Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 9/12/2019
| 12:02 |
: It’s a’me, Mario!
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| 12:03 |
: Are you always on Thursdays now?
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| 12:03 |
: Well, until something else changes or I die or something.
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| 12:03 |
: I’m not doing chats after I die.
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| 12:03 |
: Am I supposed to be haunted in my grave, my eternal rest disturbed by sasndwich questions?
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| 12:04 |
: If you’re Bob Melvin, how would you use Luzardo coming down the stretch?
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| 12:04 |
: Carefully in relief and then work him into higher and higher leverage innings.
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| 12:04 |
: Has anyone ever been the undisputed best player in baseball as long as Trout has been?
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| 12:04 |
: Babe Ruth?
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| 12:04 |
: Dan, you know if Thursday chatting goes like the Great Wednesday Chat Experiment, there’s no Carson to blame this time?
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| 12:04 |
: Who says I can’t continue blaming Carson?
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| 12:04 |
: How much value has Dallas Keuchel provided for the Braves? According to Fangraphs, he’s only been worth 1.0 fWAR. But Baseball-******** says he’s produced 2.4 bWAR, so he’s definitely earned his $13 million salary. I need to know so I can write a blog post making big sweeping generalizations about whether the Braves’ front office is good or not.
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| 12:05 |
: I tend to be in the middle. I use FIP regressed towards historical ERA over FIP/defense.
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| 12:05 |
: But any clarity obtained by doing more with zWAR will just make the WAR WARS more WARRY
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| 12:06 |
: So, a lobster roll is a taco, right?
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| 12:06 |
: Lobster rolls are subs
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| 12:06 |
: Dan, I’ve been sitting here refreshing the chats since Monday and you never showed up!
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| 12:06 |
: Jay was here and has a way more fabulous mustache than I can grow
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| 12:07 |
: what managers do you think are in trouble end of year? Maddon and Calloway seem obvious, but what others?
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| 12:07 |
: Hurdle
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| 12:07 |
: Black if the Rockies are smart which they are not
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| 12:07 |
: Martinez probably saved his job
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| 12:08 |
: How am I doing it? Jeremy Hellickson Voodoo Magic?
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| 12:09 |
: Grounders Are Magix
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| 12:09 |
: Petco had a great clam chowder bread bowl back in the day. Was great.
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| 12:09 |
: Can Margot put up 2.5+ WAR next season?
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| 12:09 |
: Sure he’s not that far from doing it this year and this is his age 24 season
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| 12:09 |
: With today’s sports media landscape how crazy would an expansion draft be?
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| 12:09 |
: OH GOD NO PLEASE NO FOUR TEAM DIVISIONS
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| 12:10 |
: Hey Dan who is the favorite for nl cyoung
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| 12:11 |
: Ryu’s come back to the pack. I think it’s pretty open – Strasburg/deGrom/Scherzer/Buehler/Flaherty/Castillo/Gray could all see votes, among others
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| 12:11 |
: How soon til Giolito wins a cy young?!?!
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| 12:11 |
: I think he gets a fifth place vote at least this year
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| 12:12 |
: If a sandwich isn’t eaten horizontally (Crust facing walls) but instead is eaten vertically (crust facing ceiling) then would that change the dynamic of if its a sandwich. Its structural integrity is reliant on you holding it together instead of gravity so it would instantly deconstruct
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| 12:12 |
: I’m still thinking through all my philosophy.
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| 12:12 |
: Do you buy the Padres as being a playoff team next year? Their young pitching has come along but outside of Tatis they’ve yet to produce any bats (plus they’re wasting a spot on Hosmer forever).
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| 12:12 |
: I think they’re a wild card contender next year
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| 12:12 |
: Does the modeling of ZIPS take into account UMPIRES?
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| 12:12 |
: It does not.
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| 12:12 |
: ZiPS assumes that crappy umpires like West and Bucknor will generally be distributed randomly.
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| 12:13 |
: Is Forrest Whitley’s 2019 performance cause for concern or a blip on the radar? The K’s were still there but his walk rates were up as well as his HR/FB % and he never seemed to put it together for more than a start or two at time before being knocked around.
