Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 5/19/22
| 12:00 |
: And we are here as this is a chat!
|
| 12:01 |
: Martin Perez is on a tear! Small sample luck? Better pitch mix? Dead ball? Can any of this be sustainable?
|
| 12:02 |
: The dead ball helps him a bit. His cutter’s generally been working, and his peripheral numbers have improved too. He’s had runs where his cutter’s been working and he’s been effective, but he has had trouble keeping that up
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| 12:02 |
: Is there any hope for Alex Verdugo?
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| 12:03 |
: Yeah, in fact, he has better advanced hitting stats better than most guys playing that poorly
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| 12:04 |
: If/when the Nats call up Luis Garcia, what do you expect to see from him rest-of-season? He’s absolutely crushed AAA while being quite young for the level; Steamer seems like it’s underselling him…
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| 12:04 |
: I don’t think thsoe 310/430 projections are all that unobtainable
|
| 12:05 |
: A month of AAA isn’t going to change things that much
|
| 12:05 |
: and when translating, you have to remember that offense didn’t collapse in the minors
|
| 12:06 |
: Is Tyler O’Neill: Memphis Redbird in our near future? I haven’t seen a talented guy so overmatched at the plate since early career Buxton
|
| 12:06 |
: I don’t think so. This year is weird, ball -wise, and there are some odd dropoffs from power guys
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| 12:06 |
: And really, what’s he going to learn at this point from beating up a AAA pitcher in a far more friendly pitching environment?
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| 12:06 |
: errr hitting
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| 12:06 |
: What is Spencer Strider’s role moving forward? It looks like they will use him as a setup guy, as opposed to a bulk guy or 5th starter.
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| 12:07 |
: It seems they want him in higher leverage innings, which generally means fewer of them since they’re situational
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| 12:07 |
: I do hope he eventually ends up in the rtoation
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| 12:07 |
: Does ZiPS take into consideration a player’s usage as DH or PH when projecting forward?
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| 12:08 |
: No, ZiPS only knows the past
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| 12:08 |
: I know y’all wrote the Nestor Cortes piece already a few weeks back, but gawh dang he has been filthier since then!!!
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| 12:08 |
: He keeps finding new gears!
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| 12:08 |
: hey Ben. do you think Gleyber Torres has figured out something that works for him? more barrels AND more contact.
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| 12:08 |
: BEN’S NOT HERE MAN
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| 12:09 |
: Michael Busch homered in his first AAA game. Realistic chance he’s up before the break?
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| 12:09 |
: That might be a BIT quick, but it could happen depending on injuries and the like
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| 12:10 |
: Which current mediocre Pirates reliever will become a star with their new team when they’re traded away at the deadline?
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| 12:10 |
: [color: rgba(var(–sk_primary_foreground,29,28,29),1);]Ben Clemens[/color] [color: rgba(var(–sk_foreground_max_solid,97,96,97),1);]12:09[/color] haha hey that’s me! I feel like I got asked the same question, in fact New [color: rgba(var(–sk_foreground_max_solid,97,96,97),1);]12:10[/color] I’d say I’m glad he’s being more aggressive swinging b/c I think that suits his game better. Glad to see him hitting again; he’s super talented so sure, I can buy him figuring it out |
| 12:11 |
: I was gonna say Sam Howard, but the Tigers claimed him last week
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| 12:12 |
: Duane Underwood I think
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| 12:12 |
: His stuff is generally better than K rate IMO
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| 12:13 |
: and if he becomes prominent, I might not accidentally call him Blair Underwood occasionally
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| 12:13 |
: Certain Padres have adopted an extremely patient approach this season, with Grisham, Crone, Profar and Kim among the leaders in lowest Swing% and Z-Swing%. As the O-Swing% hasnt moved much, you have to think it’s intentional. With the deadball, has taking a strike (with the possibility of it being a ball) become less harmful compared to the benefit of swinging (since you aren’t hitting a HR anyway)?
|
| 12:13 |
: I haven’t studied it, but I think it’s a reasonable hypothesis
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| 12:14 |
: Does the brief Gary Sanchez resurgance seem legit to you?
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| 12:14 |
: Not TOTALLY convinced, but he may have pushed things up to the wrC+ 110 range
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| 12:15 |
: Would you put Mike King in the rotation?
