Detroit Tigers Top 39 Prospects

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Detroit Tigers. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. This is the fifth year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.
A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.
All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here.
| Rk | Name | Age | Highest Level | Position | ETA | FV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Jobe | 22.6 | MLB | SP | 2025 | 60 |
| 2 | Max Clark | 20.2 | A+ | CF | 2027 | 50 |
| 3 | Thayron Liranzo | 21.7 | A+ | C | 2027 | 50 |
| 4 | Josue Briceño | 20.5 | A | C | 2027 | 50 |
| 5 | Kevin McGonigle | 20.6 | A+ | SS | 2026 | 50 |
| 6 | Troy Melton | 24.3 | AA | SP | 2026 | 50 |
| 7 | Bryce Rainer | 19.7 | R | SS | 2028 | 45+ |
| 8 | Trey Sweeney | 24.9 | MLB | SS | 2025 | 45 |
| 9 | Jace Jung | 24.4 | MLB | 3B | 2025 | 45 |
| 10 | Jaden Hamm | 22.5 | A+ | SP | 2027 | 45 |
| 11 | Owen Hall | 19.3 | R | SP | 2029 | 45 |
| 12 | Cris Rodriguez | 17.1 | R | RF | 2031 | 45 |
| 13 | Sawyer Gipson-Long | 27.2 | MLB | SP | 2025 | 45 |
| 14 | Hao-Yu Lee | 22.1 | AA | 2B | 2025 | 40+ |
| 15 | Tyler Mattison | 25.5 | AA | SIRP | 2025 | 40+ |
| 16 | Jake Miller | 23.7 | AA | MIRP | 2026 | 40 |
| 17 | Ethan Schiefelbein | 18.9 | R | SP | 2028 | 40 |
| 18 | Ty Madden | 25.1 | MLB | SP | 2025 | 40 |
| 19 | Yosber Sanchez | 23.8 | A+ | SIRP | 2026 | 40 |
| 20 | Kelvis Salcedo | 19.1 | R | SP | 2028 | 40 |
| 21 | Joseph Montalvo | 22.9 | A+ | SP | 2026 | 40 |
| 22 | Max Anderson | 23.0 | AA | 2B | 2026 | 40 |
| 23 | John Peck | 22.6 | A+ | SS | 2028 | 40 |
| 24 | Roberto Campos | 21.7 | A+ | RF | 2027 | 40 |
| 25 | RJ Petit | 25.5 | AA | SIRP | 2025 | 40 |
| 26 | Michael Massey | 21.9 | R | SIRP | 2026 | 40 |
| 27 | Franyerber Montilla | 19.9 | A | SS | 2028 | 35+ |
| 28 | Enrique Jimenez | 19.4 | R | C | 2029 | 35+ |
| 29 | Chase Lee | 26.6 | AAA | SIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
| 30 | Tyler Owens | 24.2 | AA | SIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
| 31 | Tanner Kohlhepp | 25.8 | A+ | SIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 32 | Andrew Navigato | 26.8 | AAA | SS | 2026 | 35+ |
| 33 | Josh Randall | 22.4 | A | SP | 2027 | 35+ |
| 34 | Gabriel Reyes | 21.7 | A | SIRP | 2027 | 35+ |
| 35 | Dylan Smith | 24.8 | AA | SIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
| 36 | Wilmer Flores | 24.1 | AAA | MIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
| 37 | Paul Wilson | 20.2 | R | SP | 2028 | 35+ |
| 38 | Carson Rucker | 20.6 | R | 3B | 2029 | 35+ |
| 39 | Andrew Dunford | 20.2 | R | SP | 2029 | 35+ |
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
A Whole Mess of Depth Guys
Austin Murr, OF
Justice Bigbie, OF
Seth Stephenson, CF
Peyton Graham, UTIL
Eliezer Alfonzo, C
Carlos Mendoza, UTL
Trei Cruz, UTIL
Murr, 26, spent most of 2024 at Double-A Erie. He has lovely all-fields feel for contact and his swing is also geared for launch, which helps his power play better in games than one might expect for a mature hitter with 40-grade raw pop. Bigbie, a 26-year-old outfielder out of Western Carolina, was this system’s prospect booby trap in 2023, as he had an incredible season at Erie during which he posted a 170 wRC+. Bigbie came back to Earth in 2024 with a 79 wRC+ at Toledo. He has a roughly average contact and raw power combo, but the nature of his swing does not allow him to tap into his power on that level, as he’s often very late against fastballs and drives them into the ground. Stephenson is a speedy little outfielder (130 stolen bases combined the last two years) who, conversely, is often on time to pull the ball. He posted an above-average contact rate last year but lacks raw power. He could be a nice pinch-running specialist. Graham was ranked 10th on the FanGraphs Draft Board in 2022 because of his combination of present power, long-term power projection (he’s a lanky 6-foot-3), and defensive fit at shortstop. Injuries and inconsistent performance (including on defense, to Eric’s surprise and dismay) culminated in a .185/.342/.247 2024 batting line at High-A, where he spent