Paul Sporer Baseball Chat — 2/25/16
by Eno Sarris
February 25, 2016
| 11:57 |
: Hi Eno…or Paul,
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| 11:57 |
: It’s Paul!!!
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| 11:58 |
: If you watch Broad City, you’ll recognize this fire af jam from last week’s premier. It’s great:
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| 11:58 |
: Let’s talk some baseball!
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| 11:58 |
: Dynasty league — Michael Brantley or Justin Upton?
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| 11:59 |
: Going Upton here. Not only does Brantley have the shoulder this year, but the back from previous year makes him a little sketchy long-term, too.
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| 11:59 |
: Keeping Sale, Bautista, Springer in a h2h points league. What’s your stance on “injury risk”?
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| 11:59 |
: I really focus on skills. I assess injury risk and try to bake it in, but in terms of Springer (who you might be referring to directly), that’s a skillset I definitely want to bet on
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| 12:00 |
: Seems like a like the value of American League pitchers more this year, but I realize the NL is the “easier league”. Are noticing that the AL pitchers just seem to have more upside/value?
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| 12:00 |
: NL is deeper at SP, IMO, but the fact that so many are going is probably pushing down the AL arms. Collette and I always worry about taking too many AL SPs in LABR
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| 12:03 |
: Eno, Eno, he’s are man! If he can’t do it…well somebody else probably can. There *are* 7 billion of us after all.
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| 12:03 |
: Eno does rule, but I’m p awesome, too
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| 12:03 |
: Who puts up the highest WAR for the Mariners in 2016?
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| 12:03 |
: Felix.
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| 12:03 |
: Say the unthinkable happens and Jaso gets hurt and is projected to miss a month or more. Do the Pirates call Pedro? Does he hang up on them?
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| 12:04 |
: Man, I’m just not sure I can follow this hypothetical of Jaso getting hurt, it’s too unrealistic dude. (I think they’d go to Josh Bell unless it was like April 9th when Jaso gets hurt)
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| 12:04 |
: Is a Lucroy trade all but inevitable? Do you think he returns to prior form at the dish?
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| 12:04 |
: Yeah I’d say so and yeah I’d say so on that, too. I think he gets close to his previous levels. Injury was the clear reason last year. I’m buying back in ’16
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| 12:07 |
: how old are you?
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| 12:07 |
: 34
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| 12:07 |
: Pick two Players to pair with Solar and Betts: Cespedes, Bautista, Braun, Tulo, DeGrom. Keep forever. Gracias
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| 12:10 |
: well some of these aren’t great propositions for the long-term, but let’s focus on the here and now and keep deGrom/Bautista. I think too often we plan for 3, 4 years down the road in these kinds of leagues. Your future is covered (hopefully) by Soler/Betts so you can focus on now-talent w/these other two
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| 12:11 |
: I am preparing for a few Yahoo auction drafts and am really struggling with valuations of Correa and Macahdo (SS eligability) They are going for an average of $41 each and I’m wondering if I should make the plunge on either one. How highly would you rank them overall?
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| 12:11 |
: Machado is easily a top-5 guy w/SS eligibility IMO. I’d pay the price on him. I’d be less interested in doing so for Correa.
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| 12:11 |
:
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| 12:11 |
: What would you do with the Rangers LF situation? Does Gallo see 100+ games this season? Mazara call-up? Sign somebody?
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| 12:12 |
: I’m on the Mazara train. I think they handle with it in-house.
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| 12:12 |
: In a league that drafted Kershaw/Bumgarner like pitchers last year for $40-$45. Is Harvey at $36 a good keep for this year? Also Cueto at $16, Wainwright at $14, Smyly at $4. Any thoughts on this keeper staff?
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| 12:12 |
: I love Harvey this year so it is a pretty good value if the market puts aces at $40+, but I really like Cueto/Waino at those costs, too
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| 12:13 |
: Playing for the first time in an auction draft 5 keepers. Any quick helpful strategy???
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| 12:15 |
: Check this by Chris Liss: http://www.rotowire.com/baseball/101/draft-strategy.htm (free RW trial here if you don’t sub: http://www.rotowire.com/users/free_trial.htm)
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| 12:16 |
: So when is the 2016 SP guide coming out ?
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| 12:17 |
: I’m really hoping to be done by next Friday heading into the first weekend of March drafts. All-nighters and Red Bull!!!
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| 12:17 |
: Hey Eno, pay attention to me! I’m a Fangraphs supporting member.
Too any of these chumps in this chart that aren’t, time to pony up, Eno doesn’t drink for free. |
| 12:18 |
: Eno’s in Hawaii!
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| 12:18 |
: Am I right to assume that my league moving from Wins to QS helps Teheran? Quintana also sticks out…Who are some other pitchers you could see gaining from that?
