Free Hyun Soo Kim!
Hyun Soo Kim posted a .382 on-base percentage last season. He was one of just 20 players to post a .380 OBP or better (min. 300 plate appearances). As I’m sure you’re aware, that’s a pretty great mark. As I detailed a little in the positional power rankings for left field, Kim had a rocky start with the Orioles, who generally seemed not to like him very much. But by the end of the season, he was the club’s starting left fielder. He started only 78 of the team’s 162 games in left field, but he did start 40 of their final 64 there. And yet, despite ending the season as the team’s main left fielder and despite recorded a .382 OBP, he’s been buried on the bench to begin the 2017 season.
Let’s go back a second to that .382 OBP. That’s getting hard to pull off these days.

OBP is the heartbeat of an offense. So long as a club is avoiding outs, good things can happen. But it’s been a lot harder to find high-OBP figures over the past 10 years. Two years ago, for example, just eight players produced an OBP of .380 or better. It was the third-lowest total (after 1968 and 1963) since baseball integrated in 1947. Last year, only 20 batters reached that mark, which was tied for the 22nd-lowest total since Integration. The last few years, it has been very tough to find hitters who are really good at not making outs. And when teams find them, they cherish them. Here’s the list of the 20 players who pulled it off last season, and how much they’ve played this season. You’ll see one outlier.
| 2016 | 2017 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | G | GS | PA | G | GS | PA |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 158 | 158 | 705 | 17 | 17 | 74 |
| Dexter Fowler | 125 | 117 | 551 | 16 | 16 | 71 |
| Kris Bryant | 155 | 155 | 699 | 15 | 15 | 71 |
| Mike Trout | 159 | 157 | 681 | 17 | 17 | 70 |
| Jose Altuve | 161 | 160 | 717 | 16 | 16 | 70 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 155 | 151 | 676 | 15 | 15 | 70 |
| Brandon Belt | 156 | 149 | 655 | 15 | 15 | 69 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 143 | 135 | 641 | 16 | 16 | 69 |
| Joey Votto | 158 | 155 | 677 | 16 | 16 | 68 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 146 | 144 | 635 | 16 | 15 | 64 |
| Freddie Freeman | 158 | 158 | 693 | 15 | 15 | 64 |
| Daniel Murphy | 142 | 134 | 582 | 14 | 14 | 64 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 158 | 156 | 679 | 15 | 15 | 62 |
| Ben Zobrist | 147 | 142 | 631 | 14 | 12 | 58 |
| Matt Carpenter | 129 | 125 | 566 | 14 | 13 | 56 |
| Robbie Grossman | 99 | 89 | 389 | 13 | 12 | 51 |
| Cameron Maybin | 94 | 89 | 391 | 12 | 12 | 48 |
| Josh Donaldson | 155 | 153 | 700 | 9 | 8 | 35 |
| Hyun Soo Kim | 95 | 78 | 346 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
| David Ortiz | 151 | 140 | 626 | – | – | – |
Well, OK: two outliers, I guess. But David Ortiz voluntarily stopped playing games. Kim, on the other hand, hasn’t walked away from the sport. The Orioles simply aren’t playing him. His plate-appearance total is less than half of every other active player except Donaldson, whose total would be higher if he were healthy. They have a lot of other players to whom they’d rather give time, it seems. Joey Rickard was the favorite at this time last season, and remains on the team, despite a career .312 OBP and a negative career DRS and UZR. He’s a candidate to be the next Willie Bloomquist.
There’s Seth Smith, who’s been utilized in a fashion similarly to Kim. Smith posted a .378 OBP in 2009, when he helped the Rockies make the postseason, and a .367 OBP in 2014 with the Padres. But in the American League, he hasn’t been quite as proficient. Whether that’s because Smith is getting on in years or because the AL is the harder league is something we can debate, but what’s not debatable is that his OBP in the AL is .334, as opposed to .353 in the NL.
Craig Gentry is also on the roster, because he has the good fortune of being right-handed and good at defense. Or, at least he used to be. The last time he appeared in more than 30 games was 2014, so it’s not clear that he can be a plus defensive player over an extended period of time any longer. Still, he’s on the team.
Finally, there’s the new guy, Trey Mancini. The former eighth-round pick was ranked fifth and tabbed with a 45 FV by Eric in his Orioles prospect list this year. So far this season, he’s hit six fly balls and four of them have been home runs, which gives him a totally sustainable 66.7% HR/FB. Sustainable or not, his hot start has made him the flavor of the month: the Orioles are finding playing time for him wherever they can. He’s made appearances at first base, designated hitter, left field and right field.
