Nomar Mazara and the Rangers’ Good Problem
You’d rather have the Rangers’ problem than the Braves’ problem. See, the Braves problem is that they just don’t have enough competent players to field a competitive major-league baseball team. The Rangers problem seems to be that they’re soon to have too many competent players. An embarrassment of riches isn’t necessarily a problem, per se, but it’s something of an inefficiency, and it’s the kind of thing that can result in at least one deserving employee feeling less than pleased by his role in the workplace.
Nomar Mazara wasn’t supposed to be in the big leagues this soon, but Shin-Soo Choo’s strained right calf accelerated Mazara’s timeline, and now that the 21-year-old rookie is here, it doesn’t seem like he’s going away any time soon. In Mazara’s first game, he homered. Through his first 17, the preseason consensus top-25 prospect has run a 127 wRC+, showed a knack for controlling the strike zone, impressed scouts with his ability to adjust, and even made an impact with the glove. The Rangers are in the business of competing for a World Series championship this year, and when a team is in the business of competing for a World Series championship, it does so by fielding a 25-man roster comprised of its best 25 players. Nomar Mazara is one of those players.
Which is precisely where things get tricky. Mazara’s combination of upside and (admittedly small sample) performance to date indicate he is one of the best 25 players in the Rangers’ organization right now. But Choo, who’s set to return from the disabled list by mid-May, is certainly one of those 25 himself, and so are Delino DeShields, Ian Desmond, Prince Fielder, and Mitch Moreland, which is where the problem arises. We occasionally deal with some complicated math on this site, but sometimes, the numbers don’t have to be difficult: that’s six players with five available positions, and that doesn’t even include the eventual return of Josh Hamilton, who suffered a setback over the weekend, and Joey Gallo, who’s running a 170 wRC+ in Triple-A with a strikeout rate damn near cut in half.
So what happens when Choo returns from the disabled list in a couple weeks, barring no other injuries occur in the meantime? Someone’s got to be the odd man out, and there isn’t a clear favorite. We can start with what we know. Choo will return to right field, and Fielder, despite getting off to a miserable start to the season, will continue as the team’s designated hitter. That much, we can safely say.
What complicates the issue is center field, because there just doesn’t seem to be a great answer. DeShields’ strikeouts are up, his walks are down, and that’s not a good combination for a player without any semblance of power or a track record at the plate. There’s no guarantee DeShields is a major-league bat on a contending team, but at the same time, he’s their only center fielder. This whole situation would be a lot easier if Mazara could just shift to center. But despite his handful of highlight-reel plays in his first few weeks, Mazara’s got well below-average footspeed, and it’s more likely he moves to first base than center.
DeShields is the easy odd man out based on the bat, but the glove makes it a tricky choice. So, then, Choo to right, DeShields to center, Mazara to left and Desmond to the bench? Except, how much is that glove in center really worth? DeShields has played an error-prone center field that’s graded out as one of the worst in the majors since his debut, an assessment with which the fans agree. How much worse could Desmond be? By all indications, his transition to the outfield has gone smoothly thus far, he’s been their backup option in center all year, and he’s already got 35 innings under his belt. The idea of Desmond as an everyday center fielder might not sound pretty, but it’s not like DeShields is much prettier, and Desmond’s advantage at the plate could outweigh whatever downgrade (if there is any) is suffered in the field.
Another possibility depends on whether Desmond is able to play first base. As a former infielder, and one who’s clearly willing to learn a new position, one would think Desmond is capable of making the switch, but he’s never appeared at first in a professional game, and learning scoops, stretches, and the other fine points of playing the position could be difficult on the fly. If Desmond to first is a feasible alternative, however, the Rangers could stand to benefit from Moreland seeing fewer starts against lefties.
The way that this all likely works out is the boring one: everyone plays, and everyone sits. Even the two players most entrenched in their roles, Choo and Fielder, run sizable platoon splits — particularly Choo — and it’s not like either has been a pillar of health in recent years. Each could probably use a day off here and there, and the Rangers’ excess of quality position players can allow the Rangers to plan those days off optimally. Center field is a crapshoot. I lean toward Desmond’s bat being the better play, with DeShields coming off the bench as a pinch-runner while still getting his fair share of starts when the Rangers decide to give Choo, Fielder or Mazara — who’s also got a history of struggling against lefties — a day off against a tough southpaw, with Desmond shifting back to a corner. If and when Hamilton returns, I don’t see how his role could be anything more than a pinch-hitter extraordinaire. The Gallo situation might be a whole other story entirely.
There’s also a case for keeping the versatile Ryan Rua on the 25-man roster and optioning either Mazara, for service time reasons, or DeShields, to allow him to play everyday, but I think the Rangers can make this work without sending one of their best 25 players to Triple-A. Mazara’s hot start makes it nearly impossible to remove him from a big league club in first place, and even if this logjam doesn’t work itself out naturally, it could still work. Between platoon splits, injury histories and varying defensive abilities, there’s a way for all five of these guys to stay on the roster and continue receiving regular playing time. Fresh bodies are good bodies. It may not be perfect, but Nomar Mazara’s sudden emergence has given the Rangers a problem that any team in baseball would love to have.
August used to cover the Indians for MLB and ohio.com, but now he's here and thinks writing these in the third person is weird. So you can reach me on Twitter @AugustFG_ or e-mail at august.fagerstrom@fangraphs.com.
Joey Gallo for Jonathan Gray.
#FreeJoeyGallo
#FreeJonathanGray
#FreeDilsonHerrera
Prince’s contract and career body of work will keep him at DH for the foreseeable future, but I’m not sure he’s one of the best 25 players in the Rangers’ system right now.
