Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 4/24/14
11:46 |
: Be here soon!
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11:48 |
:
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11:48 |
: enjoy
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12:00 |
Why? |
12:00 |
: Let’s get existential.
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12:00 |
Eno!!! My fantasy team is getting crushed by Almonte and Miller. Do they turn it around? Should I hold steady or look for replacements? |
12:01 |
: Almonte’s swing rates aren’t as messed up, but his ceiling is lower. If you in a twelve-teamer, both are droppable.
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12:01 |
Hey Eno. I’m wondering about your thoughts on a proposition. True or false: Today’s pitchers are probably the best they have ever been. I mean objectively the best, in terms of the things that make it hard to hit a baseball, not in terms of game climate (e.g. umpire stuff like FG on Fox covered recently). So, basically, speed, spin, command, control. Thoughts! Go! |
12:02 |
: I agree. Possibly related: they the most injured they’ve ever been.
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12:02 |
Buy low outfielder? |
12:02 |
: Heyward?
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12:02 |
Your thoughts on Oscar Taveras’ injury history, are we looking at a legit long term issue? |
12:03 |
: It’s just an ankle right? Ug, maybe. I’d probably wait until the bigs to put that label on him. But I’m a patient guy.
|
12:03 |
Should the Blue Jays call up Marcus Stroman? |
12:03 |
: Yeah I like him.
|
12:03 |
Thoughts on Martin Perez? 26 straight scoreless innings is hard to ignore, but so is a 5.45 K/9 |
12:04 |
: I’m thinking of a linear regression to solve the Jarrod Parker / Martin Perez problem. I’m wondering if a great change doesn’t always lead to great strikeout rates. Need to find the right way to weight each pitch type. Perez has a great sinker and a great change but nothing that cuts.
|
12:04 |
Thoughts on me four starts into the season? |
12:05 |
: Same as it was going in: much better at this velocity. Great curve. Change not as good as I thought, but not bad. Control not great. Borderline mixed leaguer but good.
|
12:05 |
Jose Fernandez is simply majestic. That is all. |
12:05 |
Can Salazar’s drop in velocity be attributed to throwing more 2 seamers? And why would he do that, given how many bats his 4 seamer misses? |
12:06 |
: He’s trying to stay down in the zone and get more grounders. And given his homer rate, I can’t fault him too bad. I think he also needs to change up the order of his pitches. He’s too predictable.
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12:06 |
shoutout to whoever came up with “take your daughter to work day” for finally fixing the problem of not enough screaming children in the workplace |
12:07 |
: Phew. That problem was a doozy.
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12:07 |
Pablo Sandoval not hitting his weight so far in 2014…keep him or dump him? |
12:08 |
: Striking out too much. Ironically, not swinging enough. I think he’s trying to prove he can be patient. Hopefully doesn’t turn into a Starlin Castro situation.
|
12:08 |
Should I hold on to Carlos Martinez in the hope that he is converted to a starter in the second half of 2014? |
12:08 |
: It’s not happening. I think he’s a reliever now. It’s been too long, and the change is not developing in his current role.
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12:09 |
Just dropped Rex Brothers because he’s walking too many guys. I picked up his teammate Ottavino as a replacement. Fine swap or would you recommend another RP replacement? |
12:09 |
: That’s fine.
|
12:09 |
Is there hope of the Indians’ defense regressing towards a mean of close-to-average any time soon? |
12:10 |
: Last year I did a piece on players that were poorly rated but made the 90% plays. A bunch of Indians showed up. I bet they start making the easy plays soon.
|
12:10 |
Weak on pitching. Dropped Kyle Seager (have Aramis for 3b) for Nate Evoldi after the game yesterday. Woke up to Kyle Seager waking up. How stupid am I? |
12:10 |
: I like Eovaldi but this is why you don’t worry too much about power in short samples.
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12:10 |
Eno my man, I know you love the IPA’s, but do you also dig the Belgian Triples? |
12:10 |
: Too sweet for me ironically! Sweet in a way I don’t like at least.
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12:10 |
Gregory Polanco…is he worth taking up a roster spot for another 45 or so days until the Pirates call him up? |
12:11 |
: Tricky to wait that long. You’ll have some situation in the mean time where you’ll need to drop him.
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12:11 |
Talk me off the ledge. I have C. Santana, Miggy, Cano, D. Wright, Heyward and Springer all in my starting lineup. They will get better, right?! |
12:11 |
: Of course.
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12:11 |
What would you do with Dickey in a deep mixer? I know he’s a historically slow starter, but this is ridiculous. |
12:12 |
: In a deep mixer, might hold. Not holding in 12-teamers. Revising expectations to around 4/1.2 7k9 just because the command is missing.
|
12:12 |
Segura and k-Rod for Cole and Simmons. what side do you like |
12:12 |
: Cole and Simmons.
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12:12 |
I have Gausman, Stroman and Meyer on my farm right now. Is it feasible to expect any of them to be real contributors to my team in 2014? |
12:12 |
: Yes. Love that group.
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12:12 |
Wong and Dee Gordon at 2B. Should I be in a rush to find an upgrade? |
12:13 |
: No, that’s pretty good. Dee most of the time.
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12:13 |
Joey Gallo – A god, or the god of gods? |
12:13 |
: The God of Whiffs and the God of Power…
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12:13 |
guess what, eno? the jerk stored called… and they’re running out of you! |
12:13 |
How long do you figure Trumboner is out for? Stress fracture isn’t a nice term. |
12:13 |
: He says it’s not as bad, so maybe just a month?
