Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 3/12/15
11:03 |
: be here at the top of the hour. In the meantime, of
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11:03 |
:
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12:00 |
Very impressed with Jayson Werth’s balanced approach when writing his own 2015 FG+ commentary. http://www.fangraphs.com/st… |
12:00 |
: That is an impressive typo.
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12:01 |
Who has a bigger 2015 fantasy season, Albert Pujols or Carlos Santana? |
12:01 |
: I’ll bet on the younger guy, actually!
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12:01 |
Stay away from Rockies players in h2h because of home/road inbalance? |
12:02 |
: Nah, maybe just stay away from stacking the team. Or, if players fall to you, stack the team and then trade mid-season.
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12:02 |
I don’t recall being as gutted as I was when the news came out about Stroman. I’m still heartbroken. |
12:02 |
: It’s so bad.
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12:03 |
Zips w/z-scores has Lucas Duda ranked around 25th overall in in a 5×5 OBP league! How high would you have him? |
12:03 |
: Man I saw that in TOUT and ended up picking him to be my first baseman, so I hope it’s right. The only thing I can say is that I’m not sure about the PA projections. Duda gonna be platooned.
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12:04 |
Hi Eno. Kind of random question but my AL-only auction is this weekend so I’m really hoping you could do me a huge favour and rank the following OF for me: Beltran, Rusney, Jennings and AJax. Thanks so much! |
12:04 |
: With injury, maybe Jennings Rusney Ajax Beltran
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12:04 |
Will shifts hold C. Davis back? O/U 32 HR’s .325 OBP? |
12:04 |
: Can’t shit a homer, so over on the HRs. OBP? Could be under, but I still like him for some bounce back.
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12:04 |
Seen or heard anything on Archie Bradley’s stuff in Arizona? Impressions on Alex Jackson? thanks! |
12:05 |
: Talked to Bradley and he’s working on the change. He did add a slider, so if the change doesn’t work out (hasn’t really looked good so far), he has a backup plan.
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12:05 |
Favorites to close in Tampa and Houston right now? |
12:05 |
: Boxberger and Qualls. Dark horses Jepsen and Fields.
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12:05 |
So was someone really saying yesterday that Joey Votto was worse than Ryan Howard? |
12:06 |
: I hope he shows up here because he followed me even though FanGraphs is for nerds. It’s even worse. He’s touting RBIs.
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12:06 |
Is Aaron Sanchez worth a pick in my minor league draft over a guy like Rodon? Did Stroman getting hurt end any chance of him going to the bullpen? |
12:07 |
Looking for a LF/OF5 in a keep forever OBP/net steal league. Can pay more for J. Upton or CarGo or could pay less for Zobrist, Melky, or Cruz. My offense is already pretty dominant and I have tons of power. What move you prefer? |
12:07 |
: Nah, there’s still Norris there.
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12:07 |
: I guess pay less for Melky, who might fit your team better. But if you can get Upton for a discount, his power will translate.
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12:08 |
I have to choose between Napoli and Headley as my final keeper. Ignoring position and based strictly on 2015 fantasy stats, who does Eno choose? |
12:08 |
: Napoli.
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12:08 |
Hi Eno, I drafted a middle infield of Kang, Semien, Lawrie, and Bogaerts. I know your high on Kang, but brief thoughts on the other 3 for this year? |
12:08 |
: Well I like Kang Semien and Lawrie as sleepers, but you got all of them on one infield. Might be a good idea to go get a Prado/Zobrist type to bring your floor up.
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12:09 |
eno over/under .5 times soler-baez-bryant go back-to-back-to-back in the regular season |
12:09 |
: Over but by .5
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12:09 |
TJ House interest you with the Gavin Floyd news? |
12:09 |
: Very much so! Good command, has the pitches to succeed. Not much gas, but he’s a good pitcher.
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12:09 |
H2H points league, Lohse, Ervin Santana or Bauer? |
12:09 |
: Kinda liking Santana here. If he throws the changeup and his batted ball stuff normalizes, could have a really good year.
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12:10 |
I was surprised to see projection systems like Wilmer Flores so much. Would you rather have him or Chris Owings? |
12:10 |
: In real life? Owings for sure. This year for fantasy? Maybe Flores. Owings hurt his rotator cuff or labrum, either way not good for power.
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12:10 |
Thoughts on Ryan Rua as a potential sleeper this season? |
12:10 |
: Does *not* look good in the outfield.
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12:10 |
So we |
12:10 |
uhh.. |
12:10 |
So we’re in Phoenix tomorrow for some games (and a bar trip to that Sabremetric whozitz thing), didn’t you say there aren’t many decent sour beers in town? |
12:12 |
http://www.beergraphs.com/b…
: Well I wrote about it today. I think Arizona Wilderness in Mesa has a sour (weisse though). Otherwise, Bevmo has a couple Berliner Weisses and a sour or two. OHSO said they won’t be tapping a sour for a while. So not a great place for sours. |
12:12 |
Favorite AZ beer you tried this week??? |
12:12 |
: OHSO I’m in Love With the Coco. Liked the Oak Creek Nut Brown.
