Sunday Notes: Chase DeLauter is Healthy and Sitting Fastballs With Much Success

Chase DeLauter is having a strong rookie season. The top hitter on a Cleveland Guardians team that ranks in the bottom half of the junior circuit in runs scored, he has 16 home runs to go with a .287/.363/.457 slash line and a 131 wRC+ over 559 plate appearances. His production — thanks in part to good health — doesn’t come as a surprise. As Eric Longenhagen and Brendan Gawlowski wrote when ranking him atop our 2026 Guardians Top Prospect list, “The oft-injured DeLauter has only played 140 professional games… [but] projects as a middle-of-the-order hitter.”

Approach-wise, he is a hitter who doesn’t get too deep into the weeds when it comes to his craft (my recent conversation with him brought to mind this summer’s Talks Hitting interview with Mike Trout). I had gotten that impression speaking to DeLauter three years ago when he was playing for the High-A Lake County Captains, and not much has changed.

“I try not to think too much about my swing,” the 24-year-old outfielder told me last week. “Of course, there are small adjustments here and there, but I’ve swung the same way my whole life. It’s what got me here, and it is what’s going to carry me through. I’m the same dude, the same guy.”

What works works, but at the same time, the 2022 first-rounder out of James Madison University now has access to more data than ever before. He must tap into it. Right?

“I don’t like looking at that stuff,” DeLauter stated. “I’m more old-school. It’s about what feels good [and] what looks good. That’s what I care about. There are guys who play that kind of game, but they’re better thinkers. I’m not that good of a thinker for things like that. For me, it’s about trusting my roots.”

Fair enough, but even so, he’d been in the lineup against hard-throwing left-hander Payton Tolle the night before, and now he was about to go up against right-handed spin monster Sonny Gray. The approach against such disparate hurlers can’t be exactly the same?

“I mean, it is though,” DeLauter replied to my supposition. “Sit on a fastball and [bleeping] hit it. Whatever they throw me in the strike zone, whether it’s the fastball or something else, if it looks good, I’m going. My goal is to hit the ball as hard as I can and pray to the baseball gods that they take care of it.

“I mean, I’m not going up there blindly,” he went on to clarify. “I am looking at the report in the dugout before I go up to the plate. I have their fastball velocity in the back of my mind, but outside of that, I basically just go up there and hit.”

And again, DeLauter has been hitting very well. With October baseball on the doorstep, how would he assess his season to date?

“My only goal for the year was to stay as healthy as possible and contribute any way that I can,” DeLauter said. “I wanted to play as many games as I could. I’ve had some nicks and bruises here and there, but overall I have done a good job of managing myself, obviously with the help of our staff. I grade my season as a success in that way. The numbers are going to fluctuate from year to year. For me, availability is the best ability. That’s what I’m chasing.”

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RANDOM HITTER-PITCHER MATCHUPS

Chase Utley went 1 for 19 against Jake Arrieta.

Justin Turner went 1 for 23 against Jon Lester.

Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1 for 15 against Kyle Hendricks.

Cody Ross went 1 for 15 against Jason Hammel.

Jim Thome went 0 for 18 against John Lackey.

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Pete Crow-Armstrong has batted out of the leadoff position for much of the season, and it’s hard to argue with the results. The Chicago Cubs have scored the most runs in the senior circuit, and the presumptive NL MVP has dominated opposing pitchers to the tune of a 156 wRC+. Moreover, PCA has launched 45 home runs and swiped 41 bags.

I was on hand when Craig Counsell addressed the 24-year-old superstar’s spot in the batting order in late August. One of the things he touched on was the value of having an especially dangerous hitter at the plate to begin the game.

“I think that’s real,” the Cubs manager said in reply to Jeff Agrest of the Chicago Sun-Times (apologies if I’m misremembering who broached the subject). “Jim Leyland used to talk about that a little bit. He led off Cliff Floyd in 1998, I believe. There was just a presence there for the opposing pitcher immediately, from the get-go, that I thought he was right about. Pete is absolutely providing that.”

