NLCS Game Five Live Blog
7:07 |
: Hi everyone! It’s me, August. I’ll be here chatting with you tonight
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8:01 |
: I’m here! Let’s talk baseball, or other things if you guys want to talk about other things too
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8:03 |
: Giants
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8:04 |
What other things can we talk about? |
8:04 |
: Literally anything! The world is yours. We had a nice little discussion on hypothetical animal fights last time, I believe it was a Moose vs. a Jaguar, but some got mad at me for staying on that topic for so long, so maybe let’s shy away from that (Well aware I just opened up a can of worms).
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8:05 |
Wouldn’t the correct answer be neither team is currently winning? |
8:05 |
: Oh, you.
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8:06 |
O/U on Wainright’s innings? |
8:06 |
: Am I just setting, predicting or both? He hasn’t gone 5 yet, so I’ll set it at 5.5 and take the over
|
8:06 |
Is August short for Augustus? |
8:06 |
: Nope, my full name is August
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8:07 |
I went to Pitt, and they are playing Virginia Tech tonight. And I grew up in Boston and the Patriots are playing the Jets and Bruins are playing the Canadiens, yet I’m most excited about playoff baseball. Whats wrong with me? |
8:07 |
: Nothing at all. Playoff baseball is the best.
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8:07 |
how can i watch it? |
8:07 |
: Watch the game? It’s on FOXSports1
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8:08 |
Odds Waino pitches 0 innings in 2015? |
8:08 |
: So, so low, but probably higher than most pitchers who threw 180+ IP this year, given his age and injury history/recent concerns
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8:09 |
will some one tell were how can i watch the nlcs game in my laptop? |
8:09 |
: Am I allowed to do this publicly? I don’t know. Message me on Twitter @AugustF_ABJ and I’ll DM you with info.
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8:10 |
Its incredible how Matheny has just decided not to use Wacha at all. |
8:10 |
: It’s understandable if he’s still hurting, but if that’s the case, why is he taking up a roster spot?
|
8:11 |
Is it just you for now, August? |
8:11 |
: Yup! Don’t know if anyone else will be joining me or not, I’m guessing probably no. I told Dave that most people probably wouldn’t want to talk to just me
|
8:11 |
Well, the Giants have a Lincecum corpse on their roster that their not using, so Matheny’s just playing sportingly. |
8:11 |
: True. Even teams!
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8:12 |
FINALLY!! where have these chats been all my life?? |
8:12 |
: We’ve only been doing them for opening games/elimination games so far. I believe the rest of the postseason games will all be accompanied by live chats
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8:13 |
Goddammit I hate it when I use the wrong they’re in a chat comment that gets posted. |
8:13 |
: This is the beginning of the end of your life
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8:13 |
: Pablo Sandoval: still good at defense
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8:15 |
: I think it’s so funny that this defense-heavy postseason came right on the heels of the defense/WAR debate. Not that is should sway anyone’s opinion one way or the other, really, just funny timing.
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8:16 |
Going back to 2010, Giants are 11-1 in postseason elimination games. |
8:16 |
Welcome back, August. Fun chatting with you and Wendy the other day. |
8:16 |
: Thanks, “Section 329,” glad to be here!
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8:17 |
How is your hair so luxurious? |
8:17 |
: If I had a nickel…
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8:18 |
It’s funny to think about Wainwright grooving those pitches to Jeter, contributing to an AL win and AL home field adv in the playoffs. |
8:19 |
MadBum gives up 2 singles and 2 line drives, gets out of inning on 9 pitches with no runs scored. When is GiantsVoodooMagic going to become a thing people talk about? |
8:19 |
: Pretty sure people have been accusing FanGraphs of doing this for a while now
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8:19 |
Any chance Lincecum is productive next year either as a starter or as a seriously overpaid reliever? |
8:19 |
: Yes. I am also a staunch Lincecum believer so maybe you’re asking the wrong guy
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8:20 |
: Ha. Both guys who fail the “eye test” but are graded positively by defensive metrics – Peralta and Sandoval – make good plays in the first.
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8:22 |
: Wow. That swing by Panda
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8:22 |
All-Star Game is a silly way to decide WS HFA. But AL did win Interleague games 163-137 so AL ‘deserve’s HFA. |
8:22 |
: This is an interesting way to determine it. I think I like your way more.
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8:25 |
How can you track how many people are on here? |
8:25 |
: I have no idea. I know on my screen, I have a “statistics” tab that shows 175 people in here
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8:27 |
Who will have the better career – Panik or La Stella? |
8:27 |
: Good question! I’m not a prospect guy, but I am in love with La Stella’s discipline/contact ability. He also graded as a negative baserunner and defender in a limited sample this year, though. FWIW, Steamer has them as similar offensive contributors next year
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8:27 |
uh, why not give HFA the team with the better record? is that such a nutty idea? |
8:27 |
: There’s this, too.
