2026 Pre-Trade Deadline Top 100 Prospects Update

Since the draft concluded last week, the two of us have been working to add the newly-minted pro players to their team lists (you can find them here), move this year’s graduates to their own tab on The Board (which you can find here), and make a sweeping update to our Top 100 Prospects List. Below you’ll find the updated list, followed by notes on who moved and why via a rundown of the clusters of players that formed around similar profiles throughout the rankings. As a reminder, we rank however many players we have graded as 50 FV or better in our Top “100,” and as of this update, that’s 111 guys. Players whose grade have changed have a “↑” or “↑↑” in the trend column of the table, with the latter designation noting cases where the re-evaluation is quite dramatic; players dealing with full-season injuries are indicated with a bandaid.
If you want more information about these players, please head over to The Board, where you can find full scouting reports, tool grades, pitch repertoires and more. We proactively added a few players to the Graduates tab who are quite close to reaching the at-bat or innings pitched graduation threshold, or who have obviously spent enough days on the active big league roster to have exhausted prospect eligibility. Lastly, you can see the real-time farm system rankings here, with the rankings from before the graduates were pulled off and the draftees were added here.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Made | SS | MIL | 19.2 | 65 | 2027 | |
| 2 | Franklin Arias | SS | BOS | 20.7 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 3 | Kade Anderson | SP | SEA | 22.0 | 60 | ↑↑ | 2026 |
| 4 | Walker Jenkins | CF | MIN | 21.4 | 60 | ↑↑ | 2026 |
| 5 | Max Clark | CF | DET | 21.6 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 6 | Leo De Vries | SS | ATH | 19.8 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 7 | Eli Willits | SS | WSN | 18.6 | 60 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 8 | Seth Hernandez | SP | PIT | 20.1 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 9 | Thomas White | SP | MIA | 21.8 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 10 | Ryan Sloan | SP | SEA | 20.5 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 11 | Angel Genao | SS | CLE | 22.2 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 12 | Ethan Salas | C | SDP | 20.1 | 55 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 13 | Sebastian Walcott | SS | TEX | 20.4 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 14 | Vahn Lackey | C | MIN | 21.0 | 55 | 2028 | |
| 15 | Grady Emerson | SS | TBR | 18.4 | 55 | 2029 | |
| 16 | Theo Gillen | CF | TBR | 20.9 | 55 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 17 | Josue De Paula | RF | LAD | 21.2 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 18 | George Lombard Jr. | SS | NYY | 21.1 | 55 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 19 | Roch Cholowsky | SS | CHW | 21.3 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 20 | Alfredo Duno | C | CIN | 20.5 | 55 | 2028 | |
| 21 | River Ryan | SP | LAD | 27.9 | 55 | 2026 | |
| 22 | Mike Sirota | CF | LAD | 23.1 | 55 | ↑↑ | 2027 |
| 23 | Rainiel Rodriguez | C | STL | 19.6 | 55 | 2028 | |
| 24 | Bryce Rainer | SS | DET | 21.1 | 55 | 2029 | |
| 25 | Luis Peña | SS | MIL | 19.7 | 55 | 2028 | |
| 26 | Anthony Eyanson | SP | BOS | 21.8 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 27 | Liam Doyle | SP | STL | 22.1 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 28 | Aidan Miller | SS | PHI | 22.1 | 55 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 29 | Jarlin Susana | SP | WSN | 22.3 | 55 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 30 | Josuar Gonzalez | SS | SFG | 18.8 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 31 | Caden Bodine | C | TBR | 22.6 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 32 | Eric Hartman | CF | ATL | 20.1 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
| 33 | Jackson Flora | SP | SFG | 21.2 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 34 | Kaelen Culpepper | SS | MIN | 23.6 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 35 | Eduardo Quintero | CF | LAD | 20.9 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 36 | Christian Zazueta | SP | LAD | 21.8 | 50 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 37 | Braylon Doughty | SP | CLE | 20.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 38 | Ralphy Velazquez | 1B | CLE | 21.2 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 39 | Josue Briceño | 1B | DET | 21.8 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 40 | Charlie Condon | 1B | COL | 23.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 41 | Kendry Chourio | SP | KCR | 18.8 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 42 | Alexander Frias | RF | MIL | 18.4 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2031 |
| 43 | Arjun Nimmala | SS | TOR | 20.8 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 44 | Ethan Holliday | 3B | COL | 19.4 | 50 | 🩹 | 2029 |
| 45 | Gage Wood | SP | PHI | 22.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2026 |
| 46 | Brody Hopkins | SP | TBR | 24.5 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 47 | Jefferson Rojas | SS | CHC | 21.2 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 48 | Roldy Brito | CF | COL | 19.3 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 49 | Josiah Hartshorn | 1B | CHC | 19.5 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 50 | Taitn Gray | 1B | TBR | 18.9 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 51 | Aiva Arquette | SS | MIA | 22.8 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 52 | Zach Root | SP | LAD | 22.5 | 50 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 53 | Felnin Celesten | SS | SEA | 20.9 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 54 | Eric Booth Jr. | CF | BAL | 18.1 | 50 | 2031 | |
| 55 | Hayden Alvarez | CF | LAA | 19.3 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 56 | Pedro Ramírez | 2B | CHC | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 57 | Zyhir Hope | RF | LAD | 21.5 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 58 | Jonny Farmelo | CF | SEA | 21.9 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 59 | Marek Houston | SS | MIN | 22.3 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 60 | Jhonny Level | 2B | SFG | 19.3 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 61 | Josh Hammond | SS | KCR | 19.8 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 62 | Yolfran Castillo | SS | TEX | 19.5 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 63 | Brady Ebel | SS | MIL | 19.0 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 64 | Luis Hernández | SS | SFG | 17.6 | 50 | 2032 | |
| 65 | Elmer Rodríguez | SP | NYY | 22.9 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 66 | Tyler Bremner | SP | LAA | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 67 | Juneiker Caceres | RF | CLE | 18.9 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 68 | Kevin Alvarez | LF | HOU | 18.5 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 69 | Michael Arroyo | 2B | SEA | 21.7 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 70 | Justin Gonzales | RF | BOS | 19.6 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
| 71 | Jurrangelo Cijntje | SP | STL | 23.1 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 72 | Devin Fitz-Gerald | SS | WSN | 20.9 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 73 | Tyler Bell | SS | COL | 21.1 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 74 | Tate Southisene | SS | ATL | 19.8 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 75 | Brayden Taylor | 3B | TBR | 24.2 | 50 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 76 | Emil Morales | SS | LAD | 19.8 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 77 | Edward Florentino | RF | PIT | 19.7 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 78 | JoJo Parker | 3B | TOR | 20.0 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 79 | Axiel Plaz | C | PIT | 20.9 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
| 80 | Lazaro Montes | RF | SEA | 21.8 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 81 | Ramon Ramirez | C | KCR | 21.1 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 82 | Eduardo Tait | C | MIN | 19.9 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 83 | Dorian Soto | SS | BOS | 18.4 | 50 | 2031 | |
| 84 | Angeibel Gomez | CF | KCR | 17.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2031 |
| 85 | Cristian Arguelles | CF | COL | 19.1 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 86 | Karson Milbrandt | SP | MIA | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 87 | Michael Forret | SP | TBR | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 88 | Tyson Hardin | SP | MIL | 24.7 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 89 | Riley Quick | SP | MIN | 22.2 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 90 | Keyner Martinez | SP | SFG | 21.9 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 91 | Carlos Lagrange | SIRP | NYY | 23.2 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 92 | Hagen Smith | SP | CHW | 22.9 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 93 | Elian Peña | 3B | NYM | 18.8 | 50 | ↑ | 2031 |
| 94 | Harry Ford | C | WSN | 23.4 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 95 | Luis De León | SP | BAL | 23.3 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 96 | Aaron Walton | CF | CLE | 22.2 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
| 97 | Murf Gray | 3B | PIT | 22.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 98 | Caleb Bonemer | 3B | CHW | 20.8 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 99 | Kendry Rojas | SP | MIN | 23.7 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 100 | Caden Scarborough | SP | TEX | 21.3 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 101 | Jake Bloss | SP | TOR | 25.1 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 102 | George Klassen | SP | LAA | 24.5 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 103 | Jaxon Wiggins | SP | CHC | 24.8 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 104 | Thayron Liranzo | C | DET | 23.0 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 105 | Blake Mitchell | C | KCR | 22.0 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 106 | Jeferson Quero | C | MIL | 23.8 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 107 | Dax Kilby | SS | NYY | 19.7 | 50 | 🩹 | 2030 |
| 108 | Travis Sykora | SP | WSN | 22.2 | 50 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 109 | Juan Valera | SP | BOS | 20.2 | 50 | 🩹 | 2028 |
| 110 | Robby Snelling | SP | MIA | 22.6 | 50 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 111 | Khal Stephen | SP | CLE | 23.6 | 50 | 🩹 | 2027 |
…
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Made | SS | MIL | 19.2 | 65 | 2027 | |
| 2 | Franklin Arias | SS | BOS | 20.7 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 3 | Kade Anderson | SP | SEA | 22.0 | 60 | ↑↑ | 2026 |
| 4 | Walker Jenkins | CF | MIN | 21.4 | 60 | ↑↑ | 2026 |
| 5 | Max Clark | CF | DET | 21.6 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 6 | Leo De Vries | SS | ATH | 19.8 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 7 | Eli Willits | SS | WSN | 18.6 | 60 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 8 | Seth Hernandez | SP | PIT | 20.1 | 60 | 2027 | |
| 9 | Thomas White | SP | MIA | 21.8 | 60 | 2027 |
Made, who was still 18 when the season began, isn’t obliterating the Southern League or anything; instead, he has “merely” posted a slightly above-average line. He still has electric hand speed from both sides of the plate and is currently athletic enough to play shortstop despite the occasional arm accuracy hiccup. Made is a big kid and likely won’t remain at short in perpetuity, but he’s progressing through the minors quickly enough as a hitter that we think he’ll be able to debut there, as his agility for his size is remarkable. Neither his measurable peak power nor his feel for airborne contact has taken a step forward this season, even though he’s visibly larger, but the twitch in Made’s hands and the way he’s been tough for crafty Double-A pitchers to strike out (14.6% K%) are both really exciting. He continues to project as a 30-homer infielder.