Where this has left Kim is mostly on the bench. The Orioles have played 14 games now, and he’s started just six of them. He started three of the first four games, and then just three of the next 10. What’s most amusing about that is that, in his third start — in the season’s fourth game on April 8 — he rapped out three hits, including the biggest hit of the game. He singled to right off of Dellin Betances in the bottom of the seventh to give the Orioles a 5-4 lead that they would preserve for the win. Then he didn’t start in any of the next four games.
Of course, Baltimore faced left-handed pitchers in three of those four games. Six of the eight games in which Kim hasn’t appeared as a starter were against left-handers. The Orioles are seemingly convinced that Kim is incapable of playing against left-handed pitching. This strikes me as odd. In his nine full seasons with the Doosan Bears in the Korean Baseball Organization, Kim played in 96.7% of his team’s regular season games — 1,130 out of a possible 1,168 games. In those nine seasons, he tallied a .406 OBP. Now, I don’t claim to be a KBO expert, but this seems like a promising indication of Kim’s ability to handle the duties of a full-time role.
This isn’t just hearsay. While there doesn’t seem to be a publicly available record of Kim’s career splits in the KBO, the website Statiz (graciously translated for me by Hardball Times writer Sung-Min Kim) has at least tracked such splits since 2014. The numbers there indicate that, in 2014 and 2015, Kim hit .353/.438/.503 in 372 plate appearances against left-handed pitching. That’s very, very good!!! Like, good enough that it should have bought him more than 23 measly PA against lefties here stateside last season.
Nevertheless, the Orioles seem determined not play him against left-handed starters. This significantly reduces his utility to their team given all the current AL East southpaw starting pitchers — a list that includes J.A. Happ and Francisco Liriano on Toronto; Drew Pomeranz, David Price, Eduardo Rodriguez, and Chris Sale in Boston; Jordan Montgomery and CC Sabathia in New York; and Blake Snell in Tampa Bay. That’s nine left-handed starting pitchers in their own division — eight, if you don’t think Price will pitch this season. Baltimore has already faced Happ twice, and they sat Kim both times. It doesn’t seem likely that they’ll ever let him prove he can hit lefties.
This might be fine, if they were giving him all the playing time versus righties. But they’re not! He sat against Bronson Arroyo and Steven Wright, and he’s been replaced for defense in five of the six games he’s started. That’s because the Orioles are also convinced that he’s such a horrifying defensive liability that he can’t be trusted in the field. Of course, they could play Mark Trumbo in left and let Kim DH — Trumbo had better defensive metrics than Kim in more outfield innings last season — but they’re not doing that, either. The result is that a player who was in the top 20 in OBP last season has only played one complete game this season.
So, why keep Kim on the roster? Left fielders who can post such high OBPs are in short supply these days. And it’s not as if Kim’s performance was branded a fluke by projection systems. Our depth charts had him at .361 before the season, and that hasn’t changed much with his slow start. (Perhaps he’s pressing since he can’t even get all of the starts against right-handed pitching?) His rest-of-season depth charts OBP is .358. That has value. Value that perhaps the Orioles could turn into the fifth starter they so desperately need. Or perhaps another solid reliever, if it turns out that Zach Britton is going to miss an extended period of time.
The bottom line is this: Hyun Soo Kim has done nothing to tarnish his reputation as a very good hitter. Not in Korea, not in the United States. But the Orioles don’t trust him, and have only allowed him to tally 22 PA over the team’s first 14 games. Anyone would be more valuable to the Orioles than a player only trusted to tally 22 PA over 14 games — a figure that’s less than half of what the team’s regular starters have accumulated thus far. If Baltimore is not going to play him, then it’s time to use him as a trade chip, and get a player they will use. It’s time to free Hyun Soo Kim!
Paul Swydan used to be the managing editor of The Hardball Times, a writer and editor for FanGraphs and a writer for Boston.com and The Boston Globe. Now, he owns The Silver Unicorn Bookstore, an independent bookstore in Acton, Mass. Follow him on Twitter @Swydan. Follow the store @SilUnicornActon.
“I’ll take it!”
“Hello, Giants? I have something you may want…”
I was thinking this (or something like it) had to happen, until Bumgarner wrecked his shoulder. Don’t know it makes as much sense to pay in-season prices for a left fielder now, though.
The Orioles are not playing him as retribution for Kim not accepting a demotion to the minors last year. If the MLBPA still had any teeth, they would have filed a grievance by now. As for the Orioles, cutting off your nose to spite your face rarely turns out well.
Yet they have the best record in baseball. Weird.
because Standings are important 14 games into the season, right?
Better than being 3-12.
