Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 9/5/13
11:48 |
: top of the hour you will feel my power no that’s lame I’m really more tame
|
12:01 |
And the crowd chants “Get that paper!” |
12:01 |
The man of the hour, the man with the power, too sweet to be sour. |
12:01 |
did I miss anything |
12:01 |
: just some “interesting” rap
|
12:01 |
Salazar or Walker for 2014? |
12:02 |
: Just based on my eyes, I say Salazar. Love love the changeup and the fastball. Fewer control problems in the numbers, too.
|
12:02 |
Zombie hoard is on its way. You must flee. What 3 items do you take from your house (items, not people). |
12:03 |
: Obviously the computer and all charging, listening devices that are usually attached to it. My conditioner. My jacket (layering is important in NoCal).
|
12:03 |
He is the woman’s pet, he is the man’s regret. What you see is what you get. And, ladies, what you don’t see is better yet. |
12:03 |
He eats t-bone steaks, he lifts barbell plates, he’s sweeter than chocolate cake. |
12:03 |
He is Eno Sarris. |
12:03 |
what line would you expect from avisail garcia next year? |
12:05 |
: I struggle with this one, obviously. Scouts say he has power coming, but I don’t see it. But if any park could coax power out of him, it’s the one he calls home now. He hits too many balls on the ground to be a power threat. But he goes oppo, so he might have a good BABIP. I’ll give him a .260 batting average with 15 homers and 5 steals.
|
12:05 |
Have you considered a rap career? |
12:05 |
: There’s a reason I write: the power to edit.
|
12:05 |
So keep 9, 20 team league, keep forever. My locks are Harper, Miggy, Posey, Pedroia, Hanley, Kershaw, Stanton… who’s my next two between Waino, Cespedes, Cobb? |
12:06 |
: I think you can keep two pitchers in a keep nine, but three is pushing it. Cespedes can .265/25/10 true talent, IMO, so him and Waino.
|
12:06 |
Do you think Castro will be fine or should i start lookin for another catcher? |
12:06 |
: No reason for them to push it.
|
12:07 |
Left Hand milk stout is kinda awesome. |
12:07 |
: Yup. Make sure to hard pour!
|
12:07 |
Will you still be doing the podcast into the offseason? |
12:07 |
: yes but probably less often
|
12:07 |
Jeff Shark Boy is killing me. Any chance he improves over the last couple weeks or can I let him go in a redraft? |
12:08 |
: Still getting strikeouts, not really walking a ton of guys, and even though his velocity is down, it’s still 94ish. Dunno, I still like him.
|
12:08 |
Over/under Cargo blast 5 more homers ROS? |
12:08 |
: Under, it looks like he’s going to take some days off.
|
12:08 |
Do you like Chooch ROS/ |
12:09 |
: Carlos Ruiz can do what he’s doing right now, yes. Not much power, good batting average.
|
12:09 |
At the top of the hour you will feel my wrath, after I take this here bath |
12:09 |
What is the most complete Roto victory you’ve ever seen? Has someone ever won all the points? |
12:09 |
: I’ve had straight twelves with one eleven.
|
12:09 |
how good can martin perez be? |
12:11 |
: I didn’t even think he could do this, but if you look at his pitches separately, he does have what it takes. No idea why he’s not translating whiffs into strikeouts. I think he could, and be a 2/3 in real life, a good but not great fantasy guy.
|
12:11 |
As the MLB season begins to gear up for the playoffs, I reminded that pumpkin themed brews will soon dominate the offerings. |
12:11 |
: sad face
|
12:11 |
who is more likely to end 2014 on a major league roster: josh johnson or mariano rivera? |
12:11 |
: Hey come on now, JJ could put a healthy year together in the National League, maybe, right, okay maybe you’re right.
|
12:12 |
Eno! I need a good streamer today. Gray? Gonzales? Vogelsong? |
12:12 |
: Gray Gray GRay Gray
|
12:12 |
Fantasy baseball playoffs: I finished 1st in the standings by about 20 games, and am down this week 2-8 in H2H. 1) What beer should I drink if I go down so pathetically in the championship game? 2) What beer should I drink if I make a huge comeback and win it all? |
12:13 |
: 1) Something strong that doesn’t taste super strong. Maybe a Speedway Stout or something. 2) Something that tastes just like victory: Double Jack.
|
12:13 |
Holy crap, Coco Crisp! Dude’s on fire. I love the guy, but he’s getting old and will fall apart soon, right? |
12:13 |
: He IS falling apart. I mean, he’s going to do that thing where he’s good when he’s in, but he misses games.
|
12:14 |
of all the recent callups, anyone strike you immediately as a Sept contributor? |
12:14 |
: Not really. Maybe a guy like Kevin Gausman in a league where you can get holds from him in an SP slot. Guys like Taijuan Walker when they actually get a start, but so many pitchers are up against innings limits.
