Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 5/15/14
11:48 |
: I should just open this like a minute before we chat, that way I could maybe keep up with the stream of questions. Nevertheless, I’ll be here in ten minutes.
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11:49 |
: And in the meantime, enjoy the song that introduced me to indie hip hop.
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11:49 |
:
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12:00 |
Hey Eno. If you’re asked about a player is your default response based on real baseball or fantasy? |
12:00 |
: Great question. Real, I think, but context is huge. Here, fantasy.
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12:00 |
Think Zach Britton is worth a stash at this point? |
12:00 |
: Has the velocity and lack of platoon splits over O’Day, but not the Ks you want from closer. I kind of think Hunter may hold on. His manager isn’t jumping ship.
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12:00 |
Am I worth stashing with these recent Tribe injuries? |
12:01 |
: Problem looks like it’ll be posiiton. With chiz raking and Santana playing, you really need Swish to go down.
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12:01 |
Okay to drop Alex Wood in very shallow leagues? I really not that roster spot. |
12:01 |
: Ten teamer maybe not twelve teamer. I want him in 12 and deeper.
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12:02 |
In an ottoneau league, I was offered pagan and Lindor for Gregory polanco. Should I do it? |
12:02 |
: I don’t think that’s enough. Because of his plate discipline, five toolsyness, and top-ten status, you might be able to push Polanco’s bust rate down to 25%.
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12:02 |
How was Tired Hands completely missing from the April’s hottest beer article? |
12:03 |
: Was only new beers in the last month. Didn’t show up on my query. Did they debut something fun that got a lot of distro recently? If it was only in their tasting room, might not have had enough sample to show up.
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12:03 |
That was a pretty rough first outing for Gausman, think he stays up? |
12:03 |
: I hope he gets one more chance. So many fastballs. Want more offspeed.
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12:03 |
Is there any chance Eduardo Nunez can maintain regular playing time in Minnesota ROS? If so, can he have any potential fantasy upside? |
12:04 |
: There’s talk of Santana in CF, so maybe. He’s got some bat, no glove.
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12:04 |
What will it take for you to become a true believer in Juan Francisco? I get that we’re dealing with a small sample size, but I find it strange that experts seem to be so convinced that he can’t be for real… |
12:05 |
: A crazy BABIP is masking what will most likely be a low batting average, but dude can rip it and is buying into that Jay’s high-FB rate philosophy. Career power year coming.
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12:05 |
Hey Eno, do you know how often pitchers in Japan tear their UCL? I can’t imagine it’s anywhere near the rate we are experiencing here, thanks for answering. |
12:05 |
: They do get an extra day of rest!
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12:05 |
Are you concerned by anything you’ve seen so far from Stroman and Gausman in their brief major league stints this season? Predictions for whether Gausman will stay in the rotation, and when we should expect to see Stroman’s first official start? Thanks! |
12:06 |
: Gausman’s lack of a breaker concerns me. Stroman’s homers do a bit, but I think he’ll figure it out.
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12:06 |
Any word out as to when Kole Calhoun makes his return? Given the ankle injury that sidelined him, should we expect very few stolen bases the rest of the way? |
12:07 |
: Ankle’s no hammy. he’s running the bases and I think he can steal some later.
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12:07 |
Is Asdrubal Cabrera about to turn on the power/speed combo? |
12:07 |
: OH IS HE EVER going to hit 14 homers and steal 10 bases.
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12:07 |
Giancarlo Stanton is my hero. That is all. |
12:08 |
A guy in my league just dropped B. Phillips. I have Zobrist going on DL (apparently). OK to drop C. Owings for B. Phillips? Need the 2B eligibility. |
12:09 |
: Sure, I don’t see a lot of counting stats in Owings’ future and am unsure of the batting average.
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12:10 |
James Paxton. Add him now if you have room? |
12:10 |
: Mixed league upside for sure. Watch the gun.
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12:10 |
I am officially afraid of any young hard-throwing SP who hasn’t had TJ surgery yet. All ticking time bombs. |
12:10 |
: Just get quantity.
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12:10 |
Do you think LD% has little predictive value, and if so why? |
12:11 |
: Because it’s very hard to judge and it’s judged by humans. Check it out next game you watch with a friend. Decide for yourselves if it was a line drive and then check with each other.
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12:11 |
What is wrong with Justin Verlander? |
12:11 |
: Everything’s just a little bit worse. Offseason surgery doesn’t help.
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12:11 |
ENO. I want to flip Blackmon before he remembers that he’s Charlie Blackmon. It’s a keeper league where he would be keepable in the 15th round. Give me a SS that I should ask for, and one that I could probably get. Danke! |
12:12 |
: I don’t hate Segura like some. Castro seems possible, might be the first name you drop.
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12:12 |
ENO!!!! Keeper league, Rendon for Dozier? |
12:12 |
: there’s something I like about Rendon’s real-life swing better, but in fantasy, Dozier’s speed will provide a big boost even if he doesn’t improve the BABIP and batting average.
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12:12 |
Could we possibly see the DH in the NL one of these years? |
12:14 |
: Oh yeah it’s coming. I totally bet it’s coming. How annoying is it for an NL GM to consider who his once-a-week DH will be? And giving every team a 26th roster spot and every team a DH could be a chip the owners give the players in bargaining. (that’s another job)
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12:14 |
Do you think Gavin Floyd is worth owning in a 12 team league |
12:14 |
: Just put some claims in on him in 15 and 14 but doubt in 12. Nice thing is that he’s in the NL now, and is trying to throw a change (more on this for Fox on Monday).