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12:13 |
Tillman worth holding on to in a 10 team mixed? |
12:13 |
: I don’t think he’s good enough for a ten-teamer. Gonna have HR blowups.
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12:14 |
Worried at all about Domonic Brown’s slow start? |
12:14 |
: I don’t love all the ground balls, but he still has some time before that’s too damning. I’d watch that gb/fb rate.
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12:15 |
Hi Eno: I have a case of beer wager concerning your guy Jennry Mejia. I say he pitches less than 150 innings this year? Am I right? If so, what type of beer should I ask for if I win? I’m not a connoisseur but I like Guinness type beers. Thanks. |
12:16 |
: His career high is 108 I think, so you’ll win that bet. Unfortunately, not many of the stouts I like come in cases. Left Hand Milk Stout? You may have an angry friend depending on the price. Sam Smith Organic is a little cheaper, but you’ll have to negotiate a volume cause it comes in mini-bombers.
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12:16 |
The Mark Trumbo injury leaves a hole. Top FA OFs in this league are in the class of Rajah Davis, Adam Eaton and Oswaldo Arcia. I’m leaning Arcia for Trumbo, even though I haven’t heard word he’s off the DL yet. Who do you recommend as high upside shallow league OFs? |
12:16 |
: Arcia is two weeks away but has more power. I’d take Eaton in the meantime.
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12:17 |
Does Springer start as my third OF (my other two are McCutcheon and Heyward) in a pts based setup, or do I go with BJ Upton, K. Davis or Bradley, Jr.? I know they are all pretty weak right now… |
12:17 |
: You keep Springer on your team and sprinkle in K Davis, especially against lefties.
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12:17 |
How should the Mets call up first if someone in the rotation gets hurt? |
12:18 |
: Montero is more polished than Syndergaard, I bet he’s up first.
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12:18 |
Start T. Cingrani today at Pitt? |
12:18 |
: yes
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12:18 |
Should I be selling Yelich in a keeper league? |
12:19 |
: With that strikeout rate, I’m guessing he’s a true talent .275 hitter, and power might take some time to show, given his home park. Very talented, but if you in win-now mode, he might bring a lot back.
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12:19 |
Hey Eno are there any split half reliability studies for plate discipline stats for hitter/pitchers, I would assume swing strike and swing% would stabilize quicker just not sure how much relative to K%, BB%? |
12:20 |
: Swing rates for batters stabilize around 100 PA, but the rest is guessing for me. I’m guessing that reach rates (which have a different denominator, not ALL pitches, but all pitches outside the zone) take a bit longer. I haven’t seen it for pitchers.
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12:21 |
Obviously an 1.146 OPS isn’t sustainable, but would it be wise to hold onto Charlie Blackmon over Alex Rios and Dom Brown? |
12:22 |
: .270/20/10 still possible for Brown, Rios more .275/15/20, I’d call Blackmon a .300/12/25 guy full season. Looks like Brown might be a dropper/trader in this situation, but with his value down, I’d look to trade Rios.
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12:22 |
Joe Smith can’t seriously last if he’s named Angels closer, can he? Should we be stashing De La Rosa upon his return? |
12:23 |
: I can’t believe in an 87 mph closer that’s not Romo, pitching in the pitcher’s park in the NL. Kohn ahead of De La Rosa, whose velocity is down due to injury.
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12:23 |
Good band – try “He Gets Me High”, “Wasted Away”, etc. – yum yum. Anyway…..Brandon Cumpton ascending?/Wandy riding off into the sunset? |
12:23 |
: I feel like Kingham is a better pitcher than Cumpton and will be up soon.
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12:23 |
Looking to unload Allen Craig for some pitching. What’s a fair return? Weaver, Liriano and Kuroda on the trading block in my league. |
12:24 |
: Kuroda is a decent return.
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12:24 |
Just to warn you, based on the comment section of the chat yesterday, you are only allowed to talk baseball. No music, no ludes, no beer. |
12:24 |
: That will be a problem.
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12:24 |
El camENO! Tried any good beers you recommend in British Columbia (other than Fat Tug), or Canada in general? |
12:25 | : The Unibroue ales or Red Racer? |
12:25 |
10 team redraft, drop Salazar? 🙁 |
12:26 |
: This might be the only place where he’s droppable to me. I still love his stuff. K-BB is still the best in-season predictor for pitchers.
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12:26 |
When batters face a closer for a third game in a row is the closer more vulnerable to be taken yard, and should teams mix it up so you see the guy as much so he doest get “figured” out? in refrence to Josh Fields last night. |
12:26 |
: If it’s the same batters, maybe there’s something there (like a pitcher going through the same batters for the third time). But I doubt Fields saw all the same guys.
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12:26 |
What’s the long term expectations for Mike Olt? |
12:26 |
: Bad BA good power.
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12:27 |
Hey Eno, tried to mirror Ottoneu scoring in an ESPN league, but didn’t limit pitchers per roster. Guys are exploiting the system with 12+ SP, because they yield the most points (average pitcher > elite position player). Should I retroactively drop pitching points to lessen the spread advantage? Thoughts? |
12:27 |
: Hard to do that in-season unless you have 100% agreement from the league.
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12:27 |
: But I would think about it for the future, so bring it up now.
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12:28 |
What do you make of Aaron Hill’s spiking K%? Can we write this off as April woes on a struggling team, or has something in his profile changed? |
12:28 |
: He’s reaching more than ever, but we can wait a bit, and I think he can still be valuable at .260 with a 20% strikeout rate.