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| 12:15 |
: On a lot of teams I would, but not as the Yankees
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| 12:16 |
: The Yankees are in a position in which being risk-averse is logical
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| 12:18 |
: They have five healthy starting pitchers right now, the rotation is second in ERA and third in WAR. They have a 5 1/2 game lead. Is *this* the time to stretch out King outside of the role he’s had what looks to be a big breakout?
|
| 12:19 |
: David Bednar is the best pitcher in baseball history
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| 12:20 |
: JV has been great coming back from TJ, but should I be concerned by his lower K/9 and swinging strike numbers?
|
| 12:21 |
: Only if youre baseline is pre-TJ Verlander
|
| 12:21 |
: youre?
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| 12:21 |
: Yikes
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| 12:22 |
: How many games do you think we get from Buxton this year?
|
| 12:22 |
: I’ll say 100. Would like more of course!
|
| 12:23 |
: It seems like that is a lotmore talent in right field and center. Am I mistaken? Assuming I’m not is there a reason for there or is it just a fluke?
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| 12:24 |
: I think marginally8, but you can’t expect talent to be evenly distributed at all times
|
| 12:24 |
: Is Marcus Semien this bad?
|
| 12:24 |
: No
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| 12:24 |
: Why are the Blue Jays hitting so poorly with runners in scoring position? Related, do you think the deadened ball has affected them more than other teams?
|
| 12:24 |
: I’ve never found this to be predictive and there’s no overwhelming reason for me to think otherwise
|
| 12:25 |
: Do You think Paul Blackburn is for real?
|
| 12:25 |
: This good? I think he’s got a rather thin margin of error, though I think he has improved
|
| 12:25 |
: Loved the piece about young players who deserve long-term deals. The biggest surprise for me is Andres Gimenez hitting the ball much harder. NEVER thought that frame would support that sort of development. Was it something you saw coming on?
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| 12:26 |
: Some things I see.
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| 12:26 |
: This I did not.
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| 12:26 |
: Though people overrate frame stuff I think
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| 12:27 |
: Altuve can fit in a lot of carry on suitcases
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| 12:27 |
: And every year some people complain about ZiPS having Ozzie Albies continuing to hit for power
|
| 12:27 |
: And he continues to hit for power
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| 12:27 |
: Ben, Dan…you’re all just one archetypal Statnerd to us
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| 12:27 |
: I am mortified that I called you Ben. please accept my most sincere apologies, I do not deserve to have my question answered
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| 12:27 |
: Hey8, I got you Ben’s answer!
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| 12:27 |
: You do believe Gallo will go off one of these months….right?
|
| 12:27 |
: Still do
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| 12:28 |
: Any good reason to why I haven’t called up Vinnie Pasquantino aka the Italian Breakfast?
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| 12:28 |
: You’re preoccupied with firing the Royals hitting coach for building what is essentially the Royals offense almost every year you’ve been the GM.
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| 12:29 |
: I say we lock up Mead to a mega deal this offseason and roll with him and Franco for the next decade.. what say you?
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| 12:29 |
: I would expect the Rays to sign him very quickly
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| 12:29 |
: Might Taylor Ward actually be one of the best hitters in the game??
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| 12:29 |
: I’m not quite there, but my where keeps getting closer to there from the preseason here
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| 12:29 |
: We holding nolan gorman if i have 1 na spot ?
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| 12:29 |
: Depends who is available
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| 12:29 |
: Is it just me, or did MLB start using the rabbit ball again this week?
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| 12:29 |
: Ben and I talked with Dr. Wills this week for FanGraphs Audio (dropping tomorrow) and there’s all sorts of stuff about these things!
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| 12:30 |
: Is Mookie Betts’ true talent level 140 wRC+, 6 WAR? Still great, but it now looks like 2018 was a bit fluky (or at least, absolute peak).
|
| 12:30 |
: I think that’s about where he is
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| 12:30 |
: Please rank in order of likelihood to rebound from an abysmal start: Marcus Semien, Darrin Ruf, Robbie Grossman, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Teoscar Hernandez, Wil Myers — thanks!
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| 12:31 |
: Semien, Teoscar, Gurriel, Grossman, Myers, Ruf
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| 12:32 |
: Is Alex Kirilloff worth much this year?