———

The Cubs won a Wild Card series against the San Diego Padres last year, only to then lose to the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLDS. How are they set up to perform in the about-to-begin postseason? Jed Hoyer, the team’s president of baseball operations, was pragmatic when I asked him that question on Friday.

“I’ve been doing this too long to try to predict that,” Hoyer stated. “There are years you go in feeling fantastic — everyone is healthy, everything is lined up — and you play poorly. There are also years where things are in question and you go in and play great. In the playoffs you’re playing against a really good opponent. We’re a really good team, but trying to predict how we are going to perform based on how we’re performing now… I don’t think that really ever bears fruit. Like I said, we have a good team and we’re going to play a good team. Hopefully we’ll show our our best selves when we get there.”

The Cubs came into today’s regular season finale having lost 11 of their last 18 games.

———

A quiz:

Every active franchise has thrown at least one no-hitter in the modern era (since 1901). Which franchise has produced the most no-hitters?

Bonus question: Which pitcher threw the most no-hitters for that franchise?

The answer can be found below.

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NEWS NOTES

SABR announced the finalists for its Dorothy Seymour Mills Lifetime Achievement Award. More information on the finalists — Sarah Langs, Jeneane “Lefty” Lesko, Maud Nelson, Janet Marie Smith, and Lisa Turbitt — can be found here.

Denny Matthews called his 8,000th game for the Kansas City Royals on Friday. The 83-year-old broadcaster was behind the mic when the franchise played its first game in 1969, and he plans to return for his 59th season in 2027.

The Detroit Tigers announced multi-year contract extensions with television play-by-play voice Jason Benetti and radio play-by-play voice Dan Dickerson. As Tigers fans can attest, both are among the best in the business.

Jim Rittwage, a right-hander who logged a 4.15 ERA over 26 innings while appearing in eight games for the Cleveland Indians in 1970, died on August 28 at age 81 (per Baseball Player Passings). On September 25 of that year he moved from the mound to third base for three batters, then returned to the hill. Six days earlier he’d gone the distance in his only career start, earning his lone win.

———

The answer to the quiz is the Dodgers, with 22. The answer to the bonus question is Sandy Koufax, with four.

———

Anthony Seigler was solid with the stick this season. Serving in a part-time role with the Boston Red Sox, the 27-year-old infielder not only logged a 102 wRC+ over 173 plate appearances, he contributed multiple clutch hits along the way.

Who most stood out among the pitchers he faced?

“I would say Dylan Cease and Yoshinobu Yamamoto,” Seigler told me recently. “One of those two. Pick your poison. Both know how to command the zone and keep you off balance. It’s fun to compete against them, but yeah, those are two pitchers where I was like, ‘Wow, that’s a pretty good arm.’”

Seigler went 0-for-4 with a pair of strikeouts versus Yamamoto, and 0-for-3 with a strikeout and a walk versus Cease. Outside the similarities noted above, how do the right-handers compare?

“As far as movement type and how they’re going to attack you, they’re different,” said Seigler. “Yamamoto has great stuff and can overpower you, but he’s really more moving the ball around, moving your eyes. He does that really well. Cease is more like a power pitcher. He has a great mix. But they both know how to locate and keep you off balance. That’s what makes them difficult, and why they’re two of the best pitchers in [MLB].”

———

Some have speculated that the Arizona Diamondbacks will part ways with Torey Lovullo if the team fails to reach the postseason. Were that to happen — the Snakes’ fate will be determined this afternoon — assigning blame to the franchise’s all-time-winningest manager seems a stretch at best. Despite multiple issues beyond his control — Ketel Marte’s AWOL episode is especially notable — Lovullo’s club comes into the final day of the campaign with 86 wins, a total exceeding that of three AL playoff-qualifiers. Dismissing him on an October-or-bust premise would be unwarranted.

Those things said, I recently talked to Lovullo about the collaborative relationship he has with his bench coach, Jeff Banister. In-game decisions are a big part of it.

