Giants’ GM Bobby Evans on the Value of Flexibility

Earlier this offseason, the Giants decided to let two veterans go who’ve been valued parts of the team. Both Nori Aoki and Yusmeiro Petit were on reasonable contracts, too. But, as general Bobby Evans explained at the Winter Meetings Monday night, keeping them on the roster may have impeded the team in their efforts to improve. Timing is important.

Petit is projected to produce about half a win as a reliever, and that’s in 65 innings. He’s more of a swing man, so three-quarters of a win, a win, those kinds of projections are reasonable. He was worth almost three wins between 2013 and 2014. And he’s projected to make just over $2 million in arbitration, so he would still be a value.

The Giants had an option on Aoki for this year. They could have had the quirky left fielder for $5.5 million, and he’s been worth at least a win and a half per season in all four seasons of his career. He’s projected for a win. The Mariners signed him for exactly the same contract he had with the Giants.

The team could have easily kept both and been praised for holding on to valuable depth pieces. But they want to improve their left field and starting pitcher production, and holding the two would have made doing those things harder.

“Here we are at the Winter Meetings and we haven’t locked in a left field option,” admitted Evans, even while explaining the decision to let Aoki go. “It can land-lock you if you make the commitment early.”

Owning a four-win player on a deal that pays him like a four-win player is one thing. But owning a below-average player on a cheap deal isn’t the same asset. “His value on the market was probably very comparable to his deal,” admitted Evans of his former left fielder, “but that doesn’t mean you’re going to be able to trade him without taking some of the money.” If they were going to have to eat money to let him go later, it was easier to spend the $700,000 buyout and free up the spot now.

It could have easily been a $5.5 million decision later. While Evans is trying to upgrade his left field situation, other clubs are filling their outfield needs. “It could get to a point where by the time we say we don’t need Nori, we’ve missed out on his market,” said Evans. “It was easier to give him a chance to look around.”

“We leave ourselves open to options,” is how Evans described the situation, while also suggesting that “some of that could be internal.” Outfielder Mac Williamson was 58% better than his colleagues in the Arizona Fall League, and both he and teammate Jarrett Parker are projected to be about league average with the bat next season. The team could get similar production to Aoki for $5 million less, and not have to try to eat money to convert their older outfielder into a low-level prospect.

The internal options factored in strongly in the Petit decision, too. “The bullpen is an area of strength for us in the system,” said Evans. In Hunter Strickland, Ray Black, Josh Osich, Cory Gearrin, and perhaps Derek Law and Kyle Crick, the Giants possess hard-throwing relievers with quality stuff from both sides of the mound. “Petit for us has been an important part of our bullpen, but as you saw last year, the dependence on him grew more and more when we were behind,” Evans said.

Roster flexibility was also an issue with the reliever. “There could be a scenario where we look at a second starter and then move Chris Heston into a long man role,” Evans pointed out. “We don’t know that yet. To tender Yusmeiro at that point would have pre-determining who our long man is, and we weren’t quite ready to do that.”

The Winter Meetings are a heady time for a baseball executive. “You have to juggle all of it,” Evans smiled. “You never know which part of the needs are going to get satisfied — we’re dependent on a response from players and agents and teams.” And it’s that juggling that was made easier by two tough decisions earlier this offseason.

By cutting Nori Aoki and Yusmeiro Petit — two good pieces on reasonable contracts — the Giants have allowed themselves the flexibility to make deals with bigger upgrades at their position without having to figure out what to do with incumbents there. The way things shake down quickly, they may have found themselves with two veterans who possess little trade value. It may have cost them an additional $7 million dollars to cut that pair if San Francisco had tendered the two contracts.

And let’s not forget the value to the players of having this decision made early in the process. Instead of wondering what might happen to them, the Giants allowed the players, and their representatives, to use the winter meetings to drum up a roster spot and a new contract.

Sometimes even valuable players on small deals aren’t the right fit for every roster. Those roster spots and the dexterity they provide the team in an important part of the offseason are worth something, too.





With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.

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The UFO From Fargo
8 years ago

I’m sorry, but this is a load of nonsense from Evans.

The Giants have a ton of money available, they don’t need to scrimp pennies the way Tampa or Oakland does. If SF strikes out on getting an LF option, they could have stuck Aoki there for another year and he’d be decent. If he was to be supplanted by one of SF’s internal options, great, make him a reserve OF and then bid him adieu next year or deal him. If the Giants land a big-name LF, trade Aoki. But I think there’s a chance, maybe a good chance, that they whiff on big-name OF. The worst outcome for SF is Mac Williamson starting in LF for the Giants on opening day. Or having to turn to a middle reliever that could be in AAA that you’ve rushed to the majors.

That same flexibility that he’s referring to can be gained by simply trading away players if SF is able to sign better players. I won’t even get into how odd it was that SF confined Petit to low-leverage/mop-up work, and that they apparently think he’s only capable of being a long guy. He had a rough start to the year, but closed pretty strong in the second half and didn’t see much in terms of competitive aciton. And his peripherals are pretty solid!

e
8 years ago

its not an issue of how much money SFG has. theres a difference between simply spending and spending responsibly, which also allows for flexible spending pst ASB.

Luxury tax begins at $189M.

SFG stands at $142.9M estimating Belt & Kontos arbitration deals. Jeff Samardzija will make $9M in his first season but its his AVV that counts towards luxury tax; Jeff’s AVV = $18M.

that leaves SFG at est. $160M, a difference of $30M.

signing a 2nd FA pitcher will estimate a cost at $16-18/year. someone like cespedes or gordon means another $16-18/year. not much room to avoid the tax unless you get creative and deal prospects for a starting pitcher thats under control.

so again, its not that SFG has a “ton of money”. Given their payroll & taxes, $30M is not really a “ton” when trying to sign high quality FA’s.

And in response to the above post, “flexibility …. gained (by) simply trading away player” is not an obvious solution. what players are considered tradeable that can provide payroll relief? All the players that other teams want are pre-arbitration (Panik, Susac, Duffy).

Kevin
8 years ago
Reply to  e
The UFO From Fargo
8 years ago
Reply to  e

Good post. To me having an off-season warchest of ~$50mm is a lot, or a ton, or however you want to characterize it. I suppose it’s all relative, it’s not a lot relative to the other teams in the high-payroll sandbox, but there are a lot of MLB teams that can’t even begin to think about signing Samardjiza responsibly, much less Shark + another big FA.

I think Aoki and Petit are peculiar ways of cutting costs at this point of the off-season, and I agree there aren’t many other options, but Casilla and Romo both seem like logical guys I’d move. They’re projected for a combined whopping 0.9 WAR, and together will take home $16mm. That could get you like ~80% of the way to an Alex Gordon.

Kyle
8 years ago

yeah, but you cant really use WAR to calculate a relief pitchers value…

Aviato
8 years ago

Teams don’t have infinite roster spots…