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| 12:14 |
: I’d be mildly concerned, but I’m more statty than most prospect watchers
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| 12:14 |
: On Tuesday night, the Tigers beat the Yankees 12-11. The Yankees hit 6 homers. The Tigers had 2 extra base hits in the entire game (a solo home run, and a 0 RBI double). They hit 14 singles to score those 11 other runs. Baseball is weird and fun.
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| 12:14 |
: sometimes, being in the most average shape of your life is the best shape to be in.
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| 12:14 |
: I can definitely be in better shape.
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| 12:14 |
: Daaaaaannnn I’m bored and at work. Help me escape!
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| 12:15 |
: I can help you escape. All you need is a chloroform-soaked rag and a whole bunch of antacids. Take all the antacids and when they call the ambulance, use the rag to disable the paramedics en route to the hospital. THen hijack the ambulance.
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| 12:16 |
: But don’t park the ambulance outside your house. It’s a classic mistake and how people get caught hijacking ambulances.
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| 12:16 |
: You know, for all the deviation from this prediction at the beginning of the season, it really does look like the NL East is going to finish as four good teams and the Marlins.
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| 12:16 |
: How long do you think it’ll before the Padres realize that Hosmer is a drain on their lineup?
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| 12:16 |
: I think many in the org do
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| 12:16 |
: Should the Twins give Kirilloff a shot rather than hope a bunch of randoms in the OF can carry them to the division title? Flags fly forever, right?
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| 12:17 |
: I would.
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| 12:17 |
: Hey, this isn’t Monday
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| 12:17 |
: I was hitting 98 yesterday and I am coming back
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| 12:17 |
: If you had to take one second baseman for your team for the next 5 years, who do you pick?
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| 12:17 |
: It still feels WEIRD to say so, but I think with 2019, you have to take Marte
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| 12:17 |
: who the hell is mitch garver
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| 12:18 |
: Mitch Garver is the name of Eric Cartman’s hand puppet that impersonated Jennifer Lopez.
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| 12:18 |
: What should the Mariners’ general plan be this offseason?
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| 12:18 |
: Just don’t do anything stupid.
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| 12:18 |
: I find it hard to care about anything anymore. Why should I?
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| 12:19 |
: The trick is to care about things you have no control over because then you don’t have to do anything and can do fun stuff.
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| 12:19 |
: I kinda care that the sun will increase in magnitude and incinerate the earth, but there’s nothing I think of that can do anything about that, so I will watch baseball games and play video games and eat tacos
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| 12:19 |
: What do you foresee for Trevor Bauer next year? Does he regain his pre-trade form and pitch like a Cy Young candidate again?
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| 12:20 |
: I think he’ll be fine, but 2018’s HR rate won’t come again without luck
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| 12:20 |
: So Jeff McNeil is now up to 20 homers while hitting .325. Is he a star-level player going forward? The only thing separating him from some vintage Altuve seasons is stolen bases and maybe a little defense.
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| 12:20 |
: He is, but I’m STILL not sure the Mets actually realize it
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| 12:20 |
: Should the Royals trade or extend Mondesi?
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| 12:20 |
: He’s the one player you extend unless you get a really great deal
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| 12:20 |
: What toppings would you recommend on a hotdog?
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| 12:21 |
: Not all at the same time, but I endorse mustard, kraut, sport peppers, onions, various hot sauces.
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| 12:21 |
: I like putting this on hot dogs
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| 12:22 |
: It’s got a little mustard, garlic, pepper in it with the hot stuff
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| 12:22 |
: could you explain the Fip regression towards historical era preference?
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| 12:22 |
: After 15 years, we should have more faith in Tom Glavine being able to exceed his FIP than after 1 year.
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| 12:22 |
: Are you playing WoW Classic at all? Makes me think an MMO based off Hearthstone could be a good idea
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| 12:23 |
: I like meta meta jokes.
