Kevin Goldstein FanGraphs Chat – 4/26/2021
12:01 |
: Hi everyone. Good to be here at my actually schedule time to chat and already several questions in the queue, so let’s do this.
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12:02 |
: Hello Kevin ! I have a question, i don’t know if it’s possible to do it easily : get the wins/losses of a team with and without a player ?
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12:02 |
: I think you could mess with some weird WAR stuff and do some quick addition/subtraction but I don’t think it would really be accurate….
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12:03 |
: George Kirby: 100 MPH with command and looooong legs: is he the next Jacob degrom??
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12:03 |
: C’mon, it’s Monday. CALM DOWN.
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12:03 |
: Do you believe in personal catchers being significantly beneficial?
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12:04 |
: I believe that a player’s comfort level is exceptionally important in terms of getting the best performance out of him. Sometimes that’s a role, sometimes that’s a spot in the batting order and sometimes that’s a personal catcher. Really underrated part of the game and not something anyone can easily put some kind of measurement on.
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12:04 |
: If Odorizzi needs to miss some time, have to think Luis Garcia is the first in line for those starts, right? How do you like his odds of becoming a solid rotation piece? Eric’s offseason writeup of him was pretty glowing and he’s held his own so far in his short time at the big league level.
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12:04 |
: I think he’ll be a perfectly fine starting pitcher. Not a star, mind you, but perfectly fine.
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12:04 |
: What is your opinion of the experiments MLB is conducting in the minor leagues – double-hook with SPs and DHs, moving the mound back 1 foot to try for more balls in play and fewer strikeouts… won’t that just lead to more pitcher injuries? Or would pitchers really change their approach to pitch more to contact?
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12:05 |
: I’m trying to be open minded to seeing how they play out and seeing what the data from them playing out tells us. It’s hard, but I’m trying.
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12:05 |
: What would you try to do with Garrett Richards / have him do, if he were in your org?
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12:05 |
: See if you could find success with short stints out of the pen…?
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12:05 |
: Has Dustin May broken out, or is he just on a good run right now?
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12:06 |
: He’s going to be very good. Believe.
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12:06 |
: brave of you to talk about nick madrigal in terms other that he is a surefire hall of famer. white sox twitter is a scary place. given that you live in the chicago area, are you scared for your safety?
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12:06 |
: Not at all. I don’t think any team’s fan base/twitter profile is any worse than any other, it’s more of a numbers game. It’s not like I said he wasn’t good. I got far more pushback in Chicago for my Baez piece.
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12:07 |
: Kevin, I’m curious as to internal org. prospect rankings. Beyond the top guys, do teams keep some kind of dynamic 1-___ ranking of their prospects or is it something more tiered in terms of loose groupings of “dude”, “fringe prospect”, “org. guy”, etc.?
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12:07 |
: Yes, I do support some loose groupings, but more of Group 1 = top three prospect in most orgs; group 2 = top 10 in most orgs; group 3 = 11-30 in most orgs, etc.
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12:09 |
: Hi Kevin. Let’s say the Mariners are competitive when the trade deadline nears. Let’s also say Seager continues to have a good year. If it were you running the show, would you keep him or trade him? If keep, would you pick up his option year?
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12:10 |
: I don’t see a path to him getting that option picked up, and if he keeps hitting like he has (I don’t think he’s having a good year) he’s not going to have much trade value. I might just let it ride.
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12:10 |
: Kevin, last week you mentioned that you weren’t a fan of a singular label – FV, OFP, etc. – for prospects. Was this something you picked up while w/ the Astros? How would you go about delineating between prospects in the alternative of these kinds of metrics?
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12:10 |
: Yes. It’s something I took off of our pro reports. I liked a floor/most likely/ceiling type of rubric.
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12:11 |
: Arozarena looking whifftastic so far. Do you think he’s able to calm down the swing and make more contact as the season moves on or is this going to be an ongoing issue for him?
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12:11 |
: I mean, he’s never going to be a big contact guy, but I think he’ll be better than he has been so far this year.
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12:11 |
: Is there an unwritten rule between GMs not to claim certain types of players off waivers (e.g. 3rd/4th catcher types)?
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12:12 |
: Not at all. Only unwritten rule is not to claim a player who is going through the process in order to sign with a team in Asia, and that is noted in the waiver wire that is sent out to teams.
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12:12 |
: Opinion on Tatis peeking?