“They’re fast-moving conversations,” explained Lovullo, who is in his 10th season at the helm in Arizona. “Banny gives me simple reminders. He gives me suggestions. He gives me his gut feel. Then we chop it up as fast as we possibly can to make the decision within the game.

“We trust our instincts and we trust the matchups,” the veteran manager went on to say. “We’re drawing from the same resources throughout the course of the game. Projections for certain matchups are provided to us. We’re looking at the same data points, and we’re watching the game with the same type of eyes, so we come to some really fast conclusions. Putting the guys in the best position isn’t easy, but we draw from a lot of resources and are looking through the same scope every single inning.”

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FOREIGN AFFAIRS

Ja-wook Koo is slashing .369/.456/.576 with 15 home runs and a 174 wRC+ for the KBO’s Samsung Lions. The 33-year-old outfielder played for Team Korea in this year’s WBC.

Yeong Hyun Park is 6-0 with 27 saves and a 2.54 ERA over 56-and-two-thirds innings for the KBO’s KT Wiz. The 22-year-old right-hander, who also represented Korea in the WBC, has 87 saves across the past three seasons.

Andrés Machado is 3-1 with 35 saves and a 1.20 ERA over 52-and-a-third innings for NPB’s Orix Buffaloes. A member of Team Venezuela in this year’s WBC, the 33-year-old right-hander pitched for the Kansas City Royals in 2017, and for the Washington Nationals from 2021-2023.

Darwinzon Hernández has a 1.51 ERA, a 2.70 FIP, and a 29.9% strikeout rate over 44 appearances comprising 41-and-third innings for NPB’s Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The 29-year-old Venezuelan southpaw pitched for the Boston Red Sox from 2019-2022.

———

A few accomplishments, milestones, and leaders:

Matt Olson is poised to play in his 944th consecutive game today. In doing so, he will have appeared in all 162 in each of the past five seasons.

Kenley Jansen goes into the final game of the season with 498 career saves, Manny Machado with 399 career home runs.

Pete Alonso leads the junior circuit in home runs (43) and RBIs (113). Along with Yordan Alvarez Junior Caminero, and Pete Crow-Armstrong, Alonso is the only player in MLB to both drive in and score at least 100 runs.

Gabriel Moreno leads the senior circuit with a .311 batting average, while Luis Arraez — the three-time batting champion is unlikely to play today due to an ankle injury — is at .310. If Moreno finishes on top he will be the first catcher to lead the league since Buster Posey in 2012.

Eduardo Valencia’s .344 batting average and 180 wRC+ are tops in the junior circuit among batters who have come to the plate at least 100 times. The Detroit Tigers rookie has 134 PAs.

———

Left on the cutting-room floor from Tuesday’s Challenging Career Quiz installment with Ron Coomer were his memories of a southpaw who amassed 219 wins and 42.5 WAR while pitching for six teams over 20 big-league seasons.

“I remember some good matchups against guys who played the cat-and-mouse game with you,” the infielder-turned-Chicago-Cubs-broadcast-analyst told me. “Kenny Rogers was one guy like that. He was great at pitching to a side of the plate. The ball would get there in three different ways. It would get there this way, that way, the other way, cutting it, sinking it — and they would all be on the inside corner or just off the inside corner. He would knock you down, too. There was that intimidation factor he wanted to play with you. And he was good. He ended up being my teammate and I got to watch it from third base. There would be someone at the plate and I’d be thinking, ‘This guy doesn’t have a chance.’”

———

A random obscure former player snapshot:

Scott Loucks recorded the first of his 21 career hits for a team that reached the postseason for the first time in franchise history. Pinch-hitting for Joaquin Andujar on September 3, 1980, the Anchorage, Alaska-born outfielder stroked a single off of John Candelaria in a 10-4 Houston Astros loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Three Rivers Stadium. The knock came in his initial time at the dish. Two days earlier, he had made his MLB debut as a late-inning defensive replacement for longtime Astros stalwart Terry Puhl.