Arias has gotten bigger and stronger at the cost of some of his range on defense. He’s still a good enough defender to play shortstop, but he’s seeing increased reps at second base. He had a very impressive Futures Game BP and looks like a do-everything player with special feel for contact.
Anderson doesn’t have cartoonish stuff, but he executes four distinct, high-quality pitches with machine-like consistency, and his delivery’s deception helps his fastball play much better than its pure velocity. He’s a slam-dunk impact starter. We weren’t sure whether to interpret Jenkins’ prior lack of power as an issue of skill or injury and leaned on the skeptical side. He was toward the top of the 50 FV tier at the season’s start, along with the other prospects who we considered stable but lower-ceilinged, but Jenkins’ 2026 has been louder, including a very impressive all-field BP performance at the Futures Game. Clark has had a slightly above-average Triple-A season thus far thanks largely to the quickness of his hitting hands and his ability to make plus contact. His power and center field defense have been more middling. De Vries hasn’t had the kind of power breakout he seemed primed for and had one of the more underwhelming Futures Game BPs, but he’s still having a good year as a teenager at Double-A and we’re not inclined to move him at all.
Willits, 18, hasn’t had a raw power breakout yet, but he’s starting to look stronger and the special bat-to-ball feel that made him last year’s first overall pick has seamlessly translated to mid-minors play. The shape of Hernandez’s fastball isn’t great, so even though it’s sitting 97, it’s generating merely above-average miss. But the rest of his repertoire is bonkers (he might have the best changeup in baseball at peak), as are Hernandez’s athletic traits (he’s touching 101 with seven feet of extension) and projectability. If you wanted to make an upside-based case for him to be the top pitching prospect in the game, you’d be justified, but give us Anderson’s proximity and fastball playability. White was in the offseason conversation for the game’s top pitching prospect, but he’s currently on the shelf with a shoulder injury.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ryan Sloan | SP | SEA | 20.5 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 11 | Angel Genao | SS | CLE | 22.2 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 12 | Ethan Salas | C | SDP | 20.1 | 55 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 13 | Sebastian Walcott | SS | TEX | 20.4 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 14 | Vahn Lackey | C | MIN | 21.0 | 55 | 2028 | |
| 15 | Grady Emerson | SS | TBR | 18.4 | 55 | 2029 | |
| 16 | Theo Gillen | CF | TBR | 20.9 | 55 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 17 | Josue De Paula | RF | LAD | 21.2 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 18 | George Lombard Jr. | SS | NYY | 21.1 | 55 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 19 | Roch Cholowsky | SS | CHW | 21.3 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 20 | Alfredo Duno | C | CIN | 20.5 | 55 | 2028 | |
| 21 | River Ryan | SP | LAD | 27.9 | 55 | 2026 | |
| 22 | Mike Sirota | CF | LAD | 23.1 | 55 | ↑↑ | 2027 |
| 23 | Rainiel Rodriguez | C | STL | 19.6 | 55 | 2028 | |
| 24 | Bryce Rainer | SS | DET | 21.1 | 55 | 2029 | |
| 25 | Luis Peña | SS | MIL | 19.7 | 55 | 2028 |
Sloan is a monstrous starter who we expect will sit in the upper 90s throughout entire seasons. His secondary stuff isn’t quite as nasty at the guys in the 60 FV tier, however. Genao has been flirting with the 55 FV tier for a while now and finally breaks through here, as he’s held serve at shortstop despite adding muscle and he’s begun to hit the ball harder without sacrificing contact. Salas went from underperforming after a series of aggressive promotions to missing most of last year with injury, but he’s been productive on both sides of the ball at Double-A in 2026, especially as a contact hitter. He has two plus-plus defensive attributes (throwing and framing), but he’s still a terrible ball-blocker. Walcott is recently back from Tommy John and looks fine at the plate, though he isn’t playing defense yet. He has a puncher’s chance to be the top overall prospect during the next 12 months if he shows he’s healthy and viable at shortstop. He’s every bit as freaky as Made, if not more so. Lackey and Emerson were our top two prospects in the draft, and both are more likely to remain at a premium position than Gillen (a fringe center field fit) or De Paula (who might just be a DH), but all four are well-rounded hitters who project as top 10-15 players at their position.
Lombard and Cholowsky can pick it and have power, but both have enough strikeout risk to slide behind the guys with more stable hit tools (Genao through De Paula). The same is true of Duno and Rainer, but to a more extreme degree. Sirota and Peña also have some strikeout risk, but less defensive ability. The consistency of Sirota’s power is remarkable (a 59% hard-hit rate so far this season), but he does have in-zone fastball vulnerability, and his lack of feel for defense will likely relegate him to a corner despite his speed. Peña hasn’t played much because of a prolonged absence after he collapsed in the dugout due to dehydration earlier in the season. His ability to pull the ball has evaporated this year, but we’re chalking that up to timing issues resulting from the layoff.
