Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 3/13/14
by Eno Sarris
March 13, 2014
| 12:05 |
: Okay gonna give me five minutes to catch my breath.
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| 12:05 |
: Ran up from the clubhouse.
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| 12:11 |
:
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| 12:11 |
: video because I was running around
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| 12:11 |
: Ok I’m here!
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| 12:11 |
we’re punctual here |
| 12:11 |
: most of the time!
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| 12:12 |
: clubhouse closed at 9 PT so there I was, watching Clayton Kershaw play ping pong when I should have been chatting. (predictably he’s good)
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| 12:12 |
Late round flier Porcello or Y Ventura? |
| 12:13 |
: Porcello higher floor, Ventura higher ceiling, so the particulars of your league matter. Ten-team… go for ceiling.
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| 12:13 |
I was beginning to form a search party |
| 12:13 |
: Phew I made it.
|
| 12:13 |
but speaking of running. What do you have for Reyes this year in terms of illicitly taken bases? |
| 12:13 |
: 35 or so? Mostly healthy year?
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| 12:13 |
Been looking forward to that piece since you mentioned it on the CBBQ pod. Guess you just have to take the Votto’s with the Hosmer’s, huh? |
| 12:13 |
: http://www.hardballtimes.com/learning-the-language-of-the-clubhouse/ It was a good year and I’m ready for another!
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| 12:14 |
Hey Eno! I heard you mention on The Sleeper and Bust podcast that you have a few red flags where I’m concerned, but you never said what they were. Those thinking of drafting me as their ace need to know your reasons!!! |
| 12:15 |
: Shields keeps showing up on Jeff Zimmerman’s Josh Kalk research, the injury zone — his release points go in and out and his velocity and zone rates go down at times. But he always rallies. Maybe it won’t matter, but there are a ton of innings and his strikeout and GB rates are generally in decline.
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| 12:15 |
I was kinda worried about this happening today. I was so prepared too, drinking my first double jack (awesome so far)!! So I’m in Denver right now, anyone know where I can find Russian River here? |
| 12:15 |
: Be Prepared!!
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| 12:15 |
Which is >, your 2014 love for B Miller or 2013 love for J Rutledge? Does this year’s version have a happier ending? |
| 12:15 |
: Bigger for Miller. Because he doesn’t have massive real-life flaws like Rutledge. He’s a good defender with patience and Nick Franklin is no shortstop.
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| 12:15 |
Be honest… you got lost in the Beard’s beard. |
| 12:16 |
: He was a tour de force today.
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| 12:16 |
Hey Eno. I really enjoyed the piece on clubhouse language. Do you have any follow-up as to how guys reacted to seeing you a second time? |
| 12:16 |
: Very few players have acknowledged me as a person. R.A. Dickey. Sean Doolittle. Dan Straily. Brandon Crawford. That might be the end of the list.
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| 12:16 |
One, two buckle my shoe. |
| 12:17 |
Loved your piece at THT today, Mr. Sarris. What is the most insightful comment you have heard from a non-Votto player, in your experiences? I distinctly remember that Vogelsong interview being surprisingly cogent. |
| 12:18 |
: Vogey was good about beating FIP (walks over homers) and Burnett was great about having two knuckle curves, there have been a lot great moments. Donaldson saying he hit more grounder for more power because his bat stayed level through the zone longer. Even Butler saying that he looked for low pitches because that’s where pitchers threw them… Players are smart about baseball, I just had to learn their language better.
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| 12:18 |
Great job on THT today. Thanks for your honesty- love reading pieces like that. Disappointing to read about those players, though. Even if you don’t like saber/questions you think are stupid, it’s not ok to be disrespectful to other people just doing their job. |
| 12:18 |
: To be fair, they get a lot of crap. So it probably feels natural to them to give it back.
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| 12:18 |
all that pickup bball conditioning is paying off! you said 10 minutes and made it in 5 |
| 12:18 |
: Dude I ran so hard people were laughing at me.
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| 12:18 |
If you just ran, you should probably have a beer to, uh, rehydrate. Yeah. |
| 12:19 |
: I saw some piece about that being not ridiculous and I thought it was ridiculous.
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| 12:19 |
That's right son. |
| 12:19 |
What’s a legitimate ceiling for Grady Sizemore (OBP/SLG) this year? |
| 12:19 |
The Killers are like that band that went mainstream and then people sort of blew them off after their first album for some reason. But they’re a neat source of a sort of Americana sound. |
| 12:19 |
Texiera is going around pick 200 in mocks…has his ceiling gotten that low? |
| 12:20 |
: I think he might be a value there actually. As long as you have a backup plan.
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| 12:20 |
Bruce and Bogaerts and picks OR MIKE TROUT EATER OF PLANETS in a keep forever dynasty? Depth isn’t an issue. |
| 12:20 |
: Trout.
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| 12:20 |
: He eats planets after all.
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| 12:20 |
: Terrible interview though.
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| 12:20 |
So was I stupid to keep Choo over Puig in my keeper league? |
| 12:20 |
: OBP maybe no, but I’d have kept Puig.
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| 12:20 |
Can you please explain how we can use excel + steamer to create player values/point projections? |
| 12:22 |
: That is so tough. I don’t know how to do points. I guess I would just take their Steamer projected values, spit out some points, and then identify replacement level (probably points per PA or IP) and then value guys above that RL. Read Zach Sanders FVarz for more, I know he’s getting crap, but the series (plus Jeff Zimmerman recently using Standard Gain Points method) give you an idea of how.
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| 12:22 |
How am I supposed to waste an hour and a half of my Thursday workday without you, Eno? |
| 12:22 |
: Eno: Professional Waster of Time.
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| 12:22 |
Participating in a keeper league draft for the first time ever this weekend. Any tips besides keeping age in mind when deciding between players? |
| 12:22 |
: Don’t forget old people. They’ll be a great value in the middle of the draft.
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| 12:23 |
Thoughts on Brian Dozier this year? Think he’ll end up hitting leadoff for the Twins? |
| 12:24 |
: I don’t think he needs to in order to be a great pick this year. Projections on my end say something like .245/15/15 with okay r/RBI, at worst that’s a good MI that’s available late in the draft. If he swings more to take advantage of low swSTR rate (totally possible given his comments to the media this spring), then he’s a sleeper for a better BA and much more value.