|
12:15 |
ROS who do you want? Rutledge, Lake, or Jeter? |
12:16 |
: Wow. Jeter has fallen hard. I guess I would take the healthy young Junior Lake even after the BABIP regression just because it’s not clear if Rutledge will play every day.
|
12:16 |
how high do you have jason castro ranked nxt seas? |
12:17 |
: I’ve been burned before by interviews informing my opinion too much. Chase Headley convinced me that pulling the ball more was the source of his power and that was sustainable. (Well, I’m still a bit convinced and think he’ll have a good September actually.) And Castro said he was tinkering with his FB rate and he did and now he has power. I’ll put him in the top twelve, maybe top ten, but I can’t just pencil him back in for another 20 homers.
|
12:17 |
I’m in a super close race, in the middle of 3 teams where top and bottom are separated by 5 R, 5 teams separated by 4 HR, and 5 teams separated by 8 RBI. I’m also 4 SB behind a couple of teams! With these races do you start Billy Hamilton ahead of Cozart or Aybar? |
12:18 |
: I think you’ll shoot yourself in the foot with runs if you start a pinch runner. If you are in a daily league and you see him in the lineup, you have to start him, but otherwise… nah.
|
12:18 |
What three baseball players would you want with you during the zombie hoard? |
12:18 |
: Joey Votto, Sean Doolittle and R.A. Dickey.
|
12:18 |
Rank for next season: Hosmer, Rizzo, Belt |
12:19 |
: Rizzo, Hosmer, Belt. Even with the good strides that Belt has made, in order to get into this bottom of the top twelve ranking, his K% is the highest and so he has the most BA risk.
|
12:19 |
Can’t wait around for Dom Brown at this point, right? Matt Adams a decent flier? |
12:19 |
: Sure.
|
12:19 |
How many more innings does Wacha have? He’s already obliterated last year’s total. Have the Cardinals spoken about how much longer they’ll use him? |
12:20 |
: They said he’ll throw 100 pitches the next time out, so yeah, they’re watching him. They tried to skip some starts early in the year to extend him here, too.
|
12:20 |
over under 200 MLB PA for Espinosa next year and with whom |
12:20 |
: Just saw a decent argument for backup MI on the Braves, which might get him more than 200 PA.
|
12:20 |
A-Rod or Venable as a plug and play UTIL player? |
12:21 |
: Good one. Venable has more speed, and since you plugging and playing, you won’t need to play him v LHP. I think I take him.
|
12:21 |
So Gibby mentioned Chris Owings “will play” but where? They already got Didi and Hill is manning 2b…. who is getting traded? |
12:21 |
: Third?
|
12:21 |
Favourite current rapper? Just don’t say Lay Z, please! |
12:22 |
: I’d answer but I’d ruin the lyrics of the day.
|
12:22 |
“top of the hour you will feel my power no that’s lame I’m really more tame”? Let me guess, Will Smith? |
12:22 |
: I deserved that.
|
12:22 |
Run the Jewels, Eno! You truste either Cahill @ SF or Guthrie vs. SEA as a streamer today? |
12:22 |
: Ding ding ding. I’ll take Cahill. I don’t get Guthrie.
|
12:22 |
In a keep 3 format, do you keep Fernandez as a 16th rounder? |
12:23 |
: I have this question before me, too, as a 24th rounder. I might do it in my league because it’s a k/9 league and starters w/ K/9 become more valuable. And in the past I would have had a hard line against keeping a pitcher in a keep three. But that’s a lot of surplus value. I might take the chance.
|
12:23 |
Is trading away young “prospect” type players for established players year in and year out a viable strategy in keeper leagues if the veterans can be expected to produce? |
12:24 |
: Yes, but I would target guys 28-31 or so. Get far past 30 and you’re risking yourself too much.
|
12:24 |
how come the roto podcast isn’t on stitcher? |
12:24 |
: It isn’t? It should be. Will fix.
|
12:24 |
I picked up A’s Sonny Gray to stream against the Astros Peacock tonight. Is he a strong win candidate tonight? I’m in a points league and am sitting in 1st by 200 pts. If he wins I get +100 pts but if he loses I get -250 pts. (no decision is 0) Would you risk it? |
12:24 |
: Yes.
|
12:24 |
What’s a hard pour? |
12:25 |
: Pour down the middle. Turn the bottle upside down over your glass pretty much.
|
12:25 |
What’s the best piece of advice you have for someone starting a brewery? |
12:26 |
: This comes from studying the early nineties beer bubble and from my recent BeerGraphs interview with Chris White, the king of beer yeast: open a local brewpub, and don’t distribute until you’re very sure you’re ready. Kill in a local market. People want to go drink local beer at a crafty place.