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| 12:32 |
: I think it’s a risky proposition – he’s misse da lot of time due to injury
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| 12:32 |
: “I wrote about McClanahan and his improved changeup last week, and his seven-inning shutout of the woeful Tigers unsurprisingly isn’t changing my view of him as a pitcher.” Mr. McClanahan actually gave up one earned run, a solo home run to Jeimer Candelario. Boy, I really hope somebody got fired for that blunder. |
| 12:32 |
: Oops, I got his starts mixed up!
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| 12:33 |
: I watch too many games at once. Ideally I’m not fired!
|
| 12:33 |
: Over/Under on Max Scherzer injury: 6 weeks
|
| 12:33 |
: I’ll say under for now
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| 12:33 |
: Despite Hiura’s heroics yesterday, what do you think about the idea of “challenge”/”change of scenery” trade of Kelenic for Hiura? Who says no? And who is worth more at this current juncture, Kelenic (because of his further distance from arbitration) or Hiura (because of his actually short-lived success in the majors)?
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| 12:34 |
: I like change of scenery trades, but I still rather have Kelenic
|
| 12:34 |
: He at least has a position he can play well
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| 12:36 |
: Do you think the twins should have demoted Lewis?
|
| 12:36 |
: In an ideal world, no
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| 12:36 |
: But the Twins roster makes things kind of tricky.
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| 12:36 |
: Unless you want to demote Miranda and play Urshela at first
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| 12:37 |
: and maybe move polanco over to trhird?
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| 12:38 |
: Keeping him right now basically means giving up on Urshela or putting Gordon through waiversor thinning out the pitching staff somewhat
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| 12:39 |
: Has Franchy Cordero figured it out, or is it too soon to judge? From the eye test he seems much more capable as a major league hitter than last year, and he’ll probably get a lot of time at first if he keeps it up since Shaw was atrocious and Dalbec hasn’t been good at all either.
|
| 12:39 |
: Let’s see him prove it AND stay healthy!
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| 12:39 |
: I keep jumping the gun on him and thrice bitten, quace shy
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| 12:39 |
: Christian Yelich: Andrew McCutchen 2. Why do such superstars rapidly decline like this?
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| 12:39 |
: The injury probably assisted. People tend to underrate the probability that a start in his late 20s will decline
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| 12:40 |
: Would you prefer Buehler or Aaron Nola for the rest of the year?
|
| 12:40 |
: I’m a Nolaphile, but I can’t turn down Buehler
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| 12:40 |
: Bill James doesn’t like WAR. Just sayin.
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| 12:40 |
: Bill does like win shares!
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| 12:41 |
: I had two slices of bread with a beef frank between them. I duct taped one of the four sides so that the slices effectively hinge. I slowly ate everything but stopped just short of the crust where the duct tape was. I thoroughly enjoyed it, but I’m not sure if I’ve just eaten a hot dog or sandwich. Please help.
|
| 12:41 |
: I think it was a sandwich, but I’m having trouble visualizing it. You should upload a video so we can judge!
|
| 12:42 |
: Check out the RP “clutch” ratings for 2022 compared to previous seasons: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0…
|
| 12:42 |
: just an aberration, or is something else going on?
|
| 12:42 |
: I dunno, I’d have to ruminate on this some!
|
| 12:42 |
: Dude, you seem short today in terms of answers…feeling okay?
|
| 12:42 |
: Am I? I’m usually quite brusque!
|
| 12:42 |
: Watch a few Angels games. Ward bats with authority – he rarely swings at a bad pitch, and just looks confident, like a star. It is one of the weirdest transformations I’ve seen in recent years.
|
| 12:43 |
: Oh, he looks great. But I’ve also learned to be mistrustful of eyes
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| 12:43 |
: read an article the other day about the Nationals being better off trading Juan Soto. What would the Nationals have to get in return to move the best young hitter in baseball?
|
| 12:44 |
: They’ll get a ton, but they’re not going to get a whole top 10 list from a team or anything
|
| 12:45 |
: Think Rickey’s trade in 1984
|
| 12:45 |
: Now, the names mostly didn’t end up amazing, but they were all good prospects
|
| 12:46 |
: is Trevor Rogers the ace we saw last year, or more of a 4.00-4.50 ERA guy?
