This Post Doesn’t Have a Headline Because the Yankees Dropped It

Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

The Tampa Bay Rays won the most games in the American League this year while running the AL’s second-lowest payroll. That’s a feat of team-building, first and foremost, but it also speaks to how well their players dodged leaks. On offense, they had the lowest strikeout and whiff rates in the majors; their pitchers had the league’s lowest walk rate and just 18 blown saves. You can’t make mistakes if you’re the Rays.

That’s a well-worn cliché, but here’s a novel spin on it: You can’t make mistakes if you’re the Yankees either. Presumptive AL Cy Young winner Cam Schlittler did some terrific work in his first career playoff road start, and no one’s going to remember it, because the other eight guys in gray pajamas played like the ball was covered in dish soap in Game 2.

The Yankees committed three errors in the bottom of the first inning, and another in the fifth. The Rays scored five runs across those two half-innings, and there’s your final score: Rays 5, Yankees 2. Read the rest of this entry »


White Sox Beat Guardians at Their Own Game to Take 2-0 ALDS Lead, Continue Magical Run

David Dermer-Imagn Images

Playoff losses can follow several different scripts, from the wire-to-wire blowouts that breed prolonged helplessness to the back-and-forth affairs that provide just enough hope before snatching it away at the end. But somewhere in the middle, there is the type of game that seems like a team can and should win, only for a few things to break the other way in such a fashion that its fans do not rage, do not cry, but instead climb aboard the doomsday hamster wheel of here we go again.

With their 4-3 loss to the Chicago White Sox in Game 2 of the American League Division Series, the Cleveland Guardians are now 2-7 in their last nine home playoff games. Those perilously loyal Cleveland fans, clad in red and blue jerseys bearing several different names — both on the front and the back — have seen their team repeatedly fall flat, dating back to that famous rain delay in 2016. But in this decade, they’ve also seen their team lose an ALDS Game 4 to the Yankees in 2022 that would have clinched the series, another loss to the Yankees in 2024 when Juan Soto simply decided he was too good of a hitter not to break their hearts, and two crushing Wild Card Series losses at home in 2025 to a division rival. In 2026, with no guarantee that they’ll be coming back for another game this year, the Guardians have added two more defeats at the hands of an AL Central foe, this time coming off a bye.

The White Sox won this game by eschewing the home run ball they relied on all summer and opting for Guards Ball. They had just three of the 10 hardest-hit balls of the game. Their opening pitcher did not get out of the first inning. But twice they scored from second on a single, went 3-for-8 with runners in scoring position (as opposed to Cleveland’s fatal 0-for-5), and rode a scorching hot reliever to probably their biggest victory since the 2005 championship march.

Ironically, this game began with a bit of Guards Ball from the home team that seemed a little too on the nose. Steven Kwan kicked things off with a roller through the right side that left the bat at 84.8 mph. José Ramírez then worked a walk, and Chase DeLauter followed with a productive out. That spelled the end of the night for Anthony Kay, who was replaced by Sean Newcomb. When Newcomb promptly missed the zone with his first two pitches to Jo Adell, the White Sox bench opted to put Adell on intentionally, loading the bases and setting up a double play. Newcomb was able to induce a grounder from Nathaniel Lowe next, but the type that bounces way up in the air rather than skimming along the dirt. It was also, apparently, the type of grounder that triggers a horrendous throwing error, giving Cleveland two easy runs.

The buildup to that calamitous moment wasn’t entirely Newcomb’s fault, as Kay was responsible for the lead runners and recorded one solitary out on just 17 pitches, both fewer than the four outs on 22 pitches he gave Chicago as a reliever in Game 1. What the White Sox do with Kay for the rest of the series may come down entirely to game situations; his Game 2 performance inspired negative confidence, and it seems he’s better suited for plug-and-play outings out of the bullpen, particularly with Davis Martin, Hagen Smith and/or Erick Fedde, and Sean Burke now lined up for the bulk roles should this series go all the way to Game 5.

For the first half of this game, Newcomb’s blunder looked like it would be the defining play. But the true inflection points came in the bottom of the fifth and the top of the sixth. Cleveland, clinging to a 2-1 lead, sent its best hitters to the plate in the home half of the fifth. Not only did that trio — Kwan, Ramírez, and DeLauter — go down in order, they did so without getting a ball out of the infield. Up to that point, the game was following a favorable script for the Guardians. They were gifted an early lead, had their starting pitcher, Gavin Williams, in the rocking chair, and were primed to put pressure on Chicago’s pitching staff. The exact pocket of the lineup that Cleveland manager Stephen Vogt would want at the plate for that situation wilted, and it felt like the White Sox were headed back to their dugout knowing their opponent had squandered their chance to properly put them away.

Within minutes, things began unraveling in Cleveland like the night Mike Love gave his Rock and Roll Hall of Fame speech. Miguel Vargas chased Williams by thwacking his 98th pitch of the night into left field for a sharp leadoff single. The Guardians then turned to lefty Erik Sabrowski, a very qualified fireman who came oh so close to extinguishing the flames. Sabrowski retired Munetaka Murakami and walked Randal Grichuk. No harm, no foul. But perhaps the biggest pitch of the night was one that did not get put in play or result in a strikeout. Rather, it was a wild pitch that pushed Vargas and Grichuk to third and second base, respectively. While Sabrowski did well to dig out of a 2-0 hole and pop Tommy Pham up for the second out, the next batter ambushed him.

Braden Montgomery’s first-pitch double was a wondrous display of hitting. It also would not have given Chicago the lead if not for Sabrowski’s wild pitch. One inning after Cleveland’s biggest (and some would say only) offensive threats failed to do anything, a defense-first rookie with an 89 wRC+ delivered the biggest blow of the night for Chicago. Fellow youngster Chase Meidroth then slapped an opposite-field single off Hunter Gaddis to make it 4-2 White Sox, and the here we go again feeling blew through Progressive Field like a vicious Lake Erie wind. Both Montgomery and Meidroth’s RBI knocks came on fastballs, pitch selections that Cleveland might like to have back. In the regular season, Montgomery had a .379 xwOBA against fastballs, and he was facing a pitcher in Sabrowski who hadn’t allowed a hit all year to righties on his slider. Meidroth — who whiffs on fastballs just 15.7% of the time, compared to 23.5% on breaking stuff and 29.3% on offspeed pitches — probably should have seen exclusively sliders and changeups from Gaddis.

The cruelty of this game for the Guardians is found in Williams’ stat line. Their flamethrowing Big Rig sat 99 mph on his fastball, generated 22 whiffs on 40 swings, and finished with 11 strikeouts. Apart from the three walks that drove his pitch count up — one of which helped the White Sox plate their first run in the fourth inning — Williams did everything that could have been asked of him, handing things over to a more than capable bullpen. It not only wasn’t enough, but it will be lost to history because of what Burke did.

Burke is a starting pitcher by trade, one who made 27 starts for the White Sox this year and led the team in innings. Starting pitchers, notorious creatures of habit that they are, typically don’t like following an opener. They especially don’t like entering a game mid-inning with a runner on base. But that’s exactly what Burke did in his spectacular Game 2 showing. When White Sox skipper Will Venable gave his early-inning interview on the television broadcast, he plainly stated that the plan was to have Kay and Newcomb get through DeLauter a second time. DeLauter singled in his second at-bat, immediately shooting Venable out of the dugout to go get Newcomb, as planned. But if you pumped Venable with truth serum, he’d likely tell you he was feeling a bit queasy about that plan now putting Burke in a dirty inning. Burke’s response to this adversity wasn’t as sexy as escaping a bases-loaded jam or coming on for a multi-inning save, but his subsequent strikeouts of both Adell and Lowe is the type of thing that should get a proper segment if this White Sox run turns documentary worthy. He goes to bed knowing he covered 5 1/3 innings while surrendering just one hit, and also that the Pope must be thrilled with him.

The Guardians, meanwhile, do not have papal fandom or many shreds of optimism on their side, both narratively and statistically. They lost two home games with their two best pitchers on the hill. Two of the three runs they’ve scored this series have come from a pitcher fielding his position and suddenly contracting Joel Zumaya Disease. They now have to win two games at Rate Field in Chicago, which will not only be completely bananas, but is a venue where they lost four of their six games this year. Maybe they can cling to the idea that Adell’s ultimately fruitless eighth-inning triple will unlock his swing, or that Grant Taylor has been so overworked that he can’t possibly continue pitching this well.

But once you start playing that mental game, it’s probably not going to happen for you, the same way it hasn’t happened for Cleveland in the postseason all decade.


Members Only Game Thread: ALDS – Oct 5, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALDS Game 2. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the White Sox at Guardians and Yankees at Rays. Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

We are going to have Members Only Game Threads for the rest of the postseason. The next one will be tomorrow, October 6 at 6:00PM.