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| 12:24 |
If you could have Tulo + Marte or Segura + Stanton in a redraft league, which would you take? Projections are astonishingly similar for each pair. |
| 12:24 |
: I think I’d take Tulo and Marte actually. When they are actually playing, they’ll be a better pair.
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| 12:24 |
I’m weighing some last minute keeper options in my league and have a pair of sluggers I’m debating between. In a vacuum, would you keep Pedro Alvarez or Jedd Gyorko? |
| 12:25 |
: Gyorko hasn’t proven that he has a fatal flaw yet. Alvarez is who he is. I think I’d take Gyorko.
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| 12:25 |
Ian Kennedy – Yay or Nay? |
| 12:25 |
: yay (late)
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| 12:25 |
The best three SPs you should be targeting to grab for $1-$2 at your AL-only auction are..? |
| 12:25 |
: Gausman, Skaggs, Carrasco. I know the last one will be a dollar at least. He has three plus pitches by whiff rates, and his sinker has a 60% GB.
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| 12:25 |
Dear eno, so i have teh 2nd pick and my brother has the 3rd pick, and he really wants miguel Cabrera (if he is there for me) and is willing to package in another round pick to get him. What round would be a fair (10 team serpentine draft mixed no keepers) trade to give up the additional value of Miggy for the third pick and another round? Your answer determines if we will actually do this trade lol and thanks for the chat. |
| 12:27 |
: So hard. It would have to be great. Because Miggy to Goldschmidt is seven bucks. You’d have to turn a 50th pick into an 15th pick to get $7 back. But because of the relative star value, I’d ask for his second round pick and you give him a sixth back.
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| 12:27 |
Also all those transition 3 pts you take in pickup ball … thought it’d give you more stamina (unless you play halfcourt). |
| 12:28 |
: I play full and am usually heaving by the end.
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| 12:28 |
How many starts do you think Ross Detwiler, Tanner Roark, and Taylor Jordan get this year, respectively? |
| 12:28 |
: From my research the other day, all three will get starts. I say Ross wins it though and gets 20+. Roark gets 10+, Jordan gets a handful.
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| 12:28 |
I punted on drafting a closer in a shallow 5×5, can you rank cook, strop and hawkins and any other guys i should look at? |
| 12:29 |
: (Allen), Hawkins, Cook, Bastardo, Clippard, Strop.
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| 12:29 |
Eno, thank you for this Sullivan-esque entrance. Do you think Heyward has a breakout year? His ADP seems at least 2 rounds too low. |
| 12:29 |
: Just needs to be healthy. I like him as a value this year, yes.
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| 12:29 |
joining a extant keeper league this year, for my first keeper. They do a snake draft. So, how do i figure out positional replacement value after i know the keepers? everyone will have different ones, right? since instead of 5 OF getting drafted per team, some are drafting three and some are drafting 4? |
| 12:30 |
: Since it’s a snake draft, all you need to do is rank the players at each position, our ranks can help, we have a spreadsheet too so you can erase/manipulate at will, and then you’ll probably be able to see pretty quickly what’s best available in the draft.
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| 12:30 |
We were scared, not only were you uncharacteristically late, the date says February! |
| 12:31 |
: Woof, fixed.
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| 12:31 |
Thoughts on Yordano Ventura? |
| 12:31 |
: All gas, the curve looks a little predictable and soft, and I didn’t see many change-ups. If the change is good, he has 100+ mph type velocity. He will be in the rotation because of his upside, and he’s a great late pick in all leagues because if he figures it all out…
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| 12:32 |
I love good, flavorful beers normally. But when i go to a midsummer baseball game in the mid-Atlantic, all I can drink is Miller Lite and its ilk. Does this make me uncool? |
| 12:32 |
: No. It’s hot.
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| 12:32 |
Mike Olt had 7 K’s in 17 ABs before going 3-3 for 2 Homers last night. It looks like his vision is improving. Do you see the high K% as part of the recovery process or part of the player’s downside? |
| 12:32 |
: totally part of his downside. Will be a three true outcome player IMO.
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| 12:32 |
Are you expecting a big bounceback for Dickey in 2014? |
| 12:32 |
: Minor. Health was issue. Look at his second half numbers for his upside.
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| 12:34 |
Is Daniel Webb going to make the White Sox out of ST? |
| 12:34 |
: Yes. And he’ll be in the mix for setup.
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| 12:34 |
Can you name this man or the team he Rooted for? |
| 12:34 |
Eno: predictions for Amador….MLB or MInors? |
| 12:34 |
: Minors but I think he’ll be in the lineup soon. The plan at first is not good enough right now.
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| 12:35 |
: I think Amador will come up before Singleton and get 150 PA chance.
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| 12:35 |
Does MLB have any emergency plans in store incase this brutal, never-ending winter really messes with multiple teams and multiple games? |
| 12:35 |
: Nah. Tons of double headers?
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| 12:35 |
This question might be too big to answer here, but I’ll ask it anyways. How do the expert leagues conduct their auctions? Is it one player at a time? Are players called up and then bid on in small groups of, say, 10 players? My league needs to reform how we do things and I’m looking for some info/ammo to throw at them. Thanks! |
| 12:36 |
: One at a time, and the best ones (LABR and TOUT) have auctioneers and do it in person, which is super fun.
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| 12:36 |
Given the Mets need AND what Diaz ended up signing for, should they have been more involved? |
| 12:36 |
: I guess, but I’m not impressed with Diaz’ bat at all.
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| 12:36 |
No search parties here, I did set some traps with craft beers though. So far I only caught a hipster (who mentioned he was only caught ironically), a thirsty hobo, and a particularly friendly dog. I’ll take the others down. |
| 12:36 |
First year playing in a 20 team league and boy is the waiver wire terrifying to look at. |
| 12:36 |
Just a friendly reminder: Goodyear Ballpark is where the Indians and Reds play, and Goodyear is a tire store. |
| 12:37 |
: Well done people.
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| 12:37 |
if you had to “ballpark it” (pun!)…how many players are actually receptive to the advanced metrics? |
| 12:37 |
: 5%? Not many. Jason Castro is super smart and on top of new stuff and his answer was OPS. Which is cool. They don’t pay them to think about ground ball rates, a baseball player recently said.
