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Job Posting: St. Louis Cardinals – Major League Strategy Fellow

Direct link to application (please see job details below):

Major League Strategy Fellow


Major League Strategy Fellow

Job Summary:
This role will support the St. Louis Cardinals Major League team through baseball research, statistical analysis, strategic modeling, and the development of analytical tools and reports. Working closely with the Manager of Major League Strategy, this position will help identify opportunities to improve baseball decision-making, evaluate existing strategies, and develop new analytical capabilities supporting the Major League club. This role will collaborate with Major League Strategy personnel, coaches, and Baseball Development staff to translate research and data into practical baseball applications. The position will be based primarily in St. Louis and will be expected to work on the Major League team’s schedule throughout the season, including Spring Training, evenings, weekends, and holidays as needed.

Job Duties:

  • Conduct baseball research and statistical analysis to support Major League game preparation, in-game strategy, player evaluation, and broader baseball decision-making
  • Develop, maintain, and improve analytical models and tools that inform Major League game strategy and baseball operations
  • Work with the Manager of Major League Strategy to identify, prioritize, and investigate research questions with potential Major League applications
  • Analyze player and team performance trends to identify actionable insights, evaluate strategic opportunities, and support continuous improvement
  • Develop and improve automated reports, data visualizations, and analytical applications that support Major League coaches, players, and staff
  • Collaborate with Major League Strategy personnel to integrate analytical findings into advance scouting, game preparation, and player support workflows
  • Design and conduct rigorous analyses to evaluate baseball strategies, validate analytical models, and assess the effectiveness of implemented initiatives
  • Collaborate with Baseball Development and other baseball operations personnel on research, modeling, technology, and analytical initiatives supporting the Major League club
  • Learn and operate certain baseball technology and video systems as necessary

Experience Required:

  • Strong analytical and quantitative problem-solving skills, with the ability to independently investigate complex baseball questions
  • Proficiency in SQL and at least one analytical programming language, such as Python or R, with experience developing reproducible analyses and statistical models
  • Strong understanding of statistical inference, model validation, and the limitations of observational baseball data
  • Experience with statistical analysis, predictive modeling, and research methodology
  • Strong ability to communicate clearly and concisely in written, verbal, and visual formats
  • Ability to translate complex analytical findings into practical recommendations for baseball decisionmakers
  • Strong understanding of baseball decision-making and the ability to frame baseball questions as rigorous analytical problems
  • Experience working with modern baseball data, including ball-tracking and player-tracking information
  • Ability to develop clear, accessible data visualizations, reports, and analytical tools
  • Strong attention to detail, intellectual curiosity, sound judgment, and a willingness to challenge and refine existing assumptions
  • Ability to manage independent research projects while responding effectively to time-sensitive Major League requests
  • Ability to collaborate productively with coaches, analysts, and baseball operations personnel
  • Ability to handle sensitive baseball information with professionalism and confidentiality
  • Experience conducting original baseball research or developing statistical models is preferred
  • Experience developing analytical applications, automated reporting systems, or decision-support tools is preferred
  • Familiarity with machine learning, optimization, and advanced statistical methods is preferred
  • Experience in professional or collegiate baseball operations, research, or analytics is a plus

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the St. Louis Cardinals.


How I Voted for the 2026 Fielding Bible Awards: Infield

Troy Taormina and Michael McLoone, Imagn Images

For the third consecutive year, I voted for the Fielding Bible Awards, Sports Info Solutions’ annual recognition of the best defenders in major league baseball. They’re a Gold Glove equivalent for the majors as a whole, created by SIS and John Dewan in 2006. A panel of video scouts and baseball experts vote for five players at each spot; there are also awards for the best multi-position defender, the defensive player of the year, and the defensive team of the year. The awards will be released this Thursday, October 22, and this article will be updated to note the winners once they’re announced.

Voting for any award is a prestigious honor, and voting on this panel has great personal import to me. Over the years, the panelists have included basically every writer who got me into baseball statistics when I was younger. Bill James, Peter Gammons, the founder of Strat-o-Matic – you get the idea. It’s a group I’m honored to be a part of, and I take my voting responsibilities very seriously. To that end, I spent some time this year updating my previous voting methods. Let me walk you through it.

Earlier this year, MLB Senior Data Architect Tom Tango did some work on blending multiple defensive systems together. I had actually landed on a similar method after discussing my inaugural ballot with Tom two years ago, but there’s never a bad time for a refresh. I started with Tom’s approach, added in Baseball Prospectus’ DRP as an additional number, and created blends for each position group based on how well each metric tracked itself year-to-year, as well as how well it predicted other metrics from one year to the next. Of note, I moved around my infield weights a bit, increasing the importance of DRS; it has narrowly been the best metric in the post-shift-ban world, a change in defensive rules meaningful enough for me to strongly prefer sampling from it for my initial rankings. Read the rest of this entry »


After Forcing Messick Into an Early Exit, Rays Take 3-2 ALCS Lead

Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

The Tampa Bay Rays are one win away from their third trip to the World Series. After pulling away from the Cleveland Guardians late in Game 4 for a 7-3 victory, the Rays scored a run in each of the first three innings of Game 5. While they left six men on base over that span, they forced Guardians ace Parker Messick to work so hard that he lasted just two innings, and because the game remained within reach, Cleveland manager Stephen Vogt called upon four of his best relievers to record four outs or more. Meanwhile, Drew Rasmussen stifled the Guardians, holding them to one run on four hits over seven innings, and a trio of relievers shut the door for a 3-1 victory and a three-games-to-two series lead. The series now heads back to St. Petersburg, and because the travel day was erased by Friday night’s rainout, the Rays will have the opportunity to clinch the pennant at home on Monday night.

