Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 2/6/13
by Eno Sarris
February 6, 2014
| 11:45 |
: Here at the top of the hour. WITH CHANGES
|
| 11:59 |
David Bowie. |
| 11:59 |
: so instead of lyrics of the day, we’re going to do CLIP OF THE DAY because who knows lyrics anyway. and lest you mock my music taste, remember my mother named me after Brian Eno and my father met my mother because he was in Jamaica for The Grateful Dead playing at Sunsplash with Bob Marley, and I like so many different types of music that eventually I’ll like something you like.
That said, today’s CLIP is educational. As in, I never knew this guy sang! |
| 11:59 |
wait is that the lyrics of the day? it’s david bowie, “Changes”. My question is A) did you cut your hair and B) did you keep all the cut-off hair to make a sweet fake beard for your child? |
| 11:59 |
: I couldn’t do it. Same style, just shorter.
|
| 11:59 |
I HATE CHANGE |
| 11:59 |
: Hopefully I was gentle.
|
| 12:00 |
why isnt EE a first rounder? that sexy K/BB rate, even the BABIP was below career avg. Can i take him 8-10? (eligible at 3rd) |
| 12:00 |
: I’ve panicked enough with Encarnacion available that I’m now fully behind this. He’s a first rounder for sure. probably right around 10. Dunno about steals and health is a bit of an issue.
|
| 12:01 |
You’ve become obsessed with American Idol..and J-lo is not bad on the eyes… |
| 12:01 |
: I actually *used* to watch that show, particularly in the early stages when it was hilariously awful but then I just felt bad.
|
| 12:01 |
Evan Roberts and Jon Heyman going off on how the mets should sign Drew AND Cruz. Can someone take away their microphones please. Morons. |
| 12:02 |
: I’d take Drew. That way, if Tejada works out, he’s an option at second, but the pressure is off. Nelson Cruz? good god.
|
| 12:02 |
Hey Eno – as K rates rise, there are fewer balls in play, the value of defense (and positional adjustments) need to drop (even if just a very little bit), right? |
| 12:02 |
: Unless, like the Pirates, you emphasize pitches that put the ball in play, like the sinker.
|
| 12:02 |
IT’S ENO DAY!!! |
| 12:02 |
: Really? awesome. someone forgot to tell me or I’d have done something special.
|
| 12:03 |
Changes like Bowie or like Tupac? |
| 12:03 |
: Oh Tupac’s is the best.
|
| 12:03 |
Thursday Chat with Eno Sarris: 40% Beer, 40% Baseball, 20% Claptrap, Flim-Flam and Hogwash |
| 12:03 |
: Just about have me sussed.
|
| 12:03 |
Thoughts on Alex Cobb does he have top 20 potential? |
| 12:03 |
: I have no big doubts about Cobb in the short term. The curve and change are solid, and he has great control and command. Long-term, I do wonder what happens as the fastball velocity starts to slip.
|
| 12:03 |
I can keep Matt Harvey for an 8th rd pick. Is he worth keeping so I can have him for 2015 or should I let him go? |
| 12:04 |
: Oh. Yeah. I think so. I mean, we can learn from Luebke, but that’s something like a 10% chance. And 90% chance of Harvey in the eighth in 2015 is sessy.
|
| 12:04 |
C.J. Kron likely to come up this season, or only if he’s “raking” in AAA? |
| 12:06 |
: At the winter meetings, his manager seemed to think things needed to fall in line for Cron in order for him to play. So I’ll take him at his word. Obviously, Ibanez/whomever takes over for Pujols at first when he DHs is not the very best DH situation, though, so he’s got a shot. And I know prospecters are all about Cron’s flaws, but gotdang if he doesn’t look exactly like Trumbo statistically.
|
| 12:06 |
I know most guys are generally conservative with rookies, and for good reason. But, if Taveras and Bogaerts were better than expected this year, what could they conceivably hit in 2014? Talking a Trout/Jose Fernandez best case scenario. |
| 12:07 |
: Taveras is *really* blocked, but I think he could .290/20/10 if something happened in the spring. XB is a lot closer, probably has the job. I think he’ll *probably* suffer from a 22-24% strikeout rate and hit .260, but if he pushed that down to 20% and had a little BABIP love, he really could hit .280+/25/15. At short.
|
| 12:07 |
Am I wrong in thinking Medlen will be a bit undervalued this year after he seemed over-hyped before last season? |
| 12:08 |
: He went a little higher than I thought in our mock but I do think he’s an okay pitcher, a fantasy 4 or so.
|
| 12:08 |
Dynasty 2B: Schoop vs Alcantara vs La Stella vs other?… pts league, thanks Eno! |
| 12:08 |
: Schoop/La Stella because they are super close. Like they’ll get 300+ PA this year probably.
|
| 12:08 |
Where would you most prefer to draft from in a 12-team snake? I have the first choice on draft position and I’m leaning toward taking 1 because Trout. |
| 12:08 |
: Yup.
|
| 12:08 |
Over/Under 12 steals for Hunter Pence this year? |
| 12:08 |
: Under. I know he’s a freak, but there’s still too much decline in his SB stats before last year. Maybe 10.
|
| 12:09 |
How do you feel about Kyle Seager and Matt Adams who seemed to be defeated by defensive shifting in the second half of last year? Can they adjust their approach? |
| 12:09 |
: I’d project both into .260 batting averages to be safe.
|
| 12:09 |
What is the realistic upside of Christian Yelich in a dynasty? |
| 12:10 |
: Watching that strikeout rate. I think maybe he doesn’t improve it a ton. .270/20/20 in a peak year? A little more power, less speed in a few other years.
|
| 12:10 |
Hey Eno! Who do you have this season only with emphasis on Ks and IP and both Wins and QS count: Kevin Gausman, Tyson Ross or Alex Wood? |
| 12:11 |
: I thought I answered this on twitter. My bad. Ks is all about Gausman. Upside is Gausman’s. Combo of upside and security is Wood. That leaves Ross with the smallest upside, even if he’s got the most secure role. I think I’d take Gausman, just because the Braves got those two old dudes behind Wood, and I love Gausman’s stuff, but Wood is a good pick too. Ross still no changeup, crazy bad mechanics.
|
| 12:11 |
Commish in our keeper league wants to change AVG to OBP this year. OBP is superior to AVG, obviously but I’m hesitant to make any changes. What are your thought on making changes to keeper league stats? |
| 12:12 |
: Usually in keeper leagues, the decision is for the *next* year, which in this case is 2015. In other words, you always want a draft between you and the rule change, so that you can adjust to what’s coming. I like OBP.
|
| 12:12 |
What do I expect from Albert Pujols this year? Bounce back to where he was in 2012? |
| 12:12 |
: I think he might have a good year and hit .280 with 28-32 homers.