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12:12 |
Given he seems fully healthy and has a dramatic shift in home park factors, thoughts on Brandon Moss’ power output for the year? Do you think he has an outside shot at hitting 40? |
12:12 |
: I’ll bet on 35 and be happy with him.
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12:13 |
Hi Eno. Do you have any formula for adjusting rankings for OBP instead of BA? Same thing for QS over Wins. My league plays both. Thanks! |
12:13 |
: Use the auction calculator and sort by dollars!
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12:13 |
Hi Eno…I think you mentioned last week that tiered rankings for the upcomping season would be coming up soon. Do you have an updated ETA? (I don’t think I’ve seen them come out yet.) Thanks! |
12:13 |
: I’ll tell them to get on it, but we also need to do Bold Predictions!
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12:13 |
When he drinks wine it’s pENO |
12:14 |
The red sox are just putting a show on for castillo and victorino right? They are aware I am significantly better than them right? No way I start in aaa? |
12:14 |
: I can’t see it. Nothing more to do down there.
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12:14 |
Last week you mentioned that you love Korean food. Have you tried Jang Su Jang in Sunnyvale/Santa Clara? Their BBQ is prob the best in the area. Hite or OB with Korean BBQ and you got yourself a meal. |
12:14 |
: Posted so I can save it.
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12:14 |
Hey, Eno! I need to add a starter after losing Stroman. Who do you like for upside/realistic ceiling? Best options are: Lohse, Peavy, Chase Anderson, Garza, Leake, Miley, Elias, Niese, Rubby De La Rosa, Webster, Burnett, House, Happ, Foltyniewicz. If two are close I can possibly add both for now. Missed out on deSclafani or he’d be in the mix, too. |
12:14 |
: Anderson. The vets ahead of him have floor, but Anderson has upside. House right there too. Try to get both somehow.
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12:15 |
Excluding the team you drafted, can you point out a few of your favorite value buys from the auction? |
12:16 |
: Kiermaier for $8. Miggie for $35.
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12:16 |
Shouldve started us with a song from Lilghthouse. |
12:16 |
: Or Lifehouse even!
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12:16 |
for what it’s worth, really difficult to follow along with the live chat via the new format. Still love what you guys do, but find it easier to read the draft after you post it |
12:16 |
: Hey aren’t new things coming in at the bottom? I changed that setting.
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12:16 |
What do you make of the Toronto rotation and pen with Stroman gone? |
12:17 |
: Still think decent chance of Norris as the five and Sanchez as closer, and if Norris does well and Pompey hits and Saunders comes back ok, the team still has a chance.
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12:17 |
Who are some people on the DL that can have a reasonable impact in June+ who will likely go undrafted and are worth stashing? |
12:17 |
: Patrick Corbin, Ivan Nova.
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12:17 |
Matt Harvey makes me hot. Talk me down from picking him ahead of guys like Hamels, Price and Greinke. |
12:17 |
: I think he’s about the 12th-best guy so I guess I’m with you. Though I have Price and Greinke ahead of him.
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12:18 |
Please rank using ….to show gaps. 12 team NL only 5 x 5 with a small minors component. I can choose between JP Crawford, Schwarber, Winker, and Peraza. Is that the order you would go with? |
12:18 |
: Crawford…. Schwarber ……….. Winker .. Peraza
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12:18 |
: Might be worth taking Peraza ahead of Winker if you want to see what’s up, quickly.
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12:19 |
I saw your TOUT Wars draft… Could you please explain the Cargo pick? Your not worried about his health? Lack of SB? |
12:19 |
: I took him after forty picks were gone and backed him up with De Aza on the bench. I feel like that combo is going to >> 40.
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12:20 |
Why do the auction calculator dollar values not add up to the total expected spend? For example a 12 team league with a $260 budget should have dollar values that add up to $3,120. |
12:20 |
: if it doesn’t it’s probably a rounding thing.
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12:20 |
Can you point me to a good location for projected batting lineup orders, and also who is the Closer for every team? |
12:21 | : baseball press used to have some sort of lineup thing, I think maybe roster resource does. As for closer… |
12:21 |
In a S+H league – Who should I keep? Neshek or Feliz? |
12:22 |
: Feliz. The closer gets more chances than a guy in a crowded pen that might be the setup guy or might be a roogy.
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12:22 |
It seems like a lot of talk about Anthony Rizzo’s breakout is because he figured out lefties last year. How do we know that he actually figured them out and it wasn’t just a fluky year? |
12:22 |
: Look back to 2013 and see that his peripherals against lefties were fine. He struck out and walked at reasonable rates, just had a terrible BABIP. Then last year his BABIP was more normal and he was fine. He’s fine against lefties.
