Pirates Make Their Largest Position Player Free Agent Signing in Franchise History

One day after boom-or-bust Japanese slugger Munetaka Murakami was officially introduced as a new member of the White Sox on a two-year, $34 million pact, FanSided’s Robert Murray reported that the Pirates have inked fellow left-handed first baseman Ryan O’Hearn to a two-year, $29 million deal.
This framing device will eventually lose its White Sox trappings, but they’re initially connected just because the South Siders were linked to O’Hearn early in the offseason, before they pivoted from a reliable and proven big leaguer to an attention-grabbing international signing. Murakami has a deeply volatile profile with significant bust potential, but a famed home run hitter and two-time MVP of NPB picking a relative MLB backwater is intriguing not only for beleaguered White Sox ticket sales employees, but also for outlets like this one that observe the league at large. How the talents of a legendary Japanese slugger with apparently bottom-of-the-scale contact ability translate to MLB is fascinating, whereas pondering whether a 32-year-old hit-over-power first baseman like O’Hearn can keep a later-career breakout going is more the usual fare. Even for the largest position player free agent signing in Pirates franchise history, O’Hearn is newsworthy mostly in terms of how well he might fill a short-term need for a role player.
Where these two moves line up again is that, within the cold lines of a spreadsheet, these could be fairly similar quality first base bats who received similar deals, despite their 15-spot disparity (12th vs. 27th) in the FanGraphs Top 50 free agents rankings. Steamer boiled down Murakami’s absurd NPB exploits into a 118 wRC+, 2.3 WAR projection, and sees O’Hearn following the past three years of above-average hitting with a 112 wRC+ and 1.1 WAR, where the large WAR discrepancy can be at least partially explained by playing time. From a more risk-averse perspective, O’Hearn has bettered his 2026 projections in each of his last three seasons, producing a 121 wRC+ and 6.1 WAR overall from 2023-25, and is a more reliable bet than the guy with Joey Gallo contact rates who has never played in MLB before. The new Pittsburgh first baseman is also just less marketable, and the disparity in fanfare is a helpful reminder that this is an entertainment product.
For where the White Sox will try to court Japanese baseball fans into watching more Chase Meidroth than they ever anticipated, the excitement for O’Hearn is more that it represents a sustained run of the Pittsburgh Pirates – yes, the Bob Nutting-owned Pittsburgh Pirates – doing things. Some things, at least.
O’Hearn’s reported agreement comes on the heels of Pittsburgh’s bringing in power-hitting second baseman Brandon Lowe and outfielder Jake Mangum in a three-team trade with the Rays and Astros, acquiring Jhostynxon Garcia, a 45+ FV prospect who is major league ready, in a swap with the Red Sox, and making an unsuccessful bid for Kyle Schwarber in free agency that, presumably, at least one or two people involved thought might actually work. At the very least, it showed Pittsburgh’s desire to add a proven bat for its own sake. And instead of Schwarber, O’Hearn wound up being the first multi-year free agent signing by the Pirates since Iván Nova’s three-year deal in 2016. With apologies to Lowe, who is coming off a 31-homer season and his second All-Star appearance, the Pirates still haven’t landed a big fish, but they have spent the last month swapping out players who can’t hit with two who can (Lowe and O’Hearn), one who might (Garcia), and one who might do a little bit of hitting and some other useful things (Mangum).
That’s a nice start, but probably still an insufficient one considering the context. Just this past year, the Pirates offense scored the fewest runs in all of baseball. The Rockies had a lower team wRC+, but you’d be surprised how little credibility claiming something is “better than the 2025 Rockies” buys from modern fanbases. Normally such a paucity of scoring would be enough of an emergency in its own right to merit a major offseason response, but scoring the fewest runs in the sport while Paul Skenes is double-dipping with a Cy Young Award and an ERA title in his first full season in the majors means every season from here on out is a fight to avoid wasting a generational talent until the day he leaves. And if Skenes does leave without a slew of playoff starts for the Pirates on his ledger, to say nothing of Bubba Chandler or the returning-from-injury Jared Jones, a Pittsburgh player development operation that has systemically failed to produce viable bats will shoulder a lot of the blame. And so while O’Hearn isn’t tasked with transforming a franchise’s offensive reputation all by himself – that’s top prospect infielder Konnor Griffin’s job – this isn’t the low stakes assignment for an over-30 hitter on a rebuilding team it might appear to be, and there are some challenges for him to maintain his recent form.