Hi all!

Hi Sean

Everyone should respond to our polls. Including you, Keaton!

Guardians are at 0% so I know you haven't voted yet.

I didn't see the poll. Maybe we need a cool sound alert for it.

Hi Sean and Keaton

If you weren't in one of our Game Threads last week, all of you drive the chat. We do have writers that will drop in. Here are a few feature highlights:
– you can view the chat as a thread or chronologically.
– in the top right corner, the gear allows you to delay the messages coming in if your streaming service has a lot of latency
– we have polls that we will cycle through during the games.
– you can reply to messages or react with some emojis (this is new from last time)

I am going to try to hang out here, but I am not sure my nerves can take chatting while watching this.

Which team are you nervous for?

I am a Guardians fan, but to add to my anxiety, I lived in Chicago for over a decade and so I have probably seen more Guardians-Sox games in my life than any other pair of teams.

Gavin needs to find that inside corner to lefties. Got a break on the 0-1 to Teel but can't count on that

Pretty solid inning for Williams. Not sure what happened there with Vargas, but good recovery. Suspect he was a little amped up and it impacted his control.

An underrated storyline in this one is the importance for the Guardians to jump out to a big early lead. It's not important for them, but I have to leave to pick up my daughter in a little over an hour and I would like to feel a little calmer when that happens.

Low leverage while you run errands? Then they can make it close once you get back!

I wonder what kind of odds you could've gotten two years ago that the White Sox would be in a division series in 2026

You could have gotten crazy odds on that in March. Probably still in May to be honest.

Maybe the Rockies and Angels are taking copious notes. "Try sucking waaaay less…hmmmm…."

Kay has stymied the Guards but that has less to do with him, specifically and more to do with the hand he uses. Guards had a 91 wRC+ vs. LHP this year, good for 25th in MLB. Cleveland's offense really improved late in the year, but lefties are an issue.

FWIW, the Sox are 5th in MLB in wRC+ vs. LHP (111), which may have been a factor in G1. Against RHP they are 17th with a 102

I think Cleveland lead the AL in runs/game since the trade deadline or at least very close to it.

7th in MLB in runs scored, 6th in wRC+ since Aug 4

One huge difference between G1 and G2 already, Cleveland is making Kay work. Smith and Taylor in particular just cruised without having to throw many pitches.

Rays are pretty high on that leaderboard: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats…

Hello, dev team!

👋

I don't know who let me out to talk about baseball.

(And the White Sox)

They were third in AL in total runs, but played fewer games than CHI and TB

Going straight to another lefty here to face Adell feels like an odd choice, but I guess Newcomb was next up

(And Chad.)

Hi Davy!

Whoever drew this ALDS manager review just got a whole lot of fodder …

Did they not have a righty up in the pen or something?

There's a smoke detector beeping in my house and that pitching change wasn't long enough to find it The search will continue after the inning, I guess

Just to be clear, you're ignoring a super loud smoke detector right now?

It does feel like we've gotten an inordinate number of lefties replacing lefties this postseason

These chats are awesome, thanks to everyone that put them together!

One that could be informing you of, say, a fire?

angels legend sean newcomb vs angels legend jo adell

Is it safe to assume Grant Taylor is unavailable today?

Feels like Venable is getting too cute here

Disaster 1st inning for ChiSox

Chad and Will Venable both, Davy.

The only fire in my house in the Guardians offense

Ok, but like, I'd still make sure of that were I you.

Though I suppose it depends on how much you like your house.

It's definitely just the "low battery" beep, but I appreciate the concern. I love watching my Guardians but not enough to let me house burn down with me in it, I promise!

Why does it feel like half the runs I've seen Cleveland score in my lifetime have been on infield hits

I don't know how long you've been alive, but since 2015 they actually rank right in the middle of the pack in infield hits.

That's because half our lifetime is Willie Mays Hayes and Jake Taylor bunting.

This is probably the only place where I can say that I somehow remember Corbin Brenden being a .270 hitter as well

I am not 100% sure how to measure this, but it feels like you are right, Benny

IF hits, errors, bases loaded walks…they find ways to get runs without actually hitting the ball well

*The "This is fine" meme, but instead of coffee it's a playoff baseball game*

https://imgur.com/a/UfNty5i

when are we going to be able to upload images to the chat

I assume this depends on how much Sean and Keaton trust you.

so a rational person would say never

Yeah, I want to, at least for the staff. I still have to talk to Meg and David about the moderation/trust.

It'll be interesting to see how Stephen Vogt finds his way into having Austin Hedges batting in a high leverage middle inning situation today

This understand this isn't a traditional chat but can I ask why all of a sudden closers are turning into Goose Gossage and Rollie Fingers again?

I think in the postseason, teams have two sudden shifts in their thinking about pitcher usage: 1) every single out is crucial and if you can get it with your best arms, you do. 2) being well rested for the future isn't important any more, so if you have to burn your best arm to get the win, you do.

because 1/2 the teams in the playoffs don't have more than 2 functional SP

Wait, this question wasn't about mustaches?

I seem to recall another athlete from Wilmington, NC

Little update: smoke detector was found, batteries were replaced, smoke detector was replaced, and zero pitches were missed. I am better in the clutch than any Cleveland hitter.

Next time try it while covered in midges.

You know, I was at the midges/Joba Chamberlain game! With Ottoneu creator Niv Shah!

That's amazing. Were the midges all over the stands too?

It really wasn't bad in the stands. They're attracted to the lights, I guess, so with the field all lit up, they all want to be down there.

Has anyone ever studied the "pitcher isn't effective after a long inning in the dugout" thing? It comes up all the time but doesn't seem to make much sense

Somebody must have. It seems like it'd be easy enough to do using retrosheet data. But I personally haven't seen it.

I haven't either. I get the logic – you get into a groove/routine, then you sit so long that you lose that rhythm. Plus, your arm gets cold and needs to loosen/warm up again. But…I can create a logical explanation for a LOT of things that don't really happen.

I like how everybody who strikes out in this game really hurries out of the batter's box.

Hi everyone!

Matt!

Hi Matt! And everyone else! ✌️⚾️✌️

Becker!

My favorite fact about Gavin Williams is that he went to Cape Fear High School

Matt! Jon! It's a party!

woooo ain’t no party like a Watching-Baseball-When-I’m-Supposed-To-Be-Working party woooo

Jo Adell went to Seven Samurai High School

All of my fantasy teams are named after HS sports teams and I might have to add those two to the list for future teams.

Curious to get y'all's thoughts on the super quick leash on Kay from CWS and how you think it'll impact them for the rest of the series. I get you want your starter to go longer, and leash is short in the post season. Think Kay throws again tomorrow or something if they're super tight on pen innings?

No clue what their plans are, but with an off-day tomorrow and after G4, he should be available for G3 and G5, for sure. Or G4 and G5. Whatever they want to do.

I went to the Guardians' spring training game, played against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field, in 2025. Gavin Williams started it and struck out approximately 57 batters in three innings. Looked like the nastiest pitcher I'd ever seen. Don't know what to make of that, but felt it was worth sharing

Venable was playing games.

I have no idea, re: Anthony Kay. He didn't look sharp, but it was such a quick hook that it had to have been planned.

Boy Kwan looked safe there in real time

I sort of thought it looked like he gave it 98% and 100% would've done it.

Have modern coaching staffs potentially at least partially moved off of platoon based match ups to something based on pitch shapes and swing paths, or something of that nature? Feels like it might help explain at least some of the bullpen choices this postseason

That's definitely a consideration, but lefty-righty is still going to be a bigger factor most of the time.

I also think in this case, he just didn't want to let Kay let this get away early. The IBB to Adell tells you it wasn't about the matchup.

Does Chase Meidroth have a bit of a George Lucas look?

I think it's the beard.

I think it’s the lack of any visible chin.

And the intentional use of the beard to make it look like there is.

Kwan always looks vaguely sad/concerned. Every time I see him I think of the “hitman monkey finds no joy in his job” meme.

So those manager interviews are usually such a waste, but Venable saying the plan was for Kay and Newcomb to get through 12 hitters combined and acknowledging that the Kay hook wasn't really planned is interesting.

bad challenge?

There should be a margin at which the challenge isn't lost. you don't get the call changed but you don't lose the challenge either.

No. No no no no.

so…you don't like that idea, I take it? lol

The call stands is a scourge.

That's fair, and I generally agree, but "this was actually too close for the computer to know if it was a ball or strike" feels like a harsh moment to take away a challenge.

That is a very good point. But I think either you trust the computer or you don't, you know?

even worse challenge

maybe there should be a margin at which a challenge is so bad you lose both challenges

Now THIS I can get behind.