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12:22 |
the news about Stroman sucks but that why i wait to the very end of spring training to draft, how much did you pay for him? |
12:23 |
: LABR drafts early so it can serve as a guide to everyone. I paid $20 in an AL-only and will get that money back in FAAB so I’m rooting HARD CORE for a Hamels trade.
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12:23 |
Your feelings on Wong … possible 15 hr/30 sb? |
12:23 |
: Sure. Pay for less though.
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12:23 |
Replace fangraphs stroman mancrush with _______? |
12:24 |
: Drew Hutchison, same team, similar tweaks to arsenal, good pitches?
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12:24 |
Daniel Norris, Jimmy Nelson, Henry Owens, Alex Meyer – who do you want for the next 4 years? |
12:24 |
: Not Nelson. I guess my mancrush is on Owens, so him, but Norris decently close.
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12:24 |
Eno, my first ever auction draft is this weekend. Any tips? |
12:26 |
: Use your value sheet almost as a ranking sheet once the auction gets going. In other words, don’t pass on *every* top 15 player just because they all go for more than your sheet. Go get a guy ranked 10-15 on your sheet and try to get him for less of an overpay. You have to buy into the top players. Then you’ll start to see patters versus your sheet. If it’s an only league, make sure you have good lists of who’s available so you’re still on top of it by the end.
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12:26 |
Brandon Drury is looking really good this spring, but he’s kind of without a position. He’s a big guy, do you think he will be able to handle 2B? |
12:26 |
: Lamb isn’t great. Drury will edge his way on to this team some time this year, just don’t know when or where.
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12:26 |
Why are there questions as to who should replace Pence? I’m obviously a capable starting outfielder! |
12:27 |
: No homers I guess. But that didn’t stop them from signing Aoki.
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12:27 |
Heard Yankee Stadium’s taps are particularly filthy. You think any of the stadiums pay any attention to this sorta thing? |
12:27 |
: If someone gets sick… I bet the crafty stadiums do think about it. I mean, Ballast Point runs a bar inside Petco. They probably care.
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12:27 |
I think I might be obsessed with the concept of a TJ House breakout campaign. Am I onto anything here? |
12:27 |
: He’s good, that’s what you’re on to! Soft tossing lefties sometimes get overlooked.
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12:28 |
Will JJ Hardy bounce back and produce 20+ HR like he usually does? Is he a nice late SS target in your opinion? Would you rather have him or Jhonny Peralta for 2015? |
12:28 |
: Just worried about his back problems.
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12:28 |
Do you normally roster elite K set up men like Davis, Miller, Giles? I’m hoping to pair them (Davis and Holland) to keep rates down and pick up extra saves when Holland gets a night off |
12:28 |
: I’d rather the guy was on a different team so that you were also prospecting for saves, if it’s a saves league.
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12:28 |
: Like an Ottavino.
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12:29 |
Hans Zimmer is a straight up G |
12:30 |
Eno Sarris… can’t shit a homer… I have nothing funnier to add |
12:30 |
: Uh. SHIFT. SHIFT. wow.
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12:30 |
Still haven’t seen 32 North in beer leaderboards yet what gives? |
12:30 |
: We don’t get every piece of data from UT. I’ll check on it.
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12:30 |
will Peter O’Brien really hit 26 homers? |
12:31 |
: No, but he might actually start 60% of the D-backs games at catcher this year.
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12:31 |
What would Michael Taylor have gone for in NL LABR if it had been done after the news of the Denard Span injury. What would you have paid? |
12:31 |
: 3-4 bucks. Can’t go higher because at some point he’s off the top three on the depth chart.
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12:31 |
Randall Delgado has looked really good this spring, his changeup making hitters look kind of foolish. Is there hope still hope for him as an effective starter? |
12:31 |
: I heard he was 92-95!! Command looking good. I gotta go get a share.
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12:32 |
Is the poop deck really what I think it is? |
12:32 |
why do people care about my phone? |
12:32 |
who was the most drunk at the FG house? |
12:32 |
: Good lude. Not me for once, I was sick. Sucked.
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12:32 |
What does a 2015 Nolan Arenado ceiling and floor look like? .300 25 homers the ceiling? .270 15 the floor? |
12:33 |
: I’ll take more batting average on the floor, but yeah that’s good.
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12:33 |
Expecting good things from Mike Fiers this year? I like him but I’m cautious. |
12:33 |
: Yeah he made some adjustments — the cutter got harder, he moved on the rubber — and I think with 12 and 14, we can believe.
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12:33 |
Any team defenses get much better in this offseason to the degree that their pitchers might see an unprojected improvement? |
12:35 |
: gotta watch Cleveland with Lindor coming. Also, what about the Yankees? Didi/Headley >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Jeter/ARod/flotsam.