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| 12:23 |
: I’m always amused that there’s a video game Street Fighter that was directly based off the Street Fighter movie that was based off the Street Fighter game
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| 12:23 |
: I have not. I have trouble going back to older MMO experiences because I get used to the quality of life stuff.
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| 12:23 |
: I tried playing Final Fantasy XI and found it unplayable now
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| 12:24 |
: Should the Dodgers be at all concerned about their recent run of poor play?
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| 12:24 |
: Not really
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| 12:25 |
: If you had to choose one offensive measure to judge overall hitting ability (I’m being intentionally vague here), which stat would you choose?
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| 12:25 |
: one of the park/league adjusted OBP/SLG measures
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| 12:25 |
: I was best 97-04 at least
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| 12:25 |
: But were you CLEARLY better than A-Rod over that entire span?
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| 12:25 |
: Make the Rockies smart with one move.
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| 12:26 |
: The Monforts sell to a smarter ownership group
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| 12:26 |
: If the Rays and Marlins Freaky Friday’d would the Marlins be a perennial contending big market team and how quick would the Rays move out of Tampa?
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| 12:26 |
: They might already be in Montreal
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| 12:26 |
: Following up on managers: If you’re the Tigers, how do you evaluate Ron Gardenhire?
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| 12:26 |
: Meh
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| 12:27 |
: Best ballpark food item you ever had?
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| 12:28 |
: I like things straight up. Gimme a brat in Milwaukee
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| 12:28 |
: what about Gabe Kapler? Do you think he’s safe?
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| 12:28 |
: I think they’re close enough
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| 12:28 |
: Jets Sam D’Arnoud out with Mono.. You ever hear of a MLB player out with that? Seems so unusual
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| 12:28 |
: Usually they’re out with stereo.
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| 12:28 |
: <rimshot>
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| 12:29 |
: what’s worse: 8 team divisions or 4 team divisions? or are both terrible?
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| 12:29 |
: Gimme 8 team divisions
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| 12:29 |
: Dan, how sad is it that Byron Buxton is gone? : (
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| 12:29 |
: Very, very
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| 12:29 |
: Which player gets the most WTF vote for MVP or Cy Young?
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| 12:29 |
: The inevitable DJ LeMahieu first-place vote(s)
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| 12:30 |
: Soler and Abreu will get some WTF back-ballot votes
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| 12:30 |
: maybe a stray Dakota Hudson vote?
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| 12:31 |
: Less WTF Cy since there’s a smaller ballot
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| 12:31 |
: can milquetoast be used to make a sandwich?
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| 12:31 |
: If you serve Cas between two slices of bread
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| 12:31 |
: Does Rendon clear $200 million?
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| 12:31 |
: Yes
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| 12:31 |
: How would you assign odds on who takes the second NL wild card spot?
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| 12:31 |
: With projections 🙂
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| 12:31 |
: Do you think my cats think it’s weird that their humans are so obsessed with them?
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| 12:31 |
: Probably
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| 12:31 |
: The fish taco is still the best Petco item.
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| 12:31 |
: Why did I wait this long to be good?
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| 12:31 |
: More dramatic this way?
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| 12:32 |
: Considering how important it is to be a division winner due to the BS that is the Wild Card game, wouldn’t switching to 4 team divisions improve competitiveness in baseball?
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| 12:32 |
: Just too small, especially with an unbalanced schedule
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| 12:32 |
: if joe maddon is not resigned by the cubs will he be offered all jobs on the market or has his light slightly dimmed?
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| 12:33 |
: He’ll get another job if he watns
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| 12:33 |
: IF he leaves
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| 12:33 |
: But I don’t think it’ll be a managerial job
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| 12:33 |
: He won a World Series with the Cubs, he’s 65. Where do you go from there? I think in his shoes, my next job would be a half-retirement/special consultant type of gig
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| 12:35 |
: People forgot how old Maddon is. Earl Weaver was Maddon’s age in *1995*
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| 12:36 |
: What is wrong with Marcus Stroman?