Yeah, I am aligned. Sorry, Sam, that ball was entirely within the zone.

How many pitches will they let Williams go today, assuming he's on?

all of them

Challenging in the playoffs has been fascinating to watch. Lots of questionable challenges here. If it's me, I'm waiting for leverage spots, no matter the time of game. 1 on 1 out in the 3rd inning? Not high enough. Maybe in the regular season? I feel like my approach would change drastically in the playoffs.

I don't know. The two games I wrote up this weekend featured tons of successful challenges. I tend to think teams are too cautious with them.

At this point, I doubt he goes more than 6, but he'll get up over 100 if needed

He reached 100 eight times, season high is 113. I think the answer is "a lot."

The only thing that might keep him from going up over 100 is that the bullpen is fully rested and has an off-day tomorrow.

Question for the group: Do you have a go-to baseball-watching snack?

I tend to go for things with a minimum of mess, so pretzels, maybe popcorn.

I freakin love some popcorn

Chips and salsa. but I can't eat during a Cleveland post-season game.

Can’t right now because it’s still only 3pm in CA, but I’m the stereotypical baseball-and-a-beer dad. Other than that I’m generally a tortilla chips guy, if I have them available.

The thing I think is underrated about early challenges is that they can snowball. Turning a PA in your favor now could mean forcing the SP to face another hitter or two. Even if that doesn't turn into runs now, maybe it creates an out or two later that need to be handled but a lesser reliever.

I am munching on chips with con queso cheese dip with an adult beverage.

i think white sox win the series, but sean newcomb vs gavin williams really highlights some key difference

I used to eat popcorn. Then I had an incident with a crown, of the dental, not kingly variety. Now I eat nothing.

That sounds not fun. Sorry, Phil.

I quite literally have a crown in a plastic bag in my pocked because it came off yesterday and I have to go to the dentist and get it repaired. Not fun. I too would stop eating foods that made this happen.

So per the Venable interview, Newcomb got them back on track with their pitching plan. We'll see what happens from here, but Kay+Newcomb with the RHP getting Adell his second time seems to have been their plan, and here we are.

don't you still lose your challenge if the call stands? a margin of error is inherent to abs, so retaining the challenge if the pitch falls within it would actually be the best way to make it LESS like call stands.

In the playoffs, when scoring first is crucial and you never know how many baserunners you're going to get on, I think teams should be more aggressive early than they are, especially if there's a man on base. Any moment could prove to be decisive. Don't wait until later when they might not matter later

The announcers are not aware that Nathaniel Lowe does not like to be called Nate.

Ok, Ronny knows.

It's sorta the same argument for using your best relievers when you need them instead of waiting for a save – if you know the challenge/reliever has value now, there is no reason to save it for later, when it might not be needed at all.

ABS fascinates me. I know I want more early challenges and fear they will disappear with the way teams are restricting players. Do you people think an early challenge in a high leverage situation is a good decision?

I do.

I thought what Chad added above was well said. I am personally all for challenging on the leverage of the moment than the timing.

I am in agreement with you. There have been a lot of really bizarre challenges this year where players used, and wasted, challenges at meaningless points in the game.

Ok, I have to go pour some milk in a baby. I will see if I can check back in on the chat later. Good to talk to you all!

I really goofed by not adding 🍼 into the emoji reacts.

i want the LFG baseball as an emoji too

I’m not a huge Darling fan, but in comparison to the other booths working this round of playoffs this one is a breath of fresh air. Really missing Benetti.

Derek Junior needs milk!

What’s the best window for the white sox to put up 3 runs in this game? Seems to be a very small gap between third time through order from Williams and the pen getting to shut down mode especially in a big game for Cleveland

Right now, I guess

Williams can be homer-prone – just gotta take your chances when you get them because there won't be many.

Vargas has seen 9 pitches and swung at none

and yeah, this is the moment.

score aside, really feels like white sox have had more momentum throughout the game

Not just the game, but in general. Right now the Sox, Rays, Brewers, and Braves all feel like they’re rolling.

Cleveland got two runs, but still doesn't have an RBI hit this series, so they can't really afford to let this lead slip away

Mune!

I don't know about "throughout the game" – they looked utterly lost against Williams until this inning – but it does feel like this is a HUGE moment

Even that one run really changes the look of this game

Murakami amazes me. This old man finds it hard to believe a player can hit .202 and be of such value.

Williams has really lost the thread here and Beni bailed him out

Getting back to ABS, What is the consensus here on the number of challenges? I know I would like a couple more or perhaps a couple of one use ones for early innings only.

Two – this is the right amount.

MiLB originally started with three on the challenge days. Two is plenty.

that K could be a turning point in the series, but it is definitely a turning point in my day – I need to hop out of here and go be a parent. Go Guards!

No pop on toast references yet?

And Peters first pitch swinging

That cut to Rob Manfred standing alone is among the funniest things I've seen all year

As a neutral fan, I like the current frequency of challenges, particularly since it feel unusual when an ump is getting a lot of successful ones as in yesterday's MIL-SDP. I wouldn't mind if my own (now eliminated, red-stockinged) team had an extra, since they are often overly reluctant.

Manfred looked forlorn, to put it mildly.

I know the CHW rotation was below average this year, but if you assume at least one of Taylor/Schultz/Sandlin has starter potential, you can squint your eyes and see an exciting rotation in 2027 and beyond.

i desperately want my angels to sign skubal, but man if the white sox sign him instead…..

You stan Kroenke?

So does every team employ some number of guys in a room just watching for what should be reviewed?

Yes

This is often public info, e.g., Mike Brenly does it for the Red Sox.

Maybe MLB umpires could just review stuff in this manner and save everyone time and money

I have always wanted that, like in college football. And for fair/foul it could just be automatic, like tennis.

Wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't just "guys in a room watching video" but "guys in a room tinkering with AI agent trained on video in real time"

What's actually weird about Gavin Williams is he has better run value on his sweeper v L than v R, and a better run value on his curveball v R than v L. Both the opposite of what you'd expect.

You say this and then he immediately Ks two lefties on curves

I have no idea how anyone hits Williams' curveball

I feel like we don't see that 12-6 curve like we used to. I miss it.

Yeah Sean, you need to check out this Clemens guy. Good writer.

True, there's not many guys in the league that can drop those these days. Baz on a good day

If you're watching the game at a bar or restaurant and the lights AREN'T flickering, take a minute to be grateful. Kinda like when your nose isn't stuffed. Don't take it for granted!

Are the TVs flickering off too?

It depends how pedantic we are tonight. Technically? Yes. But not as bad as the lights

top 3 in the league of curveballs with >38 inches of drop and <6 inches glove, side movement: Baz (600), Freeland (481), Gore (480).

White Sox radio guys were saying that Ramirez is effective batting second, despite being clearly off and evidently playing hurt, because of "his presence alone." Ignoring whether this is analytically confirmable, is it even definable? What is "presence"? Is the idea that it makes you burn your leverage guys, or throw more pitches by nibbling, even if he strikes out?

My interpretation would be that it's a good idea to bat him second because he's literally Jose Ramirez. A known excellent hitter and future Hall of Famer

I think this ties into the larger question of "is lineup protection a thing?" and the answer to that in a universal DH environment is "mostly, no." There was iirc some demonstrable effect of 8 hole batters in the NL pre-2022.

Yes, and also Ramírez was hurt for most of this season but looked to be coming out of it over the final two weeks. I think that matters, too

Yes, that I agree with–he looks OK. Just wondering if it's true there's extra vakue to being great even if you don't hit.

i hope all pitchers see hosey step up to the plate and go "eek" a little bit

i mean. as a general rule of thumb i am in favor of more silly noises made. if they put a whistle in the ball that made it scream as it flies. i'd be a fan

Listening to the doppler effect with that ball would be sick.

i spent the better part of one recent afternoon with a shotgun and a deadcat recording the baseball team. would have been more fun if the ball went pweeeeeee

wow sabrowski wanted *zero* to do with grichuk

Tommy Pham enters the game and immediately runners advance? Now that's what I call Phamgraphs.

that should go in his stats. he put the fear of pham in the pitcher, causing the wild pitch

That's twice in this game an outfielder ran almost to the infield dirt to make a catch

Wow

That was a really nice play by Martinez

The Pope must’ve just turned the game on

So uhhhh when do we declare the White Sox winners of the Crochet trade?

Oy.

Sox might have the juice

Resurfacing this mailbag question:
Is God fixing the tournament in favor of the White Sox? — Kevin

I don't recall the catholic church ever officially blessing a baseball team before. So imo we can't rule it out.

pope leo owes the city of cleveland an apology!!!