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12:35 |
what kind of MI should i try to trade MCab or Rizzo or Goldschmidt for? I don’t know if I really have any other options than Altuve/Tulo/Rendon(maybe) |
12:36 |
: Maybe Goldschmidt, based on drafts. I like going for Tulo if it’s a shallower league roto, you’ll always have an Aybar when he’s hurt. If it’s H2H or deeper, maybe Altuve. higher floor, more health.
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12:36 |
So I lost Stroman for the year – so my avg rotation just got worse – who should I target with this rotation: Sale, Wood, Hughes, Bailey, Kazmir. It is definitely light in my league (bottom 3 rotation) – Ideally someone equal to wood. |
12:36 |
: I think that rotation is good. Just add quantity at the bottom off the waiver wire. I dunno who’s out there.
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12:37 |
More likely to win AL CY Sonny Gray or Alex Cobb? |
12:37 |
: Healthy Cobb.
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12:37 |
Which Braves player producer the most value this year: EY jr, jace peterson, or Eury Perez? |
12:37 |
: Jace. If talking real life. EY steals could push him ahead.
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12:37 |
Has there ever been a recollection of events as incredible and poetic as Ice Cube’s It was a Good Day? |
12:37 |
: No. Unless it’s Sublime’s Love is What I Got.
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12:38 |
Why do all of you think base ball can be played on a computer? Any of you ever suit up? |
12:38 |
: We have three adult league players on FanGraphs staff. Two former college players. One former AGM writes for us.
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12:38 |
: Ladies and gentleman, here’s the dude that thinks RBI are a good stat!
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12:39 |
: And that Howard>Votto!
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12:39 |
what does a beer snob drink on st patricks day |
12:39 |
: A green lager if you’re asking this one. Not every single beer needs to be a whale you can brag about.
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12:39 |
Last year I read that Colby Rasmus bunted against a shift and Colby Lewis took offense to it. Is this an unwritten rule thing and a reason you dont see more bunts against shifts? Have you asked anyone about it? |
12:40 |
: Could be a Colby thing, really. It’s stupid. If it’s not against a written rule, and it could help your team win, do it. I think MLB management, from what they’ve said, would support players bunting against the shift.
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12:40 |
No Guinness for you? Not even a Murphys? |
12:40 |
: Well, okay probably a Guinness. less food coloring.
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12:41 |
![]() I think JoeyNotto needs a hug. It's not your fault JoeyNotto that you where born lame. It's Okay. It's not your fault. It's not your fault. ITS NOT YOUR FAULT. |
12:41 |
I was in San Francisco this weekend. ALL THE IPAS. |
12:41 |
: Yes.
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12:41 |
I think the sound you just heard is a collective “Boo” from the internet for the anti-Votto guy |
12:41 |
yeah eno you ever lace em up or you just base ball on your spreadsheet |
12:41 |
: Played whiffleball this weekend.
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12:41 |
Is G. Richards for real? If so can I get a quick upside projection? |
12:42 |
: Just look at last year. Yeah the dude spits fire, has an awesome slider, and can use the curve against lefties.
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12:42 |
Aybar is my SS. Not flashy or sexy, but when the rest of my team is stacked, I can get by with Mr. Aybar. |
12:42 |
: Sure, but I’ll take him in deeper leagues where floor matters more.
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12:42 |
who the hell is flotsam |
12:42 |
: jetsam. you know, the dregs.
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12:42 |
Eno, really really enjoy your work, but i have a question about one method of analysis that bothers me a bit. I’ve seen you pump Anthony DeScalafani as a guy w/ three pitches to start. DeSclafani threw a grand total of 34 changeups per brooks last year. How can we learn anything from that sample when the scouting consensus seems to be he doesnt have a good changeup? (klaw called him a one pitch guy w/ command, fwiw) Is there some other info on which your basing your assessment of him or do you think that’s a reliable sample size? Again, really enjoy your work. |
12:44 |
: when I talk about DeSclafani’s change, I don’t talk about his results because yes, he threw 34. But you know what you can tell from 34 changeups? The shape. The velocity. His change has three inches more drop than the average change, two inches more fade, and the ten mph gap you like to get. Plus he improved it in the fall league. It’s a good pitch. Keith is great, he’s smart, we don’t always have to agree.
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12:44 |
Its literally impossible to not get sick once you have kids |
12:44 |
: Killing me.
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12:44 |
Eno’s sickness has infected the entire Fangraphs staff…next thing you know there is going to be a horde of Sabermetric zombies banging at our windows, moaning “WAAARRRRR” and such. |
12:44 |
: OBBBBBPPPPPP
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12:45 |
Any opinion on Eovaldi’s splitter thing? Could be huge for him if it’s even average. |
12:45 |
: It doesn’t have as much drop as a good splitter, but it does have two inches more drop than his bad changeup. It could be the difference.
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12:45 |
Harvey looks LEGIT so far. 17 mos post surgery. We ignore spring training STATS, but health is a different story. Where’s he at in your rankings? Moving up at all? |
12:45 |
: I have him at 12, have always been aggressive. he took a lot of time off, that’s good for elbows.