Five years later, he notched the last of his hits in flip-flopped fashion. Wrapping up his 73-game major-league tenure in a Pirates uniform, Loucks lashed a double off of Houston southpaw Bob Knepper in a late-May affair at the Astrodome. His geographical background also bears noting. One of 13 Alaska natives in MLB history, Loucks attended high school in Hawaii, a state that has produced 50 big-leaguers.

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LINKS YOU’LL LIKE

The Athletic’s C. Trent Rosecrans and Ken Rosenthal teamed up to explain why the Cincinnati Reds remain in limbo while other small-market clubs succeed.

Jarren Duran has 20 home runs, 21 stolen bases, and a 70 wRC+. Talk Sox’s Maddie Landis explained how the outfielder’s 20/20 season is the worst in MLB’s live-ball era.

Lookout Landing’s Kate Preusser checked in with Mississauga, Ontario native Josh Naylor, who is wrapping up his first full season as a Seattle Mariner.

Former Chicago White Sox pitching coach Don Cooper passed away earlier this week at age 70. Scott Merkin has the story at MLB.com.

MLB.com’s Thomas Harding wrote about how the Rockies’ rotation shortcomings have the club searching for answers going into 2027.

———

RANDOM FACTS AND STATS

Eight pitchers have been credited with 15 or more wins this season, with none of them reaching the 20 mark. In 1976, a total of 34 pitchers were credited with 15 or more wins, with eight of them reaching the 20 mark.

Justin Verlander has fanned 3,560 batters and allowed 374 home runs. Max Scherzer (who is scheduled to pitch today) has fanned 3,550 batters and allowed 369 home runs.

The five teams in the AL West have combined for a minus-469 run differential.

Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Chandler Simpson has stolen 46 bases in 60 attempts.. The Houston Astros have stolen 50 bases in 72 attempts as a team.

The Cleveland Guardians are the only team that hasn’t had a batter hit at least 20 home runs this season. Angel Martinez leads the club with 18.

Chicago White Sox pitchers have plunked 90 batters, the most in the majors. White Sox batters have reached base via a HPB a total of 100 times, tying them with the Los Angeles Angels for the most in the majors.

Colson Montgomery’s 225 strikeouts are the most in a single season in MLB history. Moreover, since July 28 the 24-year-old shortstop is batting .150 and has fanned 94 times in 218 trips to the plate. Over that same span, Munetaka Murakami is batting .167 and has fanned 97 times in 245 trips to the plate.

On today’s date in 1935, the Chicago Cubs won their 21st consecutive game — and their 100th on the season — to clinch the National League pennant. Stan Hack tripled home the deciding run in the ninth inning of the 5-3 conquest of the St. Louis Cardinals.

On today’s date in 1964, Johnny Callison launched three home runs, only to have his effort go for naught as the Philadelphia Phillies fell to the Milwaukee Braves by a score of 12-8. The defeat, their seventh in a row, knocked the Phillies out of first place. They went on to lose the next three, completing a collapse from what had been a six-and-half-game lead with just 14 games remaining on the schedule.

On tomorrow’s date in 1911, the New York Highlanders (they became known as the Yankees two years later) stole 15 bases and were caught stealing five times in a 19-12 win over the St. Louis Browns.

Players born on today’s date include Bo Hart, a second baseman whose MLB career comprised 88 games for the St. Louis Cardinals across the 2003-2004 seasons. The Creswell, Oregon native began with a bang… only to fizzle and fade away. Hart went 28-for-68 (.412) over his first 15 contests, then just 56-for-241 (.232) thereafter. His given first name was Bodhi.

Also born on today’s date was Doug Konieczny, who along with Steve Gromek, Ted Kazanski, John Paciorek, and Tom Paciorek, is one of five players in MLB history to have attended Hamtramck, Michigan’s St. Ladislaus High School. A right-hander, Konieczny went 7-18 with a 4.93 ERA over 221 innings with the Houston Astros from 1973-1977.


FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: September 26, 2026

Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

We’ve made it to the final weekend of the regular season, and while all but two of the 12 playoff teams have been determined, two divisions titles and one Wild Card berth are still up for grabs. Both the Guardians and White Sox have already clinched a spot in the American League bracket, but only one game separates them in the standings. Cleveland, the first-place team, needs to win the division outright because Chicago owns the tiebreaker. The stakes are high; the victor earns the second seed in the league, a first-round bye, and home-field advantage in the Division Series, while the loser has to play the entire best-of-three Wild Card Series on the road.

The club that finishes second will face either the Astros or the Rangers, who both lost Friday night and fell to 79-81. There’s a very real chance that AL West winner will become the first playoff team ever to finish a full-length season with a losing record. Houston holds the tiebreaker. This race is emblematic of two things wrong with the current rules: 1) We should not allow losing teams to make the postseason, and 2) ties should be settled by one-game playoffs, not math. As if to provide further support for my second point, over in the National League, the surging Diamondbacks are making a last-gasp bid to overcome the reeling Phillies for the final Wild Card spot. Riding a six-game winning streak into Saturday, Arizona is just one game behind the Phillies, but crucially, the Snakes would get in if they finish with the same record. The two teams split their six regular-season matchups — head-to-head record is the first tiebreaker — but the Diamondbacks have the better intra-divisional record, which is the second tiebreaker. Goofy! It’s still going to be a fun baseball weekend, and the playoffs are sure to be a thrill, but think of how much more excitement there would be if we had not one, not two, but three Game 163s on Monday. What could have been.

Before we get to this week’s mailbag, I have one quick programming note. We’ll still be doing our weekly mailbag during the postseason, but we might move around the specific day it runs depending on the playoff schedule. As we did last year, our plan is to do a mailbag before every postseason round, beginning with the Division Series. Also, in case you missed David Appelman’s announcement from Thursday, this year you will need a FanGraphs Membership to read our postseason coverage. You can find all the details in David’s post, but considering our mailbags are also exclusive to FanGraphs Members, most of you reading this probably won’t notice the change. However, what you will notice and appreciate is the other major part of David’s announcement: This October, we’re committed to having staff at every World Series game, allowing for additional reported work and greater access to players and team personnel, with more in-person coverage throughout the earlier rounds as well. In recent years, we’ve had in-person World Series coverage only when the games were played in a city where one of our writers lived. Now, we’ll be there no matter what. If you aren’t yet a Member and would like to both keep reading this mailbag and get access to our postseason coverage, you can sign up for a Membership here. It’s the best way to experience the site and support our staff, and it comes with a bunch of other great benefits. Also, if you’d like to ask a question for an upcoming mailbag, send me an email at mailbag@fangraphs.com. Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 2536: Wrong Division

EWFI
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please visit our Patreon.

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the heroics of Astros outfielder Lucas Spence and the potential for pennant races and postseasons to anoint unlikely heroes, then discuss whether the playoff format puts too much priority on divisions and should incorporate reseeding prior to and/or following the wild card round. They also follow up (28:42) on a few topics from the preceding episode (the Marlins putting starting pitchers in the pen, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s apology, Randy Johnson’s home-defense baseballs), Stat Blast (40:34) about teams improving their winning percentage in several consecutive seasons, hitters who were the worst hitter for one team and the best hitter for a different team in the same season, and franchises that have seen the most visiting teams clinch on their field, before examining (58:19) new baseball and softball TV series. Finally (1:10:51), they talk to Sam Nichols (aka “sportydolphin”) about his MLB/WPBL stats site, the challenges in bringing sabermetrics to a fledgling league and a small-sample season, the WPBL’s most valuable player, league tactics, the WPBL community, and more.