For as great a rookie season as Messick had, the 25-year-old lefty has been anything but dominant during the postseason. He lasted five innings in just one of his three previous starts while putting up a 4.13 FIP and 5.25 xERA to go with a comparatively tidy 3.09 ERA in 11.2 innings. If a 15.1% walk rate, more than double his regular season mark of 6.6%, has been the primary culprit, his previous workload may be a contributing factor as well. Messick ranked fourth in the American League with 186.1 innings — the most of any rookie since 2012 — and with his postseason work prior to Sunday, he had pushed his odometer to 198 frames, up from a combined 138.1 innings between Triple-A and the majors in 2025.

After pairing Messick with backup catcher Austin Hedges for all but one of his starts in 2026 — David Fry caught the first three innings of his September 27 outing — Vogt called upon Patrick Bailey instead… on the basis of his offense. That’s an odd thing to say about a catcher with a career 75 wRC+, and an anemic .146/.213/.183 line when he was traded from the Giants in May, but the 27-year-old backstop has been a credible threat at the plate since joining the Guardians, and he entered Sunday having hit .333/.379/.556 (163 wRC+) during the postseason, with a homer and a single off Rasmussen in Game 1. Said Vogt before the game, “With the way Patty is swinging the bat, [I] just wanted to keep his bat in the lineup, and you know, obviously there is some risk. There’s some concern with Patty never having caught Parker. But you know what? If I’m going to trust two human beings to go out and navigate a game, it’s Parker and Patty.” Read the rest of this entry »


Members-Only Game Thread: ALCS – Oct 18, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALCS game today. Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual staff Q&A chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Hey! Everyone, we got a dinner-time game today, so we won't be up late, but we do have NFL football to compete with. Though the Tampa Bay game just ended. And the Browns already won.

man, "And the Browns already won." feels like a sentence from an alternate timeline…

Tampa. Need them to win pennant to cash this ticket. They’ve done me well. Al east cashed. I need two more wins. I love fan graphs, love the site. I really appreciate the service.

Sigh…

Think the ball is carrying better today

for sure

o/u number of times Messick growing up a Rays fan is mentioned?

It's still weird to me that we're at the point where guys in the big leagues "grew up as" as a Rays fan. They're not that old and they didn't really have fans their first decade

Depends how long he lasts, not off to the greatest start here…

What are you guys talking about?

Baseballs?

He had to challenge that!

Terrible challenge

But not this one.

It’s still way too early for this.

According to last night its time to bring the infield in

The challenges have been just bizarre all postseason.

That bobble by Rocchio could turn out to be the play of the year.

Still a lot of baseball left here

Guards have not been playing clean D the last couple, and they really have to for Guardsball to work

I feel like in the regular season, you load the bases like that and 3 plus runs score. Postseason you get dinged one run, and no one scores again until the 7th inning.

This postseason in particular seems to be selecting for better pitchers moreso than better hitters

How much does this start lead to questioning starting Bailey over Hedges with Messick?

I am trying to understand why DeLuca didn't challenge the 2-0 pitch. The leverage index couldn't have been much higher and his body language said he knew it was a ball.

wanted more than one run!

Use challenges when the leverage calls for it. i

We also don’t get an outfielder running over the parabolic mic guy in the regular season either.

I know hitting is tough but a major leaguer should not swing through those two fastballs in the heart of the zone.

hate both of these teams

Upholding the Yankee fan stereo types… "if we cant win I hate everything and everyone" lol

I can't judge. I hate them back.

people have ask for a "Neither" option in the polls, but that was more for the Yankees games.

no like i particularly hate the guardians' fake offense for how much it gets praised as the only "real baseball" and the rays now adopting it over the past few seasons. swing for the fences like a real team or at least put up a Brewers-level team OBP

cry more… im thirsty

oh yeah? i will

The babip gods are making their presence felt here

How much longer can you ride Messick here?

mostly tough babip luck

The infield shifts have ummm not worked… those were both easy outs/potential double plays

check swings feel like the hardest thing for me to see in real time from CF cams. I’m wrong all the time.

Hi everyone!

What a gift for Messick.

no team deserves to have given up 2 runs on 5 hits in 2 innings of allowing a .188 xBA as much as cleveland

You watch a LOT of CLE games for a Yankee sellout shill.

you think i'm watching this

not sure you know where you are let alone what you are watching

I get it Sean… Ill back off. Just dont like the trolls and wanted to push back a bit. Most Yankee fans are not like this.

Pretty sure Junior would swing at a ball into the stands

Is that Ronald Acuña ad for Kalshi any less weird with the volume on?

I’d say it’s more weird

It's much weirder with the volume on

He lives in a tunnel under home plate, is that the premise??

Yes and you should bet on it or something?

I bet he actually lives in a house.

THAT should be a Kalshi bet

Keebler Elf tree.

Probably a large one.

Wow what a catch

A good poll would be which commercial do you hate the most?

Liberty Biberty is in the mix

There is an obvious answer to this question but it is not a fit topic for a baseball chat.

How will Cleveland cover 27 outs here?

Dunno but I'm excited to find out

Okay, this is random, but what about letting the winning team in the postseason pick a player from the opposite team for the rest of the post? I know, I’m crazy.

