Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 3/2/15

12:02
Dan Szymborski: CHAT BEGIN NO GO TALK

12:02
Dan Szymborski: err CHAT BEING NOW GO TALK

12:03
Dan Szymborski: First off, our usual business.

12:04
:

12:04
:

12:05
Dan Szymborski: I’m going to try to keep all the off-topic questions for the lightning round

12:06
Comment From Joey
Would you trade away Betts ($1) & Wong ($1) for Abreau ($17) in a $260 dynasty auction league where the salaries go up $10 every other season starting 2016?

12:06
Dan Szymborski: I would not.

12:06
Comment From adam
What kind of pen work will Strickland and/or Finnegan see this season?

12:07
Dan Szymborski: I suspect Finnegan’s exact role is very much up in the air. I suspect Strickland starts in the minors

12:07
Comment From Guest
Hey Dan….Anyway we could get a ZIPS spreadsheet with platoon splits?

12:07
Dan Szymborski: That’s always the last thing done.

12:07
Comment From Dan
How’s the 2015 ZIPS touch ups going? Or more NES-emulating of late?

12:08
Dan Szymborski: It’s coming along. Just haven’t doneo requests yet. Though not today (doing another stream after the chat)

12:08
Comment From Chris
ZIPs is projecting Phil Hughes to have the second highest WAR for all SP’s on the FG projections page. It projects him having a .76 BB/9. Other than last season (career 2.37 BB/9), why does ZIPs think his control will stay at that elite level?

12:08
Dan Szymborski: Ignore the WAR for now – there appears to be a FIP issue in which the FG calculated FIP for ZiPS on the player pages is drastically lowre than FG calculated FIP for ZiPS on the team previews.

12:09
Dan Szymborski: Apples is aware and working on itt.

12:09
Dan Szymborski: I’m tagging off-topic questions to be answered during the lightning round. Slows the chat down if I get too bogged down on some random question like DC statehood in the middle.

12:09
Comment From adam
At 35, how effective will Jayson Werth be?

12:09
Dan Szymborski: He shoudl still be OK, but the smart money is on good odds of decline every year.

12:10
Comment From David
Will the auction calculator incorporate ZiPS now that it’s been posted?

12:10
Dan Szymborski: No idea.

12:10
Comment From mtsw
Whats your feeling on the validity of using ZiPS to predict team performance? Have you tested whether it outperforms other team projections? What would you say the rough margin of error is, in games?

12:11
Dan Szymborski: That’s the reason I do simulations with error bars – ZiPS has the large mean win variance (as you expect from any method, PC or human). But what I care about is hitting the percentile and ZiPS does very good at it, i.e 20% of teams hitting their 80th percentile projection, only 10% of teams being 10th percentile and under, etc.

12:11
Comment From meatballsfly
i have jered weaver, was offered brandon moss, deep at pitching, should i take the deal?

12:11
Dan Szymborski: Not terribly crazy about it – you’ll have to be deep at pitching and it’s a good format for weaver

12:11
Comment From Joey
Thought/projections this year on Rick Porcello in Boston?

12:12
Dan Szymborski: I like Porcello. I think he’ll do fine in Boston, though not as fine if they had signed Headley instead

12:12
Comment From adam
Doesn’t matter how feisty Jackson is, Grover has 100 pounds on him

12:12
Dan Szymborski: Ever watch one of those early UFCs? In which a thin tiny guy beats the crap out of the lumbering guy much bigger than them?

12:13
Comment From J in Maine
Do you believe Pedro Alvarez can/will return to his power hitting self? Better contact and more walks are great but without the power….

12:14
Dan Szymborski: He’ll hit for more power, but he’s not exciting as a first baseman.

12:14
Comment From mtsw
Anyone voting for Jackson is insane. He’s fiesty but outclassed by Cleveland’s huge weight advantage.

12:14
Dan Szymborski: Again, watch some of those early UFC’s with weight class/skill mismatches.

12:14
Comment From Marco Polo
In a 4×4 league with R,Hr,Obp, and Slg who would you rather have Trout or Stanton?

12:14
Dan Szymborski: Trout

12:14
Comment From Vslyke
Noticed that ZIPS likes Eury Perez a lot as a replacement for the ailing Upton. Do you think he has upside beyond his 2015 projection (1.4 WAR in ~450 PAs) in the next few seasons?

