The Cubs Got Back to Being the Cubs

When a team makes it to the World Series, it’s probably best that they– hold on. Let me re-start that. When a team has one of the best regular seasons in major league history and then goes on to make it to the World Series, it’s probably best that that team continues playing in a similar fashion to the way they played up until that point. That is, if they’re interested in capitalizing on that regular season by winning the World Series. The Cubs are very interested in that proposition.

All along, of course, these Cubs have been interested, but through the first four games of this World Series, we didn’t see as much of the regular season Cubs as we expected. The world-beating Cubs. We certainly didn’t see those Cubs in Games Three and Four at Wrigley, when Cleveland pushed Chicago’s backs to the wall by outscoring them 8-3 in two games on their home turf to take a 3-1 series lead. But in Game Five’s potential Cleveland clincher, Chicago’s last home game of the year, they gave their fans one last taste of what their historical season looked like, whether that history is rewarded with a World Series victory or not.

These Cubs all year played defense. That defense, along with their pitching staff, turned balls in play into outs as well as most any team in baseball history. Saturday’s Game Four loss featured two errors, and they led to early runs. The night before, the game’s only run came on a ball that dropped feet in front of Jorge Soler and was preceded by a wild pitch that put the go-ahead run 90 feet away from home. The Cubs looked sloppy in their losses, and the Cubs haven’t looked sloppy all year.

The Cubs went back to not being sloppy in Sunday’s 3-2 win. Let’s take a trip around the diamond.

For as much that gets made about Jon Lester and holding baserunners, it’s actually pretty tough to steal off him and battery-mate David Ross. Ask Francisco Lindor, who’s learned that the hard way not once, but twice this series.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.

This is all just so Cubsy. You see Lester staring down a runner who’s practically standing over second base already, and he doesn’t do a dang thing about it. Except for deliver the ball home in about 1.2 seconds to David Ross, who gets it to second in a remarkable 1.7 seconds. And then there’s Javier Baez, who’s probably responsible for shaving two-tenths of a second off Ross’ already elite pop time by doing Baez things: positioning himself in front of the bag — whereas most second baseman would wait on top of it — to get the ball into his glove faster, and then letting the ball travel into his glove, as his glove travels into Lindor.

All three parties here deserve credit for their remarkable parts in this caught stealing, which was huge, by the way. Lindor represented the tying run in Jon Lester’s final inning with Cleveland’s best hitter against left-handed pitching at the plate, with formidable bats in Carlos Santana and Jose Ramirez waiting after him. Two-tenths of a second more by anyone involved — Lester in his delivery, Ross in his exchange, Baez with his positioning and application — and the tying run is scoring on a single. Instead, Napoli led off the next inning with the bases empty against a hard-throwing righty.

That’s three Cubs players who contributed defensively. Let’s keep moving around the infield.

That’s Jose Ramirez busting ass down the line on a ball that’s an infield hit more often than it’s not, runners on the corners with no outs down two more often than not, that instead turned into runner-on-third-one-out-and-this-inning-ended-up-being-scoreless because Addison Russell improvised with his arm slot and showed David Ross that he’s not the only one with an elite pop time. And with all that Russell did, we’re back to runners on the corners with no outs down two, and probably worse, if not for Rizzo’s pick, one of the little things he does consistently that make him an elite defensive first baseman even without the flashy diving plays and catches made while climbing over the tarp.

Speaking of which, let’s move on over to third.

That ball came off Brandon Guyer‘s bat at 95 mph, right down the line. That ball went right into Kris Bryant’s glove, as he dove into foul territory. That ball went right into Rizzo’s glove, as he stretched and scooped. The scoops, man. The scoops.

Hey, Jason Heyward played.

Yeah, turns out he didn’t have to climb the wall. Under normal circumstances, this could’ve been a routine catch. Not normal circumstances, though. It was another windy night in Chicago. If any right fielder knows how to read a ball off a bat, it’s Jason Heyward, and the read off this bat was one row foul, within reach. The wind brought it back three row’s lengths toward the field, and Heyward adjusted in a way that few other right fielders would.

Even Ben Zobrist was making sneaky good plays in left:

That’s the kind of play that usually doesn’t get appreciated in real time by viewers, but goes a long way within a dugout and within a clubhouse.

“Don’t understatement how important that play was that Zobrist made keeping that a single,” manager Joe Maddon said. “A lot of times that would have turned into a double. That was a great play by Zo. Eventually we kept them from scoring.”