|
| 12:13 |
I have an opportunity to trade Choo and get Stanton in my dynasty. Stanton with the fish is kind of a 2 category guy (OBP league), but with Choo in leadoff it’s basically trading runs for dingers, right? |
| 12:13 |
: Choo will steal bases and has a more complete line and is an OBP monster, but you are getting ahead of the aging curve here, and buying power as power is down across baseball…
|
| 12:14 |
What 3-4 relievers would you be heavily targeting in Ottoneu Points? Not including top tier closers that are probably being kept |
| 12:15 |
: Probably want setup guys on teams that don’t have great other options. Like Cody Allen. Maybe Santiago Casilla will be sneaky good. Farquhar should get saves or holds and Ks. Dingers suck, so maybe a guy in a pitcher’s park like Ryan Cook.
|
| 12:15 |
Are you buying into the pre season uptick for Mauer since he is moving off of Catcher?? What about concussion? |
| 12:15 |
: I’ll buy into a nice Plate Appearance projection, yes.
|
| 12:15 |
Will MLB ever get rid of the unbalanced scheduled? Or at least re-align the leagues to get rid of the division and then top x teams go to playoffs? |
| 12:16 |
: I do see some sort of change coming. DH for everyone… I do think they like ‘rivalries’ and ‘divisions’ though. Brings butts to seats.
|
| 12:16 |
How do you see the Cubs’ prospect glut shaking out? Do any of Baez, Bryant, Alcantara, Olt et al get much PT this season? |
| 12:17 |
: This season only? Baez has to be close, and Bryant can play if they give up on third base. If Castro sucks again, maybe they move him to second and bring up Baez. Olt should see some time before Bryant. If Olt is cromulent, maybe Bryant comes up in COF. Lots of moving parts. Baez is obviously closest.
|
| 12:17 |
Puig at the top of the order…increases or decreases fantasy value? What round should he be targeted in? |
| 12:18 |
: If it makes him run more, increases. I’ll take SBs over RBIs. I like him in the third. Second seems a bit risky because of the K% and batting average.
|
| 12:18 |
Is Cespedes worth a keep over bogaerts, sal perez, or alex cobb? |
| 12:18 |
: No I don’t think so. Good projection for him is about .265/20/10 which is useful, but not that outstanding in the OF.
|
| 12:18 |
any reason to believe andrelton simmons takes it to another level with the bat this year? |
| 12:19 |
: His only real problem is that he’s not a good basestealer and he hits the ball straight up in the air too much. If he can get rid of that 17% infield fly rate, he could hit .300, he has enough power and contact. But IFFB% is actually correlated about as well year-to-year as wOBA, so it would take a semi-fundamental change. I’d feel better going by the projections on our site, maybe taking him a round earlier if you think he can level the swing.
|
| 12:20 |
I wanna believe that this is the official Hosmer breakout year?? Any reservations? |
| 12:20 |
: Too many ground balls to see a big power surge.
|
| 12:20 |
Are the Pirates a playoff team without making anymore free agent moves? |
| 12:21 |
: So far they lost one of their better pitchers and didn’t really improve their offense. Maybe a full year of Byrd will make it work, but first base… I say no. It’s a crowded division. As much as I like Polanco, and wonder if maybe he can push Byrd to first and make it work that way… Taillon coming. Okay, yes.
|
| 12:21 |
Is playing with both sides of a real life platoon (e.g. Gomes-Nava, Parra-Ross maybe) a viable fantasy strategy for 4th OF slot? |
| 12:21 |
: Makes it easy to know who to play. Probably better to get two lefty batters and hope they don’t face a lefty on the same day.
|
| 12:22 |
Favorite bottom of the barrel sleeper catcher? I’m taking like Castillo, Zunino, Avila tier |
| 12:22 |
: Mesoraco.
|
| 12:22 |
Keep D. Salazar at $7 or Iwakuma at $11? |
| 12:22 |
: Salazar is younger and cheaper and people forget that Iwakuma has been hurt a lot (in Japan).
|
| 12:22 |
In a 20 team league-thoughts on saving money and platooning a position? |
| 12:22 |
: Daily lineups? giddyap.
|
| 12:22 |
Ubaldo wants a contract for ____ years with the ________________________ baseball club and for _______ Million dollar$. |
| 12:23 |
: Four, Toronto Blue Jays, 65
|
| 12:23 |
Can you dunk a tennis ball? |
| 12:23 |
: No lol
|
| 12:23 |
What type of season does Chris Davis have to have to not be labeled a bust? |
| 12:23 |
: .280/40+
|
| 12:23 |
The guy from Gabba Gabba is a big deal in the music industry in England I believe. Wiki it. Think he’s a big music producer. That’s why he gets so many interesting guests. |
| 12:24 |
: I always wondered about that. Great guests. My favorite show among my kid’s favorites.
|
| 12:24 |
If Alderson is truly appalled by the price for Drew then there is no excuse for them not to find a SS alternative via trade. With the arms they have in the pipeline they could even afford to deal Montero to get a quality young SS. Alcantara? |
| 12:24 |
: Loser of Owings/Didi? Just hope it costs the lesser pitchers and not THOR.
|
| 12:24 |
Is that a new signature? Pork Store by me makes a delicious Bacon Cheddar Brat. Easily a 110 Style+. |
| 12:25 |
: Yeah Hardball Times made me.
|
| 12:25 |
What is Austin Jacksons ceiling for 2014? |
| 12:25 |
: .275/15/15
|
| 12:25 |
Eno Hairris |
| 12:25 |
Bruce Hornsby and the range |
| 12:25 |
Quote of the Chat so far… Eno Sarris: Hopefully I was gentle. |
| 12:26 |
EEEEEENNNNNNOOOOOOO!!!! |
| 12:26 |
if you could build a fantasy dynasty roster from the pools of any 3 MLB franchises which would they be? |
| 12:26 |
: Cubs for sure. Plus the Mets arms. And the Astros.
|
| 12:26 |
Rudy in Razzball yesterday found that there is no ideal Hitter/Pitcher ratio as long at you are over 60/40. Does this make sense to you? |
| 12:27 |
: Okay help me try this one on for size. 70/30 is close to ideal. Here comes jenky math. Hitter projections correlate around .70 with reality. Pitcher projections correlate at .5ish. .5 is about .75 of .7. .75 of 40 (which is the positional split between hitters and pitchers) is 30.
boom, 70/30. |
| 12:28 |
: How bad is that.
|
| 12:28 |
If both teams had the same pitcher on the mound somehow and a team full of Andrelton Simmons played a team full of Adam Dunns, who would win? |
| 12:28 |
: Can’t defend a homer…
|
| 12:28 |
Pecota likes the Dodgers for 98 wins and no other team for more than 89. The Dodgers are good, but are they that much better than the rest of the league? |
| 12:28 |
: I would never project a team into 98 wins.
|
| 12:29 |
I can keep 1 of Kuroda, Estrada or Tyson Ross in a keeper. I’ve had Kuroda for years, but he is getting real old. Worth cutting him for one of those guys or should I keep riding the old horse? |
| 12:29 |
: I stick with Kuroda here. Estrada is interesting, but has his warts and so does Ross. If you had a Salazar-Gray level guy, would be different.