It's 1:10 AM in Rome. You can go to bed now, Leo, the Sox have this.

honestly i liked cleveland alright when i visited, so i'm biased. but like. it'd be so funny if the sox won off the back of the power of the Lord Almighty and a hurt dude bopping his friends on the head with a small stick

i know sss caveats, but i enjoyed watching kwan become a "playoff demon" and getting on base at ridiculous rates in past postseasons. i love a pesky at-bat more than i should…

Montgomery shakes his head after swinging at two in the dirt then taking one right in the zone.

me too, buddy… me too…

Burke showing off a pretty tidy hook himself!

chicago and their mirps, man. they converting all their starters to mirps. they converting their position players to mirps. they converting their fo staff to mirps. soon we will all be mirps.

the entropic decay of the "guy who throws ball"

can you tell that i'm procrastinating on thermodynamics homework by watching mlbgameday

I'm glad I don't have to do that anymore.

Haha yeah same I was totally smart enough for thermodynamics haha anyway how about Hunter Gaddis’ beard?

It's almost as good as Brian Wilson's circa 2010.

The last homework I did was 63 years ago.

Everyone just uses AI for their homework these days; it's a problem.

There might be a new comment if something actually was happening

I'm prepping polls for the Yankees game. 🤷‍♂️

Oh is there another game on after this?

I know we had that long extra innings game in CLE a few years back. And they went to the ALCS a few years ago, but I don't remember CLE games being super interesting. They also get stuck with early games.

From the radio broadcast:

The White Sox threw 21 bullpen innings when they won in 2005. They have thrown 24 already this year.

Can we somehow take bulk starters out of the relief stat set. They have Sean Burke setting “relief” volume records in this game? C’mon, adjust to today’s game realities

This has been a frustration of mine since openers were first being used.

Baseball famously loves to change. I don't think we've ever been able to determine a better way to classify pitcher appearances. Since a start and relief appearances are objectively defined. We are looking at ways to adapt our probables grid.

Can't see that being overturned.

Sean, with the pitcher IP question, can we get 1/3 innings as an option in the future?

It's possible. Maybe I'll just how outs!

Thought that one was going out

I wasn't allowed to say "neither" when asked who I was rooting for.

So sad for you

I'll add that if it's NYY-LAD in the WS.

I love to watch baseball but there is no way that I can root for either the Rays or that other team.

Man, that's great for Jo Adell

Who said this game was boring?

random question for FanGraphs admins, do the WAR calculations include first base receiving defense and double play defense runs?

I notice it on the leaderboards but can't find any announcements on this

Lemme confirm.

Thank you so much for finding out, this is a niche thing I've been wondering for a while.

d

dang i was showering my kid and missed the jo triple ugh

This is a lot of Grant Taylor

Grant Taylor, incredible post season so far. That is all.

I'd say ALL (much maligned) hurlers in Black. Will Venable has really earned my respect this postseason. (with those pinch hit righties vs Sabrowski too).

Thinking about it, he's been managing back-against-the-wall "playoff" style for about 3 weeks straight! Cobbling together 9 innings with the most IP by RPs all year

WHITE SOX WIN

White Sox win exactly on time to switch to another game. Quite considerate!

This is one thing I like about streaming vs linear.

I am loving me some Taylor doing things that are not supposed to happen in this age of computer driven decision making.

Thanks to "feel" managers like Venable and Weiss!

Too much over-managing in the playoffs

We were 50/50 split on the CHW/CLE game on who would win! Right now we are ~60/40 on the Yankees/Rays on who will win.

And we only have two Yankees fans in the chat.

Re: WAR and 1B Rec question. We haven't incorporated that or the Inf DP this season, because we added those stats in the middle of the season.

Alright, good to know. Thank you so much!

I'm assuming that's probably going to be an offseason project?

Yep! Less of a project, more of in-season consistency.

I cannot believe Chisholm attempted that throw??????

The sad thing is, I can

Catchers interference!

McMahon's play was about as easy a play as a 3rd baseman could have. To state the obvious, the Yankee defense is pathetic.

You knew there had to be a replay challenge for catcher's interference in this series.

A good ole 3-error inning by the Yankees

3 errors in the 1st. Unbelievable!

Yankees in post-season form

Man this defense is something

It would be so funny if Simpson went yard here

Who is going to want Chisholm in their lineup next year after this performance?

I would love Jazz on the Pirates. We'll never win anything so we might as well have fun guys

Yeah Chisholm's issues seem like a great coach could help with. And every team thinks its coaches are the best

Yankees really not beating the allegations here

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

If they get out of this with only 1 run…😑

Feels like a missed opportunity there for Tampa Bay

I wonder if the Yankees could recruit the Archbishop of Canterbury as a fan or something…

After what's happening in LA and Cleveland, the Yanks are nervy as hell

Definitely needed a catwalk ball.

Domes suck! Stop playing in domes!

I've always glossed over the ground rules until a few days ago.

The Yankees defense which had 8 FRV in the regular season (12th) now has three errors in one inning

I do hope the Rays' new stadium has something weird.

It will be in Florida, so it will have a roof. Just gotta hope it's a funky roof

Schlittler sh*tting the bed a bit. As an Orioles fan, not upset at all.

Wells wanted to challenge.

Does anyone think Chisholm returns to the Yankees next year?

He's a better fit for a looser team.

Like the Marlins

I'd be interested to see our FA crowdsource numbers for him. That 31 HR season is intriguing.

I was thinking more on the lines of the Yokohama Bay Stars.

It feels like Schlittler should be at like 50 pitches by now

Schlittler doesn't have his putaway stuff today.

I know the Rays are hard to strike out, but they're spoiling his fastballs

Sean: how come when I try to reply it says I am replying to myself?

We force only one-level deep threads. Which messages are you replying to? Or trying to reply to?

Just a few in general. Recently to Sadaharu Whoa.

Oh the chronological view…your message is the parent for that thread, so that's why. I might rethink how we display that.

This guy looks more like Peralta of Wisconsin than Peralta of Queens.

Should I type first then go to the recipient?

No, just something I have to clean up.

Peralta joins Tatis and Kwan as players who had awful first halves and excellent second halves.

Thanks.

Remember when Tommy Tight Pants threw a billion changeups in a row

Man the Yankees line up isn't necessarily bad without Judge, but it sure is less imposing

Our mean for Peralta IP was 4.84.

So maybe we need that fraction of an inning, so someone can be correct.

Sounds like we basically nailed it

The Yankees errors poll is quite something. Median 5 errors, but the mean is 25.67, so we need them to step up some.

This move by Cash is eerily similar to Game 6 of the 2020 WS when he pulled Snell after he had just given up his first hit. This time it is clear he didn't want Peralta facing Rice. Can't argue with this move.

Baseball games sure can change fast

Jones should've kept going. Probably could've caught that

BANG

Simpson is such a Rays guy to have up here

BANG x2

They aren't gonna call that an error are they?

Nothing like two squibbers to get the runs home.

Gotta feel for Schlittler. Not his best, but he pitched better than his line is gonna say

Schlittler goes 4.1 IP; we had 6.27 IP mean and 6 IP median.

It is an error. He had a play at 1st if he took it.

It looks like they scored it a single. I don't disagree that it should be an error. I've just seen that play called a hit so often now.

Broadcast is saying they haven't heard a scoring decision. Gameday has a single, but they can always change that.

Not sure what to root for on that, having voted for 5 errors. I need them to get two more, but if they pick one up now they might overshoot.

I don't think you can assume the play at home and that did look like where he was going

I can't see that being overturned.

He looks convincingly safe.

This Yankees infield is really having a night

Official scorer ruling pending again. . .

Will they charge an error for that? We need to hit our prediction!

"The Yankees are absolutely tragic defensively in Game 2" is a great line by Brian Anderson.

Error!

This one has to be an error

No doubt about that error.

This is getting to meltdown territory

They're going to blow past our prediction. Can I revote?

😂 I'll work on that feature next.

It's crazy we're not far removed from Bellinger being like 5 feet away from this being 5-1

Now it is!

The mound is even against the Yankees.

That is a great AB against a tough lefty.

I know baseball is random, a single game is the smallest of small sample size, etc. etc. But there's no way to watch this game (or listen while looking at Gameday in my case) and not feel like the Rays are a significantly better team.

1000%

Phil, the answer is really not if the Rays are significantly better but just how much the Yankees are significantly worse.

Fun game so far!

Did it hit the mound or the cutoff man's leg?

Looks like the mound to me

I do enjoy watching a soft tosser carve up a linep.

i return from thermo. 55 burgers 55 fries 55 yankee errors

Google tells me the record for most errors in a single postseason game by one team is 5. So history is within reach tonight.

I am so rooting for this.

