NLCS Game Five Live Blog

7:07
August Fagerstrom: Hi everyone! It’s me, August. I’ll be here chatting with you tonight

8:01
August Fagerstrom: I’m here! Let’s talk baseball, or other things if you guys want to talk about other things too

8:03
August Fagerstrom: Giants

8:04
Comment From Pale Hose
What other things can we talk about?

8:04
August Fagerstrom: Literally anything! The world is yours. We had a nice little discussion on hypothetical animal fights last time, I believe it was a Moose vs. a Jaguar, but some got mad at me for staying on that topic for so long, so maybe let’s shy away from that (Well aware I just opened up a can of worms).

8:05
Comment From Jaack
Wouldn’t the correct answer be neither team is currently winning?

8:05
August Fagerstrom: Oh, you.

8:06
Comment From Eric G
O/U on Wainright’s innings?

8:06
August Fagerstrom: Am I just setting, predicting or both? He hasn’t gone 5 yet, so I’ll set it at 5.5 and take the over

8:06
Comment From Inquiring Minds
Is August short for Augustus?

8:06
August Fagerstrom: Nope, my full name is August

8:07
Comment From Tom
I went to Pitt, and they are playing Virginia Tech tonight. And I grew up in Boston and the Patriots are playing the Jets and Bruins are playing the Canadiens, yet I’m most excited about playoff baseball. Whats wrong with me?

8:07
August Fagerstrom: Nothing at all. Playoff baseball is the best.

8:07
Comment From jesus lord
how can i watch it?

8:07
August Fagerstrom: Watch the game? It’s on FOXSports1

8:08
Comment From Dildo Baggins
Odds Waino pitches 0 innings in 2015?

8:08
August Fagerstrom: So, so low, but probably higher than most pitchers who threw 180+ IP this year, given his age and injury history/recent concerns

8:09
Comment From jesus lord
will some one tell were how can i watch the nlcs game in my laptop?

8:09
August Fagerstrom: Am I allowed to do this publicly? I don’t know. Message me on Twitter @AugustF_ABJ and I’ll DM you with info.

8:10
Comment From Matt
Its incredible how Matheny has just decided not to use Wacha at all.

8:10
August Fagerstrom: It’s understandable if he’s still hurting, but if that’s the case, why is he taking up a roster spot?

8:11
Comment From Chris
Is it just you for now, August?

8:11
August Fagerstrom: Yup! Don’t know if anyone else will be joining me or not, I’m guessing probably no. I told Dave that most people probably wouldn’t want to talk to just me

8:11
Comment From Jaack
Well, the Giants have a Lincecum corpse on their roster that their not using, so Matheny’s just playing sportingly.

8:11
August Fagerstrom: True. Even teams!

8:12
Comment From personae gratis
FINALLY!! where have these chats been all my life??

8:12
August Fagerstrom: We’ve only been doing them for opening games/elimination games so far. I believe the rest of the postseason games will all be accompanied by live chats

8:13
Comment From Jaack
Goddammit I hate it when I use the wrong they’re in a chat comment that gets posted.

8:13
August Fagerstrom: This is the beginning of the end of your life

8:13
August Fagerstrom: Pablo Sandoval: still good at defense

8:15
August Fagerstrom: I think it’s so funny that this defense-heavy postseason came right on the heels of the defense/WAR debate. Not that is should sway anyone’s opinion one way or the other, really, just funny timing.

8:16
Comment From Mehwolf
Going back to 2010, Giants are 11-1 in postseason elimination games.

8:16
Comment From Section 329
Welcome back, August. Fun chatting with you and Wendy the other day.

8:16
August Fagerstrom: Thanks, “Section 329,” glad to be here!

8:17
Comment From Kevin
How is your hair so luxurious?

8:17
August Fagerstrom: If I had a nickel…

8:18
Comment From Krusty
It’s funny to think about Wainwright grooving those pitches to Jeter, contributing to an AL win and AL home field adv in the playoffs.

8:19
Comment From James Gatz
MadBum gives up 2 singles and 2 line drives, gets out of inning on 9 pitches with no runs scored. When is GiantsVoodooMagic going to become a thing people talk about?

8:19
August Fagerstrom: Pretty sure people have been accusing FanGraphs of doing this for a while now

8:19
Comment From Guest
Any chance Lincecum is productive next year either as a starter or as a seriously overpaid reliever?

8:19
August Fagerstrom: Yes. I am also a staunch Lincecum believer so maybe you’re asking the wrong guy

8:20
August Fagerstrom: Ha. Both guys who fail the “eye test” but are graded positively by defensive metrics – Peralta and Sandoval – make good plays in the first.

8:22
August Fagerstrom: Wow. That swing by Panda

8:22
Comment From Shrewd Cat
All-Star Game is a silly way to decide WS HFA. But AL did win Interleague games 163-137 so AL ‘deserve’s HFA.

8:22
August Fagerstrom: This is an interesting way to determine it. I think I like your way more.

8:25
Comment From Alex
How can you track how many people are on here?

8:25
August Fagerstrom: I have no idea. I know on my screen, I have a “statistics” tab that shows 175 people in here

8:27
Comment From Johnnie LeMaster
Who will have the better career – Panik or La Stella?

8:27
August Fagerstrom: Good question! I’m not a prospect guy, but I am in love with La Stella’s discipline/contact ability. He also graded as a negative baserunner and defender in a limited sample this year, though. FWIW, Steamer has them as similar offensive contributors next year

8:27
Comment From jesse
uh, why not give HFA the team with the better record? is that such a nutty idea?