Ryan is about to be 28 and it’s weird to grapple with the likelihood that a player’s decline phase will come during his years of pre-free agency team control. But a healthy Ryan (he’s currently on the shelf with a hamstring injury) looked ready to be a part of the Dodgers rotation, especially as it awaits its famous reinforcements. His fastball is a monster, while his secondary pitches are all generating below-average miss, though that’s due to his imprecise command rather than a lack of stuff. Rodriguez had some trouble catching at the Futures Game and is maybe the least projectable prospect from the 55 FV tier or better, but he has freaky feel for making impact contact and the 19-year-old has hit well at Double-A since his promotion.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Josuar Gonzalez | SS | SFG | 18.8 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 31 | Caden Bodine | C | TBR | 22.6 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 32 | Eric Hartman | CF | ATL | 20.1 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
| 33 | Jackson Flora | SP | SFG | 21.2 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 36 | Christian Zazueta | SP | LAD | 21.8 | 50 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 37 | Braylon Doughty | SP | CLE | 20.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 41 | Kendry Chourio | SP | KCR | 18.8 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 42 | Alexander Frias | RF | MIL | 18.4 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2031 |
| 43 | Arjun Nimmala | SS | TOR | 20.8 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 44 | Ethan Holliday | 3B | COL | 19.4 | 50 | 🩹 | 2029 |
| 51 | Aiva Arquette | SS | MIA | 22.8 | 50 | 2028 |
These are the players who are talented enough to be elevated an FV tier between now and next February’s Prospect Week. It’s possible Gonzalez would already be there if multiple hamstring injuries this year hadn’t prevented him from being promoted to, and performing at, San Jose. Hartman has a rare power/speed combo but enough strikeout risk that Eric wasn’t ready to 55 him just yet. Bodine has special contact skill for any prospect, let alone a catcher. Nimmala is getting to power and making just enough contact as a 20-year-old at Double-A to be enthused about him being a plus-powered SS/3B. Holliday is the lefty-hitting version of it who is on the shelf with injury. Frias is a freak with crazy bat speed and physical projection, the guy on the list with the best shot to have a Junior Caminero type of rise. The pitching versions of this are Flora, Zazueta and Doughty. Flora was the best pitching prospect in this year’s draft, a beanpole with huge arm strength and special aptitude. Zazueta’s fastball is playing like a plus-plus pitch, his trademark changeup remains excellent, and he isn’t walking anyone at High-A. Doughty has been similarly efficient and has elite potential breaking stuff thanks to his proclivity for spin. Chourio is having his second consecutive dominant season and is approaching an innings count that would quell doubts about him having starter stamina despite his modest size. All three of those pitchers were offseason Picks to Click who have performed as we hoped. Arquette has freaky size and is somehow maintaining a 79% contact rate at Double-A even though he’s been chase prone.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Anthony Eyanson | SP | BOS | 21.8 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 27 | Liam Doyle | SP | STL | 22.1 | 55 | 2027 | |
| 45 | Gage Wood | SP | PHI | 22.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2026 |
| 46 | Brody Hopkins | SP | TBR | 24.5 | 50 | 2026 |
These guys might end up being relievers in the end, but we expect that if that’s the case, they’d be such dominant late-inning weapons that we’d still feel fine, retrospectively, about stuffing them. Doyle has an explosive fastball/slider combo, but he isn’t in great shape and lacks the command of a typical starter. Eyanson has elite breaking stuff that might allow him to get lefties out without him making heavy use of a changeup or split. Wood has a dominant fastball, and could come up and rip well-located heaters past big league hitters in a power relief capacity right now, but his repertoire depth is a little lacking. Hopkins is the opposite; he has premium stuff but is struggling to throw strikes this year. All of these guys are special enough athletes that we’re excited about their eventual roles.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Eduardo Quintero | CF | LAD | 20.9 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 48 | Roldy Brito | CF | COL | 19.3 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 53 | Felnin Celesten | SS | SEA | 20.9 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 54 | Eric Booth Jr. | CF | BAL | 18.1 | 50 | 2031 | |
| 55 | Hayden Alvarez | CF | LAA | 19.3 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
You could argue that these guys belong in the Helium group, as they’re all up-the-middle defenders with a shot to hit for both contact and power. Quintero is the most accomplished contact hitter of the five, as he has an 80% rate at High-A, which is why we’ve got some separation between his rank and the rest of the group. Brito is more physical, with the best peak power of this cluster and also the most advanced baseball IQ, which shows up on the bases and on defense. Alvarez and Celesten are more about projection. They’re body-beautiful players with average contact feel and currently below-average power, but both are built like Abercrombie models and could mature into the Goldilocks Zone where they’ve added big power while remaining at a premium defensive position. We decided to elevate Booth from his pre-draft 45+-FV grade because his toolset and upside felt comparable to this group.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | Ralphy Velazquez | 1B | CLE | 21.2 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 39 | Josue Briceño | 1B | DET | 21.8 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 40 | Charlie Condon | 1B | COL | 23.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 49 | Josiah Hartshorn | 1B | CHC | 19.5 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 50 | Taitn Gray | 1B | TBR | 18.9 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 70 | Justin Gonzales | RF | BOS | 19.6 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
Velazquez, Briceño, and Condon are the proximate versions of this player type. Both Briceño and Condon have looked better and better as they’ve gotten healthy. Hartshorn, Gray, and Gonzales are all a little further away, but they’re ranked aggressively because they all have some combination of contact and plate skills to go with the power. Gray is just back from an elbow scope, Hartshorn is at risk of early physical decline because of his boxy, softer build, and Gonzales doesn’t currently launch at all, but he has freaky size/strength akin to Yandy Díaz.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | Zach Root | SP | LAD | 22.5 | 50 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 65 | Elmer Rodríguez | SP | NYY | 22.9 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 66 | Tyler Bremner | SP | LAA | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 86 | Karson Milbrandt | SP | MIA | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 87 | Michael Forret | SP | TBR | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 88 | Tyson Hardin | SP | MIL | 24.7 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 89 | Riley Quick | SP | MIN | 22.2 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 90 | Keyner Martinez | SP | SFG | 21.9 | 50 | 2028 |
Root’s delivery is unconventional, but he throws strikes and has good secondary weapons for both lefties and righties. Rodríguez is a throwback mid-rotation prospect, a potentially elite groundball generator with a path to doing so in a way that eats innings. A slight uptick in control would get him there. We’re a little concerned about Bremner, who has been just okay at High-A, particularly given his draft orbit. His slider hasn’t progressed much this year. Milbrandt’s high-tempo delivery and sharp secondaries give him the feel of a modern five-and-dive sort of starter prospect. Quick has the look of a durable sinker/slider arm. Forret and Hardin are some of the best bets in the upper minors to develop plus command or better, and Hardin in particular has taken major strides toward that outcome over the last 18 months. Martinez has a blowup outing or inning often enough to keep him in this tier, but on pure stuff and physicality, he’s arguably the most intriguing arm in the group.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | Marek Houston | SS | MIN | 22.3 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 60 | Jhonny Level | 2B | SFG | 19.3 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 61 | Josh Hammond | SS | KCR | 19.8 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 62 | Yolfran Castillo | SS | TEX | 19.5 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 63 | Brady Ebel | SS | MIL | 19.0 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 64 | Luis Hernández | SS | SFG | 17.6 | 50 | 2032 | |
| 67 | Juneiker Caceres | RF | CLE | 18.9 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 68 | Kevin Alvarez | LF | HOU | 18.5 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
It’s been smooth sailing for Level, who battered the Cal League and is now hitting .307 in High-A as a 19-year-old. He’s mostly playing second base and is still expanding the zone a lot, so the risks in the profile are starting to appear even as he’s performed. Hernández has crushed the complex and looks ready for a new challenge. Hammond, a two-way prospect in high school, is no longer pitching and has thrived in the narrower role. He’s been one of the top hit collectors in the low minors and he plays a good shortstop; we’ll see if he can learn to lift the ball more consistently. Houston looks like a well-rounded hitter, and he has a reliable pair of hands at short. Castillo is hitting in Low-A and is still incredibly projectable. Even though Ebel is one of the younger players on the list, his feel for the game is advanced. He has an almost mesmerizing ability to get himself a clean hop on defense. Caceres may have the best pure hit tool in the minor leagues; our conviction in that will grow if he’s able to lay waste to High-A in the same way he clobbered Low-A arms. Alvarez is a projectable corner outfielder with a nice blend of present contact skill and potential power.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Kaelen Culpepper | SS | MIN | 23.6 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 47 | Jefferson Rojas | SS | CHC | 21.2 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 72 | Devin Fitz-Gerald | SS | WSN | 20.9 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 73 | Tyler Bell | SS | COL | 21.1 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 75 | Brayden Taylor | 3B | TBR | 24.2 | 50 | ↑ | 2027 |
| 77 | Edward Florentino | RF | PIT | 19.7 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 96 | Aaron Walton | CF | CLE | 22.2 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
| 97 | Murf Gray | 3B | PIT | 22.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 98 | Caleb Bonemer | 3B | CHW | 20.8 | 50 | 2029 |
Culpepper is a plus shortstop defender who is getting to power at Triple-A. Rojas has required a beat to adjust to each new level, which this year he has done at Double-A. The presence of Dansby Swanson has dictated that he get more reps at third base, but in a vacuum he should be able to play shortstop and hit for enough pull power to be an average regular there. Hopefully Fitz-Gerald will enjoy a similarly successful adjustment to Double-A. He is playing an excellent shortstop and has a swing geared for power, but he’s really struggled in the month since he was promoted to Harrisburg. New Rockies draftee Tyler Bell fits cleanly in this group, and his grade was elevated a shade compared to before the draft to shoehorn him in. Taylor changed his swing and is less vulnerable to elevated fastballs than he has been in the past. He’s going to get to power and play plus-plus defense at second and third base, or viable defense at shortstop if the Rays need him to. Walton is the center field version of this profile. He has an extreme pull-lift approach, and we aren’t all that confident he’s going to hit, but he can really play center and is getting to power. We like Florentino’s physical projection enough to prioritize him over Walton right now even though Florentino (who also has a sub-70% contact rate) is likely a right fielder. Fellow Pirate Murf Gray felt like a steal the second Pittsburgh drafted him and he moves into the Top 100 after getting promoted twice and continuing to perform — he isn’t just beating up on A-ball arms anymore. Like Gray, Bonemer (68% contact rate, 23 degrees of launch on average) might not be a third baseman, which is a big part of why he falls from the top of the 50 FV tier to the back of it.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | Zyhir Hope | RF | LAD | 21.5 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 58 | Jonny Farmelo | CF | SEA | 21.9 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 74 | Tate Southisene | SS | ATL | 19.8 | 50 | ↑ | 2029 |
| 76 | Emil Morales | SS | LAD | 19.8 | 50 | 2030 | |
| 78 | JoJo Parker | 3B | TOR | 20.0 | 50 | ↑ | 2030 |
| 80 | Lazaro Montes | RF | SEA | 21.8 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 81 | Ramon Ramirez | C | KCR | 21.1 | 50 | ↑ | 2028 |
| 82 | Eduardo Tait | C | MIN | 19.9 | 50 | 2029 | |
| 83 | Dorian Soto | SS | BOS | 18.4 | 50 | 2031 | |
| 84 | Angeibel Gomez | CF | KCR | 17.6 | 50 | ↑ | 2031 |
| 85 | Cristian Arguelles | CF | COL | 19.1 | 50 | 2029 | 93 | Elian Peña | 3B | NYM | 18.8 | 50 | ↑ | 2031 |
A cleaner operation in the box has facilitated a breakout for Southisene, though the hit tool remains risky. He’s a potential plus defender, which gives him a path to value even if he doesn’t hit much. Weighing Morales’ offensive upside against his propensity to strikeout and a cloudy defensive fit was a tricky balance to strike; a big finish to the season could prompt a significant re-evaluation. Recently promoted to Double-A, Farmelo’s long swing is about to be stress tested against better arms. Big tools give him big upside if the bat plays. Ramirez enters the Top 100 on the strength of his power, bat-to-ball skills, and arm strength. Both his approach and receiving skills are more raw than most of his peers on the list. Parker seems increasingly likely to slide off short, but he may hit enough for that to not matter. Hope is a classic power hitting outfield prospect with hit tool risk; Montes is the extreme version of the profile.
