Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 3/2/15
12:02 |
: CHAT BEGIN NO GO TALK
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12:02 |
: err CHAT BEING NOW GO TALK
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12:03 |
: First off, our usual business.
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12:04 |
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12:04 |
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12:05 |
: I’m going to try to keep all the off-topic questions for the lightning round
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12:06 |
Would you trade away Betts ($1) & Wong ($1) for Abreau ($17) in a $260 dynasty auction league where the salaries go up $10 every other season starting 2016? |
12:06 |
: I would not.
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12:06 |
What kind of pen work will Strickland and/or Finnegan see this season? |
12:07 |
: I suspect Finnegan’s exact role is very much up in the air. I suspect Strickland starts in the minors
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12:07 |
Hey Dan….Anyway we could get a ZIPS spreadsheet with platoon splits? |
12:07 |
: That’s always the last thing done.
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12:07 |
How’s the 2015 ZIPS touch ups going? Or more NES-emulating of late? |
12:08 |
: It’s coming along. Just haven’t doneo requests yet. Though not today (doing another stream after the chat)
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12:08 |
ZIPs is projecting Phil Hughes to have the second highest WAR for all SP’s on the FG projections page. It projects him having a .76 BB/9. Other than last season (career 2.37 BB/9), why does ZIPs think his control will stay at that elite level? |
12:08 |
: Ignore the WAR for now – there appears to be a FIP issue in which the FG calculated FIP for ZiPS on the player pages is drastically lowre than FG calculated FIP for ZiPS on the team previews.
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12:09 |
: Apples is aware and working on itt.
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12:09 |
: I’m tagging off-topic questions to be answered during the lightning round. Slows the chat down if I get too bogged down on some random question like DC statehood in the middle.
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12:09 |
At 35, how effective will Jayson Werth be? |
12:09 |
: He shoudl still be OK, but the smart money is on good odds of decline every year.
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12:10 |
Will the auction calculator incorporate ZiPS now that it’s been posted? |
12:10 |
: No idea.
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12:10 |
Whats your feeling on the validity of using ZiPS to predict team performance? Have you tested whether it outperforms other team projections? What would you say the rough margin of error is, in games? |
12:11 |
: That’s the reason I do simulations with error bars – ZiPS has the large mean win variance (as you expect from any method, PC or human). But what I care about is hitting the percentile and ZiPS does very good at it, i.e 20% of teams hitting their 80th percentile projection, only 10% of teams being 10th percentile and under, etc.
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12:11 |
i have jered weaver, was offered brandon moss, deep at pitching, should i take the deal? |
12:11 |
: Not terribly crazy about it – you’ll have to be deep at pitching and it’s a good format for weaver
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12:11 |
Thought/projections this year on Rick Porcello in Boston? |
12:12 |
: I like Porcello. I think he’ll do fine in Boston, though not as fine if they had signed Headley instead
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12:12 |
Doesn’t matter how feisty Jackson is, Grover has 100 pounds on him |
12:12 |
: Ever watch one of those early UFCs? In which a thin tiny guy beats the crap out of the lumbering guy much bigger than them?
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12:13 |
Do you believe Pedro Alvarez can/will return to his power hitting self? Better contact and more walks are great but without the power…. |
12:14 |
: He’ll hit for more power, but he’s not exciting as a first baseman.
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12:14 |
Anyone voting for Jackson is insane. He’s fiesty but outclassed by Cleveland’s huge weight advantage. |
12:14 |
: Again, watch some of those early UFC’s with weight class/skill mismatches.
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12:14 |
In a 4×4 league with R,Hr,Obp, and Slg who would you rather have Trout or Stanton? |
12:14 |
: Trout
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12:14 |
Noticed that ZIPS likes Eury Perez a lot as a replacement for the ailing Upton. Do you think he has upside beyond his 2015 projection (1.4 WAR in ~450 PAs) in the next few seasons? |
12:15 |
: Mild upside, nothing significant. LIkely a better option than Upton
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12:15 |
has there ever been an analysis of international prospect signings like people have done with the draft? |
12:15 |
: Off-hand, I’m not sure.