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12:12 |
: People peek all the time…
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12:13 |
: Got anything on TCU’s Russell Smith? Backspun FB with plus command and a CH that has shown ++, 32% K rate
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12:13 |
: Thanks for the tip and I now want to go dig in on him.
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12:13 |
: Amed Rosario has made huge strides so far this season with his plate discipline, but it’s not showing up in his surface stats. Do you think this eventually drives a return to relevancy for him or is this just another approach tweak that’s not going to work?
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12:14 |
: It’s a fun question, and a more complex one than you might think. There are players where more walks might actually hurt them. It’s something worth monitoring.
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12:15 |
: Carson Kelly is just obliterating balls so far this year. Does any of this uptick stick or does he eventually tick back down to something more resembling his 2019?
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12:16 |
: I mean, obviously he’s not going to throw up a 1200 OPS on the season, but I do believe in the talent and that he’ll be a well above-average catcher. 850 OPS work for you?
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12:16 |
: How ridiculous is it that we expect 40-60 year old people to imagine an invisible zone hovering over a plate 8 feet away and to determine with total conviction that a 98mph ball (with movement) nicked the outside boundary of said zone?
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12:17 |
: About as ridiculous as assuming some sort of computer model for doing the same fixes everything.
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12:17 |
: What is the most remote location you have travelled to watch/scout a baseball game? Did you consume any interesting local grub?
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12:19 |
: In terms of outside of the stats, Mexico City, Tijuana, Tokyo and all over the Dominican Republic. Found great food everywhere I went. Had great tacos with the great FlipFlopFlying in Mexico City, an incredible fancy sushi meal with a NPB exec in Tokyo, and so many good meals in the DR….in terms of staying continental, I loved going to North Carolina as I’m a huge sucker for Carolina BBQ.
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12:19 |
: Do you think the minor league season starts when planned (I think it’s early May)? Haven’t hear much about this since the AAA season got delayed.
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12:20 |
: There are actually some whispered rumors that it might get pushed back again . . . . but just rumors for now.
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12:20 |
: Are the White Sox taking the right approach with Andrew Vaughn?
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12:20 |
: I don’t like it. Either play him or have him somewhere where he will play.
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12:21 |
: I’ve been a casual baseball fan but during the pandemic, I’ve fallen for the game in a new way. I signed up for a Fangraphs membership (anyone reading this should too) but now I want to know how do you recommend taking a deeper dive into analyzing the game? Is there anything practices you recommend before, during, or after a game?
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12:22 |
: Thanks for signing up! We appreciate it and this is a great opportunity to remind everyone about our membership drive. WE NEED YOUR SUPPORT. If you like these chats, or all of the amazing articles, or the fantastic data tools, or the podcasts, or the Twitch streams, PLEASE SUPPORT US to make sure they keep happening.
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12:22 |
: As for your question, I think I got practice would be to watch a game with the statcast feed open.
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12:22 |
: What are the chances Luis Medina NYY ends up a starter, and what kind of SP are we looking at then?
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12:23 |
: This is going to come off as QUITE the hedge, but I really think it’s about 50/50. I think as a starter he’ll be one of those inefficient guy just out-stuffing people who gives you five overall effective innings but takes 97 pitches to do so.
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12:23 |
: What’s the general opinion among front office members about anti-labor tactics like manipulating service time? I would assume they feel pretty much forced into doing such things as part of the job description, but would most take the pro-labor side if they had any voice in the next CBA, or are most simply numb to the problem after years of doing things the current way?
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12:24 |
: 30% for, 20% against, 50% numb.
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12:24 |
: what’s something that surprised you about working in a front office that you didn’t expect before you joined Houston?
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12:24 |
: The number of people in takes to run a baseball team, from the front office down to the hot dog vendors is staggering.
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12:25 |
: What is wrong with Kyle Tucker and do you think he will turn it around?
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12:25 |
: His underlying data is far better than his triple-slash line. He’ll be fine.
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12:27 |
: Where does the name “Tricky League” come from?
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12:27 |
: I stared at this one for ten seconds saying to myself, “Do I know this?” and you know what? I do not know this.
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12:27 |
: Any idea of where Verlander ends up next year?
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12:27 |
: None.
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12:27 |
: I asked both Kiley and EL so now you…Ed Howard or Cristian Hernandez? Hint: There is a right answer!