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8:28 |
What kind of prospect was Jon Jay coming up? Done nothing but hit and hit |
8:28 |
: Second round pick, so the Cardinals clearly saw something there.
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8:29 |
wait is this a baseball chat? |
8:29 |
: It’s a life chat! Mainly focused on baseball.
|
8:29 |
taking requests for somebody to do my calculus homework |
8:29 |
: Oh, now I see what you were doing.
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8:30 |
Which stud LHP do you bank on more? Chris Sale or Madison Bumgarner |
8:30 |
: Sale. He’s way more dominant when he’s on
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8:30 |
Home Field advantage should be determined by a wrestling match between the two teams managers. |
8:30 |
: This brings up an important question: Of all active managers, who comes out on top in a round-robin wrestling tournament?
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8:31 |
Some good August Fagerstrom anagrams: 1.) Garage Tofu Strums 2.) Massage Turf Grout 3.) Teargas Forum Gust 4.) Amateurs Frog Guts 5.) Gaga Frets Tumours |
8:31 |
: Amateurs Frog Guts. Fantastic.
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8:31 |
Not Ventura |
8:31 |
Ventura? |
8:32 |
Mike Matheny v. Brad Ausmus in the finals |
8:32 |
: I would have liked Gardenhire before he was canned
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8:32 |
I feel like Ned Yost would act like he has no idea how to wrestle, and then wrestle his way to the finals just by winging it. |
8:33 |
It wouldn’t surprise me if Terry Francona was secretly a ninja. |
8:33 |
: As someone who knows Terry Francona, I can assure you he is not
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8:34 |
Great RotoGraphs article today by Daniel Schwartz, explaining Madison Bumgarner’s changes in July to his delivery, making his release point much more consistent and his pitching more effective. |
8:34 |
: It really was a fantastic article. Go read it, if you haven’t, guys.
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8:34 |
That’s what makes it a secret |
8:34 |
: Got me there
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8:35 |
Hi August. Are you Cleveland-based? Me too!! Think we’ll be watching the Indians this time next year? (lolz) |
8:35 |
: Live in Kent, work in Cleveland. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Indians won the division next year. I am in love their rotation. What’s better is that it’s long-term, not just next year. So many young, valuable players on team-friendly deals
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8:35 |
What would you rather have? Morgan Freeman calling a baseball game, or Vin Scully narrating your life? |
8:35 |
: Scully because it lasts more than a day
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8:36 |
Evolution of sabrmetrics: 1. Outs are the most important commodity; 2. TTO; 3. Defense matters, guys. We’re in stage 3 now, and its prince is the Royals. |
8:36 |
2. Adam Dunn 3. Royals |
8:37 |
is Pence the most awkward batter in baseball? |
8:37 |
: Bartolo Colon
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8:38 |
Just finished “Dock Ellis in the Country of Baseball.” Not a great book, but a good book. Dock Ellis was a complicated man. |
8:38 |
One of his great thoughts is that poetry is like the batter-pitcher battle, with the poet (pitcher) trying to outthink/trick/blow smoke by the reader (batter). |
8:38 |
: This reminds me of the great question David Laurila went around asking people: Is hitting/pitching more of an art or a science? Some of my favorite Laurila work.
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8:40 |
What happened to barry Zito? |
8:40 |
: Pretty sure he’s playing a guitar in board shorts and sandals out in McCovey Cove somewhere
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8:40 |
You live in Kent? Go to a lot of Kent State games? |
8:40 |
: Almost never, though I do volunteer at the ticket booths frequently
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8:41 |
August, I have Founders Breakfast Stout in my fridge, but also want to make it through the game. What inning should I make my move? |
8:41 |
: Middle of the 4th. You want to still be focused (but a bit buzzed) for crunch-time. I didn’t make it that long (Don’t tell Dave!)
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8:42 |
Your other passion other than baseball is what? |
8:42 |
: I play a lot of poker. I am obsessed with music and collecting records. I also really like dogs (golden retrievers) and hiking with them
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8:43 |
Who would call a better baseball game? Morgan Freeman or Hawk Harrellson? |
8:43 |
: Hawk, because calling a live sporting event is way harder than people imagine.
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8:44 |
When I was playing little League many (many,many) years ago, my coaches alway preached about “sound fundamental” like good fieding fielding and smart base running, how did that stuff some how become the realm of “sabr-nerds” ? |
8:44 |
: Because sound fundamentals leads to creating value, and “sabr-nerds” appreciate value
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8:45 |
Why do the Giants have bad luck with pitching contracts Zito and Cain come to mind? |
8:45 |
: I feel like big-money, long-term contracts given to pitchers are bad more often than not. Not just San Francisco
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8:46 |
Still going with 5.5 ip for Waino? |
8:46 |
: I took the over, so yeah, I’ll stick with that.
