COVID-19 Roundup: An Aggressive Proposal

This is the latest installment of a daily series in which the FanGraphs staff rounds up the latest developments regarding the COVID-19 virus’ effect on baseball.

MLB Is Pursuing A Return To Baseball In May

Despite the fact that the COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread throughout the United States and the rest of the world, Major League Baseball is reportedly attempting to move forward with a plan that would open the 2020 season as early as next month. According to ESPN’s Jeff Passan, the plan clearly has numerous potential hiccups, but is also being advanced with the support of “high-ranking public health officials.”

As one might expect, this version of the 2020 season would look very different from any we’ve seen before. Games would be relegated entirely to Arizona, with teams playing at Chase Field — the home of the Arizona Diamondbacks — as well as the 10 spring training complexes, and other nearby fields. Only essential personnel would be allowed inside the stadiums, which means no fans in the ballparks. The league has discussed potentially forgoing dugouts in favor of players and coaches sitting six feet apart from each other in the stadium seats, in order to promote social distancing. Passan’s report also mentions the elimination of mound visits from pitching coaches and catchers, seven-inning doubleheaders to make up for lost time in April and early May, and the use of an electronic strike zone, so that umpires can maintain a six-foot distance from the batter and catcher. Once teams report to their respective facilities, there would be another two-to-three week spring training period, followed by the start of the regular season.

Perhaps in response to Passan’s reporting, MLB issued this statement Tuesday morning:

The idea of a baseball season happening at all in 2020, let alone next month, is obviously a welcome one to all of us, but the plans being relayed to Passan seem to be reliant on a lot of things going right. First, MLB would be asking players to agree to four or five months spent in total isolation away from their families, something many would be understandably hesitant to do during a period of global crisis. There would also need to be vast improvements made in available testing supplies, so that the number of tests required for MLB to play this season would not impact their availability to the rest of society. And without ticket sales, teams who don’t have the deep pockets of some of their competitors would want to work out a new revenue-sharing deal for whatever becomes of the 2020 season.

Combine these problems with the grim reality that we still seem to be far from reaching our peak in daily positive tests and deaths, let alone a time when the infection’s spread has slowed to a complete halt, and this proposal seems wildly optimistic. As The Athletic’s Arizona Diamondbacks reporter Zach Buchanan pointed out on Twitter, Arizona is supposed to reach its peak in hospitalizations in May — right when MLB wants its players to begin reporting for camp. Now, those projections given by Arizona’s state health director were issued nearly two weeks ago, and the state has since begun to flatten its curve at a better rate than many other states. But it still saw an 8% increase in positive tests from Sunday to Monday. Like every other part of the country, Arizona is still quite a ways from having this under control.

Even amidst those concerns, however, this plan seems different from the various speculative reports that have trickled out in recent weeks. There are specifics being discussed here, and according to Passan, there is cooperation at the top between the league, players, and federal government. This likely won’t be the last we hear about this proposal. There’s just no telling how far it will actually go.

British Prime Minister Enters ICU

Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who spent several days in isolation following a positive test for COVID-19 and was admitted to the hospital on Sunday, was transferred to an intensive care unit on Monday. The prime minister first tested positive on March 26, and his condition has worsened in recent days. He remains conscious, but was moved in case a mechanical ventilator becomes necessary in his recovery.

Wisconsin Will Vote Today, For Some Reason

The conservative majority on Wisconsin’s Supreme Court ruled against Gov. Tony Evers’ attempt to postpone Tuesday’s statewide elections, forcing millions in the state into potentially dangerous crowds if they want to vote. Here’s what that looks like:

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According to the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, Tuesday’s ballot includes the presidential primary, state supreme court positions, and numerous local offices including Milwaukee’s mayor race.

Stay safe, everyone.





Tony is a contributor for FanGraphs. He began writing for Red Reporter in 2016, and has also covered prep sports for the Times West Virginian and college sports for Ohio University's The Post. He can be found on Twitter at @_TonyWolfe_.