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| 12:19 |
: Ya those are both good calls. (though the White Sox might finally support Q for some Ws), but ya it’s good arms on weaker teams. Of course I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention how volatile wins so someone on a bad team will definitely log 15 Ws for no reason lol
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| 12:19 |
:
 The 1-9-5 Pickoff.
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| 12:20 |
: I haven’t given up on me, have you Eno?
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| 12:20 |
: Do you mean Oswaldo and Paul?
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| 12:20 |
: Will Brandon Maurer succeed as a starter?
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| 12:28 |
: He certainly could. He has some good stuff and he’s bringing back the curve: http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/2016/feb/11/padres-maurer-looking-forward-starting-again/
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| 12:28 |
: With no real options to start at 3B, are the Braves a landing spot for Freese?
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| 12:28 |
: I think they’ll go with Garcia to see if he’s anything then Olivera/Rio Ruiz. They’ll stick in-house most likely
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| 12:29 |
: I’m in a 12 team mixed keep 6 league, and I’m trying to get younger while still remaining competitive. I’ve been talking with another owner about flipping my Tulo for Corey Seager but can’t pull the trigger. How do you value the two for this year and would you make the switch?
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| 12:30 |
: OOOOHHHHH YEEEEEEAAAAAAHHHH Snap Into a Seager!!!! I prefer Tulo in ’16, but they’re close enough to make this worth it, espec. w/your stated goal of getting younger while still competing
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| 12:30 |
: Eno, we love Paul and all… but i was happy to see you’re running this show today, notwithstanding the title of the post!
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| 12:30 |
: I’m RIGHT here! Jeez.
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| 12:30 |
: As in this is Paul. Don’t pay attention to the name!
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| 12:30 |
: Any chance the we see Gallo, Mazara or Brinson in Arlington to start the season with Hamilton starting on the DL and an already shallow outfield?
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| 12:31 |
: Can definitely see that. As I mentioned earlier, I’m on the Mazara train, but we’ll have to keep a close in Spring
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| 12:32 |
: The question everyone wants to ask “Mr. Sporer”: does Blake Snell’s early extension get him to the majors more quickly this year?
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| 12:33 |
: if they get something done. Very early, though: http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/02/rays-blake-snell-extension-discussions.html
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| 12:33 |
: I’ll show myself out… Ha
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| 12:33 |
: You can stay!
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| 12:33 |
: I’m confused
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| 12:34 |
: It’s me, Paul! Just in under Eno’s acct bc he’s in Hawaii
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| 12:34 |
: Over/under Steamer’s slugging projection for Fowler in Baltimore: .395?
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| 12:34 |
: Over!
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| 12:34 |
: I read Farnsworth’s Angel’s prospect piece today (excellent as always). Do you know that the Angels *have* prospects?
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| 12:34 |
: Ya so I thought you were lying in that first sentence bc no I didn’t know they had ANY. Was it a 4-player list?
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| 12:34 |
: I haz beer questions for Enosaurus 🙁
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| 12:35 |
: I’m sorry. I can answer questions on water, Dr. Pepper, Red Bull, the purple Mountain Dew Kickstart thing, Sprite, and Chameleon Cold Brew coffee
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| 12:35 |
: You’re not Ron…
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| 12:35 |
: True
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| 12:35 |
: How long do you think Maikel Franco can stick at 3B?
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| 12:35 |
: Is he not supposed to last there? Seems to handle it pretty well. Foreseeable seems reasonable
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| 12:36 |
: listening to your LABR draft podcast, it’s scary how similarly you and I think (even late guys like B. Moss, Deitrich, Latos, etc), but I have to say I completely disagreed with Lindor there.
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| 12:37 |
: Yeah it was a calculated gamble. I’ve been cooling on Lindor as the offseason wears on, too, but to quote Matthew & Nate from the old ESPN days, the hate might be going too far. Now people are pretending he’s a completely incapable hitter just because we don’t believe in the power. He might only hit 9-11 HR, but big AVG, R, and SB, too. He’s v good.
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| 12:37 |
: Hey Paul, what would be the “hottest” draft pick you could make this year?
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| 12:37 |
: Addison Russell is straight fire
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| 12:37 |
: I guess you can answer my question Paul.
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| 12:37 |
: Woo!
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| 12:37 |
: What’s the better value in an 11-team AL-only league: a $24 David Robertson or $33 Craig Kimbrel?
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| 12:38 |
: Hmm, I don’t think there’s $9 difference between em, Gimme D-Rob
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| 12:38 |
: New to the pod and I LOVE it. Would you keep Jose Abreu in the 8th round (could keep 7 more years) or Bryce Harper in the 1st round for just this year. Keeping Donaldson (3rd), Jose Fernandez (12) and Harvey (20) already. 6×6 categories
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| 12:39 |
: Bryce is obv a total beast and worth a 1st round pick, but Abreu is a 2nd rounder for an 8th cost. I think I go that way. Man I’m really torn on this one. Yeah, Abreu.