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8:46 |
The Giants didn’t have bad luck with Zito’s contract. Everyone knew that was a terrible deal the day it was signed. |
8:47 |
Re. Peralta failing the “eye test”: His body type is not stereotypical. However, watch him play for any amount of time, and it is very clear that he has excellent defense. |
8:47 |
: Yup. I think if you watch without a preconceived notion it’s easy to see. Problem is, a lot of people watch him through those goggles
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8:49 |
Do you still think its dumb that teams still value “proven closers” |
8:49 |
: Yes.
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8:50 |
The other problem with Peralta is that he was really bad before he became good. |
8:50 |
: There’s that, too. I feel like a lot of people don’t believe in players being able to legitimately improve in the field like they do at the plate, for whatever reason. Or that defense can slump.
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8:50 |
Do you think if Peralta, Sandoval, etc. lost weight and got into good physical shape, that their defense would improve measurably? |
8:50 |
: I have no idea. What they’re doing right now is working, though, so I wouldn’t mess with it!
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8:51 |
: Why do I have an Andrew WK song in my head? Is he being used in one of the commercials? I haven’t voluntarily listened to Andrew WK since high school
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8:51 |
: Matt Carpenter puts together a hell of an at-bat.
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8:53 |
Ha, I just shot a video with Andrew WK and I had no idea who he was. |
8:53 |
: what?! that is amazing.
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8:53 |
: Help me out, guys: Was that an optimal route by Ishikawa in left?
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8:54 |
: Can’t wait to see StatCast for plays like that. “Route efficiency: 3.1%”
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8:54 |
1st baseman in left, darn. |
8:54 |
That is what we need. StatCast lowlights reel! |
8:56 |
Seemed like a tough play for even a full time left fielder |
8:56 |
: True, the balls hit right at you, but with some slice/hook, are tough. But that’s definitely a make-able play by an actual LF
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8:56 |
So roommates decided to start smoking weed (I’m allergic) and switch the only TV in our house to the football game, so I leave to go to my room. How do I approach them |
8:56 |
: “…not cool, man…”
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8:57 |
You’re allergic to weed? |
8:57 |
: Yeah I actually didn’t know this existed
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8:58 |
Is it sacrilege to prefer Jon Miller to Vin Scully? I’m not even a Giants fan! |
8:58 |
: I’m not too familiar with Jon Miller’s work, but the answer is yes, it is sacrilege.
|
8:58 |
Why would Kyle choose to live with roommates who engage in a recreational activity in his home that causes him discomfort? Also, weed allergy doesn’t exist. He just means he doesn’t like it. |
8:58 |
Anyone can be allergic to anything |
8:58 |
: BDF and Sam: Fight!
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8:59 |
Sam is right. |
8:59 |
: A guest chimes in!
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8:59 |
: Erection commercial counter: 1!
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9:00 |
I rented the house on my own and let my landlord fill the rest. They smoke often. I’ve never smoked but whenever I am around it second-hand my throat clogs up like I am having an asthma attack. So I just leave |
9:00 |
: Probably a wise reaction
|
9:01 |
: So, we’re talking about erections and weed. This is what Dave wanted when he gave me a chat, right?
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9:05 |
who other than you’s talking erections? |
9:05 |
: The lady on the TV!
|
9:05 |
August, this may also be sacrilege, but do you know anything about playing soccer in the Cleveland area? I’ve been dying since I moved here for work. |
9:05 |
: Couldn’t help ya, man. Only ever played baseball and ran cross country competitively
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9:06 |
Is it fair to say that the Cardinals are 1-3 with 100 errors and the Giants are mostly spectators? |
9:06 |
: No, I’m pretty sure it’s not
|
9:07 |
: you guys remember when the giants signed dan uggla?
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9:08 |
: Matt Carpenter throws *really* overhand
|
9:09 |
Never mind with that bomb… What was your best time in cross country? |
9:09 |
: Somewhere in the 19:30 range for a 5K. I ran the mile in track too in the mid-fives and the two mile in the mid-12’s
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9:11 |
Joe Panik, poor man’s Chase Utley or just on a good streak? |
9:11 |
: Definitely closer to the second one. A poor man’s version of a Hall of Fame-caliber player is a pretty great player. Not ready to call Panik that yet
|
9:12 |
Does @Lana have a real job? |
9:12 |
: I’ve always wondered who that is. Don’t follow her on Twitter
|
9:12 |
: Big City
|
9:12 |
: That’s a “shutdown homer” or something, right?