|
| 12:46 |
: In the middle
|
| 12:46 |
: John Olerud…never has an MLB player looked more like he could have a second career as a CPA than he.
|
| 12:46 |
:
|
| 12:47 |
: I knew which card to find as soon as I saw this question scroll! lol
|
| 12:47 |
: Will the Mariners ever make the playoffs?
|
| 12:47 |
: Of course!
|
| 12:47 |
: And I mean future, I’m not being tricksy and counting 2001 and the others
|
| 12:49 |
: Is Marco Gonzales just one of those weird outliers? Meaning, will his ERA always be much lower than his FIP? You watch him and think there’s no way he can actually get hitters out – and then at the end of the season – his ERA looks pretty, to really good.
|
| 12:49 |
: I wouldn’t go THAT far
|
| 12:49 |
: First, remembe rFIP isn’t a park neutral stat
|
| 12:51 |
: ZiPS has the difference after adjustments at about 0.2 runs
|
| 12:51 |
: And thought he should outperform by 0.14 based on his history, team and park
|
| 12:51 |
: and 698 innings isn’t enough for a rather small difference to be THAT significant
|
| 12:52 |
: The automated strike zone in AAA decided to extend the plate by one inch on each side because of…reasons?
|
| 12:52 |
: I believe because of the different ways that umpires and rulebooks treat strike zone edge
|
| 12:53 |
: Right now, it’s more about testing the consistency and practicality
|
| 12:53 |
: not as much correcting umpires
|
| 12:53 |
: Julio hits the ball hard but has a launch angle of like 5 or 6. Is it as simple as he just needs to elevate more and he’ll add 200 points to his slugging?
|
| 12:53 |
: It’s not quite THAT easy!
|
| 12:54 |
: It’s complicated.
|
| 12:54 |
: You want to work on getting more loft, but if it was *easy* to do than everyone would
|
| 12:56 |
: Why am I always late to this chat?
|
| 12:56 |
: GET A CLOCK, HUYGENS
|
| 12:56 |
: Is Elias too conservative with prospect promotions (or maybe just still tanking)? Other than maybe gaming Super 2 status, there’s no good reason for Adley and GrayRod to be in AAA, right?
|
| 12:56 |
: In fairness, Adley was injured
|
| 12:56 |
: Though I’d probably have calle dhim up already
|
| 12:57 |
: And Grayson just debuted in AAA las tmonth
|
| 12:57 |
: Thoughts on the Orioles pushing back the LF fence? I think it’s comical how their solution to giving up too many homers wasn’t to improve their pitching staff.
|
| 12:57 |
: I think the idea was to be in a more neutral park
|
| 12:57 |
: Re: McCutchen and Yelich. It was just so rapid. Cutch when from 6.0 to 1.2 (then back up to a dead-cat bounce of 3.8) age 28-30. Yelich from 7.3 to 0.7 age 27-28. Both seemed to have found a plateau as an OK player, but not the usual slow decline you see from most superstars.
|
| 12:58 |
: There’s a wide assortment of decline types!
|
| 12:58 |
: OH you think you’re so smart with your “analytics” and your “scare quotes.” How bout we let the guys play it out on the field. This isn’t fantasy baseball. You’ll see.
|
| 12:58 |
: I do appreciate that you got the period inside the quotation mark!
|
| 12:59 |
: Greg Minton is an 80 grade CPA name
|
| 12:59 |
: Paul Goldschmidt
|
| 12:59 |
: Kinda like how we find names for other occupations
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| 12:59 |
: For example, Locke St. John is the best soap opera baseball player name since Blake Hawksworth.
|
| 12:59 |
: I see your Greg Minton and raise you Tom Henke
|
| 1:00 |
:
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| 1:00 |
: Henke looks more like the kid who gets suspended from homeroom for bringing in nunchucks
|
| 1:01 |
: What about Banknotes Harper and his brick phone?
|
| 1:01 |
: Like you think I wouldn’t know THAT reference instantly
|
| 1:01 |
:
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| 1:02 |
: Hey, you once mentioned that ZIPs hasn’t missed on a prospect call being a future superstar at a certain threshold…or something like that. Can you refresh my memory please? Believe it was in the context of Julio Rodriguez…
|
| 1:02 |
: ’twas J-Rod
|
| 1:03 |
: in the Mariners ZiPS
|
| 1:03 |
: and I mentioned it in the last piece I did!