8:27
August Fagerstrom: There’s this, too.

8:28
Comment From Jake
What kind of prospect was Jon Jay coming up? Done nothing but hit and hit

8:28
August Fagerstrom: Second round pick, so the Cardinals clearly saw something there.

8:29
Comment From TH
wait is this a baseball chat?

8:29
August Fagerstrom: It’s a life chat! Mainly focused on baseball.

8:29
Comment From TH
taking requests for somebody to do my calculus homework

8:29
August Fagerstrom: Oh, now I see what you were doing.

8:30
Comment From Jim
Which stud LHP do you bank on more? Chris Sale or Madison Bumgarner

8:30
August Fagerstrom: Sale. He’s way more dominant when he’s on

8:30
Comment From Jaack
Home Field advantage should be determined by a wrestling match between the two teams managers.

8:30
August Fagerstrom: This brings up an important question: Of all active managers, who comes out on top in a round-robin wrestling tournament?

8:31
Comment From Pale Hose
Some good August Fagerstrom anagrams: 1.) Garage Tofu Strums 2.) Massage Turf Grout 3.) Teargas Forum Gust 4.) Amateurs Frog Guts 5.) Gaga Frets Tumours

8:31
August Fagerstrom: Amateurs Frog Guts. Fantastic.

8:31
Comment From Matt
Not Ventura

8:31
Comment From Tom
Ventura?

8:32
Comment From Geoff
Mike Matheny v. Brad Ausmus in the finals

8:32
August Fagerstrom: I would have liked Gardenhire before he was canned

8:32
Comment From Chris
I feel like Ned Yost would act like he has no idea how to wrestle, and then wrestle his way to the finals just by winging it.

8:33
Comment From Pale Hose
It wouldn’t surprise me if Terry Francona was secretly a ninja.

8:33
August Fagerstrom: As someone who knows Terry Francona, I can assure you he is not

8:34
Comment From Ebenezer
Great RotoGraphs article today by Daniel Schwartz, explaining Madison Bumgarner’s changes in July to his delivery, making his release point much more consistent and his pitching more effective.

8:34
August Fagerstrom: It really was a fantastic article. Go read it, if you haven’t, guys.

8:34
Comment From Pale Hose
That’s what makes it a secret

8:34
August Fagerstrom: Got me there

8:35
Comment From Nick
Hi August. Are you Cleveland-based? Me too!! Think we’ll be watching the Indians this time next year? (lolz)

8:35
August Fagerstrom: Live in Kent, work in Cleveland. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Indians won the division next year. I am in love their rotation. What’s better is that it’s long-term, not just next year. So many young, valuable players on team-friendly deals

8:35
Comment From Ted
What would you rather have? Morgan Freeman calling a baseball game, or Vin Scully narrating your life?

8:35
August Fagerstrom: Scully because it lasts more than a day

8:36
Comment From BDF
Evolution of sabrmetrics: 1. Outs are the most important commodity; 2. TTO; 3. Defense matters, guys. We’re in stage 3 now, and its prince is the Royals.

8:36
August Fagerstrom: 1. A’s
2. Adam Dunn
3. Royals

8:37
Comment From jesse
is Pence the most awkward batter in baseball?

8:37
August Fagerstrom: Bartolo Colon

8:38
Comment From BDF
Just finished “Dock Ellis in the Country of Baseball.” Not a great book, but a good book. Dock Ellis was a complicated man.

8:38
Comment From BDF
One of his great thoughts is that poetry is like the batter-pitcher battle, with the poet (pitcher) trying to outthink/trick/blow smoke by the reader (batter).

8:38
August Fagerstrom: This reminds me of the great question David Laurila went around asking people: Is hitting/pitching more of an art or a science? Some of my favorite Laurila work.

8:40
Comment From Ian
What happened to barry Zito?

8:40
August Fagerstrom: Pretty sure he’s playing a guitar in board shorts and sandals out in McCovey Cove somewhere

8:40
Comment From Jeff
You live in Kent? Go to a lot of Kent State games?

8:40
August Fagerstrom: Almost never, though I do volunteer at the ticket booths frequently

8:41
Comment From Tom
August, I have Founders Breakfast Stout in my fridge, but also want to make it through the game. What inning should I make my move?

8:41
August Fagerstrom: Middle of the 4th. You want to still be focused (but a bit buzzed) for crunch-time. I didn’t make it that long (Don’t tell Dave!)

8:42
Comment From Ian
Your other passion other than baseball is what?

8:42
August Fagerstrom: I play a lot of poker. I am obsessed with music and collecting records. I also really like dogs (golden retrievers) and hiking with them

8:43
Comment From Jared
Who would call a better baseball game? Morgan Freeman or Hawk Harrellson?

8:43
August Fagerstrom: Hawk, because calling a live sporting event is way harder than people imagine.

8:44
Comment From jesse
When I was playing little League many (many,many) years ago, my coaches alway preached about “sound fundamental” like good fieding fielding and smart base running, how did that stuff some how become the realm of “sabr-nerds” ?

8:44
August Fagerstrom: Because sound fundamentals leads to creating value, and “sabr-nerds” appreciate value

8:45
Comment From Guest
Why do the Giants have bad luck with pitching contracts Zito and Cain come to mind?

8:45
August Fagerstrom: I feel like big-money, long-term contracts given to pitchers are bad more often than not. Not just San Francisco

8:46
Comment From Guest
Still going with 5.5 ip for Waino?