|
9:13 |
Utley is hall of fame caliber? Since when? |
9:13 |
: Since he averaged 7.5 WAR for five consecutive seasons and then injuries derailed his career
|
9:13 |
“With these kind of pitchers, you either get them early or you don’t get them at all.” Mean anything statistically, or just Harold Reynolds nonsense? |
9:13 |
: No idea, but probably Harold Reynolds nonsense
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9:14 |
We had some really hilly courses, and i have short legs. Never broke 19:45, but I did throw a 4:45 mile once in track. |
9:14 |
: I have a bad knee (tore my MCL) and the track always really bothered it for whatever reason. I quit track after a couple years
|
9:14 |
Utley’s last two years have put him into HOF territory if he wasn’t there already. The knock was always longevity and he’s getting it now. |
9:14 |
: He was even putting up 3-5 WAR from 2010-2012 when he was playing half seasons. He was basically been a 6+ WAR true talent level player from 2005-2012. Really amazing.
|
9:16 |
: Also, what happened to Bumgarner’s momentum
|
9:16 |
Are you from Ohio also? |
9:16 |
: Yup, Kent
|
9:17 |
: Two most unlikely non-Wainwright hitters in the Cardinals lineup to take Bumgarner deep tonight? Adams and Cruz?
|
9:18 |
MLB Gameday says it was a slider, Verducci calls it a cutter. What is it ? |
9:18 |
: Pretty sure FanGraphs and BrooksBaseball disagree on this, too
|
9:18 |
And you chose to not go to OU because…. |
9:18 |
: Free tuition at Kent State
|
9:19 |
No way was the pitch to Cruz a slider. 88mph |
9:19 |
: PITCHf/x says he throws a slider that was 88.1 this year
|
9:21 |
How short is Bumgarner’s leash? |
9:21 |
: I’d say pretty short, but then again I am an advocate of the “pull your starters early in the postseason” strategy, and also it seems like Bochy has had a longer leash than most this postseason
|
9:22 |
: Holy shit Panda
|
9:22 |
What is your favorite 90’s Nickelodeon game show? |
9:22 |
: LEGENDS OF THE HIDDEN TEMPLE HANDS DOWN
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9:22 |
: Can’t wait to look at that pitch in the PITCHf/x logs
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9:23 |
Brooks said that he threw a slider in 2009, but then it looks like they changed its classification to a cutter while Fangraphs didn’t. Fangraphs classification is straight from TexasLeaguers I believe, and based completely on an (automatic) neural network model and often is not completely accurate. |
9:23 |
: Yeah, I always side with Brooks when the pitch classifications disagree
|
9:26 |
The real question is – what the HELL is the slower breaking pitch that Corey Kluber throws? |
9:26 |
: It’s a curveball. From the man himself
|
9:26 |
Does Bumgarner bat again this game? |
9:26 |
: I think so
|
9:27 |
: Cards got that DP back
|
9:27 |
Jay and Wong are really playing some great baseball for STL |
9:28 |
: Gotta feel good for Wong after how brutal last postseason was
|
9:28 |
In Cistulli’s interview, Kluber said “A slider, a curveball. I call it a breaking ball. Whichever you want.” |
9:28 |
: He’s always called it a curveball when talking to me
|
9:29 |
Does Corey Kluber smile when he’s not pitching? |
9:29 |
: He’s actually a huge jokester in the clubhouse. He’s really funny with his deadpan delivery
|
9:30 |
Some credit due to whoever is responsible for the Cards infield positioning. They’ve snared a number of hard line drives. |
9:30 |
: I think an idea behind Peralta’s crazy defense numbers has often been a knack for optimal positioning
|
9:30 |
He got picked off to end a game they were losing anyway. Anyone who holds that on him is pretty stupid. |
9:30 |
: Yeah, but that’s how he’s been remembered by many
|
9:32 |
Bumgarner throws a slutter. This is well established. |
9:32 |
: Each new home series, the Indians have a big white board in the clubhouse where they write every pitcher’s name, handedness, general role, and what pitches they throw. The classifications they use are FB, CH, CU, SLUT
|
9:33 |
Who is Ben talking about? |
9:33 |
: Wong
|
9:33 |
Slutters and wongs…are you sure you stopped the erection talk? |
9:34 |
: Should Bumgarner have hit there?
|
9:34 |
Francisco Rodriguez always maintained he didn’t throw a slider, that it was a curveball. I don’t think those classifications matter so much to players. |
9:34 |
: I don’t think they care at all
|
9:35 |
: Yes
|
9:37 |
: Those who are answering “Yes” for Bumgarner: if he were a normal-hitting pitcher, would your opinion change?
|
9:37 |
I voted ‘Yes’ because I think Bumgarner the 3rd time through the order is still better than Petit in his 1st time through the order. I could easily be proven wong by then numbers. |
9:38 |
Ya it would have changed |
9:38 |
: New poll!