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| 12:39 |
: Really not liking what I’m seeing in rounds 4-8 of the mock drafts I’ve been doing (outside Carrasco). Any targets in those rounds you like?
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| 12:41 |
: Those are the make-or-break rounds bc the talent clusters are tight. I like bouncebacks like Gomez, Puig, Lucroy; upstarts like Bogaerts, Eaton, Franco; and most of the SPs in that range are suitable
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| 12:41 |
: Listening to your podcast as we speak… is double dipping going to melt my brain?
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| 12:43 |
: It’s just gonna make you really happy
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| 12:43 |
: Holy shit, Fowler back to CHC!!!
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| 12:43 |
: Brett Gardiner is being held out of early drills due to a bone bruise in his wrist suffered LAST OCTOBER? That can’t be good..
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| 12:43 |
: Not at all. Collette is backing off now and no one like Gardner more so that should tell you something
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| 12:43 |
: Do you see a bounceback season from Matt Holliday? Quad injuries are the worst
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| 12:47 |
: Yeah he’ll bring back at least SOME of the power. He is 36, though, so I’m not planning for 25-90. More like 17-75
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| 12:47 |
: Is Boras ruining any solid chances for me? Should I tell him to knock it off and just accept a platoon DH job?
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| 12:48 |
: We gotta get you a meeting with NYY!
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| 12:48 |
: What’s the best way to think about being in a Quality Starts league if I’m used to being in a Wins league?
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| 12:49 |
: Now you can TRULY focus on the most-skilled pitchers. You probably should even with wins since they are unpredictable, but team status can be a tiebreaker since the Cubs will win more than the Braves for example. But now you can take the best arms on scrubby teams and not worry so much about their 70-win projection or whatever
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| 12:49 |
: Animal Collective fan? Is so, thoughts on the new album?
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| 12:49 |
: Unfamiliar. What is that?
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| 12:50 |
: Dynasty keep-forever league (cost is no issue). Which side do you prefer: Kris Bryant vs. Gerrit Cole AND Noah Syndergaard? Would adding Alex Cobb to the Bryant side change anything? Thanks, appreciate the chats!
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| 12:50 |
: Man I realize dynasty leagues are a different and pitching is uncertain, but that seems like too much
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| 12:51 |
: How old do you wish you were?
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| 12:51 |
: i like where i’m at, but i’ll roll back to 27 i guess
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| 12:51 |
: Paul…just want you to know we’re all counting on you.
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| 12:52 |
: I can take it!
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| 12:52 |
: That Fagerstrom article on Ichiro’s Home to First speed is DOOOOOPE. Good content.
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| 12:52 |
: August RULES!
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| 12:52 |
: Likelihood that A.J. Reed starts the season as the Astros’ 1B? If unlikely, when does he finally take over?
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| 12:52 |
: just a guess, but 40% he starts the season; otherwise late-April call-up is my guess
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| 12:52 |
: Is it possible to have too much risk in one team? I have Lindor, Brantley and Kipnis all keep-able for under $12 each ($300 budget).
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| 12:53 |
: it is possible, but at those costs, it’s not that risky. they’re risky profiles for various reasons, but the cost severely mitigates the risk
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| 12:53 |
: Yelich or Dickerson in a keep forever?
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| 12:53 |
: Yelich barely
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| 12:53 |
: Better Cardinal Waino, Carlos, Wacha?
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| 12:53 |
: Wacha!
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| 12:53 |
: I’m on an UltraLight Beam
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| 12:53 |
: Damn right!
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| 12:55 |
: We don’t want no devils in the house http://www.nbc.com/saturday-night-live/video/kanye-west-ultralight-beam/2985373
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| 12:55 |
: Verlander’s 2nd half was huge. Are you assuming he was coming back from that injury and we can expect those rates for an entire 2016?
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| 12:56 |
: Not necessarily a full season at his 2H level, but good Verlander should be back as long as he’s healthy. I find it weird that so many people are ready to call for his demise when he has clear reasons for the 2014 and early-2015 struggles: core surgery and a bicep strain. It’s weird how some guys get a injury pass and other don’t
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| 12:57 |
: Are you buying Colin Moran as a reasonably good value piece in deeper leagues?
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| 12:57 |
: Don’t know too much about him, tbh
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| 12:57 |
: If forced to choose between the following, Paul Sporer blows his AL-only budget on: Gomez, Jones, Abreu, Cano
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| 12:58 |
: Abreu, Gomez, Cano, Jones in that order
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| 12:58 |
: Wouldn’t putting GoPros on Catchers and Ump’s mask make for an awesome shot?