|
| 12:29 |
AL only league with 9- minor/ keepers. Have had Gary Sanchez for 1 1/2 yr. Should I keep him now that McCann is on board? Or is a NL trade too risky to take up the spot? Thank you. |
| 12:30 |
: I wouldn’t hold on to catcher prospects too tight. Tough position — late debuts, long adjustment periods, big bust rates.
|
| 12:30 |
Anthony Rizzo & Darwin Barney for Justin Smoak & Nick Franklin. Who hangs up? |
| 12:30 |
: Cubs
|
| 12:30 |
When can we expect Fangraphs+ to pick up, fantasy-wise |
| 12:30 |
: Early next week. Furiously editing caps.
|
| 12:30 |
How likely is a BratsGraph? |
| 12:30 |
: Not very. We’d need a data stream. Although… Yelp?
|
| 12:31 |
I drank large amounts of Scottish beer last night, it was quite good. I would make recommendations, but for some reason I have a poor memory of what I drank. My head hurts as well, perhaps I was hit over the head. |
| 12:31 |
baseball? I thought this was the fantasy brewery chat. Thoughts on a Pizza Port pick? |
| 12:31 |
Have you seen the coo coo birds play? They rock |
| 12:31 |
can Freddies babip stay above 350?? he sprays like crazy, hits strong liners too |
| 12:31 |
: I think it’ll be high… .350 is intense though. And… dirty.
|
| 12:32 |
Does Gregory Polanco become a leadoff hitter or middle or the order hitter? if leadoff, what happens to Marte? |
| 12:32 |
: They’d be pretty awesome with Polanco one, Marte two. Cutch has the power to be at three. Good god, that’s nice actually.
|
| 12:32 |
Who would you prefer as a long term keeper, Zach Wheeler or Gerrit Cole? |
| 12:32 |
: Cole by a mile. By a marathon. More control, plus-plus pitches, same velocity.
|
| 12:32 |
Ben Revere? Good/Bad/Other |
| 12:33 |
: A little underrated in 5×5. Going really late and if you build a strong power team, you can take the power hit and take him for steals late.
|
| 12:33 |
How unlikely is Arismendy Alcantara being up by June or July to take Darwin Barney’s job? |
| 12:33 |
: I think it mostly depends on Castro/Baez.
|
| 12:33 |
If there are no injuries and Jay and Bourjos do OK, how will Taveras ever get any playing time? |
| 12:33 |
: yeah he won’t.
|
| 12:33 |
Could you do a OBP league rankings this year? |
| 12:33 |
: Hopefully we’ll have a real nice tool for you soon.
|
| 12:34 |
NL only. keepable: $21 Werth, $10 K. Davis, $27 J. Zimmermann. All? |
| 12:34 |
: Davis is a little pricy, but in NL-only. sure yeah, all of em.
|
| 12:34 |
Can a staff led by Cashner and Waino lead a 12 teamer to a title? I have around $35 to spend on 7 other pitchers. |
| 12:34 |
: Yes. Quantity is most important, and you have an ace and a number two-ish.
|
| 12:35 |
Any idea what the data actually says on ‘doubles turning into hr’s’ – thinking Machado’s chances of hitting 20 this year? |
| 12:35 |
: No data that says doubles turn into homers. Do pre-peak power people start to hit the ball further? yes. But a 30-year-old with 40 doubles won’t turn those into homers, probably. So Machado could hit 20, doesn’t have a ton do with his doubles.
|
| 12:35 |
Rollins, Asdrubal or Aybar? |
| 12:35 |
: Asdrubal by far.
|
| 12:35 |
What else will be some things to look for with Fangraphs+ for fantasy players? |
| 12:36 |
: 1220 player caps, plus in-depth research pieces on fantasy issues, including: how to use GB/FB splits, what tiers look like graphically, what volatility means, how to evaluate the value of a platoon player… good stuff.
|
| 12:37 |
After all these anti B-Hamilton articles are coming out in bunches lately here, I’m starting to second guess keeping him. Should my last keeper be Harvey, Hamilton, or Matt Adams? No dollars or round keeps, just standard. |
| 12:37 |
: Salivating on Harvey, but he is a pitcher… how many keepers you got? I’m assuming more like ten, in which case Harvey is keepable. Hamilton going around the tenth in drafts I’m doing.
|
| 12:37 |
Do you think Pujols comes back healty? Steamer has him and Fielder with similar projections, but Puljols ADP is 25 spots lower |
| 12:38 |
: Health is an issue, but yes, with those projections, I’m passing on Fielder and taking Pujols two-plus rounds later.
|
| 12:38 |
If Haren’s fly ball rate is normal, is he a top 25 starter? |
| 12:39 |
: He’s in a great spot for his skills. I think he could be useful this year, maybe a top-40 starter.
|
| 12:39 |
SMH…projecting king albert to blast 30 homers and hit .280 is being a sissy..come on Eno.. grow a pair… |
| 12:39 |
: Really? Some people too far down on him. I think those are nice numbers. You want me to put him into 40 homer pants? Nah.
|
| 12:39 |
Who will have the crappier seas Josh Hamilton or Nelson Cruz? |
| 12:39 |
: Cruz! Especially in Seattle.
|
| 12:39 |
why are the Rockies batting Cargo leadoff? Did someone tell them if he plays CF he’s contractually obligated? |
| 12:40 |
: Both things are a bit crazy.
|
| 12:40 |
I had a draft IPA Nitro the other day and it seemed to not have much hop(I’ve had the same beer in a bottle and it was quite hoppy). Is this common with Nitro IPAs or did I just get a bad draft? |
| 12:40 |
: The nitro ‘smooths’ or ‘calms’ the flavor out, yes. I kind of like IPAs on nitro for that reason.
|
| 12:40 |
Who would you compare Adam Eaton to as far as offensive ability? |
| 12:40 |
: Aoki?
|
| 12:40 |
You went Goldie 1st in the FG league? Can you explain |
| 12:41 |
: Took him third in the FG mock.
|
| 12:41 |
How do you feel about negative counting stats in fantasy baseball? |
| 12:41 |
: Ks by batter I don’t mind. Ls by pitcher is terrible.
|
| 12:41 |
No major pro sports league in the world has a truly balanced schedule. Not sure why so many MLB fans are hung up on this idea? |
| 12:41 |
How concerned are you about Posey’s awful second half last year? |
| 12:41 |
: Eh, just a catcher, it gets tough. He’s excellent.
|
| 12:41 |
Thoughts about Shelby Miller in the next 1-3 years? Will he become a legit #2 pitcher? |
| 12:42 |
: Depends on the change, I think. He could use the curve more to offset FB regression, but he may need one more wrinkle to stay legit. I do like him a lot though.
|
| 12:42 |
Does my son make me proud this year or is he his normal disappointing self? |
| 12:43 |
: I like his hit tool. I think he could hit .275+ with a bad OBP and some power and speed… dunno where he ends up long term though, Maikel Franco is coming at him hard.