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12:29 |
many have commented that you to appear to have pine tar smeared all over your computer in an effort to keep control over your chats. what say you to these accusations |
12:29 |
: get a grip
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12:29 |
Eno– my team just lost a tough in-class debate. Do I up the ante a little early today with an afternoon Summit IPA? |
12:29 |
: Love the sentiment, but I’d execute with a different beer.
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12:29 |
Panda is sitting on the free agent pile in my mixed league (280 players rostered). Is he going to turn it around where he’d be a tradable asset? I have E5 at third, VMart at Util so I doubt he’d crack my starting lineup. |
12:30 |
: I don’t depend on trades because people often don’t trade enough, so if he couldn’t crack my lineup, I’d probably use the spot on upside at a position of need (like SP?)
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12:30 |
Kinsler for Heyward + Fister? Have Rendon at 2B. |
12:30 |
: Yes
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12:30 |
Eno, every year I get f’ed, but this year has been particularly bad. Trumbo down. Unless I can trade, in my 12-team 5×5, LaRoche, Morse, Loney as my everyday 1B? (I know, no good.) Thanks. |
12:31 |
: Morse v LHP, LaRoche v RHP.
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12:31 |
Higher upside- CJ Edwards or Aaron Sanchez? Also- which one has a better shot to stick in the bigs |
12:31 |
: Sanchez, but maybe CJE has a higher floor. I’d probably take Sanchez for both.
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12:31 |
What is the ceiling for Alex Meyer |
12:32 |
: three legit pitches with velocity and decent command on a team that needs him right now? I think he could be awesome.
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12:32 |
Will you be bringing back your draft prospect name pronunciation series again this year? |
12:33 |
: Makes me feel bad because I don’t want people to think I’m mocking people’s names. But I do have a singular skill to make the wrong decisions when pronouncing an unfamiliar name. I’ll ask Carson what he thinks.
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12:33 |
Peralta, Miller, Bonifacio…who to drop in a 14 team mixer? |
12:33 |
: Peralta.
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12:33 |
So I drafted Seager as my only 3b and you know how that has been working out. Picked up Solarte from FA and picked up Lawrie after someone gave up on him. which of those 3 should I be hanging on to? |
12:34 |
: Lawrie and Seager. One will give you a top ten 3b. Solarte’s swing is only geared to contact, don’t believe it’ll give much power.
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12:34 |
Does Matt Latos pitch this year? |
12:34 |
: I’m not buying a tear in a flexor mass. Seems like precursor to TJ or something like Colby Lewis’ surgery.
|
12:34 |
Trevor Plouffe’s plate discipline #s have improved across the board (with BB% from 6.5 to 14.3 and K% from 21.5 to 18.7) and most all his batted ball profile seems on par with career #s. Once his HR/FB corrects back to his average (current: 4.8% vs career 12.4%), could we be dealing with a legitimate breakout here? |
12:34 |
: I’m happy with him but not putting him in Mixed League pants yet.
|
12:34 |
Michael Pineda saga, lulz? |
12:35 |
: IF everyone does it, change the rule! I heard a good one from Jesse Spector: you’re allowed one item for grip next to the Rosin bag.
|
12:35 |
you worried about Pedroia’s wrist affecting his power like the 2nd half of last year? |
12:35 |
: That was a thumb, but yeah now I am worried about his health, he seems like he needs to be fully healthy to show his power.
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12:36 |
![]() |
12:36 |
: spooky
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12:36 |
Give me some hope re Salazar please… |
12:37 |
: His K-BB is still good. Better than Ryu, on par with Anibal Sanchez. And K-BB% is supposedly the best in-season predictor.
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12:38 |
over/under 5 starts for Alex Meyer? |
12:38 |
: Over, after Pelfrey yesterday. Everyone on Twins Twitter was calling for Meyer.
|
12:38 |
I think everyone is a little unsure what to do with Braun. What’s your approach (if you own him)? |
12:38 |
: No shares! I think I’d hold.
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12:39 |
How legit is Nathan Eovaldi? |
12:39 |
: Gonna be some bad days away from home against lineups with lefties that have seen him before. But worth picking up in most leagues.
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12:39 |
More likely to turn it around: Salazar, Buchholz, or Lincecum? |
12:39 |
: Salazar the only one I like here. CB maybe. TL has no command of a 90 mph fastball and is throwing it less and less often.
|
12:39 |
Over/under: Bourn steals 35. |
12:40 |
: Under. Steals drop off like a mofo.
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12:40 |
I have been streaming Harrang and Simon this year, worth it to hang on for a while? |
12:40 |
: I don’t believe in either really, but REALLY don’t believe in Simon.
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12:40 |
Who would you trust to take your daughter on a nice date? Joe Torre, Lucas Duda, Martin Prado, or Alec Baldwin’s character from Glengarry Glen Ross? It’s a minigolf date with smoothies afterward if everything goes well. |
12:40 |
: Duda is such a nice guy.
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12:40 |
Hey Eno, drop Jhonny P or Jim Johnson for a spec Joe Smith add? |
12:40 |
: JP
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12:40 |
do you expect abreu to improve upon his current line with more favorable weather? |
12:41 |
: Yes!
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12:41 |
Do you see Carlos Santana and Gyorko turning it around and producing or are they this bad? Worth holding onto at this point and riding out the storm or get the heck rid of them asap? |
12:41 |
: Santana for sure. Gyorko less sure about because of home park and K%.
|
12:41 |
I have Verlander in a ten team mixed league and don’t like him at all. I want to sell him when he has had back to back good outings, would Kemp be getting enough for him? |
12:42 |
: Totally defensible idea and I like it.
|
12:42 |
Everyone get Joe Smith nnnnowwwww |
12:42 |
: Yeah but will it last all year?