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12:28 |
: Gimme Ed.
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12:28 |
: Dylan Carlson thoughts? seems to really be heating up, power, contact, good approach. any comps setting aside the switch hitting?
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12:29 |
: I don’t like comps unless they are really obvious. Never force them. Carlson has been really impressive. I don’t think there’s enough contact in him for .300, but .275 with walks and power is still a very valuable player.
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12:29 |
: can the brewers really win the division with this offense?
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12:29 |
: It’s the NL Central. It’s not going to take much. They could win it. So could the Cubs. So could the Cardinals.
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12:30 |
: Do you believe there is a hero in all of us?
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12:30 |
: No.
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12:30 |
: Is it unfair to a guy like Bumgarner to not get a no-hitter? It’s not his fault the game is 7 innings because of the new double header rules. He pitched a complete game and did not allow a hit. That should be a no-hitter.
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12:31 |
: Like, AITA if I kinda don’t care about how it’s classified? You saw what happened? I saw what happened. How you see it counts more than how some official statistician sees it.
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12:31 |
: Could the OPS examples in your article on Madrigal be translated to wRC+?
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12:32 |
: They could be, but as far as spending time for the piece and messing around with numbers in a spreadsheet for the purposes of the piece, OPS was way easier to work with.
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12:32 |
: What happened to all star Gleyber Torres? Do you think he is just slumping or are you more concerned?
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12:32 |
: I don’t think playing him at SS helps, but yes, he’s better than this, and will be.
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12:33 |
: How much longer do I have to pretend the Cubs are bad?
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12:33 |
: They’re not bad, they’re just not clearly good — again, this is the definition of NL Central squads.
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12:33 |
: If the league/commenters/pearl-clutchers are concerned with shifting would a simple change of not allowing cheat sheets help a bit in that regard? Force everyone, including pitchers and catchers, to rely on coaching relays to rely on coaching signals, pregame strategies, and their own, memory. Or would it not do enough to matter at all?
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12:34 |
: I just don’t see why people care about this, and on a related note, I choose not to.
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12:34 |
: So, Yuli Gurriel. Did he come to America to break baseball projection models?
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12:34 |
: I have a soft spot in my heart for Yuli, and always enjoy seeing him do well.
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12:35 |
: How do you go about projecting future game power for a player who shows more power in games than they do in BP?
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12:35 |
: What they show you tells you what it is, so focus on the game stuff for that player. Some guys never let it fly in BP.
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12:35 |
: Have you considered writing a book about your journey?
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12:36 |
: I have, but not overly driven to do so.
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12:36 |
: How much longer do we need to see Lindor struggle at the plate before we begin to get concerned?
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12:36 |
: I’m a little concerned, to be honest. Far from panicked, but yeah, a little concerned.
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12:37 |
: Was reading transcript of your last chat and Naked Raygun clip. Were you into the Chicago punk scene in the 80’s? Raygun at Cubby Bear, Last Rites at Metro, Bhopal Stiffs at Exit among others?
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12:37 |
: Yeah. I grow up in the Chicago punk scene in the 80s. I was probably at all of those shows and more.
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12:38 |
: Adolis Garcia – for real and finally putting it all together, or about to get exploited as the league adjusts to him since he can’t work a walk? What does it say that the Rangers have batted him in the 4/5 slot in the lineup and basically handed him CF? And how did the Cardinals let yet another toolsy OF get away given their needs?
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12:38 |
: He’s fun to watch, but yeah, he’s more of a low-average, big K power goof than some kind of star.
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12:38 |
: Ty France has an average of .316 but a BABIP of .400, but also the statcast xBA of .321… what should we expect out of him going forward? Regression of the BABIP or that he still hits for a decent average because of the underlying statcast numbers?
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12:38 |
: Ty France can really hit. Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
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12:39 |
: Are there diminishing returns on SP WAR? Degrom can have 10 WAR and the Mets will win a portion of his ~30 games. If Trout gets 10 WAR spread over 150+ games, which is more practically beneficial to their team?
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12:40 |
: It’s a fun philosophical question, and I think there is at least an argument that the 10 over 30 games is more valuable. Fun bar conversation.
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12:40 |
: Do you think any of the oscar movies this year were “great”?
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12:40 |
: Only two I saw were Mank (good, but far from great), and Nomadland (which bordered on great).