Wow, those 2014 Royals…

This would be a fantastic offseason/lockout article, actually. Say, postseason series of the 2020s where the victor takes a player from their opponent…perhaps Dan can ZiPS up the biggest additions

Simpson is in their heads

Broadcast booth has a collective Speed Boner.

they're just like me!

I mean yes, but can’t blame them

Is it a prerequisite for being a playoff broadcaster that you have to wish the game were still played like it was in the ‘80s?

That's how they train them in broadcasting school.

Rays are going to score 1 run every inning to win 9-0.

My hot take on bunting is that showing bunt should be treated as a swing and therefore often a strike

That has to be caught!!!

Rays relaxed on challenges

I think Simpson tried to high five the ump

The ump was holding the bat out but Simpson was too far away to grab it

RISP kings

With the lack of travel day after this it makes this feel more critical than the average 2-2 game 5. Loser is gonna have to really ride their A bullpen

Can we get a return interview with Jeff after the Rays win the WS to breakdown the minutia of the playoff decisions, positioning, pitching strategy… or is that too proprietary to ever become public?

Brew Crew might have something to say about that!

Brewers certainly look like the team to beat to my eyes

Who is the target audience for Limu Emu and Doug?

Stoners?

Haters of all that is good and right?

We should have Jeff and August face off against each in podcast before the WS starts.

* said with the caveat, I have no power to make this happen.

Are there Fangraphs alumni reunions at the Winter Meeting ever?

All the time, and Saberseminar. Though team employees have more restrictive schedules during Winter Meetings.

Wow

That was a fun bunt

This is a real fun team

Ill admit that was super smart and well executed.

Just a great opportunity to catch them off guard: relatively fast runner who can't really hit anyway, lefty reliever on the mound

If the WS is Milwaukee against Tampa, it should be a very entertaining defense and baserunning show. When was the last time there was more team speed than that in the World Series?

Probably one of those Royals teams with Dyson, Cain, Gore, etc

So quickly you forget Eckstein… FJM remembers…

But KC played the Giants, who I don't remember as overly fast.

I did not think Kwan had a chance in the world there

This inning has had some serious excitement

Kwan has the best weak arm in baseball

The one-run-per-inning thing looks to be in jeopardy.

oh well.

love me an exciting scoreless inning (when it's not my team failing)

The circumstances are setting up for Rasmussen to potentially go deep in this game

Cleveland really needs a baserunner. It's been a too long.

there ya go

the challenge furthered the stated goal.

I've been getting some other work done, and I swear every time I looked up the Rays were on base.

That's a good challenge.

What does it say about the state of these commercials all month that I'm grateful for a Wendy's ad?

it says you are sane

I like that they are bringing back the yellow packaging.

Now we need more solariums.

Magic 8 ball says Sabrowski

Holy cow

I mean, Walls certainly isn't in there for his bat

The margin feels much bigger than 3 runs

I've used the word feckless a lot in the last 30 minutes talking about Cleveland's offense.

Not one feck

In all seriousness the biggest difference in this game has been defensive positioning… Rays =Great, CLE=Bad

On the broadcast the other day, they compared Rasmussen to Doc Halladay… feels apt after this postseason

Is it just me or could Sabrowski be Messicks brother?

Another TB baserunner…I looked up at the TV.

Not for long!

That was the first time all series Bazzana did that right

Was he even running?

Do teams give players scouting reports for the likely defensive alignment they will face on a given night vs a given team vs a given pitcher… Do we know the level of detail in that sort of prep?

That was middle-middle to both Kwan and Ramirez

Alright Cleveland is awake

🥱

Here we go

now its up to everyones favorite former angels player

sike never mind

lol shortest half inning ever

I’ve been shouting at the team to take Rasmussen out but did he listen to me? Nooooo.

Welcome to my world with Vogt.

The reverse communication function on TVs never works as well as it should.

Stunning to see Cash, notorious for yanking pitchers, leave Rasmussen in.

Surprised Rasmussen doesn't use that changeup more

Brilliant to not challenge in order to forgo the strikeout in favor of the double play

That’s advanced fortune telling

ah, not challenging because you had the double-play pitch charged up, Rays are streets ahead

80-grade reference

Well of course you’re gonna lose weight if you have diarrhea, nausea, and vomiting

Ah man I was hoping all three would

Oh man I was hoping all three would hit each other

I don't love taking out your best hitter in the 8th

Has DeLuca hit a ball?

It's always an adventure with DeLauter

That is a very kind way of saying it

Not a huge fan of chasing this game with Cade Smith with no more off days.

Vogt strikes again!

Cleveland bullpen would look way deeper with Clase

Cade here is…questionable

two more ABs for cleveland though… Vogt betting on his bats

Is Stephen Vogt trying to mismanage the bullpen so badly that he gets fired and can take the open Seattle job so that his wife gets to be by her family again?

4D Chess

I think I want JoRam up to lead off the 9th if I'm Vogt

Unless I want the seattle job I guess

Kwan on fire today

Really bad swing decision, but it worked out for him.

nice wedge play there

The visiting bullpen labyrinth shot

Ahh man I like Booser

Feels like you have to go to Baker here, even if it burns him for the 9th

That was huge

If I’ve learned anything from these commercials it’s that Americans are very sick and very in need of insurance

Jake Bauers should get an insurance commercial gig

This is correct.

Yep

I take that back. We are in need of health care.

Oh wow was that pitch outside

There’s a lot of depressed vampires here tonight. I mean broken bats.

Yandy is…inevitable.

Wondering what happens if the Guards come back and we go to extras without Yandy and Junior.

Dogs and cats living together, it’ll be anarchy!

