Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 12/12/24

Dan Szymborski: What time is it? CHAT TIME

Gilbrough@yahoo.com: If the Mariners do get Sasaki does trading Castillo for Triston Casas makes sense.  Do you think they can make a 1 for 1 trade or will they need to add someone like Tyler Locklear to even this out.

Dan Szymborski: If I were the Mariners, I’d be extremely underwhelmed by Casas as the return for Castillo

Jon G: Is a Paredes + prospects package for Tucker really worth it for the Cubs considering their lack of proven 3B options and Tucker being unlikely to agree to an extension?

Dan Szymborski: I think it could be. Though it depends on the prospects.

Dan Szymborski: I would imagine there’d be more moves going along with this one

Joe: What sort of extension would ZiPS offer Crochet?

Dan Szymborski: 7/211!

Dan Szymborski: (I actually ran this yesterday)

Phil: So, this isn’t necessarily a judgment on the trade, but. . . what on earth do the Red Sox do at catcher now that Teel is gone? Are they really content with Connor Wong long term?

Dan Szymborski: I suspect that in the short-term, they get one of the spare part catchers hanging around to go with Wong, and the next long-term catcher isn’t yet in the organization

wheelhouse: max fried: huge overpay, or massive overpay?

Dan Szymborski: I’ll say overpay, but not to the degree that ZiPS thinks

Phil: I really like that you’ve built JAWS into WAR. You and Jay are the respective regents of future and past, so if you work together you govern all of time (except present, which is Clemens’s beat).

Dan Szymborski: So we’re…uh…Nozdormu?

Wyatt: This crop of prospects looks fairly weak up top. Does ZiPs agree?

Dan Szymborski: Generally yes; there are fewer potential phenom guys, at leas tin ZiPS

Ha: Right handed first baseman need to stop standing with their left foot on the bag on throws from the catcher. Mobility on a throw should take precedent to your shoulder positioning.

equist: Annie Dillard or Anne Lemont?

Dan Szymborski: I read Pilgrim at Tinker Creek like 15 years ago but I don’t believe I’ know the name Lemont

NY: Bellinger, Christian Walker, Bregman and Fried > Soto?

Dan Szymborski: Maybe? But I’m not sure they’re cheaper that Soto

Dan Szymborski: iin fact, I’m rpetty sure they’r enot

Chan: From an outsider perspective, thoughts on the Marlins approach last couple years? From a playoff run (maybe flukey) to a poor season to now the offseason of flipping major league assets.

Dan Szymborski: Well, it’s a poor one I think

Jon: Omg Dan I haven’t made your chats for weeks I have so much to tell you

Dan Szymborski: Thanksgiving was last week and I was behind on some work the week before, so you didn’t miss any for a few weeks!

Dan Szymborski: Errr flip those

Jon: Really? Casas is awesome and cheap

Dan Szymborski: I’m not calling a 1B/DH awesome unless they slug .500 or at least have a high OBP

Thank you for the chat!: Does Candelario for Stroman make sense for both teams?

Dan Szymborski: Maybe, in an awkward way?

Smiling Politely: I was reviewing Soto’s projections for inspiration (imagine a 40 year old batting 15% better than the league, lol), but also curious how you compute OPS+ for 2040–how does norming work for the future?

Dan Szymborski: I extend the assumption of league offense

Dan Szymborski: Obviously, I have no basis for identifying future league performance

Luis Gil: Are the yankees seriously floating him and is he enough to get Tucker on his own?

Dan Szymborski: On his own? I’m not sure. I don’t think that’s the big need for the Astros

Thank you for the chat!: What would peak Trout at a similar age as Soto be looking like in contrast of the current deal?

Dan Szymborski: Trout projected a little better at the same age

Fish: Did you see the Pitcher List article about Mike Elias this morning? Do Baltimore fans have a right to be worried that he is choking the moment?

Dan Szymborski: I can’t attest to anything going on there!

Dan Szymborski: Other than the general disappointment the O’s haven’t landed a Burnes replacement

Doug: How concerned should teams be by Luis Castillo’s dip in K/9 last year?

Dan Szymborski: Mildly. There was a dip in velocity and contact stuff

Codeeg.bsky: Max scherzer has been teammates with 9 former cy young winners, which team do you think he could sign with that would add the most to this total?

Dan Szymborski: Giants?