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| 12:37 |
Holy Crap its hard getting 12 people together to start an ottoneu league |
| 12:37 |
: Someone help him out.
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| 12:38 |
Visiting California, and driving from LA to San Diego next month. I have time for 3 brewery visits, what are your recommendations? |
| 12:39 |
: Pizza Port in Carlsbad, Stone World Bistro, and Ballast Point. But! If you have time to go out to Alpine, that’s the one you won’t ever find in a store, and it’s great. It’s just 45 inland from SD. Might take it over Stone, who’s beers you will see.
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| 12:39 |
In terms of fantasy production, do I regress, improve or stay around the same in 2014? |
| 12:39 |
: Sames.
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| 12:39 |
better ping pong player, clayton kershaw, Rafeael Nadal, Forest gump |
| 12:39 |
: Kershaw. Well, Gump I guess.
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| 12:40 |
Eno, who do you think will have the most BABIP regresion? |
| 12:40 |
: Mike Napoli and his .367.
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| 12:40 |
Was Ervin the Braves’ best option? Was it a necessity? |
| 12:40 |
: Yes and probably. He didn’t cost them an actual player.
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| 12:40 |
Time is a flat surface, we relive the same moments again and again. |
| 12:40 |
E no he di’int! |
| 12:40 |
The guy in Denver is already drinking, meanwhile I’m having lunch at my desk. What am I doing wrong?! |
| 12:41 |
: you guys are in the best lude shape of your life
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| 12:41 |
List of players I wish everyone would just shut up about so that I can have them cheap: Salazar, W Ramos, B Miller, A Eaton, G Springer |
| 12:41 |
: Ramos went so high up in Tout mixed that I did a double take. I ended up with Jason Castro and Yasmani Grandal which seems fine in an OBP.
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| 12:41 |
What are you expecting from Josh Johnson this year. I assume he’s a guy who would have huge variance around his expected performance. Thoughts? |
| 12:42 |
: Take a flier, but I’d rather it was after the 15th, after close to 200 players off the board. I picked Ian Kennedy over him in tout.
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| 12:42 |
I’ve always wondered about sabermetricians and analysts conversing with professional jocks: seems a natural mismatch. |
| 12:42 |
: I actually might have the skillset to do it I think. I’m not as smart as the sabermetricians, but I’m a decent talker.
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| 12:42 |
In a vacuum, would you do a Max Scherzer for Xander Bogaerts and Addison Russell in a dynasty league? |
| 12:42 |
: Two shortstops! Yes.
|
| 12:43 |
So how about that Cigar City Hunnapuh Day disaster? Glad I was unable to get tickets for it, seems like a waste |
| 12:43 |
: Yeah sounds like CG really screwed that up. Don’t sell cases at an event like that…
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| 12:43 |
Despite the issues with James Shields, does a Verlander, Greinke, Shields 1-2-3 in a 10-team 7X7 excite you? |
| 12:44 |
: It’s risky as hell but you should at least get two top 20 starters so it’s actually kind of awesome. I wish someone from the Cole/Gray/Salzar/Wacha/Miller young crew was in the mix at #4.
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| 12:44 |
Recommend a baseball hat for me to buy, minors or majors. |
| 12:44 |
: The Reds spring training hat with the Redleg guy on it?
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| 12:44 |
ridiculously small sample size update: Everth Cabrera with 5 whiffs on 16 swings. in pitchf/x parks, I guess. |
| 12:44 |
: And I was the one talking about his contact rate tanking this year, remember that!
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| 12:44 |
Will Rafael Montero join the the Mets? |
| 12:44 |
: After July 1.
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| 12:45 |
you oughta get a haircut and then make a bunch of snide remarks about “that weirdo reporter with the long hair” next time you go into each clubhouse. you’ll make so many friends |
| 12:45 |
: I do have the option of looking completely different next time I’m in the Royals clubhouse lol.
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| 12:45 |
Ervin is wise right to hold off on not wanting face the Yankees and red sox in hitters parks on a regular basis? Marlins mets anyone? |
| 12:45 |
: yes.
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| 12:45 |
Dom Brown has had a horrific spring. I know spring stats are meaningless for the most part but how bad is he gonna regress this season? |
| 12:45 |
: I think he can .270, 20-25/5 this year again, mostly because I think he’ll get more PA and be a little bit worse in each PA.
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| 12:46 |
How do you feel about Daniel Murphy this season? will the playing time be there all year? |
| 12:46 |
: Yes but eh. Won’t steal more than 12 IMO.
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| 12:46 |
has any team ever gone a season without a manager? just splitting up the managers duties between the other respective coaches? |
| 12:46 |
: Some cheap team should do it.
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| 12:46 |
I had Doug Fister very very high on my SP draft board going into my league’s early draft. I grabbed him, and now I’m nervous from the injury talk. What do you think? |
| 12:46 |
: FWIW, Fister showed up in the injury zone analysis too.
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| 12:47 |
What positions is Javier Baez considered for outside of the likely, SS and 3B, and the slight possibility of 2nd base? If Mike Olt and Starlin produce, where would he play come a june promotion? |
| 12:47 |
: Second.
|
| 12:47 |
Well well well Eric look who we got here. |
| 12:47 |
Gimme your lunch money. |
| 12:47 |
BUT COULD BOGAERTS NOT EAT PLANETS HIMSELF? |
| 12:48 |
: Actually I think he’ll be more modest. .280/25/10 peak maybe? More of a monster in an OBP league.
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| 12:48 |
what are your thoughts on jonathan villar? I’m eyeing him in my dynasty league draft at 169 overall. might be a reach, but people are already reaching for speed. have no MI and no SB. I’m worried about PT after Correa comes up. |
| 12:48 |
: Astros won’t have a reason to call up Correa, maybe not at all this year. I think it’s a good spot to get him.
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| 12:48 |
Eno, Tyson Ross or Yordano Ventura in a 5×5 roto league? 10 teams, deep keeper |
| 12:49 |
: Ten teams I’m going Ventura, more upside. Ross has two pitches.
|
| 12:49 |
don’t tell me that Mike Trout is all Jersey. That would be a travesty. |
| 12:50 |
: He’s from a town that’s an hour from the turnpike and not on the shore so he’s more small town than Jersey.
|
| 12:51 |
keep forever, one of hanley/darvish/puig? |
| 12:51 |
: Puig. Hanley gonna move off his position and get injured soon.