|
| 1:03 |
: A neighbor told me he sat on a plane next to a famous baseball player, and he drank Miller lites the whole time. I asked who it was and he said Wade Boggs. He is a casual fan at best and had never heard the Boggs airplane story.
|
| 1:03 |
:
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| 1:03 |
: If you don’t hang out on Twitter, AI Art of baseball things is the shenanigan I’ve been into this week
|
| 1:04 |
:
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| 1:05 |
: I noticed in your interesting long-term deals article that Zips projections are all on a declining slope, even for players going through prime years. (J-Rodriguez did have one slight increase for one year). Does zips usually do this and I have never noticed until now?
|
| 1:05 |
: When a player is already REALLY good and at their peak, the skewed risk curve tends to overwhelm the slight improvements possible
|
| 1:06 |
: In evaluating past performance does Zips incorporate any penalty for bats taken as DH or PH?
|
| 1:06 |
: DH, no, because there’s no actual reason to
|
| 1:06 |
: Both MGL and I have studied the issue quite a bit and find a lot of evidence that a healthy player playing DH will find it slightly harder to hit than when playing a position
|
| 1:06 |
: PH yes
|
| 1:06 |
: Because everyone sucks at PH
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| 1:07 |
: I actually found that projections get slightly *more* accurate if you just eliminate PH appearances
|
| 1:07 |
: Despite literally destroying data!
|
| 1:07 |
: John, average launch angle is almost useless. Look at sweetspot% to get an idea for how often Julio hits the ball at optimal angles
|
| 1:07 |
: Any chance that Fangraphs and BR sit down and hash out a universal WAR system? There’s some huge discrepancies that weaken the validity of WAR overall –perhaps most notably the almost 7 WAR different in Ryan Doumit’s 2008 season (FG -3.4, BR 3.3). Meaning, how valid can a metric be if one version says a guy is a good regular, and the other one of the worst seasons in baseball history?
|
| 1:08 |
: But you’re finding the most *stunning* difference
|
| 1:08 |
: rather than a typical difference
|
| 1:09 |
: And not focusing also on what the differences *are*
|
| 1:09 |
: In the constructions
|
| 1:09 |
: Is there a listing of chat schedules for fangraphs? I’m always late to everything
|
| 1:10 |
: On the right side underneath the zips projection table!
|
| 1:10 |
: Of the main page
|
| 1:10 |
: You clearly aren’t approaching 30…nothing works as good when you get there…
|
| 1:10 |
: Wait, me?
|
| 1:10 |
: Dude, I’m going to be 44 in a month
|
| 1:10 |
: How does being in a more neutral park help win games though? It’s not like the team hasn’t been able to contend in that park.
|
| 1:10 |
: I’m of the believe — though I cannot prove it — that it’s a long-term benefit to a team to be able to perform similar at home than in a typical park.
|
| 1:11 |
: belief
|
| 1:11 |
: Will Sixto Sanchez make it to an MLB mound this year?
|
| 1:11 |
: I’m hopeful
|
| 1:11 |
: If an average person who happened to be a master magician/illusionist tried pitching, would they be effective?
|
| 1:11 |
: I think it’s tricky because you kinda need a willing audience and you have to CONTINUE the sleight of hand
|
| 1:11 |
: But it would be a fun experiment
|
| 1:12 |
: To have a pitcher who is out with TJ surgery and can’t throw yet
|
| 1:12 |
: to get magic lessons or something
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| 1:12 |
: I’m convinced that Coby Mayo is like 70 grade soap opera name. Just sounds made up.
|
| 1:12 |
: Was Boggs arguing the whole time over who was England’s greatest Prime Minister?
|
| 1:12 |
: Not sure if you are the right person to direct this to, but hopefully you could point this in the right direction. On a team’s page (i.e. Yankees, Mets, etc.), would it be possible to remove players with 0 PA from the “Batting Stats Leaders” section since we now have the universal DH? Would be a huge quality of life change for me personally
|
| 1:13 |
: I can bring that up
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| 1:14 |
: When should the White Sox start to panic about their offense?
|
| 1:14 |
: If Vaughn’s OPS continues to slide and Jimenez has setbacks
|
| 1:15 |
: What is the website to generate those images? I’d like to horrify some friends
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| 1:15 |
: Not baseball but my favorite so far
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| 1:15 |
:
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| 1:16 |
: Ryan Mountcastle is a plus plus soap opera name.
