As Pete Crow-Armstrong authors his breakout season and Chris Saleside-eyes Laz Diaz, the battle for the future of baseball rolls quietly on in the background. On Thursday, MLB delivered to the MLB Players Association its latest set of proposals for the next collective bargaining agreement. This is news for nerds and diehards — you either have to love the minutiae of labor relations or have a vested interest in the structure of the Rule 5 draft to get excited about this stuff.
Jac Caglianone’s season doesn’t stick out. He doesn’t lead the league in any important statistics. He’s not likely to reach any significant thresholds. He hasn’t completely overhauled his profile. No, his season isn’t that much more interesting than that of any other 2-WAR batter. But for Caglianone, boring is good.
That’s unfortunately a testament to just how bad the Royals’ towering slugger was last year. He couldn’t hit, posting a 47 wRC+. He couldn’t play right field, with -7 OAA. He couldn’t stay healthy, missing about a month with a hamstring strain. He accumulated -1.6 WAR over 62 games. It was one of the worst rookie seasons of the century. Read the rest of this entry »
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning, readers. Thanks for coming to another chat. Let’s get right to it.
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veest: How is Dylan Jordan looking these days? I know there was some velo improvement, but is anything else moving forward?
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Eric A Longenhagen: Struggled with walks for the better part of the last two months. 93-96 t97 with extreme uphill angle because of his delivery, slider 80-84 generating elite miss. Still a good pitching prospect even though he’s struggled with strikes, could end up having multiple plus-plus pitches.
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Anthony Hoehner: Okay, I can’t ignore it anymore. Is Ryan Cesarini an actual prospect?
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Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, platoon OF prospect. Great pull-side, high-ball hitter, especially against righties. 50 hit, 55 power against righties, more like 35 hit, 45 power against lefties. Swings over the top of lots of soft stuff down and away from him. How much that gets exposed by big leaguers will dictate whether or not he sticks. He should get an opportunity at some point in his mid-20s, doesn’t have to go on Cleveland’s 40-man until after 2027 season so look out for him in ’28
Just so you know, the trade deadline was August 3. Tarik Skubal is on the Dodgers. Adley Rutschman is on the Red Sox. José Soriano is on the Blue Jays. Did you hear about this? Anyway, that was the last major opportunity for teams to revamp their 26-man rosters for a playoff push, but it was not the final chance to add players who can appear in October games. Enter the August 31 playoff eligibility deadline, which Ken Rosenthal just brought into the news with his report that the Reds put Eugenio Suárez and TJ Friedl on waivers. (Both have since cleared, will remain with the Reds, and can’t be placed on waivers again.)
The waiver trade deadline — the mechanism by which Justin Verlander joined the Astros from the Tigers in 2017 — is long gone, and in its absence over the last several years, the process has been streamlined. The waiver process for all players works the same as it does for a player who is designated for assignment, with two exceptions. The first is that, while on waivers, a non-DFA’d player can continue to play; both he and the public might not even know he’s on waivers. Only reporting like Rosenthal’s is guaranteed to give us knowledge without a claim.
The second wrinkle is that if a waived player goes unclaimed, he simply stays on the active roster, unlike players who are DFA’d. He also stays on the active roster during the waiver process, as Suárez and Friedl did. Everything else is identical: waiver priority order is worst-to-first by record at the time of the waiver placement, and waiver claims are irrevocable. No compensation may change hands besides the $50,000 waiver fee that every claiming team pays on every waiver claim throughout the season, and the entire remainder of the player’s contract is the responsibility of his new team. Players may be waived after August 31, but any player who joins a new organization in September is not eligible for postseason play, making Monday a meaningful deadline. Read the rest of this entry »
Welcome to another edition of Five Things I Liked (Or Didn’t Like) This Week. I took a two month hiatus from writing this column because we had a heavy summer of evaluating baseball, and as it turns out, it’s tough to both analyze baseball and watch it entirely out of a sense of whimsy. But now the tables have turned. There are no more studies to do on prospect valuation. The trade values have been tabulated. The deadline has passed. The playoffs are still a month away. There’s not much to do other than watch baseball and enjoy, whether it’s playoff races, dominant performances, exciting debuts, or just the beauty of a well-played game on a warm summer evening. So kick back, relax, and join me in thanking Zach Lowe of The Ringer for the article format that I’ve been riffing on for the past four years.
1. Rangy Infielders
During the peak of the infield shift, 5-3 double plays had a brief heyday. With three defenders on the right side of the infield against most lefty batters, the third baseman played a de facto shortstop for large portions of most games. When those lefties grounded out to short with runners on, third basemen somewhat frequently fielded the ball, stepped on second, and threw to first to complete the play. But with two infielders now required to be on each side of second base, it wouldn’t make any sense for a third baseman to get the ball and then sprint past the shortstop to tag the base and make the relay throw.
Some of those guys are just the best relievers in baseball and have been for a while. We’ve also got a couple breakout relief aces from this season, including Brent Headrick, Erik Sabrowski, and Samy Natera Jr., who is apparently not the lead singer from Chicago. Don’t feel bad, it’s an easy mistake to make. Read the rest of this entry »
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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about a baseball reference in summer sci-fi flick The End of Oak Street and new reporting on players’ unwillingness to wear cups, then (32:30) discuss career years for Pete Alonso and Gabriel Moreno, Mason Miller’s changeup, Cal Raleigh’s swing change, and whether MLB will follow other leagues’ leads in establishing a tournament or trophy apart from the playoffs, before Stat Blasting (1:17:47) about the worst/least-experienced lineups ever, the most prolifically .500 teams, and the hierarchy of double-play frequency.
Gerry McDonald: Jay Harry just keeps on hitting and his strikeout numbers have been better in AAA. What stops him from being a regular major leaguer?
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Dan Szymborski: I imagine he *will* get time in 2027, should he keep hitting early next year
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opifijikl: Have you ever tracked how ZiPS player comps stick or change through the years? Do you think around 50% would stay the same and 50% would change?
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Dan Szymborski: Oh, they do generally change quite a bit, because no two players are truly the same, and paths vary a lot
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motown oden: Hey Dan! In your milestones article, Gerrit Cole’s projections seemed a bit odd. It has him winning 30 more games, but fanning less than 400 more batters. In his career, recent and otherwise, he’s at about 1.5 K : win. Even in their 40’s, Scherzer and Verlander didn’t completely crater regarding strikeouts. Not that he’s necessarily their peers.
Javier López faced 756 different batters while pitching for five teams from 2003-2016. Frequently employed as a lefty specialist, the sidewinding native of San Juan, Puerto Rico did so to the tune of a 3.48 ERA, 14 saves, and a 30-17 won-lost record across 839 appearances. He also earned four World Series rings. López lifted a trophy with the Boston Red Sox in 2007, and with the San Francisco Giants in 2010, 2012, and 2014.
How well does the now Giants broadcast analyst remember his matchups against the hitters he faced? Interested to find out, I recently sat down him for the latest installment of our Challenging Career Quiz series.
I began by asking which player he faced the most times. His first guess, Chase Utley, was incorrect. His second was likewise wrong — although he did get the surname right. It wasn’t Adrián González, but rather Carlos González.
What are López’s recollections of the longtime Colorado Rockies outfielder?
“What I remember about facing Cargo is that he was an absolute monster,” the pitcher-turned-broadcaster said of the 2010 NL batting champion, whom he held to just four hits and one walk in 26 plate appearances. “He had such a sweet swing. I remember giving up a monster home run to him in Colorado. I hung a breaking ball and he hit it off the facing of the second deck. He was pretty impressive.”