This is a lot of pitches for Smith given that he's basically guaranteed to pitch in every remaining game in this series

Martinez in there for defense?

Not the ball-catching kind. A different kind.

He is Vogt's talisman this year… Why there is one obviously terrible player who he decides to ride into defeat each year is another question all together.

White Flag warming up in the bullpen.

Poor guy.

Did you see the moon behind him?

Kwans game

That catch sounded weird, right? Like the double tap of a foul tip.

Ohhhh. It bounced off the wall — but THROUGH his glove.

Imagine if that matters… says the CLE fan hopefully.

Kwan trying to win this game himself

Kwan is the defensive replacement

Mesa (and Junior) need to stop being selfish

WOW

what a giant glove

Who is this guy in the AT&T commercials? His voice is odd.

He's the new Lily. Prepare to see him even more during the NCAA tournament.

He’s no Lily.

You people leave the sound on for commercials?

Yah…

I mean the remote is at least two feet away…

Given the nature of the adds in Ohio… off is the only option. Like leave the game muted to avoid the breaks only option.

Good AB dude

lol wth dude

oof

How many times do you practice that?

Knoblauch

i thought lowe tattooed that

in an elevator shaft

Adell … the first pitch and it was right in the heart again…

I mean I’m for the Rays but credit to the Guards, they never give up

may cost them tomorrow if the Rays get to Sabrowski, Gaddis or Cade…

But it may not!

Definitely one of those options

can't wait for the 6-5 game tomorrow

What am I going to do when the WS is over 😭😭😭

stare out the window and wait for spring… or read Fangraphs

Alright everyone. We got at least one more LCS game tomorrow. See you then!


Sunday Notes: NYY Prospect Dax Kilby is Debuting New Mechanics in the Desert

Dax Kilby is among the higher-profile prospects currently honing his skills in the Arizona Fall League. A 19-year-old shortstop whom the New York Yankees drafted 39th overall last year out of a Georgia high school, he ranks third in the Bombers system and No. 103 on The Board. Making up for missed time is part of why Kilby is in the desert. As Eric Longenhagen explained in his AFL preview, the 50 FV prospect dealt with a severe hamstring injury for much of 2026. He has shown promise with when healthy. This season, Kilby slashed a solid .242/.427/.403 with a 143 wRC+ over 154 plate appearances with Low-A Tampa.

How does the youngster view his early-career acclimation to pro ball?

“As I didn’t go to college, I’m seeing a lot better pitching,” Kilby told me on AFL media day. “I think that reveals a lot about who you are as a hitter. My first year, I was hitting a lot of ground balls [a 54.4% rate across 58 PAs] and using my speed to my advantage. That was definitely a change from high school, where the pitching isn’t as good and you can get into balls more often, for more power.”

Longenhagen and Brendan Gawlowski are both bullish on Kilby’s potential to do damage going forward. Addressing the 6-foot-2, 190-pound lefty swinger’s quick hands in his recent scouting notebook, Gawlowski wrote that “the way he’s able to pull them in and turn around velocity is in a class with the Max Clarks and Kevin McGonigles of the world.”

Kilby worked on mechanical changes in the weeks leading up to the AFL season. As he explained, the Yankees have him starting narrower and more open, the objective being two-fold: (1) allowing him to be more adjustable to different pitches, and (2) getting him more into his back hip, increasing the number of balls he is driving in the air. While his 40.2 GB% this year was an improvement from 2025’s pro-debut, it was still far from optimal.

Radically alternating his stroke isn’t part of the equation. Read the rest of this entry »


Who Needs a Dome? Rays Even ALCS in Frigid Game 4

David Richard-Imagn Images

If you’re keeping score at home, the ALCS has now gone back and forth twice. On a frigid Saturday night in Cleveland, Tampa Bay’s big bats finally woke up. The Rays beat the Guardians, 7-3, to win Game 4 and even the series at 2-2. The game was originally scheduled for Friday night, but pouring rain destroyed that plan. The low temperature and a light west-southwest breeze kept multiple would-be homers in the ballpark, and the rain-soaked grass slowed down balls in the outfield. However, it didn’t stop the Rays from scoring more than three runs for the first time in the series. The Rays were more aggressive than the Guardians in terms of asking their best arms to get big outs. They countered a Cleveland bullpen game with a surprising amount of starting pitching, and they got big performances from Yandy Díaz, Junior Caminero, and Jonathan Aranda. The series is now guaranteed to end in St. Petersburg.

Both teams had the option to adjust their pitching plans after the rain banged Friday night’s game. The Rays could have thrown their ace, Drew Rasmussen on regular rest, rather than scheduled starter Nick Martinez. However, they knew they still would have needed Martinez later in the series, and it made sense for manager Kevin Cash to stick with his plan. Things were more complicated for Guardians manager Stephen Vogt.

With none of his most trusted starters available on normal rest on Friday, Vogt had no choice but to plan on a bullpen game, even though his bullpen was overworked. The postponement gave his relievers a much-needed game of rest. It also gave him the opportunity to hand the ball back to Game 1 starter Foster Griffin. Getting some length from Griffin would have been huge, because the postponement meant that if the series went seven games, the teams would play four games in a row, once again taxing the bullpen. However, Vogt stuck with opener Shawn Armstrong, and was cagey with reporters before the game when asked whether Griffin would pitch. It seemed like his plan for cobbling together nine innings was very contingent on how the game unfolded. Read the rest of this entry »


Members-Only Game Thread: ALCS – Oct 17, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALCS game today. Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual staff Q&A chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Hi everyone! The weather looks clear though cold in Cleveland tonight. https://www.wunderground.com/hourly/us/oh/cleveland

Poll is the same as yesterday, since we didn't play that game.

elsewhere in the midwest, a millvillemeltdown realizes they forgot all their hoodies, sweatshirts, and light jackets when packing

I broke mine out again this morning.