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| 1:16 |
: Seconding Giambino’s request.
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| 1:16 |
: Is it pronounced “Szymborski” or “Szymborski”?
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| 1:16 |
: “Smith”
|
| 1:16 |
: Candy Cummings is another interesting name for another interesting profession.
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| 1:16 |
: Even with the dead ball, Corbin Burnes has already given up more home runs this year than last season. Have you seen anything that may cause the early home run struggle?
|
| 1:16 |
: Not really
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| 1:17 |
: HR/9 divorced from other advanced stats isn’t something to panic about
|
| 1:17 |
: Because for pitchers, it’s VERY volatile
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| 1:17 |
: I am once again asking the baseball world to put respect on Tony Gonsolin’s name. Dude is sneaky very good!
|
| 1:17 |
: Burnes wans’t going to keep the 2021 HR rate any more than Bauer was going to keep the 2018 HR rate
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| 1:17 |
: Hader hasn’t given up a run this year yet or in 34 1/3 regular season innings dating back to last season. Is his elite-ness somewhat overlooked with all the hot new relievers popping up?
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| 1:18 |
: I think he’s sufficiently loved
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| 1:18 |
: OK, let’s start the lightning round
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| 1:18 |
: at least after the guy who has a two part question and I want to see it before sabotaging him
|
| 1:18 |
: But he’s gotta get it ther quickly!
|
| 1:19 |
: The rule of the Lightning Round is simple: I have to answer everything so long as it’s not baseball or one of the veto-able subjects (politics, personal life, work)
|
| 1:20 |
: For example: the guy who keeps asking me to define fetus personhood, I’m not touching that with a 33 1/2 pole held by Jeff Bridich
|
| 1:20 |
: I have a major board exam in two weeks and I’m sufficiently freaked out. Any advice?
|
| 1:21 |
: If you were unqualified, you wouldn’t be in a position to take the exam. You’ll either pass it or not, and either you’ll pass and if you don’t, you’ll adjust as people do in life. So it’s best to only worry about what you control and that’s simply knowing the subject and doing the best you can.
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| 1:21 |
: How do we know if you are not a real human but an online avatar for the neural network…
|
| 1:21 |
: You don’t
|
| 1:21 |
: Have you ever played Dungeons & Dragons?
|
| 1:21 |
: Yes, but not a ton as my friends weren’t into that
|
| 1:21 |
: What will your main be in WOTLK Classic?
|
| 1:22 |
: I don’t really play the classic ones
|
| 1:22 |
: What’s your most expensive piece of stationery/pens and pencils?
|
| 1:22 |
: I think I have like a $3 pen in the kitchen somewhere
|
| 1:22 |
: if you could live in any decade from history, which decade would it be? You would be your current self.
|
| 1:22 |
: Do I get to come back?
|
| 1:23 |
: If I get to come back, I’d love to see the 1770s
|
| 1:23 |
: But I don’t want to live there
|
| 1:23 |
: If I can’t, the 2010s are my favorite decade so far
|
| 1:23 |
: Favorite sport other than baseball?
|
| 1:23 |
: football
|
| 1:23 |
: What’s your go to comfort meal?
|
| 1:23 |
: chicken milanese
|
| 1:23 |
: Most prized possession currently on your desk?
|
| 1:23 |
: I guess the computer?
|
| 1:23 |
: I don’t really keep souvenirs or tchotchkes
|
| 1:23 |
: What are your biggest non-baseball hobbies/interests?
|
| 1:24 |
: classical music, video games, military history
|
| 1:24 |
: I’ve played piano since I was 5
|
| 1:24 |
: do you play mlb the show
|
| 1:25 |
: Yes, but not right now as I hvaen’t snagged a PS5 and it would bug me to play the PS4 one knowing the PS5 one exists because I’m a console snob
|
| 1:25 |
: Can you request to have SweetSpot% added to the statcast metrics on the player pages? Please
|
| 1:25 |
: Yes
|
| 1:25 |
: The great pyramid – slave labor, unknown early tech, psychic power, or aliens?