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| 12:36 |
: .387 BABIP
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| 12:36 |
: Luck plus clownshoes defense is a potent combination
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| 12:36 |
: What are your thoughts on Yelich? I thought it’d be a killer, but they really lucked out with their easy schedule the rest of the way IMO.
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| 12:36 |
: I guess the only good thing is that one player doens’t make much of a difference in a week
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| 12:36 |
: But it’s brutal to see Yelich go out like this
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| 12:37 |
: i feel like there are going to be some “chicken and beer” stories that come out about the cubs this october. not a question, but i think it should be a fun ride this offseason with them.
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| 12:37 |
: Speaking of shape what is your preferred shape?
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| 12:37 |
: Four cubes in a straight line because that’s how you complete a tetris
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| 12:37 |
: Do the astros need to consider a 3 man rotation in the playoffs? Or at least the first round?
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| 12:37 |
: I think it’s a strong possibility
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| 12:37 |
: I read that as “more stately than most prospect watchers” and my entire idea of you started to crumble
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| 12:38 |
: Let’s go to the AI
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| 12:39 |
:
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| 12:39 |
: That clarifies things
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| 12:39 |
: lucas giolito finishing in the top 5 of cy young (top 7 at minimum) plus a tim anderson batting title. WHERE IS YOUR ZIPS NOW!!!!!!!
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| 12:39 |
: Thankfully, ZiPS is in the shame corner with practically everyone in the world!
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| 12:39 |
: Do you think teams like the Padres should go after a vet manager like Maddon or go young and unproven?
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| 12:40 |
: I like young, unproven managers with rebuilding teams.
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| 12:40 |
: Dan, there is a reasonable shot at 5 100 game winners. Do you see this as a problem, and why is the answer yes?
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| 12:40 |
: Mildly, but it’s mostly aesthetics
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| 12:40 |
: I’m not convinced people really WANT parity. THey just want their team to be the good one
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| 12:42 |
: Ben, I recommend eating a sandwich or a taco. Sandwiches and tacos make everything better
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| 12:42 |
: Hey Dan, thanks for the chats! Trying to get my stream on…preference between Beede vs MIA, Rodriguez vs MIA, or Hernandez @ SF for the weekend slate?
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| 12:42 |
: Oof. Probably Rodriguez.
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| 12:42 |
: Am I still one of the top GM/President of Baseball Ops/Team Leader People in baseball?
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| 12:42 |
: I think your’e still upt here
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| 12:43 |
: What would you do about Donaldson if you were Atlanta? Extending past his age 33 season seems risky, but I’m not sure Austin Riley is a viable replacement.
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| 12:43 |
: It really depends on his demands.
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| 12:43 |
: If he has an illusion of a five-year deal or something, I move on
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| 12:43 |
: I’m more optimistic about Riley
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| 12:43 |
: Who is Gio Urshela?
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| 12:43 |
: Since this feels rhetorical, I’ll ask the AI
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| 12:44 |
:
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| 12:45 |
: Alternative answer
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| 12:45 |
:
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| 12:45 |
: I just joined the PC Master Race. Do you have any game recommendations for something not available on consoles?
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| 12:45 |
: Crusader Kings 2
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| 12:45 |
: I like ketchup on my hotdogs but I don’t like hotdogs.
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| 12:45 |
: If you wanted to abuse hot dogs, ketchup is a good way to do it
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| 12:45 |
: No cheese on a hotdog?
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| 12:46 |
: Not personally a fan
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| 12:46 |
: did you ever play/use “Mario teaches typing”?
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| 12:46 |
: I did not. I was already a touch-typer before than came out
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| 12:46 |
: What NL Central team will be the best from 2020-2024?
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| 12:46 |
: I think Cardinals are the safest bet simply becuase the Cardinals have this permanent 84-90 win tier.
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| 12:46 |
: Dan, can you cheer me up about the Cubs?
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| 12:47 |
: Flags fly forever or until baseball becomes unprofitable
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| 12:47 |
: How much did the padres hurt their world series aspirations by signing hosmer
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| 12:47 |
: It’s hard to make a % case, but it wasn’t a good use of resources.