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| 12:58 |
: I feel like they did that before GoPros were even a thing. They used to put a couple camera in the catcher’s mask years ago
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| 12:58 |
: Sano, 35.5% strikeout percentage. His is.396 BABIP-crazy high. Do you see a .230 BA sophomore season?
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| 12:58 |
: yes. I’m way down on him compared to everyone else for those very reasons. lol at the ppl just doubling his numbers
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| 12:58 |
: Cubs/A’s just traded Chris Coghlan for Aaron Brooks. Is this the most boring trade of two big leaguers of the offseason? Any hypothetical fantasy implications?
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| 12:59 |
: Gives Coghlan more playing time which I really like. I think he made some legit changes last year. I highly recommend his interview on the Statcast Podcast w/Petriello
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| 12:59 |
: What the HELL. We’re expecting Eno on a Thursday and instead we get Paul? What is this, COMMUNIST RUSSIA!?!? (just kidding Paul. hi. how are you?)
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| 12:59 |
: In Russia, chat questions you
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| 12:59 |
: Would keeping Mazara over Conforto be buying a little too much into prospect hype, or is his potential really that good?
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| 1:00 |
: Ya that’s trying too hard. I really like Conforto
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| 1:00 |
: How much does Corey Dickerson’s move to Tampa hurt his fantasy value?
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| 1:01 |
: It stings any time you leave Coors, but he’ll improve on the road, too bc he won’t have the Coors Hangover Effect dogging him. The net is a little loss, but not enough to DRASTICALLY move him down boards (let’s say 4-5 spots at OF)
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| 1:01 |
: What happened to Brett Lawrie? That first monster first few months looked legit from a batted ball/minor league history standpoint, then he just… changed. What happened? Was there a way to predict that drop off based on those monster first few months?
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| 1:02 |
: the problem is we gave too much weight to that first sample as if it was indicative who he was going to be over a full season. that’s why you hear “small sample size” SO often. it gets tiring I’m sure, but it’s also real. we’ll see it come to fruition again in ’16 with some of these rookies.
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| 1:02 |
: Odds Turner is the opening day SS in DC?
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| 1:02 |
: v low.
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| 1:02 |
: Pick one: baseball or beer?
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| 1:02 |
: baseball. i don’t drink anymore though so that’s easy
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| 1:03 |
: You say you answer ?’s on Twitter, yet here I come, to ask a many times unanswered question. PLEASE ADVISE! You have Jose Fernandez ranked above David Price. Can you give your reasons why? It will be a choice I know I will have to make in my upcoming draft. PAUL HELP! EDUCATE US!
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| 1:03 |
: Man, you just refuse to speak about ranking Jose Fernandez higher than David Price. Is it really not a worthy question deserving of being answered?
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| 1:03 |
: Some of the questions you’re taking over why you ranked Jose Fernandez over David Price. Dude, really?
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| 1:03 |
: Do you stand by your SP rankings, Paul? If so, why is it impossible to get a question answered about why you ranked Jose Fernandez above David Price?
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| 1:03 |
: Baseball or Beer answered, but won’t answer why you chose Jose Fernandez over David Price? Bro, it’s a baseball chat
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| 1:04 |
: Maybe you haven’t asked enough.
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| 1:04 |
: Or maybe there just isn’t really enough separating them to spend too much time parsing the differences.
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| 1:05 |
: Or maybe you were just super-impatient and turned into a dick before I even saw the first of your five inquiries.
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| 1:05 |
: Biggest 2016 overpay other than Mr. K. Schwarber?
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| 1:05 |
: Sano
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| 1:05 |
: we want the vintage 3 hour marathon chat, Paul!
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| 1:05 |
: Unlikely today. Gotta get back on that SP Guide beat
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| 1:05 |
: In my league, Goldy and Votto are separated by about $24. Any reason why I’d take the former over the latter?
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| 1:05 |
: Not at that disparity, no
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| 1:05 |
: Crowded Tampa OF hurts Dickerson’s PT? Possible platoon with his splits?
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| 1:06 |
: That’s fair. He could lose some share v. LHP for sure, but he’ll still be strong side platoon at worst
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| 1:06 |
: CUBS RE-SIGNED FOWLER?!?!?!?!
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| 1:06 |
: I flipped Harvey for Sano in a 12 team OBP. Pretty fair trade?
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| 1:06 |
: It’s alright, espec. bc of OBP. I do prefer Harvey in ’16, though
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| 1:06 |
: why don’t you drink anymore?
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| 1:07 |
: Was afraid of getting a DUI bc I’d keep driving home in a state where I shouldn’t be driving. I was being an idiot and I didn’t wanna ruin any lives, namely mine, but also anyone else’s by doing something hella stupid
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| 1:08 |
: Minor league keep forever: Nomar Mazara, Orlando Arcia, Manuel Margot or Rafael Devers?
