Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
Chicago NL at San Francisco | 15:45 ET
Haren (148.1 IP, 119 xFIP-) vs. Bumgarner (169.2 IP, 78 xFIP-)
Within the haphazardly derived algorithm used to calculated NERD team scores, the expression intended to represent the “urgency” or perhaps “leverage” of a club’s season — the expression relies on that same club’s divisional-series playoff odds. The closer those odds are to 50% — thereby suggesting greater uncertainty regarding the outcome of their season — the higher the NERD score for the relevant team.
As multiple concerned readers have noted, however, the method isn’t perfect. The Chicago Cubs, for example, possess almost precisely a 50% chance of qualifying for the divisional series at the moment. What they also possess, though, is basically zero probability of winning their division. The Cubs have, essentially, clinched a wild-card spot at this point — and, as such, it’s probably fair to say that their odds of reaching the divisional series (again, at 50%) aren’t reflective of great urgency. Unfortunately, to improve the algorithm at this point would require a close working relationship with tedium, a state which — not unlike polio or carpeting — ought to be eradicated posthaste.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Almost All of Them.
Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Los Angeles NL at Cincinnati, starts at 12:35 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those adjustments here and here.
|Zack Greinke||LAN||7||9||6||3||5||CIN||Ant. DeSclafani||12:35|
|M. Shoemaker||LAA||5||6||5||3||4||DET||Randy Wolf*||13:08|
|Marco Estrada||TOR||2||7||5||6||2||TEX||Yovani Gallardo||14:05|
|Chris Tillman||BAL||3||5||5||3||8||KC||Yordano Ventura||14:10|
|Dan Haren||CHN||3||10||8||8||9||SF||Ma.n Bumgarner||15:45|
|Jon Niese||NYN||5||5||4||2||2||PHI||Aaron Harang||19:05|
|And. Cashner||SD||7||3||6||5||10||WAS||Joe Ross||19:05|
|Tommy Milone||MIN||3||5||5||4||8||TB||Drew Smyly||19:10|
|Gerrit Cole||PIT||10||10||7||4||3||MIA||Justin Nicolino||19:10|
|Roenis Elias||SEA||5||3||4||3||8||CHA||Carlos Rodon||20:10|
|Carlos Martinez||STL||10||5||6||4||7||AZ||Rubby de la Rosa||21:40|
* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.