The Remaining Path Forward for Minor-League Players
Much digital ink has been spilt regarding the plight of minor-league baseball players. Dating back to the filing of the first minor-league wage lawsuit in back 2014, countless pieces have been written denouncing Major League Baseball for paying minor-league players a sub-minimum wage. Indeed, the optics of an organization that generates $10 billion dollars per year in revenues electively deciding to pay thousands of its full-time employees at below a subsistence level is — needless to say — not great.
So it was not surprising that the news that Congress appears posed to officially exclude minor leaguers from (at least some of) the protections afforded under federal wage and hour laws resulted in an immediate wave of outcry by numerous commentators. Specifically, as Sheryl Ring discussed earlier in the week, news reports emerged on Sunday night that, after years of persistent lobbying efforts, MLB was posed to succeed in persuading Congress to include a provision in its omnibus spending bill that would exempt minor-league players from Fair Labor Standards Act, the federal law establishing the minimum wage and overtime rules that millions of Americans take for granted.
On Wednesday night, the actual language of the provision that Congress would be voting on was released:
The continued underpayment of minor league baseball players is nearly law. On Page 1,967 of the new omnibus bill is an amendment that exempts minor league players from federal labor law. If Congress passes the bill by Friday, it's official. The language: https://t.co/oNXzB8iud4 pic.twitter.com/102mGFD3Mj
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) March 22, 2018
In some respects, the specific legislative language is better than critics had anticipated. Rather than entirely excluding minor leaguers from the right to the minimum wage — as had originally been feared — the provision’s focus was actually a bit narrower. Instead, it simply provides that minor league players are not entitled to overtime benefits when working more than 40 hours in a week, so long as they are otherwise paid a weekly salary compliant with the federal minimum wage (at least during baseball’s regular season). In other words, the exemption doesn’t deprive players of the right to the minimum wage, just to overtime compensation.
Moreover, the provision also does not directly undercut the ongoing litigation over minor-league wages. Because the provision will only take effect once signed into law, MLB remains potentially liable legally for its prior failure to pay minor leaguers the minimum wage or overtime.
That having been said, this language — assuming it is passed and signed into law on Friday, of course — still isn’t great from the perspective of minor-league players. Players will continue not to be paid for spring training, extended spring training, or (presumably) fall instructional leagues — nor for any offseason training work in which they participate.
And despite not directly preempting the current minor-league wage litigation, the new provision will nevertheless complicate efforts to achieve reform via the courts. Indeed, much of the potential leverage that the plaintiffs had over MLB in the current lawsuit came not in the form of monetary damages for the league’s past underpayment of players, but instead from the possibility that MLB’s pay practices could be declared illegal in the future.
This legislation — again, assuming it is enacted — removes that threat for MLB, at least under federal law. (Minor-league players may still be able to sue under state minimum-wage and overtime laws, although doing so would likely necessitate dozens of cases, substantially increasing litigation costs.) So while not completely marking the demise of the minor-league wage lawsuit, this provision nevertheless substantially reduces the odds of achieving meaningful reform through the judicial process.
But that does not mean that all hope of reform is necessarily dead.
Minor-league players have always had the ability to better their conditions themselves, should they decide to do so. Indeed, if minor-league pay and working conditions were ever going to be substantially improved, it wasn’t going to come from the current litigation — which only seeks to force MLB to pay players the bare minimum required under federal law — but instead would come from minor-league players finally taking matters into their own hands by forming their own union.
A minor-league players union would have considerable new leverage over MLB. The existing minor-league wage scale would be subject to collective bargaining, for instance — as would MLB’s refusal to pay players for spring training, instructional leagues, or offseason work. Unionized minor leaguers would also be able to force MLB to negotiate regarding the quality of medical care and food provided to prospects, and could challenge the league’s existing penalty structure for the use of performance-enhancing and recreational drug use.
This newest legislation does nothing to change that. Instead, the provision places the burden on current minor-league players to improve their circumstances themselves by forming a union.