Soto, Tait, Gomez, and Arguelles are all talented enough that you could include them up with Alexander Frias if you wanted to. Tait has an extra degree of risk due to his chase; his skill set is like a lefty Jorge Alfaro. Arguelles is similar, but he’s a center fielder who is also a little old for the complex level. He tracks the baseball beautifully and has a classic low-ball lefty swing. He’s flirting with hitting .400 despite underlying chase issues. Soto is a switch-hitting shortstop with rare size, athleticism, and bat speed, but his performance so far has been middling. Gomez is the player with the strongest data-driven argument of this contingent. He not only has exciting debut season contact performance, but also rare power consistency for a DSL hitter. He isn’t as visually spectacular as DSL Made was, but he’s skilled and is a projectable 6-foot-2 or so. Peña has made relevant adjustments to breaking stuff. We like the lefty power/contact combo brewing here even though his hit data isn’t eye-popping.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | Jurrangelo Cijntje | SP | STL | 23.1 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 91 | Carlos Lagrange | SIRP | NYY | 23.2 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 92 | Hagen Smith | SP | CHW | 22.9 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 95 | Luis De León | SP | BAL | 23.3 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 99 | Kendry Rojas | SP | MIN | 23.7 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 100 | Caden Scarborough | SP | TEX | 21.3 | 50 | 2028 | |
| 101 | Jake Bloss | SP | TOR | 25.1 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 102 | George Klassen | SP | LAA | 24.5 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 103 | Jaxon Wiggins | SP | CHC | 24.8 | 50 | 2027 |
These guys still have a shot to start, but are at risk of either being inefficient such that it impacts their workload or of moving out of the rotation altogether. We hoped that Cijntje would break out as he focused more on throwing right-handed, but that hasn’t happened yet. We’re not out on him as a potential starter, but his odds of staying in the rotation have dimmed a little bit. Lagrange has the repertoire depth of a starter, but his fastball’s angle makes it pretty hittable, as hard as it is. Pitchers like this often have to work backwards more frequently, and those guys tend to get funneled toward the bullpen. We think he would thrive there, of course. We don’t quite know what to make of Smith’s arm stroke and in turn his control and command projections. We’re much more confident that he has the stuff to be a dynamite reliever if he needs to move to the bullpen. De León’s control has backed up in Double-A and he was already a volatile strike-thrower. Rojas is up and working in a swing role for Minnesota. He’s been wild in his short time in the big leagues. Skin cancer delayed the start of Scarborough’s season and his velocity has been uneven in his return; we’re mostly holding him steady from the winter report. Bloss’ arm strength and stuff have looked great in his return from Tommy John surgery, though he’s still regaining his touch and feel. Klassen and Wiggins have big stuff and very inconsistent execution.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | Pedro Ramírez | 2B | CHC | 22.3 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 69 | Michael Arroyo | 2B | SEA | 21.7 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 79 | Axiel Plaz | C | PIT | 20.9 | 50 | ↑↑ | 2028 |
This contingent bucks convention and projects to play a meaningful big league role despite being squat. Ramírez is a great contact hitter and a versatile defender. Plaz is a powder keg with a big arm and power who could factor into Pittsburgh’s 2027 catching mix. Arroyo has been starting in left field more regularly and was already a fringe infield defender, but he’s still performing as a young-for-the-level hitter at Tacoma.
| Rank | Name | Position | Team | Age | FV | Trend | ETA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Aidan Miller | SS | PHI | 22.1 | 55 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 29 | Jarlin Susana | SP | WSN | 22.3 | 55 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 94 | Harry Ford | C | WSN | 23.4 | 50 | 2026 | |
| 104 | Thayron Liranzo | C | DET | 23.0 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 105 | Blake Mitchell | C | KCR | 22.0 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 106 | Jeferson Quero | C | MIL | 23.8 | 50 | 2027 | |
| 107 | Dax Kilby | SS | NYY | 19.7 | 50 | 🩹 | 2030 |
| 108 | Travis Sykora | SP | WSN | 22.2 | 50 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 109 | Juan Valera | SP | BOS | 20.2 | 50 | 🩹 | 2028 |
| 110 | Robby Snelling | SP | MIA | 22.6 | 50 | 🩹 | 2027 |
| 111 | Khal Stephen | SP | CLE | 23.6 | 50 | 🩹 | 2027 |
Miller and Susana are this year’s ultra-talented injured players, relegated to the back of their FV tier. Sykora, Valera, Snelling, and Stephen are recovering from elbow surgery. Kilby is just returning from a hamstring injury that has kept him shelved basically all year. Meanwhile, each of the catchers has red flags on offense. Ford’s swing is awkward, and he started the year miserably before righting the ship during the last month or so. Liranzo and Mitchell have red flag contact rates but still have the kind of power and projection that we like from the position with the least inventory across the sport. Quero’s combination of relative youth, athleticism and power keeps us on him even though he has been just fair (a .320 xwOBA) across 140 games at Triple-A since he returned from a labrum tear and hamstring injury that caused him to miss basically all of 2024 and the first six weeks of 2025.
…
Finally, as we worked on our update, we sourced a fresh crop of data to aid in our decision-making and analysis. The pitcher data is too unwieldy to reproduce here, but below is a slice of the hitter data. It doesn’t represent the totality of the information at our disposal, but it is an interesting subset that we thought our readers would find illuminating. As a point of comparison, you can find this year’s big league averages here, except for average max exit velocity; a quirk our leaderboards displays the absolute rather than average value, which is 111 mph.