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12:14 |
hi papa Sarris! |
12:15 |
![]() I want it to be public knowledge that I traded away Jose Fernandez mere hours before he tore his UCL for a kings ransom. The buyer has vowed never to trade with me again. |
12:15 |
Is there any study done with average player age of TJ surgery? Is there a point in your career where you’d be significantly less likely to need it? Seems like the TJ players are on the young side? |
12:16 |
: No, but Tim Hudson disagrees. I’m not going to do that though I’m not going to break out one name. There might be something to this idea, that if you’re going to get TJ, you’re going to get it early and often and if not you might never.
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12:16 |
Is Freeman a reasonable return to target in exchange for Sonny Gray? |
12:16 |
: yes!
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12:16 |
Hello Eno! Would you sell Jose Abreu for Rizzo + Cashner if you needed the pitching? THanks! |
12:16 |
MOOKIE BETTS: ignore the callup, and when. But WHAT will that dude be in the MLB? Is this zobrist idea legit? I know this happens to a prospect every so often but rarely someone that is so built for baseball. And the ‘stache. I love him. I want to know what he will be, when he’s arrived. Not when. |
12:17 |
: What a good guy too. Why not Pedroia-esque? Both short. I know the swings are different, maybe a little less power for Mookie, more speed.
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12:17 |
When do you think Kris Bryant makes it to Chicago? He worth a season long stash in 12 team 10 kept mixed keeper leagues? |
12:17 |
: If they move him to the OF, soon. If not, September and no probably.
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12:18 |
Wily Peralta, I’m not sure what to make of him. xFIP sits at 3.34, ERA sits at 2.05, walking less people, HR/FB up. What gives with this lad? |
12:18 |
: Early to buy an improved walk rate on a guy that has inconsistent command. I’m trying to sell but not finding buyers.
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12:18 |
Is Keuchel is better than Pomeranz right? Is it time to sell high on Garrett Richards i paid a buck for him as was wondering if i could flip for a better pitcher? |
12:19 |
: I’d rather have Keuchel, Biggus. Richards is legit, but maybe you could get a buy low SP and an improvement elsewhere in a two-for-two.
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12:19 |
:
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12:20 |
My Pujols for his Choo in OBP H2H giving away too much? I’m thinking that Pujols is out performing his peripherals, do you agree? |
12:20 |
: There was that Podhorzer piece about his batted ball distance, plus the fact that Pujols is an injury risk and looks as slow as ever on the basepaths. In OBP… yeah I like it.
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12:20 |
Please discuss your thoughts on multicollinearity that may exist among independent variables such as age, innings pitched increase, and pitch count limits, with dependent variable arm injuries to starting pitchers who are ppe jopJPOJJ OMG I AM A WEREWOLF |
12:20 |
Think Doolittle has the edge now to be the A’s closer? |
12:21 |
: He has the gas, the Ks, and the K-BBs, but Cook has gas and is a righty. But I’ll take Doolittle over anyone, especially since he’s cost-controlled and not sucking.
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12:21 |
What’s the deal with Heyward? Career high FB% with a really low HR/FB… but his BABIP is kinda high for a guy batting only .205, is it time to lower expectations on this guy? |
12:22 |
: I’ve pushed my batting average expectations for him down to .250/.260 tops. But power could come in bunches.
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12:22 |
![]() Lucas Duda Update: Got food poisoning from a rabid clerk, stupid food. |
12:22 |
years ago 4 man rotations and 40 starts were “normal”…now 5 Man rotations are the norm….why not evolve into 6? if it could be shown to significantly lessen the risk of major arm injury…. |
12:22 |
: You need ten pitchers to get through the season anyway. I like it.
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12:22 |
Was desperate for hitting, so cashed in my Kazmir for their Pence. Have Kluber (card carrying member of the society) and Smyly to help fill Kaz’s spot. Was this as much of a no-brainer as I thought it was? |
12:23 |
: yes
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12:23 |
![]() I find this incredibly interesting. |
12:23 |
: Yes but the problem is that might be exactly when he was hurt, not a predictor. But we know from Kalk and Zimmerman that zone%, velocity loss and release point shenanigans are things we can look for. By the way, Brian Wilson has all of these things right now.
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12:24 |
What do you do with a last place fantasy team (redraft league) at this point in the season? Hold on and don’t panic? Or do you start making high-risk/high-reward moves because you have nothing to lose? |
12:24 |
: I go for some more high-reward pickups around the edges and see if I can spot a sell-low. There’s still time.
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12:24 |
Yasiel Puig went from the most talked about/most likely to disappoint in the early part of season to now never talked about/best player in baseball beyod tulotrout as it’s gone on. Do you believe? Can he produce what he’s pacing? Somewhere in 80-90 runs, 30 homers, 100 rbi, 15 steals, .290-300? 900+ ops? |
12:25 |
: I never stopped believing. I think the batting average may go down in the future, he has a lot of swing and miss in his game. And health might be an issue. But he’s great.