|
9:40 |
: Yes, because he hits well for a SP
|
9:40 |
: Good defense! Good defense everywhere!
|
9:42 |
I’m not that drunk, but didn’t Crawford make the last out in the 4th? |
9:42 |
: Holy shit, you’re right. How are you the first one to notice this?! Those guys look really similar.
|
9:42 |
Good defense! Except for the bad defense that allowed a run! |
9:43 |
: Also, Bumgarner hits righty! Wow
|
9:43 |
: Total brainfart
|
9:43 |
New Poll: Should Bumgarner be hitting now? |
9:44 |
: Let’s forget that happened
|
9:44 |
Make a poll for if Bumgarner should hit for each inning. 🙂 |
9:44 |
I would prefer to answer the poll after the at-bat is over. I call it, “The Harold Reynolds” |
9:44 |
i just thought you were asking a hypothetical |
9:44 |
: Let’s go with that
|
9:44 |
I think people read what you wrote as a hypothetical. |
9:44 |
haha, awesome august! |
9:46 |
Does Wainwright bat again in this game? |
9:46 |
: According to Harold Reynolds just now, yes
|
9:48 |
It’s probably true because sabermetrics are the work of the devil |
9:48 |
: i think they’re called “cybermetrics”
|
9:48 |
Is your name pronounced like the month or the adjective? |
9:48 |
: what
|
9:49 |
AU-gust or au-GUST |
9:49 |
: first one, like the month. just looked up the adjective, have literally never heard that in my life.
|
9:51 |
Are you fucking kidding me? I remember distinctly missing that on the SATs: Peaceful:Pacific::August:Powerful. |
9:51 |
: I only ever took the ACT
|
9:52 |
: Really wanted Pence to do something crazy there
|
9:52 |
I’ve never heard of August being used as an adjective either. You aren’t alone. |
9:52 |
What’s up with Pence’s throw? |
9:52 |
: He has a spine condition, that I believe he just revealed for the first time the other day (At least, it was the first I had heard of it).
|
9:52 |
Also I have never heard of August adjective either. |
9:52 |
Pence not doing something crazy is, itself, crazy. |
9:53 |
: I just learned that people call Bumgarner “Big Country.” That means Big City took Big Country deep tonight
|
9:54 |
Can you imagine if Eno’s article was titled “The Giants’ Roll Players Shine” and it was about rolls |
9:54 |
: #KeepNotGraphs
|
9:54 |
So that means we need him and Billy Butler on the same team. “Big Country Breakfast” anyone? |
9:54 |
Only 68 hits ever into McCovey’s Cove? |
9:54 |
: I think they only count the ones that go in on the fly? I bet half of those are Bonds
|
9:55 |
I can dig #BigCountryBreakfast |
9:56 |
The 68 only counts Giants players |
9:56 |
: This raises the likelihood of half of them being Bonds
|
9:56 |
There are 38 more from road teams |
9:57 |
: Sounds like Keith Law wants the Cards to yank Waino
|
9:57 |
35 of the 68 are by Bonds |
9:57 |
Half the road team ones? Also from Bonds. |
9:58 |
no RHB has ever hit a ball into McCovey Cove |
9:58 |
: Attention: Giancarlo Stanton
|
9:58 |
Can Pence please get #Splashdown69 |
9:58 |
Splash hit leaders: Opponents 38, Bonds 35, Other Giants 33 |
9:58 |
: Barry Bonds stats are just the best
|
9:59 |
PNC Park originally had a tally of Allegheny River shots set up, which seems absolutely ridiculous. Official tally over 14 seasons: 2. |
9:59 |
: I remember this. Could be wrong too, but wasn’t one of them Bonds!
|
10:00 |
Obviously a Giant is most likely to break that, but it has to be Stanton, right? I think the actual most likely would be Pence. |
10:00 |
: Yeah, probably
|
10:01 |
One by GI Jones and the other Daryl Ward. But if Bonds would have just stayed…:( |
10:01 |
: Jones! That’s it. I was there for that game.
|
10:02 |
: I had no idea that Wainwright was a gamer. That’s big.
|
10:02 |
can this chat just be bonds general |
10:02 |
Stanton nothing; Khris Davis had a higher ISO going opposite field than Stanton this year |
10:03 |
: Khris Davis’ swing is crazy. Also, I think Springer is in the conversation for potential RHH McCovey Cove shots
|
10:03 |
Galarraga would regularly reach it as a RHB during BP in 2003 |
10:03 |
If Bonds played in 2015, what stat line do you think he could put up |
10:03 |
What’s Bonds Steamer projection for next year? |
10:03 |
: Those came in at the same time. Dan Szymborski ran the ZiPS projections a few month back if I recall, can anyone find that? I don’t remember the results at all
|
10:04 |
Whatever the projection is I’m sure it’s better than Seattle’s DH |
10:04 |
: Can never tell whether or not a guy swung from the center field camera like that
|
10:04 |
It isn’t hard to be better than Seattle’s DH, is it? |
10:05 |
Wait did Wainwright just strike out the side when the side was Posey, Sandoval, and Pence? |
10:05 |
: Yes, yes he did.