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12:43 |
I like tormenting my fantasy owners. My latest stress fracture should have me back playing in AZ by ___________ ? FYI, my last stress fracture recovery period was 6 months long. Bodes really well. Does AJ Pollock, Cody Ross or Tony Campana gain the most fantasy relevance with the PT opportunity? |
12:43 |
: Pollock I guess.
|
12:43 |
Just dropped Henderson for a temporary Trumbo pick-up fix. OK with that? |
12:43 |
: Yes
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12:43 |
drop allan craig for nick swisher? |
12:43 |
: No
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12:43 |
Can Brian Dozier bat .250 with 25 HR? I get that he’ll never have a high BABIP because he hits lots of flyballs. |
12:43 |
: Also still hitting some pop-ups. I’d say 20 HR.
|
12:44 |
Drop Delabar/Lagares to pick up Mookie/Stroman? |
12:44 |
: Dynasty? Mookie is my love. I’d do that.
|
12:44 |
Bryce Harper power outtage. What gives? |
12:44 |
: Power takes forever. Hold.
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12:45 |
Pitching has obviously been more dominant over recent years. Everyone points to the absence of steroid usage. That doesn’t make a lot of sense to me. What makes more sense is the increased usage of infield/outfield shifts and how much easier it is now to predict what a hitter will do than it was 15 years ago. Video and scouting is much more advanced and readily available. Thoughts? |
12:45 |
: Yeah they probably did steroids on both sides of the ball, you’re right. Velocity is also up. I think the trend towards using younger pitchers, given the fact that velocity only declines in the big leagues, means fewer runs. Plus the things you cite.
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12:46 |
When salazar is sent down to AAA to work on his command, will we get an Eno issued Mea Culpa? |
12:46 |
: I always admit my mistakes. I am but a human.
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12:46 |
LUDE ME UP, SCOTTY |
12:46 |
Treated myself to Ommegang 3 Philosophers for my bday. It was wonderful. Good rec, whoever it was that rec’ed it. |
12:47 |
Fun fact: The Giants get the same playoff odds as the red sox, ~49% |
12:47 |
: Wow. That took forever to find a third luder.
|
12:47 |
Hello from Germay!What return can I expect for Jesse Chavez? I need an OF and my team sucks at AVG and SB |
12:47 |
: gotta look at the teams that need pitching and come back with some names!
|
12:47 |
Do you believe in the Xander = Tulo comps? so far, showing none of that. Hard to start him, even in my OBP league, but my view has the signs pointing to the balls flying when the weather warms. |
12:48 |
: I’m not sure Xander has the same power even later. I had him down for something like .265/18/10 this year.
|
12:48 |
Given Trevor Bauer’strong performance in AAA this season and his one impressive showing in the bigs this season, what is going to be the catalyst that gets him called up? |
12:49 |
: All eyes on Carrasco.
|
12:49 |
Fan of fantasy platooning? Joyce/Rajai? |
12:49 |
: Sure, if your bench is large enough.
|
12:49 |
How long can Tommy Hunter keep up this magic show? |
12:50 |
: There have been plenty of fastball/slider closers so I think he can survive against lefties. I don’t see a guy in that pen that’s itching to take the job from him.
|
12:50 |
Giancarlo has 80 power, Hamilton has 80 speed, who has an 80 hit tool, an 80 arm, and an 80 fielding? |
12:51 |
: I wonder if Scutaro has an 80 hit tool. Tiny tiny swinging strike rate. 80 arm is Puig/Martin. 80 fielding is Simmons.
|
12:51 |
Drop Brad Miller for Neil Walker? |
12:51 |
: Sure.
|
12:51 |
MICHAEL BRANTLEY!! Can you dig it? |
12:51 |
: Looking like he’s headed to a career year.
|
12:51 |
what do you make of Cain so far? What’s the underlying issue? |
12:52 |
: I think it’s still that he’s lacking that precise command that separates an IFFB/lazy fly from a homer.
|
12:52 |
Are you worried about Billy Butler? |
12:52 |
: I think he can still .280/15+, but that’s not so whelming.
|
12:52 |
I am here. I have no questions. Instead of saying something, I would like to deed my chat presence to Maxamuz and Juan Pierre’s Mustache. Thank you. |
12:52 |
What does a guy on the 40 man make while he’s playing in the minors. For example, Anthony Gose gets called, makes league min while he’s up then gets sent down. When he’s in AAA does he make whatever the basic AAA salary is, same as everyone else even though he’s on the 40 man? |
12:53 |
: No, actually I think his salary goes up, but it’s not MLB minimum.
|
12:53 |
In a dynasty, with Eaton and Gardner as my CF options. Is it safe to drop Grady? |
12:53 |
: I’m revising down to .230/22/10 or so.
|
12:53 |
How mookie is mookie? |
12:53 |
: So goddam mookie.
|
12:53 |
: (Blaylock)
|
12:54 |
1. Is it weird that I feel like we’re friends? 2. Someone just offered me Tehran for Morneau in a 12 team Yahoo standard 5×5 league. I was about to click accept and then i checked out Tehran’s projections and they didn’t impress. Should I take the trade? (I have a pretty balanced team at the moment) |
12:55 |
: 1.) No. 2) I’d take it. Morneau is a bench bat you plug into util vs RHP and at home, Teheran is an every-starter.