|
12:26 |
do the Dodgers have the best rotation for a 5 game playoff series or is it still the Tigers? |
12:26 |
: Gonna study Verlander for an ESPN piece running Saturday, but from looking I think he’s righted the ship somewhat and yeah I’ll take them.
|
12:27 |
guy didn’t specify nitro milk stout…make sure it’s nitro before you hard pour. if you grab a beer from a friend’s fridge and assume that it’s nitro because it’s LHMS, you might end up pouring beer all over a dinner table, just hypothetically. |
12:27 |
: And never ever hard pour a saison.
|
12:27 |
OH CRAP I’M LATE |
12:27 |
OH CRAP I’M LATE AND FORGOT TO PUT MY USERNAME IN |
12:27 |
Who’s next on the interviewing target list? The Cole piece was great. |
12:27 |
: I really want Yu Darvish but I missed him. Today I’m going to the park. Probably Goldschmidt if he’ll talk to me!
|
12:27 |
Are you sure your “frequent emailer” isn’t just your wife messing with you? Or Cistulli? |
12:28 |
: This emailer told me recently that he didn’t care about batting average, he just wanted hits. I don’t think Carson could bring himself to write that.
|
12:28 |
Keep Profar, Bogaerts, or Andrus? |
12:29 |
: Oh dammit. That’s a mediocre bird in hand versus two birds in the bush. Do you have to know now? There’s so much offseason left to figure out who’s got a role. If they all had everyday roles, I might take the chance on Profar’s power/speed combo.
|
12:29 |
Manny and Jones on course for 200hits. Two members of the team both getting to 200 hits would be an O’s first. You think it will get done??? |
12:30 |
: They will actually play every day since they are in a tight race. I’d be surprised by Adam Jones doing it, but since he doesn’t walk much, that allows him to put a lot of balls in play. I bet Manny falls short.
|
12:30 |
DUDA HAD A MONSTER GAME. |
12:30 |
: HE ALMOST CYCLED
|
12:30 |
Pumpkins are far more conducive to smashing than drinking |
12:30 |
: Agree.
|
12:30 |
Sonny Gray is looking like a nice keeper no? |
12:31 |
: There are some long-term concerns in that he’s a little guy. And I watched his approach against lefties, and the changeup might not be great. But the curve shouldn’t have a terrible platoon split, so I think he’ll figure that out. Good velocity, great command.
|
12:31 |
JJ or ‘Spinosa though |
12:31 |
: Hardy? Hardy!
|
12:31 |
1) bourbon stout 2) belgian tripel! |
12:31 |
: I’ll do the first, but not the second.
|
12:31 |
2014 Keeper question. Any of these pitchers rate a top-5 round protection: Harvey, Minor, Greinke, Holland, Garza? I feel ike with Harvey’s injury I’m left with a staff chock-full-o fantasy #2s… |
12:32 |
: Just pass. You can get all those guys back in the sixth round. Keep five hitters.
|
12:32 |
: And don’t worry too hard. I’ve won plenty of leagues picking my first pitcher in rounds 6-8.
|
12:32 |
Apröpös nöthing, since Mesut Özil has jöined Arsenal I have taken the cömpletely sane and ratiönal decisiön tö umlaut every “ö”. |
12:32 |
: nice.
|
12:33 |
Do you think Vinne Pestano gets back inot the Cleveland closer conversation end of this year or next year? |
12:33 |
: No. There’s been some erosion of his stuff. Cody Allen looks like the future guy once Perez is gone.
|
12:33 |
How come when an outfielder makes an ill-advised dive for a ball and it ends up rolling to the wall, they score it a triple (or inside the park HR) instead of a single and a two-base (or three-base) error? |
12:33 |
: I guess it’s too hard to figure out how far the runner would have actually run.
|
12:33 |
Eno, can I drop Dave Wright or CarGo at this point in a redraft if I am close to the money? Thanks! |
12:34 |
: CarGo is actually with his team, so I wouldn’t. Wright is further away.
|
12:34 |
Drop Dom Brown in a redraft, headed to playoffs? Could add a Chris Carter/Mitch Moreland type to replace the pop… |
12:34 |
: You gotta be cutthroat in the playoffs. Brown says he’s at least a week away. that could be your last week.
|
12:34 |
I’ve been keeping Cain for the last few years in a 12-team, 8-keeper max league… Is he keepable this offseason? Strongly considering tossing him back. |
12:35 |
: You could get him in the first round if you wanted, I think he’ll go in the 8-10th rounds next year.
|
12:35 |
flying dog is doing a marzen seasonal that i quite liked (though, mixed reviews online) instead of doing the typical pumpkin swill. let’s hope it catches on |
12:35 |
would you drop craig for crisp? cant really use craig on bench if injured |
12:36 |
: A sprained foot could knock him out a week or two, and I’m assuming you’re the guy in the eight-team redraft. Craig’s a .290/20 guy, which seems borderline in your league anyway.