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| 1:08 |
: I think you put them in my order!
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| 1:08 |
: There is a 3 spot difference between Jose Fernandez and David Price. Two SPs in between them, who I can’t recall. There has to be something more than there is no difference between them, no?
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| 1:08 |
: Ya but you were a dick, so…
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| 1:08 |
: could you imagine someone coming late to chat and see this: “Eno Sarris: i don’t drink [beer] anymore” minds would be blown, questions left unanswered, the whole fabric of space and time would tear before our eyes
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| 1:08 |
: LOLOLOL
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| 1:09 |
: Fowler news has me floored!!!! Soler has to be traded this week…. right?? RIGHT??!??!?!?!?!
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| 1:09 |
: Just to add to the chorus, what does this mean for Schwarber/Soler? I have both of them in my keeper league right now.
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| 1:09 |
: O’s fan here – just floored by this Dexter Fowler development. That is all. Carry on.
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| 1:09 |
: With Fowler now landing back in Chicago, how do you project Hyun-Soo Kim? Leadoff for the Orioles could provide some nice counting stats with his OBP skills.
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| 1:10 |
: Just nuts all around on the Fowler news. I think it means the Cubs realize they shouldn’t BANK on Schwarber/Soler for a 600 PA season just yet; it bodes well for getting Kim back up in the lineup, too
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| 1:10 |
: Should the O’s go ahead and punt on Gallardo now and keep the draft picks?
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| 1:10 |
: they should’ve always done that, but i think it’s official w/YoGa now
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| 1:10 |
: If you had to guess, when do you think Shohei Otani is pitching in the majors?
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| 1:10 |
: I think you made up a person. I don’t know who that is.
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| 1:11 |
: Salazar or Polanco in a keep 7, standard 5×5 league. Keeping Bumgarner and Fernandez as SPs and Bautista, Sano, Springer as OFs
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| 1:11 |
: that’s really really really close. I’ll go Polanco since you have 2 aces already
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| 1:11 |
: Loved the piece today on FG about Carlos Rodon. Do you think he can carry over the impressive slider and take a big step in becoming a top level SP this year?
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| 1:12 |
: I’m a fan for sure. It might not all come together in ’16, but the fact that it could with such a high level talent has me betting on him in a few leagues
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| 1:12 |
: Hundley worth keeping at $9 in an NL only?
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| 1:12 |
: It’s borderline
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| 1:12 |
: Eno would have answered my questions by now… we tight
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| 1:12 |
: I probably just get way more questions than Eno so I can’t keep up 🙂
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| 1:13 |
: Am I crazy to badly want George Springer on my team this year? I just have the feeling he will break out. I had this feeling with Granderson in 2011, Harper last year, Goldy in 2013 and Altuve in 2014.
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| 1:13 |
: I don’t think you’re off base at all. I felt this way about Springer *last* year and it was coming to fruition, injury just slowed him
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| 1:13 |
: All other things being equal, who would you keep if you were playing for 2016 – Corey Dickerson or Byron Buxton?
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| 1:13 |
: Dickerson
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| 1:13 |
: What’s your take on Bryce Harper saying he’s not a leader on the Washington Nationals? Seems like a silly thing for an MVP to say, isn’t it?
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| 1:15 |
: Not necessarily. He is still v young and they have several leader-types on that club. Performance doesn’t dictate who leads, that’s just horseshit propped up by media and fans. It doesn’t really work that way on any team. Like Lucroy wasn’t a leader in 2014 and then ceded leadership to Khris Davis bc his OPS fell, ya know?
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| 1:15 |
: Give us a player comp to Purple Mtn Dew Kickstart
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| 1:16 |
: Brandon Belt. It’s good, I like it alright, I was pre-disposed to it (I love grape-anything; Belt went to my alam mater HOOK ‘EM!), but it could be better
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| 1:19 |
: Why did I re-sign with Chicago?!?
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| 1:19 |
: Bc you like winning?
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| 1:20 |
: that dui story was pretty dark sporer. really puts a damper on the big Aaron Brooks news
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| 1:20 |
: I didn’t GET one. I just wanted to avoid any. Or dying.
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| 1:20 |
: I’m not ANTI-drinking. I’m anti DRIVING after drinking
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| 1:20 |
: Do you forgive me?
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| 1:21 |
: Bro, you had a hand aneurysm, of course I do! I’m back on board for ’16. Gimme five! No, not the aneurysm hand, gross dude.
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| 1:21 |
: does fowler signing change your odds of drafting soler/schwarber/baez. I imagine they were already quite low but how far would you drop them?