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| 12:51 |
i just checked phillytapfinder and there are still FIVE bars serving pumpkin beers. WHY http://www.phillytapfinder.com/style/pumpkin/ |
| 12:51 |
: Uh dudes it’s spring.
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| 12:51 |
Am I primed for a big rebound in 2014? |
| 12:51 |
: Batting average upside, but not power. He’s a GB machine.
|
| 12:51 |
Heaney breaks camp with Miami? |
| 12:52 |
: I’m saying this without having read reports: I think so. Low ceiling, they need arms, he’s polished.
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| 12:52 |
IS Junior Lake part of the Cubs future plans…i.e. when the young guns roll into CHI… |
| 12:52 |
: They’re going to give him a half season before they move him off. Bryant might end up in OF and if Lake can’t CF that’s all the time he gets.
|
| 12:52 |
You guys caught a lot of guff over the 5×5 rankings jeez its just opinions |
| 12:53 |
: Sanders has a method. Maybe he needs to tweak the second base replacement level, but it’s a simple thing. We provided a spreadsheet and it’s easy to manipulate.
|
| 12:53 |
validate my obsession with Kazmir this year.. Oak pitchers park, good defense, sustained velocity and “adding a pitch” = top 50 SP value? |
| 12:53 |
: He did tell me he was adding a pitch but wouldn’t say what it was. Dunno. Good park. Probably gonna take a bit of time off.
|
| 12:53 |
Off the top of your head, can you think of a better Somali-Canadian singer/songwriter/poet than K’Naan? (Love the song “In the Beginning”) |
| 12:53 |
: You know I do like him. Nice handle.
|
| 12:53 |
what…the.. |
| 12:54 |
Dozier line: .270/.320/.450 with 20 homers and 20 steals possible? |
| 12:54 |
: Possible but not probable.
|
| 12:54 |
RA Dickey just seems like a good dude to talk to. Any concerns on him after the down year? What should he go for in auction? |
| 12:54 |
: I think he’ll be healthier this year, hopefully. The problem is that when other pitchers go to the DL, he pitches through it and isn’t great. Might be a guy you can drop and pick back up, so I wouldn’t spend a ton.
|
| 12:55 |
What was your mother’s favorite Brian Eno album? |
| 12:55 |
: Taking Tiger Mountain but I think she really liked the Roxie Music stuff best.
|
| 12:55 |
Am I going to be better than Smyly this season? What are our ceilings? |
| 12:55 |
: I’ll take Straily. More innings.
|
| 12:56 |
Speaking of Marte, he’s not so good in a slash-line league. Terrible vs RHPs too. |
| 12:56 |
: yes that’s worth mentioning. But he doesn’t hit pop ups so I think he’ll have a decent BABIP.
|
| 12:56 |
Anyone out there at SMX West in San Jose right now? |
| 12:56 |
Should pitchers ever be keepers? I have seven keepers and want to keep Strasburg and Scherzer to stabilize my pitching line…Thanks my friend. |
| 12:56 |
: Seven keepers I’d keep one but two is okay.
|
| 12:56 |
What do you think of Weaver this year? Bounce back candidate or he is who he is now? |
| 12:57 |
: He is who he is and it could be worse. That velocity is not coming back.
|
| 12:57 |
I just had a plate of speck and a kinder chocolate for dessert. It was fantastic so I’m telling all my German friends. |
| 12:57 |
: YESSSSSSSS
|
| 12:57 |
Eric, this guy ain’t even a ballplayer, lolz. |
| 12:57 |
You’re on the clock in a live draft, and time is running out. Your projections say one thing but your gut says another. Which do you go with? |
| 12:57 |
: gut.
|
| 12:57 |
Taveras or Khris Davis 5×5 roto? |
| 12:57 |
: Nonkeeper Davis by a mile.
|
| 12:57 |
so it would appear I’m transitioning to almost all platoon guys in my dynasty league outfield. anybody with fantastic splits flying under the radar? |
| 12:58 |
: Dunno how deep. Maybe DeJesus if deep, Ruggiano. Shallower? Viciedo is wrong side but valuable.
|
| 12:58 |
McCutchen or Kershaw? Would you rather have McCutchen, Stanton and Price with your 1st 3 picks or Kershaw, Stanton, and maybe Carlos Santana? 15 team straight draft with some players like Trout, Goldy etc already kept. |
| 12:58 |
: I know people are loving Kershaw mightily, but I can’t take him until around 8/9/10 and even then… old habits die hard.
|
| 12:59 |
Dynasty points league with heavy emphasis on contact hitters. Would you give Gyorko for 9 and get back Lawrie for 11? |
| 12:59 |
: Yes.
|
| 12:59 |
I’m 100% ignorant when it comes to projections on excel. How would I go about getting it to “spit out some points.” I have the steamer projections up on excel, but I don’t know how to calculate the point values. 🙁 |
| 12:59 |
: You have to look at your settings to see what each stat means in points.
|
| 12:59 |
Loved your piece in THT. How do you weight positional availability vs top overall talent? AKA Jose Reyes in round 3 vs Adrian Beltre? |
| 1:00 |
: I give positional value more weight the deeper the league is. In a ten-teamer without MI, your worst SS is fine and you can just get the best stats at each position. In a 12-team AL-only, I went to 17 and 14 on Brad Miller and Brian Dozier to make sure I had starters there.
|
| 1:00 |
So… How many starters DOES a team need? |
| 1:00 |
: Eight.
|
| 1:01 |
maxamuz and stache are back… definitely an Eno chat nearing the start of real baseballs |
| 1:01 |
Ryan Zimmerman: Target him because he’s at the bottom of the “good 3B tier” or avoid him because he’s Kyle Seager going 60 picks earlier? is there any upside left with Zim? |
| 1:01 |
: There might be one great season left in him. NO idea when it is, and yeah I’d wait as long as possible because I could still get Seager.
|
| 1:01 |
Braun or Harper? Instinct says Braun but Harper’s trajectory is going the right way and I’m concerned about the season long scrutiny Braun will face. |
| 1:01 |
: Still Braun.