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12:15 |
Will the Alex Guerrero situation going to get ugly if he refuses to go to AAA? |
12:15 |
: I dont’ think it will get that ugly. I think there’s a high chance he gets traded
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12:15 |
Gallo for Gattis in a dynasty league (i dont have a catcher at the moment)… Crazy? |
12:16 |
: Depends on your qualification rules. The second Gattis can no longer play catcher for you, Gallo becomes more valuable
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12:16 |
Who will see Major League work first: Lindor or Buxton? |
12:16 |
: Lindor I think
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12:16 |
im building my spreadsheet in preparation for my nl only 13 team league auction… can’t find a projection on Kang… did you post one? |
12:16 |
: He’s on the spreadseheet.
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12:16 |
How about Betts & Morneau ($1) (instead of Wong) for Abreu? |
12:17 |
: More interesting, but I think Betts will get some positional flexibility. Morneau has some value as long as he’s in Colorado. Still not sure I do it.
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12:17 |
Hey Dan, how concerned are you about Sale’s foot injury? Could this be a season-long issue? |
12:17 |
: I’m not concerned unless the Sox start rushing him back.
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12:18 |
: A broken foot isn’t like a ligament sprain in the arm, of course, but the big deal is if he comes back not comfortable and changes his motion to compensate, bad things can h appen
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12:18 |
: Bad things happen when pitchers change their motions
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12:18 |
Interesting that sZips sees Ryan Zimmerman being pretty much good Ryan Zimmerman while he’s healthy. If he stays healty, he could be a pretty great first baseman. |
12:18 |
: Even with plus D, I don’t think he’ll hit enough to be a pretty great first baseman.
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12:18 |
I looked up Daric Barton’s numbers today (he’s on a spring invite with the Jays, who don’t really have a sure 1B). He’s got a 106 wRC+ away from Oakland, has posted strong OBPs and is on a team with enough power to go around, and the defense is always good. No platoon issue either (actually, reverse splits). Am I nuts for talking myself into this as a viable option? |
12:19 |
: He’s interesting, but mainly because the Jays are rostering Smoak.
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12:20 |
: If you have DH time, I think Barton’s actually the better player
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12:20 |
Does ZiPS know how tall (or heavy) players are? |
12:20 |
: No, because the historical data, for a word, is absolute crap.
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12:20 |
I wonder how glorious Danny Espinosa’s beard was to get that stache |
12:20 |
Think the Sox end up eventually trading one of Betts/Victorino/Craig/Nava/Napoli before the season starts? |
12:21 |
: Before the season starts? No.
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12:21 |
Which current player throws the best cutter? |
12:21 |
: Jansen
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12:21 |
Re: Eno’s article about the pirate’s pitchers road HR/FB rate being high. Is there any reason you could think of, other than park factors, that might explain why PIT’s offesne and pitching both have really high HR/FB rates away from home? It seems too crazy to explain just by road park factors. |
12:22 |
: I haven’t yet read the piece so can’t comment on it. It’s important to note that the data are really noisy.
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12:22 |
: And since PNC plays as a pitchers’ park, there’s an effect in there too
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12:22 |
Your thoughts on Castillo? I’ve heard him compared to Victorino, McCutchen Lite. Think he is as good as Abreu or Puig? |
12:23 |
: As good as Abreu or Puig? No.
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12:23 |
: In fact, I would be shocked if he were as good as Abreu and Puig.
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12:24 |
What does Zips say would be a fair extension for Bryce Harper? |
12:24 |
: Haven’t run it yet
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12:24 |
$14 Werth for $15 Cobb. Who wins? |
12:24 |
: Cobb. Pitchers have downside, but so do aging sluggers.
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12:24 |
Can we assume that Andrew Jackson would have some army buddies surrounding the ring to take potshots at Cleveland similar to to a lumberjack match? |
12:24 |
: The ring does not allow that.
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12:25 |
Will Marcus Semien be playing shortstop for the A’s at the end of the year? |
12:25 |
: Most likely. They’re going to give him every chance to show he can play it
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12:25 |
How close are Zips contract projections to those that players actually receive? Do you change Zips annually to account for flaws? How so? |
12:25 |
: Couldn’t tell you the error off hand, but ZiPS performs very well here (which isn’t shocking since a lot of teams have similar methodologies)
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12:25 |
Who projects better over the 7 years of Scherzer’s contract… Scherzer, ZImmermann, or Strasburg? |
12:25 |
: Havne’t specifically run this
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12:26 |
What can we expect from Ervin Santana? Will he be enough to get the Twins under 90 losses? |
12:26 |
: I think he’ll eat innings as a 3/4 guy.