| Name | Pos | Org | Age | Chase% | Contact% | Max Exit | EV90 | Launch | HardHit% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Bodine | C | TB | 22 | 30.0% | 89.8% | 109.5 | 104.1 | 11 | 41.8% |
| Juneiker Caceres | OF | CLE | 18 | 24.9% | 86.4% | 110.2 | 103.8 | 11 | 44.3% |
| Max Clark | OF | DET | 21 | 20.9% | 85.6% | 111.3 | 104.5 | 14 | 38.0% |
| Ethan Salas | C | SD | 20 | 23.5% | 85.3% | 112.2 | 106.0 | 13 | 40.7% |
| Josue De Paula | CF | LAD | 21 | 20.1% | 84.9% | 111.2 | 105.2 | 12 | 50.7% |
| Pedro Ramírez | 2B | CHC | 22 | 28.0% | 83.8% | 110.8 | 105.2 | 11 | 42.9% |
| Walker Jenkins | OF | MIN | 21 | 23.1% | 83.3% | 112.3 | 106.6 | 12 | 45.4% |
| Cristian Arguelles | OF | COL | 19 | 25.9% | 83.3% | 110.2 | 102.4 | 9 | 36.6% |
| Angeibel Gomez | OF | KC | 17 | 18.4% | 82.5% | 111.2 | 104.9 | 19 | 49.3% |
| Yolfran Castillo | SS | TEX | 19 | 24.9% | 81.8% | 107.2 | 99.9 | 9 | 25.5% |
| Angel Genao | 3B | CLE | 22 | 22.1% | 81.4% | 110.9 | 104.4 | 4 | 48.3% |
| Franklin Arias | SS | BOS | 20 | 23.7% | 80.7% | 109.8 | 104.8 | 13 | 51.7% |
| Jesús Made | SS | MIL | 19 | 24.9% | 80.7% | 111.2 | 105.2 | 6 | 40.2% |
| Eduardo Quintero | OF | LAD | 20 | 15.0% | 80.4% | 112.5 | 106.6 | 12 | 40.1% |
| Aiva Arquette | SS | MIA | 22 | 27.6% | 79.8% | 113.1 | 107.3 | 12 | 47.6% |
| Kaelen Culpepper | SS | MIN | 23 | 27.6% | 78.9% | 110.2 | 104.7 | 11 | 47.3% |
| Kevin Alvarez | OF | HOU | 18 | 29.8% | 78.7% | 111.9 | 104.5 | 8 | 44.1% |
| Josh Hammond | SS | KC | 19 | 27.6% | 77.9% | 110.4 | 104.6 | 7 | 43.0% |
| Josiah Hartshorn | OF | CHC | 19 | 19.0% | 77.8% | 111.5 | 104.9 | 12 | 46.4% |
| Justin Gonzales | OF | BOS | 19 | 26.8% | 77.7% | 116.2 | 107.7 | 8 | 40.4% |
| Jhonny Level | SS | SF | 19 | 34.5% | 77.6% | 109.8 | 103.4 | 9 | 34.9% |
| JoJo Parker | SS | TOR | 19 | 20.2% | 77.2% | 110.4 | 104.7 | 8 | 43.2% |
| Luis Peña | SS | MIL | 19 | 33.6% | 77.2% | 116.3 | 104.7 | 4 | 37.6% |
| Leo De Vries | SS | ATH | 19 | 24.9% | 77.1% | 111.1 | 103.3 | 14 | 40.7% |
| Luis Hernández | SS | SF | 17 | 32.3% | 76.9% | 111.7 | 103.1 | 8 | 36.3% |
| Jefferson Rojas | SS | CHC | 21 | 29.5% | 76.8% | 110.3 | 104.8 | 15 | 36.5% |
| Josuar Gonzalez | SS | SF | 18 | 20.8% | 76.5% | 109.1 | 106.2 | -5 | 47.5% |
| Eli Willits | SS | WSH | 18 | 17.3% | 75.7% | 110.3 | 100.7 | 15 | 34.6% |
| Ramon Ramirez | C | KC | 21 | 27.8% | 75.6% | 117.9 | 105.6 | 12 | 38.7% |
| Devin Fitz-Gerald | SS | WSH | 20 | 26.2% | 75.6% | 110.5 | 102.1 | 18 | 35.7% |
| Murf Gray | 3B | PIT | 22 | 28.2% | 75.6% | 114.3 | 106.3 | 18 | 44.4% |
| Roldy Brito | 3B | COL | 19 | 35.9% | 75.6% | 113.0 | 104.3 | 7 | 33.9% |
| Hayden Alvarez | OF | LAA | 19 | 22.3% | 75.2% | 108.6 | 103.3 | 12 | 36.3% |
| Theo Gillen | OF | TB | 20 | 19.5% | 75.1% | 111.7 | 106.7 | 7 | 47.9% |
| Brady Ebel | SS | MIL | 18 | 18.4% | 75.1% | 109.9 | 101.8 | 9 | 35.9% |
| Taitn Gray | C | TB | 18 | 22.2% | 74.7% | 112.6 | 106.8 | 8 | 50.4% |
| Brayden Taylor | SS | TB | 24 | 20.5% | 74.7% | 110.8 | 103.5 | 20 | 39.7% |
| Alexander Frias | OF | MIL | 18 | 29.6% | 74.3% | 116.3 | 105.3 | 3 | 46.7% |
| Tate Southisene | SS | ATL | 19 | 20.0% | 74.2% | 110.3 | 106.0 | 10 | 49.3% |
| Felnin Celesten | SS | SEA | 20 | 27.8% | 74.0% | 109.8 | 103.5 | 13 | 32.8% |
| Mike Sirota | CF | LAD | 23 | 11.8% | 73.4% | 112.4 | 107.3 | 13 | 58.5% |
| Dorian Soto | SS | BOS | 18 | 25.8% | 73.3% | 108.0 | 102.7 | 11 | 27.1% |
| Zyhir Hope | CF | LAD | 21 | 27.3% | 72.0% | 113.6 | 106.9 | 15 | 46.4% |
| Jonny Farmelo | OF | SEA | 21 | 24.1% | 71.8% | 110.6 | 104.6 | 15 | 38.9% |
| Axiel Plaz | C | PIT | 20 | 33.5% | 71.3% | 116.7 | 109.9 | 7 | 54.9% |
| Jeferson Quero | C | MIL | 23 | 33.8% | 71.0% | 111.4 | 104.7 | 15 | 40.2% |
| Arjun Nimmala | SS | TOR | 20 | 19.1% | 71.0% | 111.4 | 108.3 | 10 | 52.6% |
| Charlie Condon | OF | COL | 23 | 18.2% | 71.0% | 112.6 | 106.4 | 12 | 46.1% |
| Ethan Holliday | SS | COL | 19 | 24.2% | 70.8% | 111.3 | 107.5 | 10 | 46.2% |
| Eduardo Tait | C | MIN | 19 | 39.4% | 70.3% | 110.7 | 105.7 | 19 | 40.4% |
| George Lombard Jr. | SS | NYY | 21 | 19.0% | 70.1% | 111.0 | 105.9 | 12 | 51.6% |
| Eric Hartman | OF | ATL | 20 | 27.8% | 69.9% | 113.5 | 105.9 | 18 | 45.6% |
| Rainiel Rodriguez | C | STL | 19 | 28.1% | 69.9% | 111.3 | 105.7 | 18 | 39.2% |
| Ralphy Velazquez | 1B | CLE | 21 | 28.8% | 69.3% | 111.1 | 105.8 | 16 | 42.9% |
| Aaron Walton | OF | CLE | 22 | 20.2% | 68.9% | 110.9 | 106.9 | 14 | 44.7% |
| Caleb Bonemer | SS | CWS | 20 | 23.7% | 68.6% | 110.8 | 105.0 | 23 | 38.2% |
| Braden Montgomery | RF | CWS | 23 | 26.3% | 68.6% | 113.9 | 106.6 | 7 | 50.2% |
| Alfredo Duno | C | CIN | 20 | 20.6% | 67.1% | 115.3 | 108.6 | 16 | 48.2% |
| Bryce Rainer | SS | DET | 21 | 19.7% | 66.6% | 116.2 | 111.4 | 4 | 63.0% |
| Edward Florentino | OF | PIT | 19 | 18.3% | 66.2% | 113.9 | 106.2 | 23 | 37.3% |
| Thayron Liranzo | C | DET | 23 | 20.0% | 64.4% | 111.2 | 106.2 | 17 | 56.0% |
| Lazaro Montes | OF | SEA | 21 | 26.2% | 59.5% | 118.3 | 109.4 | 18 | 48.5% |
| Blake Mitchell | C | KC | 21 | 16.1% | 57.7% | 113.6 | 109.0 | 18 | 54.9% |
Joshua Baez slander
The guy with 112 WRC+ in AAA?
“I don’t think he’s going to hit”
-Eric Longenhagen
How the hell do you have 30 home runs and a 111wRC+? I mean it’s a rhetorical question because I know how, but it’s also funny
Jo Adell has entered the chat.
Holy sheesh Bryce Rainer hard hit and exit velo is off the charts.
And his contact rate is barely on it.
Rainer is smashing the ball…right into the ground…if he makes contact.
Jordan Walker was like that for 3 years. Of course that was in MLB at 20-22 yo
Guys like this scare the heck out of me, but it’s tempting to stay on them because if it clicks they’re like Elly de la Cruz.
They just don’t usually click, and then they’re more like Gabriel Arias.
I was also struck by Ariel Plaz, a prospect I had somehow never heard of before looking at this list.
Guess we’ll throw them both in the pile of “might hit 20+ or even 30+ bombs while hitting .200ish and playing a decent catcher”.
The range of outcomes here is massive.
He could “figure it out” & become Bobby Witt (very unlikely, but, he has the raw talent).
He could never figure it out & never hit enough to be playable.
Early in the year, his swing had a huge hitch with a massive load, you wondered how he hit anything. His mechanics have smoothed out some but still need a lot of work.
I think I know the answer to this, but if the Astros made Alvarez available, Warren + Lombard + Elmer Rodriguez doesn’t get it done, right?
I don’t think so, but as a Yankee fan who saw what the duo of Judge and Soto did, it’s hard to not dream of resurrecting that with Yordan
You do realize who jim crane is correct? There is no chance he’d allow trading yordan with still years of control+ them only being 2 games back in the division
And even if they were out of it the Yankees would be one of the last teams Crane would allow Alvarez to be traded to.
I don’t know why you got downvoted. You clearly state that it does not get it done.