|
| 1:01 |
Does Jacob Turner have any fantasy relevance? HOld him in a dynstay league… might be time to let him free. |
| 1:02 |
: I like him in onlys a bit. If it’s mixed at all, let him go.
|
| 1:02 |
I can protect as many of the following as I want, 11 team AL only, Wilson Ramos-$10, Brad Miller- $10, Hosmer- $15, Villar-$10, Sonny Gray-$10, Alex Cobb-$10, Iwakuma-$10, who you taking Eno? Thanks! |
| 1:02 |
: All of em except Villar makes me pause. Maybe not him. $10 might get you someone like Dozier, who seems safer all year.
|
| 1:02 |
Hi Big Eeeen, I need you here bro. Would you adjust your auction strategy in an 18-team mixed league? Like would you make sure you got a stud like Trout/Miggy/Kershaw and then fill the rest of your team with bargains? Or try to get 3-4 almost-elite players? Thanks |
| 1:03 |
: The deeper it is, the more balanced I want to be on offense. In AL LABR I got 33 Kipnis, 26 Hosmer, 17 miller, 11 Matt dominguez… $3 Grossman was my worst player on offense. I hate $1 guys on offense. $1 guys on pitching are okay.
|
| 1:03 |
Earliest round you’d take Salazar in a redraft? |
| 1:03 |
: 8/9?
|
| 1:03 |
In Dave’s chat yesterday a commenter said you would be a good wingman because you are “affable and non-threatening enough to keep the ladies entertained, but not so good looking as to skewer ones chances of ‘going for the gold’.” Thoughts? |
| 1:04 |
: You know what? I agree. Just would have to watch I don’t talk too much.
|
| 1:04 |
Is Avisail worth keeping a bench spot over Rajai? |
| 1:04 |
: I dunno. Not sure they’ll just give Rajai the full time job with Dirks out. Garcia is mostly a wing and a scout-backed prayer, but the scouts really love him. I love upside, though, so I’d probably go Garcia. Right park for him.
|
| 1:05 |
Matt Harvey. Those of us in keeper leagues need to wrestle with the Harvey issue even though he won’t play this year. Assuming he recovers as expected, where do you foresee him being ranked at the beginning of the 2015 season? (Lots of variables there, I know, but even a ballpark figure would be helpful) |
| 1:05 |
: End of the aces. Still a 5-6th rounder probably. Marc Normandin bought him at $9 this year in a mixed league auction I was in, and I almost extended him at 8/13/18 to keep him.
|
| 1:05 |
I might be forced with number 1 roto starter as Bailey or Sanchez… is this doable for success?? |
| 1:06 |
: Ug. I might see if I could trade Sanchez as a number one for two #2s, so that you could have something like Bailey/Cole/Gray or something instead. Those guys you’ve got are post-peak in my estimation.
|
| 1:06 |
Eno I just read your THT piece on your experience in the Royal’s clubhouse: Good on you for taking a negative experience and learning from it/aiming to make it a net positive in your career. Serious Respect and keep up the good work! Your pieces are great! |
| 1:06 |
: Thanks dude. It’s not all on them.
|
| 1:06 |
Do you feel bad that Jared failed out of school due to your chats? |
| 1:06 |
: Yes.
|
| 1:07 |
Am I trending downward or upward? |
| 1:07 |
: Downward, look at K%.
|
| 1:07 |
With Medlen done, do you go young upside with Yordano? A deep sleeper like Skaggs? Porcello as a young break out? Old upside in kazmir? Those were my four, anyone else you like? |
| 1:07 |
: Skaggs is probably higher floor than Yordano, IMO. Porcello highest floor. The shallower the league, I go Yordano. The deeper, I go Porcello.
|
| 1:07 |
Eno, have you seen Skaggs at all? Think he’s ‘fixed’? |
| 1:08 |
: hit 95 on the gun I almost don’t need to watch him to get him.
|
| 1:08 |
How was cliffjumping at Rick’s?! |
| 1:08 |
: In a few weeks.
|
| 1:08 |
Shake it like a Polaroid picture |
| 1:08 |
Hodor. |
| 1:08 |
Anything interesting you can tell me about hops from New Zealand? I have seen some beers claiming New Zealand as the hop source. |
| 1:09 |
: New Zealand hops are awesome. Anything with Nelson in the title or on the bottle is NZ. That’s the easiest one to spot. Go get those beers, they are really nice.
|
| 1:09 |
rosario and andrus or pede and salty |
| 1:09 |
: Roasario side.
|
| 1:10 |
Can Brandon Crawford be a league average hitter? |
| 1:10 |
: checked. 91 wrC+! I think he could walk a little more, hit a few more bombs, yes he’ll get to league average at least once or thrice I bet.
|
| 1:10 |
have you tried Milwaukee brewing company’s O-Gii yet and if so what are your thoughts? |
| 1:10 |
: Is that the one that’s lemony or something?
|
| 1:11 |
Dear Mr. Eno-Man- whatif either Rutledge or Owings get significant (over 450) plate appearances this year. |
| 1:11 |
: Rut might have better fantasy line if both given PAs. He has a tiny bit more power.
|
| 1:12 |
It seems like every year for the past decade, I’ve heard Nick Markakis sprinkled in to a few Sleepers list. I thought for sure that would finally end this season, but now I’ve seen a few writers boasting about how he put on 40 lbs in the offseason and will be “a beast” in 2014. Should we put any stock in this, or are we looking at our annual waste of a perfectly good sleeper pick? |
| 1:12 |
: He’s a deep league PA play in that he’ll play and rack up runs and RBI. Other than that, I’m not thinking about him much.
|
| 1:12 |
Ervin, wood and Teheran are nice fantasy options. Would it be messed up to have all 3 on your team? |
| 1:12 |
: No!
|
| 1:13 |
Are you worried about Puig’s K rate? Would he be a top 10 guy if he made those outs via groundball? |
| 1:13 |
: Yes I have Puig at like a .275 average or so because of the Ks.
|
| 1:13 |
fangraphs projections don’t really love Carrasco, he has three plus pitches, but what do you see in him? even an AL only leage can do better than a 4 era and 1.35 whip. |
| 1:13 |
: What I’m worried about is that all of his pitches are average or better, but only barely above average. So if that’s the case, he might be league average. Which isn’t great in fantasy. So yeah, he’s a deep league play.