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12:26 |
How long did it take you to get version one of Zips up and running? |
12:26 |
: About a year. Not that I worked on it 40 hours a week or anything
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12:27 |
Johan Santana 80 MLB IP over/ under? |
12:27 |
: Over. he’s got like 2K innings.
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12:27 |
: Though I guess you almost certainly mean future. Under.
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12:27 |
Chapman’s Fastball is analogous to which historical player’s power? |
12:27 |
: Hoover Dam.
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12:27 |
I can’t decide whether Jackson would be among the most likely or least likely to bet against himself and throw the fight. |
12:27 |
Andrew Jackson’s fists were probably hard as diamond. Weight advantage doesn’t matter much when Jackson has both the reach and the athleticism. |
12:27 |
Long-term buy or sell: Patrick Corbin? |
12:27 |
: Buy, he can’t be that expensive right now.
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12:27 |
Arriving late.. like our host, the “Dave Cameron wannabe” Dan the man Szymborski.. |
12:27 |
: I’m a contemporary of Dave!
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12:28 |
When will ZiPS be exportable with player ID’s on here? Really would love them for fantasy |
12:28 |
: When Dave has ’em ready
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12:28 |
I have a choice between keeping Rizzo at UTIL (Goldy and MCab taking up the other 1B spots) or Sale. This is killing me. I hate having a full-time UTIL. Who do you keep? |
12:28 |
: I’d actually try and trade Cabrera. If you’re cutting either Rizzo or Sale, you have some roster construction issues.
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12:28 |
As an Indians/Browns fan, I know Jackson will win because Cleveland always loses. |
12:29 |
Whi will have the better MLB career Buxton or Sano and who do they compare to? |
12:29 |
: Buxton I think – broader range of skills.
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12:29 |
Kris Bryant will be better than Javier Baez because___________? |
12:30 |
: Better minor league record, he doesn’t yet have MLB struggles on his resume, and his contact issues are nowhere near Baez’s.
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12:30 |
Was Cashman. On board with low balling Moncada |
12:30 |
: Don’t know.
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12:30 |
Do you think Josh Harrison see’s time in OF or 2B this year, or is it all 3B? |
12:30 |
: I think if injuries happen, the Pirates will make use of his flexibility
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12:30 |
On Jackson – “Quick to take offense, Jackson was known for his sudden flashes of rage and propensity for dueling.” |
12:30 |
Trevor Bauer is changing his motion all the time..from inning to inning to pitch to pitch.. How can he be considered a “break out” candidate with all this brainiac stuff going on? |
12:30 |
: Because talent’s there.
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12:30 |
Arismendy Alcantara already qualifies at 2B/OF. If it takes five games to qualify for a position, do you see him adding 3B (early season Bryant stopgap?) or SS this year? |
12:30 |
: I think it very likely he gets a lot of positions
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12:31 |
Which side would you rather have of Pedroia and Betts, or Cano and J. Pederson? |
12:31 |
: That’s a real pick ’em for me.
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12:31 |
Can Teddy ride a moose in the brawls? |
12:31 |
: No moose.
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12:31 |
If Allan Craig and Mike Napoli both hit their ceilings which one is more valuable? |
12:32 |
: Both are at their ceilings. Craig was so bad last year that you can’t just ignore it.
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12:32 |
Nick Swisher y back?. or just another bad season for a club that could be using his $$$ contract for way better things?.. |
12:32 |
: Bearish
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12:32 |
What input to ZiPS do you most strongly suspect contributes mostly or only noise, if you had to pick one? |
12:32 |
: Used to be pinch-hitting ABs. I actually remove them now – pinch-hitting actually reduces predictive value of the line
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12:32 |
$1 Chris Owings worth taking a flyer on? Really dont what to expect from this guy. |
12:32 |
: Yes
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12:33 |
What is the best current game for testing a new build? |
12:33 |
: Wait, what?
