Daily Notes, Including a Leaderboard from the Future

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of Daily Notes.

1. Leaderboard from the Future: Rest-of-Season Hitters
2. Notable MLB Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Leaderboard from the Future: Rest-of-Season Hitters
Regarding What Is a “Leaderboard from the Future”
A “Leaderboard from the Future” is a very similar thing to the ZiPS rest-of-season hitter projection leaderboard sorted by WAR — except rendered into table form by the author and then named a more intriguing name, like “Leaderboard from the Future.”

The Significance of Such a Leaderboard
The significance of such a leaderboard — a Leaderboard from the Future, Powered by ZiPS™ — is that it approximates true talent.

Regarding Why There Are 12 Players on Said Leaderboard
There are 12 players on the following Leaderboard from the Future, because that’s the fewest number of players one can include on such a thing while not excluding Angels phenom Mike Trout.

Regarding the Question, “Does ZiPS Know Longoria Is Injured?”
Regarding the question, “Does ZiPS know Evan Longoria is injured?” the answer — to the best of my knowledge — is as follows: ZiPS doesn’t necessarily know that Evan Longoria is injured right now, nor does it (i.e. ZiPS) know when Longoria is expected back. What ZiPS does know is how many games Longoria has missed over the last three or five years or whatever. Longoria’s projected playing time for the future is adjusted according to that.

Leaderboard from the Future
Here’s the Leaderboard from the Future for hitters from July 5th till the end of the season.

Miguel Cabrera 288 .313 .399 .549 .397 3.2
Joey Votto 273 .308 .419 .560 .412 3.1
Andrew McCutchen 292 .298 .378 .497 .377 2.9
Evan Longoria 223 .278 .375 .511 .377 2.9
Robinson Cano 308 .302 .352 .519 .368 2.8
Jose Bautista 245 .265 .393 .563 .405 2.7
Ryan Braun 301 .299 .368 .542 .391 2.7
Giancarlo Stanton 276 .272 .363 .554 .386 2.7
Albert Pujols 281 .292 .373 .534 .378 2.7
Brett Lawrie 299 .281 .334 .482 .352 2.6
Matt Kemp 239 .289 .361 .527 .374 2.5
Mike Trout 282 .284 .352 .443 .351 2.5

Notable MLB Games
Houston at Pittsburgh | 19:05 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Pirate third baseman Pedro Alvarez, over the last 30 days: 96 PA, 14.6% BB, 22.9% K, .321/.427/.642 (.365 BABIP), 184 wRC+, 1.6 WAR.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Houston Television.

Colorado at St. Louis | 20:15 ET
Provided NERD is worth even the slightest of damns, the Rockies and Cardinals are two of the league’s most watchable teams — the former owing largely to its league-best Spd score; the latter, for it’s capacity to create runs. Other note about this game: it will be played in front of one of the league’s best center-field cameras.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: St. Louis Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.2.

Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Scott Diamond MIN 7 4 5 4 6 DET Rick Porcello 13:05
Mark Buehrle MIA 4 3 4 7 7 MIL Michael Fiers 14:10
Matt Harrison TEX 6 10 5 6 6 CHA Jose Quintana 14:10
Bud Norris HOU 7 5 5 4 5 PIT Jeff Karstens 19:05
Matt Cain SF 7 4 5 6 4 WAS Ross Detwiler 19:05
Jeremy Hellickson TB 2 4 4 4 4 CLE Josh Tomlin 19:05
Luke Hochevar KC 5 5 5 7 5 TOR Henderson Alvarez 19:07
Matt Garza CHN 8 1 5 8 3 ATL Mike Minor 19:10
Cole Hamels PHI 9 5 7 2 10 NYN R.A. Dickey 19:10
Christian Friedrich COL 7 10 8 10 8 STL Lance Lynn 20:15
Nathan Eovaldi LAN 5 2 6 7 6 AZ Wade Miley 21:40
Jake Arrieta BAL 7 2 5 5 4 LAA Garrett Richards 22:05
Mat Latos CIN 8 4 4 5 3 SD Edinson Volquez 22:05

To learn more about Pitcher and Team NERD scores click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.

We hoped you liked reading Daily Notes, Including a Leaderboard from the Future by Carson Cistulli!

Please support FanGraphs by becoming a member. We publish thousands of articles a year, host multiple podcasts, and have an ever growing database of baseball stats.

FanGraphs does not have a paywall. With your membership, we can continue to offer the content you've come to rely on and add to our unique baseball coverage.

Support FanGraphs

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

newest oldest most voted

the texas-chicago game includes two pitchers with NERDs of 6, and the teams are 10 and 6. yet the game is a 5. without doing the math, I would think that that game should be a 6. also of note: there will be some major runs scored, I bet, and that will be fun to watch.


You know what the trouble is with playing 2400 baseball games a year? The trouble is White Sox 2, Rangers 1. While each one of those three runs turned out to be pretty major, I don’t think that’s what you had in mind.

Honestly, just about every time I predict a high or low scoring game, the opposite happens. The only time I was ever right was for Sale – Grienke a few weeks ago; 1-0 Brewers in 10 innings. The other day I thought Oswalt – Sale would be a pitchers duel and it was. Till Oswalt took the mound.