|
12:55 |
You often mention the per-pitch metrics stabilizing before the PA metrics. Makes sense intuitively, but is that an assumption or has there been work done to support that? Is it possible that the per-pitch metrics take just as long as PA metrics, since they are correlated? |
12:55 |
: In batting, the first metric to stabilize is swing%, which is per-pitch. It’s also just a bigger sample than per-PA, and bigger samples are always good.
|
12:56 |
Oh Yasiel. He’s really starting slow. Feel like everyone is jumping ship – am I wrong to be in the 30/15/.290 group on him? Just needs to keep adjusting and settling in. If Carlos Gomez is suddenly a top 10 OF, there is absolutely no reason yasiel isn’t. |
12:57 |
: I love Puig. He’s walking now, and reaching a lot less, can’t believe more people aren’t talking about that. .285/25/10 seems easy.
|
12:57 |
When is a hard pour appropriate/called for? |
12:57 |
: Stouts, thicker beers.
|
12:57 |
Is Chris Archer a future #2? (pitcher, not turd) |
12:58 |
: Shared for the poop joke. The change isn’t any better this year, not for GBs or whiffs, so I’m still a little worried. To be a Masterson (Pineda?), you have to have great control, don’t think Archer is blessed with that.
|
12:59 |
Last weekend my local beer store broke out its cellar and I had 6 oz. pours of these 3 Cantillons: Rose de Gambrinus, Geuze, Vigneronne, BCBS (2012) on draft, Founders KBS and Bolt Cutter. It was insane. |
12:59 |
: Jeebus.
|
12:59 |
My pitching staff has been awful. Wacha, MadBum, Bailey – good things in store? |
12:59 |
: Yeah I’d buy all those guys.
|
12:59 |
Do you think Bartolo is rosterable in a deep league as a #5/6 starter? Would you go with him today vs. Stl and their yadier-less lineup? |
1:00 |
: He’s a spot starter to me, only in parks that suppress homers.
|
1:00 |
Ive seen you down on new Belgium here but their ranger ipa is good. Not the best but not the worst. |
1:00 |
: I think it’s above replacement level!
|
1:01 |
I asked Dave about this yesterday and he was flippant; but in all seriousness Pedro Alvarez + massively improved plate discipline (also seen in ST) = monster. Just look at his Swstr and k rates, and he’s still hitting the crap out of the ball. I have him down as an outsider in the NL MVP race. Am I crazy?! |
1:01 |
: I’m guessing, but I think reach rates take closer to 150 PA. But it’s great to see he’s doing the right things in that regard. If these swing rates held, he could hit for a good enough BA to actually be in that race. I mean, his reach rate is average right now! Average!
|
1:02 |
Thoughts on Tyson Ross’ season thus far? I’ve seen him get some swinging strikes on his oft-neglected changeup |
1:03 |
: Whoah. The whiff rate on it is 20% this year! Crazy. I’ll have to watch a start, I’d binned him as a sell based on velocity loss.
|
1:03 |
When do you think RDLR becomes a fixture of the Bos rotation? |
1:03 |
: I’m worried he’s a reliever.
|
1:03 |
Who has more value for the rest of the season in ROTO? Ozuna or Solarte? |
1:03 |
: Ozuna.
|
1:03 |
Are you buying the notion that Joe Smith is going to become the Angels’ closer for the rest of the year? Remember Frieri briefly lost the job last year for a short period and then was good down the stretch. |
1:03 |
: Yeah I’m not sure this one is permanent.
|
1:03 |
: Velocity and Ks are important, and Smith not really big on either.
|
1:03 |
My fiancee’s an orthopedic surgeon, and though she says it’s irresponsible for her to speculate on any injury she hasn’t looked at, she would guess it’s 6-8 weeks, minimum, before Trumbo is back on the field. So, yay… |
1:04 |
I am currently spying on Aaron Harang so I can copy his diet and workouts, thus becoming an ustoppable force. I am worried that there may be some form of voodoo or magic involved though, I have no experience with such dark arts. |
1:04 |
This Oscar Tavares ankle story is strating to get real old real fast |
1:04 |
: That was a useful interlude.
|
1:04 |
: 12:21
|
1:05 |
Can Grant Green ever be better than a Quad A guy? Batting almost .400 (nice BABIP help, but still… decent PAs) and 21 RBIs already in AAA. |
1:06 |
: Well I don’t care much about RBIs. It’s the question of his true talent MLB K% and power. Given that the A’s needed a 2B to an extent, and turfed him easily, I don’t think he’s going to be great.
|
1:06 |
I drafted Brad Miller. Am I making a mistake in trading Springer + Minor for Jed Lowrie + Starling Marte? Should I hold on to Miller? |
1:07 |
: I think I make that trade on value, then keep Miller on bench if possible because Lowrie oft injured.
|
1:07 |
any chance polanco called up next few weeks considering Snider and Tabata are basically terrible |
1:07 |
: I keep waiting on this. Has to happen before the super two day, right???
|
1:08 |
I cant check my fantasy teams at work! Is that a legit excuse as to why I am almost in last place? |
1:08 |
: Yes. Work your phone!
|
1:08 |
How do you think Manny Machado is going to do after he returns from injury? |
1:08 |
: About the same, maybe fewer steals.
|
1:08 |
Steamer (R) seems to think Erlin has a good rest of the season, do you agree? |
1:08 |
: I’d start him at home in all leagues.
|
1:08 |
: Good control, good yakker.