|
12:36 |
Start Cain on Saturday vs AZ? |
12:36 |
: Yes
|
12:36 |
How many PAs do you think the O’s will give Schoop this year? How deep does a league have to be for him to be fantasy relevant this year? |
12:36 |
: I own him on the bench in my 12-team AL-only LABR team. I don’t expect him to play much.
|
12:37 |
What do you mean by “hard pour” for LH Milk Stout? And why does it matter? |
12:38 |
: It’s for the nitro version of the beer. By pouring ‘hard’ you allow the nitro to … ‘mix’ I’ll say. You get the waterfall effect you see when you get a guinness on tap. Spreads the smooth mouthfeel around.
|
12:39 |
Finally, a new brewery opened in DC (Atlas Brew Works). We are in desperate need of good local beers here. (Dogfish Head just outside the area, in Delaware.) |
12:39 | : Well these guys are great |
12:39 |
California Common is a style of beer, yes? Any good? |
12:39 |
: Hoppy lager, similar to the pale ale session beers out there. Good sunny day beer.
|
12:39 |
RutRut has been hitting last few days and I would guess that if he’s hot, they’ll play him over DJLM. Assuming he gets the majority of starts, then who do you take ROS? |
12:40 |
: It’s a crap shoot between him and Lake, both bad plate discipline guys with power and speed. Since Rut Rut plays in Coors half the time, I’ll take him if they all have daily roles.
|
12:40 |
Keep 3 league: Vöttö and Stantön are definite keepers. Whö dö yöu like fröm Braun, Pedröia and Heyward. |
12:41 |
: Pedroia I think. Tough position, thumb should heal, more power next year. Obviously Braun over Heyward given their respective upsides.
|
12:41 |
You don’t want Lucas Duda v. Zombies?! Epic Fail Eno!! |
12:42 |
: He’s too nice. Actually… it was VERSUS zombies, different list. Adam Dunn, Luke Scott (for the guns, not the rat-tail) and… someone fast. Billy Hamilton.
|
12:42 |
Re layering… I tend to like places where the weather leads to layering. But what’s the best practice for carrying the extra stuff (e.g., jackets) during the warm time of day? |
12:43 |
: This is a serious problem for men. I usually just use my jean pockets because of g-damn tight jeans, everyone can see all the crap in my pockets.
|
12:43 |
Why is Doolittle on your zombie list? Have you interviewed him in the past? |
12:43 |
: Yeah he’s interesting and interested, which is a great combo.
|
12:43 |
Does Jeff Samardzija take a step forward next year with command and last longer in games and improve all his stat lines or is he truly a box of chocolates? |
12:44 |
: It’s a little nerve wracking when a guy doesn’t have great natural command and uses a split finger as his main secondary pitch. I saw enough out of him this year that I like him going forward.
|
12:44 |
Like Kluber ROS, once he comes off the DL? |
12:44 |
: Sure.
|
12:44 |
Dom Brown worth keeping over Nelson Cruz? |
12:44 |
: yes.
|
12:44 |
In your opinion, which player has (positively or negatively) the greatest difference between fantasy value and real life value? I’m thinking guys like Andrelton Simmons and Miguel Cabrera who have extreme defensive skillsets. |
12:45 |
: Gotta be Simmons. Or a DH like Ortiz.
|
12:45 |
What are some fantasy football sites you recommend? |
12:45 |
: The Fantasy Fix, The Fake Football.
|
12:46 |
What do you see for Nick Franklin’s future? Is he more the torrid start or the weaker finish? A comp going forward? |
12:47 |
: It’s too bad he’s striking out so much. But he’s struck out a lot at new levels and figured it out eventually. And his swSTR% says to me (10%) that he can whittle it down closer to 20% and have a .250-.260 type average once things click for him. With power and speed at second, it works.
|
12:47 |
Do you thinks the chatter about Puig attitude will cost my ROY votes? and should he or fernandez get it? |
12:48 |
: I hate “chatter about attitude.” Often there are cultural biases at work. I’d have to look closer though, because JF had a great season and it shouldn’t be ignored.
|
12:48 |
Miggy Miggy Miggy, can’t you see, sometimes your bombs just hypnotize me |
12:48 |
Wil Myers flipping his bat one every homer= Hard pouring every beer |
12:48 |
Also never even try to pour Green Flash Rayon vert. That thing is impossible to handle (and then too fizzy if drank from the bottle) |
12:49 |
What’s your gut say on Halladay next year, landing spot and stats? |
12:49 |
: NL contender like the Dodgers, 80-110 innings of usable but not vintage Doc. Maybe even a half-way through season signing. Retirement.