Audio intro: Tom Rhoads, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio interstitial: Ted Berg, “Small Sample Size Song”
Audio outro: Jonathan Crymes, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to Spence story
Link to Axisa on the playoffs
Link to Paine on the playoffs
Link to Normandin on the playoffs
Link to Manfred on the playoffs
Link to Paine on regular-season predictiveness
Link to Junk appearance
Link to latest Guerrero comments
Link to previous Guerrero comment
Link to 1995 RJ article 1
Link to 1995 RJ article 2
Link to RJ vs. Kruk
Link to RJ on EW
Link to Grichuk homer
Link to clinches spreadsheet
Link to 2009 draft first round
Link to Sam on Grichuk
Link to listener emails database
Link to Colin From Accounts wiki
Link to Team Moms: Baseball trailer
Link to THR on Team Moms: Baseball
Link to Team Moms: Baseball review
Link to Kim K. on baseball
Link to Slo Pitch trailer
Link to Slo Pitch wiki
Link to Slo Pitch interview
Link to Heated Rivalry wiki
Link to Farmer Wants a Wife wiki
Link to previous week’s WPBL segment
Link to sportydolphin.fun
Link to The New Yorker on AIM
Link to sportydolphin run values
Link to sportydolphin draft analysis
Link to sportydolphin Scorigami
Link to sportydolphin photos
Link to sportydolphin fan voting
Link to Bradley on the championship
Link to sportydolphin linked writing
Link to D.A. Espinoza newsletter
Link to Mary Mustard newsletter
Link to Sam on LinkedIn
Link to Ben on the pitching shortage

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The Weakest Positions on the Remaining National League Contenders

Brett Davis and Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, and Freddie Freeman were vital contributors to the Braves when they won the 2021 World Series after getting as far as Game 7 of the National League Championship Series against the Dodgers the year before. Half a decade later, all three remain lineup staples — the first two in Atlanta, the third in Los Angeles — but as the postseason approaches, they rate as significant concerns for their respective teams. Though neither Albies nor Riley has turned 30 yet, both have not only had disappointing seasons, they appear to be multiple years into their decline phases, held in place by a combination of loyalty, track record, and long-term extensions. Freeman is 36 years old and a future Hall of Famer nearing the end of his 10th All-Star season, but while he would seem to be on firmer footing, he’s been dealing with a power outage that has coincided with a bout of patellar tendinitis in his right knee. He’s played through it at a time when the Dodgers have dealt with bigger injury concerns, though at least he’s got a first-round bye to help him recover for a few days.

Earlier this week, I went around the diamond to identify the most notable vulnerabilities in the lineups of teams still contending for playoff spots in the American League — a companion of sorts to my annual pre-deadline Replacement Level Killers series, albeit among a more limited field. For the National League, that means the Brewers, Dodgers, Braves, Cubs, and Padres, all of whom have clinched spots (the last two of those on Thursday), plus the Phillies and Diamondbacks. Arizona trails Philadelphia by two games with three to play and has Playoff Odds of just 11.1% before accounting for the complicated and unresolved tiebreaker scenario involving those two teams.

While full-season performances play a significant part in these selections, I’m more concerned with who’s worst now, with injuries and adjustments in mind. Each position has a headliner (or two, if it’s a job share), but at several positions, I’ve noted other teams with concerns, particularly injury-related ones. Read the rest of this entry »


Formerly Wan Steven Kwan Once Again Has Got It Going On

Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images

Back on June 23, I wrote an article called “What’s Going on With Wan Steven Kwan?” A week later, Kwan responded, “Nothing!” Well, he said it with his bat, anyway. On July 1, he went 1-for-2 with a triple, then 1-for-2 with two walks the next day, and then he hit another triple two days after that. Since July 1, Kwan is batting .350 with more walks than strikeouts for a 154 wRC+. My deep dive into Kwan’s troubles was an attempt to answer a question from a reader named Kevin, and now that Kwan is back on top again, Kevin has written back to ask what’s changed. I wanted to write about it, but this graph gave me pause.

