2015 Steamer Projections!
The 2015 Steamer Projections are now live on the site! Much thanks goes out to Jared Cross, Dash Davidson, and Peter Rosenbloom for putting these together every year.
We have two different playing time allocations for Steamer projections this year:
Steamer – This uses the playing time projection from our depth charts. These are temporarily using playoff rosters, so there may be the occasional weird playing time allocation. Playing time may be updated on a nightly basis.
Steamer600 – This version uses a static 600 PA (450 PA for catchers), 200 IP for starting pitchers, and 65 IP for relievers.
The regular Steamer projections can be found on the player pages, and both Steamer and Steamer 600 can be found in our projection section.
David Appelman is the creator of FanGraphs.
Wither Kris Bryant?
Looks like i will be dominating K’s next year. Targets include: Santos Rodriguez, Danny Hultzen, Lucas Giolito, Alex Meyer and Robert Osuna! Championship!
Would like to see Rusney Castillo’s projections.
Same.
Sorry, we don’t have one yet… soon!
Giancarlo?
Thanks for getting these posted so soon!
Looks like there’s a bug/error for anyone who wasn’t playing at the end of the season…Stanton, Wieters, Chris Davis, etc.
Yep, we are going to get the playing time updated for these guys.
Will we see /600 projections for all systems? That would make player evaluation much easier.
Wow – Steamer doesn’t like Julio Teheran much, does it? I would have expected a better projection for him.
Mookie Betts, Steve Pearce, Holliday and Werth got a LOT of love.
Pearce looks better that Carlos Gomez in these projections
Who loves Jamie Garcia? You do. Yes, you do.
51 year old Jamie Moyer with the 32nd highest Steamer/600 projection, oh what fun we can have with numbers!
Ranked by FVARz: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10WxTM5kyu_O8QngEp-qURVQZ-i75J0GE-nPA2nWqn2Y/edit?usp=sharing
Why is Corey Dickerson expected only 167 ABs?
CarGo, Cuddyer, Blackmon – who knows what the playing time breakdown will be? Probably becomes more clear in the spring and gets updated…
Is there anywhere that breaks down how these projections are made? Whether it’s a formula, or more from the gut?
Thanks!
Can you update the Steamer projections export .csv to include all the data that you are projecting on the individual player pages. For example, for batters expected Games Played and pitchers Total Batters Faced etc.