I’m down on Alvarez relative to the consensus…and I think you are probably only 60% of the way there. The guys who are Top 40 on a trade value list are almost impossible to trade for unless it involves someone else on the list.
Yeah not sure the downvoting vibe here. Decent question. And I think you’d be decently close…IF they wanted to trade him. Which they likely won’t.
In a vacuum – like others I think it’s a bit short but not far off. Maybe the Astros see something in Warren to elevate him from useful SP to good SP?
That said, there’s a ton of headwinds:
1) Astros are only 2 back from the division
2) Trading a star and franchise player like Alvarez when he’s still very useful is a hard sell to the marketing (i.e. revenue) department
3) Astros aren’t the biggest fans of helping the Yankees. I don’t think this is nearly as big a factor as fans think it is, but it might be something.
I was certainly not expecting Brady Ebel to be on this list but I’m very happy to see him there. For a guy who doesn’t have any standout tools, he looks like one of the most sure thing big leaguers I’ve seen for an 18 year old in A ball. Just extremely professional in every aspect of the game. I hold out some hope that he still has some projection in there as well being 6’3 with a thinner frame.
Maybe he’s a 45 but I think Eric’s scouting report before the draft was right. These “contact maven” types scare the heck out of me, especially before they’ve even had a month at the complex.
Oh jeez, I just realized I mixed him up with Trey Ebel.
He still seems high to me as a contact maven type, just not as much as the guy who has barely been a professional baseball player. Let’s see what he can do in AA, a .245 batting average “contact maven” against high-A defenses is not very impressive at all.
I typically don’t like removing stats but Ebel started out the season so terribly that I think it’s still weighing pretty heavily on his numbers. He was slashing .057/.244/.057 for a 4 wRC+ through the first 10 games. Since then he’s slashing .271/.431/.440 for a 137 wRC+.
Guessing the contact data suggests his #s batting average should be higher, such as the near 26% LD%.
FG doesn’t have in-zone contact so maybe he is just swinging at tons of things outside of the zone. But his contact rate is 77%.
(BRB checking his page)
I just checked and he is only swinging 39% of the time!
So at least one of three things is going on:
1) his bat control is great but he has no power
2) he is making truly terrible swing decisions, like swinging at stuff outside of the zone but watching strikes go by
3) his contact ability is just not that good after all
If you’re the Brewers you’re hoping it is the first one and he just fills out. The second one is theoretically fixable but the scale of it would have to be so extreme that he has a very long way to go. The third is obviously the worst.
I am not talking myself into a 50 grade here.
I mean you can see the data in the article above. Basically looks identical to Eli Willits outside of a lower average launch angle. Obviously not saying he’s a comparable level prospect but chase, contact, max EV, EV90, and hard hit are basically identical between the two.
I finally got a chance to look into this more deeply. It looks like some of the power differences with Willits is due to launch angle, and at least some of the BABIP differences are due to speed.
But another difference is that Ebel is just taking too many strikes. He apparently swung a lot in between my last post and now because his swing percentage is higher (above 40% now). But even so, he’s about 3 percentage points lower on swing rate and about 3 percentage points higher on called strikes.
In any case, his CStr% looks like it’s about at the 30th or 40th percentile and SwStr% look like it’s about at the median. I’m going to go with a little bit of him not swinging at stuff in the zone, and a little bit of he can’t get the bat on the ball as well as “contact maven” suggests.
I’m not sure what you mean by the last sentence. Brady has been in A ball all year. Trey isn’t the one on the list.
See my note above.
I get what scouts like about River Ryan, but I just don’t understand putting a 55 on someone who is going to be 28 in a month who has 4 more IP than Corey Kluber since his 2022 MiLB pitching debut. 17 career starts of at least 5 IP and only 2 with at least 6. I can’t look at that history and think he manages to stick as an above average pitcher at a starter’s workload.
I agree. Supposedly the FV rating considers the years of team control but I’m not sure that’s being factored into Rivers rating. He’ll be 33-34 by the time he’s team control years are up. The good news is you don’t have to worry about signing him to an extension.
I don’t really know what his age has to do with it, especially considering his low workload it’s pretty likely his team control years are all ‘prime’ years if he can stay healthy and that’s all that really matters for the ranking.
I do think it’s a little weird that if his secondaries aren’t considered very good that a guy who is essentially a 5 and dive can be considered an elite prospect. A 5 and dive guy who gives you a 3.50 or better ERA is almost certainly a 55 regardless of other considerations but I don’t see why anyone would be confident that a guy with only one elite pitch is going to get there.
Considering his likely innings volume it seems really unlikely that he could be more than a 60 FV even at 80th-90th percentile outcome which at 55 basically means they think he’s as close to a lock there is to being a reliable 5 and dive. But honestly, I’d just take Sloan in the MLB right now over Ryan, even considering how raw he is.
Sorry but I think age is a HUGE factor here. Pitchers tend to see gradual decline in performance around 28-29 and a much more noticeable decline around 32-34.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/pitcher-aging-curves-starters-and-relievers/
The way I see it, (and I’m not arguing your point), the 55 is the true talent grade. It’s up to the end user to modify the age to their particular needs.
All of that considers an entire group of players who have absolutely no workload similarity to River Ryan at all. It’s pretty well established in the biomechanics sphere that physical breakdown is far more due to workload and injury than age.
His injury history is likely disqualifying from any team considering him a serious long term asset. But his innings workload over the last seven or so years is that of a three year college starter at 22 years old. I don’t think any team thinks that age is going to be an issue for an arm with this few miles.
Will he stay healthy? No. Will that have anything to do with him turning 30? Also no.
River Ryan just started drawing social security last week, I believe.
He can retire now.
He is never going to be healthy. He’s in the “distressed asset” territory of the list for me.
I simply would not trade for him at all, because if the Dodgers are willing to give him up that almost certainly means they share my assessment.
The best case scenario for him seems like a great closer who is available about 2/3rds of the time.
To clarify my second statement:
The Dodgers absolutely love collecting upside pitchers with serious injury risks. If they are trading him, that means something has gone seriously wrong.
He might be a 50 as a reliever when he’s healthy, but I would consider him effectively untradeable. There is no way he leaves Los Angeles in a trade unless he is seriously broken.
The only other way that I could see him leaving would be if something happens that leaves the Dodgers in need of bullpen help.
I could see them valuing experienced help and going after someone like Aroldis Chapman. And if the Red Sox still wanted to make a run at it this year I could see that world where they value those two assets relatively evenly, bringing Ryan into the bullpen immediately.
Though I don’t think MLB GMs generally like to be creative like that.
Yes completely agree and think that he’s valuable particularly to the Dodgers for exactly the reasons that you describe.
To me the best case scenario for River Ryan feels like what Logan Henderson is right now (and has been throughout the minors). A playoff rotation quality guy capable of giving you 60-100 starter innings per year, but you just don’t know when they’ll be. Perhaps a touch more valuable than an elite reliever, but I doubt a ton of pitching needy teams are putting a 55 on it
Oh, we really need to look at is the entire history of humanity to realize you pretty much don’t get healthier with age once you get to adulthood. Let alone a guy who throws baseballs for a living, which is incredibly hazardous to your arm.
Frankly, I think your point on the Dodgers make sense. If they make him available, I would run the other way. So if they’re stuck with him, put him in the bullpen now while he’s healthy for 10 minutes.
I’m glad you posted this, as I was going to say the same thing.
He’s older than Juan Soto.
At some point, actually being available should count for something. A 55 grade on a guy who has barely pitched in 3 years? Low workload is a nice way of saying “Can’t stay healthy” at this point.
I know it’s the dodgers and all but my god trade some guys and let em play
They took your advice
Damn, Caleb Bonemer slashes .278/.381/.495 while (more or less) maintaining his K% and BB% as a 20 y/o in AA and drops 65 spots?
Is the defense really that bad? Do you guys think he’s a DH or something?
“Like Gray, Bonemer (68% contact rate, 23 degrees of launch on average) might not be a third baseman, which is a big part of why he falls from the top of the 50 FV tier to the back of it.”
Yes, but does “might not be a third baseman” mean he’s a second baseman or corner outfielder, or does it mean he’s a DH? (I don’t think he’s tall enough to play first).
Because if the former, that doesn’t seem like a significant enough reason to play “a big part” in dropping him 65 spots while he’s hitting in AA as a 20 y/o.
He’s listed at 6’1”. He’s probably tall enough for first. Or maybe he doesn’t have the wingspan for it.
Right handed corner bat with contact issues. That profile is very risky. Best scenario is something like.. Colson Montgomery at third? lol
He was described as running an “above-average in-zone contact rate” on the preseason top-100 list, and then proceeded to strike out 29.1% of the time over 278 PA in high-A, before dropping his K% back down to 23% – around where it was last year – in his next 113 PA after getting promoted to AA.