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12:25 |
Our cats don’t freak out when they hear dogs, birds, bears, cows, or any adult human sounds – or cat sounds for that matter- on the tv. But a baby crying causes a startling of the mega variety. |
12:26 |
: oh boy. that sort of thing tends to play off each other, too, until you’re left sobbing at three am in a corner as you try to sing a lullaby and tell the dog to shut up
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12:26 |
I need to fill a hole with 1 player, which of these players should I consider most? Parra, Rasmus, Norris, Smoak, Viciedo, Plouffe or David Murphy. |
12:27 |
: Viciedo and Plouffe have changed their plate discipline in a way I really like.
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12:27 |
I own votto, bruce, pence, v-mart, Hill, Jupton, Byrd and just traded for Abreu. I’m in last in HR/RBI. Tell me there are better times ahead. |
12:27 |
: Votto owners having RBI troubles, it’s true. I feel lik you’ll be okay.
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12:27 |
Help be get ENO-culated, bro. I’m in a points based 10-team dynasty league. I’m trying to move Adam Jones because I have been scared of his contact issues for years. Is getting Dozier enough of a return? What kind of 2B or 3B should I be targeting? |
12:28 |
: It’s okay but because of name power, you should ask for more. Ask for a throw-in young SP with some uspide.
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12:28 |
:
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12:29 |
Let’s play a game called Minor League Baseball Player’s Name or Name Of A Beer. 1: Bushyhead. 2: Bear Bay. 3: Karmeliet. 4: Baudoinia. 5: Lantigua. 6: Berazzled. 7: Maracujipa |
12:29 |
: I’ve seen the answers and wow.
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12:29 |
![]() IT'S AN EN-SARUS! |
12:29 |
: Creepy.
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12:29 |
Punted pitching, now I’l rolling with a rotation that includes Hudson, Chavez, Kennedy, and Kazmir. i have no fingernails left. Should I relax and count on them to keep on keeping on? |
12:29 |
: Sell high on Kazmir.
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12:29 |
Thoughts on Chris Davis ROS. |
12:29 |
: Yes.
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12:30 |
Is Kuechel now an aalways start for you? |
12:30 |
: yes
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12:30 |
Explain why there is absolutely NO love for Daniel Murphy. If he could hit 15 homers vs 10-12, he’s essentially Jason Kipnis minus strikeouts. As a mets fan, constantly confused why arguably our current best player moving forward is constantly ignored by most baseball writers. |
12:31 |
: No patience, iffy defense, no standout tool, no saber standout tool. I like the Mets and I think they should trade him before he’s only a third baseman. But! I do think his approach is under-rated. Spray line drives and reap the BABIP.
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12:31 |
Eno I drafted a bunch of old guys, a lot of whom look real old. What do you of Dwright? I’m tempted to move him for pitching help. Would you trade Wright and Kuroda for Shields? I’ve got Alvarez stuck on my bench and lost Medlen, Corbin and Nova to TJ. |
12:32 |
: I like Wright, but Alvarez is doing great things wrt plate discipline. This is defensible.
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12:32 |
Will Will Smith get a shot to close in MIL t all this year? I see the Crew falling out of contention and selling K-Rod…feasible? |
12:32 |
: Totally feasible except that he’s available every year and only gets traded every other year.
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12:32 |
Would you rank Salazar higher or lower than normal in a 10-team league with QS, K/9 and IP? |
12:33 |
: Higher because a starter with K rate like that is wow.
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12:33 |
Can Mike Fiers come up and succeed? |
12:33 |
: That fastball says no.
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12:33 |
With Calhoun and Cuddyer nearing returns from the DL is it worth flipping A Jax for a closer if I’m really hurting for saves? |
12:33 |
: I hate to trade for saves. Usually the wire provides.
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12:34 |
![]() Jose Fernandez |
12:34 |
Tepesch is __ team ownable? |
12:34 |
: 16-18. GBer so upside is low.
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12:34 |
Jeurys Familia worth adding? |
12:35 |
: I think it’s eventually Mejia, but Familia might get first shot.
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12:35 |
Chase Anderson was very impressive in his first big league start. What do you see going forward? Throw him out there against the Dodgers? |
12:35 |
: Not in a 12-teamer. Great change-up and 93 mph fastball but that’s a decent lineup and he has no pedigree.
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12:35 |
It was almost $9 per bottle!! |
12:35 |
: yah craft beer is like that
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12:36 |
Beckett’s velocity is up this season compared to 2012 & 2013. But his last few starts his velocity is actually down compared to his first few starts of 2014. How do you value velocity trends? |
12:36 |
: Usually velocity is steady so fluctuations matter.
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12:36 |
Seeing tons of writers talking about how Puig has “grown up” with his new approach. Shouldn’t we wait more than 14 games to attribute that? |
12:37 |
: No, because Puig stopped reaching as much late last year too.
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12:37 |
Colenoscopy. |
12:37 |
What do you think of streaming Quintana vs Houston or Roark vs NYM? |
12:37 |
: Q please.
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12:37 |
Let’s say Brad Miller gets sent down to AAA tomorrow. Do you recommend holding on to him in a 10-team AL-only league? I can’t begin to describe the pain I would feel if I dropped him, only to have him return shortly thereafter and watch a competitor reap the rewards!!! |
12:37 |
: If he’s sent down, it’s bad news for him this year. there’s Chris Taylor and Nick Franklin. I’d move on if that happens.