There are countless reasons why minor-league players haven’t formed their own union to date, of course. Many players would prefer to keep their heads down, rather than risk rocking the boat and jeopardizing a potential major-league career by taking a stand. Meanwhile, the career span of minor-league players is generally relatively brief, further disincentivizing players from doing the work necessary to organize a players association. In some cases, players from Latin American countries may not be familiar with our nation’s tradition of unionization, nor their rights under federal labor law. In other cases, U.S.-born players may generally be politically or philosophically opposed to organizing a new union (even if they are agreeable to joining the Major League Baseball Players Association, once eligible).
So the odds that minor leaguers form their own union anytime soon is probably rather remote. Nevertheless, despite Wednesday’s legislation, a plausible path forward remains for minor-league players to improve their pay and working, should they wish to do so.
One of the persistent questions underlying the recent legal efforts to improve minor-league wages has always been how much salience the issue had with those who are actually currently affected by MLB’s pay practices. While a few then-current minor-league players signed on to the class-action lawsuit and a few more spoke out about how the below-subsistence-level pay has affected their lives, the vast majority of minor leaguers have remained silent — at least publicly — about the sufficiency of their pay.
It is now all but clear that the courts are not going to force MLB to improve the pay and working conditions for minor leaguers. And the league certainly isn’t going to do so voluntarily. So if minor leaguers do wish to improve their lot, it will be incumbent upon them to do so themselves, by forming a minor-league players union.
Nathaniel Grow is an Associate Professor of Business Law and Ethics and the Yormark Family Director of the Sports Industry Workshop at Indiana University's Kelley School of Business. He is the author of Baseball on Trial: The Origin of Baseball's Antitrust Exemption, as well as a number of sports-related law review articles. You can follow him on Twitter @NathanielGrow. The views expressed are solely those of the author and do not express the views or opinions of Indiana University.
Welcome back, Nathaniel. Miss Athens?
A travesty… there are still slaves in America; they play Milb, and NCAA among other organizations that have long established, but outdated logic that is still today presented as their defense to ignore the most important actors in the year 2018. It’s time to move on. Northwestern Football was not wrong to push for a vote regarding NCAA players union just a few years ago. The kids of Milb, and NCAA can’t just walk out… but we as fans can stop $$ investing. I refuse to spend another dollar in direct support of MLB or the NCAA.
Players in MiLB and the NCAA *can* walk out, which is, you know, an important difference between their situation and actual slavery.
Can and should. What boggles my mind is how, in order to keep salaries capped for Milb players, owners are willing to immiserate the very athletes they hope to build winning ball clubs with. The lengths that clubs will go to in order to gain competitive advantages over each other have limits, I guess. Isn’t it a good idea to enable the athletes you are so intent on developing the time, nutrition, medical care, and peace of mind to concentrate on their craft? Even if it’s the guys that no one thinks will ever be MLers, wouldn’t it still serve player development to raise the level of skill across the board?
The owners are absolute scoundrels.
Most minor league players who are actual prospects (the ones owners hope to build winning ball clubs with) make good money from their draft signing bonus or international signing bonus, so they aren’t living on the border of poverty. Bonus slots in the 7th round of the draft were $175,000-$220,000 in 2017 and they increase from there. First round bonuses are all over $2 million. The minor leaguers who are struggling financially are generally the ones who teams don’t expect to ever make it to the MLB.
Which merely means that MLB controls not only MLB but the entire sport of baseball – and the anti-trust exemption ensures that it will stay that way. And the same Congress that is clearly owned by MLB is the one who will make sure that the law ensures no competitive baseball league.
They ‘can walk out’? Guess what – putting this provision explicitly into law means that MLB now OWNS Congress. Which means that they can now push on that to where they want to go. Who’s gonna stop them? The ‘voter’? HAHAHA. Guess who owns Congress chump? Sure as hell isn’t the voter.
What prevents the MLB Players Association from taking on minor league players? Couldn’t they expand to include “professional baseball players” in the minor leagues?