12:15
Dan Szymborski: Mild upside, nothing significant. LIkely a better option than Upton

12:15
Comment From buhh
has there ever been an analysis of international prospect signings like people have done with the draft?

12:15
Dan Szymborski: Off-hand, I’m not sure.

12:15
Comment From Guest
Will the Alex Guerrero situation going to get ugly if he refuses to go to AAA?

12:15
Dan Szymborski: I dont’ think it will get that ugly. I think there’s a high chance he gets traded

12:15
Comment From Ryan
Gallo for Gattis in a dynasty league (i dont have a catcher at the moment)… Crazy?

12:16
Dan Szymborski: Depends on your qualification rules. The second Gattis can no longer play catcher for you, Gallo becomes more valuable

12:16
Comment From adam
Who will see Major League work first: Lindor or Buxton?

12:16
Dan Szymborski: Lindor I think

12:16
Comment From John
im building my spreadsheet in preparation for my nl only 13 team league auction… can’t find a projection on Kang… did you post one?

12:16
Dan Szymborski: He’s on the spreadseheet.

12:16
Comment From Joey
How about Betts & Morneau ($1) (instead of Wong) for Abreu?

12:17
Dan Szymborski: More interesting, but I think Betts will get some positional flexibility. Morneau has some value as long as he’s in Colorado. Still not sure I do it.

12:17
Comment From L. Scott
Hey Dan, how concerned are you about Sale’s foot injury? Could this be a season-long issue?

12:17
Dan Szymborski: I’m not concerned unless the Sox start rushing him back.

12:18
Dan Szymborski: A broken foot isn’t like a ligament sprain in the arm, of course, but the big deal is if he comes back not comfortable and changes his motion to compensate, bad things can h appen

12:18
Dan Szymborski: Bad things happen when pitchers change their motions

12:18
Comment From EC
Interesting that sZips sees Ryan Zimmerman being pretty much good Ryan Zimmerman while he’s healthy. If he stays healty, he could be a pretty great first baseman.

12:18
Dan Szymborski: Even with plus D, I don’t think he’ll hit enough to be a pretty great first baseman.

12:18
Comment From Bret
I looked up Daric Barton’s numbers today (he’s on a spring invite with the Jays, who don’t really have a sure 1B). He’s got a 106 wRC+ away from Oakland, has posted strong OBPs and is on a team with enough power to go around, and the defense is always good. No platoon issue either (actually, reverse splits). Am I nuts for talking myself into this as a viable option?

12:19
Dan Szymborski: He’s interesting, but mainly because the Jays are rostering Smoak.

12:20
Dan Szymborski: If you have DH time, I think Barton’s actually the better player

12:20
Comment From STiVo
Does ZiPS know how tall (or heavy) players are?

12:20
Dan Szymborski: No, because the historical data, for a word, is absolute crap.

12:20
Comment From Guest
I wonder how glorious Danny Espinosa’s beard was to get that stache

12:20
Comment From Caveman Jones
Think the Sox end up eventually trading one of Betts/Victorino/Craig/Nava/Napoli before the season starts?

12:21
Dan Szymborski: Before the season starts? No.

12:21
Comment From STiVo
Which current player throws the best cutter?

12:21
Dan Szymborski: Jansen

12:21
Comment From Juan
Re: Eno’s article about the pirate’s pitchers road HR/FB rate being high. Is there any reason you could think of, other than park factors, that might explain why PIT’s offesne and pitching both have really high HR/FB rates away from home? It seems too crazy to explain just by road park factors.

12:22
Dan Szymborski: I haven’t yet read the piece so can’t comment on it. It’s important to note that the data are really noisy.

12:22
Dan Szymborski: And since PNC plays as a pitchers’ park, there’s an effect in there too

12:22
Comment From Jobu-Cerranos Locker
Your thoughts on Castillo? I’ve heard him compared to Victorino, McCutchen Lite. Think he is as good as Abreu or Puig?

12:23
Dan Szymborski: As good as Abreu or Puig? No.

12:23
Dan Szymborski: In fact, I would be shocked if he were as good as Abreu and Puig.

12:24
Comment From EC
What does Zips say would be a fair extension for Bryce Harper?

12:24
Dan Szymborski: Haven’t run it yet

12:24
Comment From adam
$14 Werth for $15 Cobb. Who wins?

12:24
Dan Szymborski: Cobb. Pitchers have downside, but so do aging sluggers.