I'm kinda amused that in the ALDS so far, it's almost if the Yankees said "you know all the stuff about our team that people think isn't good because they're angry about analytics? Let's do those things."

i can't believe ANALYTICS turned all our players into potatoes in the field

I'm so biased (Yankee fan) but still feel OK even if they lose here. Next two games throwing two lefties, plus no more Trop. Probably lose game five though.

We hit 5 errors!

Did the official scorer see a chance to get into the history books and reverse course?

On the bright side, they've tripled their hit count from Game 1!

Getting five errors in a game *is* a pretty impressive feat, since game scorers today don't like giving errors unless they look like complex vaudeville sketches.

As a Yanks fan…I mean every year. This happens every year. I tend to be a realist and not overreact to the calls for Boone/Cashman's heads after every season, but at some point we have to consider this right?

There's some mindset thing that just isn't there. Impossible to quantify vibes but the Yanks just have had negative vibes in the playoffs for years sans a few moments in '24, various Giancarlo postseason at bats and Schlitter vs. Red Sox starts.

We are going to underestimate the errors! I put that poll up as a joke.

Back to "only" 4 errors according to mlb dot com. That's no fun.

Looking forward to the Manager Report Score for Boone, regarding bullpen usage in this game. . . and wondering if he's going to use Bednar down four. . .

yes. yes he is. (might be a decent call though tbh)

With the Rays over performing this season based on a lot of statistics, do we think they figured something out that we dont know how to quantify yet? Or just random?

Will Boone PH for McMuffin here? If not, the Manager Report should grade him harshly!

As a Rays fan I'm riding the high and assuming they are omniscient

As a White Sox fan, I'm cheering for the Yankees because at this point it seems the much easier path to the WS, and honestly just typing that is a reminder of how insane this season has been.

Ben Rice. My goodness.

Ben Rice is doing his best

Maybe I've been corrupted by Colin Poche, but the high-strikeout, low-velo fastball guys like Ian Seymour really do something for me

We're running out of time for more errors. Ideally we need two on the next play.

Girardi on last year's Baker trade "Orioles shoulda hung up!"

Alright! Let's do this again tomorrow!

I wasn't really heartbroken at the time (as a homer), because he used have his meltdown moments (long balls typically). But I KNEW they would fix him; the stuff was always awesome


No Past, No Future: Atlanta’s Chris Sale Strategy, Examined

Brett Davis-Imagn Images

When I’m trying to ground myself in the present, I like to repeat a mantra: No past, no future. I don’t want to dictate personal philosophy to you, but it works great for me. It’s a reminder to focus on the now, that experiencing what’s happening right this instant is more important than whatever mental baggage I’m carrying or whatever I’m worried might take place next week. I wholeheartedly suggest some variation of this phrase when you’re feeling overwhelmed by things that aren’t happening to you in the moment.

Having said that, let me be clear: You can’t ignore the past and future when you’re managing postseason pitching assignments, Walt Weiss. The Braves are five games into the playoffs, and they’ve been living the “no past, no future” life the entire time. Now, I actually think that has some useful consequences. The present really does matter quite a bit in playoff baseball – more than the future, and certainly more than the past. But it’s also caused them plenty of problems. The clearest example is also the most notable move Weiss has made so far. The Braves deployed bullpen games in each of the first two games of the NLDS over the weekend. The first was unavoidable, a consequence of their injury-depleted rotation, but the second was the direct consequence of Weiss’ earlier actions.

I’m talking about Chris Sale, of course. Sale started the Wild Card opener against the Phillies last Tuesday and worked into the seventh, throwing 95 pitches before departing with two on, one out, and the bottom of the Philly lineup coming to the plate. After a little turbulence (Didier Fuentes allowed both inherited runners to score, giving the Phillies the lead), the Braves pulled it out. But after Philadelphia won the second game of the series, Weiss called on Sale to cover the final four outs of the decisive Game 3. Read the rest of this entry »


Ty France’s Near-Heroics Haven’t Been Enough Against Brewers

David Frerker-Imagn Images

Ty France fell just short of playing the hero during the ninth inning of Saturday night’s Division Series opener between the Padres and Brewers, and his performance on Sunday at the center of the San Diego offense would have loomed larger if not for Mason Miller’s ninth-inning meltdown. The 32-year-old first baseman has been swinging a hot bat during the postseason, building on an impressive campaign in which he returned to the team that drafted him in 2015 and rediscovered his swing after two years of meandering around replacement level and through the rosters of four teams.

France collected two of the Padres’ five hits in Game 2 and drove in two of their three runs. He put them on the board in the first inning against starter Logan Henderson, ripping a 104.3-mph RBI single to right-center after Manny Machado worked a two-out walk and then took second on a wild pitch. After striking out in the third and being hit on the elbow guard by a Henderson changeup in the sixth, France faced Abner Uribe in the seventh with the Padres up 2-1 and Fernando Tatis Jr. (who had reached on an error) on second and Machado (who had walked again) on first. Ahead in the count 1-0, he smacked a 101.3-mph grounder to right field. Tatis raced home to run the score to 3-1, but Sal Frelick threw Machado out at third base to extinguish the rally.

Alas, the Padres couldn’t hold their two-run lead. The Brewers clawed back a run in the bottom of the seventh with a single, a walk, and a throwing error by second baseman Jake Cronenworth, then rallied for two in the ninth as Miller walked three before surrendering a walk-off single to Jackson Chourio. Read the rest of this entry »


Postseason Manager Report Cards: Joe Espada and Chad Tracy

Troy Taormina and Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Over the weekend, I graded the managerial performances of the two National League managers eliminated in the Wild Card round. Now, it’s on to the American League. Both Joe Espada’s Astros and Chad Tracy’s Red Sox lasted just two games in the playoffs and didn’t even make it to October, but each still had plenty of decisions to make in their 18 innings at the postseason helm.

I went over this in the NL rundown, but I’ll say again that like Ben Clemens, who originated this series, I care about process and not results here. It’s easy to say “that was a great move because it worked” or “that was a bad move because it failed,” but managers obviously can’t know the result of their decision as they’re making it. I’ve tried my best to transport myself back to the moment of each decision — taking into account the pitches, innings, and plate appearances that led up to it — while ignoring the outcomes.

Before we begin, I’ll also reiterate that while these are ostensibly manager report cards, there’s a much larger group of people behind the manager that helps to inform his decisions. Before the game, that includes discussions with the front office, which provides the reams of data that every manager has at his disposal during play; in-game, he’s getting feedback from his coaching staff and players on their levels of health and readiness. It really does take a village to get through a baseball game, and realistically, the praise and scorn doesn’t belong to the manager alone.

Let’s get into it.

Joe Espada

Batting: Incomplete

None of the managers who lost in the Wild Card round made fewer changes than Espada, who pinch-hit just once in two losses to the White Sox. That one substitution worked brilliantly, with righty Nelson Velázquez hitting for lefty Taylor Trammell against southpaw Sean Newcomb and promptly homering to give the Astros their first two runs of Game 1. That was a no-brainer of a decision for a team that needed runs; Velázquez had an 88 wRC+ against lefties this year to Trammell’s horrendous 12.

Espada’s ability to go to his bench was hamstrung in Game 2, as right knee soreness incurred in Game 1 limited Isaac Paredes to DH duty and forced Nick Allen into the starting lineup at third base. Letting Allen hit in the fifth inning down by a run with a runner on first and one out was understandable. Using a bat like Trammell or Joey Loperfido would have forced Raynel Delgado into the game at third, and no matter the leverage of the situation, Espada would have had to pinch-hit for him when his spot came up, with no backup infielders left at that point.

The overall lack of offensive mixing-and-matching from Espada was more of a roster construction problem than a manager issue, as was the club’s batting order. Espada’s lineup created a pocket of righties from spots three through six, with Yordan Alvarez batting second as the only hard-hitting lefty to plan around. Still, he really couldn’t have put his lineup together any better given the cards he was dealt.

Pitching: C+

When grading the Wild Card managers, I’ve tried to be sympathetic to those without much to work with, and that was absolutely the case for Espada and his pitching staff. I wouldn’t wish a Game 1 bullpen game on a manager even if he was my worst enemy, and especially not one with Houston’s pitching staff. And given that the Astros clinched on the last day of the season, they couldn’t have lined the pitching up any differently, either. But while a bullpen game was necessary, starting the game with AJ Blubaugh on the mound wasn’t.