I don’t know if there is any reason they cannot. However, they have good reason not to. If they took in the thousands (I don’t know the exact number) of MiLBers to the union then the MLB players would be outnumbered. It is hard enough to collectively bargain on behalf of the ~1200 members of the MLBPA. I agree that the MLBPA should consider helping minor leaguers either by bargaining for improvements on their behalf (unlikely) or helping them form their own union. If the MLB players were to make some sort of gesture or bring attention to the issues facing MiLB players it would go a long way to start some sort of change.
nothing prevents them from doing so, other than the incentives of MLB players being misaligned with those of MiLB players. they could certainly move to fold them in if they chose to, though.
“What prevents the MLB Players Association from taking on minor league players?”
You mean beyond a total lack of common ground and common financial interests?
The 1998 Curt Flood Act explicitly wrote that the anti-trust exemption of MLB still applies in full to the minors – so that there can be no union recognition of minors players/rules and there is nothing they can negotiate/bargain.
Overtime work rules and athletic training seem like a bad mix, because they don’t go over very well in any highly competitive environment. In highly competitive environments, the idea of overtime pay is quaint and no one would enforce it. You are just expected to put in the extra hours. If you don’t someone else who wants to provide more value will. Could you imagine an athlete at any level refusing to put in extra hours on the practice field because they aren’t getting time and a half?
I also am not convinced that forming a union will actually help the minor leaguers that Nathaniel is concerned about. I’m a broken record, but so be it I have to once again point out that not all Minor League Players receive poor pay.
We are talking about the fringiest of prospects and by extension the players with the least amount of leverage. Any minor league players union is very likely to be dominated by the interests of the players that actually have leverage. I’m not saying that no one will benefit. Just pointing out that the conclusion of this article, that minor leaguers are left with no choice but to unionize… well it isn’t that simple and it probably won’t help them.
I also support standard of living increases for all people.
David
One problem is that minor league teams often lose money. Even in the low minors, ballparks are usually subsidized by taxpayers, and teams get by only because of MLB revenue and gov’t subsidies. Where is the incentive to pay non-prospect “organization filler” players? They are basically there to help the small percentage of true MLB prospects practice.
High end prospects get signing bonuses, and they are working toward quick ascent to MLB pay. Most minor leaguers are basically “sparring partners”. I know that seems wrong, but it is true.
The other problem… At least for low level minors, if MLB is forced to pay more, wouldn’t they move their minor league teams to other countries? Why not have your rookie league, low A and even high A teams all on a big campus in Dominican Republic? These leagues are just for practice, they are not income generating businesses. Why not move off shore if it saves money?
The incentive is that guys like Josh Donaldson, Collin McHugh, and countless others were once labeled as “organizational filler” and turned out to be much more. How many other guys could turn out to be success stories if they weren’t eating fast food all the time and were able to get enough sleep?
Sure, the probability is low, but the impact is huge. Imagine if paying all of your minor league players more more keeps one guy healthy who turns into a moderate “breakout” worth 2 WAR per year. 2 WAR x 6 years of team control x $8 million per win = $96 million in value. If you spent $100k- an outlandishly large amount- on each the 150 or so minor league players in your system, it would come out to $15 million. And that doesn’t include the publicity and goodwill that doing it would buy with the public, agents, and players. And that’s if only ONE guy turns into a 2-win player; another Donaldson could pay for the system for more than a decade.
It still blows my mind that no team has seen this as a risk worth taking.
Josh Donaldson was a 1st round draft pick who got a $650K signing bonus. He reached the majors within 3 years of being drafted. He earned far more than I did between 2007 when he was drafted and 2010 when he first reached the majors.
Wow, yeah, totally whiffed on that one. My bad. I clearly thought his history was more colorful than that for some reason. Think Corey Kluber instead.
$200K signing bonus. In the majors 4 years later at age 25, earning more than most doctors. Kluber wasn’t exactly scraping by either.