58 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
stefansanderson
6 years ago

Please be true! Please be true! Please be true! Please be true!

rthompsonMember since 2016
6 years ago

Good God I hope not.

MikeSMember since 2020
6 years ago
Reply to  rthompson

I think I agree with both of you.

Shalesh
6 years ago

UW-IHME projects the peak of cases, death, and resource allocation to be on 4/15 & 4/16 mainly because NY, the epicenter of Covid-19 in the US, peaks then. In AZ, the projection of daily deaths peaks around 4/24 (17 per day) and then comes down. AZ Daily’s Zach Buchanan may be pointing to cumulative hospitalizations peaking on 5/12 even though daily hospitalizations peak around 4/23.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/arizona

Assuming players are willing to separate from their families for 4 months (since air travel will remain difficult if not shut down), they might be able to pull this off. Bill Gates has called for 10 weeks of shutdown, which would mean some, perhaps a lot, of the economy could re-open around Memorial Day. Obviously, we’d have to revisit if new breakouts occur then and we haven’t found a reliable therapeutic.

South Korea is starting their season soon, but they also have daily temperature checking and then testing if any personnel’s temperature reads high. If anyone tests positive, they shut down that team for 14 days. If that’s how MLB proceeds, the season may not last long once there are two episodes of teams being shut down for 14 days.

A lot of details yet to be worked out.

CubsFan23
6 years ago
Reply to  Shalesh

He was pointing to a press conference from March 25 for that hospitalizations peaking in May bit. Given that we’re continually learning more, and getting more data, relying on something from two weeks ago is not ideal.

phaddixMember since 2016
6 years ago

To me the most aggressive, most logical decision would be to cancel the season entirely. Pull the plug now recognizing it is in the best interest of the game, and society as a whole. The calculus of this decision is going to look a lot different when a player without symptoms (and a false negative COVID tests) infects another player, coach or umpire leading to serious illness.

jtricheyMember since 2021
6 years ago
Reply to  phaddix

Flattening the curve never meant for people to just stay in isolation for months on end. I understand life is more important than business, but the world literally cannot function this way for month after month. Once infection rates start to decrease significantly, things have to start opening up. There will still be infections, but there will be enough already immune that it won’t spread like wildfire like it did in these first months. One infection somewhere should not mean that everything that person has been around is back under shutdown again.

The whole point of the flattening of the curve was not to eliminate all infections but to spread them out over enough time to allow hospitals to function. Health officials know there will be more infections but the world does not have to remain shut down until the virus is 100% gone.

WebsMember since 2020
6 years ago
Reply to  jtrichey

It’s true that as people become immune (through vaccine or surviving infection), infection rates will decrease. But we’re still in just the opening phase. The reduction of infection rates we see are not because of herd immunity but because we are isolating.

In the US now, there are only 1,200 known cases per million population. Multiply that by 10 or 100 or whatever error rate you want to apply. It’s still too low for herd immunity to build up.

If we open up now or May or June or July or possibly even longer, the rate will zoom.

Shalesh
6 years ago
Reply to  Webs

Herd immunity isn’t the answer (duh, only a small %age of the country has been infected) after we re-open the economy around Memorial Day. It’s testing and contact tracing, and by May 1st let alone Memorial Day, we should have ubiquitous testing.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
6 years ago
Reply to  Shalesh

There are like four states that are on that trajectory. You might ask “why is this being done at the state level and not the federal level” and the answer is “much of the federal government is appears to be alternating between doing nothing and stealing medical supplies from the states.”

sbf21
6 years ago
Reply to  Shalesh

See, Shalesh? Net thumbs down to your comment proving how ignorant most people are. S. Korea has shut down the spread of the virus by doing exactly the things you mentioned but people will stubbornly believe what they want, even at the cost of their lives and the lives of their loved ones.

Let’s all model Boris Johnson and go around shaking hands.

Shalesh
6 years ago
Reply to  sbf21

I’m assuming they don’t believe that we’ll have a pervasive testing regime around the country. Abbott is revving up its test production and I think that includes a 1-hour test and an at-home immediate result test. Other firms are as well. We already lead the world in the # of tests administered. I don’t think May 1st is out of the question, but we’ll have enough tests by Memorial Day.