Blubaugh, who led all relievers in innings pitched this year with 96, was an unsung hero for the Astros during the regular season. But his 2026 was marked more by quantity than quality; his 3.66 ERA outpaced his 4.25 xERA and 4.31 FIP, and he limped to the finish line with 10 runs allowed in his last 10 appearances. Fellow righty Miguel Ullola finished his season stronger and could have provided length similar to the best version of Blubaugh (as he showed later in the game). Or, given the White Sox’s penchant for aggressive in-game platooning, going with a lefty like Josh Hendrickson, Bennett Sousa, or Bryan King may well have forced White Sox manager Will Venable into aggressively substituting once a lefty was out of the game. That might have led to Randal Grichuk starting the game with the platoon advantage and then being pinch-hit for as soon as Espada brought in a righty. Once that happened, Espada would have had a clearer lane of lefty bats to manage against, allowing him to use a second lefty pitcher like Hendrickson, Sousa, or King. Venable may well have countered with someone like Tommy Pham, but getting Grichuk’s lefty-mashing bat out of the game after a single plate appearance would’ve been a big win.

Espada managed from behind for the rest of the game, and once Blubaugh exited, all of his decisions were logical but came too late for the offense to recover. King ended up with a logical pocket of four lefties in six batters before turning the ball over to Ullola, who was a godsend, providing length without Espada having to worry about left-right matchups. Once Ullola was done, it was the standard manager playbook of alternating lefties and righties to play matchups, before giving the ball to his highest-leverage arms in Bryan Abreu and Josh Hader in the eighth and ninth. Houston was down by four runs when Abreu entered and by three runs when Hader came in, but in a best-of-three series, chasing a Game 1 win by using your best arms is what I would have done, too.

Game 2 could not have started more disastrously, with the Astros’ best starter, Hunter Brown, unable to make it out of the first inning. While he was let down by his defense and didn’t pitch quite as badly as his line would suggest, I understand Espada’s urgency in pulling the plug and making it a second straight bullpen game. But Blubaugh again being the first reliever out of the ‘pen was puzzling, and my evaluation doesn’t care that it happened to work out. This was another chance for Espada to bring in a southpaw against a lineup with five lefties in its first six spots, and yet Blubaugh was called upon to face Sam Antonacci and the top of the White Sox lineup for the second time in two days. Doubling down by sending Blubaugh back out for the second was equally perplexing, especially with Peter Lambert available for length.

After the second inning, however, I thought Espada redeemed himself with a near-perfect set of moves given his personnel. Lambert was the best arm available for the middle frames, and with very few trusted arms on staff, I’m giving his manager a pass for allowing him to face more than nine hitters. Batters 10 and 11 drawing walks made it Bryan Abreu time in the sixth with nobody out, again the appropriate move given that the Astros were down by one at the time and it was a must-win game. Abreu is no stranger to coming in and cleaning up messes, and while Chase Meidroth took him deep, he carved through eight outs thereafter before turning the ball over to Hader for four outs.

After Meidroth homered, the Astros trailed by four for the remainder of the game, and knowing that the Astros would need Hader for a third straight game if they miraculously pulled off a Game 2 comeback, I think Espada struck the right balance between getting Hader into the game and being cognizant that he’d need his closer the next day. With the benefit of hindsight, that exposes the danger of chasing a comeback by using Hader in Game 1 — and I certainly wouldn’t have liked using him in that game if the Astros were down four or five — but as I’ve mentioned repeatedly during these report cards, the manager can’t know the future. The best chance of pulling out win in a Game 1 that was still within striking distance comes by using Hader in the ninth, and the same is true for a Game 2 comeback.

Chad Tracy

Batting: Incomplete

Tracy entered the Wild Card Series with his healthiest and most complete offense of the season, and he lined things up about as well as you can against a tough customer like Cam Schlittler in Game 1. The Yankees used two righties in relief of Schlittler, and the only move Tracy made was to pinch-hit Andruw Monasterio for the injured Roman Anthony in the sixth, with Schlittler still in the game.

Anthony was removed from the roster prior to Game 2 due to his hand injury, and the combination of that and a tough opposing lefty in Max Fried led to a very different lineup for Boston, though one that I also didn’t have any problems with. Tracy’s one pinch-hit move of the night was playing the platoon game by swapping Nate Eaton out for Jarren Duran against Will Warren in the eighth. There weren’t many moves, hence the incomplete, but the ones he made were good.

Pitching: C

Out of the eight grades I’ve given to the managers eliminated in the Wild Card round, this was the toughest one to sort out. In a nutshell, I loved what Tracy did with his starting pitchers and strongly disliked which relievers he chose to deploy when.

Payton Tolle faced 19 batters in his Game 1 start, and was presumably allowed to face Paul Goldschmidt for a third time because Tracy would’ve rather had that matchup than likely pinch-hitter Luis García Jr. against a righty pitcher. That allowed Tracy to deploy lefty Erik Miller against Ben Rice… which immediately backfired, as Rice homered. Still, I have no problem with that choice. Rice was worse against lefties this year, and while Miller struggled in September, I understand going with the big stuff against Rice’s big swing. The bullpen arms used after Miller, though, represented baffling choice after baffling choice.

Still down just two runs, Tracy used lower-leverage arms Greg Weissert and Alec Gamboa, with Gamboa, Wyatt Olds and Brayan Bello allowing the Yankees to blow the game wide open on their way to a 9-0 drubbing. In a postgame exchange with the Boston Globe’s Tim Healey, Tracy defended using the pitchers he did — thereby lowering his win probability for that game compared to using better arms like Garrett Whitlock or Aroldis Chapman — as being a consequence of an offense that was, in his estimation, unlikely to come back no matter who pitched.

While I understand taking the long view of potentially needing to play three games in three days, if you aren’t going to chase a win down two runs with Schlittler soon to come out of the game, when are you going to chase a win? A manager can only manage the game in front of him, and for all Tracy knew, the Red Sox could end up winning Game 2 without needing Whitlock or Chapman anyway.

Game 2 ended up having a similar inflection point, with starter Sonny Gray pulled after just 70 pitches and 19 batters. That led to quite the anti-analytics firestorm on social media, but here in my corner of the internet, removing Gray was a clear-cut decision. I don’t care about Gray’s third-time-through-the-order performance being really good this season; he was bad in that scenario last year, and the third-time-through penalty is always going to exist to at least some extent. Gray had also allowed four of the last eight batters to reach and was clearly losing effectiveness. But giving Cody Bellinger another look at Miller a day after the lefty’s own ineffectiveness wasn’t ideal; unless Garrett Crochet was completely uncomfortable coming in with runners on base, I’d have preferred him in that scenario.

Instead, Crochet came in to start the following inning and the game went sideways from there. Spencer Jones reached on a strikeout-wild pitch and the inning spiraled thereafter, and while it wasn’t all Crochet’s fault, his performance all but assured a loss. Tracy then proved my earlier point about not knowing what the next day’s game will hold by using Whitlock down two runs with the bases loaded in the sixth and Chapman down seven runs in the eighth. Using Whitlock there was a coherent attempt to keep the game close, while Chapman was a “well, we need a miracle” pitching change. Had the Red Sox used Chapman and Whitlock to chase a win in Game 1 and ultimately won, Chapman never would’ve pitched down seven runs in Game 2, since Game 3 would be on the horizon. In sum: Yes, it matters when there’s a game tomorrow, but tomorrow’s game can go any which way. If you’re only down a couple runs and have a rested leverage arm, use him.


The Power of the Curve

Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Cam Schlittler threw the Red Sox a curveball in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series. Well, actually, he threw them a lot of curveballs — 32, to be exact.

In the Yankees’ resounding 9-0 win over their archrivals last week at Yankee Stadium, the 25-year-old flamethrower went 6 1/3 scoreless innings, giving up just two hits and one walk while striking out 10 and throwing a career-high 117 pitches. Except for the pitch count, his final line reflects the same dominance we’ve seen repeatedly throughout a 2026 season in which Schlittler went 14-6 with a 1.95 ERA, a 2.56 FIP, and 6.2 WAR across 193 2/3 innings. The difference this time was how he got there, and it poses a new challenge for opposing batters when he starts against the Rays in Game 2 of the ALDS on Monday night at Tropicana Field.

