Contract Crowdsourcing 2017-18: Ballot 14 of 15

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the giant and large 2016-17 free-agent market.

Below are links to ballots for five of this year’s free agents, all of them relievers.

Other Players: Matt Albers / Yonder Alonso / Jake Arrieta / Alex Avila / Jose Bautista / Carlos Beltran / Jay Bruce / Melky Cabrera / Trevor Cahill / Welington Castillo / Lorenzo Cain / Andrew Cashner / Jhoulys Chacin / Steve Cishek / Alex Cobb / Bartolo Colon / Zack Cozart / Johnny Cueto / Yu Darvish / Wade Davis / Lucas Duda / Jarrod Dyson / Alcides Escobar / Yunel Escobar / Doug Fister / Todd Frazier / Jaime Garcia / Carlos Gomez / Carlos Gonzalez / Miguel Gonzalez / Curtis Granderson / Luke Gregerson / Jeremy Hellickson / David Hernandez / Greg Holland / Matt Holliday / Eric Hosmer / Tommy Hunter / Chris Iannetta / Jon Jay / Howie Kendrick / Brandon Kintzler / Francisco Liriano / Jonathan Lucroy / Lance Lynn / J.D. Martinez / Cameron Maybin / Jake McGee / Mike Minor / Mitch Moreland / Logan Morrison / Mike Moustakas / Ricky Nolasco / Eduardo Nunez / Brandon Phillips / Michael Pineda / Jose Reyes / CC Sabathia / Carlos Santana / Masahiro Tanaka / Chris Tillman / Justin Upton / Jason Vargas / Neil Walker / Jayson Werth.

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Brandon Morrow (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Morrow:

  • Has averaged 31 IP and 0.7 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.5 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.6 WAR in 43.2 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.2 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-33 season.
  • Made $1.3M in 2017 as part of deal signed in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a reliever.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Morrow.

***

Pat Neshek (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Neshek:

  • Has averaged 54 IP and 1.1 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 62.1 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 1.3 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Made $6.5M in 2017 as part of deal signed in December 2014.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a reliever.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Neshek.

***

Juan Nicasio (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Nicasio:

  • Has averaged 83 IP and 1.2 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.0 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 1.4 WAR in 72.1 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Made $3.7M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a reliever.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Nicasio.

***

Seung Hwan Oh (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Oh:

  • Has averaged 70 IP and 1.4 WAR over last three seasons*.
  • Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 65 IP** over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.1 WAR in 59.1 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.6 WAR per 65 IP***.
  • Is entering his age-35 season.
  • Made $2.8M in 2017 as part of deal signed in January 2016.

*Or, in Oh’s case, the last two seasons.
**That is, a roughly average number of innings for a reliever.
***Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Oh.

***

Addison Reed (Profile)
Some relevant information regarding Reed:

  • Has averaged 70 IP and 1.5 WAR over last three seasons.
  • Has averaged 1.4 WAR per 65 IP* over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 0.9 WAR in 76.0 IP in 2017.
  • Is projected to record 0.9 WAR per 65 IP**.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Made $7.8M in 2017 after avoiding arbitration in January.

*That is, a roughly average number of innings for a reliever.
**Prorated version of final 2017 depth-chart projections available here.

Click here to estimate years and dollars for Reed.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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bosoxforlifemember
4 years ago

Really surprised to see that Addison Reed’s WAR was down in 2017. It might have been a couple of tough outings because it was very comforting to see him come in for The Red Sox late in the season.