12:24
Comment From Benny
Can we assume that Andrew Jackson would have some army buddies surrounding the ring to take potshots at Cleveland similar to to a lumberjack match?

12:24
Dan Szymborski: The ring does not allow that.

12:25
Comment From Mike
Will Marcus Semien be playing shortstop for the A’s at the end of the year?

12:25
Dan Szymborski: Most likely. They’re going to give him every chance to show he can play it

12:25
Comment From EC
How close are Zips contract projections to those that players actually receive? Do you change Zips annually to account for flaws? How so?

12:25
Dan Szymborski: Couldn’t tell you the error off hand, but ZiPS performs very well here (which isn’t shocking since a lot of teams have similar methodologies)

12:25
Comment From EC
Who projects better over the 7 years of Scherzer’s contract… Scherzer, ZImmermann, or Strasburg?

12:25
Dan Szymborski: Havne’t specifically run this

12:26
Comment From Adam R
What can we expect from Ervin Santana? Will he be enough to get the Twins under 90 losses?

12:26
Dan Szymborski: I think he’ll eat innings as a 3/4 guy.

12:26
Comment From EC
How long did it take you to get version one of Zips up and running?

12:26
Dan Szymborski: About a year. Not that I worked on it 40 hours a week or anything

12:27
Comment From dainoff
Johan Santana 80 MLB IP over/ under?

12:27
Dan Szymborski: Over. he’s got like 2K innings.

12:27
Dan Szymborski: Though I guess you almost certainly mean future. Under.

12:27
Comment From Brian
Chapman’s Fastball is analogous to which historical player’s power?

12:27
Dan Szymborski: Hoover Dam.

12:27
Comment From mtsw
I can’t decide whether Jackson would be among the most likely or least likely to bet against himself and throw the fight.

12:27
Comment From Art Vandelay
Andrew Jackson’s fists were probably hard as diamond. Weight advantage doesn’t matter much when Jackson has both the reach and the athleticism.

12:27
Comment From Andrew
Long-term buy or sell: Patrick Corbin?

12:27
Dan Szymborski: Buy, he can’t be that expensive right now.

12:27
Comment From GSon
Arriving late.. like our host, the “Dave Cameron wannabe” Dan the man Szymborski..

12:27
Dan Szymborski: I’m a contemporary of Dave!

12:28
Comment From Brandon
When will ZiPS be exportable with player ID’s on here? Really would love them for fantasy

12:28
Dan Szymborski: When Dave has ’em ready

12:28
Comment From zurzles
I have a choice between keeping Rizzo at UTIL (Goldy and MCab taking up the other 1B spots) or Sale. This is killing me. I hate having a full-time UTIL. Who do you keep?

12:28
Dan Szymborski: I’d actually try and trade Cabrera. If you’re cutting either Rizzo or Sale, you have some roster construction issues.

12:28
Comment From Larry Bernandez
As an Indians/Browns fan, I know Jackson will win because Cleveland always loses.

12:29
Comment From Adam R
Whi will have the better MLB career Buxton or Sano and who do they compare to?

12:29
Dan Szymborski: Buxton I think – broader range of skills.

12:29
Comment From GSon
Kris Bryant will be better than Javier Baez because___________?

12:30
Dan Szymborski: Better minor league record, he doesn’t yet have MLB struggles on his resume, and his contact issues are nowhere near Baez’s.

12:30
Comment From C,rayhorse
Was Cashman. On board with low balling Moncada

12:30
Dan Szymborski: Don’t know.

12:30
Comment From Chris
Do you think Josh Harrison see’s time in OF or 2B this year, or is it all 3B?

12:30
Dan Szymborski: I think if injuries happen, the Pirates will make use of his flexibility

12:30
Comment From DC
On Jackson – “Quick to take offense, Jackson was known for his sudden flashes of rage and propensity for dueling.”

12:30
Comment From GSon
Trevor Bauer is changing his motion all the time..from inning to inning to pitch to pitch.. How can he be considered a “break out” candidate with all this brainiac stuff going on?

12:30
Dan Szymborski: Because talent’s there.

12:30
Comment From AJ
Arismendy Alcantara already qualifies at 2B/OF. If it takes five games to qualify for a position, do you see him adding 3B (early season Bryant stopgap?) or SS this year?

12:30
Dan Szymborski: I think it very likely he gets a lot of positions

12:31
Comment From HappyFunBall
Which side would you rather have of Pedroia and Betts, or Cano and J. Pederson?