Dan Szymborski: Robbie Ray won a Cy Young, Logan Webb is a candidate, and the Giants have been connected with Burnes, who has one too

small e: The Red Sox keep insisting that they don’t intend to do it, but if they *did* intend to move Devers from 3B to 1B/DH, how would that change his long term projections? Is there a precedent for a change to a player’s offensive production if they change defensive positions?

Dan Szymborski: There’s usually a minor change

Dan Szymborski: but it’s most pronounced moving from C/SS/2B

Dan Szymborski: not so much 3B to 1B

Chase My Broth: Chase Meidroth is probably one of the better White Sox bats given that the bar for “best White Sox bat” is buried in the basement somewhere.   How many at bats are we reasonably looking at Chase Meidroth accruing and will he be a great White Sox or the greatest White Sox?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS actually projected Meidroth as the second-best White Sox player at the moment, behind Robert

Jon: Dan, posting again from a previous chat: When a minor league player is traded mid season, it lists his orgs out of order on their player page. For example, see Logan O’Hoppe. Lists Angels, Phillies, then Angels again.

Dan Szymborski: I can mention it, but I don’t really handle that

Tacoby Bellsbury: Is there anyone that pops out in ZiPS from the Rule V draft?

Dan Szymborski: Haven’t really dug in yet

Dan Szymborski: Gage Workman is an interesting utility type

Dan Szymborski: but again, haven’t gone in

jeb: what sort of extension would ZIPS calc for Tucker?

Dan Szymborski: 7/191

Dan Szymborski: (But no more as I’m probably doing an extension piece this winter)

Jon: Is Fried really that big of an upgrade over Cortes?

Dan Szymborski: Rmeember, it’s not THAT direct

Dan Szymborski: The Yankes have some IP risk and Fried stabilizes it

Henry Dodger: What would it look like if Pete Alonso had a blue ox named Babe?

Dan Szymborski: Depends if the ox adds WAR

Odoacer: How accessible is the zips historical record? For example, could you query for the best projection for a prospect in 2010?

Dan Szymborski: I usually keep as much data as is practical

BeefLoaf108: According to ZIPS, which NEWLY acquired White Sox prospect is more likely to beat my ass in a bar fight? Kyle Teel or Chase Meidroth

Dan Szymborski: I don’t do FiWAR (fight WAR)

Henry Dodger: With King and Cease set to be free agents next year, should SD go for the WS again this year or do what they did with Soto and try to retool on the fly through trades?

Dan Szymborski: I’d go all in.

Phil: I like Casas a lot and am hoping he is not traded. But I agree that there are some serious limitations on his value in absolute terms. He will be a DH for the majority of his career in the end, I would guess.

C: What do you think of the Gimenez trade? Seems like a classic big market / small market team kind of trade

Dan Szymborski: That seems abuot right

Tacoby Bellsbury: In your post this morning, you had the list of career WAR projections from 2015. Every one of them seemed to have ZiPS overshoot the actual final total. Why is that, and do you think that’s a flaw or just inherent to how modeling works that far into the future?

Dan Szymborski: This group didn’t do particularly well injury/decline wise. A similar list for 2005 missed low by an average of 10.3 WAR

Henry Dodger: Does Zips like Profar okay after his late-career breakthrough last season, or is it too fluky?

Dan Szymborski: Likes him as an OK guy, but not a star

Sethual Healing: Are the Braves dropping the ball or biding their time?

Dan Szymborski: I think they’re essentially a conservative organization and dont’ feel a huge need to spend a lot on a pitcher

Jon: O’Hoppe comment: thanks, unsure where else to report it

Dan Szymborski: Wait, did he say somethin ghorrible or something?

Dan Szymborski:

Refugee: “Gage Workman is an interesting utility type” nominative determinism wins again

more casas v cast: Seems like if they did that deal both players would perform worse in the new parks and everyone would walk away angry

Henry Dodger: Zips would like an 8 year/$250M contract for Burnes better than the one Fried got?

Dan Szymborski: Yes

Guest: Everyone is talking about Mariner’s pitchers but what about Harry Ford? They have Cal, wouldn’t it make sense to move Ford to a team that might need an up-and-coming catcher? A team like Boston that just moved Teel?