Edit: Herd immunity could also be achieved if antibodies from people who recovered could be synthesized and administered to the rest of the population.

emh1969
6 years ago
Reply to  Shalesh

Testing, though, has to be a daily thing. At a minimum. On top of that, there’s the question of the accuracy of the tests. There was a recent article in the WSJ that the accuracy of the tests being used in the US was only 60-70%, with lots of false negatives being produced.

https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2020/04/wsj-us-coronavirus-test-is-only-60-70-accurate/

(and yes the US leads in the number of tests administered, but not once you take population into account)

Shalesh
6 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

If our physical distancing has been good (and it seems to be since projected cases and deaths are coming down), then we should have nearly a clean slate around Memorial Day since those Infected will either be Recovered or Expired (sorry to be so blunt) and have mostly been separated from the Susceptible. (This should include healthcare workers since I’m assuming it takes about 21 days for an Infected person to no longer be contagious.)

Thus, we’ll resemble South Korea and Singapore at that point. They do temperature checking on entering premises, but they only test people who have high temperatures. (I doubt their tests are perfect either.) That’s what we need to normalize to the extent they have. They still wear masks and don’t gather in groups, but have otherwise mostly gone back to normal. They also have very effective contact tracing procedures. Not sure ours will be as effective since Americans would view those as an invasion of privacy, but maybe we will given the stakes. I read today that 21% of our Seniors live in multi-generational households, so our contact tracing needs to be very good!

Please correct me if I’m wrong about Singapore and South Korea, but video I’ve seen from street life there looks busy.

martyvan90Member since 2026
6 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

I assume you mean testing for active disease. The false negatives of the RT-PCR (original test and highly sensitive) tests are usually because of inadequate sampling- the President described it as “unpleasant” and a Tik Tok video as “being stabbed in the brain”. The rapid tests uses a finger stick and they are designed for population surveillance- exactly what baseball would need.

sbf21
6 years ago
Reply to  jtrichey

@jtrichey – You’ve obviously not seen the charts of infection rates in different cities throughout the country during the 1918 flu pandemic. Those that reopened for business quickly had devastating second waves.

jtricheyMember since 2021
6 years ago
Reply to  sbf21

Well, I am not proposing we are at the correct level of herd immunity right now, just that the doom and gloom of 6 more months is unlikely as well.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
6 years ago
Reply to  jtrichey

You are technically correct, but that also doesn’t really apply to the situation we are in, at least right now, and probably not anytime soon.

This is because we’re nowhere close to having enough immune people. For something like coronavirus, about 2/3rds of people need immunity from it to get herd immunity. We know 1 million people either have coronavirus or have recovered from it. Let’s say, hypothetically, that we only have accurately counted 10% of coronavirus cases. That would mean that if every single person who has coronavirus now recovers (or dies and literally no one moves in to take the physical space they left behind), and we’re off by a factor of ten, that mean we will have 10 million people with immunity, which is about 3% of the population. We’d have to be really, really off in terms of testing or our efforts to flatten the curve have to fail spectacularly to get to anything protecting the population at all by Memorial Day.

The fact is, until there is a viable testing and tracing strategy and/or an antiviral that works and can be mass-produced on the scale of a 300M+ country there is no way to control the virus except keeping people in lockdown. In addition to keeping the number of people needing hospitalization lower than the number of ICU beds, the stay at home orders are to buy in time for that kind of program to get started (and keep the infections at a level where it’s actually possible to scale up).

martyvan90Member since 2026
6 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

If we wait for herd immunity baseball as we know it may be over and would be predicated on a viable vaccine (which for a Coronavirus would a novel development), which quite frankly may never come. IMO herd immunity really isn’t a viable maker for beginning to lift the ban.
Much like the rest of society baseball will come back with risk management strategies. The rapid tests now available would be good screening tools, but only part of a strategy.