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12:40 |
: Thankfully, The Opener appears to be a fading fad. But now the Rangers are trying a piggyback approach. This makes sense to me this year, with last year’s lower innings. I know the Astros do this in the minors. Have you seen any downside?
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12:41 |
: Not in terms of player development. In terms of game strategy, there are some pitfalls.
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12:41 |
: Victor Robles is 24. He has struggled every season. What is his trajectory at this point in his career?
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12:41 |
: Nice 4th outfielder….
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12:41 |
: Tyler O’Neil? lots of swing and miss but it mostly seems a result of swinging way to fast and being way out in front. could something like a toe tap turn him into a star?
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12:41 |
: If only it were that simple….
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12:43 |
: Not that this would actually happen, but which team do you think would turn down a Gallen/Julio Rodríguez swap?
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12:43 |
: Arizona.
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12:43 |
: What are the some of main traits you look for in high school hitters?
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12:44 |
: Bat speed, bat-to-ball ability, feel at the plate . . . they’re tough to wrap your head around at times because the level of pitching they are facing.
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12:44 |
: Do any of your contacts like the extra-inning rule? I understand why it was in place last year (and to some extent this year), but is it something that the powers that be will want to keep going forward?
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12:44 |
: Plenty, mostly for player health reasons and that super long games can crush your bullpen for a week. I like the rule as well [ducks].
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12:45 |
: Do minor league systems benefit from being varied or is there strength in homogeneity? Is it easier to develop players when they are all starting from the same point?
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12:45 |
: Clear standards across every level are absolutely essential. They all need to be told the same thing at every level.
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12:46 |
: In regards to Luis Garcia, what is a perfectly fine starting pitcher? What type or who in the majors does that fit?
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12:47 |
: Good 4, maybe a 3 in a good year.
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12:47 |
: Franchy Cordero has clearly deployed a different approach, using the opposite field a lot more, but he’s had a slow start and the Boston media can’t go on without someone to gripe about. What will it take for this tools monster to figure it out?
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12:48 |
: It’s pretty obvious. He needs to make more contact. It’s not clear how he’s going to make more contact, and that’s the problem.
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12:48 |
: Colton Cowser’s board update has him borderline day 1, with seemingly fringe tools other than hit. Has he done enough hitting to suggest he’s in play in the middle of round 1? Do you think he’d be an underslot target for teams picking in the teens?
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12:48 |
: I wrote about him last week and had him firmly in the teens.
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12:48 |
: “I liked a floor/most likely/ceiling type of rubric.” Meaning you would put FV grades on each of those?
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12:48 |
: I used words instead of FVs. Below avg, avg, above avg, elite, etc.
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12:49 |
: The Braves offense. My god. Please give me hope.
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12:49 |
: Freeman will be better, Ozuna will be better, Albies will be better, Swanson will be better . . .
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12:50 |
: Venture a year-end line on Votto?
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12:50 |
: .236/.343/.424
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12:51 |
: Verdugo has played like a star in both 2020 and 2021 (albeit in small samples). Are you buying he is a star or just a solid regular?
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12:52 |
: I’m comfortable seeing him as a .850-.900 OPS type.
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12:52 |
: Predicting a wholesale tool change is impossible, but is there an impediment to Madrigal having an Altuve-like jump in power? Early career EVs seem similar between the two.
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12:52 |
: Even early in Altuve’s career, he had sneaky pop and could show you real raw in BP. Madrigal does not do that.
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12:53 |
: Since you’ve worked for teams…How do they deal with and look at fan expectations?
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12:53 |
: I mean . . . winning changes everything. It’s kinda simple.
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12:53 |
: I’m back! Maybe?
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12:54 |
: Yeah . . . it was a great outing. I’m far from saying there’s some kind of return to previous form here.
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12:54 |
: Saw your recommendation of qanon anonymous. Should someone hop in on the most recent episode or at the beginning? Looks like there are 260 episodes
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12:54 |
: You can drop in whenever and be fine.
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12:54 |
: Carolina BBQ… vinegar or mustard base?
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12:54 |
: Vinegar ALL THE WAY. If you find yourself in the triangle, head to Q Shack.
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12:55 |
: In a recent podcast episode, I remember you saying that you are not that high on one or two players because you don’t see them hitting the ball all that hard. I’m assuming that you are referring to the exit velocity readings. How much do you personally cap a player’s ceiling based on EV, if at all? And if this is a thing, how prevalent is this among scouts and other evaluators? Everyone has always wanted prospects that sting the ball but now that we have these readings, are we in danger of overemphasizing the EV when grading hitters?