Coopatroopa’s examples aside, I’d like to try to answer his question. I think teams are reluctant to spend the money for two reasons:
1) There’s no guarante it’ll work. It’s probably should work, but there’s no guarantee. And unless there’s a guarantee, teams will be reluctant to try it. Hey, it only took 120 years for extreme infield shifts to be seriously tried.
2) There’s no going back, and you might start an ‘arms race’ you’ll lose a short time down the track. A big-market team could try this. But once any team tries it, big-market teams will all jump in the pool. So Oakland couldn’t ‘start’ this, paying guys $100K/yr., because before you know it the Yanks/Sawx/Dodgers are paying guys $250K/yr. and the A’s will be restricted to either players other teams don’t want or players who have run out of college eligibility or whatever.
I know you were just spitballing the numbers, but there are a few flaws there:
1- A 2 WAR player isn’t free. Let’s say he makes $10 million over those 6 years. That brings the surplus value down to $86 million.
2 – That $86 million is over the course of 6 years. The $15 million is per year. So over the course of 6 years, you’d be paying $90 million in minor league salaries. Essentially, you would *need* to find a breakout player due to the increased wages, just to break even.
3 – 2 WAR players may seem easy, but 12 WAR over a player’s first 6 years is actually very hard to obtain. I don’t know how realistic it is to find that player simply by increased wages.
Minor league teams dont pay players, MLB teams do.
Actually, I think the most likely event that would increase the pay of minor leaguers is bad publicity. If the outrage was sufficient, MLB would decide that the headache is not worth the money saved.
Whether this would be a good development or not I do not know. Making the minor leagues more expensive for the sake of the least productive players in the system would motivate MLB to cut back on the minor leagues or try to work around the new rules. As always, the true minimum wage is $0. I am also not sure how thrilled the major league players would be to see millions diverted from their pool.
If players don’t like the pay do something else. This law will keep the courts out and this is a good thing. Minor league players need to keep their heads down and play ball.
The narrative on this issue can sometimes be one-sided. Players drafted in the 6th and 7th rounds or even later routinely get signing bonuses in the hundreds of thousands of dollars – far more than most kids in their teens and early 20s will ever see. Some players drafted beyond the 10th round get 6 figure signing bonuses. Why not take into account the upfront payments these players in the form of signing bonuses?
Take an average mid-level draft pick – somebody with a relatively small chance of a lengthy MLB career… Matthew Oberste – 2013 7th round pick of the Mets. Oberste received $325K as a signing bonus. Same draft class, 6th round pick Champ Stuart got $300K; 10th round pick Luis Guillorme got $200K; 11th round pick Tyler Bashlor got $550K, 20th round pick Dan Hermann got $200K; 36th round pick Brandon Brosher got $168K… These guys are not scraping by on bologna sandwiches.
A lot of players in the minors, even fringe prospects, are in their teens and early 20s, and they are getting signing bonuses beyond what most doctors, lawyers and engineers earn.
The players who get $5K signing bonuses and barely scrape by are players who should realize they have almost zero chance of an MLB career. These players are there for one reason – so the prospects who are paid pretty well can practice. They should have backup plans.
If literally all of the non-prospects suddenly retired in protest over salaries, they would all be replaced easily. If they realized they are there as sparring partners for other (better compensated) players, they would realize that no amount of extra “overtime” workouts is going to change anything.
The comments section on provocative Fangraphs articles are becoming predictable- sardonic, snarky, down voted troll(?) followed by predicatable up voted moralists. I don’t like slave references either, but perhaps I am too sensitive?
Many creative fields in LA and N.Y. have interns (predominately female) working for sub-minimum wage while being subjected to predatory Harvey Weinstein types. I’ve met women who worked in these creative fields and 25 years later they still suffer the emotional scars- sad. Noone should be subjected to those conditions.