Uncle SpikeMember since 2020
6 years ago
Reply to  phaddix

It’s certainly possible canceling the entire season ends up being a reality but I don’t see the logic in making that decision now. Why not wait until we have more data before making such a decision. Making that decision now doesn’t have any benefit that making that decision in a month or two so what’s the point?

Uncle SpikeMember since 2020
6 years ago

I don’t think it’s been stated one way or the other but I would imagine they’re not necessarily saying that the entire season will be played in Arizona. We have to wait to see how the spread of the virus plays out but I would think playing in Arizona would only be a temporary solution and eventually teams would return to their home stadiums. Perhaps they play in AZ through the original All-Star break or something like that. If the virus is still more active in certain cities, perhaps those teams will need to play at a neutral site but if virus is under control and medical experts have signed off on it, I would assume the players and owners would make a strong push to return to their home stadiums.

Greg GoldenMember since 2016
6 years ago

I’m trying to figure out when in a 24-hour day you’d be able to safely play two outdoor baseball games in central Arizona in the summer, but that’s just one of many hurdles here.

MikeSMember since 2020
6 years ago
Reply to  Greg Golden

Player goes for mandatory temperature check…

“Sorry, it says you’ve got a fever of 105.”

“You haven’t given me the thermometer yet.”

The Stranger
6 years ago
Reply to  Greg Golden

First one starts at 10pm, second starts at 2am. No worse than the shift work a lot of people do.

The Stranger
6 years ago
Reply to  The Stranger

Of course, I wrote that and then considered that nobody would be awake to watch the games. But just in terms of a good time of day to be active, that’s probably the answer.

countsethMember since 2026
6 years ago
Reply to  The Stranger

Or 9am, before it gets hot, and 10pm, after it’s cooled off.

Also, most stadia will only have one game per day. So two games in the same stadium on the same day should be rare.

JimMember since 2016
6 years ago

Having been in Arizona 8 of the last 9 years for a week of spring training, and having visited all of the stadia, I think there are only 11 fields (Chase makes 12) that I know of which are good enough for MLB. Yet, on many days, MLB would need 15 (unless they play some doubleheaders with four different teams).

jtricheyMember since 2021
6 years ago
Reply to  Jim

I think they would obviously use some places at least for 2 games per day. Chase Field with the roof can host 3 in a day.

emh1969
6 years ago
Reply to  jtrichey

Supposedly MLB is looking at 50-man rosters since teams will need subs for guys who get hurt or underperform. Or a team may want to bring up their hot-shot rookie. Those players need regular game action as well. Maybe you don’t need a huge stadium but they need to play somewhere.

JamesNevans
6 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

I don’t see 50, they usually deal with 40 man rosters, but maybe 33 of them play in the course of the season. 29 man roster, 6 man taxi squad (3rd catcher, SP, OF, 2 IF, other). Have them workout with team of create mixed teams like the Fall League which would be 6 teams of 30 to allow for call ups, don’t even have to play every day, but even if they did that would be three games added to the mix, if there is attrition throughout the year contract them into 4 teams.

HappyFunBallMember since 2019
6 years ago
Reply to  Jim

Does that include the stadia at U of A and ASU? I’d expect them to be at least under consideration

CubsFan23
6 years ago
Reply to  HappyFunBall

I believe 12 would include ASU (a former spring training facility), the ten current spring training facilities, and Chase Field. Tucson, while not super far, is considerably more distant than the other fields. Players despised the bus ride down there when it was an active spring training home and many veterans would request the day off so they wouldn’t have to go.

Edited to add: I was counting the stadium ASU currently plays in. I have no idea what the condition of the field on ASU campus is.

willl
6 years ago
Reply to  CubsFan23

They despised it because it was for non-competitive games. If it were the regular season, they’d change their minds. It’s only an hour and a half drive, with less likelihood of encountering traffic. Major leaguers make trips much worse than that every third day.

CubsFan23
6 years ago
Reply to  willl

I’m sure they’d go if there were regular season games, but I think they’ll lobby to avoid having games there.
An hour and a half is rather optimistic; Chase Field to Hi Corbett is about 1h50m (for example). Plus, you’re likely talking about there and back in a day. They definitely don’t do worse than nearly four hours on a charter bus every third day in a regular season.