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12:38 |
Eno what is your second favorite sport as a fan? (I assume baseball occupies the number 1 spot) |
12:38 |
: Basketball. Pro.
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12:38 |
Odorizzi looked good last night. Is he last years’ Jarred Cosart? |
12:38 |
: No, he has one pitch (the new splitter) and nothing else.
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12:38 |
Hi from Chicago Eno. What do you make of the rotation situation in Atl? Do you see Harang out any time soon? |
12:38 |
: I think Wood comes back, but it’ll probably be injury that does it.
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12:39 |
![]() Old catching gear patent. |
12:39 |
: Trying to find that answer on the MiLB/Beer thing. This queue is loaded.
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12:39 |
Hi Eno. Who do you like better, Yelich or Calhoun? |
12:39 |
: Yelich in keepers. More pedigree, younger, more upside.
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12:39 |
Hey Eno, is Yangervis Solarte a reliable starter? He strikes me as a Martin Prado lite |
12:40 |
: Good comp. I wouldn’t give him too much power upside with that swing.
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12:40 |
Does the slider or the split finger cause more stress on a pitchers arm? |
12:40 |
: Been talking that up with people. I think personally the split is tougher on the forearm (League said as much) and the slider on the elbow.
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12:40 |
tired hands is almost 100% at their tasting room only. They are working on a 2nd location now, though I’m not sure if that means more distribution or if it’ll just be a second tasting room. |
12:40 |
How many saves do you think Benoit ends up with this year? |
12:41 |
: 10
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12:41 |
I feel like I’ll try to submit 5000 Mookie Betts questions in here in hopes they’re seen. End of day – if you do decide to answer this, i imagine it won’t be for lack of originality. As a BoSox fan, i am 0% concerned with him being called up now – that type of hype isn’t my thing. But I do not want the bosox to make him a phillie for lee, for example – and the reason being is that I see him as being an ELITE mlb player, top 25 guy in league, within the next few years. Am I being too homer-ish or is that possible? |
12:41 |
: No I love everything about him other than power upside. I’m guessing we’ll see a position switch soon.
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12:41 |
You trust Salazar at TOR today? HRs and walks are down last 3 starts |
12:42 |
: Trust is a strong word. I’m throwing him in most leagues.
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12:42 |
I’m getting quite scared with Wright. He showed great skills last year and I thought he was going to have a nice 2014, but he has terrible plate discipline/zero power right now…in a terrible lineup. Should I try to move him in my keeper league while he still has “name value”? |
12:42 |
: I think he’s a 15-20 HR guy these days and the speed will begin to drop quickly.
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12:43 |
ANSWERS: 1. MiLB. 2: MiLB. 3: beer. 4: beer. 5: MiLB. 6: beer. 7: beer. |
12:43 |
: phew. there it is. the bear one was a player!!
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12:43 |
Dropped AJ for Kluber … you sign off on that? |
12:43 |
: Sure.
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12:43 |
I tried to draft a very balanced HR/SB team, but my guys are not running. Cespedes, Adam Jones, Victrino have combined for 4 steals. Is there hope for these guys on the horizon? |
12:44 |
: I think you’ll get 15-20 from them tops. Stolen bases drop off so quickly. We had a piece on them from Zimm — aging SBs just as a stat — and they disappear quickly.
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12:44 |
Looking to move Wheeler for a bat. What’s a fair return? Morneau, Reyes, Adams, Headley? |
12:44 |
: I’d take any of those guys!
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12:45 |
Is Jose Abreu the next Mark Trumbo…only Cuban and slightly better OBP? |
12:45 |
: I think the batting average will be better. We’ll see about the walk rate, still early going for that.
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12:45 |
Help Please! Do I trade Prince Fielder for Allen Craig and Lester? I currently have Votto and Morneua. Dynasty League 12 team H2H |
12:45 |
: Trade Prince but not for Craig. He’s a .280/18 guy for me and that’s not super exciting.
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12:46 |
does that rash of high profile young arms falling to TJ change the way you value young prospects? seems like it’s terrifically easy to overpay/overrate, with the 20-60% chance you’re buying a two year gap in production… |
12:46 |
: I’ve always felt this way about prospects: trade em.
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12:46 |
Desperate for steals in an OBP league. Is my keepable Matt Carpenter for his non-keepable Altuve a little too much? I don’t mind a slight overpay, just want to check if this is sane. |
12:47 |
: Sane to me. OBP league makes it hurt a bit, but sane.
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12:47 |
Bigger risk of losing their closer job – Hunter or Rosenthal? |
12:47 |
: Hunter is less talented so I’ll take him (to lose his job earlier).
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12:47 |
: They had to keep his innings down somehow.
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12:47 |
Safe to say sit Erlin in Col this weekend? |
12:48 |
: yeah curveballs don’t work there.
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12:48 |
:
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12:49 |
Is Andrew McCutchen one of the most overrated players in baseball? His HR have been steadily declining and he’s not stealing bases despite a ton of walks. |
12:49 |
: In fantasy, maybe. If his peak SBs are behind him and he’s not going to add 30 homer power…
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12:49 |
Kipnis come back and play like a top 3 2b from here out? |
12:49 |
: I got no problems with Kipnis so far.
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12:49 |
Wheeler for Cobb or Calhoun a fair offer? |
12:49 |
: Sure but I want the Cobb or Calhoun side.