For a first baseman who went from looking to be on his way out of the league at age-28 to making an All-Star team at 31, O’Hearn’s operation at the plate doesn’t look that drastically different. He hasn’t activated a dormant elite tool so much as he’s just become proficient at a lot of little elements. He straightened up his posture at the plate during his time in Baltimore and installed a mechanism for starting his hand load earlier and in a more relaxed fashion, significantly improving his inner-half plate coverage. The alterations have enabled O’Hearn to quietly become one of the better fastball hitters in the league, as his .395 xwOBA against four-seamers this year was superior to all of his new Pittsburgh teammates save for Bryan Reynolds.
Despite that proclivity, O’Hearn’s breakout hasn’t been rooted in tapping into the 60-grade raw power of his prospect days. His 90th-percentile exit velocity of 103.1 mph this year was a tick below the major league average, and he launched only 17 home runs over his 544 plate appearances (both career highs). Instead, he largely makes his bones by spraying a lot of good — but not great — contact all over the yard. The aging curves post-age 32 are not friendly to hitters of pretty much any stripe, but if a fatal flaw emerges from O’Hearn’s bedrock of solid-but-unspectacular contact rates and swing decisions, it might be one that the incomplete nature of the Pirates position player crop accidentally exposes.
Almost strictly a platoon hitter up until 2025, O’Hearn hit .278/.358/.474 against southpaws in 109 plate appearances, but that strong performance is likely some combination of fool’s gold and a .358 BABIP. The influx of spin he sees against same-sided pitching spikes his chase rates into the 30s, and O’Hearn’s historical contact performance against breaking balls suggests a far more unstable route to viable production. He struck out 24.7% of the time against lefties this year, and as established, he doesn’t have standout power to counter his increased whiffs. Rather than a platoon partner, the current Pirates roster offers something closer to the other half of a 1B/DH pairing with fellow lefty Spencer Horwitz, whose finishing kick (.314/.419/.581 over his last 35 games) redeemed his first year in Pittsburgh, but he also has his own defensive limitations. While this author can only offer a novice understanding of Pirates lore and culture, it generally seems that despite current levels of uncertainty, the notion of franchise legend and noted right-handed swinger Andrew McCutchen’s returning to absorb some DH opportunities at age 39 can’t be dismissed until maybe a couple innings into the season opener.
Outfield work is an avenue to getting O’Hearn plate appearances if such a crunch emerges, as he’s played 20+ games in a corner in each of the past three seasons. But given his speed and arm limitations, it’s more of a safety valve for a late-August getaway day game where multiple regulars are hurting than a path to hidden value. Luckily for everyone, O’Hearn is coming off the strongest season of first base glove work of his career (+4 DRS, +6 OAA), which theoretically should clarify where he would be best used. But efficient usage of role players is one of the luxuries of having a complete roster, and the fact that the Pirates outfield had a collective 84 wRC+ this year doesn’t provide every assurance that they can ward off the temptation to stick their newly acquired established bat out there. Just drawing from the names already mentioned here: Lowe has played 110+ games only once over the past four seasons, García and Mangum swing at a lot of things, if not quite everything, and Horwitz is coming off an awful first half, so the prospect of the Pirates’ over-relying on O’Hearn before Griffin arrives and fixes the offense forever lies just beyond the horizon.
But stick O’Hearn at DH or at the defensive spot where he’s plus and line him up largely against right-handed pitchers — or simply fastball-reliant hurlers of either handedness because his tweaks have made him capable against lefty sinkers on his hands — and there’s a path to a 2-WAR season here. That’s a piece you can round out a strong roster with, but it might not be the paradigm-shifting statement of seriousness that one might expect given O’Hearn’s suddenly vaunted place in Pirates free agent history.
Hey, it’s something
Is it a deep part of Pirates’ lore and culture to know that Spencer Horwitz had wrist surgery last spring? It shouldn’t be because I think many shit on the Pirates last year because their main acquisition arrived injured. He didn’t play in the majors until May
I think the reason many shit on the pirates last year was because their main acquisition was spencer horwitz
I’d say the reason many shit on the Pirates last year was because their roster bore an uncanny resemblance to a toilet.
This title only states the facts and it is brutal.
I have some good news and bad news for Pirates fans. The good news is that they should score runs against right-handed pitching. The bad news is for when they face a left-handed pitcher.