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12:33 |
: Rephrase and I’ll get it during the lightning round
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12:33 |
Who are some late round pitchers that you like? |
12:33 |
: I’ll be writing about this in the not too distant future
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12:35 |
C. Martinez has some of the best pitches in baseball… what is holding him back? |
12:35 |
: He’s had trouble with lefties for one, but I think he’ll be fine
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12:35 |
So what do you do for the next month, now that all the preseason projections are done and there are no in-season projections to update? |
12:36 |
: All my other work! I write about a lot more than projections, even if that’s the thing you first associate with me
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12:36 |
When Hanley loses SS eligibility where does that leave his fantasy relevance over the nest few years? |
12:36 |
: As a very ordinary outfielder
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12:37 |
Besides Cleveland, who actually did it, which President do you feel had the best shot at winning non-consecutive terms? I feel like if Nixon had won in 1960, he probably would’ve lost in ’64 and had a good shot at it. |
12:37 |
: Oops, meant to save t hat for lightning round
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12:37 |
: Van Buren I think had some chance if he had done some things differently
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12:38 |
Rumor going around that the Orioles may try Davis in RF and Pearce at 1B. Crazy enough to work given Camden Yards’ tiny RF and Crush’s great arm? |
12:38 |
: It’s not insane. Teams should be creative at trying to get as many quality players into the lineup as possible
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12:38 |
Do you have a source for recent ADPs instead of an all dates ADP? I’d like an ADP representing the latest injury changes that come close to my draft at the end of March. |
12:38 |
: I do not. You’ll have to ask someone who runs a fantasy site, I think
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12:38 |
what is Heywards power ceiling at this point? |
12:38 |
: It’s still there, but I don’t think there’s much chance it’s more than very good range
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12:38 |
Rousey vs Cleveland |
12:38 |
Considering time share, do you think Boston’s Castillo gets 550 AB’s? |
12:38 |
: I’d take the under I think
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12:38 |
Do you know where can I find the master ZiPS projections that include likelihood of events? I love those. I believe it was said that after all the team projections were posted, a master spreadsheet would be available. THANKS! |
12:39 | : It’s been up for a week! |
12:39 |
Last year was a small sample. Do you believe in Brewers Fiers to be a top 60 pitcher? |
12:39 |
: Top 60? Too optimistic
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12:39 |
Which version of Jean Segura are we more likely to see this year: 2013 or 2014? |
12:39 |
: Like most of these types of questions, somewhere int he middle. This shit ain’t binary!
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12:39 |
When Zips projections appear on FG do FG staff adjust Zips raw data playing time/IP projections to their depth projections like they do for Steamer? |
12:40 |
: For the purposes of the FG depth charts, yes
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12:40 |
: Though ZiPS things that *I* do rank the highest in canon
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12:40 |
If you were going to get unjustly suspended because of a Twitter feud Keith Law-Schilling-style, with whom would it be and why? |
12:40 |
: I doubt it would happen. I tend to know where my boundaries are.
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12:41 |
over/under on .280/25 HRs for Machado |
12:41 |
: I’d take the under on the HRs, over on the BA.
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12:41 |
Pollock did good last year in half a season. Do you see him going 15/65/.280/20? |
12:41 |
: That’s too aggressive for me
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12:42 |
Who is going to finish 2nd in the 2015 AL MVP race, losing to Mookir Betts? |
12:42 |
: I’m going to say Cano
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12:42 |
Dynasty draft in deep league with K/BB as an extra category. Am I wrong to lean Nola when Finnegan, Marco Gonzales, Hoffman and Shipley are also all available? Being close to MLB is a plus |
12:43 |
: I’d rather have Finnegan and Gonzales for sure
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12:43 |
What is your favorite position? |
12:43 |
: Assuming this isn’t a sexual question, second base. It’s where I usually played if not pitching
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12:44 |
How did Jays overall projected WAR increase to 39.2 from 37.5 but their projected record dropped from 84-78 to 83-79 when ZiPS was added? |
12:44 |
: I didn’t run it, so I can’t tell you.
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12:44 |
Wow the Phillies got beat a div 2 school |
12:45 |
: Well, they didn’t play a lot of their good players. I use good players loosely
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12:45 |
Why is Soler projected for only as half a season (even though he will start the season in the bigs) while guys like joey gallo are projected for much more? |
12:45 |
: Because ZiPS knows his injury history. Shouldn’t take playing time projections over-seriously
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12:45 |
Explain the decline in popularity of the Starcraft 2 e-sports scene. |
12:45 |
: There are newer things out there.