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12:46 |
where can you see ST pitch velocities? |
12:46 |
: MASH
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12:46 |
You should try Sweet Devil Stout if you are in AZ. |
12:46 |
: Is that Santan?
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12:46 |
whats the fun in doing an AL/NL only league? |
12:47 |
: Every. Single. Player. is relevant.
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12:47 |
Wrong, Lamb is great, but mostly chops with mint jelly |
12:47 |
NL RC-style league, 3B flier : Lamb or Franco? |
12:47 |
: Franco? Don’t love Lamb’s swing.
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12:47 |
will Lamb take 3rd over Tomas? |
12:47 |
: Well Tomas is *not* a third baseman. Looks terrible otu there.
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12:48 |
Fan Graphs is a disgrace to the game- pretending to know everything but never played its disgusting |
12:48 |
: Everyone on this staff played baseball. Some still play!
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12:48 |
Are you down on Wainwright. Cuz I am, but I’m not sure where to cut that off, because he’s still really good. |
12:48 |
: Yeah I’m worried about his health. But if he’s your second pitcher… maybe you have to do that. Might have pushed him down too far.
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12:49 |
I’ve been looking at Snider and De Aza a great deal in preparation for my upcoming AL-only auction. How confident can I be in either getting full-time at-bats this year? |
12:49 |
: Neither is going to get full-time atbats, but I feel pretty good about both getting strong side platoon atbats.
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12:49 |
Thanks for answering, re: desclafani, and yes, reasonable minds can definitely disagree. The reason i ask is that i’ve not seen another positive report on it. So do you think the shape/velo do stabilize/become statistically significant after 34 pitches? not disagreeing, just asking to learn. thanks again. |
12:50 |
: Yes, I do. I mean, at that point you’re really asking if the cameras can pick it up right, and there’s not that much noise.
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12:50 |
Astronomers are a disgrace to space! Pretending to know everything about stars and cosmic dust and stuff and they’ve never even broken the atmosphere! |
12:50 |
How did the whole 2 Catcher thing start and why? Why not a 2 SS league? Did they just hate people? |
12:50 |
: Yeah that kills me. Hate the two catcher thing.
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12:50 |
Shane Greene the second coming of Corey Kluber? HOw much you like him? |
12:51 |
: No I don’t see that much in him. I mean, the change is actually pretty good by shape, but he doesn’t have the velocity gap. I like him, but you can’t call a Kluber. You can call that a guy is better than his projections, which I think.
|
12:51 |
you got busted on a bit on XM fantasy radio the other day for your round 2 posey pick. They hosts were not fans of that one |
12:52 |
: Yah sure. My values liked catchers. I love love that team. 15 teams, two catchers, the last ten catchers or so are *terrible*. I wanted no part.
|
12:52 |
Maybe we should let JoeyNotto know that every GM in baseball thinks Howard is worthless. Amaro cant even give him away without paying all his salary, he has been trying to do it for 4 months. |
12:52 |
: I mean his GM said his team would be better without him.
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12:53 |
2 catchers is great because dumb people waste high picks on people that are only getting 400 abs |
12:53 |
: My Posey and Gattis combo will get 550-600 each.
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12:53 |
Seems to be skepticism about Steve Pearce getting enough ABs, particularly against RHPs. He obviously crushes lefties, but he had a .360 OBP vs. RHP last year and .317 career. Why wouldn’t they hit him against righties? |
12:53 |
: A lot of batted ball luck against righties in there. That makes me nervous, as well as his age at breakout.
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12:54 |
what are your thoughts on souza jr.? |
12:54 |
: I’m a little worried that he’ll K a bunch at the beginning and have a slow start. I might buy if I like the peripherals later, bought in one ottoneu points league where I needed upside, but age and K% makes me a little nervous.
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12:54 |
Fan Graphs tells you nothing about a players heart, will to win, grit, or leadership- the most importent elemants. It also dismisses rbis. Terrible site. |
12:55 |
: Okay now I’m leaning back towards elaborate troll. That’s every catch phrase ever rolled into one place. But I’ll take your clicks.
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12:55 |
you are not a dumb person! |
12:55 |
: Well some here would disagree.
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12:55 |
![]() This is all. |
12:56 |
: Oh my god he’s a beast. I need more shares because I have like none because everyone knows I love him.
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12:56 |
fwiw, i noticed, in his last appearance, when mccann wiggled his fingers (to call for a change up) eovaldi threw his splitter. hopefully that would indicate that he indeed took your advice and replaced his change with the split |
12:57 |
: Yeah it’s replaced his change. Let’s see how good it is.
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12:57 |
what’s dumb is unfunny cliche troll accounts |
12:57 |
u and chris russo could take your RBI’s somewhere else |
12:57 |
![]() The Giants fan has it right. |
12:57 |
: Interlude.