12:31
Dan Szymborski: That’s a real pick ’em for me.

12:31
Comment From Brian
Can Teddy ride a moose in the brawls?

12:31
Dan Szymborski: No moose.

12:31
Comment From Doug
If Allan Craig and Mike Napoli both hit their ceilings which one is more valuable?

12:32
Dan Szymborski: Both are at their ceilings. Craig was so bad last year that you can’t just ignore it.

12:32
Comment From GSon
Nick Swisher y back?. or just another bad season for a club that could be using his $$$ contract for way better things?..

12:32
Dan Szymborski: Bearish

12:32
Comment From mtsw
What input to ZiPS do you most strongly suspect contributes mostly or only noise, if you had to pick one?

12:32
Dan Szymborski: Used to be pinch-hitting ABs. I actually remove them now – pinch-hitting actually reduces predictive value of the line

12:32
Comment From Con
$1 Chris Owings worth taking a flyer on? Really dont what to expect from this guy.

12:32
Dan Szymborski: Yes

12:33
Comment From Brian
What is the best current game for testing a new build?

12:33
Dan Szymborski: Wait, what?

12:33
Dan Szymborski: Rephrase and I’ll get it during the lightning round

12:33
Comment From Brandon
Who are some late round pitchers that you like?

12:33
Dan Szymborski: I’ll be writing about this in the not too distant future

12:35
Comment From Brian
C. Martinez has some of the best pitches in baseball… what is holding him back?

12:35
Dan Szymborski: He’s had trouble with lefties for one, but I think he’ll be fine

12:35
Comment From Andy
So what do you do for the next month, now that all the preseason projections are done and there are no in-season projections to update?

12:36
Dan Szymborski: All my other work! I write about a lot more than projections, even if that’s the thing you first associate with me

12:36
Comment From Ryan
When Hanley loses SS eligibility where does that leave his fantasy relevance over the nest few years?

12:36
Dan Szymborski: As a very ordinary outfielder

12:37
Comment From mtsw
Besides Cleveland, who actually did it, which President do you feel had the best shot at winning non-consecutive terms? I feel like if Nixon had won in 1960, he probably would’ve lost in ’64 and had a good shot at it.

12:37
Dan Szymborski: Oops, meant to save t hat for lightning round

12:37
Dan Szymborski: Van Buren I think had some chance if he had done some things differently

12:38
Comment From mtsw
Rumor going around that the Orioles may try Davis in RF and Pearce at 1B. Crazy enough to work given Camden Yards’ tiny RF and Crush’s great arm?

12:38
Dan Szymborski: It’s not insane. Teams should be creative at trying to get as many quality players into the lineup as possible

12:38
Comment From mymaus
Do you have a source for recent ADPs instead of an all dates ADP? I’d like an ADP representing the latest injury changes that come close to my draft at the end of March.

12:38
Dan Szymborski: I do not. You’ll have to ask someone who runs a fantasy site, I think

12:38
Comment From adam
what is Heywards power ceiling at this point?

12:38
Dan Szymborski: It’s still there, but I don’t think there’s much chance it’s more than very good range

12:38
Comment From zurzles
Rousey vs Cleveland

12:38
Comment From SteveV
Considering time share, do you think Boston’s Castillo gets 550 AB’s?

12:38
Dan Szymborski: I’d take the under I think

12:38
Comment From ZQ
Do you know where can I find the master ZiPS projections that include likelihood of events? I love those. I believe it was said that after all the team projections were posted, a master spreadsheet would be available. THANKS!

12:39
Dan Szymborski: It’s been up for a week! bit.ly/15ZiPS

12:39
Comment From SteveV
Last year was a small sample. Do you believe in Brewers Fiers to be a top 60 pitcher?

12:39
Dan Szymborski: Top 60? Too optimistic

12:39
Comment From Russ
Which version of Jean Segura are we more likely to see this year: 2013 or 2014?

12:39
Dan Szymborski: Like most of these types of questions, somewhere int he middle. This shit ain’t binary!

12:39
Comment From Phil
When Zips projections appear on FG do FG staff adjust Zips raw data playing time/IP projections to their depth projections like they do for Steamer?

12:40
Dan Szymborski: For the purposes of the FG depth charts, yes

12:40
Dan Szymborski: Though ZiPS things that *I* do rank the highest in canon

12:40
Comment From dainoff
If you were going to get unjustly suspended because of a Twitter feud Keith Law-Schilling-style, with whom would it be and why?