Dan Szymborski: If someone really wants to bid aggressively on Ford, I think I’d make the trade if I’m the Mariners

Dan Szymborski: He’s still young, but his 2024 was extremely underwhelming

Adam: The projection for the Phillies outfield WAR shows they desperately need improvement there. How do you see them going about this? They can’t possibly plan to run it back again…

Dan Szymborski: I don’t believe the Phillies will do anything major there

Julian: 7 / $211m for a Crochet extension??? Good lord, I would’ve guessed something closer to buying out his last two arb years and then adding on a 7 year extension on top at like $175m total, $25m AAV. I have huge faith in him though so I will be glad if there’s an extension done regardless of cost.

Fantasy Question: Who combines for more HR + SB: Crews or Lawlar?

Dan Szymborski: Crews

LonelyGiantsFan: Adames and maybe Burnes for the Gigantes next – how do you grade/project deals like those when you give up that many draft picks due to QOs? Obviously current proven talent is desired, but giving up 3-4 draft picks hurts for an org trying to rebuild the farm…

Dan Szymborski: I think if you get Adames/Burnes you’re not super unhappy about the QO

Dan Szymborski: It’s the guys like Nick Martinez where you worry

HappyFunBall: Pedantic question, sir. I know that a player’s age __ season is based on his age on opening day. Does that change at all for teams that don’t play on opening day? If there was someone on the LADs who turned 30 on 03/24, would he be in his age 29 season (because the Dodgers open play on 03/18) or his age 30 season (because the rest of MLB starts 03/27)?

Dan Szymborski: Seasonal age is based on July 1st

DeeBo: The SP market is HOT, and it feels like a big reason is that teams are placing a heavy premium on guys who they feel comfortable slotting into game 2 or 3 of a playoff rotation (e.g., Flaherty, Manaea, Severino, and to a lesser extent, Matt Boyd). My question is: Are teams placing too much emphasis on recent playoff experience? Each of these guys has demonstrated durability and consistency issues, and I’m skeptical their 3-4 year outlook is that much better than, say, Nick Pivetta, who’s almost sure to command less money

Dan Szymborski: I’m nto sure teams are actually emphasizing recent playoff experience

tnst3b: The fangraphs walk off thing is pretty cool. I was in the top 1% off users.

Dan Szymborski: I was amused that 1% of FG  users apparently are in the projections aera more than me

Jason: Does your long term zips include body type? So many of these contemporary guys are huge, including Soto. We know there are no 35+ y/o guys who have 3.0 war, already.  Will that be truer or falser in 10 years?

Dan Szymborski: I haven’t found a lot of use for that

Dan Szymborski: Mostly because the data sucks

Robinhood: As a minority owner of the Braves (one share at $23.86), please have faith in our organization’s plan

veteran infielder: keeping Mookie at shortstop is the first major Dodgers misstep since….?

Dan Szymborski: Is it?

Codeeg: how bad are the white sox going to be next year if they also lose Roberts and Moncada?

Dan Szymborski: Amusingly so!

Dan Szymborski: But they’ll probably win more games anyway

Dan Szymborski: They had a lot NOT go their way

Guest: How many games does ZiPS project Roman Anthony and Kristian Campbell to play this year?

Dan Szymborski: That’s probably nto the most interesting part of a computer projection!

Odoacer: Sonny Gray has expressed that he wants to stay in St. Louis….but seeing the heat in the market, could he make sense to be moved? Wouldn’t he fit nicely in Baltimore?

Dan Szymborski: I think he’d be fun in Baltimore, though I think of it more as a fallback option

Tom: Seems to me like the entire NL West should retool until the Dodgers get less good

Burnes: What happens first? I am signed or another SP blockbuster trade.

Dan Szymborski: Signed

Thank you for the chat!: What about Stroman for Hoskins? Better fit for both sides?

Dan Szymborski: It’s a better mediocre challenge trade I Think!

FG: The year in review thing didn’t specify how much time was spent on the team depth charts, right? Or was that labeled as something else?

Phillies: I keep hearing that the Phillies want to shake things up and could trade Bohm, but I’m not hearing what it is that they want to improve. A center fielder?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t expect the Phillies to be suepr active. I think you’ll see mostly the same team

seth: can you add Zips 2026 and ZIPS 2027 to the auction calculator?

Dan Szymborski: I could ask David

War2d2: The rumor is the Astros want Suzuki, Paredes, and Matt Shaw for Tucker. Am I being a typical meathead homer in thinking that would be a bad move on the Cubs’ part? I get that Tucker at his best is an MVP candidate, but that seems like you’re on the losing side when doing the combined WAR math on that, not even taking into account that Tucker is going to be a FA that ownership probably won’t pay for in a year. Leaving Shaw off the deal seems more equitable? Maybe?

