No Room at the Infield: Jordan Lawlar Moves To Center Field

Rob Schumacher/The Republic-USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Time waits for no man, except Jordan Lawlar, who’s been on the cusp of major league stardom for about four years.

The skinny on Lawlar as a prospect — where he topped out at a 60-FV grade in 2024 and 2025 — is that he carries the potential for plus power and plus shortstop defense with a plus-plus run tool. That’s a lot of pluses for an up-the-middle position, which is why the Diamondbacks spent a top-10 pick on him out of high school in 2021.

He played well enough to make Arizona’s playoff roster on the run to the 2023 NL pennant (though he didn’t play much, going 0-for-2 with a walk), and the two full seasons since have seen Lawlar’s path blocked both by his own injuries and the emergence of Geraldo Perdomo as a bona fide star.

Even so, Lawlar is the kind of talent you either trade for a big return or find a big league home for. Shortstop prospects who see their path to the majors blocked most frequently end up at second base; Arizona GM Mike Hazen felt out the trade market for Ketel Marte this winter but didn’t like what he saw. If anything, second base is even more blocked than shortstop at the moment.

How about third base, then? What do Manny Machado, Alex Bregman, and José Ramírez have in common, apart from a bunch of top-five MVP finishes? They all could’ve been shortstops had their teams not had a better option at the position. (Admittedly, this structure flatters J.J. Hardy, but he really could pick it back in the day.)

For most of last year, the Snakes had a killer third baseman, Eugenio Suárez, but he’s no longer there. In fact, the first time it occurred to me that someone other than Lawlar would play third base for the Diamondbacks in 2026 was the moment they traded for Nolan Arenado, or what’s left of him.

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We move on. To center field, apparently, which is where the Diamondbacks have resolved to play Lawlar for the foreseeable future.

On Saturday, Lawlar made his first major league appearance in center field, and it went well. He went 1-for-2 with a walk and a home run at the plate, and made a clean play on the only ball hit in his direction: a first-inning fly ball from Ezequiel Tovar. It was the kind of play you’d expect an infielder to make (or a pitcher, or an athletic trainer), but so far, so good.

I have two questions regarding Lawlar’s move to center field: First, can he do it? Second, is it a good idea in the long term?

As far as Lawlar’s ability to play center field, I have no doubt about his physical tools. While the orthodox move would’ve been third base, the shortstop-to-center field path has been well-traveled. Jackson Merrill did fine. So did Mickey Mantle.

Lawlar absolutely has the speed for the position; he hit 30 ft/sec in sprint speed last year, putting him in capital-e Elite territory. A shift to center field might actually bring out the best in Lawlar. One of Eric Longenhagen’s few gripes about Lawlar’s defense was his tendency to make awkward throws on the run, especially off his backhand. He got the job done, it just looked a little janky.

Here I’ll add another insight I picked up from Eric when we were watching a World Baseball Classic game together a few years ago. He was talking about how much better Mookie Betts’ throwing arm played in right field than it did on the infield.

The numbers over the past few years bear that out; Betts was a plus arm strength guy in right, but while he’s been a good defender at shortstop overall, he’s a bit noodle-armed on the dirt. That’s because infielders have to release the ball quickly and often off-balance, whereas outfielders mostly throw either while charging the ball or after setting their feet. Betts in particular benefited enormously from a stable throwing platform.

That makes sense if you’ve ever watched a good left-side infielder for more than a couple innings. (Here I’ll mention again my theory that, like, 40% of what makes Patrick Mahomes one of the best quarterbacks of all time is stuff he learned as a high-level third base prospect.) I don’t know if Lawlar will take to the outfield the same way, but maybe having that extra fraction of a second to set up will take his arm from good to transcendent.

The rest of the defensive stuff will all have to be learned: reads, positioning, footwork. That comes easier to some outfielders than others, and it’s reasonable to expect some growing pains. Up until last weekend, the sum total of Lawlar’s non-infield game experience was three games in last year’s Dominican Winter League. We should be patient here.

At the same time, I’m choosing to believe that Lawlar can learn to play center field until he proves otherwise. It’s the only assumption to make, based on his ability at shortstop.