|
| 1:25 |
: Slave labor
|
| 1:25 |
: Fire Emblem fan?
|
| 1:25 |
: Yes
|
| 1:25 |
: What would be your entrance music at Wrestlemania?
|
| 1:26 |
: Favorite military historian? I’m partial to John Keegan.
|
| 1:26 |
: Oops sorry
|
| 1:27 |
: first one, I’d use my bumper music that’s used when it’s requested: opening of second movement of prokofiev’s scythian suite
|
| 1:27 |
:
|
| 1:29 |
: Partial to fremont-barnes
|
| 1:29 |
: (sorry, opening music software for the next Q)
|
| 1:29 |
: Favorite song? Mines mambo #5
|
| 1:29 |
: Kinks Sunny Afternoon
|
| 1:29 |
: BUT
|
| 1:29 |
: If I scroll my music library by most listened to, the top 3 by times listened are
|
| 1:30 |
: Hail to Whatever You Found in the Sunlight That Surrounds You (Rilo Kiley)
|
| 1:31 |
: O Valencia! (The Decemberists)
|
| 1:31 |
: And, which surprises me
|
| 1:31 |
: My Beautiful Sinking Ship (Devics)
|
| 1:31 |
: Favorite thing about the 2020 decade? Least favorite thing about the 2020 decade?
|
| 1:31 |
: Getting to vote in Hall if I’m still alive. Pandemic
|
| 1:32 |
: I’ve since eaten the duct tape. I think that renders it a hot dog.
|
| 1:32 |
: Tim Allen is the worlds finest actor.
|
| 1:32 |
: Lightening Round Q: If your cats were current MLB players, who would they be?
|
| 1:32 |
: Trout
|
| 1:32 |
: because a cat named afte ra fish amuses me
|
| 1:33 |
: Mookie
|
| 1:33 |
: Name the brothers that are always fighting Soto and Acuna
|
| 1:33 |
: BBQ tacos are the perfect Mexican-American fusion food. This is not a question
|
| 1:33 |
: Would you eat fugu? Have you eaten fugu?
|
| 1:33 |
: I have not. Maybe
|
| 1:33 |
: Have you listened to The Weakerthans? I think you might like them based on the songs you listed
|
| 1:33 |
: I have not! Noting this
|
| 1:34 |
: If you had five years to live (with no decline in mental/physical function) what would you do and where would you go?
|
| 1:34 |
: I’d buy a small house next to a lake and just live it out peacefully
|
| 1:34 |
: I just learned that Jose Abreu’s nickname is Mal Tiempo. We need more names like this. Have to get away from the lazy first letter of the first name/first part of last name (Arod is the worst).
|
| 1:34 |
: Will always remember the exact moment I heard Sunny Afternoon for the first time
|
| 1:35 |
: Fyi if you have Xbox game pass ultimate you can play MLB the show on PC via the Xbox game streaming option. It actually works great
|
| 1:35 |
: I could not get it to work at all
|
| 1:35 |
: so I canceled
|
| 1:35 |
: If Elon Musk asked you to be a Mars colonizer, would you take up the offer? (Given the danger, difficulty of returning, etc)
|
| 1:35 |
: Absolutely not
|
| 1:35 |
: I don’t even like camping
|
| 1:35 |
: The Fifth Element is seeing a theatrical re-release for its 25th anniversary. Question: campy garbage, or sci fi masterpiece?
|
| 1:35 |
: BOTH
|
| 1:36 |
: Do you like D&D or Magic: the Gathering?
|
| 1:36 |
: Yes, but I haven’t played Magic regularly since like the fifth edition
|
| 1:36 |
: I just didn’t have the right friend group
|
| 1:36 |
: Face or Heel as a wrestler?
|
| 1:36 |
: Let’s be honest, everyone knows I’d be a heel
|
| 1:36 |
: lol! i understand that. i have it on ps5 and switch and its a blast as a new baseball fan. helps me learn the game and players
|
| 1:37 |
: I’m sorry as a new baseball fan that you’re wandered into and now been subjected to my nonsense!@
|
| 1:37 |
: I don’t know who needs to hear this but bread pudding is both delicious and extremely easy to make. It’s baked French toast!
|
| 1:37 |
: Still hot out there?