|
10:06 |
Who would win a pie eating contest: You, or Barry Bonds? |
10:06 |
: Bonds?
|
10:06 |
How would aging curves affect the projection of a 50 year old? |
10:06 |
: I’m gonna go with negatively.
|
10:06 |
What the hell is J.J. watt doing at a school dance? |
10:06 |
: Getting to the quarterback
|
10:07 |
Wainwright done? |
10:07 |
: He’s up third this inning. That strikeout of the side will make things interesting
|
10:08 |
Cards bullpen is active at least, as it should be regardless of if Waino is pulled. |
10:08 |
In a world where Ben Revere can hit two home runs, how many home runs can August Fagerstrom hit? |
10:08 |
: I hit a softball out of my old high school baseball stadium the other day. So… none.
|
10:08 |
Totally depends on results of prior batters |
10:08 |
: Yeah
|
10:09 |
: Wacha sighting!
|
10:09 |
How many home runs can you hit if Waino grooves them to you like an All-Star? 🙂 |
10:09 |
: Still 0, unless we’re talking about softballs at high school stadiums again
|
10:09 |
Waino confirmed for pine tar. |
10:10 |
Will we see another 100+ OFF run season in the next 50 years? |
10:10 |
: I think literally anything could happen in the next 50 years.
|
10:11 |
Why would Wainwright be wasting time to let a reliever take over for him WHILE HE’S BATTING? |
10:11 |
: Because they may be needed early in the next inning
|
10:12 |
: Terrible God Bless America. Where’s the lady with the crazy headgear?
|
10:12 |
Is he trying to harmonize? Oh my… |
10:12 |
Is it just me or is one of the singers just doing like half the lines? |
10:13 |
Why do you think the strike zone has expanded in recent years? |
10:13 |
: I don’t know, that’s a good question. Perhaps an overzealous response by the league to the steroid era? You’d think they’d prefer an offensive game to a defensive game, though, for financial purposes
|
10:13 |
did anyone else notice the singer changing the lyrics to “land WE ALL love” last night? is there precedent for this? |
10:13 |
: I noticed this for the first time too
|
10:17 |
: Yes
|
10:17 |
: New poll!
|
10:17 |
: Answer before things happen that sway your answer!
|
10:20 |
How would you arrange the back-end of the Cardinals bullpen? Or would you just play matchups? |
10:20 |
: Probably matchups. They’ve got good platoon guys in Neshek and Choate, despite Choate being not-good recently he had a .171 wOBA allowed to lefties this year.
|
10:20 |
is bumgarner also getting ready to bat? This is crazy |
10:20 |
: For as much as we like to bash Yost, he’s been the manager most in-tune with the way FanGraphs would manage a bullpen this postseason
|
10:21 |
August, how did you become a baseball fan? |
10:21 |
: My father, playing the game and going to Indians games
|
10:21 |
Do you look over your shoulder in fear for MGL every time you cite stats from this year? |
10:21 |
: I’m always looking over my shoulder in fear for MGL
|
10:22 |
: Ugliest looking good play ever
|
10:22 |
: That was Pence-ian
|
10:22 |
New Poll: Should Wainwright bat in the 10th? |
10:23 |
: OK, there’s Andrew WK. I’m not crazy after all
|
10:23 |
Adams is fairly good defensively though despite his size. For a 1b man in mean |
10:23 |
: Yup, I wrote about this earlier in the year
|
10:25 |
: If there’s one person I want advising my major life purchases: it’s Matthew McConnaughey
|
10:25 |
That Matthew McConaughey Buick commercial is easily the funniest of the playoffs. |
10:26 |
: There was a great line on Deadspin the other day that said, “Matthew McConnaughey, who is well into the business of just being Matthew McConnaughey in public…”
|
10:27 |
Wainwright made the over on 5+ innings. |
10:27 |
: What do I win?
|
10:28 |
You win…A NEW CAAAAAAAAAAAAAR! |
10:28 |
: Is it a Buick? Is Matthew McConnaughey somehow included? If so, can I pass on McConnaughey?