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| 12:47 |
: Strasburg can be given a QO if he opts out, correct?
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| 12:47 |
: I believe so but am not certain
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| 12:47 |
: Dan, my mom says that I’m not allowed to use the internet anymore until I get a job. She says a 31 year old spending all his time in his mon’s basement arguing about sandwiches on a baseball chat isn’t “healthy”. You know anyone looking for a roommate?
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| 12:48 |
: You should get a job!
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| 12:48 |
: Then you can have your OWN basement
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| 12:48 |
: Well, Dipoto is still their GM, so someone will be traded
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| 12:48 |
: who eats tacos at a pet store? THEY ARE JUST FEEDING YOU DEAD PETS!
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| 12:48 |
: How can you say that Mike Trout is even the best player *this season*?!?! Even Adam Wainwright has more wins than him.
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| 12:48 |
: ha!
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| 12:48 |
: Why do people keep thinking Zac Gallen is going to regress? He gets a ton of swinging strikes and has four very good pitches. He seems like a potential Cy Young contender, at least in a single season, within the next few years
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| 12:48 |
: Also re: Gallen – his batted ball profile is really, really good, Combine that with great strikeout potential and he has insane upside
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| 12:49 |
: I think people are saying he’s going to regress because he has a 2.66 ERA
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| 12:50 |
: Do you consider moving this chat to another website since only 10% of it is about baseball?
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| 12:50 |
: It’s way more than 10%
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| 12:50 |
: I’m not the one asking the questions!
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| 12:51 |
: what are your thoughts on Dombrowski getting let go?
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| 12:51 |
: I’m kinda in the middle
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| 12:51 |
: Dan, I ate lunch but I’m still hungry. What’s the next step?
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| 12:51 |
: Drink a glass of water?
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| 12:51 |
: Some of the best games are on PC and not consoles. I’m particularly fond of Word Processor. And Calculator.
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| 12:51 |
: Astros and Dodgers or the field… which side are you taking to win the World Series?
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| 12:51 |
: Astros
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| 12:51 |
: First you get the khakis, Dan. *Then* you get the job. And then you get the chicks.
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| 12:51 |
: I’ve noticed you, and the comments section in your article, were quite hard on the Marlins new regime, and I don’t quite understand why. As opposed to the sloppier previous Loria regime, this Marlins FO seems to be much more inclined to investing money in every channel; they’re making better draft choices, better trades, and investing some in J2 players. It’s also kind of handwaved away that the Marlins did pretty good trading Stanton and Ozuna (coming off of peak years, year early rather than a year late, getting out from under Stanton’s albatross contract) and that Yelich and Realmuto forced their way out of Miami. As much as I liked Zac Gallen, his HR/FB% is going to catch up to him and trading a pitcher for a prospect when rebuilding is exactly the kind of thing analysts advocate for when rebuilding. I’m not saying that they’re a good or bad ownership/management group, but give them a chance before you keep burying them.
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| 12:52 |
: Let’s see if they invest money when we’re talking about REAL money.
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| 12:52 |
: And the way they hatched jobbed Stanton, saying it wans’t about money and that he didn’t want to be a part of things was bush league.
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| 12:52 |
: Respect is earned, not granted until proven otherwise.
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| 12:52 |
: Babe Ruth led the league in WAR 10 out of 12 years, interrupted by Harry Heilman and … Red Faber?!
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| 12:53 |
: I got my ERA under 4!
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| 12:53 |
: If you had 15 WAR to spread across five starters, how would you do it? 3s across the board, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, more front loaded?
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| 12:53 |
: I’d want it spread fairly evenly but slightly front loaded for playoffs
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| 12:53 |
: but not too much that I have all my marbles in one dude
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| 12:53 |
: Rockies, Cubs or Red Sox…who has been the most disappointing relative to expectations?
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| 12:54 |
: Probably Rockies – neither Cubs/Red Sox are going to miss projections by >10 games
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| 12:54 |
: Hey Dan do you ever let the cats outside? Mine stays inside but sometimes I worry that he’s missing out and would enjoy some outside time
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| 12:54 |
: I do not.