Here are team splits from last year:
vs R: .235 / .308 / .354 triple slash line, 84 wRC+ (29th in MLB)
vs L: .220 / .295 / .340 triple slash line, 75 wRC+ (29th in MLB)
Here are the position players with any MLB experience they have acquired this offseason so far and their lines against right-handed pitching the last two years. For reference, there are 211 players with at least 550 PAs against right-handed pitching over two years, I’ll include where they would fall in the rank if they don’t meet that threshold. I’ll also throw in Horwitz, who was hurt for part of last year and they’ll get more of him this year.
Lowe: .261 / .324 / .502 triple slash, 130 wRC+ (37th in MLB)
O’Hearn: .272 / .353 / .433 triple slash, 124 wRC+ (55th in MLB)
Mangum: .304 / .340 / .380 triple slash, 102 wRC+ (about 130th in MLB)
Horwitz: .284 / .368 / .468 triple slash, 135 wRC+ (about 27th in MLB)
And now for their play against left-handed pitching. For reference, there are 209 players with at least 200 PAs against right-handed pitching over two years, I’ll include where they would fall in the rank if they don’t meet that threshold. I think I have to use O’Hearn’s career line here though, since he basically never plays against left-handed pitching (if he’s playing against left-handed pitching these days you can be sure that guy is not scary).
Lowe: .217/ .256/ .386 triple slash, 78 wRC+ (185th in MLB)
O’Hearn: .272 / .353 / .433 triple slash, 78 wRC+ (about 185th in MLB)
Mangum: .279 / .309 / .341 triple slash, 81 wRC+ (about 178th in MLB)
Horwitz: .191 / .288 / .261 triple slash, 61 wRC+ (about 200th in MLB)
Add in Bryan Reynolds–who for 2022-2024 ran about a wRC+ of 120 against right-handed pitching and about a 95 against left-handed pitching before reversing last year–and the Pirates are building a lineup that looks like it’s going to score runs against right-handed pitching. Not “runs” as in “two”, more like “between a 100 and 110 wRC+” level scoring.
Re-read your comment and deleted my reply
I kept thinking they needed to sign a right-handed bat like Okamoto to balance out their lineup a little bit, but IIRC teams typically face right-handed pitching about 75% of the time. So this could work out okay for them.
Konnor Griffin will arrive to balance things out a little bit, but for 2026 we have a team where if you rely heavily on right handed pitching you’re actually up against a competitive offense. The flip side of that is a team with lots of left-handed pitchers would wreck them just as badly as last year. This could lead to some pretty huge differences against different teams.
The Brewers wrecked them last year, but their whole rotation is right-handed, so they’d probably pull their starters as soon as they see trouble and trot out Ashby / Koenig / Zerpa / Zastryzny, which would work for one game, but not over a whole series. This could lead to some weird stuff. You could see teams stacking up on optionable left-handed pitching just for the Pirates. Sammy Peralta and Tate Kuehner could spend most of the season in the minors, coming up only to pitch against the Pirates.
But they’re going to get totally hosed against the Cubs. They’d get to face some set of Boyd, Imanaga, and Steele. Could get even better if they sign Framber Valdez or Ranger Suarez. You could see NL Central teams show a renewed interest in Justin Wilson and Danny Coulombe.
But then again they were going to get killed against the Cubs anyway. Maybe the Pirates should lean into this. See if they can trade for Ronny Mauricio too so they only have to play one of Gonzales or Triolo against right handed pitching. Could demote Mangum to 4th outfielder if they could trade for Evan Carter or Wilyer Abreu or Lars Nootbaar or even Luke Raley. They could also do the ultimate crazy thing and try to trade Bubba Chandler / Florentino / Yorke others for Corey Seager. Just put a whole lineup out there of teams that destroy right handed pitching.
I think you’ve hit the main points. When will Griffin show up? How will he hit as a rookie? Triolo hits LHP well, but not RHP. O’Hearn no longer shows the big splits of yesteryear. If the Bucs do not sign Okamoto, then some of the other options must be in play.
And there’s also Oneil Cruz.
Yeah, this is what got me thinking about it. Oneil Cruz had huge splits the last time I looked. It has to be less than that now because it was like Ronny Mauricio-level splits then and you can’t get worse than that. Nowhere to go but up.
But I assume he’ll play about the same amount this year as he did last year.