|
12:50 |
gyorko just got dropped in my keeper, do I drop Brad Miller or Arod to pick him up? I am in 1st place heading into the playoffs |
12:51 |
: I think they can both .260, but Miller has more speed and plays SS, so I think you can hold on to him. If you’re not using A-Rod much, or at Util every once in a while, you could risk it. But the playoffs are a crapshoot. Probably okay to let a rebuilder get him.
|
12:52 |
When are people going to realize there isn’t any pumpkin in pumpkin flavored things? It’s just a spice mixture. |
12:52 |
: I guess I just don’t care. I don’t like the spice mixture then.
|
12:52 |
Brad Peacock is still free in FG TG. I protest this justice. |
12:52 |
Why doesn’t Cole throw his changeup more often? Seems like it would still fit the PirateWay, generate grounders, but may also generate swings and misses? Can he not control it or something? |
12:53 |
: It’s actually a swing-and-miss changeup, not a grounder changeup. Not that that matters a ton, but that’s what I saw in the numbers.
|
12:53 |
I drank 2 Heady Toppers and I’m pretty sure my urine smelled like hops the next morning. |
12:53 |
I was up in my playoff game 6-5, went on a date, and came back down 1-10. Life’s just not fair. |
12:53 |
: I kind of hate head to head.
|
12:53 |
: AT least you got a date.
|
12:53 |
Things that sucks: teams like the Braves/Dodgers sitting players, because they have clinched their division. You could make the argument for the Tigers and Miggy too. |
12:53 |
: Right in the middle of our playoffs, how could they.
|
12:53 |
Pick one to stream, Cingrani (vs Lynn) or Vogelsong (vs Cahill). |
12:54 |
: Cingrani.
|
12:54 |
What is a redraft league do you redraft weekly and keep a few guys? |
12:54 |
: redraft = not a keeper
|
12:54 |
: A hard pour.
|
12:54 |
If Craig is out for an extended period, would you take Adams over Hosmer or Rizzo? |
12:54 |
: No.
|
12:54 |
Thanks for chatting, Eno! Any spec save recommendations I should have my eye on in a 14-teamer? It’s a struggle out there on the wire. |
12:55 |
: Well Pedro Strop is going to get chances, but deeper than that… Josh Fields? Deeper? Jose Veras? Deeper? Gonzalez Germen?
|
12:55 |
: That got dirty quick.
|
12:55 |
What’s your favorite fall beer? Too late for saison/ too early for porter? Given that all pumpkin beers should be hard poured into the sewer. |
12:56 |
: I can get with some dopple bocks and oktoberfests.
|
12:56 |
Please pick three of these guys that I should run out there every day in my 12-team 5×5 where I am doing my best to stay alive (need help in all/any cats): Markakis, Gardner, L. Martin, Swisher, Pagan, Bourn, Nava. Thanks! |
12:57 |
: Gardner. Martin. Bourn. That’s a bit speed-heavy so maybe Swisher over Bourn. The Indians are going to face some terrible pitching this month.
|
12:57 |
Eno, re SEW’s comment (correct me if I am wrong), I think he meant, “how best should i carry/wrap/etc. my jacket during the day when I am not wearing it”. |
12:58 |
: Also a serious frigging problem. The waist is so cumbersome, the neck is so preppy. Gotta just frigging carry it, and sacrifice the use of your left hand for a bit. Then put it down somewhere. Then drink. Then forget it somewhere.
|
12:58 |
![]() This guys a legend, Chet f'n Steadman |
12:58 |
Think Michael Choice can be an impact player for Oakland in 2014? |
12:59 |
: He’s traded some power for contact. But that makes me nervous because what if the swing and miss comes back but not the power. I think I’ll be a bit down on him, and I’m not even sure he has an everyday role next year.
|
12:59 |
Expectations for Gausman next year? Is he in the rotation to start the year? |
12:59 |
: He will be on half my teams next year.
|
1:00 |
consider for 2014 adding mid-season updates to fangraphs+ profiles. would be a good way to capture guys who were missed, and for cistulli to right the wrong of chad young’s 2013 corey kluber profile. I would pay more for such a service. |
1:00 |
: Interesting.
|
1:00 |
But why has Yahoo not reverted back to the old page or given us the opportunity to revert back? It is terrible and I can no longer easily see when my pitchers are on the bump next or see how my batters have fared in the past vs. today’s starting pitcher. Why? |
1:00 |
MLB.com right now.