Dan Szymborski: I think ti’s a lot for one year of Tucker

Dan Szymborski: especially since Shaw’s a candidate to be the replacement at 3B when you trade for Tucker!

Henry Dodger: Are the 2024 White Sox (most losses) or the 1962 Mets (worst winning percentage) the biggest MLB losers of all time? Or is it a glorious tie?

Dan Szymborski: I think the White Sox

Dan Szymborski: becuase I don’t think they ACTUALLY REALIZED THEY WERE TERRIBLE entering the seaosn

Dan Szymborski: The Mets were an expansion team, so it wasn’t a team they carefully assembled, and I doubt they had any expectations other than them being bad

Dan Szymborski: Though I don’t actually KNOW how they considered themselves back in 1962

Also Dan: Overall thoughts on the White Sox’s return for Crochet?

Dan Szymborski: It’s not crazy – Crochet comes with risk – but I’d be really disappionted to not come away with one of Mayer, Anthony, or Campbell

ZiPy: If ZiPs started to make AI rap music, what would it’s rap name be?

Dan Szymborski: Hey, I use suno and udio for the AI music!

Dan Szymborski: and it IS fun to do

Dan Szymborski: https://twitter.com/i/status/1771942269089620043

Dan Szymborski: (That’s a 1950s version of Baby Got Back)

D: Crochet at 7\191–two questions: 1. Does that include the first 2 years being arb years, and 2. How many innings per year is it projecting. Thanks!

Dan Szymborski: Oops, sorry, i misread, I thought it was IF he was a FA

Dan Szymborski: It’s 180 with arb years

D: Do you think WAR underestimates the value of starting pitchers? It seems that we are fairly often surprised by the size of SP contracts. Perhaps in giving relievers credit for their high leverage innings, WAR is devaluing the SP’s contribution to creating those situations?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t think so – I continually update how it converts into moeny

Yeah Well Hiura Towel: Whaddya mean? My grandma just gave me a cool $765 mil

Jon G: How do you imagine the impact of a sequencing of deals for the Cubs would play out? Like, if they move forward with the Tucker thing, are they positively screwed on a Bellinger deal (i.e. have to eat significantly more than they would in a vacuum)? Or does taking an option away from, say, the Yankees help them out?

Dan Szymborski: I’m just not sure they actually get Tucker whiel they still emplly Bellinger

Cakes+Kakes: “Dan Szymborski12:21I don’t do FiWAR (fight WAR)” But what if ZiPs took into account for players who use Fight Milk?

Dan Szymborski: Well, you need percentage of ability to fight like a crow

G: Pirates are supposedly willing to deal Jared Jones for hitting. Would Jones for Casas make more sense for everyone involved than the rumored Castillo for Casas deal?

Dan Szymborski: I think this is more likely to be plausible

Dan Szymborski: Now, this Mets/Grimace AI song might be the weirdest on eI made.

Dan Szymborski: https://www.udio.com/songs/ezoMjuMPRhnTAJqKgMotSP?utm_source=clipboard…

David Stearns: Are the Mets the favorite for the nl east? What does zip project as a fair Alonso contract?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS is frightened of Alonso

D: Still confused about the Crochet $ projection. He stands to make something like $4 mil in arb this year and maybe $10 mil in arb next year. How does his contract drop from 7/191 to 7/180 in that case?

Dan Szymborski: 211 to 180

Alfs: Do the ZiPS $ projections take into account how the market is valuing player performance? Or is it trying to be more objective (i.e., how much SHOULD a team pay)?

Dan Szymborski: Trying to get what they ARE spending

Dan Szymborski: 191 was Tucker

War2d2: Thanks for the reply! Shaw being the obvious replacement for Paredes anyway was my main concern on a possible Tucker deal. Glad to have the validation that I’m not the only skeptical one.

Jon: Who projects better between Roman Anthony and Kristian Campbell? Also, when do the Red Sox projections come out?

Dan Szymborski: In ZiPS, Campbell

DeeBo: Brewers have some work to do to shore up the infield after the Adames loss. Do you see them filling the gap internally or trading for a longer term solution out of their outfield depth, say, Mitchell or Frelick?

Dan Szymborski: I expect it’ll be internal

Henry Dodger: I think the Marlins are doomed with this ownership yet like what Peter Bendix is doing so far. Are you a fan of his moves?