|
| 12:43 |
Give us a realistic stat line from Billy Hamilton. Seems like there are guesses on either end of the spectrum for him. |
| 12:44 |
: If he stays in bigs, it’s because he’s doing just enough. .260/.315. If he can manage that, I actually think his D will be good (on athleticism alone) and then he can steal 60+. It’s no lock he can manage that. Dee Gordon has spooked some people.
|
| 12:44 |
Are there any post-hype players that you believe could have a breakout year in 2014 (a la Alex Gordon or Chris Davis in years past) |
| 12:44 |
: Profar?
|
| 12:45 |
Have you ever karate-chopped anyone in real life? It seems like that would hurt. |
| 12:45 |
have you seen what my team is trotting out at first base? when there is shortage of good hitters, why would anyone want a dh league? seems to make more sense to ditch the dh everywhere and expand by 2 teams |
| 12:45 |
Umm, Marlon Byrd is on the Phillies not the Pirates… |
| 12:46 |
: oh got damn. Well I’m on the fence with the Pirates. I love love Polanco, Marte, Cutch. Think Mercer, Walker and Alvarez can be flawed but okay. 1B is terrible, but the Rays make it work. Cole/Taillon is exciting. Lots to like. Just wish they’d have gotten a 1B. Maybe they’ll get Morales for cheap.
|
| 12:46 |
What is a good fly ball / line drive / ground rate? I see the numbers in a vacuum on each player’s page, but how do you read the peripherals comparatively? |
| 12:47 |
: 21% league ave for LD. “good” for GB/FB is tough. Generally, you want fast guys with higher GB rates (but Carlos Gomez has been much better with a high FB rate and power) and you want power guys with higher FB rates (but not too high). I like guys that hover around 1.0 GB/FB, seems like a level swing. Look at Donaldson’s GB/FB and power over his career.
|
| 12:47 |
League switching to H2H this year. What are the main stategical differences between it and roto? |
| 12:49 |
: You have to worry a bit more about young pitchers at the end of the year (innings limits), maybe it’s not great to have too many hitters from one team (they can run into a great-pitching buzzsaw of a team at the wrong time), and remember that your last two or three spots in the draft are almost irrelevant and you might as well reach for upside that might be quickly reached, like a closer candidate or a young guy that *could* make the team out of ST.
|
| 12:49 |
Your pessimism on Hosmer is as consistent as your love of obscure beer. |
| 12:49 |
: What’s funny is that there was once a time where my pessimism was treated as optimism. Because he looked turrible and I was saying, dude can still hit .280 20/10 and people laughed at me!
|
| 12:49 |
What’s the best LA could get for Eithier in a trade? WORTH IT FOR THEM? |
| 12:50 |
: Swallow half the contract and get a decent Double-A arm that’s not a top-50 prospect, and an a-ball flier?
|
| 12:50 |
5×5 NL only league. Parra for A. Rendon. Fair? |
| 12:50 |
: Maybe but I want Rendon, practically launched myself out the chair
|
| 12:50 |
“Rivalries”!? Like the epic Indians vs. Reds? or the Royals vs. Cardinals? Do we have stats to back this up, does attendance really shoot-up for these fake rivalries? I call hogwash! |
| 12:50 |
: You ever been to a real rivalry game? Dodgers/Giants?
|
| 12:51 |
Agree or disagree: Freeman contract is fair for both sides; he’s shown the ability to at LEAST be at 3 WIN player whilein his prime. |
| 12:51 |
: I think that it’s possible WAR under-rates him a bit, because even though he looks a bit stiff, his D is pretty good.
|
| 12:51 |
Looking to do Pitching for Offense. What would I get in return for Anibal? |
| 12:52 |
: Great idea. I have no idea. Go look at the teams that need pitching and see what sort of bats they have. Sorry.
|
| 12:52 |
I can keep K Wong but I’m nervous that he’ll be stuck in the 8 hole and not run very much or put up other counting stats. And that M. Ellis is around for a reason. Thoughts? |
| 12:52 |
: Good worries. You know, his upside is not that great either, even if he got out of the 8 spot and pushed Ellis to complete backup, I wouldn’t put him down for much more than .275/10/20.
|
| 12:52 |
How many HR’s will Ellbury hit this season now playing at Yankee Stadium? |
| 12:52 |
: 18?
|
| 12:53 |
Does Ike Davis have a chance at becoming anything better than bad? |
| 12:53 |
: Yes! 10% walk rate, .200 ISO all possible. I think it might be .240/.330/.450, but with good glove, that’s aight. He’s bad vs lefties, and more of a mistake hitter, but he does have a bit of an eye at the plate and power.
|
| 12:53 |
Mets cant get Didi! The world can’t handle two Jeters in one city! |
| 12:53 |
: oh this is great
|
| 12:54 |
Am I crazy that Dickey might be amongst the best value picks? His second half, which coincided with better knuckleball velocity, was actually okay. |
| 12:54 |
: I’ll take him for the back end of any staff.
|
| 12:54 |
Do you feel Peter Bourjos will be fantasy revalent. |
| 12:54 |
: Real long-shot. I don’t think he’s a mixed-league bench pick.
|
| 12:54 |
: Just the injuries, Jay, and Taveras… all loom.
|
| 12:54 |
: And his profile could easily turn into backup, D-first OF.
|
| 12:54 |
Guess how excited I am as a Tribe fan about the Bryan Lahair signing? Just take a guess. |
| 12:55 |
: This excited.
|
| 12:55 |
It’s brutal here in Phoenix – only supposed to be in the 60s today. Please help me out of my depression. I have Mike Trout for $5 in my keeper league, and can keep him through 2016, where his salary escalates by $2 each year. Assuming health and all that jazz, would you ever consider trading him at that rate? And if so, what would be an acceptable return in your eyes? |
| 12:55 |
: Everything you could ever want. Gerrit Cole, Xander Bogaerts and Carlos Gomez.
|
| 12:55 |
Is Fangraphs or Beergraphs going to do meet-ups in MLB parks this year? Nats Park will have DC-based microbrews on tap this year throughout the stadium! |
| 12:55 |
: Lovely idea. I’ll talk to the budget maker.
|
| 12:56 |
Will Michael Pineda make the Yankee rotation and if so, what do you predict for him this season? |
| 12:56 |
: Could. But still no change up, and what does his velocity look like now. Fourish ERA, okay whip, good K numbers? 100 innings?
|
| 12:56 |
You know who’s still alive? Jake LoMotta, 92 years old. |
| 12:56 |
Ha I was pretty far off, but still in the music industry: http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/DJ_Lance_Rock |
| 12:56 |
Why is it that we always meet when my kids are home sick? Or is it that my kids are home sick so I can take part in this chat? |
| 12:57 |
It’s a popular view among a certain segment of baseball writers that steroids did not cause the spike of homers we saw in the “steroid era.” Their proof is that ISO and HR/FB rates didn’t change. Doesn’t this assume steroid/PED use has no impact on contact rates? Seems kind of a stretch no? |
| 12:57 |
: Problem is the pitchers were doing em too.