Kwan got unbelievably hot at the beginning of July, and then he spent the next two months and change slowly cooling off. Every batter’s rolling wRC+ graph is full of ups and downs, but this one made me a bit wary. Zack Meisel had written a story about the turnaround for The Athletic back on September 1. In it, Kwan described poring over journal entries from previous slumps looking for the right attitude adjustment to get him back on track. And then over the next 12 games, Kwan ran a wRC+ of 80 and struck out twice as often as he walked. That’s the danger of writing about a hot streak. But over Kwan’s most recent 10 games, he’s back on top with a 178 wRC+, and honestly, I’m still curious. Has he fixed whatever was wrong? Is this just about BABIP? I really don’t know, Kevin. I’m writing this introduction before I dig into the numbers so that we can go on a journey of discovery together. Let’s away. Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 9/25

12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Hello friends and neighbors, it’s good to be home in Tempe and back on the backfield grind. Let’s chat for an hour and go do some more, shall we?

12:04
rossredcay: Anything to get excited about with Max Williams?  Sounds like big EVs and decent enough contact rates?  Is this a possible helium guy?

12:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Marlins good-bodied OF prospect out of Florida State, really physical 22-year-old kid with big lefty pop. Missed most of the season with a shoulder issue (iirc) and then raked in a limited sample. Plus power, metrics way better than they were last year. I can see why Beeg slid him off the main section of the Marlins list based on last year’s data, but it looks way different than in ’25. 51% hard hit, 114 max. Contact rate is scary, down at 70% even though he was mostly in A-ball this year. Def a prospect, still probably a lower-ranked one.

12:08
Bud Smith: Any idea what happened to Aiva Arquette? It was surprising to see him placed on the IL with two days left in the AA season

12:09
Eric A Longenhagen: Blerg, I didn’t see that. Let me see if I can run down what happened and his Fall League prognosis during chat…

12:10
Charles Bengal Tiger: Of the players likely coming over this offseason from Korea and Japan, who projects to have the biggest impact … and contract?

Read the rest of this entry »


Five Things I Liked (Or Didn’t Like) This Week, September 25

Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Welcome to the last 2026 edition of Five Things I Liked (Or Didn’t Like) This Week. The regular season is headed to a conclusion, with two division titles and four playoff spots still up for grabs. For me, late September is a great time to catch my breath and watch a little meaningless baseball as a palette cleanser before flipping the switch to the maximum-intensity world of October. So while there are some consequential games this week, this column isn’t about those. It’s about some goofy things I saw in low-stakes matchups, a player I enjoyed watching all season, and some voices that have enriched my baseball-viewing experience over the years. With my customary acknowledgment of Zach Lowe of The Ringer, who popularized the format this column shamelessly copies, let’s get started.

1. Professional Courtesy
Baseball players on opposite teams are competitors, but they’re also workers in the same field. Yes, you’d like to beat the other team, but your counterpart on their squad is one of the people who can most relate to your daily struggles. You might compete against them 10 times a year; the other 355 days, your lives are far more alike than different. Catchers have a particular bond; let people throw projectiles right at you all day, and you’ll naturally gain a lot of respect for other people willing to do the same thing.

When the Brewers and Phillies squared off this week, the stakes were moderate. The Brewers hadn’t clinched the top overall seed yet, though they were headed there. (They did last night, when the Dodgers lost to the Padres.) The Phillies haven’t yet clinched a playoff spot, though again, the writing is on the wall. For the most part, it was a playoff tuneup for both sides. In the top of the ninth on Tuesday, with the Phillies up three and cruising home, William Contreras decided that he might as well burn a challenge:

Read the rest of this entry »


Sandy Alcantara, Quality Reliever

Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

It feels like ages ago that I wrote about Sandy Alcantara and how he’s on pace to lap the field in innings pitched for the second time in five seasons. Actually, it’s only been a week and change, and two very interesting things have happened in that time, meriting further exploration.

Those two things: Alcantara’s first two career saves. On September 16, two days after his last start and with the Marlins’ bullpen depleted, Alcantara came in to throw a clean ninth inning to preserve a one-run win against Arizona. He started as normal on Sunday against the Padres, and then, after two days’ rest, he locked down another one-inning save against the Cubs.