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12:46 |
: Starcraft has to compete with newer games like LOL and DOTA2 and on the strategy front, hearthstone has become big
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12:47 |
: Note that I am saving off-topic questions for the Lightning Round. Or should I say Lightening Round since they lighten up the mood? So if your question is not answered, it’s likely just in the queue (if it’s off topic)
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12:47 |
Which team is most likely to employ a novelty uniform the color of that stupid black/blue/white/gold dress? Is there some single-A team already calling people about this? |
12:47 |
: Oh, a minor league team will totally do it
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12:47 |
Perhaps an obvious question, but I’d like to hear what you have to say… A run earned and a run saved are equal, correct? |
12:48 |
: Roughly. But there are diminishing returns – a marginal run scored for a bad offense is slightly more valuable than a marginal run prevented by an excellent pitching staff. And vice-versa
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12:49 |
Thoughts on N. Feliz’s hold on the closer position in Texas? Think he does well this year? |
12:49 |
: He has the most upside, but there’s a large rang of coutcomes
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12:50 |
Who is the real Caleb Joseph? Replacement level hitter with good defense, or Bartolo Colon-level hitter with good defense? |
12:50 |
: He’s a below-average hitting catcher with solid defense. Above-replacement, but only a stopgap as a starter
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12:51 |
Do you buy Farnsworth’s big time expectations on Kang, based on his swing analysis? |
12:52 |
: No. I think it’s a very slim reed to hang onto.
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12:52 |
Will Pedro Alvarez and Alex Hassan get 1B ratings this year? |
12:52 |
: Haven’t done them yet.
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12:52 |
: I don’t like answering questions about DMB that I haven’t yet considered.
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12:52 |
Brad Miller or Chris Taylor? |
12:53 |
: Miller, but it’s really close
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12:53 |
Does ZiPS account for manager? Like does it nudge up a guy’s steals projection if his team hires Ned Yost? |
12:53 |
: Nope.
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12:53 |
Can you identify an armbar in 14 seconds? Ronda Rousey is insane. |
12:53 |
Jhonny Peralta’s plus 5 WAR an anomaly or can we expect something similar this year? |
12:54 |
: I think 3-4 WAR is a more reasonable expectation
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12:54 |
If that division 2 school that beat the Philllies in ST played in the majors how many games would they win in a season? 25ish? |
12:54 |
: 30-35 I think. MLBers are the far right of the talent curve – as you go left, the number of players explodes
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12:54 |
Is there a chance any of the college kids get a projection, being better than the Phillies and all? |
12:55 |
LoL and (especially) Dota2 are older than SC2. Competitive Dota has been huge for over a decade fwiw |
12:55 |
: But full streaming only took off fairly recently
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12:55 |
: And streaming — which brings in more money — has a significant effect on the esports community
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12:55 |
The Braves won’t really play EY2 in center, will they? |
12:56 |
: They might. They signed Nick Markakis to a long-term contract after all
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12:56 |
safe to say the Mariners won the Saunders for Happ trade? |
12:56 |
: No. Saunders wasn’t injured until afterwards.
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12:56 |
: At the time, there was the *risk* of injury, not the certainty of injury.
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12:57 |
: Eating healthy doesn’t become a bad idea if a crazy wino stabs you while you’re buying kale at the grocery store
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12:57 |
Thanks for the link to spreadsheet! For the TOP-LOW likelihoods: are those quintiles by WAR (including defense), OPS+, or other? |
12:57 |
: OPS+
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12:57 |
Have you ever beaten FTL? I can’t for the life of me beat that stupid game (on normal mode) |
12:57 |
: Honestly I never really gotten into that. It doesn’t really fit my game style
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12:58 |
Tomas or Lamb? |
12:58 |
: Tomas
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12:58 |
Hi Dan! Fantasy question: Both Zips and Steamer have Donaldson and Harper as putting up almost identical lines this year. I’m in a keeper league with escalating values. I can keep one of them (Donaldson would be a lot cheaper). Do you agree with Zips’s projections on this? For some reason I keep thinking Donaldson will crater and Harper will live up to the hype, but I’m not sure I’m willing to bet almost 2x the (pretend) money on it. Thanks! |
12:58 |
: Those are two projections I don’t quibble with
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12:59 |
What stat should I use to evaluate reliever quality |
12:59 |
: FIP is actually better for a reliever than a starter as ERA is far more noisy for a reliever
|
12:59 |
: OK, lightning round incoming!
|
1:00 |
: When I say go, there will be 3 minutes in which I have to answer all off-topic questions
|
1:00 |
: With the exception of ones that cannot be answered due to family-friendly reasons or job considerations. And they have to be off-topic!