Hello, Sean.

Hi!

i love hoodie weather. slightly less pleasant without the hoodie though

i borrowed a cardigan that is just a bit too threadbare to protect against the wind

Sweatshirt weather is the best weather.

14 hours at an analytics conference and I am ready for a break *immediately logs into FanGraphs*

Hopefully this is more fun. Though, any analytics conference sounds fun to me right now, too.

For those who have never been, CLE is not like SF in fall. That 43 feels like 35 at most.

i spent a bit of time in the bay area one december and was thoroughly unimpressed

my staunch opinion, and maybe this is informed by abnormal physiology, is that hoodie/sweatshirt weather extends past 0°C

to my chagrin, i was raised in the South

Any reason why neither team went with their game 1 starter tonight? Wouldn't they be on regular rest now?

hubris

a less flippant answer might depend on, like, the pregame work they did yesterday?

It looks like Griffin will be the bulk guy actually. Not sure why you keep Rasmussen out for a day though

granted he didn't look too sharp his last start

Would starting tomorrow line up his throw day with Game 7 potentially?

Maybe? But you'd think pitching today would only make him more rested for a possible game 7

May have something to do with now having to play 4 days in a row with no travel day.

Yeah I guess this makes it more likely you can use both Martinez and Rasmussen in a potential game 7, but that seems pretty specific

Over under on combined K's tonight? I am setting the line at 19.

on one hand, kwan and simpson. but on the other, Jordon Scott Adell

Ya Cle is not that K prone and neither is tampa (lowest in MLB)… but both pitching staffs are.

Love the full name lol… for reasons inexplicable to even myself, I still say Clifton Pfifer Lee whenever his name is mentioned

his name isn't joseph! which the mariners did not know when they let him rob 3 hrs

Tom Emanski is upset.

Zombie Tom Emanski is an available username

It would be a great idea to do an article about a sloppy defensive game from the point of view of Tom Emanski. I'm writing that down.

second

davy singlehandedly keeping notgraphs running like weekend at bernie's

Please make sure to include a supporting comment from Baseball Superstar Fred McGriff.

ohhh that's why butler is lawdog

Have people picked up on the change in the lyrics that the fans sing for Chase's walkup?

The “hit a homer”? Yeah, that’s pretty awesome.

Did not expect a Kyle Lohse name drop! Loved that guy

now why are you running on Victor Mesa Jr

Hello all!

Pretty fantastic stuff from Griffin that inning

Is nine pitches and two strikeouts good?

I didnt like the move at the deadline… I thought that they traded Will Dion (6+years) for Will Dion (.5 years)…. I was very likely wrong….

wills dion are fleeting, ephemeral… flags fly forever…

fleeting and ephemeral is exactly how I would have described Griffins first half at the time… lol… Like I said it was a bad take.

we'll see how dion develops, he looks to be solid at least

when did they add the "ball in dirt" animation to gameday

If Aranda runs through there, wonder if everyone is safe

i think it'd only work if they were trying to stay out of the dp

because if the pivot holds onto the ball, they can try and catch him between 2b-3b

That's probably true. Just looked weird to stop right in front of a force out

Yeah Aranda looks like he slipped a bit. It was a closer play than they made it out to be.

Petey Halpin always finds the action

With all the love in my heart, he caught that like a Petey

A remarkable athletic play that was like 20% derpy

What was the exit velo and angle on that?… I have a feeling on a warmer night that was out

110.7, 29 degrees, per Gameday

110.7, 29

110.7 at 29 degrees

"xba 1.000"

out in 17/30

So Petey covers 13 stadiums. News you can use

cheers guys!!

interestingly, both cle and tb in the parks it's not a hr in

If I back calculate an Xdistance from the numbers I get 433 which is definitely out in both…

depends heavily on atmospheric factors + spin

for sure. That was for neutral wind and normal cle temp/humidity… should have used game conditions

also was in that odd pocket where the tall wall starts

TNT doing an embedded Waste Management ad instead of letting the audience hear the crowd sing was a choice

thankfully hammy and rosey calling attention to it

Brutal for Walls

do they gotta put genao on for tbazz?

Boy with possibly 4 straight days of games I'd be trying to get more innings from Griffin who looked mostly really good tonight

If anyone here has any logic to how Vogt uses the bullpen ever let me know because I have given up… I think its literally a magic 8 ball.

if he goes to gaddis or smith today i'm going to be really disappointed

Pick the worst possible reliever and the worst possible time and prepare for disappointment. Just not Festa… he is a MYTH

If it's close he will absolutely use them

matt festa, zero innings pitched

espino this early bodes poorly for me

Espino being nasty makes me happy. Hopefully he gets a solid career

Yeah, even if he’s just a filthy reliever that would be great given we all assumed his career was shot

Legit think they should make him a short stint starter next year and just go for something like 120 innings… If the BB rate is under 4.5 he is going to be very very good.

he sure feels like a leverage guy rn

Googling MLBPA service time pension milestones…let’s get him to 4 years before they try to stretch him out again

i think bazz should not steal here. he probably will try to, though

Two big double plays in the fifth

1.000 ops Bailey was amazing while it lasted

That feels like something you can’t do and win

ya walking 2 guys for JCam is a bad plan

Guessing 116 on that one

Another 110 but absolutely smoked

Hit his spot at 98 and Junior did that. He’s so good.

gave up the run but one of the best things in baseball is a good outfield relay. Kwan played it well off the wall and made a quick throw, keeping one of the fastest players in baseball at 3rd

Tootblan?