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12:55 |
: EV is exceptionally important, but more as accumulated data as opposed to single AB type of things.
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12:56 |
: Do you watch Giant Bomb’s videos too or just listen to their podcast(s)?
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12:56 |
: Watch some Quick Looks if it’s a game I’m interested in.
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12:56 |
: Where do you think Austin Martin ends up in the field? Are you a believer in the bat?
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12:56 |
: CF; yes.
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12:56 |
: Do the players have the chutzpah to strike? After the NFL’s CBA sham, is there any optimism?
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12:57 |
: To explain why would take a full piece, but what we are look at THIS YEAR is a lockout.
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12:59 |
: Why did Asutdillo’s Early Action % not get more love in your Madrigal piece?
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12:59 |
: Just didn’t have enough ABs to qualify, but obviously, he’s incredibly unique in that regard.
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1:00 |
: Is this a true Cristian Javier breakout? What was his outlook internally back when you were with the Astros?
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1:00 |
: Always thought he’d be a good No. 3 starter. Still think that.
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1:00 |
: Any players that you watched struggle in other orgs that you thought “we can fix them”?
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1:00 |
: Tons. Every team does.
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1:00 |
: Marlins need a big power boost. Are they scared of putting too much pressure on Bleday? I am BrinOUT at this point
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1:01 |
: I’m out on Brinson as well, but Bleday isn’t ready.
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1:01 |
: can you tell fastball/change/curve/slider in person with no radar gun and no replay? if so, how long did it take you to pick it up? always amazed when you see guys charting pitches without a gun or whatever, have no idea how you differentiate those
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1:01 |
: I think so. Changes get get a little weird at times, and will power breakers falling between curves and sliders, sometimes you need a couple to figure out, but overall, yes.
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1:01 |
: who is in that next tier of draft arms after Leiter/Rocker? Anyone to be excited about?
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1:02 |
: I feel like I’m kind of on an island thinking Ty Madden is just a tick below them. . .
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1:02 |
: Do major league teams track the accuracy of pitchers by each pitch? If so, is that data available? Imagine a grid over the strike zone and measuring how close a pitch is to where the catcher sets up.
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1:02 |
: Yes, they do that.
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1:03 |
: Any thoughts on this year’s QB class? I go against most of my pre-Covid beliefs by thinking the Jets should take a one year starter at QB, Trey Lance
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1:03 |
: I know the NFL draft is this week. I can’t name a single QB in it. I can’t name a single college football player, to be honest with you.
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1:03 |
: I read an anonymous internet comment from someone that said he used to work in a baseball FO as a lower-level type. He said it amazed him how little many others in the FO even liked baseball, and spent a lot of their time talking about football actually. Believable?
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1:03 |
: I don’t know any of those people….
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1:04 |
: were you into baseball during your young punk time?
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1:04 |
: Yes. Always. Baseball is actually very punk rock. I’m going to write about this at some point.
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1:04 |
: I hope you weren’t the guy with the bad mustache trying to get with my girl on the 3rd floor at Medusa’s
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1:04 |
: I was at Medusa’s but I did not have a mustache.
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1:04 |
: Which front office do you think is underrated?
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1:05 |
: Probably the Yankees. I think it’s easy to just say they have all the money (and it certainly helps), but they’re also very good at the baseball part.
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1:05 |
: Will FanGraphs ever dive into football? I’m sick of Collinsworth’s PFF, literally no one has any idea how they come up with anything
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1:05 |
: Maybe! I just know they won’t want me to be a part of it.
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1:05 |
: MLB.com has the Rangers taking Lawlar with the no. 2 pick. Is this an indictment of the pitching player development to not pick the leftover of Leiter/Rocker or more about Lawlar just being that good?
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1:06 |
: He’s that good.
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1:06 |
: Is Yermin Mercedes passable at any position or is he a DH forever?
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1:06 |
: His best glove is his batting glove(s).
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1:07 |
: James Fegan when previously talking about Tim Anderson thought there was some type of metric or system we haven’t figured out yet to explain Tim Anderson out performing all expected metrics. Do you agree or think it’s just a rabbit’s BABIP foot
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1:07 |
: I do think there are players capable of exceeding in BABIP.
