Finding and Building a Devenski

CLEVELAND – Like so many others, Chris Devenski watched in fascination last October. He observed, on the flat-screen television of his offseason home in San Diego, as Cleveland continuously elected not to save their best arm, Andrew Miller, for the ninth inning, but rather to utilize him in high-leverage situations earlier in the game.

Unlike the many other major-league pitchers watching, however, Devenski recognized the part Miller was playing: he himself had already assumed a similar new-age bullpen role in the second half of the season with Houston. He had, in fact, become accustomed to entering games at unlikely spots much earlier than that, from his experience as a piggy-back tandem starter in the Astros’ farm system. As Cleveland advanced through the playoffs, Devenski watched as the movement to rethink bullpen usage and role — a movement of which he’s a part — advanced. The revolution was televised.

“I saw my role, man,” Devenski told FanGraphs last week. “I saw what they were doing with Miller here [in Cleveland] and [Aroldis] Chapman with the Cubs, it seems like that is what is coming about now in the game. It’s changing a little bit. I saw [in Miller] what I do. It was pretty cool. It’s big-time situations there. It’s important.”

But Devenski is arguably more of a revolutionary, more of disruptive figure than Miller. Since joining the Indians, Miller has pitched in high-leverage situations often, but he’s only recorded two or more innings in an outing three times in the regular season. He’s never recorded more than six outs in an appearance. Devenski had 18 such outings last season alone, including nine in August and September when the then-rookie was thrust into more high-leverage situations.

Devenski has recorded six or more outs in seven of his nine appearances this season and has an absurd 49.2-point strikeout- and walk-rate differential (K-BB%) and 22% swinging-strike rate. He has become a unique weapon in an unusual role.

Devenski said his wide range of experiences — from starting to relieving to tandem-starting — made the job a natural fit. While most pitchers would rather start or rack up saves, Devenski seems to have embraced his work in a hybrid capacity.

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“I think it’s just something I’ve been accustomed to and I kind of grew into it a little bit starting last year,” Devenski said of his responsibilities in Houston. “Starting last year, I did a lot of multiple-inning outings, where, you know, I was able to keep our team in the game or hold a lead… [T]hings like that. It’s something that kind of developed.

“I feel [the role] is pretty huge. The thing with this is you do need a couple days off if your pitch count goes up to the 30s and 40s, but it can also save a bullpen and give guys a rest.”

It’s not just that he’s pitching multiple innings at important junctures in the game that makes Devenski unusual. Like Miller and like Rich Hill, he’s one of the few pitchers in the game proving an unconventional pitch mix can work.

Devenski is throwing his changeup 42.9% of the time early this season — more often than his fastball (35.4%). Devenski threw the changeup at a 31.4% rate last season. He came by the approach simply, he says, because he feels really good about his changeup. Unlike Hill, he didn’t require a conversation to move away from the fastball as a primary pitch.

“I was throwing a lot of changeups. I had success with it,” Devenski said. “I’ve been able to really lock that pitch in.”

Devenski’s changeup ranks sixth in whiff-per-swing rate (52.2%) among all pitchers this season who have thrown at least 50 changeups, according to Baseball Prospectus. The pitch ranked 54th last season (39.4).

The Devenski changeup is a diving…

… fading…

… bat-missing pitch:

It’s not as if Devenski lacks an effective fastball. The pitch is averaging 93.7 mph and has an above-average spin rate, averaging 2,371 rpms.

He can elevate the fastball for swings and misses above the zone, and generates swings and misses below the zone with his changeup and slider, the latter of which ranks 77th in whiff-per-swing rate (33.3%) this season and 26th last season (50.6%).

Devenski is unorthodox in a variety of ways, but it’s his role that’s most notable.

He’s perhaps giving us a glimpse of an arm that might soon be a staple of every pitching staff. He and Miller are perhaps equally important figures in the revolution of the bullpen. Miller was the best relief arm on his team, and he was moved out from traditional ninth-inning duties to maximize his value. Devenksi is perhaps the arm necessary to fill in the middle- to late-inning voids created by the reduced volume of innings logged by starting pitchers. It’s an arm like Devenski’s that could allow the sabermetric ideal of rarely allowing a starting pitcher to go through the lineup three times to become something like a reality.

Of course, finding and developing a Devenski is easier said than done.

Astros manager A.J. Hinch, ideally, wanted an impact multi-inning option when he arrived in Houston.

“We value leverage a lot differently than we did a decade ago,” Hinch said. “Managers are judged by how much they recognized leverage and how much they use it for situations offensively or defensively. That attention to the unconventional [bullpen role], the trust and support and value of that role, has grown over the last five years.”

