The Blue Jays Need Maicer Izturis To Be Useful
The Blue Jays have new players up and down their lineup — Russell Martin, Justin Smoak, Josh Donaldson, Michael Saunders, Devon Travis, etc. Dalton Pompey basically qualifies here as well. But one incumbent player may end up being just as, if not more, important than all of the new acquisitions — middle infielder Maicer Izturis.
Signed early in free agency after the 2012 season, Izturis hasn’t really done what the Blue Jays had hoped he would in a Toronto uniform. He was, by WAR, the worst position player in the game in 2013, and then he missed all but 11 games in 2014. Ankle and knee injuries were culprits, though the ankle injury in 2013 may not explain the near-career low walk rate and career-low pitches per plate appearance. Either way, Izturis hasn’t gotten good results for awhile.
That is going to need to change this season. Last season, the Blue Jays second basemen were 98 Brett Lawrie plate appearances away from being one of the very worst in the American League. With Lawrie off to greener/golder pastures this season, he’s not going to be saving Toronto’s keystone this year. The job is an open competition, but they need Izturis to be the player he was in Anaheim — that .320 to .350 on-base percentage guy. Steve Tolleson had some good batting average on balls in play action last season, and even that didn’t get him up to average offensively. And Ryan Goins would have killed to be Steve Tolleson. It’s hard for a middle infielder to be plus defensively and still be a sub-replacement player, but Goins and his 26 wRC+ pulled it off. There’s also Ramon Santiago, but he also sports a sub-.300 career wOBA.
Then there’s Devon Travis. Travis could very well be on the verge of a breakout season, but he’s got to get the chance to play first. While he could break camp with the big club, the expectation is that he’ll instead get his first taste of Triple-A ball. That will leave Izturis in the pole position at second for the early part of the season, perhaps as much as the entire first half. If he, or Goins/Santiago/Tolleson, is rocking a sub-.300 wOBA for nearly half the season, it’s going to put a damper on the Jays’ newly assembled offense.
It’s not just second base where Izturis may be pivotal. In a radio interview the other day (listen around four-minute mark), head alliterative power Alex Anthopolous said that the team would ideally keep Jose Reyes on the bench on day games after night games on turf. I was curious to see how many games this was. There are 16-19 of them, depending on your point of view. Here are 17 sets of games, with the first game being a 7 p.m. start and the second being a 1 p.m., or earlier, start:
| Blue Jays, 2015 Days After Nights on Turf |
|---|
| Night Game | Day Game | Opponent |
| 17-Apr | 18-Apr | ATL |
| 25-Apr | 26-Apr | tb |
| 8-May | 9-May | BOS |
| 22-May | 23-May | SEA |
| 5-Jun | 6-Jun | HOU |
| 9-Jun | 10-Jun | MIA |
| 19-Jun | 20-Jun | BAL |
| 23-Jun | 24-Jun | tb |
| 26-Jun | 27-Jun | TEX |
| 30-Jun | 1-Jul | BOS |
| 17-Jul | 18-Jul | TB |
| 31-Jul | 1-Aug | KC |
| 12-Aug | 13-Aug | OAK |
| 14-Aug | 15-Aug | NYY |
| 28-Aug | 29-Aug | DET |
| 4-Sep | 5-Sep | BAL |
| 25-Sep | 26-Sep | TB |
I said 16 and not 17 above, because the July 17-18 set is in the first series after the All-Star break, so Reyes may not need the blow at that time. There are two more sets of dates not listed above as well. On Sept. 18, the team plays at 7 pm against the Red Sox, and the next day they play them again at 4 pm. Now, that is technically a day game, but it is sort of in that gray area, and that series figures to be important. Then, the penultimate game of the season is a 6 pm start, and is followed by a 3 pm start in the final affair down in Tampa. Again, if the Blue Jays are in it, this might be an important set of games.
So, conservatively we’ll say 16 games where Reyes is ideally on the bench. From Toronto’s perspective, it is likely that those are the only 16 games that they would have Reyes sit in a perfect world. But our world is rarely perfect, and if Reyes misses time in addition to these prescribed days off, he might only get into 120-130 games this season. And the man left in the middle will likely be Izturis. In five of the six seasons from 2008-2013, Izturis suited up at shortstop at least 15 times, including 28 times in his first season north of the border (18 starts).
There is a chance that Jose Reyes plays the full season at perfect health, and only needs a day off here or there. There is a chance that Devon Travis wows the team in spring training and is the starter from jump street, and never looks back. But there is a bigger chance that Maicer Izturis is going to see plenty of action this season at both middle infield positions, and after a season down and then a season out, it’s hard to know what to expect from the Venezuelan native. But his production is likely to be an under-the-radar key to Toronto’s season.
Paul Swydan used to be the managing editor of The Hardball Times, a writer and editor for FanGraphs and a writer for Boston.com and The Boston Globe. Now, he owns The Silver Unicorn Bookstore, an independent bookstore in Acton, Mass. Follow him on Twitter @Swydan. Follow the store @SilUnicornActon.
Ughh
Whoever fills in at LF will alos be key now that Saunders is lost for half the season… Heres praying that Dirks is healthy and can be productive…
still don’t get how a meniscus tear gets a 4-6 month timeline.
that’s usually a 4-6 WEEK timeline.