Tootblan

contact play= not TOOTBLAN…???

So am I wrong that infield in is dumb here?

Seems like runs are nearly impossible to come by this postseason, so I get it

I mean, that was a heck of a pick by Lowe

The slide was 2 feet from home plate

My most dad quality is reflexively saying "Nice block" whenever I'm watching baseball, even if I'm alone in my apartment.

Also, hi

Guards have been doing this all post-season—stopping the big inning. They gotta feel pretty good with only one there.

ESPN win probability estimate says the Rays went from 79% WP after the Caminero double to 60% now. Huge escape there

Is the plan to pitch Peralta in this inning and start him in G6?

Center field is not where the hits are tonight

Middle infield is, though

I thought DeLauter probably should've caught that

That looked so catchable…

He was too busy pretending to attempt to catch it

Is that a swing by automated checks?

Ball dont lie I guess

Yandy if there were ever a time to challenge, that was it

Yandy is so committed to the never challenging bit

I do hope they go through with the new check swing rule they're testing in the minors

oof

This is a rough inning for DeLauter

OH NO

HE GRISHAM'D IT

Wow, DeLauter looking like a good DH today

Petey Halpin needs to play every position

infield in = dumb… I am vindicated?

If Cleveland scores 3, definitely.

Chandler Simpson hitting a ball >300 feet, what a time to be alive.

WHY NO THROW??? I know it was near pointless but so is not throwing

Guess no one is challenging anything tonight?!

too cold

So I missed this earlier, I assume Peralta is scheduled to be the game 6 starter and today is just a throw day, so no adverse consequence?

I dont know what that is in the bullpen but I am positive that it is not the REAL Festa….

Patty barrels makes way for Pummelin' Petey

Playoff Patty poking Posey in the eye

Jk Pummelin' Petey is getting pinch-hit for

Bailey for Tugboat I adored at the time… looks better every day.

Honestly if Buster Posey calls with a trade idea, just say yes

My Guardians fan friend has taken to calling Angel Martinez "Devil" because of his recent struggles

Back to back hits by Bazzana and Bailey:
107.8 EV, 21º, 374 ft.
107.9 EV, 20º, 375 ft.

As a Yankee fan, who is this person and what did he do to Ian Seymour

ah, good, more intense baseball for me

INFIELD IN=DUMB!

Guardsball! I yell over and over. My dogs are hiding under the bed but I can’t stop yelling Guardsball!

After the NL series, I’m not used to the bullpens allowing so many runs.

Resource scarcity. Used to be you had several Ashbys available. These days there’s just the one

If this is Festa now… I am going to start cheering for the Rays.

time to change that team flair then

This is the first time I’ve seen him throw and I’m enjoying his whole deal so far

Festa is by no means terrible… which is why it was soo soo odd that he was never used to this point and still kept on the roster… it was/is maddening.

I just got home from seeing the Nathan Fielder movie about the fraud lady, which is completely insane. I gather there has been a lot of Ray and then more recently some modest Guard.

A comedy? Love me some NATHAN FOR YOU

It's supposedly a documentary, but with Fielderish layers.

You did this Vogt… You broke me!

Seymour almost just ruined the entire game for the Rays

There’s still time

I will say this, the Guards are showing why they deserved to win over CWS

Vogt’s going to start pitching everyone on 3 weeks rest now

Booth gassing up Seymour to get 9 outs fell apart fast.

Yah they clearly saw Seymour

The slo mo replays of Guards hitting him really highlighted his head whack. It was probably 50% camera angle and 50% knowing the result of the AB but it looked wild.

Maybe Aranda is deaf like Nate Lowe

Ah we're into the alliterative part of the Tampa Bay bullpen

Pitchers are supposed to pitch STRIKES, right?

Nope, supposed to get OUTS.

Thats the game with the bigger ball and the smooth pieces of wood on the floor.

Soooo close

Pitcher #653

Smith is up… WTF VOGT!@@!@!@@!!!

It's his bullpen day

He's committed to driving you away

All catchers hate pitchers.

I think that ball is still going

It’s in the lake, but not the one you’re thinking of

ooh

I wonder if Cam Booser ever faced Seth Beer in the minors.

Guys its been good… Vogt is about to bring in Smith because the 8 ball (PG version) said so…. Im gonna need a new hobby… suggestions?

Saved by the actually good decision to leave in Festa's robot clone… lets bring back a bit of the flair…

Well, that might just about do it.

He doesn't hit that off Smith! /s

Oof this game was interesting for a bit.

[SpongeBob 'aight imma head out' meme]

And now a new pitcher burned… WHY? JUST WHY???

I’m surprised that went out

I thought it was going foul off the bat. I am … not a smart man.

Ange- err, flappy bois in the outfield carried it a bit farther

Same

I was really enjoying Festa’s whole deal

i completely fell asleep and woke up to the chekov's festa

I am not joking when I say that Vogt is so bad at bullpen strategy that he should be removed from all decisions.

TNT needs to check back in on that sad lady with the row of empty Miller Lites

Not impressed with the home ump

Really bringing in Baker?!?

it sounds like he's been warm, you don't want to (ahem) "dry hump" him too much

Cash is jealous of Vogt's MOTY trophies.

lol even the score bug knew that was a ball

Junior having a hard time finding the ball

Whoa, Cantillo bullying Junior with three straight changeups.