most of the season, and Fall League reps in left field. Alfonzo, 25, is a small, contact-oriented catcher who K’d at a 7.8% clip at Erie last year. He lacks the arm to catch. Mendoza is a fun little multi-positional player (2B/3B/LF/RF) with a good contact track record despite his need to involve his entire body to swing hard. A descendant of the famous Cruz family, Trei is a versatile switch-hitter with good strike zone awareness who isn’t blown away by premium velocity, though he strikes out a lot. He can back up both center field and shortstop to be an efficient use of a roster spot. He underwent an internal brace procedure on his throwing elbow last August.
Guys With a Great Breaking Ball
Ricky Vanasco, RHP
Lael Lockhart, LHP
PJ Poulin, LHP
Eric Silva, RHP
Trevin Michael, RHP
Jorger Petri, LHP
Vanasco’s stuff and health have been spotty since his 2019 breakout in Texas’ system. When he’s been healthy, he’s looked like a solid middle reliever, but he’s out again as of this writing, this time due to a hip injury. Lockhart is a little depth lefty with good secondary stuff (especially the curveball) whose role is limited by his lack of velo (he sits 88). Poulin has the look of a depth LOOGY with a low-90s fastball and slider that plays as plus against lefties. He has spent most of his career in the Rockies system and might yet have another gear. Silva is a 22-year-old righty who was drafted by the Giants out of high school in 2021 and moved to the bullpen in 2024, before he was traded to Detroit for Mark Canha at the deadline. He has a 3,000 rpm upper-70s curveball that plays more as a strike-stealer than a bat-misser. He hasn’t enjoyed a velo spike out of the ‘pen and still has roughly average velocity (93.5 mph in 2024), but there’s enough movement to consider it an above-average offering. Without a true plus weapon, Silve looks more like a depth reliever than a slam dunk on-roster prospect. Michael, 27, K’d just over a batter per inning a Erie last year thanks to a monster low-80s sweeper. The rest of his stuff is a little below average. Petri, 20, is a small Venezuelan lefty with a 3,000 rpm breaking ball who has spent three seasons in the DSL.
Higher-Variance Youngsters
Albert Ramos, RHP
Enderson Delgado, C
Jose Dickson, SS
Blake Dickerson, LHP
Zach Swanson, RHP
Ronald Ramirez, MIF
Juan Hernandez, SS
Nestor Miranda, 1B
Ramos is a super loose, projectable, 18-year-old DSL righty whose fastball routinely lived in the low-90s last year. He could break out once the rest of his body catches up to his arm speed. The 20-year-old Delgado is a physical, switch-hitting reserve catching prospect who was acquired from Tampa Bay in exchange for Alex Faedo during the offseason. Unlikely to provide any impact on offense, Delgado’s defense needs to carry him to a backup or third catcher role. His physicality, arm strength, and receiving are all of that ilk, but his ball-blocking needs to improve (badly). Dickson is a projectable DSL shortstop who had about as many walks as strikeouts in 2024. His swing could stand to be more athletic; he hits with virtually no stride at the moment. Dickerson was drafted out of a Virginia high school by San Diego in 2023 and was traded to Detroit for international bonus pool space in February of the following year. He’s a 6-foot-6 dev project with upper-80s velocity. Swanson was the Tigers’ 2024 ninth rounder out of a high school about halfway between Seattle and Vancouver (WA). He got a little over $700,000 to sign rather than go to Oregon State. His fastball creeps into the mid-90s but requires a ton of effort. Ramirez, 18, is a medium-framed Dominican infield prospect who takes a pretty good rip for a young hitter his size. He ran a 78% contact rate in 2024 even though he doesn’t track pitches particularly well. He’s a sleeper who needs to get stronger. Hernandez is a medium-framed, left-hitting infielder who spent 2024 on the Florida complex. His contact rate took a sizable dip compared to his 2023 DSL season. Miranda signed for $1.5 million a couple years ago and has big power, but he struck out too much in the 2024 DSL to place on the main section of the list.