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| 12:55 |
: I do try to give them lots of activities inside.
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| 12:55 |
: Mickey Mantle was pretty undisputed from age 20-29 as well. It is FREAKY just how similar their careers have been to date!
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| 12:55 |
: How dank are my meatballs?
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| 12:55 |
: My advice: don’t eat Spaghetti-O’s as an adult becuase you fondly remember them as a kid
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| 12:56 |
: Also: before I kept a spare laptop on the nightstand, I used to keep a notepad. I once woke up and saw that I had written this chilling message sometime during the night
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| 12:56 |
:
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| 12:56 |
: How much of a gap is there between the Dodgers and the Braves?
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| 12:59 |
:
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| 12:59 |
: OOPS
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| 1:00 |
: accidentally dragged the Indians, not the Reds
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| 1:00 |
:
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| 1:00 |
: Maybe put Brewers in B without Yelich
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| 1:00 |
: Should the Giants bring back Pillar? His arbitration salary might be a lot, but they have a hard time even finding average/below average hitters.
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| 1:00 |
: Depends where they actually want to go
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| 1:01 |
: Re: Stroman with the Mets- have you watched any of his starts with the Mets, or did you just reflexively barf “Clownshoes defense” because that was the concern when they traded for him? Yes, the defense isn’t great, but he’s also struggled with control and given up a higher line drive percentage. I feel like you have a narrative that you want to see reality conforming to, instead of looking at what reality is.
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| 1:01 |
: How about this: you can include the answer to your question that you want me to give. That way, you can always be happy?
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| 1:01 |
: You should try walking the cats
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| 1:02 |
: I tried walking Galileo when he was little with a harness. It consisted of him being on his back and fighting the leash while I dragged a cat through grass.
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| 1:02 |
: How much optimism should one have for the Jays’ young core? How likely are they to pull off what the Braves are doing?
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| 1:02 |
: Very, but they have a long way to go to have the depth that the Braves do
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| 1:02 |
: Say “Ight Imma Head Out” instead of your normal outro
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| 1:03 |
: I was reading an old Deadspin article about the purchase of the Cubs by the Ricketts. It was mostly just factual reporting via story telling, but there was a few asides, and one in which the author made a comment saying that rich people who want teams but don’t have money know they can just create new revenue streams and charge the fans. But don’t they have it backward…isn’t that exactly why the teams are increasing in value? Because fans are willing to expand their expenses on these revenue stream that increase the likelihood of increase in asset value thus allowing leveraged buys? I mean, I’d argue its a bubble, but this article seems to have a misunderstanding of basic economics.
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| 1:03 |
: I’d have to read the article to say for sure.
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| 1:03 |
: I think it’s too hard to draw generalizations from how people got money.
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| 1:03 |
: forgive my ignorance, what does the “S” stand for?
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| 1:03 |
: special
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| 1:03 |
: Dan, I want you to have the correct answer (my answer) to questions, but I want you to arrive there yourself.
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| 1:03 |
: THIS FEELS LIKE A TRIAL~!
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| 1:04 |
: Dan who is the most handsome person in this chat? (The answer I want you to give is me)
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| 1:04 |
: You are Bill!
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| 1:04 |
: Especially if you’re the Bill of Bill’s Donuts near me.
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| 1:04 |
: I only get donuts once or twice a year, but man those are great donuts
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| 1:04 |
: Seems like Roberts is transitioning half his staff to pitch multi-inning/piggyback roles in the postseason… and I kind of think it might work? How worried should I be about the Dodgers’ pen in October?
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| 1:04 |
: I think there’s a chance of it working.
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| 1:04 |
: there is about a 2200 mile gap between the Dodgers and Braves
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| 1:04 |
: When they’re playing home games. You have to calculate their average positions for road games.
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| 1:04 |
: Dan Szymborski, willing to sell compliments for donuts.
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| 1:05 |
: We’re all sellouts.