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12:50 |
Brad Miller HAS to be better than this…cut bait and miss his correction or is he a true albatross this year? |
12:50 |
: In 12-teamers, it’s time to move on. The plate discipline is too far gone.
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12:50 |
How can Dickerson see his way to PT in the crowded Rox OF? |
12:50 |
: Injuries to the old men.
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12:50 |
johnny cueto’s LOB% is 99.5%, I’ve never seen that before, thought you should know. The all time record in a season is Candelaria in 1977 with 88.8% |
12:51 |
When Dirks/Hanrahan come back (should be around the same time), what two players get the heave-ho? |
12:51 |
: Probably JD Martinez but Dirks has options, so if JDM goes off..
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12:51 |
alex meyer or jimmy nelson a better stash for fantasy purposes? Think either can give you a meaningful bump? |
12:51 |
: MEYER I like him, and yes, and maybe soon, maybe July.
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12:52 |
Will Jamie Garcia keep a rotation spot in Stl as long as he’s healthy? |
12:52 |
: Yeah he’s better than Lyons, probably.
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12:52 |
Pre-season darling Tommy La Stella get a shot when??? |
12:52 |
: July or maybe even before that — depends on Pena now. Or injury.
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12:53 |
Starting Skaggs, Salazar and Kennedy today? Thanks! |
12:53 |
: Yes
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12:53 |
Do you know anything about Jon Singleton? Seems insane that the ‘stros would call up springer but not him – considering he has more production in AAA than all 3 players currently manning 1b in Houston do combined. I hate super 2. |
12:54 |
: well there’s maybe a bit more mitigating circumstances surrounding the personnel at first base (harder to cut some of those guys) and the fact that Singleton’s game has been up and down in the minors and his new K% could take some time to solidify and all that… you’re right.
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12:54 |
Sandoval’s looking better at the plate, SSS or has he changed his approach back to what it was previously? |
12:54 |
: Absolutely swinging at more first pitches now and looking more aggressive. Still think .280/15+ is possible RoS.
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12:55 |
With a new cutter and an impressive K/BB ratio, how long before you are a believer in Aaron Harang? |
12:55 |
: It’s still a cutter and a slider, which is just a weird combo.
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12:55 |
time to panic on Everth Cabrera? |
12:56 |
: .250/10/30 is still within reach. other than last year, that would make sense for this point in his career, no?
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12:56 |
Whats up with Everth Cabrera |
12:56 |
: just returned to his baseline contact rate.
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12:56 |
Swap baez for mookie? Baez had looked awful in AAA. |
12:57 |
: Betts is in way better bust buckets other than his prospect ranking, which I think will change. So different. Baez big swing, bad discipline, more power. Betts less exciting HR/SB stats, but BA/OBP should be way better. And floor way higher.
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12:57 |
So this year, I drafted or picked up….Reyes, W. Ramos, R. Zimmerman, Kipnis, Josh Hamilton, Kole Calhoun, Sale, Jose Fernandez, and Gee…along with Beltran and Rasmus. Should I just stay away from Fantasy Baseball next season, for the good of the game? |
12:57 |
Are you buying McCarthyism? |
12:58 |
: New velocity makes him cromulent but not excellent. Still no change, holding him back.
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12:58 |
Had double IPA from Flying Dog last night in honor of Montero’s first start. Didn’t know where I was by the 6th. Your thoughts on Flying Dog as an overall brewer? and Montero’s stuff? |
12:59 |
: Okay. Haven’t been wowed by anything, despite loving Steadman’s art. Montero had great command of a good fastball but I was really worried about how much he loved it and how I didn’t see much of his offspeed stuff. Lines up with reports that question his third pitch.
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12:59 |
Derrick Norris is slashing .352/.441/.557, please tell me why I should or shouldn’t buy in. |
12:59 |
: Only problem is Norris is a righty and Jaso is a lefty and Jaso is going pretty well.
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1:00 |
If you owned Fernandez in a keep 10 of 26 league, how do you evaluate current trade offers vs. the value lost in burning a keeper spot for next season? I was offered Kluber by one owner and CJ Wilson by another. |
1:00 |
: 10-15% failure rate on the surgery, otherwise, Fernandez should be at 90% of himself next year.
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1:00 |
Is Kuroda done? Lost Jose F. need a live body. |
1:01 |
: AS good as anyone despite the inconsistent slider.
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1:01 |
have you ever seen that movie Star Trek II: Wrath of Khan? ever watched it and pictured Corey Kluber’s face on Khan’s body the whole movie? Heard Kluber’s name instead of Khan’s all movie? Me too…. |
1:01 |
This is one of those rare occasions where there are two Grahams gathered together. |
1:01 |
Is my breakout going to sustain? |
1:01 |
: homers should slow down.
|
1:02 |
Would you trade Eaton ($9)/Adams ($1)/Bogaerts ($1)/Rosenthal ($1) for Goldschmidt ($11) in a keeper? Got depth in OF, SS, RP. |
1:02 |
: Yes. Goldy at good price too.
|
1:02 |
Bogaerts struggling in my 12-team keeper league. Would you ride any of these bats and while Xander figures it out or just play match-ups? – Alcides Escobar, Erick Aybar, JJ Hardy, Brandon Crawford, Chris Owings, or Brad Miller? |
1:03 |
: Owings and Alcides catch my eye. You could stream Alcides against teams that can’t stop the run.