: I’m struggling pretty hard to find a new routine. I’m using |
1:01 |
I’m going to have to drop someone to reactivate Matt Cain soon… who is most expendable looking toward 2014– C Torres, Petit, Oberholtzer? |
1:01 |
: Petit!!
|
1:01 |
Would you keep Matt Moore at 15$ for next year. 260 budget for 30 man roster. |
1:01 |
: Yeah that’s a decent price.
|
1:01 |
Would you keep Aaron Hicks at a negligible salary in a dynasty keeper? |
1:01 |
: Yes.
|
1:01 |
Was Haren’s start against the Mets an outlier? His velocity and Zone% seemed same as recent. For that game his BABIP=.692, FIP=.79 and xFIP=1.82. The only thing I find as a concern from the game is that the LD rate was higher for him than normal. Will he still be a good streamer vs weaker competition coming up (MIA, NYM)? |
1:02 |
: Haren was righting the ship, and I was prepared to tout him for those matchups before that game. Now I’m all out of love.
|
1:02 |
Run the Jewels!! McCutchen’s BABIP since the start of 2012 is over .365. ZiPS & Steamer have his ROS BABIP in the .330 range. Do you think that’s too aggressive a regression given how long he’s kept this up, or is that about right? |
1:03 |
: Career BABIP .331. I think they probably have it right.
|
1:03 |
How much stock do you put in home/road splits for pitchers? H2H playoffs next week and thinking about Redmond (high SS%) with 2 home starts (Angels/Orioles) where he has been excellent. Would you consider it? |
1:04 |
: I do consider them if they line up with expectations of the park. Like if a Rockies pitcher is bad at home. For Redmond to be good at home in this small a sample, I think that’s just random. I like him for that Angels start though, just because of the matchup.
|
1:04 |
I have 86 of 90 right now in a 9 teamer. Still could catch saves/wins leaders, but SB might be gone… |
1:04 |
Every pumpkin beer I’ve ever tried: First sip — “hey, this is tasty!” Second through fourth sips — “there’s NO way I can finish this.” |
1:04 |
Pumpkins are overrated. |
1:04 |
No I’m not saying pumpkin things are good. They are in fact awful. But the whole cult around them is so weird especially given where the flavors come form |
1:04 |
What the heck does Derek Jeter do next year? I get that he won’t want to go out on this injury year but… can he really expect much better? |
1:05 |
: I don’t think his body wants to play shortstop any more even if his mind does. I wonder if they could sell him on super-util.
|
1:05 |
One of the (many) reasons I respect Sierra Nevada is their non-giving-in to pumpkin beer. What’s that you said? No, you really want a brown ale. |
1:05 |
: I could get with some browns in the fall.
|
1:06 |
For the second straight year I’ve coughed up a 20 point lead. What should I do the rest of the season, blow it all up and try to find some hot hands, pitch and ditch every day, or just stick with the guys that got me here and hope they turn it around? |
1:06 |
: Next year: sell more guys high. Now: take your worst hitter and worst pitcher and drop them for streamers. Stream for steals. Stream for pitching matchups.
|
1:06 |
I now hate H2H and weekly rosters, because 5 of my starters got injured on the first day of the playoffs and I lost. I was the #1 seed. 🙁 |
1:06 |
: I think that’s a terrible combination of settings.
|
1:07 |
do the top rated ipa’s have such high BARs because the replacement level is so crappy? i’m trying to understand why some of my favorite belgian style ales all have 3-6 BAR– i assume because production in belgian style ales is generally pretty high? |
1:08 |
: No it’s the other way around. Replacement level for the IPAs is very high, highest in beer. But because they are drunk so much, they get a boost. 35% of the sample is a pale ale of some sort, but 45% of the top 100 is a pale ale. Because we have an adjustment for ‘number of rankings’ and that’s high for IPAs.
|
1:08 |
: It’s something we’re looking at.
|
1:08 |
Re: Choice. Don’t you think the A’s will sell high on Coco and pick up his 7.5 mill option and deal him? |
1:09 |
: If they do, do you think they’ll hand a rookie an every day job in CF? I think they could maybe bring him along as a fourth OF.
|
1:09 |
: Also, predicting Beane’s offseason moves = folly.
|
1:09 |
Earlier this year, in my keeper league, I dropped George Springer for Jordy Mercer because I needed a MI for a couple weeks. Console me. |
1:09 |
: He’s not 100% a major leaguer. Lots of strikeouts.
|
1:10 |
Why so down on Petit? Or just dont think there’s a SP spot for him next year? |
1:10 |
: He will be 29 next year, throws 88 and has a long history of mediocrity.
|
1:10 |
How is Gausman not in the rotation THIS year? You have Feldman/Norris/MigGonzalez in your rotation? But not a proven top prospect? |
1:11 |
: Agree. I guess they just don’t want to see someone adjusting to bigs while they in the race.
|
1:11 |
Wacha or Gausman for next season? |
1:11 |
: Gaus
|
1:11 |
Who would you target as additions to a 2014 SP dynasty rotation that will include Archer, Cole, Teheran, Fernandez, Walker, Appel and Bradley? What *kind* of pitcher will help to balance out some of that youth? |
1:11 |
: Maybe a James Shields. Like a lower-tier number one with a good WHIP.