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12:57 |
How many SP should I roster with 3 SP and 3 P slots? 12 bench spots, but when does it get better to have an extra bat? |
12:58 |
: Three or four relievers (maybe one SP/RP). I’d go to maybe eight or nine starters. I love quantity. Bench bats are so meh.
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12:58 |
George Springer over under 17 steals in 2015….also does he ever steal 30 at the major league level |
12:58 |
: I’ll take over but no I don’t think he steals 30.
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12:59 |
Who’s going to platoon with Duda? Depth charts have Campbell down for only 70PA |
12:59 |
: Cuddyer?
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12:59 |
Thanks re: Greene. We always talk about how injury prone pitchers are. Does that mean be averse to spending a lot on pitchers, or load up on them as a precaution? One league I’m in, everyone seems to be loading up, and I feel like I can capitalize on it if I trade some of my pitching, but I also am unsure if I then put myself at risk of “random pitcher death.” Thanks Eno! |
12:59 |
: I like to get mid-tier quantity. A bunch of good pitchers that cost less.
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12:59 |
How old were you when you transitioned from crap to craft beer? |
1:01 |
: Well I had Sierra a bunch in college, but when I moved out of manhattan and stopped having to deal with lines at bars — I got hard liquor then because when am I going to get to the front of the bar again — I started drinking craft. So really not that long. 32 or so.
|
1:01 |
If you want to compete in pitching, does the mid-tier strategy really work?What used to be very good (3.50 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 170 k’s) is a dime a dozen these days. |
1:01 |
: There’s always a few mid-tier guys that take the leap in my mind. And yeah, my pitching staff always kills it.
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1:01 |
Craft beer is for hipsters, bud lite for me |
1:01 |
: Most predictable comment?
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1:02 |
RIP Miller High Life guy |
1:02 |
: Truth.
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1:02 |
Cliff Lee, Kuechel, or Salazar as my SP6 in a 5×5? |
1:02 |
: Salazar, he’s a flame thrower with a strong change and a decent slider. Keuchel doesn’t have the same strikeout upside and Lee is hurt.
|
1:03 |
YES! I found the best Joey Notto comment thread. http://www.sbnation.com/mlb… |
1:03 |
: I guess I should just block him like everyone else. Too many of his comments in my mentions, crowding out the rest of y’all.
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1:04 |
doesn’t hutchison have a great chance to step forward, he finished the year strong, and his K upside is higher than stroman’s. |
1:04 |
: Yah if the new slider helps him combat the homers problem, I really like him.
|
1:04 |
Are any of the D-backs’ 400 pitchers they have in camp actually going to turn into a front-of-rotation kind of pitcher? |
1:05 |
: I don’t like Rubby’s delivery, so I think I’m out on him. I think Chase can be an SP2/3. Webster has the stuff to be an ace, but bottom tier command and terrible mound presence. Bradley has the presence, but badd command and change. I really like Braden Shipley.
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1:06 |
Why are lefty pitcher more highly valued when the majority of hitters are right handed? |
1:06 |
: Because the majority of the pitchers are right-handed.
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1:06 |
in the traditional yahoo 5×5 roto league, is it better to have bench arms or bats, 23 roster spots |
1:07 |
: I probably have one bench bat. Not a lot of extra PA to be gained on Tuesdays and Thursdays.
|
1:07 |
Apparently the DBacks have been working on Rubby’s mechanics this offseason |
1:07 | : Hey you don’t say |
1:07 |
Rather have Sabathia for $1 or one of your sleepers like Anderson/deSclafani/House for the same price? |
1:08 |
: CC got skinny, I’ll take him. Track record is there. If the slider’s bite comes back…
|
1:08 |
I think people like tickling other people, because the tickler is doing something very small and getting a huge reaction. I think of internet trolling similarly. “Look! I can just say some annoying stuff and people get worked into a tizzy!” Except tickling is mostly fun/a little cruel and trolling is entirely cruel. |
1:08 |
: Yah I’m paying it too much attention. But man, RBIs, and the Howard thing. It’s just so crazy.
|
1:08 |
Jake Odorizzi is working on a “splitter”. That seems like it could help him out. |
1:09 |
: He threw it last year. It’s why he was usable. What we need now is a good breaking ball.
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1:09 |
CC back over 300 |
1:09 |
: Aw damn really.
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1:09 |
is danny santana extremely underrated like i think he is? |
1:09 |
: In a deep league, maybe. He could start all year and hit .260 with 30 steals or so.
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1:09 |
Ugh, I meant “slutter” but it auto corrected |
1:09 |
: Oh! see that might be it for him. He needs a breaking ball!
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1:10 |
lucas duda lude, dude |
1:10 |
Listen you NERDS, Howard is better than Votto. Look at the World Series rings. |
1:10 |
I’d like two large, pizzas please. Hold the cheese, extra mayo |
1:10 |
: Asked and granted.