|
1:09 |
How amazing is it that almost a month in the best defensive player in the game has as many HR as Ks!? |
1:09 |
: Love him, caress him.
|
1:09 |
Should the Jays really hand the closer reins back to Janssen upon his return? His stuff is weak to begin with, and coming off injury… |
1:09 |
: Yeah I’m taking Santos for more saves for the year for sure.
|
1:09 |
Have you read any/all of Jonah Keri’s new Expos book? Any thoughts? (I’m gonna read it no matter what. Just looking for more reasons to be excited!) |
1:10 |
: Read it in one sitting. I’ll take 2% for nerdery, but this was a great book because you got some of Jonah, young Jonah in it, some really poignant moments.
|
1:10 |
better save stash: Melancon or Kohn? |
1:10 |
: Kohn.
|
1:10 |
Amber or IPA? |
1:10 |
: IPA a million times.
|
1:10 |
Jeter is not aging well with no range and a week arm…he has less range than Panda right now…time for early retirement? |
1:11 |
: Find reasons to put him in the lineup in other places (oh his hammy is tight so he’ll DH today).
|
1:11 |
Maybe this year Kipnis will be better in the 2nd half :(…. |
1:11 |
: That would be great.
|
1:12 |
Who was the PTNL the mets got back for Davis |
1:12 |
: Not known yet, probably from the draft last year. Jacoby Jones or the lefty starter.
|
1:12 |
Is Zimmerman toast at 3B? If so, what happens in WAS? |
1:12 |
: Next year, Zimm is the 1B I bet. Rendon to third, Espy/FA at second.
|
1:12 |
What would you take to trade Mike Trout in long term keeper league. name 3 players or prospects. |
1:13 |
: I’m seeing a Harper/Kershaw pairing in one of my most competitive keeper leagues.
|
1:13 |
Chris Carter or Ike Davis serviceable replacements for Trumbo? |
1:13 |
: I’d rather Ike, but I might also need a platoon mate.
|
1:13 |
josh fields getting rocked 1/3 of the time is just josh fields being josh fields |
1:13 |
We, in Colorado , are up to at least 5 widely available beers from Brasserie Dieu du Ciel. Life is good. |
1:13 |
is the quickest way at this point to find undervalued pitchers to look at ERA-xFIP? |
1:14 |
: K%-BB%. I’ll run it for Monday.
|
1:14 |
Okay, had the Green Flash Rayon Vert last night, what is up with that beer? Really good, but also something very strange about it. Super carbonated maybe? My first pour was half foam. Thoughts? |
1:14 |
: so. much. foam.
|
1:14 |
Can Saisons be cellared for a year or so? |
1:14 |
: i don’t think they’ll gain much.
|
1:14 |
I just traded Tillman for Sandoval straight up. Be the voice outside my head that says, “Of course you did the right thing.” Or is there something wrong with Sandoval? |
1:14 |
: I’d take it on the promise of .280/20 from Pablo.
|
1:15 |
On the Batted Ball Distance page of the baseball heat maps website, there is a comlumn called ‘Angle’. Any idea what that column is measuring? |
1:15 |
: Pull angle. look at ‘angle and distance’ page and it’ll explain.
|
1:15 |
Trumbo to DL…replace with R. Howard, B. Gardner, or Morse?? |
1:15 |
: Morse most similar skillset in one player. Howard needs a platoon partner.
|
1:15 |
Is pitchers using pine tar that bad, id rather have a guy hurling a fastball at me with almost no padding have a better grip wouldnt you? |
1:15 |
Best type of beer to enjoy a good game? Meaning not too filing, not heavy and doesnt make you pass out? |
1:16 |
: Session IPAs for me. More taste than lagers.
|
1:16 |
Can someone make daily Baseball Pick ‘Em? I am enough of a masochist that it actually sounds really fun. |
1:17 |
: We used to have Pick Six on this site, but now there’s FanGraphs the Game.
|
1:17 |
Any middle relievers not owned in Otto that might start getting saves at some point? |
1:17 |
: Kohn?
|
1:17 |
Yeah, a LaRoche/Morse platoon isn’t all bad if you can set your lineups every day |
1:17 |
What do you think Bryce Harpers’ ultimate upside will be? |
1:17 |
: .280/30/10
|
1:17 |
Eno, have lightning rounds gone the way of the dinosaur? |
1:18 |
: 12:32… I’m just trying to get to the TOP!
|
1:18 |
I’m looking at Salazar and Carrasco and wondering: Is there a precedent for a SP who would falter after the first turn of the lineup during his first season+, but then adapted and became a good SP? |
1:18 |
: Hundreds of precedents. Every year there’s some.
|
1:18 |
Is Frieri scary enough as a closer to drop in a saves+holds league? Setup guys like Benoit are available still. |
1:18 |
: I’d hold longer.
|
1:18 |
Can Hutchison be trusted today against Orioles? |
1:18 |
: I wouldn’t.
|
1:18 |
With a name like Eno Sarris, I think you have a right to egregiously mispronounce peoples’ names. No offense. |
1:19 |
: My. Whole. Life.
|
1:19 |
MIKE OLT! |
1:19 |
: MY COLT!
|
1:19 |
Puig. 15/15 or 30/15. |
1:19 |
: 25/10
|
1:19 |
Carlos Santana is STRUGGLING – peripherals looks OK, still walking, plate discipline looks good, more ground balls but that doesn’t totally account for the dreadful start. Any reason to think a rebound is not coming? |
1:19 |
: He does this from time to time.