|
| 12:57 |
Anybody heard from Maxamuz? |
| 12:57 |
: RIP
|
| 12:57 |
How come you guys have written nothing about Suk-Min Yoon? |
| 12:57 |
: He moved to the bullpen, looks like it might have been permanent. Did we write a bunch about Kyuji Fujikawa *before* he was signed?
|
| 12:57 |
Andrew Cashner or Danny Salazar? |
| 12:58 |
: I can’t forget Cashner’s shoulder issues. Salazar.
|
| 12:58 |
Changes from Chubby Checker? |
| 12:58 |
: No.
|
| 12:58 |
: Hey what happened. I said Salazar because of Cash shoulder issues.
|
| 12:58 |
Have you tried the Coffee Ale from Boulevard Brewery? I’m looking for something similar. |
| 12:58 |
: Go get speedway stout from AleSmith.
|
| 12:59 |
Spring training trade off: an afternoon at Papago or Cubs showing off Baez/Bryant/Soler/Almora/etc against big league talent? |
| 12:59 |
: Game, then Papago. DON’T MAKE ME CHOOSE. Also: if you guys are in AZ around the 14th, there might be a chance to meet FGers.
|
| 12:59 |
I have a good feeling about Wilson Ramos this year, are you on board the Ramos-train? |
| 12:59 |
: Choooooo chooooo. yeah. it’s all about health.
|
| 12:59 |
Why do the Giants think it’s a good idea to run back one of the worst starting rotations in baseball from 2013? Shouldn’t they be aware that the status quo isn’t a good idea when your main competitor has to decided to try and outspend you by 100 million a year? |
| 1:00 |
: I think they’re just waiting for Crick and Escobar. From what I heard from Sabean, he’s ogling other teams with young pitching, and wants to stockpile again for Giants 2.0.
|
| 1:00 |
You up for some nachos right now? I could destroy some nachos right now |
| 1:00 |
: yeah.
|
| 1:00 |
Keep Uehara at $5 or D. Salazar at $10? |
| 1:00 |
: Starter.
|
| 1:00 |
Bobby Jenks owns a copyright on “jenky math” FYI |
| 1:00 |
If the Mariners sign Rodney isn’t Farquhar still the better closer? |
| 1:00 |
: Long-term but I bet the team puts fancy FA in the spot first.
|
| 1:01 |
Last year the Jays were Vegas favs to be in the World Series. They lost significant time from Reyes, Lawrie, Bautista, Rasmus, Cabrera, Morrow, Happ and Santos. Catcher and 2nd base were both black holes, and I think Arencibia leaving is addition through subtraction. Is it crazy to think they are contenders if just SOME things go right, instead of literally EVERYTHING going wrong? What do you see out of them? If they get Ubaldo? |
| 1:01 |
: They need a pitcher and a breakout from Lawrie, and then Stroman and or Nolin to come up and set world on fire. Those things are all possible.
|
| 1:01 |
Could Carlos Rodon be the 5th starter for the Astros this year? He has to be better than the -1 WAR for the shlub they have in there right now! |
| 1:01 |
: No reason to start the clock early. But yeah Appel could start year with the big team if they cared about this year.
|
| 1:01 |
Who do you favor between closers Henderson or Chisek? |
| 1:02 |
: Cishek. Trade risk vs walk rate risk.
|
| 1:02 |
Machado or Lawrie? |
| 1:02 |
: Lawrie. Gonna steal more.
|
| 1:02 |
If Hamilton somehow had OBP of .375 (wishful thinking), how many SBs could he have, given 150 games played. |
| 1:02 |
: all of them! 100+?
|
| 1:03 |
A. Lambo get much PT in Pit this year? If so, will he be any good? |
| 1:04 |
: So Tabata starts year v LHP at least. Sanchez v LHP. That leaves 1B and LF (to start year, I think Polanco is close) open for a left. Lambo, Decker… they have a shot. And it’d be better if they did it at first base. Have a feeling it might look ugly all year tho.
|
| 1:04 |
Writing a piece and figured I could save time with reference. Is there recent roto math out there that helps us figure out when it makes sense to take high BA low HR fantasy baseball player over above average HR below average fantasy baseball BA? And things of that nature? |
| 1:04 |
: Jeff Zimmernan is about to do a four part piece on this!
|
| 1:04 |
The Eucharist and Sinister from Pizza Port OB are amazingggg! |
| 1:04 |
Argument against over-valuing catching prospects: how long have we been waiting on Devin Mesoraco now? 5 years? |
| 1:04 |
: Exactly. BUT THIS IS THE YEAR
|
| 1:04 |
In a ten team mixed league is it a good idea to start targeting pitchers is the 4th round? |
| 1:05 |
: Maybe an ace. In a ten-teamer, you might be able to wait another round if you see a hitter you like.
|
| 1:05 |
What team do you think has the best bench? |
| 1:06 |
: If Boston signs Drew, them. It’s funny, Mariners don’t have a great starting lineup, but considering that one of Franklin, Gutierrez, Almonte.. Hart or Morrison will be on their bench some days.
|
| 1:06 |
Eno – you going to double ipa fest? |
| 1:06 |
: Wife’s a bit mad. BUT I WILL BE AT 21 AMENDMENT TONIGHT FOR STRONG BEERS AFTER FOUR PM. That was an announcement.
|
| 1:07 |
Quick glance at beer graphs shows Colorado severely underrepresented. Don’t you guys know it’s beer mecca here? |
| 1:07 |
: Love Crooked Stave.
|
| 1:07 |
: But SD is beer mecca. For me at least.
|
| 1:07 |
If you owned Schoop in a dynasty, would you be scared of Jemile Weeks? |
| 1:07 |
: 27 and meh everything but speed, but yes.
|
| 1:08 |
Jean Segura’s 2nd half was downright ugly, why is he being drafted so high? Couldn’t it be possible the first half was the outlier? |
| 1:08 |
: Half-season splits are not predictive. Best to look at season as a whole, especially when it lines up with minor league production. You think he can’t hit .275+ with 5+ homers and 30+ steals? That’s in the discussion for the best shortstop in the league.
|
| 1:09 |
Avisail Garcia or brandon moss as a last outfielder ? |
| 1:09 |
: If you can platoon Moss, him.
|
| 1:09 |
Dynasty arm: Martin Perez vs A.J. Griffin? |
| 1:09 |
: I’m not big on Perez. Griffin low ceiling, but I like him enough.
|
| 1:09 |
instead of drew, wouldnt the mets be better of going after aldemys diaz? probably cheaper, won’t cost a draft pick. I know Alderson for some reason doesnt like dabbling in the cuban market, but come on. Drew? 1 good year in last 4 and it happened to be last year? |
| 1:10 |
: Diaz’ stats in Cuba are really vanilla. Worse than Guerrero’s, and Guerrero just lost the job in LA before he had it. Good thing that $48 million check cleared.