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1:08 |
: I have seen you say you think Yuli Gurriel would have had a chance at the HOF if he played his career in MLB. Dave Cameron thought he was the worst starter on the Astros when he would write for this site. Why the gap?
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1:08 |
: People are different and see things differently and diversity of thought is a good thing.
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1:09 |
: Last week you mentioned the Braves being at the forefront of technology, was that before or after the FO change? Or did it stay the same?
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1:09 |
: They’ve taken huge steps forward under AA.
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1:09 |
: Weirdest movie you consider great?
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1:09 |
: Hausu (House).
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1:10 |
: What is your take on teams shifting against RHH? Many analysts seems puzzled why teams keep on doing it outside extremes.
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1:11 |
: They wouldn’t do it if the data told them not to. Right now, the data tells them to do so.
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1:12 |
: What’s the general Front Office / baseball opinion on Tony Clark? It seems kind of mixed by the fans & media, but never enough to call for a change
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1:12 |
: General feeling is that the union botched the last CBA and that helped create the current gap. Other thought here is that we have labor problems when an ex-player is in charge.
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1:12 |
: How would you line up Madden, Hoglund and Bachman?
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1:13 |
: In that order.
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1:13 |
: SS speculation question: does Seager sign with the dodgers this off-season? Hard to imagine LA doesn’t try to bring their WS MVP back, and it would be a bit weird for them to go after correa considering his status among the fan base. Giants would be an interesting place to land too
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1:13 |
: I do think they will make a significant attempt to keep him.
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1:14 |
: ____ of the 30 MLB GM’s didn’t take a single day off last year.
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1:15 |
: I think we need to define “day off.” If you mean ABSOLUTE day off, like never look at email or check their phone . . . it’s close to 30.
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1:15 |
: When is kelenic and gilbert coming up?
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1:16 |
: I got a bunch of these, and I just want to say I don’t work for the Mariners, nor has Jerry DiPoto called me to discuss. I don’t know. I know you want to know, but nobody except the Mariners know.
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1:16 |
: Are the changes Odor is making on the Yankees legit?
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1:17 |
: Um . . . he’s hitting 175/250/400 . . . have things really changed?
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1:17 |
: Someone dropped Dominic smith in my dynasty. Spent $9 faab to claim him. Is the improvements he took last year real? Thoughts on him?
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1:17 |
: I believe in the bat.
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1:17 |
: thoughts on the Oscars?
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1:18 |
: We watched Lodge 49 and my wife played some Animal Crossing last night.
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1:18 |
: What are your expectations for Bryan Abreu this year?
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1:18 |
: Frustrating reliever who strikes out the side one night and walks two and gives up a run or two the next…
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1:19 |
: Typically, you stretch/grow people by nudging them past their crutches. Be that ‘this catcher/not THAT! catcher’, MY! slot in the batting order, any other superstitions or entitlements that they have. Particularly if you want them to perform in high pressure situations, when by definition they are inherently out of their normal comfort zone. Slowly start getting used to that now, Dude.
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1:19 |
: Disagree.
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1:19 |
: If you were handed the reins as GM of an expansion team, and the owner of this hypothetical team was 1) able to talk you into being the GM, and 2) let you run the team however you pleased, provided he made ~4% per year on his investment, do you think you could create a >.500 team within 10 years and run the org according the less-exploitative, more-humanistic guidelines you and many others wish teams operated under?
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1:20 |
: Yes.
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1:20 |
: Has DeGrom gone to another level, or is this just a hot start for the best pitcher in the game? Do you expect his season line to be better or worse than the average of his last 3?
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1:20 |
: Feels like another level from my vantage point.
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1:20 |
: What is the Statcast feed? Is there one for each game? Thanks
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1:20 |
: Go to statcast’s page and there’s a scoreboard banner at the top. Click on a game and have fun.
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1:22 |
: Ok, I got about 20 minutes before I need to make space for Ben Clemens to chat, so get your questions in.
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1:22 |
: I can’t get past the time he did the slant eyes.
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1:23 | : I understand. Dylan Hernandez of the LA Times wrote a great piece about this that will maybe help you understand. |
1:24 |
: What were we like in college (if you saw us).. are you surprised we are both bona fide aces in the big leagues now?
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1:25 |
: I mean, you are talking about two guys who didn’t go in the first three rounds, so everyone is a bit surprised, no?