|
1:19 |
Is it crazy of me to think that Brantly could have similar value to Victorino in a standard roto league? |
1:19 |
: Nope.
|
1:20 |
Bigger surprise: Arizona taking a nosedive with too much grit having sanded down their winning percentage, or the Braves coming out strong despite injuries with the Harangutan going ape on opposing batters. |
1:20 |
: Braves. Arizona doesn’t surprise me at all.
|
1:20 |
is Bruce Chen the junkiest junk baller that’s ever junk balled? |
1:20 |
: Just talking about Bruce Chen’s junk, honey!
|
1:21 |
Can we come up with a theory to explain the correlation between nautical rank and alcohol content in spiced rum? |
1:21 |
Is Tuffy Goosewich a 80-grade name or what? |
1:21 |
over/under: my stinkle or my crinkle? |
1:21 |
: Slow clap. in fact…
|
1:22 |
:
|
1:22 |
: that was hot hot hot HOOOOOOOOOT
|
1:22 |
IT’S NEVER ENOFF |
1:22 |
Just traded away Street for Estrada in a league with the standard 5×5 cats plus Holds and Quality Starts. Currently leading the league in Saves and back of pack in W’s and QS. You like? |
1:22 |
: YES
|
1:23 |
I lost Calhoun… Chris Carter or Chris Young? |
1:23 |
: oof. Carter?
|
1:23 |
How good can Justin Upton be? He’s still only 26 so I’d like to think he can take some more steps forward, but he always seems to disappoint. |
1:23 |
: I like him but we’ve seen his peak IMO.
|
1:23 |
: (at least his fantasy peak)
|
1:23 |
![]() DUDA! DUDA! DUDA! |
1:24 |
james paxton or dallas keuchal moving forward? |
1:24 |
: Keuchel is healthy, I’ll take him. Paxton’s control is an open question, as is his third pitch.
|
1:24 |
![]() Welcome to Dudaville! |
1:24 |
: The population has grown a little recently.
|
1:24 |
Is David Wright a significant upgrade over Anthony Rendon at this point? |
1:24 |
: yes, as much as I like Rendon.
|
1:25 |
Wait, “lude” is short for interlude? I thought it was a nickname for Lucas Duda |
1:25 |
: I like that it rhymes with dude, but yeah we’ve been having interludes, not taking drugs from the 70s.
|
1:25 |
Villar, Miller, or Crawford for my SS spot? yeah my team sucks |
1:25 |
: Sounds deep, hold Miller.
|
1:25 |
Looking for a nice cabin beer this weekend in Minny…suggestions? |
1:26 |
: Go To from Stone if you’re fishing/hiking. Or Dale’s because it comes in cans. (I don’t love Surly).
|
1:26 |
Re: mispronunciation, has anyone ever pronounced your name in a way that rhymes with rhinoceros? That thought amuses me for some reason. |
1:26 |
: My dad. On purpose.
|
1:26 |
Trying to avoid smugness and schadenfraude and simply stck to the facts; how is it possible to think that a soft throwing pitcher with a 26% career line drive rate is any good? |
1:27 |
: Line drive rate against is not predictive and not sticky year to year. And he’s not 87 mph soft.
|
1:27 |
: And he has three legit off-speed pitches.
|
1:27 |
Asking this question over a lunchtime Goose Island Bourbon County Stout. Life is good. |
1:27 |
: BUT NO QUESTION. Wait, I get it. Life is good. no questions!
|
1:28 |
Last year, a lot of people were convinced that Alex Wood’s future was in the bullpen, do you think that? What’s his ceiling? |
1:28 |
: I think there’s TJ in his future at some point, but he’ll be good in between. And there’s a 1/3 chance of TJ for all anyway.
|
1:28 |
Is Michael Brantley a top-30 OF? |
1:28 |
Michael Brantley is this year’s Starlin Marte |
1:28 |
: Hole on. A career year from him could still be .280/12/25…
|
1:28 |
How do you think the 2 FG staffers to go with Tulo for NL MVP are feeling right now? |
1:29 |
Answer to my Tulo Q: Better than the 5 who picked Harper ;p |
1:29 |
MELKY MELKY MELKY. Melk man cometh. HOw realistic is a 85 run. 20 homer, 75 rbi, 15 steal, .330 season after this amazing start. not like he hasn’t done it before! |
1:29 |
: So many issues with that question. Not asking it, just.. you know… god I hate steroids in fantasy.
|
1:29 |
Once he’s back to 100% I like Jesse Crain to take over the closer’s role in Houston. He’s got the best stuff and has the highest salary for any reliever. Do you agree? Why or why not? |
1:30 |
: Agree but why not is the injury.
|
1:30 |
How much mook could a mookie mook if a mookie could mook mook? |
1:30 |
: So much mook.
|
1:30 |
“Is it weird that I feel like we’re friends?” Yeah, it’s weird. |
1:30 |
: I’ve met many people in real life from here and twitter, and it worked out fine.
|
1:30 |
Any chance the Pirates promote Kingham before the season ends? |
1:30 |
: yes.
|
1:30 |
promoting my latest Sporcle effort: most career games with both a HR and SB http://www.sporcle.com/game… |
1:31 |
If there was a 12-team AL only auction starting today, how much do you think Jesse Chavez would go for? How much is he worth? |
1:31 |
: 10+ at least, and yeah probably worth it.