8:46
August Fagerstrom: I took the over, so yeah, I’ll stick with that.

8:46
Comment From Ryan
The Giants didn’t have bad luck with Zito’s contract. Everyone knew that was a terrible deal the day it was signed.

8:47
Comment From Guest
Re. Peralta failing the “eye test”: His body type is not stereotypical. However, watch him play for any amount of time, and it is very clear that he has excellent defense.

8:47
August Fagerstrom: Yup. I think if you watch without a preconceived notion it’s easy to see. Problem is, a lot of people watch him through those goggles

8:49
Comment From Hank
Do you still think its dumb that teams still value “proven closers”

8:49
August Fagerstrom: Yes.

8:50
Comment From Pale Hose
The other problem with Peralta is that he was really bad before he became good.

8:50
August Fagerstrom: There’s that, too. I feel like a lot of people don’t believe in players being able to legitimately improve in the field like they do at the plate, for whatever reason. Or that defense can slump.

8:50
Comment From Nick
Do you think if Peralta, Sandoval, etc. lost weight and got into good physical shape, that their defense would improve measurably?

8:50
August Fagerstrom: I have no idea. What they’re doing right now is working, though, so I wouldn’t mess with it!

8:51
August Fagerstrom: Why do I have an Andrew WK song in my head? Is he being used in one of the commercials? I haven’t voluntarily listened to Andrew WK since high school

8:51
August Fagerstrom: Matt Carpenter puts together a hell of an at-bat.

8:53
Comment From the colonel
Ha, I just shot a video with Andrew WK and I had no idea who he was.

8:53
August Fagerstrom: what?! that is amazing.

8:53
August Fagerstrom: Help me out, guys: Was that an optimal route by Ishikawa in left?

8:54
August Fagerstrom: Can’t wait to see StatCast for plays like that. “Route efficiency: 3.1%”

8:54
Comment From Section 329
1st baseman in left, darn.

8:54
Comment From Guest
That is what we need. StatCast lowlights reel!

8:56
Comment From Matt
Seemed like a tough play for even a full time left fielder

8:56
August Fagerstrom: True, the balls hit right at you, but with some slice/hook, are tough. But that’s definitely a make-able play by an actual LF

8:56
Comment From Kyle
So roommates decided to start smoking weed (I’m allergic) and switch the only TV in our house to the football game, so I leave to go to my room. How do I approach them

8:56
August Fagerstrom: “…not cool, man…”

8:57
Comment From Matt
You’re allergic to weed?

8:57
August Fagerstrom: Yeah I actually didn’t know this existed

8:58
Comment From Daniel Carroll
Is it sacrilege to prefer Jon Miller to Vin Scully? I’m not even a Giants fan!

8:58
August Fagerstrom: I’m not too familiar with Jon Miller’s work, but the answer is yes, it is sacrilege.

8:58
Comment From BDF
Why would Kyle choose to live with roommates who engage in a recreational activity in his home that causes him discomfort? Also, weed allergy doesn’t exist. He just means he doesn’t like it.

8:58
Comment From Sam
Anyone can be allergic to anything

8:58
August Fagerstrom: BDF and Sam: Fight!

8:59
Comment From Guest
Sam is right.

8:59
August Fagerstrom: A guest chimes in!

8:59
August Fagerstrom: Erection commercial counter: 1!

9:00
Comment From Kyle
I rented the house on my own and let my landlord fill the rest. They smoke often. I’ve never smoked but whenever I am around it second-hand my throat clogs up like I am having an asthma attack. So I just leave

9:00
August Fagerstrom: Probably a wise reaction

9:01
August Fagerstrom: So, we’re talking about erections and weed. This is what Dave wanted when he gave me a chat, right?

9:05
Comment From senpaisanto
who other than you’s talking erections?

9:05
August Fagerstrom: The lady on the TV!

9:05
Comment From Nick
August, this may also be sacrilege, but do you know anything about playing soccer in the Cleveland area? I’ve been dying since I moved here for work.

9:05
August Fagerstrom: Couldn’t help ya, man. Only ever played baseball and ran cross country competitively

9:06
Comment From Keeper
Is it fair to say that the Cardinals are 1-3 with 100 errors and the Giants are mostly spectators?

9:06
August Fagerstrom: No, I’m pretty sure it’s not

9:07
August Fagerstrom: you guys remember when the giants signed dan uggla?

9:08
August Fagerstrom: Matt Carpenter throws *really* overhand

9:09
Comment From Keeper
Never mind with that bomb… What was your best time in cross country?

9:09
August Fagerstrom: Somewhere in the 19:30 range for a 5K. I ran the mile in track too in the mid-fives and the two mile in the mid-12’s

9:11
Comment From BDF
Joe Panik, poor man’s Chase Utley or just on a good streak?

9:11
August Fagerstrom: Definitely closer to the second one. A poor man’s version of a Hall of Fame-caliber player is a pretty great player. Not ready to call Panik that yet

9:12
Comment From Nick
Does @Lana have a real job?

9:12
August Fagerstrom: I’ve always wondered who that is. Don’t follow her on Twitter

9:12
August Fagerstrom: Big City

9:12
August Fagerstrom: That’s a “shutdown homer” or something, right?

9:13
Comment From Larry Bernandez
Utley is hall of fame caliber? Since when?