So you’re saying there’s a chance…… YES!
Even more than that. I’m saying that the team *should* have something between an average and above average offense about 65-75% of the time. That’s a huge deal considering what they did last year.
But you will still need to avert your eyes against left handed pitching.
There’s no way this would happen but, I’d try to get Buxton to waive his no trade clause and work out a package there. He’s a great fit. On a smaller scale…Ernie Clement?
I don’t think the Blue Jays are in the mood to trade one of their two biggest feel-good stories from last year, nor Addison Barger who might be third. And who also would be a fantastic fit.
The Pirates have taken a slightly different road than the one I would have picked, which was to trade basically every prospect with an ETA after 2026 for good players with 4 or 5 years of team control. Except for Bubba Chandler and Konnor Griffin, they can swap places. The Rangers seem awfully attached to Wyatt Langford and the asking price on Ketel Marte is high enough they might not have been able to meet it without trading from the MLB roster. But the Cardinals and Rays are led by teams that are always willing to shake things up so they should have made stupid offers for Masyn Winn and Junior Caminero and seen if they could have made it work.
This approach is way more conservative than that, and I don’t think it’s as good, but since almost every time Cherington makes a trade it’s a disaster I can’t say it would have worked out better. And it seems clear that ownership has jerked them back towards a more immediate timeframe after the Bednar trade, which somehow looks even worse now that they’re actually trying to win games in 2026 and 2027.
But the short term strategy isn’t going to work either, because it isn’t likely that they’re going to get the level of free agent that they need to sign with them, because they’re the Pirates. If they rolled up and offered Tucker $400M tomorrow, would he accept? He might, but I’d put it slightly south of 50/50. They could get JJ Bleday or Andy Ibanez or maybe even Harrison Bader, but that doesn’t leave a lot of room to work with. Even Eugenio Suarez–who would be a good fit for this team–feels like a stretch.
I think probably their best bet is to trade for expensive veterans without no-trade clauses who won’t cost much or anything in terms of prospects and might even get bought down, like Tyler O’Neill and Travis d’Arnaud. But there aren’t a lot of those guys out there anymore, and so many of the remaining ones are in first basemen or should be DH-only. And they’ve filled those spots up.
Clement is a great story, but he’s also got some similarities to Mangum (late bloomer, contact over power, good defense) that doesn’t cost a ton in the trade market. Furthermore, if Toronto signs either Bregman or Tucker, that could make him (or Barger) a luxury. Given Cherington’s history with Toronto, I wouldn’t be surprised if he tried to fill 3B with either one.
Currently, only Jared Triolo and Jack Brannigan are the only players on the 40 man who can play the left side of the infield. Gonzales played there last season, but he’s really a “break glass in case of emergency shortstop.” Griffin is on the horizon to help fix this issue, but he won’t be there at the start of 2026.
There’s a lot about the road the Pirates are on that doesn’t make much sense, and much of it looks like job preservation on Cherington’s part. At the simplest level, I’m glad they’re making improvements to the lineup, even if the positional fits are somewhat awkward. His trade record is abysmal, with the Bednar deal highlighting this failure; he all but publicly admitted they took a lesser package and went volume over value compared to other offers. I wouldn’t have extended Bednar or anything, but this 2026 looks better with him in the bullpen.
As for maximizing the Skenes window, I’m with you. If I was given orders to compete fairly immediately or I’d be sacked, any prospect below AA would have been available. Maybe that’s only Florentino and Hernandez who move the needle, but to a rebuilding team with some big league assets (Colorado, St. Louis, Tampa), both of those prospects would be enticing.
These moves the last week are intriguing and make the team better. At the same time, they still need to do more.
I wish the best for O’Hearn and Pirates fans. They have suffered too long. It would be great for them to have an out-of-nowhere playoff appearance.
They must really hate Murakami
Seems like that would be a point in Murakami’s favor tbh
Are the White Sox a better choice?
Offensively yes
This also hopefully means that we don’t have to see Jack Suwinski ever be the DH this year. That upgrade alone is probably worth 2-3 WAR, depending on the projection system you prefer. It would be great if they could find someone to man 3rd as well (I know that’s unlikely). Triolo really needs to be a utility player only. His bat should be illegal (in a bad way). Eugenio would make this lineup look a lot better, and I don’t even really like Suarez.
I think if the Pirates make the post season they may spend again next year.