Schlittler turned to the curveball early and often, utterly baffling a Boston lineup that was geared up for his signature three-fastball repertoire. Instead, they got a heavy dose of the hook and couldn’t handle it. In Game 1, he threw his curveball 27.4% of the time. The Red Sox swung at 16 of the 32 curves they saw from Schlittler, whiffing on eight of them, fouling off six, and putting two in play; the first of those two fair balls was a softly hit lineout to shortstop in the fifth inning, while the second came when Wilyer Abreu lined the right-hander’s last pitch of the game to right field for a single. Four of Schlittler’s 10 strikeout pitches were curveballs, all during his first time through the order. Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: New York Mets – Multiple Openings

Direct links to applications (please see job details below):

Data Scientist
Intern, Data Science
Associate Analyst, Baseball Analytics: Integration
Associate Hitting Analyst, Baseball Analytics
Associate, Video & Technology (International Scouting)
Senior Data Scientist, Baseball Analytics


Data Scientist

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Summary:

The New York Mets are seeking a Data Scientist in Baseball Analytics. The Data Scientist will build, test, and present statistical models that inform decision-making in all facets of Baseball Operations. This position requires strong background in complex statistics and data analytics, as well as the ability to communicate statistical model details and findings to both a technical and non-technical audience. Prior experience in or knowledge of baseball is a plus, but is not required.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Build statistical models to answer a wide variety of baseball-related questions affecting the operations of the organization using advanced knowledge of statistics and data analytics and exercising appropriate discretion and judgment regarding development of statistical models
  • Interpret data and report conclusions drawn from their analyses
  • Present model outputs in an effective way, both for technical and non-technical audiences
  • Communicate well with both the Baseball Analytics team as well as other Baseball Operations personnel to understand the parameters of any particular research project
  • Provide advice on the desired outputs from the data engineering team, and guidance to the Baseball Systems team on how best to present model results
  • Evaluate potential new data sources and technologies to determine their validity and usefulness
  • Consistently analyze research in analytics that can help improve the modeling work done by the Baseball Analytics department

Qualifications & Requirements:

  • Masters and/or BS degree in statistics or a related field
  • Professional experience in a quantitative position is a plus
  • Strong background in a wide variety of statistical techniques
  • Strong proficiency in R, Python, or similar, as well as strong proficiency in SQL
  • Basic knowledge of data engineering and front-end development is a plus, for the purpose of communicating with those departments
  • Strong communication skills
  • Ability to work cooperatively with others, and to take control of large-scale projects with little or no daily oversight

The above information is intended to describe the general nature, type, and level of work to be performed. The information is not intended to be an exhaustive or complete list of all responsibilities, duties, and skills required for this position. Nothing in this job description restricts management’s right to assign or reassign duties and responsibilities to this job at any time. The individual selected may perform other related duties as assigned or requested.

The New York Mets value the unique qualities individuals with various backgrounds and experiences can offer the organization. Our continued success depends heavily on the quality of our workforce. The Organization is committed to providing employees with the opportunity to develop to their fullest potential.

Salary Range: $80,000 – $100,000

For technical reasons, we strongly advise to not use an .edu email address when applying. Thank you very much.

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.


Intern, Data Science

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Summary:

The New York Mets are seeking an intern in our Baseball Analytics Department for the summer of 2027. During the summer, the Intern will build, test, and present statistical models to inform the decision-making of our Baseball Operations department. This position requires strong background in complex statistics and data analytics, as well as the ability to communicate statistical model details and findings to both a technical and non-technical audience. Prior experience in or knowledge of baseball is a plus, but is not required.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Build statistical models to answer a wide variety of baseball-related questions affecting the operations of the organization using advanced knowledge of statistics and data analytics and exercising appropriate discretion and judgment regarding development of statistical models
  • Interpret data and report conclusions drawn from their analyses
  • Present model outputs in an effective way, both for technical and non-technical audiences
  • Communicate well with both the Baseball Analytics team as well as other Baseball Operations personnel to understand the parameters of any particular research project

Qualifications:

  • Pursuing a degree in statistics or a related field
  • Professional experience in a quantitative position is a plus
  • Strong background in a wide variety of statistical techniques
  • Strong proficiency in R or Python
  • Strong communication skills
  • Ability to work cooperatively with others

The above information is intended to describe the general nature, type, and level of work to be performed. The information is not intended to be an exhaustive or complete list of all responsibilities, duties, and skills required for this position. Nothing in this job description restricts management’s right to assign or reassign duties and responsibilities to this job at any time. The individual selected may perform other related duties as assigned or requested.

The New York Mets recognize the importance of a diverse workforce and value the unique qualities individuals of various backgrounds and experiences can offer to the Organization. Our continued success depends heavily on the quality of our workforce. The Organization is committed to providing employees with the opportunity to develop to their fullest potential.

Pay Range: $20.00 – $25.00/hour

For technical reasons, we strongly advise to not use an .edu email address when applying. Thank you very much.

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.


Associate Analyst, Baseball Analytics: Integration

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Summary:

The New York Mets are seeking an Associate Analyst to join the Baseball Analytics: Integration team. In this role, you will help Baseball Operations answer the wide range of questions that arise throughout the year, taking on fast-moving projects that touch many areas of the organization. This is an opportunity to apply quantitative skills to meaningful baseball decisions, gain broad exposure to how a Major League organization operates, and work closely with colleagues across a variety of functions.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Translate questions from across Baseball Operations into clear research and analytical approaches
  • Retrieve, combine, clean, and validate data from internal databases and relevant public sources
  • Conduct timely research and analysis across multiple concurrent, short-term projects, using statistical methods or modeling when appropriate
  • Communicate findings through concise, easy-to-understand reports, visualizations, and messages
  • Collaborate with Data Engineering and Systems teams to turn analytical work into reliable, accessible data and tools for use across Baseball Operations
  • Maintain clear, reproducible code and documentation, and develop reusable processes for recurring analytical needs

Qualifications:

  • Bachelor’s degree in a quantitative field, or equivalent experience
  • Experience using R, Python, or a similar analytical programming language
  • Proficiency in SQL, including joining, filtering, aggregating, and validating data
  • Strong analytical and problem-solving skills
  • Attention to detail, particularly when reviewing data and analytical outputs
  • Ability to organize work, manage competing priorities, and meet deadlines
  • Strong verbal and written communication skills

The above information is intended to describe the general nature, type, and level of work to be performed. The information is not intended to be an exhaustive or complete list of all responsibilities, duties, and skills required for this position. Nothing in this job description restricts management’s right to assign or reassign duties and responsibilities to this job at any time. The individual selected may perform other related duties as assigned or requested.

The New York Mets value the unique qualities individuals with various backgrounds and experiences can offer the organization. Our continued success depends heavily on the quality of our workforce. The Organization is committed to providing employees with the opportunity to develop to their fullest potential.

Pay Range: $22.00 – $25.00/hour

For technical reasons, we strongly advise to not use an .edu email address when applying. Thank you very much.

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.


Associate Hitting Analyst, Baseball Analytics

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Summary:

The Associate Hitting Analyst will develop high-impact analytical tools and systems that advance hitting evaluation and drive optimization and improvement strategies across internal player development and external player acquisition. This individual will lead research, monitor performance trends, and collaborate across departments to uncover actionable opportunities that deepen organizational hitting knowledge and strengthen decision-making in both the acquisition and development spaces of Baseball Operations.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Analyze new data sources and their potential to explain performance
  • Communicate research to on-field staff and Player Development leadership, translating complex concepts into clear recommendations
  • Transform internal data and model results into actionable information that enhances both in-game and player performance strategy
  • Collaborate with Biomechanics and Performance teams to analyze players’ physical capabilities
  • Systematically identify internal and external players with room for improvement
  • Work with Data Science team to understand how players’ capacity to improve impacts their value
  • Perform research that explains how players are able to express skills on the field
  • Expand the organization’s understanding of how players can improve relative to expectations

Qualifications & Requirements:

  • Creativity and curiosity regarding the game of baseball
  • Statistical modeling experience. Experience in Biomechanics is a plus
  • Knowledge of baseball technology, including but not limited to KinaTrax, Blast Motion, Hawk-Eye, and force plates
  • Ability to collaborate and work within and across teams
  • Strong verbal and written communication skills
  • Demonstrated ability to manage multiple projects simultaneously and execute tasks under time constraints
  • Interest in public baseball research
  • Experience in R, Python, or similar programming languages, and proficiency in SQL
  • Must be able to work unconventional hours and travel

The above information is intended to describe the general nature, type, and level of work to be performed. The information is not intended to be an exhaustive or complete list of all responsibilities, duties, and skills required for this position. Nothing in this job description restricts management’s right to assign or reassign duties and responsibilities to this job at any time. The individual selected may perform other related duties as assigned or requested.

The New York Mets value the unique qualities individuals with various backgrounds and experiences can offer the organization. Our continued success depends heavily on the quality of our workforce. The Organization is committed to providing employees with the opportunity to develop to their fullest potential.

Pay Range: $22.00 – $25.00/hour

For technical reasons, we strongly advise to not use an .edu email address when applying. Thank you very much.

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.


Associate, Video & Technology (International Scouting)

Location: New York Mets Complex – Dominican Republic

Summary:

The Associate, Video & Technology (International Scouting) will execute the day-to-day on field video capture, data collection, and technology operations across international amateur showcases, partner programs, and academy tryouts in the Dominican Republic. This individual will serve as the field-level technical hub for the international scouting department—operating portable tracking hardware, capturing standardized scouting video, organizing and tagging digital assets, and syncing data with internal platforms.

