# Daily Notes, With Various Stolen-Base Leaderboards

A Thing That’s Possible
It’s entirely within the realm of the possible that one — a curious reader, for example — that such a one might ask himself, “Who’s the best base-stealer in the majors?”

A Thing That’s a Fact
It’s entirely a fact that there are at least three criteria by which one might determine the league’s best base-stealer — specifically, by identifying either (a) the league’s leader by stolen-base runs or (b) the league’s leader by stolen-base frequency (i.e. attempts per opportunity) or (c) the league’s leader as measured by stolen-base runs per opportunity (or X number of opportunities, as the case may be).

Another Thing That’s a Fact
Another thing that’s a fact is how the author has compiled three leaderboards (below) corresponding to the three criteria mentioned above. To say that he (i.e. the author) found data from Baseball Reference helpful in so doing would be the very picture of accuracy. To say that all numbers are current through Saturday would be equally precise.

Here are the top-10 players this season by stolen-base runs, in which .2 runs are assigned for every successful stolen base and -.4 runs for every caught stealing (per the current linear-weight values for 2012, which themselves are derived by dividing the wOBA stolen-base and caught-stealing constants by this year’s wOBA Scale figure):

Rank Player Tm SB CS SBR
1 Mike Trout LAA 46 4 7.6
2 Everth Cabrera SDP 34 2 6.0
3 Coco Crisp OAK 35 4 5.4
4 Shane Victorino TOT 37 6 5.0
5 Desmond Jennings TBR 28 2 4.8
6 Emilio Bonifacio MIA 30 3 4.8
7 Tony Campana CHC 29 3 4.6
8 Carlos Gomez MIL 35 6 4.6
9 Ben Revere MIN 37 7 4.6
10 Alcides Escobar KCR 31 5 4.2

Here are the top-10 players this season by stolen-base attempts per opportunity — which is to say, the players who attempt stolen bases most often (minimum 25 stolen-base opportunities):

Rank Player Tm SB CS SBR SBO SBA%
1 Rajai Davis TOR 45 12 4.2 103 55.3%
2 Anthony Gose TOR 15 3 1.8 37 48.6%
3 Tony Campana CHC 29 3 4.6 78 41.0%
4 Dee Gordon LAD 31 10 2.2 105 39.0%
5 Eduardo Nunez NYY 11 2 1.4 35 37.1%
6 Darin Mastroianni MIN 21 3 3.0 70 34.3%
7 Emilio Bonifacio MIA 30 3 4.8 101 32.7%
8 Carlos Gomez MIL 35 6 4.6 126 32.5%
9 Starling Marte PIT 9 4 0.2 40 32.5%
10 Jordan Schafer HOU 27 9 1.8 119 30.3%

Leaderboard: Stolen-Base Runs per Hundred Opportunities
Here are the top-10 players this season by stolen-base runs per every 100 opportunies — or, in effect, the most efficient base-stealers this year (minimum 25 stolen-base opportunities):

Rank Player Tm SB CS SBR SBO SBA% SBR/100
1 Tony Campana CHC 29 3 4.6 78 41.0% 5.9
2 Anthony Gose TOR 15 3 1.8 37 48.6% 4.9
3 Emilio Bonifacio MIA 30 3 4.8 101 32.7% 4.8
4 Darin Mastroianni MIN 21 3 3.0 70 34.3% 4.3
5 Everth Cabrera SDP 34 2 6.0 145 24.8% 4.1
6 Rajai Davis TOR 45 12 4.2 103 55.3% 4.1
7 Eduardo Nunez NYY 11 2 1.4 35 37.1% 4.0
8 Carlos Gomez MIL 35 6 4.6 126 32.5% 3.7
9 Mike Trout LAA 46 4 7.6 233 21.5% 3.3
10 Alexi Casilla MIN 18 1 3.2 103 18.4% 3.1

Today’s Notable Games
Milwaukee at Washington | 13:05 ET
In addition to offering another chapter in Milwaukee’s unlikely pursuit of the NL’s second wild-card spot, this game also features probably the best pitching matchup of Monday: Marco Estrada (126.1 IP, 89 xFIP-, 2.3 WAR) versus Jordan Zimmermann (182.2 IP, 97 xFIP-, 3.3 WAR)

Kansas City at Detroit | 19:05 ET
Despite losing both ends of Sunday’s doubleheader against Minnesota, Detroit remains just a single game behind the Chicago White Sox in the AL Central. With their 31.7% chance of making the postseason (per Cool Standings), the Tigers’ playoff odds remain are almost identical to where they were on opening day. The very talented Justin Verlander (223.1 IP, 81 xFIP-, 6.2 WAR) starts for Detroit.

Toronto at Baltimore | TBD ***MLB.TV Free Game***
This is the second game of Toronto and Baltimore’s Monday doubleheader. What the author would prefer to discuss, however, is the first game of said doubleheader. Starting that game for Baltimore is Steve Johnson (28.1 IP, 81 xFIP-, 0.5 WAR), who’s pitched quite well both in relief and also in a pair of starts. Starting that game for Toronto is Henderson Alvarez (175.2 IP, 109 xFIP-, 0.4 WAR), who appeared to throw his changeup both differently and more effectively in his most recent start.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 4.6.

Note: the following Game Scores include the poorly conceived playoff-odds adjustment discussed in a recent edition of Daily Notes. Also note: the following table is entirely sortable.

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Marco Estrada MIL 8 9 7 7 8 WAS Jord. Zimmermann 13:05
Henderson Alvarez TOR 5 4 4 2 9 BAL Steve Johnson* 16:05
Ricky Romero TOR 2 4 2 2 5 BAL Wei-Yin Chen TBD
Luke Hochevar KC 5 7 7 5 10 DET Justin Verlander 19:05
Kyle McPherson* PIT 7 4 4 2 6 NYN Jenrry Mejia* 19:10
Dan Straily OAK 2 6 3 7 6 TEX Derek Holland 20:05
Lance Lynn STL 8 8 5 4 4 HOU Fernando Abad 20:05
Zach McAllister CLE 6 2 6 4 10 CHA Chris Sale 20:10
Andy Pettitte NYA 9 7 4 4 2 MIN Liam Hendriks 20:10
Trevor Cahill AZ 6 7 4 7 4 COL Tyler Chatwood 20:40

* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.

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Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

Member
William

does sb opportunities account for pinch running?