Fan Projections Update
Bill Baer of Crashburn Alley yesterday wrote an article titled, “FanGraphs Fan Projections Are Craaaaazy”. And there certainly was something crazy going on with some players on the Braves.
Long story short: I’ve made some updates and the Braves projections have returned to sanity and now look like this:
Player Fans CarAvg Diff Heyward, J .393 .376 .017 McCannn, B .360 .364 -.004 Uggla, D .365 .359 .006 McLouth, N .337 .343 -.006 Prado, M .351 .352 -.001 Freeman, F .332 .213 .119 Gonzalez, A .294 .298 -.004 Player Fans CarAvg Diff Hanson, T 3.25 3.38 -0.13 Lowe, D 3.94 3.80 0.14 Minor, M 3.83 3.77 0.06 Jurrjens, J 4.02 3.85 0.17 Hudson, T 3.98 3.82 0.16
David Appelman is the creator of FanGraphs.
Was it only the Braves’ projections that were off or were other teams/players affected as well?
The one other player that saw a big change was Albert Pujols. Other than that I think it was only the braves. This issue only popped up in the past couple days due to the introduction of some bad ballots that weren’t being properly validated.