Operating in a high-stakes, fast-moving evaluation environment, this role demands absolute confidentiality, meticulous attention to detail, operational problem-solving in challenging outdoor field environments, and proactive collaboration with area scouts, international crosscheckers, and front-office decision-makers.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Field Technology Operations: Set up, calibrate, operate, and troubleshoot portable ball-tracking and bat-tracking technology (e.g., TrackMan Portable, Blast Motion, portable force plates, high-speed cameras) at amateur showcases, private workouts, and academy games
  • Scouting Video Capture & Ingestion: Film hitters, pitchers, and defensive drills adhering strictly to organizational filming standards. Accurately tag, trim, log, and ingest video into internal proprietary athlete management databases on daily turnaround times
  • Data Quality Control & Reporting: Maintain meticulous quality control over captured data feeds. Making sure the tagged information is accurate before submitting it to the internal platform
  • Territory Coverage & Scouting Logistics: Travel across key Dominican scouting circuits (e.g., San Cristóbal, Boca Chica, San Pedro de Macorís, Santiago, Baní, and Santo Domingo), coordinating directly with the DR Video Tech Coordinator along with the DR Scouting Supervisor and Area Scouts to align technical coverage on a daily basis
  • Technology Asset Management: Clean, charge, pack, transport, and maintain all mobile hardware, tablets, cameras, tripods, and other tech, ensuring zero downtime during showcases and events
  • Cross-Departmental Collaboration: Assist visiting international crosscheckers, analytical evaluators, and scouting executives by providing real-time data feeds
  • International Travel Support: As needed, deploy to international scouting assignments outside the Dominican Republic to support tournament coverage and data intake

Requirements:

  • Driver’s License & Reliable Transportation: Valid Dominican driver’s license, a clean driving record, and daily access to an insured, reliable vehicle capable of transporting equipment across varying road conditions throughout the island
  • Travel & Schedule Flexibility: Willingness and capability to travel extensively across the Dominican Republic, with readiness to travel abroad. Ability to work unconventional hours, including early mornings, weekends and late hours as needed according to the workload
  • Technical Savvy & Computer Proficiency: Proficiency with Microsoft Excel, general PC operating systems, tech saavy experience to handle distinct software
  • Baseball Technology Familiarity: Demonstrated working knowledge of baseball tracking technology (TrackMan, Hawk-Eye, FlightScope, Blast Motion, Rapsodo, or related optical/radar systems) and high-frame-rate sports cameras
  • Bilingual Communication: Professional proficiency in both Spanish and English (spoken and written), enabling seamless coordination between Latin American trainers/players and US-based front oAice personnel
  • Discretion & Confidentiality: Absolute integrity and commitment to organizational secrecy regarding prospect evaluations, proprietary metrics, acquisition targets, and internal strategy
  • Physical Demands: Ability to carry 40–50 lbs of hardware/tripods and stand outdoors in high-heat and humid conditions for extended periods

The above information is intended to describe the general nature, type, and level of work to be performed. The information is not intended to be an exhaustive or complete list of all responsibilities, duties, and skills required for this position. Nothing in this job description restricts management’s right to assign or reassign duties and responsibilities to this job at any time. The individual selected may perform other related duties as assigned or requested.

The New York Mets value the unique qualities individuals with various backgrounds and experiences can offer the organization. Our continued success depends heavily on the quality of our workforce. The Organization is committed to providing employees with the opportunity to develop to their fullest potential.

For technical reasons, we strongly advise to not use an .edu email address when applying. Thank you very much.

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.


Senior Data Scientist, Baseball Analytics

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Summary:

The New York Mets are seeking a Senior Data Scientist in Baseball Analytics. The Senior Data Scientist will build, test, and present statistical models that inform decision-making in all facets of Baseball Operations. This position requires strong background in complex statistics and data analytics, as well as the ability to communicate statistical model details and findings to both a technical and non-technical audience. Prior experience in or knowledge of baseball is a plus, but is not required.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Build statistical models to answer a wide variety of baseball-related questions affecting the operations of the organization using advanced knowledge of statistics and data analytics and exercising appropriate discretion and judgment regarding development of statistical models

  • Interpret data and report conclusions drawn from their analyses

  • Present model outputs in an effective way, both for technical and non-technical audiences

  • Communicate well with both the Baseball Analytics team as well as other Baseball Operations personnel to understand the parameters of any particular research project

  • Provide advice on the desired outputs from the data engineering team, and guidance to the Baseball Systems team on how best to present model results

  • Assist with recruiting, hiring, and mentoring new analysts in the Baseball Analytics department

  • Evaluate potential new data sources and technologies to determine their validity and usefulness

  • Consistently analyze recent research in analytics that can help improve the modeling work done by the Baseball Analytics department

Qualifications:

  • Ph.D. in statistics or a related field, or equivalent professional experience

  • Strong background in a wide variety of statistical techniques

  • Strong proficiency in R, Python, or similar, as well as strong proficiency in SQL

  • Basic knowledge of data engineering and front-end development is a plus, for the purpose of communicating with those departments

  • Strong communication skills

  • Ability to work cooperatively with others, and to take control of large-scale projects with little or no daily oversight

The above information is intended to describe the general nature, type, and level of work to be performed. The information is not intended to be an exhaustive or complete list of all responsibilities, duties, and skills required for this position. Nothing in this job description restricts management’s right to assign or reassign duties and responsibilities to this job at any time. The individual selected may perform other related duties as assigned or requested.

The New York Mets recognize the importance of a diverse workforce and value the unique qualities individuals of various backgrounds and experiences can offer to the Organization. Our continued success depends heavily on the quality of our workforce. The Organization is committed to providing employees with the opportunity to develop to their fullest potential.

Salary Range: $120,000 – $150,000

For technical reasons, we strongly advise to not use an .edu email address when applying. Thank you very much.

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the New York Mets.


Braves Break Serve Against the Dodgers, Head to Atlanta With 1-1 NLDS Tie

Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

Heading into Game 2 of the NLDS, much of the talk was of the mismatch in pitching rotations between the Dodgers and the Braves, and whether Atlanta’s bullpen could continue to cover up for a rotation held together with rubber bands and duct tape. Yet, in the end, it was the Dodgers who ended up burning the most relievers, and the denouement was only in doubt because the Braves missed a few opportunities to blow the game, a 3-2 win, wide open.

The most-talked-about pitching decision was probably the one made before the game started: Going with a third consecutive bullpen game rather than starting ace Chris Sale in Game 2. It’s a decision that Walt Weiss clearly doesn’t regret, at least not when speaking in public. He told reporters:

“We had a conversation this morning. Look, at the end of the day, we want full-strength Chris Sale. I know him at 80 percent is really good, but that’s what it came down to. We’ve given him extra rest all year, and it’s served him very well. It allowed him to do what he did the other night, I think all the extra rest he’d gotten. He’d be on normal rest from his last start, but he had the outing in between. Not sure you’re getting the best version of him pitching today. We’re certain he will pitch in Game 3.

Read the rest of this entry »


Jackson Chourio Does It Again: Brewers Come Back to Win Game 2

Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

They opened the roof. That’s the first thing you need to know about Game 2 of the NLDS between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres. Nobody had to worry about knocking the ball off a girder or a wire or a catwalk or a dangling chain of sausage links hanging from the ceiling. More importantly, nobody had to worry about the damn thing blowing off in the bottom of the ninth, when Jackson Chourio, one strike away from defeat, turned around a 101-mph Mason Miller fastball for a game-winning, two-RBI single. Against the most formidable reliever in baseball, after trailing since the fourth batter of the game, the Brewers turned water into, well, beer, beating the Padres 4-3 to take a 2-0 lead in the series. It marked the first time in more than a month that the Padres have lost two games in a row.

American Family Field presents quite a beautiful backdrop when it’s open to the sky and full of natural light. It feels vibrant and alive. It’s also not the friendliest place for hitters, who get to shift their worries from the roof to the shadows. The 3:09 PM local start time meant that when Logan Henderson threw the first pitch of the game, his shadow, already much longer than his six-foot-tall frame, stretched all the way across the mound and onto the infield grass toward third base. It twitched and wriggled as he went into his delivery, as if it believed this might be its chance to escape once and for all.

No player was more grateful for the open sky than Ty France, who on Saturday night experienced an even more unfriendly side of American Family Field. As you surely know by now, France flew out to deep left field by way of a ricochet off something or other up there by the roof. There’s some debate as to whether that ball would have both cleared the fence and stayed fair, but regardless, France certainly played like a man with a score to settle. He went 2-for-3 with two RBI singles and a hit-by-pitch, pushing his batting average this postseason to a respectable .487. Read the rest of this entry »