|
1:31 |
In the past you’ve dentified some underlying ppe jopJPOJJ OMG I AM A WEREWOLF |
1:31 |
11 years ago, Snow’s “Informer” was the Billboard #1 single for the week of April 24th. A licky boom boom down! |
1:31 |
so you like the mets and you like sandy. can you defend grandy and colon now? they were both omar-type moves when they were signed and i feel vindicated being the only one against them at the time. |
1:33 |
: One thing I’d say is that Colon is not going to be a problem. Two years, that money, they can release him and the smell of the fart would dissapate quickly. Obviously Granderson is Bay-like, but Bay money now is like 75% as valuable as Bay money then (bad math, just guessing) because year to year inflation is like 10% in baseball. So yeah, slightly Omar-like with Grandy, but tons of pressure to spend money … and from my comments on my grandy piece, you were not alone.
|
1:33 |
Is the defensive chasm between Franklin and Miller that Evel Knievel couldnt even jump it? |
1:33 |
: This is why I think Miller keeps his job.
|
1:33 |
Any research into whether pitcher arm slot contributes to injury risk? |
1:34 |
: yes, lower slots put more stress on elbows.
|
1:34 |
Is Mejia legit? Or a meltdown waiting to happen? |
1:34 |
: Legit while in! 120 IP max!
|
1:34 |
Are you a slow typer? |
1:34 |
: No, I’m usually pulling up a page on a player if I take some time.
|
1:34 |
I saw Mookie Saturday. It was in short: fantastic. Went first to home on a deep single, went 4-5…swoon. |
1:34 |
Should I drop Headley for Lawrie? |
1:34 |
: yes.
|
1:34 |
Neat thing: Paul McCartney will be part of last concert at Candlestick. Last Beatles concert was there. |
1:35 |
Does Sale have a tear i havent heard but you and Jason speculated that on last S&B podcast? |
1:35 |
: A strain is a tear so if he has a strain he has a tear, just not a bad one.
|
1:35 |
kluber bouncing back nicely today. luckily i dropped him |
1:35 |
My friend (who is not hygienic) and I were discussing baseball names + dog breeds. I came up with Barktolo Colon and Shih-Tzu Choo. He got Chewtoy Tulowitzki and Spaniel Deduno. The point is I think he doesn’t wipe his butt. |
1:35 |
Next prospect to come up and have the most impact? |
1:35 |
: Polanco, Bradley.
|
1:35 |
How do you know when a statistic has stabilized? |
1:36 |
: It does a better job predicting itself in the future than the league average.
|
1:36 |
to go along with the dallas keuchel article, juan nicasio appears to be turning it around as well. his slider’s swstr rate is just below 25% |
1:36 |
: Will take a look.
|
1:36 |
Brad Miller is killing me, but I have few options (MI). Gyorko? A.Cab? Escobar? |
1:36 |
: Escobar looks like he can .280/30 this year… I think I’d take that.
|
1:36 |
You’re 45 minutes behind? |
1:37 |
: 1:05
|
1:37 |
Blasting Still not a Player in the office. I’m an optical engineer |
1:37 |
cingrani already gave up a run. I can flip him for haren. make the move? |
1:37 |
: No
|
1:37 |
Eno I’m embarrassed to ask what you mean by interlude because it shows my ignornace, but you are a cool guy who doesn’t judge, so could you please explain? Btw my wife thinks I’m daft |
1:37 |
: I post silly things you guys say to take a break.
|
1:37 |
Concerned about Edwin’s K spike? |
1:38 |
: WAit until 100-150 PA.
|
1:38 |
What’s the deal with the time statements in the middle of the draft? |
1:38 |
: That’s how far behind I am in the question queue.
|
1:38 |
“read it in one sitting” – past tense, imperative, or both? |
1:38 |
: Past tense.
|
1:38 |
lol jeter is not aging… hes aged |
1:38 |
Any faith in Seager from here on out? |
1:38 |
: yes
|
1:38 |
It’s Klubering Time! |
1:39 |
![]() #nobias |
1:39 |
T/F: Avery Maharaja is the best beer in the galaxy? Please answer, as I’m only visiting planet earth for a short while… |
1:39 |
: I enjoy it very much.
|
1:39 |
We don’t believe in Volquez in a 12-teamer, right?? |
1:39 |
: I don’t.
|
1:39 |
I just got into sour ales. I might never go back. |
1:39 |
: Welcome!
|
1:39 |
Cingrani at 40 pitches through 1.1 innings, good call |
1:39 |
: He’s talented, I bet on talent. Even talent has bad days.
|
1:40 |
I mean I should at least see if Blackmon can do this against lefties, right? |
1:40 |
: Yes.
|
1:40 |
Best beer under $10….Natty Light or Milwaukee’s Beast? |
1:40 |
: I see Sierra, all sorts of IPAs out here for less than $10 a sixer.
|
1:40 |
Another ESPN list came out today touting Francisco Lindor as a prospect that could be helpful in fantasy relatively soon. Why is everyone else higher on him than you are? What makes you think he won’t be what others think he will be? |
1:40 |
: I don’t think his game will translate to fantasy. Mostly D.
|
1:41 |
Eno! Just made a trade involving two of your favorites. I traded Cashner for Kipnis in a 12 team points league. Thoughts? |
1:41 |
: I’d do it. We can’t forget Cashner’s injuries.
|
1:41 |
: Never made it to the top of the Q but I gotta go!
|
1:41 |
: Flying to San Diego today!
|
1:41 |
Booo |
1:41 |
bye thanks eno |
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Last year Chris Colabello had 93 runs batted in between AAA and the majors. He is now on pace for 211. Do you expect him to maintain this pace?