They are important when you are evaluating the propriety of the decisions made in those games up until this date.
The Orioles have been struggling for the most part on the offense, despite the record. A major let down so far, especially in terms of getting on base. Kim needs more at bats period. If that means sitting out Trumbo a game here or there or giving him a shot at lefties, so be it. There is no excuse to be starting a useless hitter like Gentry under any circumstance.
There’s no way this is true. As the article states, towards the end of last season, he was the everyday LFer.
Yeah – this is dumb. It’s not spite, it’s idiocy. It started in spring training (i guess first impressions really do matter) then only really started him full time down the stretch because of injuries.
The O’s dont seem to trust him to field (fair) or hit against lefties (unproven). So he gets benched a lot.
I dont get it. The glaring weakness of this team offensively is OBP. Put him at the top of the order and be done with it. They are willing to stomach craptastic defense from Trumbo and other players, so why not.
It’s just very confusing. I dont think there’s anythign else there besides Buck not wanting to use him.
For some reason the O’s love players like Michael Bourn and Craig Gentry and Drew Stubbs —
Which is odd, considering their allergies towards SBs
Duquette probably thinks the fans think Kim isn’t “working class” enough.
lol the MLBPA is probably the strongest out of the major American sports’ players associations. You can’t file a grievance because a player isn’t getting as much playing time because you think they should get. That is ridiculous.
Google the Washington Post’s article on the Orioles, Buck Showalter, and projection systems.
I sometimes feel like the O’s make decisions strictly opposing solid data just so that, when/if they have success, they can have something to snark about. And if they fail, well, they were supposed to.
(Also, I’m not trying to knock the success of Showalter and the team. Whatever they’re doing does seem to be effective.)
I don’t think they are actively trying to be contrarians. I think they have some weird in-house analysis of corner outfield defense that simultaneously says Trumbo and Joey Rickard okay in left, but Kim isn’t. There is something about Kim’s defense that they really hate…
To be clear, I don’t think they really are being contrarian. Just that it feels that way sometimes.
While Kim can hit, he does not contribute in any other categories.
This is such a weird comment to me. “That Hyun Soo Kim only really avoids outs and always gets on base, what a one-trick pony!” He excels at the skill that is most vital to hitters: avoiding outs. And that is incredibly valuable.
that is valuable, i agree. i also agree with the basic premise of the article (that Kim might see better opportunity playing for a different club).
getting on base is just one facet of a complex game, though. sort all left fielders who played 500+ innings in 2016 by UZR/150. Kim was better only than Robbie Grossman.
Kim was also a below average baserunner when he did get on.
he also produces no power — 35th of 40 left fielders with 300+ PA by ISO. so not no power, but Nori Aoki power. Howie Kendrick power.
truthfully, Aoki and Hendrick make decent comparitive foils — but both bring extra value for being able to play right field and second base, respectively, neither of which can Kim hope to do. and who exactly is clamoring for Aoki and Kendrick to get more at-bats?
Hyun soo kim(29) 2016
346PA wrc+ 119 WAR 0.9 WAR/600 1.6
projected wrc+ 107~114
Howie Kendrick(33) 2016
543 PA wrc+ 91 WAR 0.9 WAR/600 1.0
projected wrc+ 90~98
Nori Aoki(35) 2016
467 PA wrc+ 106 WAR 1.2 WAR/600 1.5
projected wrc+ 97
Now, before you say anything, I know WAR/600 is misleading given Kim was mostly platooned.
However, you also need to consider the fact that both Kendrick and Aoki are on the wrong side of the aging curve and both have a well-established history in the majors and relatively small variance in the expected outcome.
Kim, on the other hand, is still an uncertainty.
For me, Kim putting up wrc+ of anywhere between 80 and 130 wouldn’t be too surprising.
As for the defense, yes, his defense is bad.
But probably not UZR/150 -17.4 bad.
Prove it
2nd place to Mr. Conforto
If you look back at the positional rankings there are a bunch of teams who were planning on getting by on hope and prayer in left. I seem to recall that the Orioles were pretty high up the list, in part because of Kim. So you would think that there would be several teams who would be happy to take him off their hands.
Id give this a little bit more time to play out:
1) Kim can be solid against lefties and still be an inferior option. The 2 aren’t mutually exclusive.
2) Seems like Buck is a “hot hand” kinda guy. So far, the playing time has paid off for the O’s. I suspect as some guys cool off, Kim will get his chance and earn every day duties against righties.
But, ya, Rickard– I have no explanation for that haha.
While we’re talking about L/R splits, though, it’s important to raise that Rickard’s OBP of .312 isn’t as bad when you look at him as a platoon option to face LHP. Against lefties last season (the extent of his MLB experience) he hit .313/.367/.494/.861.