My point is many people attempting to enter creative, entertainment, or sports fields are not compensated at minimum wage. Its why I strongly counseled my three kids to participate in sports but appropriately recognize their limitations. I suspect many posters do the same. This difficult, rocky road to success is why Mike Trout getting $400 million for his next deal is appropriate and Jacoby Ellsbury getting $21 million for 2.1 WAR or 1.3 WAR is also appropriate. We can feel morally superior requiring minimum wage for Rookie League or Single A players (even some AA or AAA players) but we should understand the added cost must be accounted in the balance sheets of owners and contracted MiLB franchise operators.
Again, I’d like to see Minor league players earn a living wage- but we all realize we need “butts in the seats” to pay that living wage.
I’m not in agreement with this possible legislation, but has anyone done a scholarly (not politically-charged) article about the total compensation of minor league players? All the meals and free clothes and other ancillary benefits add up to some dollar figure. I have no idea if it makes much a difference overall to pay, but I’ve never had a job that has paid for any of my meals. I’d guess most of you haven’t either. That’s real money that they no longer have to spend out of their take home pay.
So, when we’re having these discussions, I wish the community could focus on the actual number in relation to their pay, rather than their hourly cash rate. It would probably help put things in a slightly more proper context.
The signing bonuses are a huge part of the compensation. If a 20 year old kid gets $200 K as a bonus, and then earns $13K per year as minor league salary plus the free meals and other benefits for the next 3 years, he is not doing so badly by comparison to other 20 year olds.
The minor league compensation situation really doesn’t seem so bad.
MLB might be smart from a PR perspective to make some changes to help the kids who did not merit large bonuses, but very, very few of them have much value to MLB. Most true prospects get hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars in signing bonuses, so their “salary” is a red herring.
“MLB might be smart from a PR perspective to make some changes to help the kids who did not merit large bonuses, but very, very few of them have much value to MLB.”
Bingo! You win a cookie. The hand wringers and virtue signalers don’t understand that. Or that those kids who don’t have much value can and will be cut loose in a heartbeat if baseball is ever required to overpay them.
Another thing to consider is that most minor leaguers play/work in small cities with relatively low rent costs. Very few of these guys are in markets were they have to pay $1200+ a month to rent an apartment because almost all of those markets are MLB markets.
For all the posturing, virtue signaling, and crying I see on the subject, nobody mentions the comparables. If you want to be an attorney, you will go through underpaid overtime Hell as a junior member of the firm; years of that nearly drove one of my college roommates insane. If you want to be a physician, you have to go through pure living underpaid overtime hell as an intern and as a resident. I can remember seeing another of my college roommates when he was an intern with his hands scrubbed red and bloody because he was delivering babies 12 hours a day. (No, he was not getting paid any overtime either). In my own profession I had to risk life and limb in various hellholes for years on the sharp end of the stick before being fully accepted into my profession. Had I ever mentioned a raise or overtime I would have been roundly laughed at. Hundreds and hundreds of people I knew growing up in L.A. wanted to succeed in Hollywood and they all suffered in poverty and paid serious dues for years and years and sometimes decades, and virtually all of them failed. A guy who lived down the hall from me in college dropped out and made it big as a actor and director, and my brother’s buddy made it as an actor. Both are household names and familiar faces today. Another guy I knew ended up as a writer and director for one series one time. That’s it. The others? Nothing. They spent years and sometimes decades struggling to make ends meet praying for a break that never came. A friend of mine was a gorgeous young woman and a talented actress; she sacrificed everything – education, family, money, at least a dozen men – in pursuit of acting success, only to be rejected endlessly and to wind up with nothing, with just a shit job in her forties, living with a cat in a studio apartment.
Minor league baseball players aren’t special. If they want the chance to be multi-multi-millionaires, then they need to earn it, just like the rest of us do, and that means sacrifice. They get no sympathy from me. I slept on rocks, was shot at, drank godawful water and ate worse good, was bitten by snakes and scorpions, and was nearly blown to bits. They can do without and suffer a little in their pursuit of their multi-multi-million dollar payday too.
So residents used to get treated like that it doesn’t really happen anymore cause they unionised in most places because it was wrong. Its wrong in those cases and its wrong in this one. They are ignoring actual laws with bullshit arguments. Exploitation is still exploitation u cant justify a wrong with another wrong.
