Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 10 of 15
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.
Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, representing the second collection of starting pitchers.
Other Players: Brett Anderson / Nori Aoki / Alex Avila / Mark Buehrle / Marlon Byrd / Asdrubal Cabrera / Yoenis Cespedes / Wei-Yin Chen / Bartolo Colon / Johnny Cueto / Chris Davis / Rajai Davis / Alejandro De Aza / Ian Desmond / Stephen Drew / Dexter Fowler / David Freese / Alex Gordon / Jason Heyward / Torii Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Austin Jackson / John Jaso / Kelly Johnson / Matt Joyce / Howie Kendrick / Justin Morneau / Daniel Murphy / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / Dioner Navarro / Gerardo Parra / Steve Pearce / Alexei Ramirez / Colby Rasmus / Alex Rios / Jimmy Rollins / Geovany Soto / Denard Span / Justin Upton / Juan Uribe / Chase Utley / Will Venable / Shane Victorino / Matt Wieters / Chris Young the Outfielder / Ben Zobrist.
R.A. Dickey (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Dickey:
- Has averaged 218 IP and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 1.7 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 2.1 WAR in 214.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 1.3 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-41 season.
- Made $12.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2010.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Dickey.
Marco Estrada (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Estrada:
- Has averaged 153 IP and 1.2 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 1.5 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 1.8 WAR in 181.0 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 1.0 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-32 season.
- Made $3.9M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Estrada.
Doug Fister (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Fister:
- Has averaged 158 IP and 1.9 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 2.4 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 0.2 WAR in 103.0 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-32 season.
- Made $11.4M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Fister.
Yovani Gallardo (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Gallardo:
- Has averaged 185 IP and 2.2 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 2.4 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 184.1 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 1.6 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-30 season.
- Made $13.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in April 2010.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Click here to estimate years and dollars for Gallardo.
Jaime Garcia (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Garcia:
- Has averaged 76 IP and 1.3 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 3.3 WAR per 200 IP* over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 2.8 WAR in 129.2 IP in 2015.
- Is projected to record 3.5 WAR per 200 IP**.
- Is entering his age-29 season.
- Made $9.3M in 2015, as part of deal signed in July 2011.
*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of 2016 Steamer projections available here.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Estrada feels like the kind of pitcher the Pirates sign. They could probably help him keep up his current results. Maybe they just re-sign Happ instead.
I don’t see Estrada as a fit. The pirates generally go for ground ball pitchers, and Estrada is an extreme fly-ball pitcher. Of the list above I think Garcia would be the best fit, but I think St. Louis will bring him back.
There is pretty much zero chance Garcia’s option is not picked up.