Dan Szymborski: I’m a fan of what he’s tried to do, but he’s basically like a contestant on Top Chef who drew the “cardboard box” knife rather than the “scallops” one in the elimination challenge

Guest: If Luis Castillo were to be traded, which teams do you think would be the best fits for him?

Dan Szymborski: Orioles!

Jewish Pache: Can ZIPS put a dollar figure on the opt out in Severino’s contract? For the life of me, I can’t understand why they included that with the cap it puts on both his contract’s potential value to the A’s and his trade value. Haven’t really seen it discussed

Dan Szymborski: I can, but I don’t have that automatically built in yet, so there’s more work and I can’t do it quickly

Phil: The experience of the ’61 Angels and Senators probably made it clear to the Mets and Houston that they wouldn’t be competitive even before the draft started. The Angels (70 wins) were probably the best realistic outcome the way the rules were structured. Hard to compare to a team that just slides into terribility.

Kevin: Can you think of any examples of a player exceeding their 99th percentile projection?

Dan Szymborski: Hopefully there are 18-20 a year!

Tony Clark: Why doesn’t the MLBPA comment on player statements that the ball changes? It and players being threatened for sending game used balls to a scientist seem like issues they should push.

Dan Szymborski: Not sure. What it comes down to is I don’t have a lot of knowledge about best PR practices for a union!

DeeBo: New playoff format (i.e., 3-game WC series in addition to 5 game LDS) has made elite starting pitching even more important, right? Feels like this is playing a part in higher than expected SP valuations

Dan Szymborski: A little premature though!

Dr Meredith Wills: could Patrick Sandoval end up getting more money as a free agent?

Dan Szymborski: I think it’s certainly possible that he gets a 1/8 pillow deal with an option

Kevin: Ok, what players who play full-time come to mind as furthest exceeding their 99th percentile projection?

Dan Szymborski: I THINK offhand it was Doyle?

Odoacer: What caused the Roman Empire to fail? And how can we draw parallels to the Yankees?

Dan Szymborski: Offhand, I’d say external migration pressure, overexpansion, army capture

Yeah Well Hiura Towel: Soto projected for 583 homers, yet a SLG under .500…seem odd?

Dan Szymborski: He’s not a massive doubles guy and his career BA has probably peaked already

Jon: I just don’t get a projection of Tucker getting under $200 mil. How is that possible given his age and ability to pump out five wins a year?

Dan Szymborski: For one, it starts at 29 and the expectation is that his 29-35 average WAR will be less than his 23-28 WAR

GuardianKnot: Hey Dan – do you ever do ZiPS for fictional characters? Asking because in the Ultraman movie on Netflix they state that Ken Sato hit .420 with 670ish stolen bases while playing for the Dodgers, and I would love to see the career projections/contract estimate.

Dan Szymborski: They never give a full lin!

Dan Szymborski: I’d love to do a Buck Bokai projection

wheelhouse: can zips game out what a player’s projection would look like *if* they made one specific improvement? curious what, in a hypothetical universe, spencer jones’ batting line would be with a 30.0 K%

Dan Szymborski: Yes

Dan Szymborski: It’s actually something agents especially like to get

Codeeg: Currently thinking of the yankees front office recreating the moneyball scene where they talk about the aggregate after they lost out on Soto.

Odoacer: What is the ideal league structure, in your opinion? I like 32 teams (so 2 expansion teams relatively soon), 2 “leagues” of 16, 4 divisions of 4 teams, division winners plus 4 wildcards for the playoffs. My only hesitation is maybe too many playoff teams.

Dan Szymborski: No byes is a HUGE no no for me

Dan Szymborski: I’d like either a small playoffs of evenly matched teams

Dan Szymborski: or, if a large playoffs, SIGNIFICANT handicaps for lesser seeds

Dan Szymborski: With a 16 team playoffs

Dan Szymborski: I’d want EVERY lower seeded team to have to SWEEP the better team

Jon: Tucker won’t be 29 when he reaches FA

Dan Szymborski: He’s 28 for 2025

Dan Szymborski: and 29 for 2026

Dan Szymborski: 1/17/97

Dan Szymborski: God, I’m getting old enough that I COULD have a 30-year-old kid

Jon: Oops. I’m a year off on his FA

Dan Szymborski: I think you’re thinking FA in 2025 not the first year as 26

Jon: Sorry Dan. You’re always right ❤️

Dan Szymborski: I wish

Dan Szymborski: (or maybe I don’t as that woudl be boring)

My name: are you pestered by agents for data ??