Oh, BS. It still happens. One of my family members just went through the same Hell on his way to becoming a dermatologist.
And since when is having to pay dues for a chance at a huge success “exploitation”? Your entire argument is invalid.
Maybe there is another factor to consider. Race. We all know African Americans are fleeing the sport. Some say who cares, its their choice unlike in the segregation era . At least in that era they had their own leagues and baseball was popular among African Americans.
I guess we should ask if the economic obstacles MLB imposes on poor and low income athletes who wish to be baseball players , so as to earn more profits and which may disproportionately affect African Americans, are any worse than those teams in the 1950’s who did not wish to bear the higher operational costs of scouting and logistical expenses in signing and developing of African American players?
Today of course teams are reducing scouting for economic reasons (profit), not that they pay scouts a bundle.
The article linked below is a must read. One comment nailed it on the race issue.
http://camdendepot.blogspot.tw/2018/03/baseball-booms-minor-leaguers-still.html?m=1
“This is a great post. I want to hone in on one statement you made and connect it to the concerns about baseball’s inability to attract black players.
You write, “Based on unpublished research, the typical minor league baseball player comes from a white, upper middle class home and by the age of thirty has half the earning potential atnd assets as a similar person from the same background that did not go into baseball.”
Many of the white, upper middle-class players are able to pursue the dream because they are getting support from mom and dad. In other words, their family is sending them spending money, letting them drive their old car, helping them line up a decent job in the off-season, etc.
Players whose families don’t have money – which would mean lower-middle and working-class players of any racial background, disproportionately black players – are less likely to choose minor-league baseball or to stick with it. If they are American citizens, then they almost certainly have better options. You could make more money and better provide for your family even in relatively low-prestige jobs like restaurant service, for example.
Immigrant players are a bit different calculus. You maybe don’t have a better option as a poor kid from the Dominican Republic or Venezuela. So they’re more like to struggle through the minors.
But basically, if baseball genuinely wanted to attract a more diverse set of players, they would pay better in the minor leagues.”
Minor league pay has significantly declined when adjusted for inflation since 1976. Its increase of 75% is far less than inflation (330%)
As for minimum wage. Its been awhile since the last imcrease (2009). About due for another. CPI already understates inflation, but minimum wage does not even track that. $2.30 in 1976 is $9.90 today if adjusted by CPI. More reasonable inflation measures probably double that.
Looking at the economics, the link above mentions minor league attendance at 41 million and average MLB team pays 1.1 million in minor league salaries (presumably non 40 man roster players) . Doing the math on 5 bucks a ticket plus concessions, advertising , milb.tv and minor league players are taking a pretty good haircut assuming 40-50% of revenue is a reasonable figure
Granted, perhaps 20% of players take in significant bonuses of 100K or more, but the majority receive bonuses of 2500 or less per a THT article
Only 10% of minor leaguers ever make MLB and many of them don’t ever reach arbitration and make more than the minimum. As indicated above – by age 30 the average minor leaguer who never made MLB has assets and future earning potential less than half that of a person who did not pursue baseball a career.
Pursuing a MLB career and failing, which 90% do, is costly. Mainly because minor leaguers dont get a living wage in a sport flush with money. The collective decision by MLB owners to exploit minor leaguers prevents lower income players from considering it. This means less racial diversity, intentional or not.
Furthermore, MLB spends 30 million a year on development baseball camps for the poor, of which African Americans are disproportionaly represented. Thats 1 million a year for every team. For the Yankees thats 0.2% of revenue. Why don’t teams have their own camps with the understanding they have first rights of signage?
And of course the corporate lackeys in Congress again find a way to support corporate greed. The Kleptocracy is strong as ever.
“Corporate greed”? LOL, obviously you’ve never been part of one or you would understand that corporations that don’t act in their best financial self interest ALL OF THE TIME don’t survive.