System Overview
This is an excellent farm system with several potential star players, though most of the prospects with everyday upside are still a couple of years away. If not for Roki Sasaki, you could make a case for Jackson Jobe as the best pitching prospect in baseball, and he’s an early favorite to be the American League Rookie of the Year. Trey Sweeney, Jace Jung, and probably Hao-Yu Lee and Tyler Mattison can be counted on the help this year, but outside of Jobe, the really big names probably won’t truly establish themselves until 2027 or so.
We’re high on the pair of enormous, athletic catching prospects in Thayron Liranzo and Josue Briceño, who have star-level power potential for their position. It’s rare for any system to have two players with offensive and defensive tools like these, let alone two catchers. Max Clark and Kevin McGonigle are less freaky but also less risky. We lean more toward the low-variance/solid regular side of the fence on both those guys, with Clark just a bit more power actualization away from looking more like a high-floored All-Star.
We’re still early in the Scott Harris era to draw conclusions on player procurement and development, but the Tigers’ tendency to target traditional corner power bats internationally (like the recently signed Cris Rodriguez, but also several recent flops) and up-the-middle-talent in the draft is an established trend, and it remains to be seen if 11th overall pick Bryce Rainer will thread the needle between those two comfort zones.
But the meat and potatoes of this system, the fuel for a sequel of the pitching chaos of 2024 that flooded exhausted opponents with usable multi-inning arms down the stretch, and the trade capital for a run at the AL Central crown in 2025 lies in the Tigers’ pitching depth. Their demonstrated ability to develop changeups has impacted several arms in this system (Jobe, Jake Miller, Troy Melton, etc.) and points to good things for those who still need one, like Owen Hall, last July’s second round pick, and young cutter monster Kelvis Salcedo.
The Tigers also deserve commendation for committing to international talent enough to field two DSL teams. That investment is represented here with Salcedo, Gabriel Reyes, and former Rangers DSL castoff Yosber Sanchez, who are all coming off intriguing 2024 performances. The Tigers are in a division where a couple of teams (the White Sox and Guardians) haven’t tended to be as active in the international space. Cleveland used pool space to shed Myles Straw’s contract, while Chicago has long opted to be subject to the volatility of players coming out of Cuba rather than have a steady plan in the D.R. and/or Venezuela. Especially as the Tigers seem to get better and better at dev, having as many players as possible is probably a good idea.
I don’t think this is the top farm system in MLB because I’m not that high on Jobe and I don’t think they have the same sort of high-end talent that Boston has, but I’m looking at this list and I see almost a dozen players here who look like they could maybe be real contributors. I don’t think any team is going to have this many players like that.
They’re absolutely loaded with potential up-the-middle contributors with Clark, McGonigle, Rainer, and probably one of the Liranzo or Briceno. And then there’s an army of pitchers with interesting stuff like Jobe, Melton, Hall, Gipson-Long, and Mattison. Throw in a couple of interesting control artists like Hamm and Schiefelbein and a high-risk prospect like Rodriguez, and you can start to see how this system is going to produce a ton of contributors.
I’m not super high on Jung if he can’t play third well, or Sweeney as a long-term solution, but they’re interesting stopgaps / platoon types. Things are looking way, way up here.
I’m high on Jobe from a Stuff+ perspective, but I can understand the skepticism. FWIW, I was similarly high on Bobby Miller, so what do I know.
He could be awesome. But he throws harder than almost any pitching prospect, he is constantly injured, and he doesn’t seem to throw strikes naturally. And I have some real questions about the “stuff” playing down from the crazy velocity and spin rate, even as it gives him a strong foundation.
As a pitching prospect, there are so many ways he could succeed and so many ways he could fail. He doesn’t look like a Eury Perez or Andrew Painter level prospect to me, circa 2023 (they’re both lower as they have had TJ since then).