All-Star break in 4 1/2 months. That’s worst case estimate. If the meniscus is repaired, it takes longer than if it’s just trimmed up a bit.
The issue is whether they repair or remove the meniscus. If removed, it’s 4-6 weeks, but the joint will wear faster. This can lead to more injuries down the road, and often really serious arthritis later in life. Athletes often do it anyways because of the quicker timeline. Saunders opted for a repair, which is slower but has better longterm outcomes and will likely improve his post-baseball quality of life. As a Jays fan, I hate to lose him but can’t say I blame him at all.
As I understand it, you have two options: repair or removal. If you remove, it’s a 4 to 6 week recovery. If you repair, it’s 4-6 months recovery. The problem with removal is that you hugely increase the chance of arthritis and other problems in the knee later in life.
Dwayne Wade is an example of why you might want to choose repair instead of removal, if that option is available. He’s now dealing with a semi-functional knee. He’s not nearly the player he was and he’s now saying he should have chosen repair.
/Not a doctor; nor do I play one on TV
thx guys. that explains it.
Just FYI, Saunders opted for the removal route. He’s expected back by the end of April.
apparently the damage ended up dictsting removal anyways.
Wouldn’t it be nice if we got the Macier Izturis that played for LA?
No mention of Kawasaki? If you combine his WAR totals from the past two seasons of part-time play, he gets you a middle-of-the-pack second baseman, which is all they really need.
last 3 seasons:
vRHP
M.Kawsaki 552pa, 77wrc+
M.Izturis 535pa, 77wrc+
R.Goins 228pa, 45wrc+
S.Tolleson 83pa, -6wrc+
vLHP
S.Tolleson 182pa, 113wrc+
M.Izturis 221pa, 59wrc+
M.Kawasaki 126pa, 41wrc+
R.Goins 82pa, 25wrc+
and with the SSS caveat…
UZR/150 @2B
R.Goins 658.1in, +17.3
M.Kawasaki 610.1in, -0.8
M.Izturis 681.0in, -5.2
S.Tolleson 271.1in, -12.1
UZR/150 @SS
Goins 96.0in, +33.3
Kawasaki 731.2in, +1.9
Tolleson 8.0in, -1.8
Izturis 365.2in, -36.0
gotta agree with you here.
best option if Travis can’t hack it sure seems to be a Kawasaki/Tolleson platoon at 2B with kawasaki backing up SS.
Izturis looked like toast even before injury. I don’t like his chances at all now after a major injury like this at hia age. its likely best to just cut bait on him before the season starts.
but it sure would be nice if Travis can hack it.
We might need him, we might not.
In general, I’m just hoping for the best this year. A singles hitter with limited range defensively who is getting old by baseball standards, and never had speed to begin with, is a far cry from Robbie Alomar. Hopefully the year off helped rejuvenate him; I have high hopes for Devon Travis though, loved that trade, as well as most of the moves we’ve made so far. We’re due!
Sanchez and Stroman for Lough and Schoop.
Yuck.
I’ve read that the plan is to play Izturis at the start and hope Devon “he of two first names” Travis is ready to go in the middle.
My dream plan is to trade for Tulo without having to give up the entire farm and hope Reyes can handle 2B or LF. Don’t you just love dreams like that?
unlike the red sox, the jays have a lot of players coming off great years last year, and since we know that the last year of a player’s career is far and away the most important in projecting the next season, we can safely say that the jays are the easy al east favorites coming into 2015:
guys like smoak, izturis, travis, and pompey who contributed nothing will take huge steps forward this year and everyone else who had good years in 2014 can be expected to maintain their performances
any sort of “projection” system which says that josh donaldson won’t put up 6.3 war, jose bautista won’t put up 6.3 war, russell martin won’t put up 5.3 war, and edwin encarnacion won’t put up 3.6 war is heavily biased against the blue jays
statistics show that the previous years’ performance accurately projects the current year to 90% accuracy, so the blue jays should be in great shape this year. smoak doesn’t count because he’s leaving a pitcher’s park, izturis doesn’t count because he was mis-used, and pompey and sanchez are top prospects so they’ll be good for at least 2 war
actually, none of the jays are coming off years any better than what they’ve done before.
what are you talking about?
the only real issue with the projections for the jays, btw, is their inability to understand how dickey and buehrle are effective. they’re largely blind to the knuckler and they can never get buehrle right. other than that they seem reasonable.
though I guess I’m more bullish on the kids (stro/hutch/pompey) then they are, but that may just be homerism on my part….as unlikely as that sounds.
everdiso at 4:02 and 4:13 aint me
its not the worst troll but you can spot the fake because he admits homerism and tries to claim that the projection systems can’t map a certain pitch type and that mark buehrle has a special ability to beat the projection systems
!m ton si evoba ro tnemmoc ehT
Hey guys.
I’ve figured it ALL out.
The Jays haven’t traded Navarro because they Jays are going to play Martin at Shortstop to spell Reyes.
Remember when he wanted to play Shortstop for team Canada?
Epic Solution go!
Jays need to bring back Deck Mcguire so they can package him with Drabek and Ricky Romero Cleveland for Jason Kipnis and Lindor.
“Greener/golder pastures” — nice. Though I was sure that North of the Border link was going to take me to a “Canadian Bacon” excerpt (or possibly an Alec Baldwin / John Cho “30 Rock” clip).