|
10:29 |
McConnaughey has nothing on Snoop in the “public characterture of himself” department. |
10:29 |
: Bill Murray’s getting pretty good at it too
|
10:31 |
Does Rosenthal come in for the 9th with a 1 run lead? |
10:31 |
: Can’t see it being someone else
|
10:33 |
August do you play fantasy baseball? Any if so, do you have a signature strategy? |
10:33 |
: I do. Only one 18-team league (which I won this year!). I’m always the last to draft a SP and last to draft a closer
|
10:34 |
Tell a Giants fan before the game that Bumgarner pitches 8 innings, and they would start celebrating early. |
10:35 |
: Just realized the Giants dont have a left-handed pinch hitting option
|
10:35 |
: Weird
|
10:36 |
Morse? You need OBP here not questionable SLG. |
10:36 |
: sorry mehwolf
|
10:36 |
: Still think it’s the right move to pull Wainwright there
|
10:36 |
I have never been so happy to be proved wrong by events. |
10:37 |
this game is going 24 innings |
10:37 |
: That would be a long chat
|
10:38 |
Well now im hoping for 24 innings |
10:38 |
: I guess it wouldn’t be a terrible thing
|
10:38 |
True or false. There is more outward emotion by baseball players in 2014 than ever before. |
10:38 |
: It does seem like there’s been more bat flips / homer celebrations / curtain calls than normal
|
10:39 |
Do you quote RBIs when intoxicated? |
10:39 |
: I’m not that irresponsible
|
10:39 |
Does Holliday make the catch Jay just made? I’m thinking no. |
10:39 |
: Yeah, that move looks pretty good by Matheny
|
10:40 |
What have you been sipping on? |
10:40 |
: Sweet Water 420 extra pale ale
|
10:41 |
: To clarify: I wasn’t saying that Holliday would have made the catch. Phrased that poorly. I was agreeing with KK
|
10:41 |
things i hate: the endless quoting of incredibly specific statistics after a notable event happens. Apparently it’s the 1st PH game-tying HR in 8th inning or later of LCS or WS!!! |
10:41 |
: Abolish the Baseball-Reference Play Index
|
10:42 |
Didn’t they trade get Bourjous to replace Jay in center? And now Jay is starting again and Grichuk is in right. What happened? |
10:42 |
: Well, Bourjos -did- just replace Jay in center…
|
10:42 |
They traded David Freese for a late innings defensive replacement? |
10:42 |
: It’s good to know people
|
10:43 |
In what bizarro-world star search does Harold Reynolds win baseball color commentator? How bad Were the runners-up? |
10:43 |
: It’s good to know people
|
10:43 |
Bourjos didn’t hit and Jay did, so Matheny starts Jay. |
10:43 |
Jay started to hit again and Bourjos wasn’t |
10:45 |
: That’s crazy that all seven runs the Giants bullpen has allowed have been solo homers
|
10:45 |
: Yes
|
10:46 |
I am happy every time Peralta gets out. |
10:46 |
: When he was on the Indians, he was my least favorite player in baseball. Now, I actually like Peralta, and also don’t have least-favorite players
|
10:47 |
: Damnit, you guys
|
10:47 |
: Yes
|
10:47 |
Has anyone notice that little flip on Neshek’s beard? It is layered… |
10:47 |
I can’t even look at that poll question, the thought terrifies me too much. |
10:47 |
Brian McCann is my least favourite |
10:49 |
New poll: if you guarantee Strickland pitches to a lefty tonight, does he give up a homer? |
10:49 |
: No way Bochy lets this happen, right?
|
10:49 |
David Ortiz is my least favourite player. |
10:49 |
K rod least favorite. |
10:50 |
Jay’s job has been in peril for the last 3 years. He somehow keeps managing to hit just enough singles to keep it. |
10:50 |
: Seems like every preseason is the year somebody is going to take his job, and then every postseason he’s starting in center field
|
10:51 |
Least Favorite- Roberto Hernandez, Most Favorite- Fausto Carmona |
10:51 |
: That’s a little surprising the Giants didn’t already have a lefty warming
|
10:53 |
They don’t let you work at Fangraphs unless you declare that you don’t have least favorite teams or least favorite players, do they? It’s like a Fangraphs thing. |
10:53 |
: Fandom kind of just went out the window for me when I became a reporter
|
10:53 |
Great play by Crawford there. |
10:53 |
: He’s awesome
|
10:54 |
Is Sullivan the only fan guy at Fg? |
10:54 |
: I mean, we all have teams that we have a preference for, I think, just maybe not actively rooting for them. I know Wendy has the Giants, Zimmerman has the Royals, Dave has the Mariners, I have the Indians, etc.