|
1:12 |
To be fair, those “LD’s” in the Haren game were a bunch of dinker and dunkers. BABIP is a cruel mistress. |
1:12 |
Have you ever done a chat kinda drunk before? When you decided you wanted 2-3 of those 8% ABV beers instead of just one. |
1:12 |
: I live on the west coast, so no.
|
1:12 |
I’m telling you guys, Four Peaks Pumpkin Porter is amazing. Its just Pumpkiny enough to give you that slight fall feeling, yet smooth and light enough to drink all night. |
1:12 |
Bell’s “Best Brown” is fantastic. |
1:12 |
so your saying Jeter should be content on becoming Michael Young? |
1:13 |
: Well not ‘content,’ but maybe they can sell it to him. “Hey Capn Jetes, I’ve got this great idea, could keep you healthy.” Wait, that sounds like a different sort of solution.
|
1:13 |
go to ca.sports.yahoo.com. The Canadians have everything good! |
1:13 |
: yes this workaround works… for now.
|
1:13 |
Will George Springer be called up this year (and if so, make an impact)? OKC lost their first playoff game yesterday. If they lose the series, you think he will be called up afterward? |
1:14 |
: Maybe, but if he’s not on the forty-man they might just wait.
|
1:14 |
If Robertson gets named the closer in NY during the offseason, is he a top 5 closer going into drafts next year? |
1:14 |
: I think that’s how I’d rate him, but I’d try to get him cheap anyway.
|
1:14 |
Rotoinfo has easy-to-access hitter v. pitcher ratios built into their daily lineups, for what it’s worth. |
1:14 |
: But hitter v pitcher information is not useful. Please don’t use it.
|
1:15 |
Trying to decide between Gattis and Lawrie in early consideration as my final keeper in a 16-keeper, 11-team league. Catcher and 2B are my two empty roster spots. Any thoughts? Pray that Lawrie is Toronto’s 2B or just keep him because he is still only 23? |
1:15 |
: I’ll take Lawrie just based on age and promise. Let’s not assume the Braves will just put Gattis at the catcher spot and let McCann go. And I think you may have Lawrie at second at least for one year.
|
1:15 |
H2H where 75% of the money goes to regular season winners and 25% to playoff winners works decently well. Still some randomness, but it at least rewards the people who do well over 20 weeks more than people who turn it on at the end. |
1:16 |
Not sure why people are surprised that the average beer drinker enjoys pumpkin ales. They just taste like cinnamon. Same reason people like beers like Blue Moon which are “Belgian” wheat ales but really just taste like orange. |
1:16 |
super-awesome article on the guy who runs Hill Farmstead: http://www.narrative.ly/drinking-buddies/the-wonderbrewer-of-nowheresville/ |
1:16 |
Holland or Griffin for 2014? |
1:16 |
: Interesting. On stuff, Holland. On park, Grififn. I’ll take Holland.
|
1:16 |
Can Billy Hamilton be effective as a starter with a .650 OPS for the Reds next year? If not, who do you see them going after? Chris Young? Franklin Gutierrez? |
1:16 |
: Pretty sure he’ll be their starting CF next year and lead off.
|
1:16 |
I would be interested to see the marks on a lot of these IPAs as compared to a replacement level IPA. Within their own category and not across all beer. |
1:17 |
: Then use wOBAR instead of BAR.
|
1:17 |
: wOBAR is just IPAs scored against the RL for IPAs.
|
1:17 |
can you write code? |
1:17 |
: No, that’s why I needed co-pilot Matt Dennewitz on BeerGraphs.
|
1:18 |
Can Christian Yelich overcome the Marlins lineup and park to be a valuable fantasy contributor for the H2H playoffs? |
1:18 |
: Well, he’s stealing bases and I’m pleasantly surprised by the strikeout rate. Hitting a ton of grounders. Wouldn’t own him for power right now.
|
1:18 |
Are you okay with dropping David Wright for Adam Eaton? |
1:19 |
: In a redraft, especially h2h playoffs? okay.
|
1:19 |
Asche or Moustakas ROS? |
1:19 |
: Asche actually
|
1:19 |
Jabari Blash a legitimate prospect? Worth a stash in deep dynasty leagues? |
1:20 |
: Lotta strikeouts, and at 24 is not young for level. But power and speed enough for deep dynasty stash.
|
1:20 |
Worried that there are too many breweries opening? I think the current selection is great, but it seems like with everyone that wants to start a brewery it’s going to double or even triple in a few years |
1:20 | : wrote about it even |
1:21 |
Best way to learn SQL? It is a 400 level course at my university with a ton of CompSci prereqs. I’m a on my Epidemiology/biostatistics Masters, yet have not been introduced to SQL. It seems useful for my hobbies and profession. |
1:21 |
: Don’t do it the way I’m doing it, which is to bug all the people you know that know SQL with stupid questions.