12:40
Dan Szymborski: I doubt it would happen. I tend to know where my boundaries are.

12:41
Comment From Joe
over/under on .280/25 HRs for Machado

12:41
Dan Szymborski: I’d take the under on the HRs, over on the BA.

12:41
Comment From SteveV
Pollock did good last year in half a season. Do you see him going 15/65/.280/20?

12:41
Dan Szymborski: That’s too aggressive for me

12:42
Comment From STiVo
Who is going to finish 2nd in the 2015 AL MVP race, losing to Mookir Betts?

12:42
Dan Szymborski: I’m going to say Cano

12:42
Comment From Billy
Dynasty draft in deep league with K/BB as an extra category. Am I wrong to lean Nola when Finnegan, Marco Gonzales, Hoffman and Shipley are also all available? Being close to MLB is a plus

12:43
Dan Szymborski: I’d rather have Finnegan and Gonzales for sure

12:43
Comment From Karma S.
What is your favorite position?

12:43
Dan Szymborski: Assuming this isn’t a sexual question, second base. It’s where I usually played if not pitching

12:44
Comment From Eric
How did Jays overall projected WAR increase to 39.2 from 37.5 but their projected record dropped from 84-78 to 83-79 when ZiPS was added?

12:44
Dan Szymborski: I didn’t run it, so I can’t tell you.

12:44
Comment From Guest
Wow the Phillies got beat a div 2 school

12:45
Dan Szymborski: Well, they didn’t play a lot of their good players. I use good players loosely

12:45
Comment From gaedel
Why is Soler projected for only as half a season (even though he will start the season in the bigs) while guys like joey gallo are projected for much more?

12:45
Dan Szymborski: Because ZiPS knows his injury history. Shouldn’t take playing time projections over-seriously

12:45
Comment From mtsw
Explain the decline in popularity of the Starcraft 2 e-sports scene.

12:45
Dan Szymborski: There are newer things out there.

12:46
Dan Szymborski: Starcraft has to compete with newer games like LOL and DOTA2 and on the strategy front, hearthstone has become big

12:47
Dan Szymborski: Note that I am saving off-topic questions for the Lightning Round. Or should I say Lightening Round since they lighten up the mood? So if your question is not answered, it’s likely just in the queue (if it’s off topic)

12:47
Comment From mtsw
Which team is most likely to employ a novelty uniform the color of that stupid black/blue/white/gold dress? Is there some single-A team already calling people about this?

12:47
Dan Szymborski: Oh, a minor league team will totally do it

12:47
Comment From Aaron
Perhaps an obvious question, but I’d like to hear what you have to say… A run earned and a run saved are equal, correct?

12:48
Dan Szymborski: Roughly. But there are diminishing returns – a marginal run scored for a bad offense is slightly more valuable than a marginal run prevented by an excellent pitching staff. And vice-versa

12:49
Comment From Con
Thoughts on N. Feliz’s hold on the closer position in Texas? Think he does well this year?

12:49
Dan Szymborski: He has the most upside, but there’s a large rang of coutcomes

12:50
Comment From mtsw
Who is the real Caleb Joseph? Replacement level hitter with good defense, or Bartolo Colon-level hitter with good defense?

12:50
Dan Szymborski: He’s a below-average hitting catcher with solid defense. Above-replacement, but only a stopgap as a starter

12:51
Comment From ZQ
Do you buy Farnsworth’s big time expectations on Kang, based on his swing analysis?

12:52
Dan Szymborski: No. I think it’s a very slim reed to hang onto.

12:52
Comment From MJK
Will Pedro Alvarez and Alex Hassan get 1B ratings this year?

12:52
Dan Szymborski: Haven’t done them yet.

12:52
Dan Szymborski: I don’t like answering questions about DMB that I haven’t yet considered.

12:52
Comment From Chris
Brad Miller or Chris Taylor?

12:53
Dan Szymborski: Miller, but it’s really close

12:53
Comment From mtsw
Does ZiPS account for manager? Like does it nudge up a guy’s steals projection if his team hires Ned Yost?

12:53
Dan Szymborski: Nope.

12:53
Comment From Guest
Can you identify an armbar in 14 seconds? Ronda Rousey is insane.