|
| 1:10 |
any advice for a first time Ottoneu player? I have only done H2H points leagues so this draft and first season is going to be dramatic shift. |
| 1:11 |
: Don’t treat it as a deep league. You need 12-team worthy starters. Once you have that in place, get 3-5 prospects, and then look for guys that you’d get on waiver or stream in normal leagues to round out the roster. Platoon outfielders, meh pitchers in nice parks…
|
| 1:11 |
Jason Castro. Regression or Massive-Don’t draft me-regression? |
| 1:11 |
: Teeny bit. I like him.
|
| 1:11 |
Dude, you blinded me with science on your jenky math there. I need to take a 5-minute chat break. Thx. |
| 1:11 |
: Was a bit terrible.
|
| 1:11 |
Hey Eno, big fan. |
| 1:11 |
: I like your work as well.
|
| 1:12 |
What round do you feel comfortable taking Beachy? Are you targeting him at all? |
| 1:12 |
: Yeah he went in the 220s in the mock, which is fine. I took Griffin right before him.
|
| 1:12 |
Aybar or Brad Miller, Todd Frazier or Matt Dominiguez? |
| 1:12 |
: BRAD MILLER
|
| 1:12 |
Taveras gets playing time when Bourjos goes down with injury in late April. You heard it here first. |
| 1:12 |
Harvey in 2015 is a top ___ pick? |
| 1:12 |
: 50
|
| 1:13 |
cliff lee, greinke or jordan zimmerman in a keeper league? |
| 1:13 |
: might be Lee’s last year, have you read that? Greinke seems like an injury risk to me. JZ.
|
| 1:13 |
Nobody’s threatening Koji for Red Sox’s saves, right? Any chance they go more towards committee? |
| 1:13 |
: Mujica is the same guy, I doubt they reach for lesser Koji if Koji isn’t Koji. So it’s Koji or Tazawa IMO.
|
| 1:14 |
speaking of Aoki as leadoff for KC: buying or selling? He could see an increase in runs above 80 while batting .280 and stealing 15 all for the low price of an 174 ADP. |
| 1:14 |
: Buying, slightly. Yost turned Frenchy into a 20-steal guy, too.
|
| 1:14 |
Pizza Port: high quantity of releases (over 400 on Untappd, average ~50 a year), generally stick to common pale/IPA/2xIPA/stout/porter styles with a couple exceptions, mediocre Style+ compared to other options, BAR depends on quantity of releases. Decent floor because of so many new beers, upside for BAR and I guess maybe Style+ if you think they’ve been improving recently. Won 2nd place for “best large brewpub” at GABF for whatever that’s worth. |
| 1:14 |
: Port Brewing fantasy beer league scouting report. I think fantasy beer might catch on.
|
| 1:14 |
Will Bauer ever have a place in the majors? |
| 1:15 |
: Changing his mechanics now…
|
| 1:15 |
What do you personally use for player projections…Composite of systems, Podhorzers, or create your own? How long would it take to create a solid player projection using Pod’s system. |
| 1:16 |
: I do an intuitive mix of projections, in that I take Steamer and then modify them slightly where I think PT or upside (or downside) isn’t well represented. By starting with a projection system, you don’t do something crazy. I generally try to stay within the band created by the projection.
|
| 1:16 |
I met someone recently whose last name was Harris. In honor of you I called him “Eno” Harris. Then came today, and to my dismay, I discovered your last name is actually Sarris. |
| 1:16 |
is this guy calling the shots in philly? |
| 1:16 |
Pick one for a keeper slot next season: Puig or Josh Hamilton |
| 1:16 |
: PUIG PUIG PUIG
|
| 1:16 |
Will Jose Abreu have too much helium to be draftable? |
| 1:16 |
: I’ve seen him go in the tenth, so no.
|
| 1:16 |
Doesn’t EPL, and soccer generally, have a balanced schedule (minus Cup obligations)? Play all the other teams once home and away. |
| 1:16 |
I don’t think 100% balanced is possible, but it is very lopsided and unfair to the 2nd tier teams stuck in divisions like the AL East or West when Cleveland is able to sneak into the playoffs after beating up on Minnesota and Chicago 18 times. |
| 1:17 |
You like saisons and the like? Try Seventh Sun in FL, if you haven’t already. |
| 1:17 |
Most projections have Ryan Braun returning to his high production in 2014. While you wrote on the effect of PEDs on his performance, I think PEDs have a bigger impact on guys staying healthy/on field. Consider Braun was always one of those guys that was seemingly constantly D2D with a groin strain or a barking hammy, do you think those nagging injuries turn into DL stints? Is the biggest risk with him going forward? |
| 1:17 |
: Could be a way he erodes his counting stats, yes. More absences.
|
| 1:17 |
Would you keep Cashner over Rosenthal? Already keeping Sale, Zimmermann and Jansen. 2 stud closers is legit though right? |
| 1:18 |
: aw man. ok. Given Cash’s history, it’s okay.
|
| 1:18 |
How much will FG+ cost? |
| 1:18 |
: Six bucks.
|
| 1:18 |
Do you like the idea of baseball enforcing the rule (currently in place!) that pitchers take no more than a certain time between pitches? A clock in CF would be cool, I think. Games are too long! |
| 1:19 |
: I don’t think I’ve watched a good game and ever thought, this is too long.
|
| 1:19 |
Who wins the 2b battle of CO? |
| 1:19 |
: DJLM I guess. Fantasy’s rooting for Rutledge though.
|
| 1:19 |
Do Puig or Myers have sophomore slumps? Which one would you keep? |
| 1:19 |
: With Puig’s stolen bases, I’ll keep him. he could batting average regress, but so could Myers. his SBs will help make it better.
|
| 1:20 |
Maybin went pretty low in the mock draft. Is he really that much worse than Eaton or Quentin? |
| 1:20 |
: His knees are, but it’s a good spot, I noticed that too.
|
| 1:20 |
Thoughts on Rasmus this year? |
| 1:20 |
: Bad batting average, no steals, 18-20 homers? Sounds like a deep leaguer.
|
| 1:21 |
Something that should be talked about more: clauses in regional sports network TV deals that allow the TV network to cancel the contract if certain viewership metrics aren’t hit. (Could be a huge revenue hit for some teams.) |
| 1:21 |
: Very interesting.
|
| 1:21 |
Joe: Dont do H2H. it sucks |
| 1:21 |
@David: The English Premier League has a home-and-home round robin |
| 1:21 |
Can’t really believe that Y! still has Braun ranked as #7 overall. That’s crazy, right? |
| 1:21 |
: No. I mean, I’d rather have him after the turn or during it, but that’s not crazy. We don’t even know if he’ll stop doing steroids.
|
| 1:22 |
I’ve got to sign a $25 Yu Darvish in a pitching heavy league(start 10 pitchers, no IP limit for the year, IP/QS/ERA/WHIP/K/SV). How concerned should I be about owing him $44 in 2016 on a 3 year contract? |
| 1:22 |
: I would be. I see a lot of injury markers.