9:13
August Fagerstrom: Since he averaged 7.5 WAR for five consecutive seasons and then injuries derailed his career

9:13
Comment From Nick
“With these kind of pitchers, you either get them early or you don’t get them at all.” Mean anything statistically, or just Harold Reynolds nonsense?

9:13
August Fagerstrom: No idea, but probably Harold Reynolds nonsense

9:14
Comment From Keeper
We had some really hilly courses, and i have short legs. Never broke 19:45, but I did throw a 4:45 mile once in track.

9:14
August Fagerstrom: I have a bad knee (tore my MCL) and the track always really bothered it for whatever reason. I quit track after a couple years

9:14
Comment From BDF
Utley’s last two years have put him into HOF territory if he wasn’t there already. The knock was always longevity and he’s getting it now.

9:14
August Fagerstrom: He was even putting up 3-5 WAR from 2010-2012 when he was playing half seasons. He was basically been a 6+ WAR true talent level player from 2005-2012. Really amazing.

9:16
August Fagerstrom: Also, what happened to Bumgarner’s momentum

9:16
Comment From Kyle
Are you from Ohio also?

9:16
August Fagerstrom: Yup, Kent

9:17
August Fagerstrom: Two most unlikely non-Wainwright hitters in the Cardinals lineup to take Bumgarner deep tonight? Adams and Cruz?

9:18
Comment From Heldmond
MLB Gameday says it was a slider, Verducci calls it a cutter. What is it ?

9:18
August Fagerstrom: Pretty sure FanGraphs and BrooksBaseball disagree on this, too

9:18
Comment From Kyle
And you chose to not go to OU because….

9:18
August Fagerstrom: Free tuition at Kent State

9:19
Comment From Ben
No way was the pitch to Cruz a slider. 88mph

9:19
August Fagerstrom: PITCHf/x says he throws a slider that was 88.1 this year

9:21
Comment From Guest
How short is Bumgarner’s leash?

9:21
August Fagerstrom: I’d say pretty short, but then again I am an advocate of the “pull your starters early in the postseason” strategy, and also it seems like Bochy has had a longer leash than most this postseason

9:22
August Fagerstrom: Holy shit Panda

9:22
Comment From Compton
What is your favorite 90’s Nickelodeon game show?

9:22
August Fagerstrom: LEGENDS OF THE HIDDEN TEMPLE HANDS DOWN

9:22
August Fagerstrom: Can’t wait to look at that pitch in the PITCHf/x logs

9:23
Comment From Not an expert
Brooks said that he threw a slider in 2009, but then it looks like they changed its classification to a cutter while Fangraphs didn’t. Fangraphs classification is straight from TexasLeaguers I believe, and based completely on an (automatic) neural network model and often is not completely accurate.

9:23
August Fagerstrom: Yeah, I always side with Brooks when the pitch classifications disagree

9:26
Comment From Not an expert
The real question is – what the HELL is the slower breaking pitch that Corey Kluber throws?

9:26
August Fagerstrom: It’s a curveball. From the man himself

9:26
Comment From Guest
Does Bumgarner bat again this game?

9:26
August Fagerstrom: I think so

9:27
August Fagerstrom: Cards got that DP back

9:27
Comment From Matt
Jay and Wong are really playing some great baseball for STL

9:28
August Fagerstrom: Gotta feel good for Wong after how brutal last postseason was

9:28
Comment From Not an expert
In Cistulli’s interview, Kluber said “A slider, a curveball. I call it a breaking ball. Whichever you want.”

9:28
August Fagerstrom: He’s always called it a curveball when talking to me

9:29
Comment From Compton
Does Corey Kluber smile when he’s not pitching?

9:29
August Fagerstrom: He’s actually a huge jokester in the clubhouse. He’s really funny with his deadpan delivery

9:30
Comment From Jon
Some credit due to whoever is responsible for the Cards infield positioning. They’ve snared a number of hard line drives.

9:30
August Fagerstrom: I think an idea behind Peralta’s crazy defense numbers has often been a knack for optimal positioning

9:30
Comment From Ben
He got picked off to end a game they were losing anyway. Anyone who holds that on him is pretty stupid.

9:30
August Fagerstrom: Yeah, but that’s how he’s been remembered by many

9:32
Comment From 5
Bumgarner throws a slutter. This is well established.

9:32
August Fagerstrom: Each new home series, the Indians have a big white board in the clubhouse where they write every pitcher’s name, handedness, general role, and what pitches they throw. The classifications they use are FB, CH, CU, SLUT

9:33
Comment From BDF
Who is Ben talking about?

9:33
August Fagerstrom: Wong

9:33
Comment From Guest
Slutters and wongs…are you sure you stopped the erection talk?

9:34
August Fagerstrom: Should Bumgarner have hit there?

9:34
Comment From BDF
Francisco Rodriguez always maintained he didn’t throw a slider, that it was a curveball. I don’t think those classifications matter so much to players.

9:34
August Fagerstrom: I don’t think they care at all

9:35
August Fagerstrom: Yes

9:37
August Fagerstrom: Those who are answering “Yes” for Bumgarner: if he were a normal-hitting pitcher, would your opinion change?

9:37
Comment From Compton
I voted ‘Yes’ because I think Bumgarner the 3rd time through the order is still better than Petit in his 1st time through the order. I could easily be proven wong by then numbers.

9:38
Comment From zmiko
Ya it would have changed

9:38
August Fagerstrom: New poll!

9:40
August Fagerstrom: Yes, because he hits well for a SP

9:40
August Fagerstrom: Good defense! Good defense everywhere!