MoeliciousMember since 2018
6 years ago
Reply to  Jim

I read they were looking at college fields as well

The Stranger
6 years ago

I’ve been thinking about the idea of a quarantined season since I threw it out there in the comments on an article a couple weeks ago. My sense is that it’s only even remotely feasible if MLB commits to such a total quarantine that there’s virtually no chance of the virus infecting the players or anybody who comes in contact with them or even works in the same space. Any infection in a clubhouse, whether it’s a player, coach, equipment manager, or janitor, is going to bring the season to a screeching halt while one or more teams isolate themselves.

What would that look like? First, baseball needs to be completely cut off from the rest of the world. Let’s be realistic about the effectiveness of social distancing. A six-foot buffer, hand washing, masks – these things reduce the risk of infection, but they don’t eliminate it. For the nation as a whole, that’s very important for reducing the infection rate and getting this under control. But for MLB to have a season, they need to do more than that. Having even one case in a clubhouse screws up the whole plan, so you need to get transmission all the way down to zero.

Players would need to play, train, eat, and sleep separate from anybody who can possibly infect them. So does everybody who might come in contact with a player, everybody who might come in contact with them, etc. Anything less than a total quarantine is too likely to fail eventually. You have to be much more paranoid than you would be in a general public health situation, because even one infection would be disastrous. One grounds crew member picks up an asymptomatic case at the grocery store, passes a player on the warning track, exhales at just the wrong time, and a week later you have an unknown number of cases.

What that means is that you’re not just quarantining baseball people. You’re quarantining grounds crew, housekeeping, food service, security, etc. And unless you can find enough people willing to separate from their families, you could end up quarantining family too. By the time it’s all said and done, there are probably 5,000+ people living in this bubble so that baseball can be played.

Which, with billions of dollars at stake, might be preferable to canceling the season entirely. But it would be an absolutely Herculean effort to create and maintain an infection-free community for the entire season.

It would also be a significant sacrifice for everybody involved. You might have to pay a high premium to support staff to get them in place. The MLBPA might want additional concessions around salaries or service time for players to be required to participate. In the end, it might cost more than just canceling the season would.

On the other hand, with the baseball world so thoroughly isolated from the real world the people inside the quarantine could probably interact freely with each other, if not with anybody else. After a few more weeks of this, that might not seem like a sacrifice at all.

jtricheyMember since 2021
6 years ago
Reply to  The Stranger

That obviously wouldn’t work, so if that is deemed necessary to play you might as well forget it.

Again, I think people have to wrap their brains around the fact that zero infections is not possible or the actual goal for anything. This is a virus in which possibly up to 50% of infected people don’t show any symptoms at all.

The Stranger
6 years ago
Reply to  jtrichey

Anything other than zero infections is an unworkable mess as long as the only possible response to one infection is isolating a team.

To be clear, I’m not proposing this as a practical solution. It was more of a thought experiment on how baseball could possibly be played.

I don’t believe baseball can (or should) be played until you can either accomplish a zero infection rate or not shut down from one infection. The latter is a public health question and out of MLB’s hands, but current indications are that it’s not changing soon. So if there’s no workable solution to the former…

phaddixMember since 2016
6 years ago
Reply to  The Stranger

I recognize this is an unpopular opinion and this along with my first comment about cancelling the season now will be downvoted to eternity but this is exactly the problem. Opening baseball, even along the lines outlined is problematic and makes what I feel are faulty assumptions:

1. 100% of players, coaches, umpires, stadium personnel can be tested whether or not they show symptoms. (Given the current state of testing in the country this seems both irresponsible and unlikely.)

2. 100% of tests are accurate, even for asymptomatic carriers. (this also seems unlikely – false negatives are documented and not uncommon.

3. That a medically recognized course of treatment proven to reduce the death rates to something along the line of the flu. This seems optimistic to the point of folly.

4. That the medical infrastructure in Phoenix has the capacity to accomodate any potential clusters / outbreaks that result from the added risk of holding games. This means enough beds, ventilators and ventilator related medicines to accomodate a reasonable projection of infections.