|
| 1:22 |
: But keep him this year and if you’re out of it, he’s the first piece to go.
|
| 1:22 |
Thoughts on Anthony Rendon this year, and for the next few. I have him in my 12-team keeper league for $1 (we keep 10), and am debating on whether or not to keep/drop him. |
| 1:22 |
: Love him. Caress him.
|
| 1:22 |
Where should I draft Samardizja |
| 1:22 |
: After the tenth round. But draft him.
|
| 1:23 |
Hi Eno. How do you rank Minor, Corbin, Cashner, & Cobb? |
| 1:23 |
: Cobb, Minor, Cash, Corb
|
| 1:23 |
What kind of line would you expect from profar this season? |
| 1:23 |
: .275/18/10?
|
| 1:23 |
Do you think projections are too weighted on past performance and not current stats? Shouldn’t they look at current velocity,plate discipline,batted ball profile trends..etc. Saying s pitcher was good in the past and will continue to be good seems odd when the player lost velocity,whiffs decreased…etc |
| 1:24 |
: Projections start, at the very bottom, with Marcel for the most part. Marcel weights last year 5 times, the year before 3 times, the year before twice. Then divide by ten. Steamer then puts in last year velocity and GB trends. Then you compare the player to their place on the aging curve. Lots of stuff in there.
|
| 1:25 |
Azdribble or B. Miller? |
| 1:25 |
: I’ll take either, or the the cheaper one, they both going around 160s. Miler has the upside, though, so if same cost, Miller.
|
| 1:25 |
A Dodgers/Giants game is like a Dothraki wedding…anything less than three deaths is considered a dull affair. |
| 1:26 |
What sort of regression, if any, do you see from Carlos Gomez this year? |
| 1:26 |
: Batting average.
|
| 1:26 |
Remember before last year when Freeman is what he is? Then he blows up, now hes some super star! |
| 1:26 |
: Still think he is what he is. .280/25 with decent defense and OBP. Just happens that’s worth a lot of money.
|
| 1:26 |
Would you move Ackley for Danny Duffy? |
| 1:27 |
: Love Duffy’s strikeouts. Don’t think Ackley’s going to be a great roto asset. Both risky, I’ll let your team needs decide it. If truly no needs, take the hitter.
|
| 1:27 |
Dodgers vs. Giants, have never been but they would probably sell out regardless of if they played 18 times or 11. Plus the expanded games against “rivals” has watered down rivalries when they happen every other weekend. Does anyone get excited for Red Sox vs. Yankees anymore? |
| 1:28 |
: Yes. In those two cities, and the Yankees actually need a bit of help selling out these days.
|
| 1:28 |
Should I be liking the Mariners offense? Cano, Seager…can Corey Hart produce another 30/100? |
| 1:28 |
: no. Corey Hart was a 20 homer guy on the road even when he was good.
|
| 1:28 |
I’ve been able to draft Yan Gomes near the last rd in 5×5 mixed mock drafts. Is it a good idea to ignor C all draft then just take him near the end to be my starter? |
| 1:28 |
: yes. There are three or four guys on the waiver that can come in and help if Gomes’ K% regresses hard.
|
| 1:28 |
Does Kole Calhoun have any fantasy relevancy? |
| 1:29 |
: He was old at his levels, played in small parks in hitter leagues… But I think he can .270/18/10 so yeah.
|
| 1:29 |
Yahoo has Headley at nearly #200th overall. Great value pick? Especially in OBP league. |
| 1:29 |
: yes
|
| 1:29 |
i will be doing periodic BeerGraphs meetups in Citizen’s Bank Park. No one else is invited. I will sit in the centerfield patio, attempt to drink all of the good beers, and watch as little of the Phillies playing “baseball” as possible. |
| 1:30 |
Can you say one positive thing about Jarred Cosart? |
| 1:30 |
: He’s got velocity and a nice curve ball. Two!
|
| 1:30 |
Any guess on an ETA for George Springer? He seems like he instantly would become the most valuable Astro |
| 1:30 |
: After super-two deadline, the guys in the current OF will have had about 150 PAs to show their stuff.
|
| 1:30 |
Do you have a sleeper pick for 3b this year? |
| 1:31 |
: Lawrie, Headley. Deeper? Dominguez, Johnson.
|
| 1:31 |
The Gabba Gabba guy that introduces the music is the singer from Rocket From The Crypt, Drive Like Jehu, Pitchfork & Hot Snakes |
| 1:31 |
So Luebke killed me. Tell me which Dillon Gee to expect, because now I think I have to consider keeping him. Also, any chance Eovaldi takes a next step. He throws hard! |
| 1:32 |
: I don’t love Eovaldi. He’s the opposite of Gee, though. Gee has two okay offspeed pitches and a bad fastball, Eovaldi only has a fastball. Gee’s more likely to remain a starter, Eovaldi has more upside. I think Gee can do a high-threes ERA again.
|
| 1:32 |
What are your projections on the Panda? |
| 1:32 |
: .280/22
|
| 1:32 |
Is Salazar worth $10 in an AL only keeper league? It’d be one and done if I keep him this year, no only 2014 value in play… |
| 1:32 |
: yes
|
| 1:33 |
If only they could cure cancer. |
| 1:33 |
would you say Cleveland fans are as excited about Bryan Lahair as they were about matt laporta?! |
| 1:33 |
I’m in AZ. Best Spring Training venue for the buck is Phoenix Muni (A’s). Too bad they’re moving to the Cubs old digs next year. |
| 1:33 |
Who has the most saves in Houston at the end of the year? |
| 1:33 |
: Qualls?
|
| 1:33 |
You have to think that by end of Spring Training Petit pushes out Vogey, eh? |
| 1:33 |
: Or Edwin Escobar does it a month later.
|
| 1:33 |
Castro & Rizzo. Talk to me about Castro and Rizzo. In a H2H do I want them? Sit an take Castro late? Expect big things from Rizzo? |
| 1:34 |
: I’ll take them. Castro went 117… that’s okay, would rather have B Miller at 160. Castro is a backup plan that people are taking higher. Rizzo went 46 and I’d rather have him later too. 70/80.