Feel free to support this bill; just don’t complain that baseball isn’t attracting enough US players at the same time.
I do support the bill, and I don’t mind the foreign ballplayers one bit: they are here to play. It’s a Darwinian world, and they are happily filling a niche. People who don’t like the minor league process in baseball should choose other careers instead of bitching about the one they did voluntarily choose.
Minor league players need to unionize. Through collective bargaining, they might be able to achieve some common work rules that ownership and Congress wants to deny them. And union gives individual players the cover of an organization, so they don’t have to worry about retaliation. The fact is that, empirically, rank and file minor league players are treated poorly.
The consequence of that unionization would be the near-destruction of the minors. You want to see two-thirds of the teams folded for good and two-thirds of the minor league players let go? Because that’s about the minimum of what would happen.
Years ago I worked for a man who had a bunch of essentially peasants working for him, and a union got to them and tried to organize them. He warned them that he would close the business if they unionized. They unionized. He closed the business. They were unemployed and in shock for years.
Baseball will just close most of it’s minor league teams and lay off most of its minor leaguers, but that’s what you’re looking at. And most people will be the worse off for it
MLB doesn’t have the unpaid minor league of college that football and basketball do. Where are they going to groom their prospects? And they certainly don’t want to put them on rosters and let their service time clocks start to run. A handful of younger stars making arbitration and FA earlier would suck up a whole lot of money that could have otherwise gone into player development.
The threat hat Capital makes when low-wage workers ask for more is always “I’ll shut down.”
Oh, they’d still have minor leagues. Johnson said as much when he used words like “near-destruction” and “two-thirds of the teams folded for good” and “close most of its minor league teams”.
But R, A-, A, A+, AA, AAA and Arizona Fall league. Nope, 2-3 MiLB teams per MLB team would be adequate for all the actual prospects, the extra 15 players on the 40 man but not 25 man rosters, and a handful of organizational guys to fill out the rosters.
I don’t have the MLB financials and coaching staffs to know what they’d do, so I can’t be sure of what they’d do, but I think if you make MiLB ball substantially more expensive, then you will in fact get less of it.
I was discussing the possibility of a Minor League Player’s Union with a friend the other day and we both agreed on the same obstacle. For the Union to get any traction, you are going to need the big bonus babies to be heavily involved if not spearheading the organizing drive. It won’t work if the initiative is only being driven by organizational filler and a bunch of AAAA guys. These guys already struggle to stick with a team in the minors and the Owners will happily replace them with independent league fill-ins if they feel they may rock the labor boat. You need guys showing up on top 100 prospects lists going all in on setting up a Union. Unfortunately, it is difficult to motivate this segment as they all view the minors as a small stepping stone one their path to Major League glory. But their support will be tantamount to successfully creating a Union.
Several commenters have noted that signing bonuses need to be taken into account. This is true, but let’s not overstate the amount of those bonuses or the number of players receiving them. Per the 2017 draft tracker, as early as the 5th or 6th round players were signing for 5 figures and by the 9th round almost every bonus was $10,000 or less. You end up with about 200-250 players who received substantial signing bonuses, out of 1,215 selections. Obviously once you get into the later rounds fewer players make the major leagues, but there are many great players well past the top 250 picks. Pujols, for example, was drafted 402nd overall and signed for $60,00 after initially turning down $10,000. It is not a stretch to think that there are many viable major leaguers currently playing for less than minimum wage.
From a team’s perspective, won’t it be a competitive advantage to pay players slightly more than current minor league averages to ensure better nutrition? If I recall correctly, the Yankee did something similar when they signed Yangervis Solarte as a 6 minor league free agent by offering almost double what a typical minor free agent would normally receive?
I feel like the MLB’s primary concern on this front should be the domestic talent drain over the last couple decades, as elite athletes under a certain income level have opted for sports that offer full scholarships at the college level, which essentially serves as football and basketball’s minor league system.
Poorer athletes are disincentivized to even bother taking the time away from football and basketball to try baseball, because the money is neither there in college nor the minors.