NERD Game Scores for Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Atlanta at Los Angeles | 22:10 ET
Teheran (50.2 IP, 104 xFIP-) vs. Kershaw (58.1 IP, 60 xFIP-)
With regard to all the sorts of numbers that both (a) become reliable in smaller samples and also (b) most directly inform run prevention, Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw has produced almost an exact replica this year of his monstrous 2014 season. With regard to how many runs he’s actually conceded, however, the differences are unfortunately less subtle.

Regard, by way of illustration, this table:

Season IP K% BB% GB% SwStr% FBv BABIP HR/FB LOB% xFIP- ERA-
2014 198.1 31.9% 4.1% 51.8% 14.2% 93.0 .278 6.6% 81.6% 56 50
2015 58.1 30.0% 6.6% 52.7% 13.7% 93.5 .342 20.0% 65.6% 60 116

Strikeout rate, walk rate, ground-ball rate, and also fastball velocity (denoted as FBv): all are rough approximations this year of what they were last. Indeed, the first three of those metrics conspire to produce the very best park-adjusted xFIP among all qualifiers this season so far. Kershaw, however, has conceded both hits (as denoted by BABIP) and home runs (HR/FB) in unusually large quantities — which has led to all the run-allowing. It’s probably premature to describe Kershaw’s misfortunes at this point as “Job-like.” Perhaps they’re more similar to the misfortunes of one who left his wallet at the restaurant and now must go all the way back there to recover it.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Los Angeles NL Television.

Two Brief Notes
Debut Alert
The purpose of this brief entry is to note how Detroit shortstop prospect Dixon Machado recorded his major-league debut on Monday. Machado was a fixture among the author’s weekly Fringe Five columns last year, developing from a glove-first — or perhaps even glove-only — organizational piece into an actual prospect, thanks largely to his excellent control of the strike zone. Machado was ranked eighth among Tigers prospects by Kiley McDaniel this past offeason. He’s expected to remain with the club while Jose Iglesias recovers from a bruised knee.

Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Colorado at Cincinnati, starts at 7:10pm ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those changes here, if you’re the sort of person accustomed to making poor life decisions.

NERD Image 4

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Scott Feldman HOU 5 10 5 5 1 BAL Chris Tillman 19:05
Jason Vargas KC 0 7 3 6 2 NYA Adam Warren 19:05
Jose Urena* MIA 8 5 6 7 5 PIT Jeff Locke 19:05
Jo. Zimmermann WAS 5 5 6 7 6 CHN Kyle Hendricks 19:05
John Danks CHA 2 0 4 7 7 TOR R.A. Dickey 19:07
Jorge de la Rosa COL 6 3 5 5 4 CIN Michael Lorenzen 19:10
Jerome Williams PHI 4 0 5 5 9 NYN Jacob deGrom 19:10
J.A. Happ SEA 5 6 6 5 7 TB Alex Colome 19:10
Wandy Rodriguez TEX 3 4 6 7 10 CLE Danny Salazar 19:10
Clay Buchholz BOS 8 5 4 2 2 MIN Mike Pelfrey 20:10
Ma.n Bumgarner SF 7 4 4 3 3 MIL Matt Garza 20:10
Archie Bradley AZ 3 6 5 5 5 STL Jaime Garcia* 20:15
David Price DET 6 6 6 5 5 OAK Jesse Chavez 22:05
Od.r Despaigne SD 2 4 4 6 6 LAA Matt Shoemaker 22:05
Julio Teheran ATL 5 2 6 7 10 LAN Clayton Kershaw 22:10

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Eric the Clown
8 years ago

The San Diego Padres Emir should get a higher score than 2!

Well-Beered Englishman
8 years ago
Reply to  Eric the Clown

He was the #1 seed in the Cool Name Bracket for starting pitchers, which amounts to at least a 7 NERD score!

http://www.banknotesindustries.com/cool-names/vote-now-for-the-coolest-name-in-baseball/