Padres Acquire Lottery Ticket Edward Olivares

On Saturday, the Padres sent INF Yangervis Solarte to Toronto in exchange for 21-year-old Venezuelan OF Edward Olivares and 24-year-old org reliever Jared Carkuff.

Olivares is the prospect centerpiece of the deal. He had a fairly significant breakout in 2017 after he barely played affiliated ball in 2016 due to injury. He was hurt after just 15 games at Bluefield in 2016 and, aside from those organizations that had extended spring-training coverage in Florida, many clubs didn’t see him until last year. In 2017, he went to Low-A and hit .277/.330/.500 with 17 homers and 18 steals in 101 games. He was promoted to Dunedin in mid-August and struggled there for the final three weeks of the season.

Olivares has an exciting, but volatile, skillset. He’s a free swinger with mediocre breaking-ball recognition and a pull-heavy approach to contact. He takes his share of ugly, unbalanced hacks at pitches that aren’t anywhere near the strike zone. So while he struck out in just 17% of his Low-A plate appearances last year, scouts are concerned about how undercooked Olivares’s feel to hit is right no, and worry that it could become an issue against more advanced pro pitching.

But he’s also a plus-armed, plus-running, well-built 6-foot-2, with enough speed to merit continued development in center field. He also has above-average bat speed and raw power, and loads his hands at a height that helps produce natural fly-ball loft in his swing. Olivares’s hit-tool projection is volatile because so many of his current deficiencies are approach-driven and not something an instructor can just fix.

When we consider that Olivares’s 2016 injury limited him to just 15 actual games, however, these struggles seem much more reasonable. If his bat and indecisive feel for center field progress, and allow his power and speed to translate to on-field production, he could be an above-average everyday player. There’s also a real possibility that he never does much of anything, though. He’s a 45 FV prospect as a high-risk, potentially above-average regular. He could share reps with Buddy Reed at High-A to start the upcoming season.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.




Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.

23 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
John S
7 years ago

After watching Gettys toil for the past few years, I have a hard time mentally reconciling Olivares lack of pitch recognition with his relatively pedestrian strikeout percentage.

realitypolice
7 years ago
Reply to  John S

A fast bat (Olivares) can make up some for bad pitch recognition, especially at Single-A. Poor swing timing and a long swing (Gettys) accentuates it.

dvmin98
7 years ago
Reply to  John S

I don’t think the two are comparable. I think Gettys just can’t recognize the pitch. Olivares seems to have the bat speed to compensate. Gettys’ time is running out. Was hoping he’d be the prospect traded for Galves 🙁