In a vacuum, the multi-inning leverage role is rooted in logic — and, increasingly, necessity — but finding the right arm wasn’t as easy. Hinch tried deploying Ken Giles in extended, high-leverage situations early in 2016 and it hadn’t worked as well as he hoped.

“It just sort of happened,” Hinch said of the Devenski role. “In a perfect world, you have a couple guys like this. I did this last year with Giles; he didn’t respond as favorably to the unknown as [Devenski] did. It’s not for everybody. I think what Andrew Miller did [last October] is crazy good, but Chapman did not do quite as well in the hybrid role. [Devenski’s] performance sort of mandated he be used differently than a one-inning reliever.

“I’ve had three different teams [in Houston], and I’m even asked about my managing experience in Arizona. I’m a little bit different as I’ve learned to trust myself a little better, but you can’t hand me any team and I manage it the same way as I manage today. You can’t just make someone in next year’s bullpen be Chris Devenski because I believe in leverage innings. You have to manage to players.”

How did Hinch and the Astros arrive at developing this role and filling it with Devenski?

“He started striking everybody out,” Hinch said.

Indeed. Devenski struck out 31.2% of batters and walked just 3.0% in the second half last season as he began to lean even more on his slider and changeup, trends which carried over to this spring.

“His performance has sort of pushed it [forward],” Hinch said. “We were doing this last year. He didn’t get the attention because we were chasing the playoffs… [I]t wasn’t nationally recognized. But if you look at his usage in August and September of last year, it started to be a little more… It’s based upon performance. [Astros reliever] Will Harris came to me two days ago and said ‘Devenski is available. Do I even need to put my spikes on?’ He meant it. That’s the sort of respect [Devenksi] has garnered through his performance. I have told them all since spring training, this is possible since we’ve taken him out of the rotation competition.”

In theory, every team should have a Devenski.

In practice, finding one is another matter.





A Cleveland native, FanGraphs writer Travis Sawchik is the author of the New York Times bestselling book, Big Data Baseball. He also contributes to The Athletic Cleveland, and has written for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, among other outlets. Follow him on Twitter @Travis_Sawchik.

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srriley84
9 years ago

Great title

paulmathewson5
9 years ago

+1 for the Sepinwall reference.

Also, those are some fantastic Hinch quotes. Great stuff as usual, Travis.

TerenceMember since 2016
9 years ago

Last year, of any player that threw at least 90 innings, Devenski had the lowest average leverage index. He was truly throwing mop up innings, and that’s how he developed this skill at the big league level. I think if you’re going to ‘build a Devenski’ you have to start with that guy in the long relief, mop up roll. That can be a hard sell to guys with elite stuff.

SoxWatcher
9 years ago
Reply to  Terence

This is more what I was hoping for in the article – in this group, we all know who Devenski IS – but how he came to be, and how “the next one” might be found (or built) would be an interesting topic. It’s not everyone who’s swung between starting, long relief and short(er) relief has been able to pull a Devenski.

srriley84
9 years ago
Reply to  Terence

It’s a crude, male chauvinistic analogy, but it’s like baseball’s equivalent of the “ugly duckling” syndrome.

Joe Joe
9 years ago
Reply to  Terence

I doubt Astros thought he had elite stuff. He didn’t make Opening Day team, but came up before his first scheduled AAA start due to Feliz sacrificing his arm mopping up a horrible McHugh start.

His leverage increased as his emergency callup to rest Feliz turned into a permanent job. Having a great changeup allowed him to pitch well against lefties. The emergence of his slider in second half last year made him an even more complete pitcher and allowed Astros to gice hin his current role.

nllpiper
9 years ago
Reply to  Joe Joe

I’m sure that he didn’t make Opening Day only because he wasn’t on the 40-man and Feliz was, and the Astros have been tight in designating guys, even though there was some obvious dreck there. Devo looked evil in Spring 2016 and those who follow the Astros system had seen the development of his Circle Of Death changeup for a couple of years, so the only question about his stuff was: Did the slider need to improve, or could he thrive with 2.5 pitches?

He was thought of as a starter then, and a lot of us wanted Devo to break camp over Fister/Fiers/Feldman/Feliz, but apparently his name started with the wrong letter. There is still much debate around Houston as to whether he’d be more valuable as a starter.

Lunch AngleMember since 2016
9 years ago

“The revolution was televised.” Genius.

BipMember since 2016
9 years ago

How does he maintain any command while falling out to his open side before his stride leg even hits the ground? I guess if it works it works, but that makes me nervous.

Moltar
9 years ago

Archie Bradley seems to be the next guy in this mold. Bud Norris could be too, but it seems like he may have seized a closer’s role and may not ever give it back up.

skbrew
9 years ago

Any starter that has good/great stuff but is frustratingly inconsistent should be a good potential candidate to air out as this type of role. Especially if you can point to fatigue as a primary cause for the inconsistency, where they can’t quite do 150+ innings in a year.