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| 1:22 |
: I already wasn’t taking Schwarber at his silly cost, but yeah it bumps Soler/Baez down a little. But it’s a loooong season. Things happen.
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| 1:22 |
: Dom Brown to the Blue Jays….soooooo he’s the next Jose Bautista, no?
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| 1:22 |
: Def! LOL. I was among those preaching change of scenery as his fix, so let’s see….
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| 1:22 |
: Addison Russell 2016 slash?
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| 1:24 |
: .270/.350/.440 (I’m bad at this, but this feels good)
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| 1:24 |
: WHAT’S YOUR ADDRESS
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| 1:24 |
: :looks up Eno’s contact in phone:
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| 1:24 |
: ha. just saw this isn’t eno. makes so much more sense now.
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| 1:24 |
: Bc it’s been so much cooler in here? Word.
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| 1:25 |
: I don’t drink anymore either Paul, or any less!
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| 1:25 |
: OHHHHHHHHH!!!!!
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| 1:25 |
: Also, how’s your pup? She’s awesome!
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| 1:26 |
: She’s just being awesome and sleeping in the living room. Got the music p loud here in the office
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| 1:26 |
: Any pullback for Raisel Iglesias? Do you see any major obstacles to further growth for him?
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| 1:26 |
: My pullback is the increasing cost. Still love the talent.
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| 1:26 |
: Can you “parse” the difference in a trade of Sal Perez & Ketel Marte for Jung-ho Kang & Sean Manaea?
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| 1:27 |
: Really like that second side. I’m a big Manaea fan and loved what Kang did last year
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| 1:27 |
: Bud Selig will be my veep. Also…Hero…you’re fired.
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| 1:27 |
: Hey when do you think we see Kakie Bryan hit the show?
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| 1:27 |
: Another made up person!
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| 1:27 |
: You write about baseball and you don’t know who I am??? wutttttt
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| 1:28 |
: I’ve always been straightforward about my bandwidth kinda ending at Double-A. I focus really hard on MLB while also having a good idea of AAA/AA prospects. But I’m not great on foreign players or low minors. Sorry! great clip though
|
| 1:28 |
: What does Fowler acquisition do to Baez PT?
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| 1:28 |
: It doesn’t help it
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| 1:28 |
: What are the chances that Luke Gregerson closes?
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| 1:28 |
: 25%
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| 1:28 |
: Who is the great Paul Sarris taking at No. 4…that’s a yuuuuuggggggeeee pick.
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| 1:28 |
: Kershaw!
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| 1:29 |
: When I’m not striking everyone out with my 101 mph heater at 20 years old, I also play the outfield and ops over .800
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| 1:29 |
: Beast af!
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| 1:31 |
: Steamer projects Sonny Gray to have the 23rd best ERA for qualifying AL starters. Meanwhile, the Rotographs rankings amongst you writers have him averaging as the 11sth best AL starter. How would you explain the difference?
|
| 1:33 |
: I imagine Steamer is looking hard at those FIPs, which I get, but he also has 491 IP of a 2.88 ERA. Might just be better than his FIP totals
|
| 1:34 |
: Re: the Fern v. Price question – I ranked them 5 and 7 respectively. That was before Fern had an IP limit. Re: Price, I’m generally tepid on guys in year 1 of a huge contract w/a new team. Still had him 7th though
|
| 1:34 |
: How would you rank these AL catchers for 2016, standard league? Vogt, Wieters, Gomes, Swihart?
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| 1:34 |
: how far would he have to slip before you’d draft schwarber
|
| 1:34 |
: like the 8th round maybe
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| 1:34 |
: worst memory from your DUI arrest
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| 1:34 |
: I NEVER GOT A DUI LOL
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| 1:35 |
: What are your Tiger fan thoughts of Daniel Norris in 2016?
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| 1:35 |
: Potential stud. Likely doesn’t all come together in ’16, but upper-3.00s ERA with plenty of flashes of brilliance
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| 1:35 |
: 2 catcher 13 team league, Vogt and Hundley both $5. Should I toss em a contract?
|
| 1:35 |
: A contract beyond ’16? No. Sign me up for ’16, though
|
| 1:35 |
: KANG!!!!! 13 team mixed is it worth locking him down for $5?
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| 1:35 |
: Def!!