|
| 1:13 |
do the auctioneers go all huminabaminbummina hooblediebumbledie SOLD? |
| 1:14 |
: The do the going once going twice and it does give me a little buzz.
|
| 1:14 |
Who you more concerned about in regards to little injury niggles – bautista or encarnacion? |
| 1:14 |
: Bautista because it’s been going on for a while.
|
| 1:14 |
Best way to run a league: Commish with absolute power/iron fist or have the league vote on any/every rule change? |
| 1:14 |
: Commish I think actually. Because the votes get really really really tiresome.
|
| 1:14 |
It seems expectations for Dexter Fowler are all over the board this year. What say you? |
| 1:15 |
: .270/15/15. Same old. But better than some think if they think on Coors too much.
|
| 1:15 |
As someone who drafted Kendrys Morales, which team am I hoping he signs with? |
| 1:15 |
: Not in the NL. Because he’ll get taken out of games, platooned, miss games there. In the AL, he can DH.
|
| 1:15 |
Dear Michael, GREEN FLASH |
| 1:15 |
: Green Bullet is NZ hops I think, and it tastes like Pineapple.
|
| 1:15 |
You liking Corbin this year? |
| 1:16 |
: more than some. Even with some regression he’ll be good.
|
| 1:16 |
is my brother chris ever going to develop a 3rd offering to make the jump up the SP ranks, or is he a mid-tier guy because he only has the fastball/sider combo? |
| 1:16 |
: If he firmed up the change and used it for grounders, he’d be better. I think he could do it.
|
| 1:16 |
ENO! In a league that has the following stats (get ready) 1B/2B/3B/HR/RBI/SB/K/BA/OBP/SLG/K and IP/W/L/SV/HLD/HR/BB/K/Kper9/ERA/WHIP which side do you like. [Cliff Lee, M.Bum, Werth, E5, McCann for Kershaw, C.Davis, Carlos Beltran, Wacha] |
| 1:17 |
: So I see higher-end talent on the Kershaw side, so I’ll take that. There’s enough talent on the Lee side (and I love McCann this year) but top of the line talent is tough to trade for. You can find a Werth.
|
| 1:17 |
Looking for a replacement for Medlen…Hudson or Kluber to start the year? |
| 1:17 |
: Kluber. You can find a Hudson.
|
| 1:18 |
|
| 1:18 |
I’m adding a new ‘lude pitch…..the snarker |
| 1:18 |
MLB comparison for Gausman? |
| 1:18 |
: Salazar? If he can improve the slider, Samardzija, except he has more control. There isn’t really a guy with a 96+ mph heat and a splitter and great control, which is Gausman’s skillset.
|
| 1:19 |
how many innings do you think syndergaard gets this year? |
| 1:19 |
: MLB? 100 at most. They won’t call him up before July 1 IMO.
|
| 1:19 |
Is Mark Trumbo a safe pick in the top 30? is he worth being drafted that high if his average stays at .240? |
| 1:20 |
: I think he’ll .250/38 or so, but top 30 is pushing it. I was most aggressive and had him at 50 something.
|
| 1:20 |
I realize that “the champagne of beers” is trademarked… but if you’re going to use a beer to celebrate a grand occurrence, a la champagne toast, what beer are you using?? |
| 1:20 |
: Saison Dupont.
|
| 1:20 |
thoughts on Schoop? going to take 2B and run with it? what would his stats look like? |
| 1:20 |
: I need to check in on that. I thought going in that Weeks would take it, Schoop to minors for more seasoning, Schoop comes up if Weeks sucks.
|
| 1:21 |
ENO! Im unemployed, sitting at home ready to chat! |
| 1:21 |
: I really hope I didn’t have anything to do with that.
|
| 1:21 |
When are you going to AZWilderness |
| 1:21 |
: Oh man I want to.
|
| 1:21 |
Jason Castro is the man, 25%+ LD%, LDs have a .700 average associated with them…high BABIP with some pop, engage |
| 1:21 |
: Yeah and he’s had the LDs for a while now.
|
| 1:21 |
I don’t think players like Salazar, BMiller, and Springer qualify as sleepers any more….unless you’ve truly been sleeping… |
| 1:21 |
: I’m out on Springer so he’s not even a sleeper for me. That K rate.
|
| 1:22 |
I have pretty much the entire A’s rotation on my fantasy staff. Who is better to drop: Straily or Griffin? |
| 1:22 |
: Kazmir.
|
| 1:22 |
Re New Cap: Hillsboro Hops, Eno. Hillsboro Hops…. |
| 1:22 |
baseball hat – lehigh valley iron pigs has a new bacon hat. just saying |
| 1:22 |
Which starter injury worries you more – fister, latos or hamels? |
| 1:22 |
: I haven’t read on the Fister thing, but Hamels had an arm muscle thing and I was talking to a season ticket holder that was sure we won’t see him until May.
|
| 1:23 |
Eovaldi interesting at all? |
| 1:23 |
: Sporer loves that dude, but I only see velocity and a slider, and the slider isn’t elite by whiff rates so I’m meh on him.
|
| 1:23 |
What taller: Nate Frieman or you if your hair was spiked straight up? |
| 1:23 |
: Freiman.
|
| 1:23 |
What do you expect from Brett Lawrie this year? is 20 HRs, .270 too much to ask? |
| 1:23 |
: I’m projecting him for about .275/15/15 and hoping for a bit more.
|
| 1:23 |
Belt or Abreu for next season? |
| 1:23 |
: Abreu.
|
| 1:24 |
Do you think Carlos Martinez will crack the rotation this year? If he does, how good is he? in terms of fantasy? |
| 1:24 |
: With Garcia out, I do think so. I’m a little worried that C-Mart has bad platoon splits and is a sinker/slider guy, but he’s filthy. He might be able to make it work. After all, Lynn has no weapon against lefties either and C-Mart stuff more nasty.
|
| 1:24 |
Did you know that Xander means “Defender of People”? Is that not the best thing ever? Actually, I tried Lagunitas Sucks the other day and that might be just as awesome, but dammit, BOTH ARE AWESOME. |
| 1:25 |
What has two thumbs and is way to excited about Moose’s spring? THIS GUY!!! |
| 1:25 |
Based on your clubhouse experience, it’s pretty clear the industry wouldn’t be ready for a sabr-liaison. You think we’ll get there in the next 5 years? |
| 1:25 |
: Actually, I think my learning experience has me more positive about the possibility. Like, now.
