Contract Crowdsourcing 2014-15: Day 5 of 10

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2014-15 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for a collection of immobile DH-types and also Ichiro Suzuki.

Other Players: Nori Aoki / Emilio Bonifacio / Asdrubal Cabrera / Melky Cabrera / Nelson Cruz / Michael Cuddyer / Chase Headley / Torii Hunter / Adam LaRoche / Jed Lowrie / Nick Markakis / Russell Martin / Michael Morse / Aramis Ramirez / Hanley Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Mark Reynolds / Alex Rios / Pablo Sandoval / Chris Young (OF).

***

Billy Butler (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Butler:

  • Has averaged 650 PA and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a -0.3 WAR in 603 PA in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 1.4 WAR per 600 PA** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $8.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in January of 2011.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Butler.

***

Victor Martinez (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Martinez:

  • Has averaged 655 PA and 2.7 WAR over last two seasons (missed 2012).
  • Has averaged 2.4 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 4.4 WAR in 641 PA in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 3.0 WAR per 600 PA** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-36 season.
  • Made $12.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in November of 2010.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Martinez.

***

Kendrys Morales (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Morales:

  • Has averaged 527 PA and 0.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.5 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a -1.7 WAR in 401 PA in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 0.8 WAR per 600 PA** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $12.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in June of 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Morales.

***

Ichiro Suzuki (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Ichiro:

  • Has averaged 534 PA and 1.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.4 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.4 WAR in 385 PA in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 0.3 WAR per 600 PA** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-41 season.
  • Made $6.5M in 2014, as part of deal signed in December of 2012.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Ichiro.

***

Delmon Young (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Young:

  • Has averaged 408 PA and -0.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged -0.4 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.9 WAR in 255 PA in 2014.
  • Is projected to record 0.0 WAR per 600 PA** in 2015.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $1.0M in 2014, as part of deal signed in January of 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**According to prorated Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Young.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

21 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Caveman Jones
8 years ago

So I can’t vote that I think Suzuki won’t get an offer from anybody? I think he’s done.

Ichiro Suzuki, as Cave Johnson
8 years ago
Reply to  Caveman Jones

When life gives you lemons, don’t make lemonade! Make life take the lemons back! Get mad! I don’t want your damn lemons! What am I supposed to do with these? Demand to see life’s manager! Make life rue the day it thought it could give Ichiro Suzuki lemons! Do you know who I am? I’m the man whose gonna burn your house down – with the lemons!

B N
8 years ago
Reply to  Caveman Jones

He’ll end up somewhere. The question is how low his salary will go. With just ~150 hits to 3000, he’ll play for league minimum if that is what it takes, probably. So it’s just how much teams will bid up beyond that to make the offer look at least reputable.