That’s every player but the center fielder contributing something “plus” in a one-run World Series win. I’m a big fan of the term “run prevention unit,” because as much as a Gold Glove Award insinuates the pinnacle of defensive achievement as being an individual task, defense is often played on the team-level, which isn’t always apparent in the game of baseball. On Sunday night, the Cubs played team defense. Three men played crucial roles in a crucial caught stealing. A first baseman helped ensure two fantastic plays actually turn into outs. How often do you see the diving play that should’ve been out, if only? For the Cubs, the should’ve been outs become outs. The Cubs played team defense.

Hell, they even used two guys to catch a pop fly:

The return to status quo didn’t just occur in the field. It occurred at the plate. The Cubs chased, uncharacteristically, throughout the first four games of this series. During the regular season, they ran one of baseball’s lowest team chase rates. According to BaseballSavant, they offered at 31% of pitches outside the strike zone. In the first four games, that rate spiked by 30%, helping lead to their lowest four-game stretch of run production all season.

And, while Javier Baez has reminded us all that he’s still very much an incomplete package with his plate discipline in this series, Kris Bryant got back to laying off the low-and-away breaking pitch and had himself a game:

chart4

Ben Zobrist was flawless:

chart5

The Cubs chased just 28% of Cleveland’s offerings outside of the zone, getting back under their elite season total.

And then they pitched, too. Lester Lester’d, and the back-end of the bullpen shut the door with three dominant innings the way they did for much of the regular season, except this time, it was just all Aroldis Chapman. That’s the one way the Cubs didn’t look like themselves on Sunday night, but for Cubs fans, that was a deviation from the norm that was finally welcome.

The Cubs now head back to Cleveland, fresh off a reminder of why they were the best team in baseball. Are the best team in baseball. The deficit is still very real, and the Indians are still very much favorites in the series. The Cubs remain the team most likely to play the closest thing to a perfect game of baseball. And perfect isn’t even required to win two more games.





August used to cover the Indians for MLB and ohio.com, but now he's here and thinks writing these in the third person is weird. So you can reach me on Twitter @AugustFG_ or e-mail at august.fagerstrom@fangraphs.com.

27 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
tribefan87
9 years ago

And yet, CLE still outplayed CHC and had several opportunities to win this game. We’ll see if the cubs remain so patient and disciplined against a guy whose ability to throw strike they have to respect

Come Down Easy
9 years ago
Reply to  tribefan87

So CHC had less errors and more hits, walks, and stolen bases than CLE but they were outplayed? Explain yourself tribefan87, or is the explanation your user name?

tribefan87
9 years ago
Reply to  Come Down Easy

Well, it might have something to do with the fact that CHC managed only two hits and three BBs outside the 4th inning. It might also have something to do with the fact that CLE put 4 runners in scoring position after the 4th inning and got only 1 run out of it. I want to say CLE twice had a runner on 3d with one out and couldn’t manage to get him home. In contrast, CHC put just three runers in scoring position after the 4th. It might also have something to do with the 14 Ks CLE pitchers recorded on the evening.

I’m not implying, and never did, that CLE was vastly superior. It was a fairly even contest, but I would give the nod to CLE because they put themselves in better positions to score. I was surprised to see Bauer get the leash he did; I anticipated the bullpen being up and ready for the entire game once JRam put us on the board. One poor inning, missed opportunities, and a few questionable caught-looking Ks was the difference last night.

johnforthegiants
9 years ago
Reply to  tribefan87

The cubs have shown repeatedly in the postseason that they can remain patient and disciplined even against pitchers who throw the ball down the middle of the plate. How do you think they’be gotten shut out 4 times in the last 10 games?

jhalpin23
9 years ago

“This is where I choose to die”
-johnforthegiants standing on a hill

johnforthegiants
9 years ago
Reply to  tribefan87

The Cubs have shown repeatedly in the postseason that they can be patient and disciplined even against pitchers who are throwing strikes down the middle of the plate. How to you think they’ve gotten shut out in 4 of the last 10 games?

jhalpin23
9 years ago

“This is where I choose to die”
-johnforthegiants standing on a hill

Jetsy Extrano
9 years ago

Running A/B experiments on thumbs-up/down response to typos?

tribefan87
9 years ago

ComeDownEasy, I base my comment on the following: CHC had one good inning; really, three good abs in that inning. Outside of that, they managed 2 hits and three BBs. They also only managed to place three runners in scoring position after that 4th inning. CHC also struck out 14 times on the evening. CLE put four runners in scoring position after the 4th inning, only cashing in once. I want to say that CLE twice had a runner on 3D with one out (I know that was the case at least once). CLE played their game, they just had one bad inning.