|
| 1:37 |
: It’s in the low 708s
|
| 1:37 |
: What percentage of questions do you not answer in a given chat?
|
| 1:37 |
: 70
|
| 1:37 |
: I get a LOT of questions
|
| 1:37 |
: Favorite place to sit in a ballpark (generally, or in a specific stadium)?
|
| 1:37 |
: If I’m in the seats, I prefer to be anywhere there’s nobody else
|
| 1:38 |
: I like to stretch out and relax and crowds stress me out
|
| 1:38 |
: My favorite thing about press boxes is nice chair and personal space!
|
| 1:38 |
: Do you like hot fudge sundaes?
|
| 1:38 |
: They’re OK, but I’m not really into ice cream
|
| 1:38 |
: you can go 500 years into the past or 500 years into the future, what’s your choice? (You have to stay there the remainder of your life).
|
| 1:38 |
: future
|
| 1:38 |
: I know what the past is
|
| 1:38 |
: One of my biggest hangups about dying is not knowing what crap happened
|
| 1:39 |
: I defended my dissertation last week and I feel more tired than celebratory. You ever had a similar feeling after an accomplishment?
|
| 1:39 |
: I’m not particularly accomplished
|
| 1:39 |
: but i understand the feeling
|
| 1:39 |
: Have you seen The Expanse? It’s great!
|
| 1:39 |
: I haven’t
|
| 1:39 |
: New fans on Fangraphs? It took me 20 years of fandom to find my way here!
|
| 1:39 |
: In fairness, FG probably wasn’t around most of that time!
|
| 1:39 |
: oh wait, it’s like 16 years or something now?
|
| 1:39 |
: damn there have been a lot o fyears
|
| 1:40 |
: The failure of MLB and MLBPA to address player service time and , specifically, manipulation is frustrating. What is wrong with KIS? A season is 180 days. Service time is one day. Service time accumulation is the ratio of 180 days. Clock starts preferably with the first professional contract, at worst the first MLB contract. Why was service time manipulation not addressed and solved? Why does MLBPA NOT consider MiLB Union apprentices? Thanks
|
| 1:40 |
: Answering under duress so it took so long ti type
|
| 1:40 |
: The MILB/MLBPA issue is complex
|
| 1:40 |
: Because MILB stuff *can’t* be negotiated if owners don’t want to.
|
| 1:41 |
: Unless there’s a significant nexus with an MLBPA issue that *is* obligatory
|
| 1:41 |
: And the MLBPA can’t just up and change the construction of the bargaining unit quickly
|
| 1:41 |
: minor leaguers forming their own union is probably a quicker way to get to their destination
|
| 1:41 |
: as a new (well, 2021) fan — i got into the game entirely through enjoying the nerdy stats side of it so i ended up on FG real quick
|
| 1:42 |
: Well, I hope you’re enjoying our work and I’m not too off-putting!
|
| 1:42 |
: Szym is an acquired taste.
|
| 1:42 |
: Two part question: 1) who is the most interesting (to you) person who has said they like/follow your work. 2) who would you fantasize as the most interesting person to take notice of your work.
|
| 1:43 |
: The first I can’t say becuase it was in confidence, but it was a Hall of Fame player.
|
| 1:43 |
: Second, I’d like a *non* sports writer to be interested!
|
| 1:43 |
: Biggest pet peeve?
|
| 1:43 |
: FEWER/LESS
|
| 1:43 |
: Here in CA people from OH tell me they’re from back East. Originally from BOS area, I say Midwest. What say ye?
|
| 1:44 |
: OH is midwest
|
| 1:44 |
: OK, on that note, it is time for me to depart for another week.
|
| 1:44 |
: Thanks for coming everyone!
|
| 1:44 |
: DON’T LEAVE I’M ANGRY ABOUT THE MIDWEST DEFINITION
|
| 1:45 |
: OH is midwest
|
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Actually yeah, Ohio is the Midwest.
Fun geography fact regarding Midwest states: the closest major hub airport to Cairo, Illinois is not O’Hare, but Hartsfield-Jackson in Atlanta.
I’m pretty sure that’s not true, and Google Maps agrees with me. But wow is that closer than I would have ever guessed. It’s like a 45 minute difference.
I was thinking St Louis, but maybe that isn’t quite a major hub?
And yet is also “back East” from a California POV