I personally feel that being able to pick when to apply a pitcher (like, how your best starter gets his start in what turns out to be a blowout–a wasted start, one that calls into question whether he really deserves a win) is a grossly undervalued asset. I would love to see more of these pitchers.

Doorknob11
9 years ago
Reply to  skbrew

Cough cough Pineda cough cough

SucramRenrutMember since 2017
9 years ago

There must be some correlation between the wicked change and the high spin fastball. You could imagine that his arm speed, which seems to start slow and then accelerate late, might be key to both.

TommyLasordid
9 years ago

Alex Wood.. Come on down!

careaganMember since 2017
9 years ago
Reply to  TommyLasordid

The problem is he’s not on board the same way Devenski seems to be. Wood wants to stay a starter because he has a track record of decent success in that role, even if he’s lights out in relief. I was at the game against AZ where Wood went 3 1/3 scoreless in relief, he got a standing ovation from the crowd when he came out. But even if the fans and team appreciate it, arbitration will reward him more for decent starts than for amazing relief.

NJP21
9 years ago
Reply to  careagan

Had thought about Carl Edwards (also wants to be a starter). Has great stuff that would translate to a multi-inning role. Also believe he was used that way in Iowa at times. Seems like a strategy Maddon would endorse as well.

rakabas
9 years ago

Given the emergence of guys like Devo and Miller, is there a chance of a team adopting a full staff of piggyback starters within the next 5 or 10 years? I would envision something like 4 or 5 pairs of guys that would ideally throw 4 or 5 innings each on regular or “short” rest, but given the lighter workload, short rest would be enough. Then, the last few guys on the staff would be a couple more multi inning guys and maybe a couple traditional relievers to round it out. This would mitigate injury risk and take advantage of most pitchers’ tendencies to be more effective first and second time through an order.

FrodoBeck
9 years ago
Reply to  rakabas

The biggest obstacle to this seems to be the contract situation. Guys can make more money being frontline starters than they can being a shutdown middle innings guy. Arbitration is no friend to this scenario.

Dan Ugglas Forearm
9 years ago
Reply to  FrodoBeck

The problem is that they can make more being BACK END starters than outstanding relievers. Chapman, Jansen, Cecil, and Melancon are the only relievers that got bigger contracts than Jason Hammel in this last FA cycle.

FrodoBeck
9 years ago

You’re completely right, I meant to say back end rather than frontline. There’s lots of money in starting.

JackS
9 years ago

If someone writes a book about the Houston Astros and then someone else makes a movie starring Brad Pitt that is based on that book, I want that movie to be called “Finding and Building A Devenski”.

Dominikk85Member since 2020
9 years ago

Shouldn’t he start? Of course he is valuable as he is but shouldn’t a guy that misses bats and doesn’t walk guys be able to start? He isn’t a two pitch guy either, his fastball, change and slider are all good pitches.

nllpiper
9 years ago
Reply to  Dominikk85

It’s a very tough call, and if the Astros get it wrong, they could screw up a good thing for a long time. So the inertia of wanting to keep a good thing going might prevent a GREAT thing from developing.

Is it better to keep him in the back pocket as a high-leverage guy you could use three times a week, or is it better to have an advantage in the first 7 innings of every fifth game (and in the playoffs)?

In his 5 starts last year, he was good. A couple of very good starts, a couple of good ones, and a bad one at Fenway — but he was a rookie. I think that proves he wouldn’t be a disaster as a starter.

The debate is whether a pitcher who deceives batters with the change loses effectiveness the 2nd and 3rd times through more than a pitcher who gets guys out with location or power. But Devo has a zippy fastball and an improving slider, as well. The second time through the order last week, Lindor sat on change and hit one 460 feet to give Devo his only loss. Then again, the only runs he’s given up in 2017 have been homers to Brandon Moss, Lindor, and Trout, so not too many average Joes are getting to him, and his 28% HR/FB rate will come down.

That’s why managers get paid so much. Hinch has to get this right.

John Autin
9 years ago
Reply to  Dominikk85

1) He’s on pace for over 4 fWAR this year. Houston’s had exactly one SP season worth 4 WAR in the past 7 years.

2) His career ERA as a starter, minors and majors, is over 4. As a MLB reliever, it’s 1.68.

It’s certainly possible that he’s learned enough in the last year and a half so that he could do better as a SP than he did before, but how much better?

And how many more innings could he contribute as a SP than as a RP? The tenet that a good SP is more valuable than a good RP is based on the normal workloads of those types. But Devenski is on pace for 114 IP. He doesn’t fit the standard equation.