I’m not saying CLE was head and shoulders better. But I give them the nod because they applied pressure more consistently and put themselves in position to score more often than CHC did. One bad inning, a favorable K zone to Lester on a few key pitches, and some better situational hitting with RISP, and it’s a different game.

374285942768
9 years ago
Reply to  tribefan87

you give them the nod because youre a fan of them. your argument that cleveland deserved a win because they had one whole more baserunner in scoring position than the cubs did after the 4th is a fringe argument at best,

jiveballer
9 years ago
Reply to  tribefan87

Cleveland can complain about the strike zone when they give back the egregious strike 3 calls against the likely NL MVP.

DKH
9 years ago
Reply to  jiveballer

Do you want to point out some particular at bat? Brooks shows the called third strike to Bryant yesterday being right down the middle, just above the knees. And, I mean,

http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/cache/numlocation.php-pitchSel=458708&game=gid_2016_10_28_clemlb_chnmlb_1&batterX=27&innings=yyyyyyyyy&sp_type=1&s_type=3&league=mlb&pnf=&zlpo=&cache=1.gif

Max Power
9 years ago
Reply to  jiveballer

DKH, good analysis, but I don’t think you’re properly accounting that data and computers and facts are rigged against the Cubs. So unfair.

Max Power
9 years ago

I saw 3 things that lost the Indians the game other than executing pitches or at-bats. The first was Ross’ sac-fly. Sure, they got out of bases-loaded 1 out with only 1 run, but threw him like 6 straight fastballs when Bauer’s curveball looked much better last night. Poor decision. But the other two were egregious called strikes with a runner on 3rd, Lester vs. Guyer and Chapman vs. Lindor. The Cubs played a great game, but I would have much rather watched a version of the game without two of the best pitchers in the league getting a foot off the plate.

OtterMember since 2016
9 years ago
Reply to  Max Power

The Guyer strikeout was a really bad call.

From what I’ve seen, Chapman had the plate when he strike out Lindor. Not sure what Lindor was looking for/at there.

Max Power
9 years ago
Reply to  Otter

I only know for a fact the first called strike on the slider was not a strike, haven’t checked the other ones.

jiveballer
9 years ago
Reply to  Max Power

Hey I wish they could give back the gross strike 3 calls against Kris Bryant throughout the series… that would be awesome. Cleveland pitching has had most close calls in their favor and plenty of outright bad ones, too.

jhalpin23
9 years ago
Reply to  Max Power

The Chapman to Lindor pitch was very easily a strike not really even borderline. The Lester to Guyer pitch was definitely more questionable but Bryant got called out on an equally bad call later in the game. Umpires did not decide this game.

Max Power
9 years ago
Reply to  jhalpin23

Funny, there’s data on this very subject that shows Bryant’s K vs. Allen (I think that’s the one you’re referring to) that’s in the zone. The zones aren’t perfect in regards to height, but as Bryant is 6’5”, from an empirical standpoint, it seems that this is very incorrect

kevinthecomic
9 years ago

“Instead, Napoli led off the next inning with the bases-loaded against a hard-throwing righty.” — how do you lead off an inning with the bases already loaded?

Dave TMember since 2025
9 years ago

“The night before, the game’s only run came on a ball that dropped feet in front of Jorge Soler”

Baseball Savant shows an xBA of 1.000 on that Crisp single, so I don’t buy the implication that hit reflected some sort of defensive failing by the Cubs.

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/gamefeed?game_pk=487633&type=exit_velocity&chart_view=pitch&chart_type=sbp&inning=&count=&batter_hand=&pitcher_hand=&filter=

Elsewhere and Otherwise
9 years ago

This is going to make me sound like an eight year old, but I can’t say that that isn’t too far from the truth,…

Anthony Rizzo, as far as I am concerned, is a superhero. He digs, he dives, he catches the ball on the field, in the stands, and atop giant boxes of Reynolds Wrap. He leads the Cubs every day, visits children with cancer every month, and apologizes to umpires whenever he should.

Plus he hits dingers, beautiful and majestic dingers that seem to sail through the dimly lit sky over Wrigley Field forever, until they land on the head of who I can only assume is Al Yellon.

Okay, admittedly I took that a bit too far. Really only the part about Al makes me out to be eight years old…

shadowpawn
9 years ago

Also he was diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma in 08. Just sayin’

Elsewhere and Otherwise
9 years ago
Reply to  shadowpawn

I included the visits, but you’re right, I left out *why* he visits.

Elsewhere and Otherwise
9 years ago
Reply to  shadowpawn

Oh, did I mention that he hits dingers, too? Beautiful and majestic left-handed dingers…