How valuable that bat will be is a real question. First, Lawlar has to stay on the field, after suffering injuries to his shoulder, ribs, scapula, thumb, and hamstring over a five-year professional career. Some of those were freak acute injuries, but any list of physical ailments that long is going to contain at least a couple troubling chronic issues. Perhaps he’ll benefit from leaving the infield behind in this respect.

Lawlar was barely out of the womb in 2023 and missed most of 2024 due to injury, but he got 28 games in the big leagues in 2025 and didn’t cover himself in glory: .182/.257/.288 with a 35.1% strikeout rate. Yes, that’s a tiny sample, but it’s a data point. His first extended encounter with major league pitching was a comprehensive defeat. And even the rosy scouting reports on him show a lot of swing-and-miss.

But not enough swing-and-miss to constitute a red flag. The in-zone contact numbers are on the low end of normal. Especially for an up-the-middle guy who hit .300 with 20-homer power and a double-digit walk rate almost everywhere he went in the minor leagues. I don’t see a specific reason why Lawlar can’t hit big league pitching. He just has to prove he can do it.

So is center field the best place for Lawlar? And are the Diamondbacks best served by putting him there?

Lawlar’s bat would’ve been most valuable at shortstop; obviously he won’t be needed there as long as Perdomo’s around. But the difference is minimal between offensive expectations at third base and offensive expectations at center field. If anything, Lawlar might be more valuable in center, where the league-wide wOBA was three points lower in 2025. Add on the possibility that his arm might play up out there and the lower physical toll might do the injury-prone Lawlar good, and this seems like the right move.

Even if you think the Diamondbacks are wasting their time with Arenado at third base, they still have both Marte and Perdomo under team control through 2030 and another Top 100 infield prospect, Tommy Troy, on the verge of major league readiness. That infield logjam is not getting any less crowded anytime soon.

Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks do need a center fielder. Their right field situation is one of the best in baseball, or at least it will be once Corbin Carroll grows a new hamate bone. Left field is pretty dire at the moment, but top prospect Ryan Waldschmidt is in major league camp, and maybe Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s bat will heal around the same time his ACL does. But Lawlar has a chance to be a center fielder who makes legitimate contributions on both sides of the ball. Those guys don’t grow on trees.

I think it’s fair to ask if the Diamondbacks would be better off in the short term putting Lawlar in left and Alek Thomas in center, rather than the other way around. There’s a chance Lawlar might not transition to the outfield well — at least not right away — and basically the only thing Thomas has going for him is his glove.

But the Diamondbacks aren’t going to win a division as tough as the NL West by taking small swings like that. Lawlar might not work in center. He might not hit at all. But if he does, that’s a potential star, like the Padres have in Merrill. Maybe even better. The upside for that position is such that, if the Diamondbacks think Lawlar’s future is in center, he should get every rep available as soon as possible. Either he’ll learn the position faster, or the Diamondbacks will know sooner that they have to go to Plan (counts on fingers) E for his future.

Or he can spend another year on the verge of claiming a major league job. We’ve waited this long, after all.





Michael is a writer at FanGraphs. Previously, he was a staff writer at The Ringer and D1Baseball, and his work has appeared at Grantland, Baseball Prospectus, The Atlantic, ESPN.com, and various ill-remembered Phillies blogs. Follow him on Twitter, if you must, @MichaelBaumann.

18 Comments
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MichaelMember since 2016
4 months ago

Lawler went to winter ball in the Dominican struggled with no walks and 18 strikeouts. I’m not optimistic about him hitting

NATS FanMember since 2018
4 months ago
Reply to  Michael

Small sample but noteworthy

booondMember since 2019
4 months ago

This is a funny article in that it focuses on his ability to field when he’d already be in the starting lineup if he’d proven he could hit. He hasn’t. He might. He might not. If he can they will find a position for him.

asb123Member since 2024
4 months ago
Reply to  booond

I think that’s about right, but I think there’s another wrinkle — a lot of guys need a stable home where they’re allowed to fail a few times before they break out. I’m a bit worried he’ll flounder, get benched or moved around again, and then just never get an extended run of playing time to try to figure it out.