Alcantara is as pure a starter as you’ll ever find. His first eight major league appearances came out of the bullpen for the Cardinals in 2017. (I sometimes forget that the Marlins got Alcantara and Zac Gallen in the same trade.) It was nine years and 201 big league starts before Alcantara made another relief appearance. Read the rest of this entry »


Scouting in the Age of Machines

Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

While I was on vacation last month, the Miami Marlins axed their pro scouting department. They’re just the latest team to do so: Per recent reporting from Yahoo Sports’ Jake Mintz, four teams have no pro scouts and another five have four or fewer on staff, though the Nats are hiring, and as Jake notes, exact roles and titles can vary team to team.

I should be up front about my perspective: I worked as a pro scout for the Pittsburgh Pirates for four years. It was a great experience and I saw firsthand how scouts can add value to a front office, even one with strong analytical chops. While it’s gutting any time friends or former colleagues lose their jobs, I’m both frustrated and baffled when orgs choose to cut, or severely curtail, their entire department. For mediocre middle reliever money, clubs can have a team of expert player evaluators provide information that statistical and acquisition models can’t produce, and challenge some of the conclusions they can. In an era where teams increasingly rely on (similar) data to build their models and evaluate talent, scouting should be more important, not less.

Given the state of the pro scouting landscape, that’s clearly not an intuitive conclusion. In part, that’s because the scouting profession doesn’t look the same as it did 20 years ago: Statcast, TrackMan, and other tools have reshaped the role and, in some places, taken a bit of the guesswork out of the job. Some scouts still primarily evaluate in the park but many others primarily scout on video, much like Eric and I do here at FanGraphs. As with the radar gun a generation ago, in my view, these tools are both helpful for scouts and not nearly sufficient to replace them. While modern scouts must be more data literate than their forebears, sharp eyes and sound information-gathering skills remain the most critical tools of the trade. Holistic evaluation is the best way to analyze players, and scouts who can blend analytical fluency with strong visual evaluations are worth their weight in gold. Even in a world with robust data, it’s immensely valuable to have scouts who can project which players will under- or over-perform their statistical projections. To help bolster that conviction, let’s look at some of the specific ways scouts help big league clubs. Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 2535: It’s Go Time

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Alex Bregman likening getting hit by a baseball to getting hit by a baseball bat, the latest Aaron Judge-Aaron Boone drama, which records to root for in the AL West, the Max Scherzer–Justin Verlander career strikeouts rivalry, the Marlins’ pattern of using starters in relief, how many players in a new book about baseball superstars are actually superstars, the turnover among top hitters this season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s comments about what he was paid for, the AL West making the Central look good, and more.

Audio intro: Ted O., “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Liz Panella, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to Bregman clip
Link to Bregman tape photo
Link to Parker mask
Link to Bregman update
Link to Newton’s Second Law
Link to “The Green Ribbon” collection
Link to Boone quotes
Link to Judge quotes
Link to Judge video
Link to Aarons update
Link to Dark Matter wiki
Link to Stanton jogging
Link to Stanton article
Link to Davis call of Ohtani fly
Link to Rockies 100-losses streak
Link to Scherzer article 1
Link to Scherzer article 2
Link to Verlander quote
Link to career strikeouts leaderboard
Link to Scherzer/Verlander article
Link to 2023 Scherzer quote
Link to Mandelbaums Seinfeld clip
Link to Alcantara article
Link to Alcantara postgame interview
Link to latest Alcantara fun fact
Link to Marlins tweet 1
Link to Marlins tweet 2
Link to Episode 305 wiki
Link to Episode 2465 wiki
Link to three-inning-saves Blast
Link to Dan S. on WBC players
Link to Baseball Superstars 2027
Link to previous Baseball Superstars
Link to wRC+ repeaters data
Link to 2025 wRC+ leaders
Link to 2026 wRC+ leaders
Link to Guerrero interview clip
Link to Guerrero article 1
Link to Guerrero article 2
Link to Guerrero article 3
Link to Guerrero value numbers
Link to private equity report

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