Which (like Colson Montgomery, to be fair) doesn’t make a whole lot of sense, and makes me want to see his 2026 contact rate broken down by level to see if it jumped back up to last season’s level when he was promoted to AA – which would obviously suggest that whatever happened in high-A was a temporary problem that he’s since fixed. I don’t know where to find that data for minor leaguers, though.
The White Sox made a swing adjustment with him in high-A and after a few games thought it worked well enough to promote him. The higher contact in AA suggests to me that it’s working. The contact rate at AA is not quite where it was last year.
Low-A 2025 78.5%
High-A 2025 75.7% (only 44 PAs)
High-A 2026 67.8%
AA 2026 72.7%
I do think they are underrating him, but maybe I’m overrating his present power because of his HR totals, while his exit velos don’t quite suggest that he’s already one of the most powerful hitters in the minors the way his HR totals do.
Thank you for this. It’s exactly what I was looking for and super helpful. Can I ask where you found it?
His player page under the ‘Plate Discipline – Statcast’ table. It’s not actually statcast for the lower levels, but contact rate can be derived from simple play by play data.
Awesome. Thanks again.
With the straight line speed Brendan mentioned at the futures game I’d want to see what he can do in the corner outfield. A 60 in right field isn’t as valuable on paper as a 40 at third most of the time but with Colson Montgomery and Roch Cholowsky I don’t know that there’s going to be room at third anyway.
I think there have been some differences in evaluation among the FG analysts, particularly James v Eric. I think Eric said in chat somewhere that James was “shoving” Bonemer. So there could be different opinions moving it around, going further back than today’s updates? But he’s hitting great and he’s a solid athlete so I wouldn’t be worried.
I love the Band-Aid image under the trend column – a picture is worth a thousand words!
What happens first, River Ryan turns 30 or he disappears from these lists?
Maybe he can retire at age 37 with 13 years on top prospect lists but only 20 career innings in MLB
Or he can really shoot for the moon, and aim for more years on top prospects list over career innings in MLB!
Lombard’s behind the hood numbers at AAA are crazy good, I get the hit tool risk but it existed 12 months ago too and imo his projection has changed for the better since then
The data on hitters is really helpful, I would love to see that continue in the future. Glancing at a few guys, the contact numbers are a few points lower than the ones on the player pages. Curious what we should make of that, different data sources?
I think the one’s on the player pages don’t include foul tips as whiffs but don’t quote me on that haha
Can we get this data into the minor league leaderboards?
There are other things I disagree with but one I absolutely do disagree with is Elian Pena’s inclusion. He is running an average exit velo of 84, a 23.6 hard hit %, and while the contact skills are good, they aren’t impeccable enough to make up for it. In fact his in zone whiff rate is over 15% (again good, but not great). His age doesn’t make up for all that
Eric is down on him relative to consensus, so you should ask Brendan about this at the next chat.
I think there is a ton of grace being shown to the season Max Clark has had, the glove/speed is nice. But without steps forward with the bat he looks more like a 2-3 war regular than a stud
Do you see any possible CF studs?
Pretty simple, he gets that grace because he’s a 21yo in AAA. He’s the same age as the 2026 college draft picks who are about to be sent to rookie ball or low A.
He started slow, which shouldn’t be a surprise considering he only spent 40 games at AA last year, but he’s heated up in the last month and has an above-average wRC+ for the year now.
That’s fine and all if you rank him like in the 20s or 30s but ranking over other young studs having a better year, and are doing it at upper levels such as Duno/Rainiel/Gillen/de paula is a silly bet to make imo. Heck lombard is having a much better AAA year (check the statcast data)
I don’t know, he basically solved AA as a 20 year old last year, he plays a premium position, and he’s not a catcher so he’s less likely to get beat up.
It just looks like he hasn’t adjusted to AAA, his contact rate and swing rate is up but his impact is down. Unless there is something new in the data or scouting report that indicates a problem you kind of have to give him a little more time to figure it out.
I mean you could argue that his floor is higher than all of those players though. And FV has to by default be a combination of ceiling and floor.
I am not a huge believer, I see more a second division regular like an Ender Inciarte or maybe those couple of peak years of Jon Jay. But I could see the argument that his floor is Kyle Isbel and that is a playable major league outfielder.
But if you argue the peak is a gold glove outfielder with an 760-800 OPS I think that combination is probably worth his FV?
His April was good, especially considering how little time he had in AA. He had a bad May, June was meh, and this month he’s been very good. His defense scares me, though some of that might be residual trauma from Mickey Moniak’s prospecthood. If that’s not a carrying tool like it was supposed to be, then he really has to hit. Which he might.
Tbf Moniak has been very very good recently
Nice work on this list, fellas! I would argue that Nolan Perry and Esmerlyn Valdez should have made it but otherwise very solid.
Valdez may have lost rookie eligibility through days on roster, I think?
Ahhh, you’re right. Just surpassed it. Screwed by the all-star break!
What he is doing right now is insane. Basically it’s hall of famers, Aquino and Hoskins. Not to say he will be as good or bad as any of those guys. But it’s still an insane start.
I’m not entirely surprised because Eric has always put a pretty heavy weight on up the middle profiles, but I am a little surprised that Josh Adamczewski didn’t make the list. If I had to guess, I’d guess they don’t buy the hit tool? Maybe not enough of a standout tool to make up for him being a corner OF? I think he should be on the list.
I think he should have possibly made it as well but is a borderline guy for me. If he was actually a reliable up the middle defender, I’m sure he would have made it but they have a 40 grade on his glove and have said he’s a ‘left field-only fit on defense.’
Yeah I think he’s just one of those guys that slips through the cracks on Fangraphs rankings. He just doesn’t have that plus standout tool to make up for him being a LF defensive profile. I think he could be a 55 hit, 55 power type of guy which I think is definitely Top 100 worthy. I think Eric doesn’t view the hit tool the way I do.
I’m guessing the Brewers agree seeing as he’s played less than 2 innings at 2B this year.
I’d take him over Ebel for sure. I was down on Adamczewski before the season–I thought he was probably a 40+–but he looks radically better now. He’s probably going to be the starting left fielder for the Brewers in 2028 and I think he’s going to be a 120 wRC+ guy.
Yeah I agree with you. I think he could profile similar to what Jake Bauers is giving the Brewers this year. I’m guessing it’s something mechanically in his swing that they don’t like and think it’s something that will be exposed at AAA or MLB because at least from a stats based perspective there’s not a reason to have him at a 30/45 hit tool grade.
Probably a combination of how concerns with both the defense and how he’ll be against lefties may not have been fully answered to their satisfaction, where a full answer to either might otherwise be enough to push them into the 50 FV range.
Little surprised there’s no arrow up on De Paula, yeah he’s defensively limited but he’s basically put to bed all the concern about his raw power not translating to game power this year while also striking out *less*. Is the 2026 iteration of Ronald Acuña Jr. not a 60? Am I really overshooting a ton on his likely MLB offensive impact?
Acuna’s definitely been a 60 over his last 650 PA, beginning last season (.276/.401./482, 146 wRC+, +2.3 BsR, 4.3 WAR), despite DH-level defensive numbers…but if he’s “just” a 135 wRC+ guy, that’s a 55.
Is Adamczewski not on here because of defense? Feels like his bat is gonna play at the Major League level and he’s in the Brewers development system
How concerned should I be by Josuar’s negative launch angle?
I’d be more concerned about the fact that he cannot stay healthy than his launch angle as an 18 year old. He’s a switch hitter who has plenty of time to fix the launch angle but if he’s got Giancarlo Stanton’s hamstrings it doesn’t matter.
Should be interesting to me at least if the Mets add a top 100 prospect or two at the deadline. Yes, they should trade both Holmes and Weaver.
Not entirely surprised that Ronny Cruz is no longer the 50 he was in April, but the board has him all the way back to the 40+ he was last year.
Is that intentional, or did the data revert now that he’s no longer in the top 100?
Having a 66 wrc+ in 312 PA in A+ will do that, unfortunately
I guess the Kade Anderson doubters party is a table for one, but I’m keeping the reservation. I love his curveball, while his slider and change are good as well; I just don’t believe in the fastball. Although it’s getting plenty of whiffs in AA, I don’t see that being the case in the majors, and the games that I have watched him pitch made me question his command of it.
He’s one of those players that I was genuinely floored to see for the first time at the futures game.
Based on the write ups I really assumed I’d be looking at a guy who is a prototypical left handed starter prospect in the Max Fried mold. Great breaking stuff, above average fastballs, good pitch ability. I was really shocked about his general lack of physicality and the lack of life on his fastball.