9:42
Comment From BDF
I’m not that drunk, but didn’t Crawford make the last out in the 4th?

9:42
August Fagerstrom: Holy shit, you’re right. How are you the first one to notice this?! Those guys look really similar.

9:42
Comment From ocean
Good defense! Except for the bad defense that allowed a run!

9:43
August Fagerstrom: Also, Bumgarner hits righty! Wow

9:43
August Fagerstrom: Total brainfart

9:43
Comment From ocean
New Poll: Should Bumgarner be hitting now?

9:44
August Fagerstrom: Let’s forget that happened

9:44
Comment From Ruki
Make a poll for if Bumgarner should hit for each inning. 🙂

9:44
Comment From Matt
I would prefer to answer the poll after the at-bat is over. I call it, “The Harold Reynolds”

9:44
Comment From Park Chan hos Beard
i just thought you were asking a hypothetical

9:44
August Fagerstrom: Let’s go with that

9:44
Comment From Jon
I think people read what you wrote as a hypothetical.

9:44
Comment From senpaisanto
haha, awesome august!

9:46
Comment From Guest
Does Wainwright bat again in this game?

9:46
August Fagerstrom: According to Harold Reynolds just now, yes

9:48
Comment From Not an expert
It’s probably true because sabermetrics are the work of the devil

9:48
August Fagerstrom: i think they’re called “cybermetrics”

9:48
Comment From Guest
Is your name pronounced like the month or the adjective?

9:48
August Fagerstrom: what

9:49
Comment From 5
AU-gust or au-GUST

9:49
August Fagerstrom: first one, like the month. just looked up the adjective, have literally never heard that in my life.

9:51
Comment From BDF
Are you fucking kidding me? I remember distinctly missing that on the SATs: Peaceful:Pacific::August:Powerful.

9:51
August Fagerstrom: I only ever took the ACT

9:52
August Fagerstrom: Really wanted Pence to do something crazy there

9:52
Comment From Chris
I’ve never heard of August being used as an adjective either. You aren’t alone.

9:52
Comment From Guest
What’s up with Pence’s throw?

9:52
August Fagerstrom: He has a spine condition, that I believe he just revealed for the first time the other day (At least, it was the first I had heard of it).

9:52
Comment From Ruki
Also I have never heard of August adjective either.

9:52
Comment From Ruki
Pence not doing something crazy is, itself, crazy.

9:53
August Fagerstrom: I just learned that people call Bumgarner “Big Country.” That means Big City took Big Country deep tonight

9:54
Comment From a guy who just bought some good weed
Can you imagine if Eno’s article was titled “The Giants’ Roll Players Shine” and it was about rolls

9:54
August Fagerstrom: #KeepNotGraphs

9:54
Comment From Ruki
So that means we need him and Billy Butler on the same team. “Big Country Breakfast” anyone?

9:54
Comment From BDF
Only 68 hits ever into McCovey’s Cove?

9:54
August Fagerstrom: I think they only count the ones that go in on the fly? I bet half of those are Bonds

9:55
Comment From Dennys PR person
I can dig #BigCountryBreakfast

9:56
Comment From Guest
The 68 only counts Giants players

9:56
August Fagerstrom: This raises the likelihood of half of them being Bonds

9:56
Comment From Guest
There are 38 more from road teams

9:57
August Fagerstrom: Sounds like Keith Law wants the Cards to yank Waino

9:57
Comment From Matt
35 of the 68 are by Bonds

9:57
Comment From Ruki
Half the road team ones? Also from Bonds.

9:58
Comment From Matt
no RHB has ever hit a ball into McCovey Cove

9:58
August Fagerstrom: Attention: Giancarlo Stanton

9:58
Comment From ocean
Can Pence please get #Splashdown69

9:58
Comment From Sam
Splash hit leaders: Opponents 38, Bonds 35, Other Giants 33

9:58
August Fagerstrom: Barry Bonds stats are just the best

9:59
Comment From Compton
PNC Park originally had a tally of Allegheny River shots set up, which seems absolutely ridiculous. Official tally over 14 seasons: 2.

9:59
August Fagerstrom: I remember this. Could be wrong too, but wasn’t one of them Bonds!

10:00
Comment From Sam
Obviously a Giant is most likely to break that, but it has to be Stanton, right? I think the actual most likely would be Pence.

10:00
August Fagerstrom: Yeah, probably

10:01
Comment From Compton
One by GI Jones and the other Daryl Ward. But if Bonds would have just stayed…:(

10:01
August Fagerstrom: Jones! That’s it. I was there for that game.

10:02
August Fagerstrom: I had no idea that Wainwright was a gamer. That’s big.

10:02
Comment From joe
can this chat just be bonds general

10:02
Comment From Ryan
Stanton nothing; Khris Davis had a higher ISO going opposite field than Stanton this year

10:03
August Fagerstrom: Khris Davis’ swing is crazy. Also, I think Springer is in the conversation for potential RHH McCovey Cove shots

10:03
Comment From Guest
Galarraga would regularly reach it as a RHB during BP in 2003

10:03
Comment From Matt
If Bonds played in 2015, what stat line do you think he could put up

10:03
Comment From Jon
What’s Bonds Steamer projection for next year?

10:03
August Fagerstrom: Those came in at the same time. Dan Szymborski ran the ZiPS projections a few month back if I recall, can anyone find that? I don’t remember the results at all

10:04
Comment From Guest
Whatever the projection is I’m sure it’s better than Seattle’s DH

10:04
August Fagerstrom: Can never tell whether or not a guy swung from the center field camera like that

10:04
Comment From Ruki
It isn’t hard to be better than Seattle’s DH, is it?