|
1:21 |
Do you DraftSheet or other daily fantasy contests? I’m intrigued, but not thrilled about putting real $$ down everyday… |
1:22 |
: I like daily ball, don’t do it as much as I want to because of all my many leagues. You can risk as little as $5 and have fun with it.
|
1:22 |
BeerGraphs should host some blind beer tastings! It’s well established in the wine community that people rate and review things differently when they know what it is. I’d be curious to see whether the ABV effect still persists as much when people don’t know what the ABV is or |
1:22 |
: Very much want to do this.
|
1:22 |
why does anyone draft closers? you can just stream relievers all season… |
1:22 |
: Well I like getting a bunch of mid-to-bottom tier closers, that seems to work for me.
|
1:23 |
Smyly stuck in relief for good or stretched out next year? |
1:23 |
: He’s good enough to start. Feel like his GM will give him a shot next year.
|
1:23 |
NY Media thinks Yankees are making the playoffs. Thoughts? |
1:24 |
: They’ll have to slug their way in. With Baltimore’s starting pitching, it could happen. But the Rays are over 60%. I think they’ll do it.
|
1:24 |
Is Longoria hurt? Just slumping? Who’s the best replacement in a points league, Scutaro, Arod, or Asche? |
1:24 |
: You stick with Longoria.
|
1:24 |
I see the CWS are starting Siemens (2b/SS) at 3b… could he be the LT solution there? |
1:25 |
: Yes, there’s a lot to like about him. Watch him.
|
1:25 |
Kyler Seager a top-5 3B in drafts next year? |
1:26 |
: Maybe just outside, would have to actually look, but he can keep doing what he’s doing, and he’s a good player.
|
1:26 |
Baseball HQ is really high on Jonathan Villar for his ability to steal basis. They have him projected as a $10 player versus Nick Franklin $2 and Erick Aybar $2. The values seem a little out of whack, right? |
1:26 |
: He’s probably a true-talent .220 hitter.
|
1:27 |
XBox needs another year in AAA I feel. |
1:28 |
: I’ve been vetoed. I guess he’s just X. That’s okay. I think he’ll be an MLBer for most of next year.
|
1:28 |
I live in NorCal and recently sent you an FB message saying something along the lines of, “Lemme buy u beer and talk beisbol plz.” Inappropriate or reasonable? |
1:28 |
: Totally reasonable. Will do a little meetup for an away playoff game maybe.
|
1:28 |
Miller, Gennett or Plouffe to replace Bogaerts for playoff run? |
1:28 |
: Miller
|
1:29 |
In a weekly 5×5 league, is there a way to prevent the dominance of 2 start pitchers? Would adding walks or total bases make sense? Holds is not something we are interested in. |
1:29 |
: Total bases does it. Or get off weekly format lol.
|
1:29 |
Xbox = Xander? |
1:29 |
: Oh! yes.
|
1:30 |
When/where is the NYC FG meetup? |
1:31 |
: I’ll be there in a week. I better look to see if I can do a meetup, otherwise it’s in October with Appelman and Cameron.
|
1:31 |
my previous question about replacing Longoria was meant to be “if he misses time/goes on the DL”…in that case, Scutaro, Arod or Asche? |
1:31 |
: Ah. A-Rod.
|
1:31 |
Should I add Kris Davis for my H2H playoffs, or is he bound to come back to Earth the moment I roster him? |
1:31 |
: Safest way to use him is v LHP.
|
1:31 |
In a week?? Beer time, Eno. |
1:31 |
: At the very least I’ll do ‘office hours’ at a bar in NYC for sure.
|
1:32 |
Can Mesoraco become an offensive force? |
1:32 |
: Very much so. I like him. Just traded for him in my dynasty league.
|
1:32 |
If Semein gets regular AB’s at 2b, do you drop Franklin for him in a keep forever dynasty? |
1:32 |
Is Nick Franklin not good? Everyone liked him and now everyone hates him. Learning curve or not a realistic long-term 2B option? |
1:33 |
: Semien does have a better K rate than Franklin, but Franklin has shown more power. And if Franklin gets his K% down — he’s done it before — then he’s better. Neither has a ton of pedigree. I bet scouts are divided on them. Sorry I don’t have a hard-line answer, but i haven’t seen a ton of Marcus.
|
1:34 |
: Hey guys! I gotta go. It’s a park day. Hit me up on twitter if you have a saber-question for someone on the D-Backs.
|
1:34 |
do u use fake users for comment controls…i will assume yes if u do not address |
1:34 |
: Fake users? That’s way too much effort man. I get hundreds of comments and I choose what I want.
|
1:35 |
boo |
1:35 |
let us know about NYC office hours please! |
1:35 |
: will do
|
1:35 |
Thanks! |
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
I tweeted this question also, but thought I’d go ahead and ask here as well. Did you ever check out Chromeo on Live From Daryl’s House? There cover of “Lowdown” is excellent.