If they don’t want to play him every day this year to see if he can hack it, they should just trade him sooner than later. He has nothing real left to prove in AAA.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
4 months ago

This article reads like the author has paid zero attention to Lawlar and his offensive *or* defensive struggles since he got his first crack at a major league roster.

cooljamesMember since 2025
4 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

It would maybe help to hear some of your insight? He seems to mash in the minors with scant experience in MLB, so sample size is an issue with summary stats.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
4 months ago
Reply to  cooljames

I don’t think there’s anything too surprising.

He strikes out a lot in the minors, which unfortunately for him translates well to major league performance.

He runs high BABIPs in the minors, which doesn’t translate to MLB performance because the defenses are bad.

And the D-Backs’ AA and AAA affiliates juice offense like crazy. wRC+ is only league adjusted and not park adjusted, and so his wRC+ is seriously misleading.

Eric flagged a huge number of these things already in his reports. Lawlar’s hit tool is actually below average, and his exit velocities are really bad despite the surface level stats. Eric theorized that it’s because he doesn’t hit the ball squarely, but that means either his hit tool is even worse than Eric’s report on it or his power is a mirage.

Eric kept him at a 55 based on the defense at shortstop but it looks like the injuries have robbed him of his athleticism. He had a good showing in 2023 but in 2025 he couldn’t do anything right. It’s all small samples but it’s really hard to put up -4 FRV in 130 innings or whatever he had.

Whether the injuries have broken him or he was just never good, the idea that this is some incredible prospect who is just blocked at shortstop is seriously out of date. This is a last-ditch attempt to find something that Lawlar does well.

Last edited 4 months ago by sadtrombone
asb123Member since 2024
4 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I think there are several problems with your analysis:

23% strikeout rate at AAA isn’t really that high these days, especially if you have any power to speak of. Bobby Witt struck out 23.2% of the time in his age 21 season across AA-AAA; Lawlar put up 20.6% at age 20-21 (mostly AA to be fair) and 23.3% at age 22-23 in AAA. That is not really scary hit tool risk.

Most good hitters crush the ball in the minors and run high BABIPs against defenses that don’t have elite defenders at 6-7 positions. Bad hitters often don’t. This isn’t a negative sign at all, and like you said Eric is already adjusting for that in his prospect analysis. I’ll agree that running a .300 average in AAA doesn’t necessarily mean that much, but the other signs are there.

I do think the injury risk is the scariest thing. I think it’s extremely premature to speculate that maybe “injuries have broken him”; he’s still 23.5, he still has 98th %ile sprint speed. But if he can’t stay on the field long enough to develop as a hitter and tap into his potential on defense, he’s going to have a hard time in the bigs.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
4 months ago
Reply to  asb123

He ran something like a .400 BABIP in the minors. Not everyone does that!

But really Eric’s scouting report was way closer than basically anyone else’s. I have no problem with it and learned most of what I know about Lawlar from reading Eric over the years. The fact that this is all publicly available on FanGraphs itself and the author apparently has no idea about any of it is my concern.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
4 months ago
Reply to  cooljames

One more thing:

If we’re arranging the “post-prospects of today” in a line, we had a lot of busts in the last couple of years.

Roki Sasaki, Kristian Campbell, Dylan Crews, Dalton Rushing, Jackson Jobe, Chase Dollander, Coby Mayo, Jordan Lawlar, Matt Shaw, Jasson Dominguez, Heston Kjerstad, Kyle Harrison, and Curtis Mead all fit this description.

Aside from Kjerstad–who looks totally and completely broken–I can’t think of a single one that I would put behind Lawlar.

Maybe some of them I wouldn’t put ahead either, but when I think about someone like Kristian Campbell or Dylan Crews, I can see more paths for them to be a successful player than Lawlar.

A Salty ScientistMember since 2024
4 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I think ‘bust’ is a little strong for most of these considering the lack of sample size (not even a full season of plate appearances) and the difficulty of the transition from MiLB to MLB. A decent number of those guys are likely to bust in longer samples, but I would be hard pressed to write anyone off with less than a full season worth of at bats (and generally 2 seasons, but I maybe I err too much on the side of patience).

sadtromboneMember since 2020
4 months ago

I think we agree in that in most of these cases there is some hope. I think that’s especially true for pitchers who can sometimes look awful due to some small injury and then come back and be great later.