|
| 1:25 |
Any new info on possible destinations for Nick Franklin? You’d think the interest by a few clubs would drive the return package up but the Cano/Miller-factor must be convincing teams Seattle has no place for him. Fair? |
| 1:26 |
: People are practically begging the Mets to trade for him, and I think he could maybe fake it at short for a few season even if he isn’t as shortstop, but if it costs Rafael Montero, I’m out.
|
| 1:26 |
Xander in the 17th or Profar in the 14th? |
| 1:26 |
: Xander with the rounds.
|
| 1:26 |
Is it time to worry about Sabathia? |
| 1:26 |
: Yes, and it was legit time like lst year.
|
| 1:26 |
Is Matt Carpenter a keeper in 10 H2H? What sort of regression is in store? |
| 1:27 |
: He can still hit .290+ with 100 runs and 10/5 type stats, so yes.
|
| 1:27 |
Jeff Zimmerman said he found no injury risk with Fister. What are you referencing? |
| 1:27 |
I have Kipnis, Tulo and Hanley for my middle infield and MI slot. Is it a waste to have Zobrist and play him in the OF? |
| 1:28 |
: Yes and I’m not big on Zob this year because he’s trending in all the wrong directions and is post-peak. Shop him to someone who can play him at short.
|
| 1:28 |
Can teams hurry up and DL players I have stashing to do!! |
| 1:28 |
Marcus Stroman…What is his ETA and how good can he be upon arrival? |
| 1:28 |
: He’s up to begin the year or close to it. I think maybe he has .8/1 HR/9 but is otherwise pretty good. Three legit pitches, keeps his velocity despite short stature. I like him.
|
| 1:29 |
My league seems to be reading your chats, because Brad Miller went really early. Damn. I ended up pretty much punting SS (gah). Drew worth taking a look at from the wire? |
| 1:29 |
: Yes.
|
| 1:29 |
Hellickson droppable in a dynasty league at this point? I’m not sure he’ll have a job when he gets back |
| 1:29 |
: I think he’s better than Odorizzi myself.
|
| 1:29 |
Doesnt miggy have a pretty big injury risk? |
| 1:29 |
: yes.
|
| 1:29 |
Little ENO |
| 1:29 |
does ‘contextualizing’ sounds like a dirty word to anybody else? |
| 1:29 |
18% of my team are Mets players, how much trouble am I in? |
| 1:30 |
: Yeah that might be trouble. Unless you in dynasty and you’re talking pitchers and Wright.
|
| 1:30 |
I saw the cubs last week. Kris Bryant looks ready NOW |
| 1:30 |
: Bat looked ready in AFL but glove no good at third.
|
| 1:30 |
I am shocked that Iron Horse Brewery is not on Beergraphs yet! Quite possibly my favorite PNW brewery. Irish Death is their best selling beer but I have a deep love for the High Five Hefe |
| 1:31 |
Spring stats are meaningless, but Moustakas is mashing vs lefties even. Are you buying in at all? |
| 1:31 |
: I mean I think he can .270/25, that’s been his upside for a while.
|
| 1:31 |
: But his approach means he’ll be streaky. Not great plate discipline.
|
| 1:31 |
they’re still serving pumpkin beers because they taste bad and didn’t sell well in autumn |
| 1:32 |
Just got to my computer…trying to catch up so I don’t ask a redundant question. |
| 1:32 |
: You’ve got a couple minutes maybe!
|
| 1:32 |
Help me prioritize, rest-of-life: baseball, music, beer, wife, video games |
| 1:32 |
: baseball, wife, beer, music…… video games.
|
| 1:32 |
What about Pineda as a late $1 pitching option? more of a proven track record than guys like Ventura and Gausman IMO. |
| 1:32 |
: yeah but SLAP sucks. Labrums suck. And his change-up sucks.
|
| 1:32 |
Do you have any difficulties disregarding how a player treats you in the clubhouse when you consider how to rank them? |
| 1:32 |
: Hosmer’s my AL-LABR first baseman!
|
| 1:33 |
Sizemore or Bradley? |
| 1:33 |
: Try to handcuff, shouldn’t cost much.
|
| 1:33 |
Sabathia or Gallardo in for a rebound? |
| 1:33 |
: Neither, not super excited. CC was at 86 mph in his last start. Gallardo… not excited. I wrote about it in length.
|
| 1:33 |
S-ENO-EVIL |
| 1:34 |
In a keeper draft, I want the best hitter, though I need to fill Catcher. Abreu or Rosario? |
| 1:34 |
: I’m sure you can find a catcher later. I have Abreu 20 spots higher.
|
| 1:34 |
K-ENO T Speaker I loved your article about being speaking the language |
| 1:34 |
The Killers totally ripped off Different Class |
| 1:34 |
Re: BABIP regression candidates… Michael Cuddyer? |
| 1:34 |
: yeah but Coors inflates BABIP most of all
|
| 1:35 |
would you take villar in that spot if hardy and dozier were still on the board? it’s a 12 team dynasty. 5×5. complete w major and minor lge rosters |
| 1:35 |
: No.
|
| 1:35 |
True Detective ending? |
| 1:35 |
: Left me cold. I get that the piece was about the two dudes even more than the crime, but I wasn’t really surprised by anything related to the crime in the last episode.
|
| 1:35 |
Re: Kershaw and ping pong–I have never seen Kershaw play, but I did beat Chad Gaudin rather handily in a local league a few years ago. Do you think there is any correlation between table tennis ability and pitching talent? |
| 1:36 |
: From watching Chris Perez play Kershaw… no.
|
| 1:36 |
Thoughts on Guerrero? |
| 1:36 |
: Alex? Don’t like him much. I think he’ll start year in minors.
|
| 1:36 |
parnell sitting at 88, vic black closing by june? or does dumb-a$$ collins give it to farnsworthless or valverde |
| 1:37 |
: Is Parnell at 88? I’d give him a little time. Black is a decent fallback, I like him. They gave him a save last year too.