12:53
Comment From CardsFan
Jhonny Peralta’s plus 5 WAR an anomaly or can we expect something similar this year?

12:54
Dan Szymborski: I think 3-4 WAR is a more reasonable expectation

12:54
Comment From mtsw
If that division 2 school that beat the Philllies in ST played in the majors how many games would they win in a season? 25ish?

12:54
Dan Szymborski: 30-35 I think. MLBers are the far right of the talent curve – as you go left, the number of players explodes

12:54
Comment From GSonsSon
Is there a chance any of the college kids get a projection, being better than the Phillies and all?

12:55
Comment From mtsw
LoL and (especially) Dota2 are older than SC2. Competitive Dota has been huge for over a decade fwiw

12:55
Dan Szymborski: But full streaming only took off fairly recently

12:55
Dan Szymborski: And streaming — which brings in more money — has a significant effect on the esports community

12:55
Comment From GSonsSon
The Braves won’t really play EY2 in center, will they?

12:56
Dan Szymborski: They might. They signed Nick Markakis to a long-term contract after all

12:56
Comment From Guest
safe to say the Mariners won the Saunders for Happ trade?

12:56
Dan Szymborski: No. Saunders wasn’t injured until afterwards.

12:56
Dan Szymborski: At the time, there was the *risk* of injury, not the certainty of injury.

12:57
Dan Szymborski: Eating healthy doesn’t become a bad idea if a crazy wino stabs you while you’re buying kale at the grocery store

12:57
Comment From ZQ
Thanks for the link to spreadsheet! For the TOP-LOW likelihoods: are those quintiles by WAR (including defense), OPS+, or other?

12:57
Dan Szymborski: OPS+

12:57
Comment From Forest Gump
Have you ever beaten FTL? I can’t for the life of me beat that stupid game (on normal mode)

12:57
Dan Szymborski: Honestly I never really gotten into that. It doesn’t really fit my game style

12:58
Comment From MickeyD
Tomas or Lamb?

12:58
Dan Szymborski: Tomas

12:58
Comment From War2d2
Hi Dan! Fantasy question: Both Zips and Steamer have Donaldson and Harper as putting up almost identical lines this year. I’m in a keeper league with escalating values. I can keep one of them (Donaldson would be a lot cheaper). Do you agree with Zips’s projections on this? For some reason I keep thinking Donaldson will crater and Harper will live up to the hype, but I’m not sure I’m willing to bet almost 2x the (pretend) money on it. Thanks!

12:58
Dan Szymborski: Those are two projections I don’t quibble with

12:59
Comment From Brandon
What stat should I use to evaluate reliever quality

12:59
Dan Szymborski: FIP is actually better for a reliever than a starter as ERA is far more noisy for a reliever

12:59
Dan Szymborski: OK, lightning round incoming!

1:00
Dan Szymborski: When I say go, there will be 3 minutes in which I have to answer all off-topic questions

1:00
Dan Szymborski: With the exception of ones that cannot be answered due to family-friendly reasons or job considerations. And they have to be off-topic!

1:00
Dan Szymborski: NOW

1:00
Comment From Caveman Jones
Do you think Brock Lesnar goes back to the UFC after Wrestlemania?

1:00
Dan Szymborski: Eventually, nto right after wrestlemania

1:00
Comment From Brian
Thoughts on the GTX 970 controversy?

1:00
Dan Szymborski: While it’s not a big deal at 1080p, nVidia neede dto be more upfront

1:01
Comment From Art Vandelay
Have you ever played Homeworld?

1:01
Dan Szymborski: Only the original

1:01
Comment From Brian
If you were constructing a new computer build, which game would you prefer to use to test its benchmarks…basically what is the most demanding, well coded, current game?

1:01
Dan Szymborski: The Batman Arkham games, Metro Last Light, Bioshock Infinite on the lower side

1:01
Comment From Mike
favorite weapon?

1:01
Dan Szymborski: in life? my biting wit

1:01
Comment From Conor
Rousey vs. Ron Artest in the Octagon. Who ya got?

1:01
Dan Szymborski: I think Artest.

1:01
Comment From Art Vandelay
Fish or Beef?

1:01
Dan Szymborski: beef

1:01
Comment From Karma S.
Wht do you do with a drunken sailor?

1:02
Dan Szymborski: throw him in the ocean

1:02
Comment From Vslyke
Favorite hip-hop group/rapper?