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| 1:05 |
: Wade Davis is
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| 1:05 |
: Why would DJ LeMahieu be WTF vote? He has been great and literally the only healthy yankee all year, and the most valuable player on the best team. It’s understandable based on the criteria of MVP (its not most outstanding or best player award as we have seen with the voting)
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| 1:05 |
: Except, of course, that’s exactly what the MVP is.
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| 1:06 |
: “The rules of the voting remain the same as they were written on the first ballot in 1931: (1) actual value of a player to his team, that is, strength of offense and defense; (2) number of games played; (3) general character, disposition, loyalty and effort; (4) former winners are eligible; and (5) members of the committee may vote for more than one member of a team.”
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| 1:06 |
: .Value is “strength of offense and defense.”
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| 1:06 |
: Why would we give LeMahieu an award for Didi Gregorius being injured?
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| 1:06 |
: What’s the point of an award like that?
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| 1:06 |
: I’m here to ask questions and shit on your answers…and I’m all out of questions…
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| 1:06 |
: I think if the Dodgers were to lose in the NL playoffs, it’d be to the Nats in a best of 5 rather than anyone else in best of 7.
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| 1:07 |
: Yeah, the series of 5 against a slightly worse team is riskier for a favorite than 7.
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| 1:07 |
: I was thinking about this yesterday when reading a tweet about the age-old “MVP must be on a contender” argument. Are you familiar with Rothbard? I used to believe that the argument was incredibly dumb, but from a Rothbardian economics sense, it might make sense at least that a player on a non-contender needs to be more better to beat out a great player on a contender.
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| 1:07 |
: But baseball is a fairly closed system compared to an economy.
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| 1:07 |
: If Cleveland makes the division series, how should they line up their SP?
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| 1:07 |
: On the mound would be the best place.
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| 1:08 |
: The Hartford Dark Blues tried using them at first, but it just led to a lot of balks.
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| 1:08 |
: I actually didn’t think you were very hard on the new Marlins regime. To me it read as cautious skepticism with a hint of positivity.
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| 1:08 |
: I didn’t even make a single joke about the number of fans!
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| 1:08 |
: (I don’t think)
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| 1:09 |
: Personally, I think you should cover content appropriate to the site. More questions about fans and graphs. I’ll start. Do you prefer ceiling fans, or computer fans?
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| 1:09 |
: They each have their purpose
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| 1:09 |
: IF Severino comes back healthy and throwing HEAT next week, how would you utilize him the ROS and PS?
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| 1:09 |
: I’d ease him in with the idea of starting him in playoffs
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| 1:09 |
: Will finish with an AI answer for “Wade Davis is”
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| 1:11 |
:
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| 1:11 |
: i was about to say my 6 moth old is eating and taking an angry poop in my lap but he had other ideas and sent my previous message
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| 1:11 |
: How much do you expect the salary be, in lbs. of chili, for the Marlins Data Engineer job posted?
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| 1:11 |
: 0. Meat ain’t free!
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| 1:11 |
: i think that makes him your youngest official chatter
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| 1:12 |
: LeMaheiu is #9 in AL FWAR and #8 in AL bWAR. how would him getting a vote be a joke really?
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| 1:12 |
: I said first place vote.
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| 1:12 |
: “Dan Szymborski 12:29 The inevitable DJ LeMahieu first-place vote(s) vomit 1″ |
| 1:13 |
: The vomit 1 wasn’t me, someone did the emoji
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| 1:13 |
: The thing I always get hung up on regarding MVP is the phrase “to his team”. FanGraphs’ writers (and others) continually advocate for the MVP to be awarded without team context when team context is explicitly stated in the definition! Assuming team context then, wouldn’t Mike Trout *always* win the AL MVP? He is a 10 WAR player on an 11 WAR team, thus accounting for 91% of the team’s above-replacement value and therefore, by definition, the most valuable to his team.
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| 1:13 |
: ha!
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| 1:13 |
: Marcus Semien might hit 30 homers this year and has a 132 wRC+. That is all.
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Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Dan Szymborski
i’d say I agree with Dan- misthought what he was saying. LeMahieu getting a #1 MVP vote would be insane.