It is hard for me to see any scenario in which this is a good idea and where the benefit (profit) outpaces the risk. Will owners, the MLBPA and individual players knowingly put themselves at risk of serious illness and potential lawsuits.

While I can see an argument for the resumption of more individual sports (tennis, golf, ice skating, a fantasy archery league???) A team sport where players are at close contact regardless of any precautions seems less reasonable.

martyvan90Member since 2026
6 years ago
Reply to  The Stranger

“zero infections” You do realize you may be advocating the end of baseball? There are a substantial number of bio-medical experts who believe we’ll struggle to ever develop a coronavirus vaccine and believe its more likely we utilize or develop therapies to manage it.
Remember when AIDS was Magic Johnson’s death sentence- thirty years ago. That was a time of medical uncertainty, remember (or read about) players who didn’t want to play with him.
Today, much like then, debate is influenced by things other than the data, and science. We’re also limited by mediocre media talent and reporting- but the internet eliminates that excuse.
I have no idea when baseball will and/or should come back. I only hope it does. I don’t think it will be with butts in the seats for a while. But it better be with legislative cover from Congress- because the societal vultures will be lining up to sue whatever goes wrong or provides an opportunity.

emh1969
6 years ago
Reply to  The Stranger

To add to what The Stranger wrote, MLB would be asking a lot of low-wage workers to put their health and lives on the line so that millionaires and billionaires can make money. The Ringer has an excellent article on this issue:

https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2020/4/7/21212151/mlb-arizona-bubble-coronavirus-plan

The Stranger
6 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

Thanks for the link. A much more eloquent summary of the issues than my comment.

emh1969
6 years ago
Reply to  The Stranger

Your comment was excellent! I voted it up.

CCSAGE
6 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

So millionaires and billionaires can make money? There are other reasons of course…like providing entertainment to those of us that are sheltered in place with nary a live sporting event to watch.

ScottyBMember since 2017
6 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

Low-wage employees who work in public transit, food service, sanitation, etc. are all still working all over the country and risking their health. I’m not sure how this would be any different.

Again, quarantine/social distancing is being done to “flatten the curve” so that our health care system can handle cases without being overwhelmed- It is not to hunker down until no one ever gets infected again. Once we have the capacity to care for those who get sick, we should begin re-opening aspects of our communities, businesses and society in a measured way.

Mike NMN
6 years ago

Axios reported a couple of days ago that there’s been growing industry pressure (not sports specific, but industry in general) to reopen as fast as possible, so as to reduce the strain on the economy. Obviously, they have a vested interest, but where business puts pressure on politicians (with a little something for the collection plate) I expect business will get what it wants. The Arizona idea is an interesting one, but the problem is what many commenters have already noted…how do you keep athletes away from being infected with so many potential close social interactions? And, do we expect them to be able to handle the climate with so many of the game presumably out of doors?
There’s an article in the WSJ today by Frydman and Phelps saying that the best way to attack this is to emphasize beating back the disease first, then reopening the economy, or doing infrastructure projects. Basically, you won’t really return to normalcy until you get a handle on the disease, so focus on the disease. How that fits into Arizona….maybe if the curve breaks right, they can do Spring Training there (in a closed-field way) and the segue into a short “regular” season in the Summer.

The Stranger
6 years ago
Reply to  Mike NMN

The thing that makes restarting baseball and other sports so hard is the outsized consequences of a positive test. I do think that we’ll see some flattening of the curve in the next few weeks and that there will be some easing of restrictions. And as that happens, there will be some new cases. Hopefully at a low rate, but there will be at least some. And those people will self-isolate, people they came in contact with will too, workplaces will be closed, etc. The hope is just that these disruptions are few and far between in the grand scheme of life getting back to normal and there is no new explosion of cases because the testing and response is in place to prevent widespread infection.