I also haven’t given up on Campbell or Crews.

Most of the others are more hit and miss.

But I don’t think there is much hope for Lawlar or especially Kjerstad. Either we were all very wrong about them or the health issues they have had make them very different players than the ones they were a few years ago.

A Salty ScientistMember since 2024
4 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I have little hope for Kjerstad, who was seen as a reach when drafted as a bat-first guy, and maybe lost something healthwise with his bad COVID case. His MiLB track record is also not great for a bat first guy. Lawlar has hit a lot better than Kjerstad in the minors, and has good speed and at least a chance to offer something on defense. I doubt he’ll be a star, but I think he still has a decent chance of being a regular. Agreed on Campbell and Crews, and who knows with pitchers.

AnonMember since 2025
4 months ago

Robin Yount must be the most famous SS to CF conversion.

Jacquehammer JonesMember since 2021
4 months ago

Will not have this J.J. Hardy slander

MatthewMember since 2019
4 months ago

I’m just here to share gratitude for the consistent excellence that Baumann shows when he writes headlines.

Great stuff.

PC1970Member since 2024
4 months ago

I remember being upset when Detroit took Jackson Jobe over Lawlar & Marcelo Mayer.

Turns out it may be much ado about nothing. With Mayer being the most likely to succeed at this point, but, still a lot of questions.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
4 months ago
Reply to  PC1970

A good reminder that most first round picks bust, and even high picks are not immune.

Basically the whole Top 10 of that year’s draft looks like they’re going to land between “bust” and “journeyman / backup” and the only reason Mayer and Jobe haven’t officially avoided that designation yet is because they’ve been so hurt we don’t know what they can do anymore. Not a great place to be.

If you redid the 2021 MLB draft you’d take James Wood #1 (actual pick: 62), Jackson Merrill #2 (actual pick: #27).

And then in some order you’d take Andrew Painter (13), Sal Frelick (15), Colson Montogmery (22), Andrew Abbott (53), Daylen Lile (47), Spencer Schwellenbach (59), Bubba Chandler (72), Carter Jensen (78), Mason Miller (97), Bryce Miller (113), Bryan Woo (174), Emmet Sheehan (191), Noah Cameron (199), and Ben Rice (363). You can order those guys in a bunch of different ways, but those guys would fill out the rest of the Top 15 most likely.

I assume Hunter Goodman (109), Will Warren (243), Landen Roupp (356) and Caleb Durbin (427) would also go somewhere in the first round. And Edwin Arroyo (48), Joe Mack (31), and Logan Henderson (116) too. That’s something like 22 of the top 30 spots.

Aside from Jobe, Mayer, Colton Cowser, Harry Ford, Andrew Painter, Sal Frelick, Matt McLain, Colson Montgomery, and Gavin Williams I don’t think there is a single other pick in the Top 30 that would have a shot to be re-picked in the first round. And some of them wouldn’t be.

I am feeling pretty certain that Lawlar would not be re-picked in the first round. I imagine he’s probably somewhere between #50 and #70 in expected future value. I think a good chunk of the rest of the Top 50 picks would be pitchers because sometimes they take a step forward late. Gavin Williams, Ty Madden, Chase Petty, Ben Kudrna, Elmer Rodriguez, Tanner McDougal, Ryan Bergert, Robert Gasser, Jack Leiter, and even seriously hurt pitchers like Jobe, AJ Smith-Shawver, Ricky Tiedmann and River Ryan have a chance to wind up as strong contributors.

But even just among position players, would you take Lawlar over Josh Baez? Kyle Manzardo? Cameron Cauley? Denzel Clarke? Adrian Del Castillo? Henry Davis? Brady House? Kahlil Watson? James Triantos? Even Trey Sweeney?! I’d take him over Trey Sweeney and Triantos, and he and Watson are kind of 50/50 for me, but I think I’d take the rest over Lawlar at this point.