|
1:00 |
: NOW
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1:00 |
Do you think Brock Lesnar goes back to the UFC after Wrestlemania? |
1:00 |
: Eventually, nto right after wrestlemania
|
1:00 |
Thoughts on the GTX 970 controversy? |
1:00 |
: While it’s not a big deal at 1080p, nVidia neede dto be more upfront
|
1:01 |
Have you ever played Homeworld? |
1:01 |
: Only the original
|
1:01 |
If you were constructing a new computer build, which game would you prefer to use to test its benchmarks…basically what is the most demanding, well coded, current game? |
1:01 |
: The Batman Arkham games, Metro Last Light, Bioshock Infinite on the lower side
|
1:01 |
favorite weapon? |
1:01 |
: in life? my biting wit
|
1:01 |
Rousey vs. Ron Artest in the Octagon. Who ya got? |
1:01 |
: I think Artest.
|
1:01 |
Fish or Beef? |
1:01 |
: beef
|
1:01 |
Wht do you do with a drunken sailor? |
1:02 |
: throw him in the ocean
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1:02 |
Favorite hip-hop group/rapper? |
1:02 |
: not my thing
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1:02 |
First thing you do if elected POTUS? |
1:02 |
: Mock the electorate for their poor decisions
|
1:02 |
Instead of a points spread, could baseball have an innings spread to aid gambling? I.e. if the line was NYY -1 at BAL, the Baltimore side would win the bet if they were ahead at any point after the 8th inning. |
1:02 |
: Never thought of that twist
|
1:02 |
Evolve, awesome game or bust? |
1:02 |
: Haven’t played
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1:02 |
Did you know Ronda Rousey was a mod on a pokemon forum? |
1:02 |
: did not
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1:03 |
Favorite non-baseball/statistic book? |
1:03 |
: brothers karamazov
|
1:03 |
Ronda Rousey on Pokemon – https://www.youtube.com/wat… |
1:04 |
Favorite cheese? It’s velveeta, isn’t it. |
1:04 |
: reblochon
|
1:04 |
Will MLB15 The Show still be a really good game on PS3? |
1:04 |
: always been before
|
1:04 |
Cara Cara orange vs tangelo? |
1:04 |
: don’t think i’ve had a cara cara orange
|
1:04 |
Android or ios? |
1:04 |
: android
|
1:04 |
As a PC gamer, do you actively dislike consoles? I guess what I mean is, are you a member of the PC Master Race? |
1:04 |
: no, but i’ll buy on pc first
|
1:04 |
favorite metal band? |
1:04 |
: not relaly my thing
|
1:04 |
Who wins Presidential footrace? |
1:05 |
: ford
|
1:05 |
: fi at peaks
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1:05 |
Odds the Rams actually move back to LA? |
1:05 |
: 50/50
|
1:05 |
Best Pokemon game? |
1:05 |
: gold/silver
|
1:05 |
Given popularity of Presidents’ race at Nats park, should they have been the Washington Presidents instead? |
1:05 |
: That would be the Phillies because you need to be 35
|
1:05 |
Do you DayZ? |
1:05 |
: no
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1:06 |
what would you do as commish of mlb? |
1:06 |
: get fired in about a week
|
1:06 |
Favorite brewery? |
1:06 |
favorite brewery? |
1:06 |
: dogfish head – i’ve been in rehoboth a lot
|
1:06 |
thoughts on competitive gaming? |
1:06 |
: enjoy
|
1:06 |
what kinda a music you like? |
1:07 |
: my tastes are fairly indie rock/indie pop. One area I’m kinda hipsterish
|
1:07 |
What is the least trustworthy profession? |
1:07 |
: politician
|
1:08 |
Most underrated & overrated president? |
1:08 |
: Wilson over, McKinley under
|
1:08 |
you’re hungry at midnight, what you eating? |
1:08 |
: cereal
|
1:08 |
: OK, time to end the chat for the week!
|
1:08 |
ESPN.com, chats and projections here, DSzymborski on Twitter.
: Thanks for joining me everybody. You can find me at |
1:09 |
twitch.tv/zimsmash, so check that out! Still getting the hang of the streaming thing
: And I’m starting up my Let’s Play Every NES Game Ever stream in about 5 minutes at |
1:09 |
: We’re somewhere in H now.
|
Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.
I don’t get why the Cubs are giving up on Welington Castillo.He’s been better than Montero the last couple years and is younger and much cheaper.
The Cubs front office pretty clearly believes in pitch framing, an area where Montero is among the best if not the best while Castillo is perhaps the worst. Montero’s leadership and game-calling are also valuable.
Montero is nowhere near being one of the best pitch framers–much less being perhaps the best. Check the Baseball Prospectus leaderboards.