|
| 1:34 |
Lightning!! |
| 1:35 |
Fantasy team names that pun on player names are the worst. Puns are humor for the stupid. |
| 1:35 |
Does Zobrist exceed 20 in either HR or SB this year? |
| 1:35 |
: no
|
| 1:35 |
Only beergraphs meetup necessary is SD |
| 1:35 |
LIGHTNING |
| 1:35 |
Rank the top 3 most scarce positions in fantasy for 2014. |
| 1:35 |
: SS/C/2B
|
| 1:35 |
Alex Rios’s zips projection is not very favorable. What is your take on him? |
| 1:35 |
: .270/18/15
|
| 1:35 |
Yesterday Dave opined that Mike Carp would end up in Pittsburgh. What kinda return you think the Sox can get? |
| 1:35 |
: long-shot prospect
|
| 1:36 |
Wacha, Miller, liriano, or belt (obp league) as my last keeper? |
| 1:36 |
: wacha
|
| 1:36 |
I haven’t heard much about Jesus Montero and his “future”. It seems like everyone (fans / writers) collectively knows he is a bust. Have the Mariners all but given up on him? |
| 1:36 |
: yes
|
| 1:36 |
What are your thoughts on Leonys Martin for 2014? 10/40 doable? |
| 1:36 |
: .270/10/35 so yes
|
| 1:36 |
I’ll give you $5 if you answer any of my Rizzo questions. |
| 1:36 |
If San Diego is beer mecca, then Vermont is the Jerusalem of beer |
| 1:36 |
What’s Jason Collete’s position with FG? I love the new S&Bust is he going to be full-time writer for Rotographs? |
| 1:36 |
: He writes for the front of the site, does podcast, rest tbd
|
| 1:37 |
I tried Founders’ Dry Hopped Ale and it was magnificent. What else like that can you rec? |
| 1:37 |
: session IPA, their stouts
|
| 1:37 |
Gabba Gabba is my favorite show to watch with my kids, great music |
| 1:37 |
I need to take a grumpy, but I need this answered first – Leonys Martin a good bet for 10/40 this year? Solid 4th OF? |
| 1:37 |
: what’s a grumpy
|
| 1:37 |
Like Yan Gomes this year? |
| 1:37 |
: yes
|
| 1:37 |
I have Griffin at a 3.36 ERA.. |
| 1:37 |
: we’ll see about the homers
|
| 1:37 |
I get to keep Brad Miller and Jean Segura in my last two rounds #winning #notsohumblebrag |
| 1:37 |
Why don’t teams set their rotation as #5-#1? Is there any study on this? Granted you will likely lose #5 SP vs. #1 SP…but the reverse works as well. Seems like you would have more guaranteed wins. |
| 1:38 |
: matchups go away really quickly with offdays and the like
|
| 1:38 |
salazar, cingrani or moore next 3 years? |
| 1:38 |
: in that order
|
| 1:38 |
My girlfriends mom recently told us a story about going to the disco and doing LUDES. |
| 1:38 |
Why are you so low on A Guerrero? |
| 1:38 |
: well they just opened up the competition on his position, his d is a question, and his translated stats weren’t great
|
| 1:38 |
Over under on 400 PA for Eithier? |
| 1:38 |
: over
|
| 1:38 |
There are 2 bars near me that are doing something called IPAlooza this month. Each has 14 IPAs on tap and you get a tour card, if you finish all 28 in the month of February, you get invited to private party with free food and all the left over IPA beer is free. Not really a question, just thought you would like to know. |
| 1:39 |
any faith in Starlin Castro this year? |
| 1:39 |
: .280/14/10
|
| 1:39 |
where can i export ALL stats from dashboard to advanced to batted ball, for pitchers/hitters to an excel doc. |
| 1:39 |
: leaderboards
|
| 1:39 |
Hultzen as a good keeper in a deep league? |
| 1:39 |
: eh
|
| 1:39 |
What kind of expectations do you have of Yelich, short and long term? |
| 1:40 |
: More Ks in short term but more SBs now too, better BA as he betters the Ks long-term, more power less speed.
|
| 1:40 |
DId you know Reggie Willits is already retired? |
| 1:40 |
: dang
|
| 1:40 |
hey eno, can i borrow Six bucks… |
| 1:40 |
Can a staff led by Masterson and Sabathia lead a 20 teamer to a title? |
| 1:40 |
: I think you’re light
|
| 1:40 |
Donaldson or Seager? |
| 1:40 |
: Donaldson
|
| 1:40 |
What do I do if my buddy and I want to join our first ottoneu league? |
| 1:41 |
: See if you can drum up ten more, or go to the site and look at leagues that are forming, or pick up two orphan teams in same league.
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| 1:41 |
Machado overrated this year? I dont see his counting stats being worth his ADP. Better real life player than fantasy IMOo, like jason heyward. |
| 1:41 |
: yes
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| 1:41 |
You seem higher on Alex Wood than most. Usually hear him as reliever, and his arm is going to explode. What do you see that others are missing? |
| 1:41 |
: that he’ll be good until his arm explodes
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| 1:42 |
your boy Antonio D here. Wondering what you think about Johann Santana and if the Yanks might sign him to a minor league deal. |
| 1:42 |
: No real success stories for that operation, done once. Now twice?
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| 1:42 |
I project the Cubs for 98+ wins every year, it’s not hard. |
| 1:42 |
: boom
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| 1:42 |
You gotta learn to hold your own; they get jealous when they see you with your mobile phone |
| 1:42 |
Szymborski pegged Masterson and Porcello (and others) as possible breakouts this year. What say you about those two, in particular? |
| 1:43 |
: I still think Masterson doesn’t have the arsenal. Porcello, however, just added a curve and that’s a big deal. and his Infield D got better.
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| 1:43 |
Think Rizzo bounces back this year? |
| 1:43 |
: yes
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| 1:43 |
Thoughts on trade vetos? Do they have a place? |
| 1:43 |
: no
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| 1:43 |
Nobody gets excited for yanks-sox anymore because espn and mlb network and fox shoved it down our faces that public rebelled. |
| 1:43 |
: except in boston and new york.
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| 1:43 |
Going to take the plunge and try Ottoneu pts. league! Am I right in saying that it’s pretty similar to regular pts. leagues in that you want power, good BA, and good walk rate for hitters, and SPs that can get you approx. 200 innings with a good K rate without giving up a lot of HRs? |
| 1:44 |
: think wOBA and FIP yeah
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| 1:44 |
It’s below zero in Iowa and we get a ton of blackouts on mlb.tv. Also car trouble |
| 1:44 |
: damn. spring’s coming!
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| 1:44 |
How does/will Gray continue to succeed with 2 pitches? |
| 1:44 |
: Good news is that the big hammer curve doesn’t have big platoon splits. So if he can just improve the two-seamer or the cutter, he has a chance.
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| 1:44 |
The pitch-count-clock would also decrease the time TV viewers have to listen to Joe Morgan. Upside! |
| 1:44 |
is speedway stout made from speedway coffee? If so, i do not want to try it. |
| 1:44 |
: no lol
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| 1:44 |
Time to give up on our boy Rubby? |
| 1:44 |
: i hope not!
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| 1:45 |
anything nice to say about Aaron Hicks? |
| 1:45 |
: In OBP leagues, there’s still a chance he can be productive.
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| 1:45 |
Do you realize with this extra long chat you’re making a lot of work places less productive? |
| 1:45 |
: God I have stuff to do
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| 1:45 |
: I gotta go!!
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| 1:45 |
Is it too early to really say, baseball’s back? |
| 1:45 |
: almost. thanks for coming!
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| 1:46 |
til next week Mr. Sarris |
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Is playing with both sides of a real life platoon (e.g. Gomes-Nava, Parra-Ross maybe) a viable fantasy strategy for 4th OF slot?
Thumbs down for my own stupidity