10:05
Comment From hscer
Wait did Wainwright just strike out the side when the side was Posey, Sandoval, and Pence?

10:05
August Fagerstrom: Yes, yes he did.

10:06
Comment From Chris
Who would win a pie eating contest: You, or Barry Bonds?

10:06
August Fagerstrom: Bonds?

10:06
Comment From Guest
How would aging curves affect the projection of a 50 year old?

10:06
August Fagerstrom: I’m gonna go with negatively.

10:06
Comment From Larry Bernandez
What the hell is J.J. watt doing at a school dance?

10:06
August Fagerstrom: Getting to the quarterback

10:07
Comment From Guest
Wainwright done?

10:07
August Fagerstrom: He’s up third this inning. That strikeout of the side will make things interesting

10:08
Comment From Ruki
Cards bullpen is active at least, as it should be regardless of if Waino is pulled.

10:08
Comment From Pale Hose
In a world where Ben Revere can hit two home runs, how many home runs can August Fagerstrom hit?

10:08
August Fagerstrom: I hit a softball out of my old high school baseball stadium the other day. So… none.

10:08
Comment From Someone
Totally depends on results of prior batters

10:08
August Fagerstrom: Yeah

10:09
August Fagerstrom: Wacha sighting!

10:09
Comment From Ruki
How many home runs can you hit if Waino grooves them to you like an All-Star? 🙂

10:09
August Fagerstrom: Still 0, unless we’re talking about softballs at high school stadiums again

10:09
Comment From Ruki
Waino confirmed for pine tar.

10:10
Comment From Guest
Will we see another 100+ OFF run season in the next 50 years?

10:10
August Fagerstrom: I think literally anything could happen in the next 50 years.

10:11
Comment From Someone
Why would Wainwright be wasting time to let a reliever take over for him WHILE HE’S BATTING?

10:11
August Fagerstrom: Because they may be needed early in the next inning

10:12
August Fagerstrom: Terrible God Bless America. Where’s the lady with the crazy headgear?

10:12
Comment From Compton
Is he trying to harmonize? Oh my…

10:12
Comment From Ruki
Is it just me or is one of the singers just doing like half the lines?

10:13
Comment From Compton
Why do you think the strike zone has expanded in recent years?

10:13
August Fagerstrom: I don’t know, that’s a good question. Perhaps an overzealous response by the league to the steroid era? You’d think they’d prefer an offensive game to a defensive game, though, for financial purposes

10:13
Comment From ocean
did anyone else notice the singer changing the lyrics to “land WE ALL love” last night? is there precedent for this?

10:13
August Fagerstrom: I noticed this for the first time too

10:17
August Fagerstrom: Yes

10:17
August Fagerstrom: New poll!

10:17
August Fagerstrom: Answer before things happen that sway your answer!

10:20
Comment From Compton
How would you arrange the back-end of the Cardinals bullpen? Or would you just play matchups?

10:20
August Fagerstrom: Probably matchups. They’ve got good platoon guys in Neshek and Choate, despite Choate being not-good recently he had a .171 wOBA allowed to lefties this year.

10:20
Comment From Park Chan hos Beard
is bumgarner also getting ready to bat? This is crazy

10:20
August Fagerstrom: For as much as we like to bash Yost, he’s been the manager most in-tune with the way FanGraphs would manage a bullpen this postseason

10:21
Comment From Chris
August, how did you become a baseball fan?

10:21
August Fagerstrom: My father, playing the game and going to Indians games

10:21
Comment From gump
Do you look over your shoulder in fear for MGL every time you cite stats from this year?

10:21
August Fagerstrom: I’m always looking over my shoulder in fear for MGL

10:22
August Fagerstrom: Ugliest looking good play ever

10:22
August Fagerstrom: That was Pence-ian

10:22
Comment From ocean
New Poll: Should Wainwright bat in the 10th?

10:23
August Fagerstrom: OK, there’s Andrew WK. I’m not crazy after all

10:23
Comment From Neil
Adams is fairly good defensively though despite his size. For a 1b man in mean

10:23
August Fagerstrom: Yup, I wrote about this earlier in the year

10:25
August Fagerstrom: If there’s one person I want advising my major life purchases: it’s Matthew McConnaughey

10:25
Comment From Compton
That Matthew McConaughey Buick commercial is easily the funniest of the playoffs.

10:26
August Fagerstrom: There was a great line on Deadspin the other day that said, “Matthew McConnaughey, who is well into the business of just being Matthew McConnaughey in public…”

10:27
Comment From Guest
Wainwright made the over on 5+ innings.

10:27
August Fagerstrom: What do I win?

10:28
Comment From Ruki
You win…A NEW CAAAAAAAAAAAAAR!

10:28
August Fagerstrom: Is it a Buick? Is Matthew McConnaughey somehow included? If so, can I pass on McConnaughey?

10:29
Comment From Ken
McConnaughey has nothing on Snoop in the “public characterture of himself” department.

10:29
August Fagerstrom: Bill Murray’s getting pretty good at it too

10:31
Comment From Guest
Does Rosenthal come in for the 9th with a 1 run lead?

10:31
August Fagerstrom: Can’t see it being someone else

10:33
Comment From Compton
August do you play fantasy baseball? Any if so, do you have a signature strategy?