Still, I’d much rather have him in my system than not. Hard to come up with more than 5 pitching prospects I would definitively take over him. The only ones I can say for sure are Painter, Dollander, and Chandler (and Sasaki if you count him). Maybe Noah Schultz. Maybe.
What’s the actual fear you have of prospects throwing uber hard? That they’ll blow out? Or blow out and not recover? Because if you’re afraid they’ll blow out, I mean…that’s a fear of just about any pitcher. Maybe they’re a bit more likely, but acting like TJ is some sort of death sentence is…- bit much.
Throwing hard is a huge risk factor for prospects. Obviously it’s better to throw hard in the abstract but a young guy throwing super hard is tough.
Normally I wouldn’t care that much but Jobe also has a ton of weird nagging injuries too. I think there is a high risk he is just not going to hold up.
Also, he’s still probably a top 10 pitching prospect, which is pretty good!
We’re at a point now where so many guys throw high 90’s, the risk doesn’t feel any greater when combined with other factors (workload, age, delivery). I wouldn’t take a guy with, say, Thomas Harrington’s stuff over Jobe’s, even if I thought Harrington had 10-15% more of a chance of staying healthy. Maybe I’m desensitized to the arm injuries, but I see little point in getting Barney Fife level nervous about the injury risk of high velocity young pitchers.
I get your point about Jobe though, as he’s had injury issues beyond his arm (back injuries are no bueno).
You definitely would not take Thomas Harrington over Jobe because he is a worse prospect. His stuff is not as good! The best pitching prospects all have good to great velocity. Painter and Chandler are only a tick lower on velocity and Dollander and Schultz are only a little it behind them. The best rookie pitchers of recent years throw super hard too (Skenes and Strider). Tanner Bibee has also been pretty good, as has George Kirby, Spencer Schwellenbach…sitting in the mid 90s isn’t a prerequisite to being a top pitcher but it is a lot harder to make it if you don’t.
Jobe is at the upper limit of that range so in some ways he’s more of a risk, but more of the risk is that he had that velocity super young. The track record of pitchers who throw that hard as a teenager is not good, it’s part of why teams were down on Noble Meyer. Although the main concern is the fact that he has been hurt a lot and his performance has been nothing like guys like Dollander.
I’ll always worry about guys who throw hard and have lots of spin. Jobe has had injury woes, but no arm trouble so far. But nobody would be surprised if he tears his ACL. He could still have an effective career post-TJS, and I would be less sanguine if there were shoulder concerns. You mention Skenes, and the spin and velocity do scare the hell out of me as a fan of amazing things. I really hope we get to see a long career there.
Jobe literally just dominated the blue jays starting lineup.
Hitters seemed unphased
That is because it is impossible for a hitter to be phased, what you are looking for is unfazed.
Thanks.
I think Kitty Pryde would be a pretty good hitter, if given the chance!
What is limiting McGonigle from having a hit tool graded higher than 55? This is the lowest I’ve read and the report reads like something higher.
I’m guessing the answer is “Performance above Low-A” – they tend to be pretty conservative with Hit Tool grades, because it’s the toughest to predict.
Makes sense. But does this mean that a guy at that level is incapable of grading higher than a 55 hit tool? There has to be a level of talent and performance that would warrant it, and McGonigle couldn’t do much more.
It’s wild how much better I feel about this organization than I did just a few years ago.
I mentioned this in the Top 100 prospects comment thread but that incredible turnaround that happened in San Francisco looks a lot like it was due to Harris and not Zaidi.
I’m not ready to declare Harris to be the best GM in the game, because there are some really good ones right now. The Dodgers, Phillies, and Braves are the obvious choices, and depending on how much you are willing to adjust for owner resources / meddling you could put the Brewers, Orioles, Guardians, Rays, D-Backs, Mariners up there too. But I think there’s a very good chance in a couple of years we’re going to say Harris is Top 10. The Tigers, Red Sox, and Mets are the front offices to watch.
Since Harris and Breslow both worked in the Cubs front office, does this mean the Cubs kept the wrong guy?
Maybe Harris needed time to develop in SF, and I think he left a year before Epstein retired. But I think in retrospect they probably should have interviewed him alongside Hoyer.
I don’t think Breslow was on anyone’s radar at that point. He had maybe one year in the front office? He’s clearly a quick study. He and Chris Young are bright guys although I don’t know that Young is in the same class of GM as Breslow (or Harris).