I’ts not the best 25 but the right 25. If playing OOTP has taught me anything, it’s that specific quote that it puts in the loading screen
I understand that. It does seems that Prince offers some off-field or “clubhouse” value, as unquantifiable as it may be.
You can’t imagine the value he provided in a clubhouse, in a field, on his bike, in the waters of Lake Minnetonka.
RIP 🙁
Touch if you will my stomach….
Yeah, I came in here to say exactly that.
Fielder had a 127 wRC+ last year and has a history of good performance other than 2014. He has had an awful April with a .227 BABIP and Yet you would rather have him off 25 man roster and eat tens of millions and keep the also disappointing Ian Desmond on? Prince isn’t going anywhere unless he gets traded
But that’s the point. If money weren’t an option, you move Choo to DH (he’s terrible in RF), and put Mazara or Desmond in RF, with the other playing LF. Then you let Deshields or Rua play CF.
Desmond has been pretty damn good since having a horribad start. Most Rangers fans a lot more comfortable with him than Fielder.
One option not mentioned is using Desmond as an uber-utility guy….someone who could play CF / LF / SS / 2B…..anything elese?
“Which is precisely where things get tricky … that’s six players with five available positions.”
That’s not a problem, it’s what contending teams need to aim for. Injuries happen, and platoons are good. Even if you include Hamilton and Gallo, it’s not a problem. It’s not even a problem that it’s actually four positions, since none of them are actually able to play CF. Too many good players isn’t really a thing.
What is a problem is having below-average starters at two positions (CF and C) because you’ve overloaded on sluggers.
All of you Texas Ranger fans,I’m afraid you’re overlooking an over-rated Sacred Cow in Mitch Moreland. Throughout his tenure with the Rangers his performance with runners in scoring position has been DEPLORABLE….he’d actually have to improve considerably in that area before he could be described as merely BAD. Many of his homers (and hits of any kind) come with a man on first base or with the bases empty…But anytime, it seems, that a clutch hit’s needed to either tie the game or put it out of reach for the opposition his bat shrinks eight inches. I’m tired of all the excuses–actually NO ONE ever gives any. He just gets penciled into the lineup. If I was the GM I’d TRADE is over-rated ass to any GM who’s dumb enough to give us some pitching in return and that by itself would reduce the so-called log-jam. And as long as we’re on that subject I’d cut our losses and throw Hamilton overboard too…Not only is he not nearly the player he was three years ago when “Wash” was still coach, he’s an injury waiting to happen. So that’s TWO players I’d part with right there…But MM should have matured by now to the point that he can handle pitches when the Rangers really need him to but he hasn’t yet…Strikeouts and all,frankly, I wish we’d kept Chris Davis…Most of HIS extra base hits seem to come when the Orioles actually need them…
Disgusted,
Clifford
Santa Monica
Logical to try and trade for Herrara, but it would be a rough deal to get done…
Gallo/Deshields enough? Too much? Then deal an OF for spare parts?
What Herrara/Herrera are you talking about?
I’m assuming he meant odubel. But why would the Phillies do that, he’s a piece with a ton of control. Second if you are going to trade a big piece for a centerfielder brinson is the obvious headliner to include because a lot of his value comes from playing a plus cf. Gallo will most likely play 1st and lf next year. Marcell ozuna for brinson or something along those lines.
Considering the Rangers just let him go in the Rule 5 draft, I doubt they’d trade one of their top prospects for him now. Besides the crowded outfield.
And then there’s Brinson, sometime later in the season
I think the answer is to keep Hamilton out of the equation and roll with Mazara in left, Desmond in center, and Choo in right. Keeping Fielder at DH and having Ryan Rua as a platoon at first base with Moreland/fourth outfielder while sending DeShields down to AAA until an inevitable injury arises. Delino’s speed is a huge asset for the Rangers, but his offensive and defensive production is not as good as the other options so sending him down with the thought of him being the first player back up should an injury occur would be ideal. I would like to see Gallo maintain the numbers he is putting up in AAA for a full season, while getting reps in at the corner positions, although Texas maintains they want him playing third base fright now. If I were Jon Daniels, I would leave Gallo and Brinson where they are for the season unless an injury forces them up. I see some trade ideas above, but with an older team already and giving up some top-tier prospects the past few seasons (excluding 2014) I would like to hang on to the minor-league talent the possess, unless they can get a guy like Sonny Gray or Jose Fernandez.
Mazara essentially won the game for Texas last night with his 8th inning home run and then throwing out the tying run at home in the bottom of the 8th inning. It was a damn impressive play. Check it out on mlb.com …
DeShields might not be one of the 25 best players in the Rangers’ organization right now. He’s the easy one out.
Could the Rangers get anything of value trading Deshields to NL?
One thing that I think is missing from this analysis is that I’m fairly certain that the Rangers are currently carrying an extra bullpen arm and a short bench. As such, you could activate Choo, get rid of Cesar Ramos or Phil Klein, and continue to hold all of Choo / Mazara / Deshields / Desmond / Fielder / Moreland / Rua on the roster. Yes, playing time would get crowded, but it would be a normal sized bench.
Yeppppppppppppp.
Mazara looks to me like the kind of player you can just mark in at RF for a long, long time. He’s got a far better arm than Choo who seems likely to return to left when he returns.
Desmond would seem to be the ideal super-utility Tony Phillips kind of player, with the bonus that he can play shortstop competently. I don’t see a problem here.
So, what’s the trade market for Fielder?
The Cards could use a first basemen and have a few CF options. Grichuk in CF would be an upgrade for Texas. I’m not sure how you value an expensive and struggling Fielder and a cheap and struggling Grichuk, but the GMs could be talking.
Bannister is talking about a 6 man rotation. So they may have one less bench spot to fit everyone in.