10:33
August Fagerstrom: I do. Only one 18-team league (which I won this year!). I’m always the last to draft a SP and last to draft a closer

10:34
Comment From Guest
Tell a Giants fan before the game that Bumgarner pitches 8 innings, and they would start celebrating early.

10:35
August Fagerstrom: Just realized the Giants dont have a left-handed pinch hitting option

10:35
August Fagerstrom: Weird

10:36
Comment From Mehwolf
Morse? You need OBP here not questionable SLG.

10:36
August Fagerstrom: sorry mehwolf

10:36
August Fagerstrom: Still think it’s the right move to pull Wainwright there

10:36
Comment From Mehwolf
I have never been so happy to be proved wrong by events.

10:37
Comment From joe
this game is going 24 innings

10:37
August Fagerstrom: That would be a long chat

10:38
Comment From Guest
Well now im hoping for 24 innings

10:38
August Fagerstrom: I guess it wouldn’t be a terrible thing

10:38
Comment From JZ
True or false. There is more outward emotion by baseball players in 2014 than ever before.

10:38
August Fagerstrom: It does seem like there’s been more bat flips / homer celebrations / curtain calls than normal

10:39
Comment From Neil
Do you quote RBIs when intoxicated?

10:39
August Fagerstrom: I’m not that irresponsible

10:39
Comment From KK
Does Holliday make the catch Jay just made? I’m thinking no.

10:39
August Fagerstrom: Yeah, that move looks pretty good by Matheny

10:40
Comment From Tom
What have you been sipping on?

10:40
August Fagerstrom: Sweet Water 420 extra pale ale

10:41
August Fagerstrom: To clarify: I wasn’t saying that Holliday would have made the catch. Phrased that poorly. I was agreeing with KK

10:41
Comment From joe
things i hate: the endless quoting of incredibly specific statistics after a notable event happens. Apparently it’s the 1st PH game-tying HR in 8th inning or later of LCS or WS!!!

10:41
August Fagerstrom: Abolish the Baseball-Reference Play Index

10:42
Comment From Guest
Didn’t they trade get Bourjous to replace Jay in center? And now Jay is starting again and Grichuk is in right. What happened?

10:42
August Fagerstrom: Well, Bourjos -did- just replace Jay in center…

10:42
Comment From Guest
They traded David Freese for a late innings defensive replacement?

10:42
August Fagerstrom: It’s good to know people

10:43
Comment From Grand Admiral Braun
In what bizarro-world star search does Harold Reynolds win baseball color commentator? How bad Were the runners-up?

10:43
August Fagerstrom: It’s good to know people

10:43
Comment From Guest
Bourjos didn’t hit and Jay did, so Matheny starts Jay.

10:43
Comment From Neil
Jay started to hit again and Bourjos wasn’t

10:45
August Fagerstrom: That’s crazy that all seven runs the Giants bullpen has allowed have been solo homers

10:45
August Fagerstrom: Yes

10:46
Comment From tribe fan
I am happy every time Peralta gets out.

10:46
August Fagerstrom: When he was on the Indians, he was my least favorite player in baseball. Now, I actually like Peralta, and also don’t have least-favorite players

10:47
August Fagerstrom: Damnit, you guys

10:47
August Fagerstrom: Yes

10:47
Comment From Guest
Has anyone notice that little flip on Neshek’s beard? It is layered…

10:47
Comment From RJ
I can’t even look at that poll question, the thought terrifies me too much.

10:47
Comment From Ben
Brian McCann is my least favourite

10:49
Comment From Ben
New poll: if you guarantee Strickland pitches to a lefty tonight, does he give up a homer?

10:49
August Fagerstrom: No way Bochy lets this happen, right?

10:49
Comment From a eskpert
David Ortiz is my least favourite player.

10:49
Comment From Guest
K rod least favorite.

10:50
Comment From ocean
Jay’s job has been in peril for the last 3 years. He somehow keeps managing to hit just enough singles to keep it.

10:50
August Fagerstrom: Seems like every preseason is the year somebody is going to take his job, and then every postseason he’s starting in center field

10:51
Comment From Shrewd Cat
Least Favorite- Roberto Hernandez, Most Favorite- Fausto Carmona

10:51
August Fagerstrom: That’s a little surprising the Giants didn’t already have a lefty warming

10:53
Comment From machetko
They don’t let you work at Fangraphs unless you declare that you don’t have least favorite teams or least favorite players, do they? It’s like a Fangraphs thing.

10:53
August Fagerstrom: Fandom kind of just went out the window for me when I became a reporter

10:53
Comment From Ruki
Great play by Crawford there.

10:53
August Fagerstrom: He’s awesome

10:54
Comment From Guest
Is Sullivan the only fan guy at Fg?

10:54
August Fagerstrom: I mean, we all have teams that we have a preference for, I think, just maybe not actively rooting for them. I know Wendy has the Giants, Zimmerman has the Royals, Dave has the Mariners, I have the Indians, etc.

10:55
Comment From machetko
That’s my big existential question about a career like yours. You go into it because you love something and then being in it demands that you stop loving that thing.

10:55
August Fagerstrom: I’m working on a piece on this exact subject for The Hardball Times. It was a fascinating change once I broke into the field on my relationship with the game

10:56
Comment From Pale Hose
Swydan actively roots for Red Sox

10:56
August Fagerstrom: Not even close in the 3-2 count

10:57
Comment From Ruki
It looks like Santiago is losing his grip. Two balls right near the head.