Anyone else think Tampa should have tried to finish this out without using Baker? You potentially play 4 days in row here and at minimum need to play three days in a row. I feel like I’d try to preserve him in a non-save situation

Ya this is a horrible horrible use of Baker.

Cash is honoring Joe Maddon by bringing his closer into a non save situation in Cleveland. Surely these extra reps won’t come back to bite Tampa

So which of these teams would be more of a challenge for MIL? I feel like either staff would be vulnerable to the relentlessness, but TBR could at least hit some homers to compensate, particularly if Junior ever wakes up.

rays absolutely a better team. cleveland is more pesky than good

I think of Tampa as like 85% of what Milwaukee put together. They do all the same things just not as good.

Cleveland would be a tougher series for Milwaukee. Cold weather, playoff tested, better rotation and bullpen

its 7 games I would ballpark the actual odds difference at around 1.5% in favor of the Rays vs MIL vs CLE

good call by hammy, baker's velo is down

Series is tied! We might get 7 games here.

the proximate brewers fan: yes… ha ha ha… YES!!!

he's sitting 92 after averaging 96ish?

Alright everyone! Let's do this again tomorrow around 5PM ET.


FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: October 17, 2026

Jerome Miron and Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

One of the great underrated joys of baseball is a competitive best-of-seven series that ends in five games. Think the 2024 World Series, when the only game the Dodgers lost was also the only game that was decided by more than three runs. The series scoreboard suggests that it was lopsided, but the individual games were absolutely riveting.

Even more overlooked is the enthralling four-game sweep, which is so rare that we are morally obligated to appreciate it when we see one. For that reason, it is my duty as a baseball writer to marvel at the NLCS that just transpired, when the Brewers came from behind in each of the four games to topple the dynastic Dodgers. Michael Baumann covered the series in Milwaukee and Los Angeles, and you should definitely check out his writing on the action if you haven’t already.

In this week’s mailbag, we’re putting together the best all-time roster of players who’ve never played in the World Series, and considering whether they’d beat an All-Star team from the clubs in this year’s Championship Series. We’re also answering your questions on what would happen if hit-by-pitches were treated as regular balls, and 1-0 games that feature a first-pitch home run. But first, I’d like to remind you that this mailbag is exclusive to FanGraphs Members. If you aren’t yet a Member and would like to keep reading, you can sign up for a Membership here. It’s the best way to both experience the site and support our staff, and it comes with a bunch of other great benefits. Also, if you’d like to ask a question for an upcoming mailbag, send me an email at mailbag@fangraphs.com. Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 2545: Dodgered a Bullet

EWFI
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please visit our Patreon.

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley talk primarily (though not exclusively) about the Brewers’ NLCS sweep of the Dodgers: how it happened, the highs and lows, and what the outcome of the rematch does and doesn’t mean for the perception of the sport, the reality of the league and its labor outlook, the future of the Dodgers, and more.

Audio intro: Xavier LeBlanc, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Daniel Leckie, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to NLCS stats
Link to Ben on the sweep
Link to Ben on predicting sweeps
Link to Ringer art
Link to Caravaggio original
Link to Bobblehead character
Link to Bobblehead article
Link to Dol Guldur wiki
Link to Ohtani homer
Link to Ohtani on 2027
Link to gamers quote
Link to roster breakdowns
Link to BP on Snell’s command
Link to Baumann on Snell and Cash
Link to three-inning-save query
Link to Pages double
Link to market-size ranking
Link to Lucas quote
Link to Andrew Norton site

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00:21:08

Members-Only Game Thread: ALCS – Oct 16, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALCS game today. Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual staff Q&A chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

the brewers fan in my vicinity has stated "i don't care who wins this series, only that it goes 7" which. i think is fair at this point

but wouldn't MIL lose some of its momentum?

how massive is milwaukee. i figure their collective inertia should carry them a while

7 games with two extra inning games in TBR.

Though there's two off days between a game 7 and game 1 of the WS. Which is plenty of time of a bullpen to recover. SP might not be lined up.

I wouldn't mind more baseball games.

without giving away too much, i got an interview in baseball thanks to seeing a posting on fangraphs! thanks fangraphs!

eyo, grats!

that's awesome! good luck!

congrats!

did you have to fight through AI resumes and AI HR screening?

… don't remind me of the hell that awaits me after my thermo midterm…

honestly no, it was a pretty lightweight application and process thus far

I'm scared if I had to apply for jobs again.

i'm hearing all my classmates complain about r. i have never used r. i keep reading that i should learn r, upskilling and whatnot, and i just don't want to.

i wrestle with computers enough… i don't want to do more wrestling… i don't want to wrestle a computer to make the computer wrestle more computer…

When I was in college more than 15 years ago I also had classmates learning R. If it's still in use now, that's an eternity in computer time so maybe learning it is a better investment than learning some other things?

i will be honest, i just don't enjoy stats! i think it'd probably be good for me, but i took quantum with that intention last year and it was not very pleasant.

I bet the Rays at 25/1 to win the AL East (thanks to FG projections), so I've been a fan all year. I kinda like them at +155 to win the Series, but the Sim says I need 2/1, so I'm reluctantly gonna pass.

You would have lost money if you bet against the Brewers because of our projections.

I've lost money betting against the Brewers the last THREE years!!

Sorry about that!