Based on these grades and report, I feel like Clark should be higher than a 50. An above average hitter with elite speed playing an average center field sounds like a 3+ WAR player to me. That being said, I think the hit tool is more likely a 50 than a 60 and the game power is more of a 40 than a 45. Pair that with elite speed and average center field defense and that probably still is a 50 but based on the grades given, he should probably be listed as a 55/60.
I think he’s the clear #1 prospect in this system.
Yeah, he seems low to me & I can see a .290/.380/.450 peak for him with a 40+ SB’s & above average D in CF. That’s a 55 or 60.
The other guy I think Eric is low on is Lee. I think he’ll be an .800 OPS guy bouncing around the IF or corner OF playing average to below average D & will be a useful long-term contributor.
2 guys Eric is higher on than me are Melton & Anderson. At this point, I think Anderson is probably a bust.
Shame about Wilson. I thought he was a steal. As with anyone with a velocity drop, I always wonder if there is an arm issue.
I came into this thinking yeah I agree with this Clark should be a 55 or 60, but after reading the defense scouting report from Eric and doing some calcs on Clark’s A ball statcast data, I feel like 50 is right. I have no idea on the predictive quality of some of these statcast stats for A ballers, but sharing anyway. It would be interesting to do a study of if A and AAA statcast measures have predictive value. I would expect O-Swing % and Z-Contact % to have some strong relationships to the player in the bigs
Also caveat there could be errors as I did this in Google Sheets and it took as much time for me given my lack of Sheets experience as it would to just write some basic Python code that would get this for all players. I’m trying to get more familiar with Sheets.
Max Clark
EV50 – 86.5 MPH (45 Game Power)EV90 – 102.1 MPH (40 Game Power)Max EV – 106.7 MPH (40 Raw Power)Launch Angle – 6.3 degrees (Impacts Game Power)Swinging Strike % – 8.12% (60 Bat Control)Z-Swing % – 59.4% (35 Pitch Selection)O-Swing % – 22.6% (60 Pitch Selection)Z-Contact % – 88.5% (60 Bat Control)O-Contact % – 59.4%So by my pure numbers and no projection on growth, I would have the following as a rough numbers scout. If you are curious where the 20-80 numbers come from, I recommend Chapter 8 of Future Value as i don’t want to share Eric and Kiley’s tables.
Bat Control – 60 (Eric 60)
Pitch Selection – 50 (weighing much toward O-Swing %) (Eric 55)
Hit – 55 (Eric 60)
Raw Power – 40 (Eric 45)
Game Power – 40 (limiting to raw max) (Eric 45)
Oh an edit destroyed the formatting on the details and I can’t edit back. Also updating Swinging Strike % as I had a formula error. Still unsure on the current as that seems way to bad, but the formula seems correct.
Very interesting, thanks for putting this all together. My take away from this would be, he’s being too passive right now but hasn’t really paid the price yet due to the lack of control of the A/A+ pitchers. As he climbs the ladder, he needs to get more aggressive or he’s going to see his walk rate drop and his K-rate spike. Which, is the norm for just about everyone, however, he may have a more extreme case.
Cool! Would be very interested in tracking players over time who scouts think have projectable power to see how much that can actually improve.
John Jacob Jingleheimer Wilmer Flores Schmidt (that’s my name, too!)
Paul Wilson (37) cannot be a serious prospect. He has an 87-92 fastball with 20/40 command. 20 command on effectively an underhand pitch?!?!?!
Jackson Jobe – Troy Melton – Paul Wilson…Generation K, Part II. Would’ve been better if Melton was a lefty to fill the Pulsipher role.
The wrong Wilmer Flores is linked. I had high hopes from him mostly because he turned into a great #2 in my OOTP team. Pitchers are interesting though and often times take non linear paths to the bigs, so maybe he can regain health and velocity.
Did Eddys Leonard’s grade drop so much that he doesn’t even get into the depth category? He was a 40 last year. Still seems like a 40 to me.
OK, I’ll bite: what does “40-man platform year” mean? Not even a search phrased as *what does 40-man roster “platform year” mean site:fangraphs.com* yields a definition—just additional uses without explanation.
The last season a player has in the minor leagues before they become Rule 5 Draft eligible. They have the season to prove they are worth a team stashing them on their 40-man roster or be exposed to other teams through the Rule 5 Draft.