|
1:03 |
Dallas Keuchel. His ownership % is absurdly low (at least in ESPN leages). He’s gotta be worth a roster spot in a 12 team mixed (w/ QS, not W), right? |
1:03 |
: tes
|
1:03 |
I am getting ridicule for declining this trade in an OPS Keeper: I get Billy H. and Hosmer, I trade Carlos Gomez an Alex Cobb. I’m bad, and they say I should be going for next year. I say, too much for Gomez? YOu say……… |
1:04 |
: You’re doing the right thing. Although trading Cobb for a position player is a great idea given where you are.
|
1:04 |
Sell Verlander for Alvarez and Fister? Have Machado/Headley currently at 3B. Need HRs. |
1:04 |
: Give Headley some time, he’s doing something right in the power department right now.
|
1:04 |
Matt Holliday has a lower ISO and SLG than Dee Gordon…is this a problem? |
1:05 |
: I’ve been waiting to see how age would come for Holliday. I thought it might be injury. it could be power.
|
1:05 |
Kipnis for Dozier…yes really. Thoughts? |
1:05 |
: I’ll still take Kipnis, but it’s clear Dozier is a top-5 guy at his position.
|
1:05 |
Internet |
1:05 |
who has gotten 3 TJs? |
1:05 |
: Brian Wilson will.
|
1:06 |
Trying to trade a pitcher, which one do I try to sell: Wacha, Lester, Verlander? |
1:06 |
: Verlander going to get you the most back.
|
1:06 |
Should I hold on to Mejia in hopes that he becomes the Mets closer? |
1:06 |
: At least for a week or two.
|
1:06 |
You tweeted about using a new methodology to spot weaknesses in aggregate lineups. Given our futility last night, can you say that team x is terrible vs. a quality pitch type y and predict z? |
1:08 |
: I was using the pitch type values on the team level and I’m not sure that’s a good idea. Those values only measure what happened on those pitches and miss out on context. But maybe on the team level? The Jays were mediocre against FB, Kluber has mediocre FB, and Kluber Kluberized them.
|
1:08 |
Ello Eno! Is Kazmir’s velocity drop troublesome to you? Only 1 MPH really, was offered Lester and Eaton for Kaz but starting to consider it. Thanks thanks! |
1:08 |
: Take that deal. How can you project Kaz into full PT going forward?
|
1:09 |
I didn’t draft Tanaka, because I thought my expectations were too high considering I am a yankee fan… I gotta learn to draft using my gut and intuition, not my heart. Do you get caught drafting with your heart sometimes? |
1:09 |
: Been playing fantasy too long. No heart.
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1:09 |
:
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1:09 |
Is Cron a dec util option when he plays? 12 team mixer |
1:10 |
: The BB% and glove are iffy, but he could be Trumbo-esque.
|
1:10 |
Taken out of context quote of the day is from “No Depth”: I need to fill a hole |
1:10 |
Did you know if you press Alt + F4 at the same time it shows hidden features on every website. |
1:10 |
What is it that makes David Ortiz still so dominant at his age, Eno? |
1:10 |
Alex Gordon is officially worthless, right? Not hitting for average, not driving in runs, not hitting homers, and not stealing bases. Should I dump him for Mr. George Springer? (outhomering Alex 3-1) |
1:11 |
: The speed wasn’t going to stick around that long. He could still hit 18 or so homers pretty easily… Springer might not hit that many and wil do it with a worse BA. Look at your batting average to decide.
|
1:11 |
RE: Goat & the cat’s meow – Cats meowing evolved over time with domestication. It’s not something you’ll ever see in a wild cat. The thought is that it developed from mimicking a baby’s cry. |
1:12 |
God, can the braves just cut uggla already? I can’t remove him from my roster unless he is dled, demoted or released. What is the point of keeping him if you wont play him? He isnt a defensive replacement. Its pointless. Somebody tell the Braves to get their heads outof their asses |
1:12 |
: He’s close to gone. You’re right, all he is a an RHB off the bench.
|
1:12 |
Is Rizzo a good 1B to try to buy low on in a keeper before he explodes? |
1:12 |
: Time running out.
|
1:12 |
Is it time to jettison old time formerly reliable stalwarts like Cole Hamels and Bartolo Colon..? they’re Killin me…. |
1:13 |
: No! and yes. Colon homer rate problem for so long, except in Oakland. I’d drop.
|
1:13 |
Shelby Miller? Buy, Hold, sell? |
1:13 |
: hold to buy. I’m not as concerned as some.
|
1:13 |
ENO how do you like your steak? Rare, medium rare, or medium? (Let it be known that these are the only acceptable ways to order steak) |
1:14 |
: rare, though sometimes I’ll go medium rare. I’m German! I’ve eaten raw horse, raw cow, raw chicken, raw deer, raw fish, raw shellfish…
|
1:14 |
You posted my question (Abreu for Rizzo + Cashner) but you didn’t post an answer??? |
1:14 |
: Oh it didn’t come through? Yes.
|
1:15 |
why wont eric hosmer hit the long balls? |
1:15 |
: Because he loves the ground balls. (dirty)
|
1:17 |
: sorry tech difficulties on this plane I’m on
|
1:17 |
Rendon has been great this year, but he oddly hasn’t walked much at all and thus has a low OBP. He’s walked every stage of the minors and had a pretty good walk rate last year. Will he get that up? |
1:18 |
: Yes he will get that up. (dirty)
|
1:18 |
Tell me you’ve listened to “More Than Any Other Day” by Ought. |
1:18 |
: on the new release? Yup! good stuff.
