NERD Game Scores for Tuesday, May 5, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.


Most Highly Rated Game
Tampa Bay at Boston | 19:10 ET
Smyly (10.2 IP, 53 xFIP-) vs. Porcello (32.0 IP, 101 xFIP-)
In his first start of his season, on April 24th, Tampa Bay left-hander Drew Smyly struck out roughly 28% of the opposing batters he faced — or about eight points more than league average. In his second and also only other start, he struck out roughly 46% of the batters he faced — which is to say, many more points greater than league average. One might be inclined to say that “at this rate” Smyly should be expected to strike out 64% of Boston’s hitters today (Tuesday). One might be inclined to say that, but one is inclined to make any number of poor decisions. Like playing bridge with anyone over seventy. Or like wearing brown shoes with black pants.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Boston Radio or Detroit Radio.

Two Brief Notes
Concerning the Return of Billingsley
The Return of Billingsley is not, as one might first assume, the title of a wry comic novel by late British author Evelyn Waugh, but rather a reference to what makes this evening’s Philadelphia-Atlanta game significant, insofar as it marks the return of right-hander Chad Billingsley to the majors, at which level he last appeared on April 15, 2013. In the meantime, he’s endured injury and setbacks from injury and setbacks from the setbacks from injury. Signed to a one-year, $1.5 million by the Phillies in January, he’s produced strikeout and walk rates of 19.3% and 7.2%, respectively, over four starts and 19.0 innings with Triple-A affiliate Lehigh Valley. With regard to his velocity, he appears to have sat mostly in the high-80s during one of the recent starts.

Regarding Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Baltimore at New York NL, starts at 7:10pm ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those changes here, if you’re the sort of person accustomed to making poor life decisions.

NERD Image 4

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
M. Lorenzen* CIN 7 6 7 6 8 PIT Jeff Locke 19:05
Mat Latos MIA 4 5 6 4 9 WAS Stephen Strasburg 19:05
Michael Pineda NYA 10 6 7 7 5 TOR Marco Estrada* 19:07
Bud Norris BAL 2 5 5 7 7 NYN Bartolo Colon 19:10
Chad Billingsley* PHI 8 1 6 3 7 ATL Shelby Miller 19:10
Drew Smyly TB 10 4 7 5 7 BOS Rick Porcello 19:10
Danny Salazar CLE 10 6 6 6 2 KC Jason Vargas 20:10
Shane Greene DET 8 5 6 1 7 CHA Jeff Samardzija 20:10
Zack Greinke LAN 5 8 4 2 3 MIL Matt Garza 20:10
Jesse Chavez OAK 4 6 6 2 10 MIN Trevor May 20:10
Wan. Rodriguez* TEX 4 3 5 10 6 HOU Scott Feldman 20:10
Kyle Hendricks CHN 9 6 7 5 6 STL Tyler Lyons* 20:15
Robbie Ray* AZ 6 5 5 4 3 COL Eddie Butler 20:40
James Paxton SEA 9 5 7 4 6 LAA Garrett Richards 22:05
Andrew Cashner SD 10 4 5 4 2 SF Ryan Vogelsong 22:15

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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7 years ago

Colon, in a national league park that requires him to bat, should have a pitcher NERD of 11.