|
10:55 |
That’s my big existential question about a career like yours. You go into it because you love something and then being in it demands that you stop loving that thing. |
10:55 |
: I’m working on a piece on this exact subject for The Hardball Times. It was a fascinating change once I broke into the field on my relationship with the game
|
10:56 |
Swydan actively roots for Red Sox |
10:56 |
: Not even close in the 3-2 count
|
10:57 |
It looks like Santiago is losing his grip. Two balls right near the head. |
11:00 |
Why Affeldt instead of Lopez? |
11:00 |
: Cause Affeldt has been better this year? But Lopez is better against lefties, when there are 3 consecutive. Managerial decisions are impossibly complex
|
11:03 |
Jeremy Affedlt, last six years, on Giants: 326ip, 2.76era, 3.47fip |
11:04 |
: Wacha sighting! This is weird
|
11:04 |
: Cardinals can be eliminated with one swing and they put in a guy who hasn’t pitched in a month due to shoulder issues? Yeesh
|
11:05 |
Well you know August, you can’t use the closer until the 9th! …Oh wait. |
11:05 |
: Well, he’s throwing 98, so
|
11:06 |
whoa wacha throwing a pitch. but isn’t he supposed to occupy the Shelby Miller Wasted Roster Spot? |
11:06 |
: The Giants counter with Lincecum
|
11:06 |
Pinch run Panda? |
11:06 |
: Was wondering this. Looks like it’ll be Arias
|
11:07 |
Where can I look up 2014 postseason stats? |
11:07 |
: We don’t have em at FanGraphs. I’ve been going to BR for game logs
|
11:08 |
Hunter Pence has become one of my favorite players. |
11:08 |
: Hard not to love him. His postgame speech with all the f-bombs is classic
|
11:08 |
is anyone working on an article to explain aoki’s ubr? |
11:08 |
: me
|
11:08 |
think he ever got called hunted penis in school? |
11:08 |
*looks at own name* “damnit” |
11:09 |
cool, wanted to do something myself but no idea where to look for ubr guts |
11:09 |
: it’s all calculated by MGL. cross-checking the UBR numbers with BR’s baserunning numbers, it almost seems like a mistake. i am so fascinated to find out the explanation
|
11:09 |
Wait, so “August Fagerstrom” isn’t a pseudonym? 😉 |
11:09 |
: Ha, so many people have asked this. That would be a really weird pseudonym to pick
|
11:10 |
: Wacha still hurt? Velocity is there, command isn’t.
|
11:10 |
Hunter Pence, by virtue of never being picked last and being very strong, did not know the ignominy of insults derived from his own name |
11:11 |
Does STL have no left handers in their pen? Why bring in a righty with Pablo, Belt, Ishikawa and Crawford coming up? |
11:11 |
: choate and gonzales
|
11:12 |
: wow
|
11:12 |
: of course buck goes with “the giants win the pennant”
|
11:12 |
: ishikawa, like we knew all along!
|
11:12 |
: #MathenyFace
|
11:13 |
: Putting your season in the hands of the guy who you didn’t trust to pitch one time in three weeks will be scrutinized to no end
|
11:13 |
Buck said earlier in the broadcast, I think his laast at bat, that Ishikawa had “home run pop”. I was laughing at him, but then, baseball. |
11:13 |
Maybe that’s why he didn’t throw Shelby Miller last year…. |
11:14 |
To be fair, you SHOULD be scruntinized for that. |
11:14 |
#EvenYear |
11:14 |
In the 7-game LCS era, teams that sweep an LCS are 1-5 in the World Series. |
11:14 |
: Congrats, Giants!
|
11:15 |
: The Royals or the Giants will win the World Series in 2014. What the hell
|
11:16 |
Not throwing Choate there is INSANE |
11:16 |
: Yeah, two lefties in the pen, too. Facing Belt was kind of crazy, too. And there was another lefty on deck.
|
11:16 |
Royals vs Giants: Prediction? |
11:16 |
: I like the Royals
|
11:17 |
That was kind of an awesome game, right? |
11:17 |
: Awesome postseason
|
11:17 |
Hell, if you want to throw a righty out, why not Rosenthal? Or not the guy who you haven’t trusted to pitch for weeks and is coming off an injury? |
11:17 |
Matheny should have been the butt of jokes, not NedYo. |
11:19 |
PR for Adams. PH Taveras w/ a LHP ready in the bullpen. Not PH for Wainwright in top 7. All worse decisions than Wacha in the 9th. Not pulling Wacha when he has no command, also awful. |
11:20 |
I think player managers think they have “feeling” about certain postseason situations that allows them to throw out odds. Because they’ve “been there.” That’s my theory anyway, |
11:20 |
: I think this applies to all managers
|
11:20 |
: Alright guys, that’s it for me. Thanks for chatting everyone! Had a blast
|
11:20 |
See you next August. |
11:21 |
Thanks August! |
11:21 |
: Thank you!
|
Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.
Thinking about Jay and Wong this series – do you think we’ll ever see a series MVP from a losing team (ala Fred Lynn ’82 ALCS) or are those days over? (And of course if MadBum pitches well tonight it’s a moot point in this series.)