11:00
Comment From Guest
Why Affeldt instead of Lopez?

11:00
August Fagerstrom: Cause Affeldt has been better this year? But Lopez is better against lefties, when there are 3 consecutive. Managerial decisions are impossibly complex

11:03
August Fagerstrom: Jeremy Affeldt, first seven years, pre-Giants: 564ip, 4.55era, 4.23fip
Jeremy Affedlt, last six years, on Giants: 326ip, 2.76era, 3.47fip

11:04
August Fagerstrom: Wacha sighting! This is weird

11:04
August Fagerstrom: Cardinals can be eliminated with one swing and they put in a guy who hasn’t pitched in a month due to shoulder issues? Yeesh

11:05
Comment From Ruki
Well you know August, you can’t use the closer until the 9th! …Oh wait.

11:05
August Fagerstrom: Well, he’s throwing 98, so

11:06
Comment From ocean
whoa wacha throwing a pitch. but isn’t he supposed to occupy the Shelby Miller Wasted Roster Spot?

11:06
August Fagerstrom: The Giants counter with Lincecum

11:06
Comment From Guest
Pinch run Panda?

11:06
August Fagerstrom: Was wondering this. Looks like it’ll be Arias

11:07
Comment From Helber
Where can I look up 2014 postseason stats?

11:07
August Fagerstrom: We don’t have em at FanGraphs. I’ve been going to BR for game logs

11:08
Comment From Ruki
Hunter Pence has become one of my favorite players.

11:08
August Fagerstrom: Hard not to love him. His postgame speech with all the f-bombs is classic

11:08
Comment From gump
is anyone working on an article to explain aoki’s ubr?

11:08
August Fagerstrom: me

11:08
Comment From Guest
think he ever got called hunted penis in school?

11:08
August Fagerstrom: Kids find a way to turn every name into something
*looks at own name*
“damnit”

11:09
Comment From gump
cool, wanted to do something myself but no idea where to look for ubr guts

11:09
August Fagerstrom: it’s all calculated by MGL. cross-checking the UBR numbers with BR’s baserunning numbers, it almost seems like a mistake. i am so fascinated to find out the explanation

11:09
Comment From hscer
Wait, so “August Fagerstrom” isn’t a pseudonym? 😉

11:09
August Fagerstrom: Ha, so many people have asked this. That would be a really weird pseudonym to pick

11:10
August Fagerstrom: Wacha still hurt? Velocity is there, command isn’t.

11:10
Comment From a eskpert
Hunter Pence, by virtue of never being picked last and being very strong, did not know the ignominy of insults derived from his own name

11:11
Comment From Guest
Does STL have no left handers in their pen? Why bring in a righty with Pablo, Belt, Ishikawa and Crawford coming up?

11:11
August Fagerstrom: choate and gonzales

11:12
August Fagerstrom: wow

11:12
August Fagerstrom: of course buck goes with “the giants win the pennant”

11:12
August Fagerstrom: ishikawa, like we knew all along!

11:12
August Fagerstrom: #MathenyFace

11:13
August Fagerstrom: Putting your season in the hands of the guy who you didn’t trust to pitch one time in three weeks will be scrutinized to no end

11:13
Comment From Compton
Buck said earlier in the broadcast, I think his laast at bat, that Ishikawa had “home run pop”. I was laughing at him, but then, baseball.

11:13
Comment From Ben
Maybe that’s why he didn’t throw Shelby Miller last year….

11:14
Comment From Ruki
To be fair, you SHOULD be scruntinized for that.

11:14
Comment From Spencer00
#EvenYear

11:14
Comment From Mehwolf
In the 7-game LCS era, teams that sweep an LCS are 1-5 in the World Series.

11:14
August Fagerstrom: Congrats, Giants!

11:15
August Fagerstrom: The Royals or the Giants will win the World Series in 2014. What the hell

11:16
Comment From Ben
Not throwing Choate there is INSANE

11:16
August Fagerstrom: Yeah, two lefties in the pen, too. Facing Belt was kind of crazy, too. And there was another lefty on deck.

11:16
Comment From Chris
Royals vs Giants: Prediction?

11:16
August Fagerstrom: I like the Royals

11:17
Comment From Compton
That was kind of an awesome game, right?

11:17
August Fagerstrom: Awesome postseason

11:17
Comment From Ruki
Hell, if you want to throw a righty out, why not Rosenthal? Or not the guy who you haven’t trusted to pitch for weeks and is coming off an injury?

11:17
Comment From Rrr
Matheny should have been the butt of jokes, not NedYo.

11:19
Comment From Guest
PR for Adams. PH Taveras w/ a LHP ready in the bullpen. Not PH for Wainwright in top 7. All worse decisions than Wacha in the 9th. Not pulling Wacha when he has no command, also awful.

11:20
Comment From Josh
I think player managers think they have “feeling” about certain postseason situations that allows them to throw out odds. Because they’ve “been there.” That’s my theory anyway,

11:20
August Fagerstrom: I think this applies to all managers

11:20
August Fagerstrom: Alright guys, that’s it for me. Thanks for chatting everyone! Had a blast

11:20
Comment From Ruki
See you next August.

11:21
Comment From Compton
Thanks August!

11:21
August Fagerstrom: Thank you!





Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.

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Brian
9 years ago

Thinking about Jay and Wong this series – do you think we’ll ever see a series MVP from a losing team (ala Fred Lynn ’82 ALCS) or are those days over? (And of course if MadBum pitches well tonight it’s a moot point in this series.)