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1:26 |
: Am I incorrect to think savant’s many colorful percentile sliders are cool, but far from the ideal first place to look at when evaluating players?
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1:26 |
: I spend FAR more time looking at actual data at savant than any of the charts/graphs.
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1:27 |
: I enjoyed your Nick Madrigal piece. You presented an interesting case to be somewhat skeptical about stardom for him, which I will ignore because I’m biased on him, and a big fan of his talent. One logical criticism: I feel like hitting .327 in your FIRST 170 PAs in the big leagues is remarkable given the endless amount of superstars I have seen struggle in their debuts, and the crazy amount of arms being thrown out there. Also, Tony Gwynn hit .309 .355 .372 when he was 23.
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1:27 |
: Nick Madrigal is wonderful. He’s not Tony Gwynn.
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1:28 |
: You should totally do a book. Your story and perspective would be way more interesting than the stuff that is out there. Just need to put in the work, and it won’t be easy. But, the fans will go for it.
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1:28 |
: I hear you. Just not high on the priority list. Part of it is my desire to move forward.
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1:29 |
: Is Rich Hill on the decline, or has he just been unlucky so far?
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1:29 |
: I mean, it had to decline at some point . . .
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1:29 |
: How much less complicated would the draft be if there was no bonus pool?
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1:30 |
: It would actually be more complicated. That said, there shouldn’t be a bonus pool.
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1:30 |
: Do you believe in Matt McLain’s hit tool?
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1:30 |
: I do.
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1:31 |
: I grew up in Orange County and can’t decide if I should hate the Chargers for moving? Any suggestions?
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1:31 |
: I don’t know what baseball team you are referring to.
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1:32 |
: Do you believe in Dylan Carlson in the 2 hole for the cardinals?
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1:32 |
: I’m not a big believer in batting order really moving the needle much, so if Carlson likes hitting there and the manager likes hitting him there, it’s fine with me.
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1:33 |
: What’s the most bizarre interaction you have ever had with a player?
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1:34 |
: I distinctly remember a back field game where a pitcher walked two, gave up a pair of doubles off the wall and a ground ball single through a shifted infield that scored two. He came in and screamed about how the shift messed up his inning for about five minutes.
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1:35 |
: What’s the likeliest team Scherzer will allow himself to be traded to at the deadline?
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1:36 |
: Cardinals I guess is the easy answer just for the Missouri connection. I imagine he’d be open to most contenders.
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1:36 |
: So sick of the bogus suspensions. Why wasn’t Tatis suspended. MLB uses bat flips and yelling in their commercials. Castellanos shouldn’t have been suspended. Still irked about that.
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1:37 |
: I agree with Castellanos’ assessment of the suspension. It sucked.
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1:37 |
: Been some talking heads floating a Rizzo to NYY at deadline. Makes sense, so it won’t happen, right?
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1:37 |
: Right. Cubs are going to be in it at the deadline. As many as four NL Central teams will be.
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1:38 |
: Any chance we can get Chin Music on Stitcher (podcast app)?
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1:38 |
: I can look into it. You have an RSS feed, an Apple feed, a Spotify feed. It’s not like we make it hard to listen to….
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1:39 |
: Billy Martin would pull the batting order out of a hat when his players got too set on it. No one knew more about motivating ballplayers than Billy Martin. (as to his drinking, and managing starting pitching innings, well … )
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1:40 |
: A. Different era. Martin would never survive in today’s game, and for good reasons. B. I can’t take anyone who calls themself a self-improvement guru seriously.
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1:40 |
: Responsibility is on the catcher to protect his signs right? Bauer should be more mad at his C than Tatis, I feel like majority of hitters will look if catchers are lazy with their signs
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1:40 |
: I think this is just the biggest of mountains over the smallest of molehills.
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1:40 |
: is it just me or are the national broadcasts a little too wax poetic when it comes to the Dodgers. the team is great we know but it gets old if you constantly talk about it over a 3-4 hour game, focus on the game
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1:41 |
: If you are a hardcore baseball fan, the broadcast is not designed for you in ANY WAY. Always remember that.
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1:41 |
: And with that, I gotta clear out before I get yelled at. Thanks for all the great questions and I’ll see you next week! Well, I mean I won’t actually see you. But I’ll at least be chatting again.
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Kevin Goldstein is a National Writer at FanGraphs.
Q Shack!?!?! No way. Backyard BBQ or nothing.