1:02
Dan Szymborski: not my thing

1:02
Comment From CardsFan
First thing you do if elected POTUS?

1:02
Dan Szymborski: Mock the electorate for their poor decisions

1:02
Comment From mtsw
Instead of a points spread, could baseball have an innings spread to aid gambling? I.e. if the line was NYY -1 at BAL, the Baltimore side would win the bet if they were ahead at any point after the 8th inning.

1:02
Dan Szymborski: Never thought of that twist

1:02
Comment From Mike
Evolve, awesome game or bust?

1:02
Dan Szymborski: Haven’t played

1:02
Comment From Art Vandelay
Did you know Ronda Rousey was a mod on a pokemon forum?

1:02
Dan Szymborski: did not

1:03
Comment From Conor
Favorite non-baseball/statistic book?

1:03
Dan Szymborski: brothers karamazov

1:03
Comment From Guest
Ronda Rousey on Pokemon – https://www.youtube.com/wat…

1:04
Comment From War2d2
Favorite cheese? It’s velveeta, isn’t it.

1:04
Dan Szymborski: reblochon

1:04
Comment From CardsFan
Will MLB15 The Show still be a really good game on PS3?

1:04
Dan Szymborski: always been before

1:04
Comment From Mike
Cara Cara orange vs tangelo?

1:04
Dan Szymborski: don’t think i’ve had a cara cara orange

1:04
Comment From Guest
Android or ios?

1:04
Dan Szymborski: android

1:04
Comment From Art Vandelay
As a PC gamer, do you actively dislike consoles? I guess what I mean is, are you a member of the PC Master Race?

1:04
Dan Szymborski: no, but i’ll buy on pc first

1:04
Comment From Guest
favorite metal band?

1:04
Dan Szymborski: not relaly my thing

1:04
Comment From mtsw
Who wins Presidential footrace?

1:05
Dan Szymborski: ford

1:05
Dan Szymborski: fi at peaks

1:05
Comment From Art Vandelay
Odds the Rams actually move back to LA?

1:05
Dan Szymborski: 50/50

1:05
Comment From Charkip
Best Pokemon game?

1:05
Dan Szymborski: gold/silver

1:05
Comment From mtsw
Given popularity of Presidents’ race at Nats park, should they have been the Washington Presidents instead?

1:05
Dan Szymborski: That would be the Phillies because you need to be 35

1:05
Comment From Karma S.
Do you DayZ?

1:05
Dan Szymborski: no

1:06
Comment From Guest
what would you do as commish of mlb?

1:06
Dan Szymborski: get fired in about a week

1:06
Comment From CardsFan
Favorite brewery?

1:06
Comment From Mike
favorite brewery?

1:06
Dan Szymborski: dogfish head – i’ve been in rehoboth a lot

1:06
Comment From Umami
thoughts on competitive gaming?

1:06
Dan Szymborski: enjoy

1:06
Comment From Guest
what kinda a music you like?

1:07
Dan Szymborski: my tastes are fairly indie rock/indie pop. One area I’m kinda hipsterish

1:07
Comment From mtsw
What is the least trustworthy profession?

1:07
Dan Szymborski: politician

1:08
Comment From Charkip
Most underrated & overrated president?

1:08
Dan Szymborski: Wilson over, McKinley under

1:08
Comment From Mike
you’re hungry at midnight, what you eating?

1:08
Dan Szymborski: cereal

1:08
Dan Szymborski: OK, time to end the chat for the week!

1:08
Dan Szymborski: Thanks for joining me everybody. You can find me at ESPN.com, chats and projections here, DSzymborski on Twitter.

1:09
Dan Szymborski: And I’m starting up my Let’s Play Every NES Game Ever stream in about 5 minutes at twitch.tv/zimsmash, so check that out! Still getting the hang of the streaming thing

1:09
Dan Szymborski: We’re somewhere in H now.





Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.

No Responses to “Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 3/2/15”

You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
  1. Brian says:

    I don’t get why the Cubs are giving up on Welington Castillo.He’s been better than Montero the last couple years and is younger and much cheaper.

    • swingofthings says:

      The Cubs front office pretty clearly believes in pitch framing, an area where Montero is among the best if not the best while Castillo is perhaps the worst. Montero’s leadership and game-calling are also valuable.

      • 00010110 says:

        Montero is nowhere near being one of the best pitch framers–much less being perhaps the best. Check the Baseball Prospectus leaderboards.