|
1:18 |
Veras back? will he close? K-rod blowing it, does Hendo get a shot when he is back? |
1:18 |
: Veras won’t close, they made that decision so quickly. K-Rod seems in command right now.
|
1:19 |
at what point do we start to panic on xander |
1:19 |
: not now, not with his plate discipline.
|
1:19 |
Zach McCallister is my last starter on my team and Jason Hammel, Keuchel, Lyles are available… should I drop him and pick one up? If so, who? |
1:19 |
: Keuchel
|
1:19 |
The mere fact that more people are using GIFs and Pictures in this chat besides me is disturbing to me. You all should just let me provide the GIFs and humor. |
1:19 |
Wily Peralta and CJ Wilson: top 30 pitchers? |
1:19 |
: No, but top 50.
|
1:20 |
Should i trade krod for Kluber or Salazar just lost Fernandez |
1:20 |
: yes and it’s a choice between floor and ceiling, so look at your place in the standings.
|
1:20 |
JOHNNY CUETO’S WHIP IS INFINITY SO FAR TODAY, TIME 4 PANIC |
1:20 |
moist |
1:20 |
Eno, I think about 8 of your 10 Bold Predictions are in process of coming true. Were your predictions not bold enough, or are you just that smart? |
1:20 |
: I’ll take “both.”
|
1:21 |
Favorite teams to stream pitchers against this year? |
1:21 |
: Minny in Minny, Miami on the road, Miami in Miami, SD in PetCo.
|
1:21 |
Yu Darvish or Masahiro Tanaka? |
1:21 |
: Tanaka because of the extra year and better command, fewer sliders.
|
1:22 |
I dont understand the mets FO moving mejia to the BP. He is still young and never really got a lot of minors conditioning. His numbers are similar to Wheeler’s this in the bigs, and his milb numbers were better. But he gets bumped to the bullpen. This is another situation of Sandy loving his guys and hating guys Omar brought in? |
1:22 |
: Dunno if thats’ why. I’m in your camp but you have to acknowledge that it’s possible that this is a problem they’ve been looking at for about six years now and that he’s just not built to make it through five innings despite having a nice arsenal. Well, you don’t HAVE to acknowledge that, but I’m asking nicely.
|
1:23 |
Shaw > Familia > Doolittle? |
1:23 |
: Doolittle>Shaw>Familia
|
1:23 |
Ozuna crashed down to earth. Too late to sell in a NL only keeper? |
1:23 |
: Keep at this point. His plate discipline suggests to me that he’ll be streaky.
|
1:23 |
Swisher – any hope? I’m on the verge of purging my team of him, dunn and the lesser Davis in Milwaukee. Just drop em all? |
1:24 |
: Davis has the worst stats in the stable categories, just no idea at the plate. I might start with dropping him.
|
1:24 |
What % of FAAB would you spend on Doolittle? Do you think he is the closer now? |
1:24 |
: yeah but you can’t spend too much on a closer, because who knows. I know that Susan Slusser says he’s not the closer yet, but too many things line up for him. 15%?
|
1:25 |
Why not have Mookie learn 3B or heck, 1B, LF, RF. Its not like Ortiz will be around for long, Napoli can DH. Young, cheap talent is the way to go. |
1:25 |
: Now this is freaky. Well, Eno… he doesn’t have power for the COF or 1B/DH, and I’ve heard that he doesn’t love SS, so maybe he doesn’t have the arm for 3B.
|
1:26 |
Familia is terrible right? |
1:26 |
: No, but his pitches move so much it’s hard to depend on him. Saw him throw a fastball to Solarte that started off the inner corner and ended off the outer corner. How’s he supposed to corral that.
|
1:26 |
Chase Anderson starred alongside her sister in one episode of Baywatch in the nineties. |
1:26 |
Krod total saves on the year? |
1:26 |
: 37
|
1:27 |
Is cutting someone’s thumb off a viable solution to all these thumb injuries? |
1:27 |
Looks like they’ll be 3 new NL starters come FAAB time this weekend: Rafael Montero, Jaime Garcia, Anthony Desclafani. In what order would you pursue these guys? Read Garcia was 90-93 in rehab… |
1:27 |
: your order
|
1:27 |
Teixera has been playing great. Is this what we can expect for the rest of the year? |
1:27 |
: plus an injury
|
1:27 |
: warning: laptop batter almost kaput.
|
1:27 |
Bear Bay! http://www.baseball-referen… |
1:27 |
will myers projection? |
1:28 |
: .260/27 by end of year
|
1:28 |
eric hosmer projection? |
1:28 |
: .290/18
|
1:28 |
Yangervis, Prado comp. RE:Good comp. I wouldn’t give him too much power upside with that swing. On pace for 49 doubles and 19 HR… Plus nice K/BB of 16/17 |
1:28 |
: I’m not pacing out those power numbers.
|
1:28 |
do catchers hit better against their former batterymates? seems like they might know a pitcher’s patterns better than most. |
1:28 |
: Should look into this, but might be hard.