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1:10 |
Hey Eno, I own a Sugar Shack (Maple Syrup). I need a suggestion for a beer to bring, considering we will be enjoying some nice sweet maple syrup. What beer would pair well with that? |
1:11 |
: An imperial stout. A regularly available one like Old Rasputin is fine. If you got a coffee one, might hit it out of the park. The local place here uses nitro stouts for less foam, so Guinness would work in a pinch.
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1:11 |
so ill be starting a faculty position in the fall at a university in Georgia. Is it bad that I want to make sure I don’t schedule any classes during our chat time? |
1:11 |
: congrats! and there’s always “movie time”
|
1:11 |
Fave place to eat in Oakland when you venture over to the O.Co is ____? |
1:12 |
: The taco truck on High Street.
|
1:12 |
: Tacos Al Zul I think?
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1:12 |
![]() JoeyNotto, I can play baseball with a computer no problem. Welcome to the 21st century pal. |
1:12 |
Try hitting a fastball with your laptop, nerd! |
1:13 |
Wedding question… I need a good craft beer from Mexico to complete my “beers from places special to us” Bar. (I got put in charge by bride). Advice? |
1:14 |
: Tough one. Maybe just make Mexico the lager for your non craft friends and use Tecate or Dos Equis.
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1:14 |
My laptop has a way larger cross-section than a bat; I like my chances! |
1:14 |
I like Danny Santana in that “Smooth” song with Rob Thomas |
1:14 |
How does the Nfl do it, they keep the headlines rolling all yr |
1:15 |
Hey Eno, I love your chats and this is my first question. I drafted Addison Russell and Corey Seager back to back in my draft, the rules are eight keepers and only eligible if kept or drafted. Are either looking like good 2016 bets? Also, I traded my prized Yellich for Kolten Wong, both are good but I absolutely love Wong at 2B, thoughts on his production going forwards and fantasy ranking among 2B? Thanks! |
1:15 |
: both should be up by 2016. Russell is great, really like him, but Seager better fantasy upside. Big fan of Wong, that high leg kick is providing the power we weren’t sure he’d provide.
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1:15 |
How encouraged are you by Harvey’s ST so far? Does his immediate return to 2013 velocity significantly influence your outlook on his projections? Will ZiPS/Steamers projections change with the velo data or does he need show results during the regular season b4 anything changes? |
1:16 |
: Velocity is only the first part. Command is the other part of coming back from tJ.
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1:16 |
I love Flores in an NL only keeper, but how badly do I need to have a backup SS? I have Chris Owings but tempted to trade him while he still has some sleeper hype. |
1:17 |
: I don’t love rostering backups, but in an only league, the wire is terrible. Owings and Flores together would be a better plan.
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1:17 |
Do not google unknown words found in an eno chat while at work, e.g. “merkin” |
1:17 |
: It’s a good beer! It’s also …. yeah.
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1:17 |
Victoria is good Mexican beer |
1:17 |
Why don’t all the spring training parks have Pitch F/X? Teams are rich and they are the only numbers that are actually meaningful |
1:17 |
: they have TrackMan, but that’s proprietary to the teams, so we don’t get it.
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1:17 |
Devon Travis or Dilson Herrera in a dynasty league? |
1:17 |
: Dilson for me. REally like him.
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1:18 |
Hi a kind of long question but i would be really thankful for an answer, I live in sweden but i´m planning to study and play college baseball in the US, I´m looking for a school right now but for some reason i´ve heard that its not possible for me to join a d1 or d2 team because i´m 20 years old (in other words its been more then 1 year since i was in high school). Is this true? and if so should i try to join a d3 team, NAIA team or a junior college in california? I´m looking for a place thats the most competitive and trains the most (also i´ve heard that d3 doesn’t practice as much as d1,d2 true or false). Thanks in advance |
1:18 |
: I would guess that yes the d3 teams don’t practice as much. As for the first question… I doubt it’s true, but I’m not qualified to answer. I’ll poke around and maybe have an answer for you next week. Can hit me up on twitter too.
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1:18 |
Eno, youve gotta pump up on the vitamin C. You’re ALWAYS gettin’ sick! |
1:18 |
: Two kids in day care.
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1:19 |
Kyle Zimmer, Jameson Taillon or Kohl Stewart? How would you rank them? |
1:19 |
: Taillon Zimmer Stewart I guess. I like Taillon and people have forgotten about him!
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1:19 |
I have to cut one, Kershaw, Cutch, Trout, Stanton! |
1:20 |
: Uh so you have three first round bats and a first-round pitcher. Wow. Even worse, all four are probably top five picks. My personally, I’d take the bats, but since they all OF… guess you cut Cutch.