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| 1:35 |
: AJ Pollock was amazing last year. Which player do you think takes the “Pollock leap” this season? My guess is Gregory Polanco, who’s yours?
|
| 1:37 |
: That’s a good one! I’ll say Kevin Pillar.
|
| 1:38 |
: How many home runs for Addison Russel this year? Is he more valuable than Lindor?
|
| 1:39 |
: AL Only, 5×5: T. Walker or Rodon to keep at $7?
|
| 1:39 |
: Daaaang that’s close. Rodon by a touch
|
| 1:39 |
: So do the O’s get Austin Jackson now? Kinda hard to imagine rolling out a Rule 5 pick/Utility IF/Stitched together Nolan Reimold/Trumbo platoon in RF.
|
| 1:39 |
: that wouldn’t be a bad consolation. what a nightmare offseason for them, though
|
| 1:41 |
: What are your thoughts on Kevin Keirmaier for this year?
|
| 1:41 |
: I like him. I think there’s more in his bat. Not a TON more, but more. I also love guys who have spots guaranteed by great defense
|
| 1:41 |
: Will you be releasing your SP guide prior to your next DUI arrest?
|
| 1:41 |
: prob not. i’ll have to release it from jail
|
| 1:42 |
: do you get wifi in your jail cell for the DUI
|
| 1:42 |
: dial up! don’t drink & drive yall!
|
| 1:42 |
: but, there was a moment of a near dui somewhere. a trigger. we want to know!
|
| 1:42 |
: there really wasn’t a near-dui. there was a throwing up between my legs while driving in the early 20s and i’m like what is your life, dude?
|
| 1:42 |
: What is your biggest regret in life excluding your DUI arrest?
|
| 1:43 |
: my SECOND one
|
| 1:43 |
: Thanks for the window into how crazy chatters can get. You folks at FG are the real heroes!
|
| 1:43 |
: Correa extension looks like? 10 years, $500m?
|
| 1:43 |
: can’t even imagine
|
| 1:43 |
: it’d be bananas
|
| 1:43 |
: Ever been to Toronto?
|
| 1:43 |
: Only Windsor
|
| 1:43 |
: Wil Myers or Brandon Belt at $10? Which one, both, or neither?
|
| 1:44 |
: Belt, but both carry similar risk and upside. I’m in on Myers this year, but have Belt a touch higher
|
| 1:45 |
: How many HR for Xander this year? O/U 16.5?
|
| 1:45 |
: the ninth time i was arrested for drinking and driving, i had a vision that he’d hit 17 HR this year, so over.
|
| 1:45 |
: Settle a debate. I want to take AJ Reed in the draft before guys such as Berrios, Glasnow, Benetendi. My friend thinks I should disregard 2016 impact and take best player available. Thoughts?
|
| 1:46 |
: I lean closer to you where I focus on immediate production. I might take the SPs ahead of him, but Reed is a legit pick this year
|
| 1:46 |
: Dynasty, for life, forever: Correa or Harper, right here, right now.
|
| 1:46 |
: Harper
|
| 1:46 |
: Keeper conundrum: Donaldson in the 2nd round on Seager in the 25th? 5 year contracts, 1 round inflation
|
| 1:47 |
: Dang. That’s tough. If you’re competing this year, I think you gotta go Donaldson
|
| 1:47 |
: Re: keeper conundrum – that’s Corey Seager, not Kyle, in the 25th. Or Donaldson in the 2nd.
|
| 1:47 |
: we should chill
|
| 1:47 |
: bc I get lit so often?
|
| 1:47 |
: Could be worse Paul, DUI’s are nothing, try getting locked up for selling smack
|
| 1:47 |
: For those of you just joining us. I have 0 DUIs. Zero DUIs!
|
| 1:47 |
: Also, Kiké as a useful depth stash for a $1?
|
| 1:48 |
: Yes I heart him!
|
| 1:48 |
: With moderate inflation, is Mookie worth $35 in AL auctions?
|
| 1:48 |
: Ya went $39 in a 12-team AL-only of industry ppl hosted by CBS. I almost went $40
|
| 1:48 |
: How bad is my dog without me?
|
| 1:48 |
: p bad. did you re-sign with him for ’16?
|
| 1:48 |
: tell me some things about David Peralta…. good / bad/ indifferent? 16 team league…he a starting LF?
|
| 1:49 |
: good! merks righties like crazy, but can hang in there v. lhp if they let him. sneaky speed, too
|
| 1:49 |
: Cut my pay in half to enjoy my job more?
|
| 1:49 |
: that’s what I did when I started writing full-time. don’t regret it
|
| 1:49 |
: Pineda or Eovaldi in 2016 and why?
|
| 1:49 |
: Pineda has an edge. We’ve just seen more performance. He carries the injury risk (probably forever), but Eovaldi is on the rise. That splitter really came along last year.
|
| 1:49 |
: Have we seen the ceiling for Starling Marte?
|
| 1:50 |
: I’m inclined to say yes, but I don’t think he’s falling back much from it
|
| 1:51 |
: Forgive me if you answered this already. Can you explain why you guys were so hot on Buster Posey in LABR? It seems there are so many more counting stats to accumulate that early. Not trying to be a tool, just wondered.