It seems that how weird his delivery is and the deceptiveness of it is carrying a lot of the weight of his profile. Which isn’t necessarily a bad thing, I’d argue that Clayton Kershaw’s best traits were his deceptiveness and the tunneling of his 4 seam, slider, and curve.
But I feel like that’s always a thin line that if any of those offerings are too hittable all they have to do is wait for one of them.
Blake Mitchell’s data is insane. The fact that he rarely chases yet still has a 57% contact rate is just wild
It’s just as crazy when you watch him. I am not sure there’s any other real prospect that covers as little of the zone. Kind of fun in a bit of a sick way.
He’s truly going to be the answer to the question of how low an average a catcher can have if they can send 25 homers out annually and take a walk.
I would definitely not give him a 50. Everything about him screams “this won’t work.”
He will stick around if he can play defense like Zunino because the best case scenario is probably that he hits like Zunino.
Agreed. The bar for catcher is really low though, so if he can peak higher defensively than Zunino there’s a possibility that a line like 190/290/380 with a 40% strikeout rate and 60 grade defense is actually like the 12th best catcher in baseball. And I don’t think that’s a completely outrageous possibility.
The bar for catchers isn’t really that low right now. 16 catchers have a wRC+ over 100 this year.
The arrow down column has a whole lot of Red Sox, Mets, White Sox, and Rangers pitchers on it.
Might have been a little overzealous on Oppor and McDougal, but I think the others are normal prospect variation.
Jett Williams is a 45 now, which would theoretically mean that the Mets could reacquire him for Peralta. But I’m not sure either side wants to do that, because it seems to me that the Brewers valued Williams higher than the Mets did in the first place. I still like Williams, just not as a third baseman or shortstop. It’s also kind of hard to find second basemen and center fielders that can hit too, so he wouldn’t be out of place.
Well the Mets viewed AJ Ewing as the better prospect than Williams and they were right.
I’m trying to figure out why they’re so down on Emmanuel Rodriguez. Is it just that he can’t stay healthy?
That and there are some big hit tool questions.
Give me almost every single “Launchers Layered by Defense” over almost every single “Contact Maven.”
The only exceptions are Brayden Taylor (who scares the heck out of me) and Hammond and Caceres (who look fantastic).
I’m not totally convinced that Marek Houston, Yolfran Castillo, Brady Ebel, and Kevin Alvarez belong on a Top 100 list. They’re good prospects but I have questions about the impact.
If I’m the Guardians I am sending out Genao at second base once he is ready and moving Bazzana to left field. Eric was right about Bazzana’s defense. Maybe they can hide him out there. I don’t think they’re likely to trade him for an actual outfielder though, teams do not like challenge trades at all even if it helps both teams.
As a Twins fan, I’ve followed and watched Marek Houston a lot this year in his first full pro season.
Everything about him just screams “high floor, low ceiling” prospect, for good and for ill. Likely to be a solid but not spectacular shortstop. Good but not great feel for contact. A little power, but nothing to write home about. I find it highly likely he will at least be able to stick as a backup infielder on MLB rosters, and I find it highly unlikely he is ever good enough (at least in a flashy way) to make an All-Star team.
I am pretty high on Culpepper. If he’s as good as I think he’s going to be then Marek Houston is never going to get a chance for the Twins.
Houston’s defense is going to have to be really good to be a first division regular.
Feel pretty good about my assertion the other day that Kade Anderson, Ryan Sloan, and Seth Hernandez are the three best pitching prospects in baseball. I’d put them in that order, but I’ve seen enough people put them the other way around that I’m not sure I’d say there’s a consensus. Eric and Brendan even have Sloan as a 55.
I think people don’t quite realize exactly how crazy the run environment is in the Seattle affiliates, and I don’t really trust any pitcher until they are within shouting distance of the majors anyway. But yeah, the stuff…the stuff is real.
Maybe I’m misunderstanding your point but in any event Anderson and Sloan are working in the best pitcher’s park in the minors in Arkansas, according to Baseball America (though the talent is obviously real).
Maybe I am mixing it up with another affiliate?
Inland Empire, Everett, and Tacoma are all extreme hitter’s environments. Arkansas is one of the toughest hitting environments in the minors, but the road stadiums are pretty hitter friendly from my understanding.
So maybe I mixed them all up. I bet I mixed it up with Everett, that is ringing a bell for me.
Nice to see Elian Pena enter the list but whoa, the fall of the rest of the Mets farm + graduation leaves things feeling barren
Yikes, I knew the chase rate for Eduardo Tait wasn’t going to be good given the somewhat disappointing season he’s been having, but that is even worse than I thought. Dead worst on that table and it isn’t close.
There is a lot of catching competition in MN’s system now with them taking Lackey and Tinney in the draft. Tait is still very young, but he’s a post-2027 40-man add, so he’s kind of in a weird spot right now as a prospect. A lot can change in a year though, so we’ll see what happens.
christian arguelles went from a. 35+ to a 50 in four months apparently from the Rockies list in march?
only noticed that because I pulled a /99 auto of his and was floored when I saw FG have him so much lower than the industry. I have no opinion but seems like something went awry on the Rockies list
I mean, he hadn’t ever played above the DSL and when he came stateside and put up similar numbers against better competition he got a big bump. Seems reasonable to me.
I would guess that if he was promoted to Double A today and posted a 1.100 OPS for the rest of the season he’d probably be a 65 FV for next season.
De pena is a better prospect than Griffin was. Better body, defense, power
Why has Leo De Vries suddenly become a slap hitting groundballer this year (relative to his history)?
And what did the Mets do to Jonah Tong?
That’s in-line with what Leo was doing with the Padres. His power breakout post-trade came out of nowhere. Eric had him at 25/55 game power in June of 2025. The last paragraph of that writeup is still how I feel about him today:
His process has clearly changed. Look at GB rates
2024: 32.4%
2025: 30%
2026: 42.6
His raw power has roughly stayed the same, his HR/FB% is still better than when he was with the Padres, but he’s not lifting the ball near as much.
Emil Morales is missing from the Key Hitter Data table at the end
Now I’ve got Sir Mix a Lot stuck in my head. Thanks a lot Eric
Justin Gonzales is an interesting rankings case. I think Eric used to be the low man but now he’s got a double arrow up and a Yandy Diaz comp. Meanwhile BA, which was the first to push Gonzales, recently yanked him off their 100. I’m not usually too obsessed with list side by sides but it certainly seems like he’s a tough eval.
I guess I’m really not on Jarlin Susana. That’s…aggressive.
I am on Alex Frias. Stuffed like a Thanksgiving turkey.
I am definitely not having Thanksgiving dinner at your house then.
Yolfran being the only one of the bunch with an EV90 below 100–how often do we see prospects improve that/Max EV substantially? He’s young and has a projectable build, but is this fairly normal?
Interesting to track divergences with other outlets. I’m curious about Seaver King. Keith Law speaks highly, and King’s performance speaks highly, too.
Time will tell but with a walk rate at ~10% I’m starting to shy more towards Law’s evaluations? We’ll see!
It makes a lot of sense for the Red Sox to give Franklin Arias reps at second. I think he will stick at short but I see the reps at 2nd as a way to give them flexibility considering how muddled the middle infield has been. They have been targeting middle infielders to trade for a while if the get a shortstop who’s not on an expiring deal it makes a lot sense. Or if they get a short term solution at short that they are happy with giving him reps at second gives them an avenue to call him up later in the season without asking him to learn a position on the fly
I don’t know, it is not like the Red Sox have any credible shortstops ahead of him in the organization right now.
If Masyn Winn or Geraldo Perdomo or somehow wound up in the Red Sox organization it would totally make sense to shift him to second but Story looks totally done and Mayer looks like an oft-injured utility guy.
Im still a believer in Mayer if he can stay on the field. Watching guys like Jordan Walker, Kyle Harrison, Miguel Vargas, etc develop this year as post-hype guys is a reminder that sometimes theese guys need time. Mayer’s bat speed/raw power and decent contact rates is too intruiging at SS to give up on IMO
How would you feel about Mayer and a pitcher (say Early) for Neto?
I like Early, but maybe more than others. And based on the trade value series Neto’s value is pretty high, so I don’t think that comes close to getting it done. That’s probably more like Early + Eyanson + Gonzales.
And for the record, I would not do that if I were the Red Sox. Neto’s trade value is higher than I expected, so I wouldn’t want to do that trade from the Red Sox side.
Mayer has never “stayed on the field”. He’s had injury issues every year since being drafted
Who are you moving Arias off SS for? Arias is a better defender than Mayer and Story is a lot older.
To me it would make much more sense to play Arias at SS and have Mayer/Story/Siegler at 2B in some capacity
Even if they go out an acquire, say Neto or Abrams, Arias is probably a better defender than both of those guys. Arias SS/Neto 2B for instance would make more sense than the opposite.