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1:20 |
Eno, Kzoo guy here and had to get your opinion on Founders vs. Bells. It’s a huge rivalry in west MI. I prefer Bells cuz I love me some Hopslam and Two Hearted, but also a big fan of KBS and all day IPA |
1:20 |
: I’ll take Bells too I think. KBS is probably the best beer from the two, but then you probably list a bunch of Bells.
|
1:20 |
Thoughts on Danny Duffy for 2015? |
1:21 |
: Not a fan. Dude has velocity, but nobody bites at his curve. And that’s all he’s got. Yes, he gets pop-ups, but he doesn’t have good command, so how long will that last?
|
1:21 |
I am sorry for my internet handle. I have never been to space. I have never owned a floating gas mine city. I lied about how many Death Stars I’ve blown up, and I told Han Solo that I washed his clothes after I wore them….but I didn’t. |
1:21 |
For wild/spontaneously fermented beers…why don’t bad bacteria or fungus ever get in the wort? and are good bacteria/fungus just hanging around waiting for wort to be open to the air and they’re all “time to get to work making tasty beer” |
1:23 |
: I think once upon a time, brewers opened up the wort and did it that way, but now things are much more precise. Goose Island brewers told me that Matilda was made by opening the doors in Chicago and letting Brett in off the wind, but the yeast guy at White Labs sorta scoffed at that idea. Said 99.9% of the stuff in the air is trash.
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1:23 |
No way! Cut Kershaw. |
1:23 |
: I mean, that’s what I’d do, but a lot of people think I’m crazy.
|
1:23 |
KBS v. Black Note; Expedition v. FIS; Hopslam has no real competitor from Founders, but neither does Breakfast Stout from Bell’s so call it a wash? |
1:23 |
: It’s super close anyway.
|
1:23 |
I own a velvet merkin, can someone explain how to upload pics |
1:24 |
: no
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1:24 |
Movie critics suck! They don’t make movies! ! |
1:24 |
Don’t coolships work by leaving the wort open to air? and i’ve always thought that’s how the traditional places do it in belgium, but could just be my imagination running wild with tiny men in funny clothes stirring big pots of brew |
1:24 |
: Well, that’s the story anyway. And yeah coolships are open air but most of them I don’t like the taste of! More sours here precise and closed.
|
1:24 |
one thing youve taught me is you can always find cheap pitching, hitting a premium! |
1:24 |
pretty sure that’s not part of it, the tiny men |
1:25 |
Any idea how the Mariners’ SS situation will play out? Thanks! |
1:25 |
: I still like Miller, especially since he bats lefty.
|
1:25 |
grandy-man jimmy-jack |
1:25 |
: OBP outfielder, worthy in most leagues.
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1:26 |
AJ Burnett, Danny Duffy, CC Sabathia, Wei Yen Chen, or Kyle Hendricks? |
1:26 |
: CC
|
1:26 |
Ketel Marte worth a minors spot in ottoneu? |
1:26 |
: Borderline, but cheap, stats like him, he’s close… could be a good trade chip for Mariners.. yes. But for a buck.
|
1:26 |
I once asked a Yankee Stadium employee where they keep the good beer and he responded with “I don’t know…I just work here”. |
1:27 |
: they don’t have any good beer there.
|
1:27 |
Will Micah Johnson win the starting 2b job out of camp? |
1:27 |
: That’s the word.
|
1:27 |
rodon come up this year? start the year in AAA? |
1:27 |
: I think he’ll start in Triple-A and come up.
|
1:28 |
Ohhhh… Smog City Coffee Porter (LA), Epic Big Bad Baptist (UT), Pyramid Hef (Sea), Monk’s Dubbel (NMex), … and blah Shiner Boch (because she is from Tex). |
1:28 |
: Nice wedding list.
|
1:28 |
sour beer: pH and alcohol take care of a lot of the bad stuff you don’t want. most “spontaneously fermented” beers aren’t done that way (even though a lot of Belgian breweries claim they do), they use house cultures living in the barrels/foeders. some still use coolships or other means to introduce other truly wild cultures as well but most get out-competed by the house strains. |
1:29 |
: There you go. I did a poor job of describing it, but this is what I meant.
|
1:29 |
do the yankee leg do the yankee leg |
1:29 |
In a keep forever dynasty: Is Cobb for Polanco fair? Or should I try to aim higher? |
1:29 |
: I think that’s decent. It’s hard to trade pitching for hitting, so there’s always a premium you pay.
|
1:29 |
So in terms of total projected WAR by team, the Mariners (at 38.2) are sitting behind teams like the Tigers (39.8), the Indians (39.0), and the Yankees (38.4), but the M’s are also projected to win 3-5 more games than these louses. What gives here? |
1:30 |
: Divisional strength? How the schedule looks?
|
1:30 |
: Damn I gotta make a call to a person!
|
1:30 |
: thanks for hanging out!
|
1:30 |
ring ring ring |
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
So in terms of total projected WAR by team, the Mariners (at 38.2) are sitting behind teams like the Tigers (39.8), the Indians (39.0), and the Yankees (38.4), but the M’s are also projected to win 3-5 more games than these louses.
What gives here?