Contract Crowdsourcing 2016-17: Day 10 of 10

by
October 21, 2016

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2016-17 free-agent market.

Below are links to the final six ballots for this year’s free agents, including all relief pitchers.

Other Players: Pedro Alvarez / Erick Aybar / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Joe Blanton / Billy Butler / Andrew Cashner / Santiago Casilla / Brett Cecil / Aroldis Chapman / Bartolo Colon / Rajai Davis / Ian Desmond / R.A. Dickey / Edwin Encarnacion / Doug Fister / Dexter Fowler / Carlos Gomez / Jeremy Hellickson / Rich Hill / Greg Holland / Matt Holliday / Austin Jackson / Jon Jay / Matt Joyce / Colby Lewis / Brandon Moss / Mike Napoli / Ivan Nova / Angel Pagan / Steve Pearce / Wilson Ramos / Colby Rasmus / Josh Reddick / Michael Saunders / Kurt Suzuki / Mark Trumbo / Justin Turner / Chase Utley / Luis Valbuena / Edinson Volquez / Neil Walker / Matt Wieters / C.J. Wilson.

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Kenley Jansen (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Jansen:

  • Has averaged 62 IP and 2.3 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 2.5 WAR per 65 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 3.2 WAR in 68.2 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 2.9 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $10.7M in 2016, after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

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Click here to estimate years and dollars for Jansen.

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Mark Melancon (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Melancon:

  • Has averaged 73 IP and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.6 WAR per 65 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.8 WAR in 71.1 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 1.7 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Made $9.7M in 2016, after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Melancon.

***

Jonathan Papelbon (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Papelbon:

  • Has averaged 55 IP and 0.9 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.0 WAR per 65 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.3 WAR in 35.0 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 0.1 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-36 season.
  • Made $13.0M in 2016, as part of deal signed in November 2011.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Papelbon.

***

Sergio Romo (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Romo:

  • Has averaged 48 IP and 0.6 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.8 WAR per 65 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.2 WAR in 30.2 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 1.3 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-34 season.
  • Made $8.0M in 2016, as part of deal signed in December 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Romo.

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Koji Uehara (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Uehara:

  • Has averaged 50 IP and 1.0 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 65 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.6 WAR in 47.0 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 1.3 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-42 season.
  • Made $9.0M in 2016, as part of deal signed in October 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Uehara.

***

Brad Ziegler (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Ziegler:

  • Has averaged 68 IP and 0.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 0.6 WAR per 65 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.3 WAR in 68.0 IP in 2016.
  • Is projected to record 0.6 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $5.5M in 2016, as part of deal signed in December 2013.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a starting pitcher.
**Prorated version of final updated 2016 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Ziegler.





 

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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HappyFunBallMember since 2019
9 years ago

If I’m not mistaken, Papelbon could have been had for essentially nothing for the last couple of months. That does not bode well for his market value…

0
Anthony CalamisMember since 2024
9 years ago
Reply to  HappyFunBall

No, it doesn’t. Counterpoint though: you wouldn’t be throwing Papelbon into an already-established, mid-season clubhouse. I think not upsetting their clubhouse atmosphere with Papelbon may have been a consideration. He’s not going to get much money, but he could find someone willing to give him a shot, I think. Then again, if he wants to close, he may not get that chance.

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