Contract Crowdsourcing 2015-16: Day 2 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2015-16 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, including all the notable first basemen and some less impressive — but not entirely irrelevant — second basemen, too.

Other Players: Alex Avila / Chris Iannetta / Dioner Navarro / Geovany Soto / Matt Wieters.

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Chris Davis (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Davis:

  • Has averaged 623 PA and 4.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 4.3 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 5.6 WAR in 670 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 2.6 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $12.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Davis.

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Justin Morneau (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Morneau:

  • Has averaged 456 PA and 1.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.7 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.5 WAR in 182 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 1.4 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-35 season.
  • Made $6.8M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Morneau.

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Mike Napoli (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Napoli:

  • Has averaged 516 PA and 2.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.7 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.7 WAR in 469 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 1.4 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-34 season.
  • Made $16.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in December 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Napoli.

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Stephen Drew (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Drew:

  • Has averaged 410 PA and 0.9 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.2 WAR in 428 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-33 season.
  • Made $5.0M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Drew.

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Kelly Johnson (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Johnson:

  • Has averaged 346 PA and 0.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.2 WAR per 600 PA* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 335 PA in 2015.
  • Is projected to record -0.1 WAR per 600 PA**.
  • Is entering his age-34 season.
  • Made $1.5M in 2015, as part of deal signed in January 2015.

*That is, a roughly average number of plate appearances for a starting player.
**Prorated version of final updated 2015 Steamer projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Johnson.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

16 Comments
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Plithy
9 years ago

Stephen Drew: $100,000 per year for the rest of his life.

radivel
9 years ago
Reply to  Plithy

That’s a vast overpay.

Bill
8 years ago
Reply to  radivel

Depends on how long he lives