But in baseball, even one new case would be hugely disruptive. One player tests positive, and one or more teams get shut down for a minimum of two weeks. You don’t have time to make those games up, so how do you have fair playoff races if teams are playing different numbers of games? What if it happens in the postseason? Can you even plan on a meaningful season under those restrictions? At best, I think 2020 is a strictly exhibition season.

drewsylvaniaMember since 2019
6 years ago

“High-ranking public health officials”

The anti-science parrots, methinks.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
6 years ago

I just don’t see how this is going to work unless literally every player and person with the team or at the stadium is quarantined and nobody ever violates quarantine and nobody who is quarantined already has it. I don’t exactly know how feasible that is, but something tells me it is going to be pretty hard to get buy in from the thousands of people needed to pull that off.

I should also mention that Arizona’s government is one of the most optimistic in the country about how bad this is going to get, which is weird considering how many old people live there. This is the state that designated a huge number of businesses as “essential” which are not actually essential early on so that municipalities couldn’t close them down. They even trumpeted that they were letting all these businesses remain open under the shelter-in-place order before backtracking and shutting them all down 7-10 days later. It is not surprising that Arizona is open to this idea.

willl
6 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I know it sounds like a plot from a Bond movie, but are there 5 or 6 MLB quality fields on one of the less populated Hawaiian islands, like Molokai or Lanai? Or some other island that would be easier to quarantine?
I agree that it would be exceptionally difficult to properly quarantine all those that contribute to the essential operations of a baseball game, from the groundscrew, to the cleaners, to the cooks, to the hospitality staff, to the A/V techs, to the security staff, etc. You need a closed environment for this to work, and an island setting might make that easier.

Islands like Taiwan and Singapore are proving how geography can make the virus easier to manage, as there are significantly fewer points of entry into the population. Then with extensive testing in that closed environment (like Iceland) you can get a handle on managing those infected.

MLB could dump a ton of resources into making some island virus-free over the next month or two with high testing and exceptionally strict controls on people entering the island. But again, it would be a massive undertaking that probably wouldn’t be worth it.

Stevil
6 years ago

If this is the best plan to save the season, my money’s on the season being canceled. A decision can wait and I’ll remain hopeful, but this would be tough to pull off.

Not Mission Impossible, but pretty complex…

bubbamoo
6 years ago

If all the players dont want to take on the risk and isolation of Arizona, maybe they can at least form a few volunteer exhibition teams and have some fun and help restore morale to our huddles masses. I think ratings would support the endeavor financially.

jimgannonjr
6 years ago

How long could they do this? The average day time high in June is 104 and they would have to start these games at 5 pm if they want a 7 pm eastern time viewing audience. I don’t think they would want to do this to put the Yankees and Red Sox on the air in the east coast at 9 pm. Chase Field is indoors by those spring training sties are very hot.

willl
6 years ago
Reply to  jimgannonjr

Regular scheduling times (7 PM) is way less relevant when a massive portion of the population is sitting at home from 9-5.

TKDCMember since 2016
6 years ago

I bet if they offered players their service time but not their salary, and they could choose to sit out, no more than a handful of players would.

MikeSMember since 2020
6 years ago

Even if they use robot umps for balls and strikes, the hitter will be less than 6′ from the catcher every plate appearance and any time a guy gets on first he will be less tha 6′ from the first baseman for most of the time.

Or are we going to disallow pickoffs and tag plays? Every play is a force out and it’s pitcher’s hands? I want to see baseball this year, but I want it to be baseball.

JamesNevans
6 years ago

I wonder about the minor leagues. They certainly could be cancelled, but there exists a problem of injuries for Major League teams and the need to replace a key player. I am sure the 26 man roster is getting expanded to 29 for the pitcher workload, but maybe needing and having on hand a taxi squad of another half a dozen players who would be added as a person goes down to a normal disabled list injury would be prudent. Maybe they can at least practice together or be formed into teams like the Fall League to stay sharp and develop.

softyelectricMember since 2019
6 years ago

As someone who is/was infected and with a wife that has had serious complications from her infection, if this plan happens without first there being complete, universal CV-19 testing for the entire public on demand, I will walk away from the MLB and never spend another penny on it ever again.