Dan Szymborski: I’m not sure I’d call it PESTERING. I’ve been a data provider for teams/agents for more than 15 years. But the confidentiality wall ESPN needed and I’ve maintained is that I never offer any advisory opinion. I hit a button, send what the button says, and I take every request at an identical price

My name: how does that ’50s version of ‘baby got back’ not have 8 million views?!

Dan Szymborski: I think people are mostly annoyed by my AI nonsense

projections: So. Can you tell me what’s likelier, that a person EVER has a 10 WAR season or that a person with two never has a third (which seems very likely but you get my point)?

Dan Szymborski: The second one

Bob Loblaw: What do you think about having a homerun derby instead of extra innings? It would be like when ancient Greeks would send their best warrior to square up against the other side’s best warrior.

Dan Szymborski: I’d want to see how it works out in the minors first to see how terrible it is

Dan Szymborski: There’s a weirdness about baseball in that people get SUPER MAD that baseball is played the way it is now, but also SUPER MAD if you suggest any rule changes that change the way baseball is played right now

Dan Szymborski: Too many people just think “Hey, how about nobody just use analytics and we’ll magically be 1986” which is just about the most absurd argument ever

DeeBo: It’s pretty bad that the A’s ran a $62m payroll last year and now, with a potential MLBPA grievance looming, seemingly see no issues raising it to over $100m even as they call a AAA stadium home for the time being

Dan Szymborski: It’s like bidding $20 at a school fundraiser for your kid’s shitty crayon drawing of Batman.

DanDaMan: Hey Dan, do you contract with other internet writers about using your projections? I think I’ve seen some folks use ZiPS 3-year to fuel their own “trade calculator” things that they put behind paywalls and wondered whether they license the data from you.

Dan Szymborski: I do not believe there’s much I can do about that

Dan Szymborski: At the end of the day, the projections are facts generated by a projection system publicly, and that’s not copyrightable

Dan Szymborski: and there’s no terms of service issue; anyone can see the projections without a contractual agreement

Dan Szymborski: Fantasy sites may have the three-years

Dan Szymborski: but only parties that pay get those updated in season! OR 10 years!

Dan: Does Soto project similar Rest of Career to Trout when he was 26? I don’t recall when the injuries started pulling down his long term expectations.

Dan Szymborski: Less so

Minors: Thanks for giving this such a go, Dan. What sort of park factors do we expect for the A’s and Rays this year?

Dan Szymborski: I have sutter home as an almost neutral pitchers’ park baed on being a good pitchers’ park in the crazy PCL

Dan Szymborski: err sutter HEALTH

Dan Szymborski: And I have no basis for Steinbrenner Field, so I have that as netural

Henry Dodger: Are the Rockies not as gormless as they used to be?

Dan Szymborski: I said nice things in the readout!

DanDaMan: Is Basallo the best bat in the minors per ZiPS? Is Williamson the best defender?

Dan Szymborski: I believe Campbell rates out as best bat in minors at this moment

Dan Szymborski: and ben Williamson as best defender

Dan Szymborski: though did I say taht already? That’s a great guess!

Guest: Who does ZiPs like better out of Walker Jenkins and Roman Anthony? I’m very intrigued by both so just curious!

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS prefers Anthony

Alfs: Re playoff structure: I too want the better teams to advance more often. But do you think MLB likes the current crapshoot nature?

Dan Szymborski: Yes. A crapshoot championship reduces the value of a win

Highest overperformer: Since you started doing these, do you know who has overperformed their projections from after no more than a cup of coffee (so, not a ROY season or anything) the most?

Dan Szymborski: I dunno off hand

Dan Szymborski: Maybe BrandoN Crawford a few years ago?

Dan Szymborski: But that’s a wild guess

FunFella13: re: the 50s version of Baby Got Back, check out Richard Cheese’s “My Neck, My Back”

Dan Szymborski: I am aware of Cheese!

DanDaMan: I think you mentioned that he was great in the Ms ZiPS breakdown but didn’t know whether that was for ALL positions or just 3B

Dan Szymborski: Actually, he’s behind Connor Burns slightly in D

v2micca: Is it safe to say the Juan Soto was the one highly sought after 26 year old that New Yorkers are glad didn’t slip away from the city this past week?

Dan Szymborski: heh

Dan Szymborski: That’s a good note to end on!

Dan Szymborski: Thanks for coming alL!