I think Mancini is a better hitter than Kim, to be honest (yeah, Kim has a great batting eye, but he hit a whole lot of seeing-eye singles last year). Smith is unambiguously a better defender. Gentry and Rickard? No explanation there – but even if we remove them from the equation, it’s going to be hard for Kim to regularly crack the lineup.
I don’t think Kim has failed to start a single game against a RHP, excluding one where Mancini started against Steven Wright (knuckleballers are weird, defensible), and a game @ CIN when Trumbo couldn’t DH.
He’s the platoon LF and they’re using him as such. They just don’t think he can hit lefties. The Orioles don’t like him and they very well could trade him so they can call up Pedro Alvarez, but they’re not burying him on the bench.
Only issue with this article is that the people he is competing with for playing time are playing very well. Seth Smith’s OPS is 947. Mancini’s OPS is 1.152. Kim’s OPS is 558.
As for sitting Kim for Gentry for defensive purposes, in how many of those games has Gentry actually batted after he came in as a sub? I don’t think it is very many.
If Smith and Mancini revert to where the projections project them to and Kim still isn’t playing, then write this article again. In the meantime, the numbers indicate that Buck is making the right decision even if more at-bats would have Kim at his projected OPS.
One more thing. Although Kim hit lefties in Korea, he was 0-17 with 4 walks against them last year. Of course with more opportunities he would likely fare better. But there is also reason to believe he won’t hit lefties as well as righties.
The Baltimore’s have a particular and peculiar (but successful) fit and vibe due to payroll restrictions, and Kim is apparently not quite seen as part of that odd continuum. As long as they are successful doing what they are doing only the odd can judge the odd.
The payroll thing doesn’t seem very relevant at this point given their payroll is north of $160MM this season.
It should noted that Kim asked to sit out against Wright.
I think he said he had never faced a knuckleballer.
OK – help me with this. Every year the Orioles are supposed to be sub .500 and fighting to stay out of the basement and every year they exceed FanGraphs expectations by 10-20 games. If only Buck would do what the analysis says he should do, would they finally do what they are supposed to and play “down” to where they really belong?
PS – I like Kim , but maybe one of the reasons for his good stats is the fact that they sit him when they feel he is overmatched?
Pirates?
Pirates need an outfielder who can hit right now!
I thought the same thing initially and have looked at their roster, a bit more.
It wouldn’t help their defense out there much, but it might help their bottom third offense. He probably wouldn’t play everyday, but he’d likely see more time than he does in Baltimore.
Seems like a worthwhile flier for them since Marte is gone.
Pirates don’t have a long-term opening, it doesn’t make sense to pay the price just for 75 games. And Frazier is very similar in terms of his high on-base, low power profile anyway.
True, after looking at the roster this occurred to me. It also seems that the Pirates like Harrison a lot more than I do. FWIW I’d rather have two of Frazier and Kim than Frazier / Harrison. Or at the very least, they upgrade the spot Osuna is in. That’s probably too much to invest for too a slim return (especially with Marte returning). The thought probably jumped out b/c of the recency of the Marte suspension (and my having read that article in this site). Kim’s an interesting player, it would be cool to see him on a team that’s more open-minded.
Not only is he deserving of at a minimum the strong side of a platoon, but he’s easily their best choice to head their lineup against RHPs. Perhaps some bitterness within the organization toward Kim for not accepting his reassignment last April? I don’t know how else to explain it.
Jays would love Kim too. Carrera is much better suited as a 4th OF.
the crudely google translated statiz page is amazing http://www.statiz.co.kr/player.php?opt=4&sopt=0&name=%EA%B9%80%ED%98%84%EC%88%98&birth=1988-01-12&re=0&da=4&year=1000
position “designated designator” and some stat called “bottles to buy”
(Holy toledo the top *four* Cubs hitters in the lineup last year were all in the top 20 in out avoidance. What a year it was)
“Trumbo had better defensive metrics than Kim in more outfield innings last season”
*shudders*
Buck’s not fair. He agrees that Kim is a hard worker, but he doesn’t use him. I agree with this writer. Free him! The Orioles bench is too warm because of Kim.
Trade him to the Mets, then we can add another corner outfielder to fit the model of “Defense doesn’t matter” and keeping Conforto on the bench.
That he hasn’t played much is due to the fact that O’s have faced a lot of lefty starters (8 in 17 games). Two of the games in Cincy they lost the DH and Mancini had just been ridiculously hot. I don’t think Buck is burying Kim, the circumstances have just made other options better. He will play a lot this year.