake Miller, RHP

Ellerts is a 6-foot-5 righty with a 92-95 mph fastball that plays up thanks to his nearly seven feet of extension. He’ll flash a good slider but hangs too many of them. He has middle-inning relief ceiling if he can polish his control. Normally low-slot pitchers have longer, swooping arm actions, but Hanner is a low-release guy with an ultra-short, shot-putter’s stroke. It imparts weird angle on his 92 mph fastball and late lateral action on his hard slider, but Hanner’s control probably needs to improve for him to play a big league role. Thornton is an open-striding righty with a flat-angled, 94-96 mph fastball and 30-grade command. He’s recently back from the IL and pitching in Akron. Miller only throws 89 on average, but he has really deceptive arm speed and a right-freezing slider. The 24-year-old is off to a fair start at Akron.

System Overview

This is an above-average farm system thanks to the half dozen Top 100 prospects spearheading the list, and because the 45 FV tier is particularly deep in this org. Many of the high-profile players above are off to slow starts or are injured, which has stopped the guys who arguably have the talent to be 55- or 60-grade prospects from ascending into that tier a little more than a month and a half into the season. Injuries are rampant here. I count 13 players on the main section of the list who are either hurt right now, or are rehabbing from injury. It creates some volatility in the assessment of this system as a whole to have looks at that many players impacted by their health.

Has the bloom come off the pitching development rose a little bit here? While there are several recent late-round draftees who have improved enough to make the cut for this ranking, there is no obvious, Tanner Bibee-ish mid-rotation type who has added huge velo and is rocketing through this org right now. There are lots of former non-prospects who are suddenly 35+ or 40 FVs, but less in the way of the truly impact pitching we’re used to seeing in this system. Last year’s Guardians draft class, which brought three high-profile high school pitchers into the fold (Braylon Doughty, Joey Oakie, Chase Mobley), looks like a deliberate attempt to change that, but two of those three guys have been slow out of the gate.

Instead, the core of this system right now rests with the position players, often contact-oriented prospects who get a little bit stronger and start to swing more aggressively once they turn pro. Cleveland’s approach to amateur scouting is unique. Like a lot of teams, they rely heavily on data and modeling, especially when it comes to large conference college players. They famously rarely send scouts to Division-I college games until late in the season so the scouts can spend more time turning over rocks in places where the data is less available, like high schools and junior colleges. That’s how you end up with Matt Wilkinson and Cooper Ingle in the same draft class. Cleveland also has a track record of targeting the youngest players in a given draft class, as well as college players whose sophomore season and Cape Cod performance were better than their junior season output (an indication of regression model use).

They’ve behaved similarly internationally, as Guardians scouts were on the early side of tracking amateurs’ swing decisions and contact rates in that market. In the past, they’ve gravitated to short-levered, compact athletes on the international side. While this is still true to a degree, there have been more bigger-framed, high-variance athletes rolling through the lower levels of the system during the last couple of years, 6-foot-2 prospects rather than 5-foot-9 fellas. Trading off hit tool risk for power potential is something a small market org like this should be doing at least a little bit, and it feels like Cleveland has made that adjustment.





Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.

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Left of Centerfield
6 hours ago

Yeah!!!

Guardians definitely seem snakebit this year, particularly with position prospects.

And yeah, I think the bloom has worn off re: their pitching development. Nowadays, them seem to be better at cranking out relievers than starters.

Finally, I’m surprised to see Brito as a 45. He was a 50 (#78 overall on the top 100) back in February. He was playing well before the injury so a drop from 50 to 45 seems a bit extreme.