|
| 1:52 |
: Not a tool at all! He’s not only a MAJOR advantage over the league based on his position, but he’s also REALLY good. his counting stats advantage v. the rest of C is > the difference Encarnacion and a 1B we’d have gotten a couple rounds later
|
| 1:52 |
: But how many smack arrests, Paul, why didn’t you answer THAT question??
|
| 1:52 |
: At 0 DUI’s, you’re not even at replacement level at drunk driving. Maybe you should switch to another position.
|
| 1:52 |
: fowler to the cubs. thoughts?
|
| 1:53 |
: Crazy stuff, magnum. They’re super-deep.
|
| 1:53 |
: How’d you get the DUI expunged from your record?
|
| 1:53 |
: My keepers, locked in, are Stanton and Schwarber. How upset am I right now?
|
| 1:53 |
: It’s OK. you should still be pretty happy with that power output even though I don’t love Schwarbz this year
|
| 1:53 |
: The first step of moving on from a DUI is to admit you had a DUI. Time to move past the denial stage, Paul
|
| 1:53 |
: Steven Matz or Patrick Corbin in a keeper league? Would be kept in the same position but have to pick 1
|
| 1:53 |
: Corbin
|
| 1:54 |
: after me, who’s got the best beard in the Major League of Baseball
|
| 1:54 |
: Your Cy Young counterpart in the AL
|
| 1:54 |
: So…Teheran for Soler and Hammel?
|
| 1:54 |
: that’d be interesting if they made a move, but Theo is out there saying no moves coming
|
| 1:55 |
: OK y’all just a couple more. really gotta get back to the SP Guide
|
| 1:55 |
: How much are you liking Starlin Castro in NY? I feel like there’s a lot of power potential there
|
| 1:55 |
: Agreed. I was pushing his power potential last year and it didn’t come to fruition, but I’m sticking with him. I don’t think anything happened last year that should make me severely change my stance and now his situation improved with NYY.
|
| 1:55 |
: Anyone know how the QO works for multiple years? Was curious in the fallout of the Fowler signing, can you QO a player twice? Take Wieters for example, can the O’s place a QO on him after this season?
|
| 1:56 |
: I don’t *think* so, but I honestly don’t know for sure. I imagine if they were subject to another QO, they wouldn’t have accepted them
|
| 1:56 |
: my celebrity-athlete doppelganger is Brandon Belt. No question, just wanted to share
|
| 1:56 |
: better hair: Sarris or Verajao ?
|
| 1:56 |
: Sarris!
|
| 1:57 |
: Odds Kakie Bryan signs before July 2??
|
| 1:57 |
: Y’all SERIOUSLY made up a player?!?
|
| 1:57 |
: Will you do a Podcast to go over the Guide after it’s released (like last year?) I loved it
|
| 1:57 |
: 100%
|
| 1:57 |
: Marcus Semien late seems like a good idea, no?
|
| 1:57 |
: 100%
|
| 1:57 |
: holy crap you’re still here?!?
|
| 1:57 |
: Yes!
|
| 1:57 |
: i asked you in a previous chat who you liked more, Iglesias or Severino, is your answer still Severino?
|
| 1:59 |
: I’ve shifted Iglesias ahead, but they’re in that 50-70 range where the differences are really faint. this year’s pitching pool is similar to last year’s where it just get to a point around 40 or so where the differences tighten and it becomes a lot of personal preference
|
| 1:59 |
: best tip for overcoming writer’s block, beyond getting a DUI
|
| 1:59 |
: watch some tv, relax a bit
|
| 1:59 |
: How can we get Kakie Bryan to appear at the top of player search instead of Jorge Posada?
|
| 2:00 |
: You dildos made me google Kakie Bryan, well done.
|
| 2:00 |
: Deshields or Billy Burns for a buck?
|
| 2:00 |
: Burns has a better hold on his PT, IMO
|
| 2:01 |
: I didn’t understand your answer to the Bryant for Cole/Thor question. Which side do you prefer?
|
| 2:01 |
: Myyyy b, it’s too much for Bryant
|
| 2:02 |
: Dexter Fowler or Wil Myers?
|
| 2:02 |
: Fowler, but I’d take Kakie Bryan over all of em
|
| 2:07 |
: I thought Kakie was more known for his defense, no?
|
| 2:08 |
: Any reason to believe that the Tigers will make the playoffs?
|
| 2:10 |
: I think they have a legitimate shot. The AL is REALLY tight so a lot of teams have a shot. Not Baltimore, though, lol
|
| 2:12 |
: OK y’all thanks for chatting. I gotta get back on the grind. I’ll be having regular chats during the season this year!!! Sporer out.
|
| 2:13 |
: Pick one: coffee or nap.
|
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
So, Eno doesnt drink, but has DUI’s. Gotcha