|
1:29 |
Mike trout is second in all of mlb in strikeouts. Of course bj is first. Of course. |
1:29 |
is “i played legion ball” the worst rationale for baseball expertise? |
1:30 |
: better than mine (I had ten at-bats for JV and a cup of coffee with varsity at Milton Academy).
|
1:30 |
Live UPDATE: Listening to the Reds announcer talk about Joey Votto is the WORST! Why do they (announcer) think they are clever telling a professional hitter it is okay to swing at balls outside the zone so they can get more RBI? |
1:30 |
: it’s an old baseball thing.
|
1:30 |
Screw it. I’m starting Bucholz today. Whats the worst that could happen.. |
1:30 |
: It’s a good matchup.
|
1:31 |
Would you trade Heyward, and replace him with Seth Smith (until Bruce comes back), for Street and Grilli if you need saves? |
1:31 |
: if you trade for saves, I really like the two closer approach. This is not crazy. .260/22/10 seems replaceable.
|
1:31 |
Chat not auto updating today…is it just me? |
1:31 |
: you are not alone. I am here with you. you are not alone. /willsmithd
|
1:32 |
I just broke down into a panic attack at the word multicollinearity. Econometricccccs |
1:32 |
Fair return for Cueto: Cespedes? |
1:32 |
: I like it. The Human Cespedes is making more contact, better BA to come.
|
1:32 |
Drop either Miller(SS/2B) or Everth(SS) for Kip(2B)? |
1:32 |
: YESSSSSSSSSS (Miller)
|
1:32 |
12:55 |
1:33 |
: Crap and my computer is almost done.
|
1:33 |
I can’t put a finger on Tyson Ross. His slider is amazing and he gets a bunch of whiffs. But he seems inconsistent. What’s your take on him? |
1:33 |
: Bad change-up, worse mechanics. Was watching in a press box and everybody was wincing when he threw.
|
1:33 |
I’m on a train. You’re in a plane. Technogy is cool. |
1:33 |
: who’s on a horse
|
1:34 |
Who do you love more, G-Rich or D-Kuechs? |
1:34 |
: Richards has all that gas, keuchel the more complete arsenal. Richards.
|
1:34 |
Everth can hit 10 homers? He has 18 in his professional career |
1:34 |
: Yeesh, Biffed that one without looking. round it down to two then.
|
1:35 |
Baseball and cricket share something. In mlb, you have a Canadian team (Toronto) yet everyone sees mlb baseball as an American sport. In the English cricket league you have one team (Glamorgan) from wales yet everyone thinks cricket in the uk is just England |
1:35 |
At what point do I stop waiting for guys with a high E-F, like Bartolo Colon? Is there more hope for some of them (those with lower FIPs, I guess)? |
1:35 |
: Also, look at fastball velocity. HR/BIP goes up with velocity down.
|
1:35 |
Long-term, still Lindor > Mookie, right? RIGHT? |
1:35 |
: not sure in fantasy. Lindor better real-life game maybe.
|
1:36 |
Has this for a doubleheader. Reading Eno’s chat and Eno’s saves and steals. Thursdays rock. |
1:36 |
: That might be my last S&S!
|
1:36 |
WE R FRENZ. R WE THE BEST !BMEN 2 HAVE IN DYNAZY LEEG?! |
1:36 |
blanks to a’s is done. what do you think? |
1:36 |
: Righty bat, they could use him, but wrong-side platoon means eh. Plus injuries.
|
1:37 |
BoneShaker IPA is the best! Should i trade krod for Kluber or Salazar just lost Fernandez |
1:37 |
: Gareth, please stop. Did I not answer this? I would trade K-Rod for a starter because I would trade almost any reliever for a starter.
|
1:37 |
Mookie just hit a homer. This is getting insane |
1:37 |
Do you think Pace may have effect on pitcher injuries? Harder you throw + faster you work = more ligament stress? |
1:38 |
: Buehrle fastest pitcher (i know i know).
|
1:38 |
Dogfish Head x Dan The Automator, Positive Contact… You try it? |
1:38 |
: Is okay, not rushing to get again.
|
1:38 |
Who pays Dr. Andrews? The Marlins? Jose? Insurance? Pro Bono? (lol) |
1:38 |
: Team I believe, as part of team health plan.
|
1:39 |
Dallas kuechel. Ha! Hes just another schmuck. |
1:39 |
: Changed his curve to a slider, gets 21% whiffs (15% is average), has changeup with plus whiffs, sinker gets 60% gbs, has everything he needs to succeed now that he turfed the bad curve.
|
1:39 |
Neftali Feliz hit 96mph. is he coming back? rotation or pen? |
1:40 |
: That’s good news. He could be relevant this year! in the pen.
|
1:40 |
Do you know you have more nerve endings in your gut than you have in your head? You can look it up. I know some of you are going to say “I did look it up, and that’s not true.” That’s ’cause you looked it up in a book. Next time, look it up in your gut. I did. My gut tells me that’s how our nervous system works. |
1:40 |
Maxamuz and juan Pierre’s moustache are the curly and moe to your Larry. |
1:41 |
: Guess Gareth is mad that I didn’t answer his eight million repeated questions in the queue.
|
1:41 |
you’re on a plane???? |
1:41 |
: And my battery is dead. Gotta go!!
|
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
I know DC has an article up, but how do you feel about Tepesch? You think he’ll stick ROS and if so, what type of numbers would you forecast? Thanks!