But had the 2 long shot AL East winners (TOR/TB) because of FG. That makes up for a lot of OV/UND misses.

It looks quite wet in Cleveland. Tarp just got put back on…so that's not good.

Tarps on is just not compatible with baseball in 2026.

I didn't realize the game was going to be delayed when I posted up on the couch, and now I've got a sleeping cat on my lap and my book is in the other room.

I've never looked up Cleveland's weather so much as I have in the last week.

mike trout would be so disappointed in you

I look up weather a lot. Just not Cleveland.

And sunrise and sunset.

I learned R in grad school and it (in addition to my non-coding skills) has kept me in steady work since 2021 ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

im in a similar spot, but i did Python instead of R

I live on the other side of Lake Erie and all of our storms come from the general direction of Cleveland

I've been slowly building up the Python skill, mostly for ArcGIS

Oooo…are we turning this into a coding chat? I'm in!

Until we get baseball?

what do you use to code the chats? i assume its mostly javascript?

if it turns into a coding chat, do I need to leave or will I learn something?

neither, we'll probably be incompressible and boring with a dumb joke every now and then

Sean actually has his own bespoke programming language just for fangraphs? /snark

Most disappointing thing is sitting down on the couch with delivered pizza in hand and seeing a tarp on the field.

Hey, at least you have pizza. I have cat.

But think of the people who are seeing a tarp and *don't* have pizza!

Cat? Side note, our 15 year old cat just caught a fly. That was exciting.

the cat i live with is trying to convince us that he has never been fed

what toppings?

The kids are cheese and so am I.

My favorite pizza in town is a Beef Tostada though.

I'm couchlocked by a sleeping tabby (see above)

Our orange tabby just got off the couch to wait for his food in 90 minutes.

Our front end is NextJS. We still have a handful of pages that still use .NET webforms which is old.

So the front end of chat is in Next/React/JS.

I see the chat polls are a lot more realistic now for who's going to win. Game 1 was 91% for the Rays.

Chat backend is .NET, so C#.

R gang member, reporting for duty

Which this is a lot like some corporate stacks and in turn a lot of teams have tech stacks similar to this. Or at least had a few years ago.

Python >>>>> R

brought to you by the Python Gang

i am decent enough at python that i think i can read docs and be vaguely competent

my partner knows ???frontend??? as well as everything else from cs undergrad. but i know not

Been a while since I logged on to a Fangraphs chat and understood nothing of what was being said. But I know what wrc+ stands for! Is that worth nothing???

what's a run? are they like points?

Yes, but also literally a guy running, which is a necessity; see Merkle, Fred.

Part of me wishes we used more python, but in the end it doesn't matter too much. I also don't do as much with our ETL process.

and sean joins the python gang…

We really ought to bring boner back as a term for messing up

but why doesn't the ball go in the goal?

See, now I'm thinking of Andres Cantor calling a home run

Also, don't know what's happening in Cleveland, but I'm a couple hours west and it's barely drizzling if anything.

if i had my hands on the fan graphs code, id definitely convert more to python and add more plotly style interactive visuals

What would the visuals be?

id focus on the interactive parts more – like adding visuals for all the leaders tables and hovertext, filtering, employing splits filtering into visuals too

We need to add custom photoemojis. I surprisingly use an Austin Hedges one a lot in my baseball group chat. And since Hedges was a league average hitter this year (wRC+ 😉), it was used a lot.

It's wired up to use a .png. We have to hard code it in there, but it's ready for it.

I would add a notification system to the comments so that I would know if somebody replied to me. Would be much easier to waste my days yapping about baseball!

We might be able to do that now. Part of me wants to rip out WP's comment system for a modified version of chat.

Email is the easy notification for this. Probably could do app notifications too.

i also wanna know if my jokes in the comments get likes or not

HOOOOOOOONNNNNRROOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOON

also i have several baseball themed emojis that i abuse in my baseball discords, would love them here

The storm is reaching across the lake now, don't know if that means it's moving away from Cleveland or just quite large

It's moving south and east. So I think it's clearing up now.

Does the tabby get food before baseball starts?

Mine was fed before scheduled first pitch.

Ours is 7 AM, noon, 6 PM, and 9 PM

I'm understanding about half the coding words being discussed here? maybe less?

I'm a field biologist by training so if we get beyond the analysis stuff I actually do I'm pretty much with you. The main thing is to get good enough at the basics so you can work through solutions to the thornier problems by leaning on StackOverflow, etc.

another fun thing we can do while we wait is a friend of mine sent this questionnaire supposedly a baseball team used for job screenings

if my link is allowed?

gotcha

Coding, 1908 references, cats trapping people on couches, Cleveland weather. This chat is LIT!!!

Bad weather along the Great Lakes… kinda wish I had an Edmund Fitzgerald Porter now

I remember drinking a lot of Railbender when I was up in Erie.

Hard to come by in Denver

Usually when I am at a chat on Fangraphs about baseball I feel like I have a strong understanding of the subject but my slash line about what is being talked about here is .000/.000/.000.

This is why they don't let me on these often.

two more chat coding feature requests – uploading images and ability to delete your own comment

Don't make the same mistake I did and start giving a cat three meals a day. I could believe that in theory you could break the cat of the habit, but it would inflict so much pain and suffering that it's not worth it. I can barely hold him to just the three

Welp.

We're going to have to do this tomorrow/Sunday.

This was the best non-game game thread we've ever had!

Same time tomorrow for game 4. Then game 5 will be Sunday at 5PM ET.

whens the last time a playoff game got rained out