|
| 1:37 |
Worse first round pick: Miguel Olivo or Jeff Mathis? |
| 1:37 |
: I don’t even think Olivo’s going to make this Dodger squad as a backup..
|
| 1:38 |
I’m doing an awful job explaining this. I know the scoring system, I have steamer up on excel. I just don’t know how to input the scoring settings to create projections. (thanks for answering my ?s, tho) |
| 1:38 |
: But Zimmerman or me on twitter and maybe we can help.
|
| 1:38 |
What are the chances Medlen ever starts a game in the majors again? Less than 10%? 5% |
| 1:39 |
: More. over 50% Imo. Because! He’s under team control all next season. The Braves will start him.
|
| 1:39 |
Kyle Gibson or Brad Peacock? 20 teamer with QS |
| 1:39 |
: Gibson actually. Better home park, and his pitch periperhals on the change are okay, the slider is elite.
|
| 1:39 |
Can any of these SP be viable in mixers? Hellickson, Maholm, or Erlin. |
| 1:39 |
: Hellboy okay DL stash.
|
| 1:40 |
How do you feel about weissbier? I feel that weissbier does not get its just due. My favorite is Weihenstephaner, followed by New Glarus’ Dancing Man. |
| 1:40 |
: Yes I don’t love love the style but love the Weihenstephaner!
|
| 1:40 |
Grandal/Jaso is a pretty sweet and cheap lwts catching tandem no? |
| 1:40 |
: Only a little Pt risk.
|
| 1:40 |
cory dickerson 15 homers hitting 290 500 abs? too much? |
| 1:41 |
: No, well the batting average. And maybe the PAs.
|
| 1:41 |
I traded Wacha for Hosmer in a keeper league. Who won? |
| 1:41 |
: You did by a mile.
|
| 1:41 |
Did you know that brandon league had a K/9 of 4.6 last year? |
| 1:41 |
: I just got him to talk to me about his splitter so I’m happy about him.
|
| 1:42 |
: Okay real quick LIGHTENING
|
| 1:42 |
Cain or Shields ROC? |
| 1:42 |
: Shields
|
| 1:42 |
Better utility guy this year only (for fantasy): Profar or Xbox? |
| 1:42 |
: no price included Profar
|
| 1:42 |
Dynasty league vaccuum: Yelich or Sonny Gray. |
| 1:42 |
: Gray
|
| 1:42 |
Is Matt Cain worth a high draft choice? |
| 1:42 |
: no but he’s not terrible.
|
| 1:42 |
Gentry or Stubbs? |
| 1:42 |
: Stubbs
|
| 1:42 |
O/U SBs for D Gordon – 35 |
| 1:42 |
: under, they regain their sanity soon
|
| 1:43 |
scooter gennett or alex guerrero this year??? |
| 1:43 |
: scooter
|
| 1:43 |
my fiance’s least favorite month of the year is march because of march madness and fantasy baseball drafts. |
| 1:43 |
: yup
|
| 1:43 |
will Corey Hart stay healthy and productive this year? |
| 1:43 |
: not all year
|
| 1:43 |
Can Liriano repeat last year |
| 1:43 |
: spend time on DL but 90% or so yeah
|
| 1:43 |
why isnt 100 wRC+ average? its like 96 last year |
| 1:43 |
: take pitchers out and it’s 100
|
| 1:43 |
Kluber, Archer or Buchholz? |
| 1:43 |
: Kluber
|
| 1:43 |
Hosmer or Billy Butler? |
| 1:43 |
: Hoz
|
| 1:43 |
Who do you prefer between Stroman or Ventura assuming they both make their rotations out of ST? |
| 1:44 |
: Ventura as much as I like Stroman, and home park part of it.
|
| 1:44 |
thoughts on altuve? |
| 1:44 |
: ok, should be about the same.
|
| 1:44 |
Jack’s Abby Kiwi Rising Double India Pale Lager: NZ hops for the win |
| 1:44 |
What are your projections outlook for Mejia for the year? |
| 1:44 |
: 120 IP of yum
|
| 1:44 |
Max 180 IP? 170? |
| 1:45 |
: 170
|
| 1:45 |
Eno is part of the Illuminati which is why he has all the ca$h for the craft beerz. |
| 1:45 |
: no, it’s all a tax writeoff
|
| 1:45 |
Lawrie finally breaks out? |
| 1:45 |
: yes
|
| 1:45 |
trumbo’s adp is in the 80s. why on earth would you pick him in the top 30? |
| 1:45 |
Perfection. |
| 1:45 |
Could Rotographs post an overall rankings list? The positional rankings are great, but it would be nice to have an overall list with position scarcity factored in as well. |
| 1:46 |
: We did that. Look at the rankings tab. I’ll link the spreadsheet with the top 300 to the links page too.
|
| 1:46 |
Thoughts on Danny Duffy? |
| 1:46 |
: Will get starts, has something going for him, needs command.
|
| 1:46 |
O/U 120 Career IPs left for Johann? |
| 1:46 |
: under
|
| 1:46 |
over under 30 steals for altuve |
| 1:46 |
: over
|
| 1:46 |
Is Lance Lynn underrated, both fantasy and real life? |
| 1:47 |
: no
|
| 1:47 |
: in another park, he’s not as good
|
| 1:47 |
over under 30 steals for altuve |
| 1:47 |
: please don’t ask a question 20 times or I won’t answer it next time
|
| 1:47 |
cc or andrew cashner? |
| 1:47 |
: cash
|
| 1:47 |
Are you anti-Springer in OBP leagues, where his walks can make a difference? |
| 1:47 |
: very much less so but Ks still rob OBP
|
| 1:48 |
consextualizing should be a word. maybe it can mean consensual sexting (as opposed to unsolicited dick pics) |
| 1:48 |
: I gotta go guys! Clubhouse opens back up in ten minutes!
|
| 1:49 |
Thanks Eno! |
| 1:49 |
make sure to run the whole way back |
| 1:49 |
habanero sculpin: bad idea? or good if you like not tasting sculpin? |
| 1:49 |
: I don’t like it.
|
| 1:49 |
: Okay gotta go.
|
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Eno,I am cracking up at Cameron’s remark about you yesterday. He said ” drinking in public with Eno is a great way to repel women, not attract them.” Any comment back about Cameron as a wingman?