The Yankees Are Overwhelmingly Powerful

As expected, the Yankees beat the Twins in the AL Wild Card game last night. Unexpectedly, they won by asking four relievers to get 26 outs after Luis Severino couldn’t get out of the first inning. And in that victory, it was essentially impossible to not notice the difference in power between the two clubs.

Aaron Judge is the game’s most powerful player, so New York always has some kind of lead when it comes to raw strength, but this team isn’t defined just by their hulking right fielder. This Yankees team is built around power everywhere.

Brett Gardner, who came up as as speed-and-defense specialist, hit a home run into the second deck in right field. Didi Gregorius, who the team acquired as a fielding-first shortstop, launched a three run bomb of his own to tie the game after Severino put them in a hole. And Judge, of course, did Aaron Judge things to the baseball. Six of the Yankees eight runs scored on the long ball.

But the team’s primary display of power came on the mound. After Severino — the starter with the highest average fastball velocity this season — got chased in the first inning, Joe Girardi turned to Chad Green to shut the door on the Twins and keep the game close. And Green did exactly that, striking out the first four batters he faced, showing why he had become one of the team’s most trusted bullpen arms.

When Green ran into trouble in the third inning, in came David Robertson, who then struck out 5 of the 13 batters he faced in his longest career relief outing. Tommy Kahnle then came in to get seven outs himself before Aroldis Chapman finished the game by striking out the side. In total, the four Yankee relievers struck out 13 of the 33 batters they faced, a nifty little 40% strikeout rate.

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And they did it with overwhelming velocity. The Yankees threw 171 pitches in last night’s game, and Statcast had the average velocity of all their pitches at 93.1 mph. That isn’t their fastball velocity; that includes every breaking ball and off-speed pitch they threw.

If we exclude all the bendy pitches, the average velocity of a Yankee fastball last night was 97.1 mph. The Twins didn’t throw a single fastball that hard all night. The 60 pitches with the most velocity thrown last night were all thrown by the Yankees.

This is a pitching staff unlike we’ve ever seen before. There’s more velocity than there has ever been in baseball, of course, so even the Twins throw harder than most teams in prior years, but no one has ever stacked this kind of velocity in their bullpen and forced their opponents to confront a never-ending string of power arms.

They won’t be able to do this every game. Given that Green, Robertson, and Kahnle faced 29 hitters between them, all three might unavailable in the first game of the ALDS against Cleveland. And no one else in the rotation throws as hard as Severino, so their velocity will tone down just due to the nature of changing starters.

But if Robertson needs a night off, that just means the team will have to see how Dellin Betances‘ command is doing. Betances’ average fastball this year was 99 mph, and he’s been one of the game’s elite relievers for a few years now, but the team’s absurd depth of arms gives them the luxury of using Betances in relatively lower leverage situations until they see him show off better command that he’s had of late. Betances, an established elite reliever with his own top-shelf velocity, is now something like the fifth guy on Joe Girardi’s reliever depth chart.

The Twins gave it their best shot, but they just didn’t have the arms the Yankees have. When Ervin Santana got chased from the game, they had to piece the other seven innings together with guys who throw regular-hard, not extra-super-hard like the Yankees had. And in the end, the Twins were just never going to win a bullpen battle with New York.

The Indians might be able to, since they have their own crazy deep collection of guys who can dominate. And the rest of their team is strong enough that they might not need to get into a bullpen battle at all. Especially because they taxed their best four relievers in the Wild Card game, the Yankees shouldn’t assume they’ll be able to repeat last night’s performance in the division series.

But it felt impossible to watch last night’s game and not see the Yankees as an imposing threat to everyone they face. They’re the most powerful team we’ve ever seen, and last night, they just overpowered their opponents. It probably won’t be the last time they do that this October.





Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.

60 Comments
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scott
8 years ago

Not saying the Yanks will do this, or need to do this, but theoretically with the built in days off they can pitch their top 6 BP arms 4-5IP per game without over working them. Of course this will require more than .1 IP from their SP, but asking for 4+ innings from the staff isn’t asking for a lot.

phoenix2042Member since 2016
8 years ago
Reply to  scott

I’d say rotate them through, so one or two guys (out of Chapman, betances, Robertson, khanle, green) get a rest each game. This means also rotating your “closer” for the day, set up guy, etc. Hopefully starters can go 5-6 innings and not require such a long bullpen game. Warren, Shreve, and whoever else they have can pitch in lower leverage spots to spell those arms. As long as there aren’t any more first inning meltdowns, they can ask the bullpen for 4 innings a night and not be overworked.

scott
8 years ago
Reply to  phoenix2042

For sure. They really don’t need to use more than 3 of the 6 to get 4-5 IP on a given day. And like you said, not every game is going to be tight to the point where you need to use only those top 6 guys. Even with heavy pen reliance, I don’t see any individual arm pitching much more per week than they did in regular season with 6-7 games per week.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  scott

Overworking RP arms didn’t work out for CLE last year. Andrew Miller was a shell of himself in the World Series, especially in game 7 when they really needed him. Asking your RP arms to pitch too many innings is just a theoretical exercise and not a good idea in practice. If those guys pitch too many inning, then they get exposed for what they are, which is failed starters more often than not. The reason they are good is that they pitch very little – everything plays down when they work more often.

TheCornerDrive
8 years ago

>They’re the most powerful team we’ve ever seen

Compared to the Indians who have, arguably, the most dominant pitching staff in the history of baseball? A Runs Scored of 818 compared to the Yankees of 858 which was inflated by their historic run against the Orioles and their horrendous pitching? A Runs Allowed of of 564 vs. the Yankees 660?

Dave, come on. This Yankees team is very good but they’re not even close to the “most powerful team we’ve ever seen”. Oh, and you blatantly ignored the short porches which the Yankees took full advantage of last night by hitting HR’s that would have been outs in other stadiums.

This is reactionary without much to back it up.

Edit: To the downvoters, I’d be happy to see some objective stats showing this Yankees team as the most powerful ever? A quick glance through some other teams show them as not particularly powerful historically. A 108 wRC+ with an ISO of .185 with a WAR of 27.9?

Not exactly historical.

besgueToDiffer
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

It seems pretty obvious from the context of the article that by “power” he is referring to power arms and power bats.

TheCornerDrive
8 years ago
Reply to  besgueToDiffer

I’ll agree with the flamethrower arms as the increase in velocity is a relatively new phenomena but in terms of power hitters? The stats show otherwise. Judge is an absolute monster but, outside of him, it’s not exactly a scary lineup relative to history.

My issue is him claiming “we’ve ever seen” when there were some ’90s teams that would put these guys to shame but then we get into the Steroid/juiced ball debate.

This Yankees team may be the most powerful in the playoffs this year though.

besgueToDiffer
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

I’ll let someone else argue whether or not they’re the most powerful team ever. You’re being downvoted because your post makes it seem like you missed the point of the article. After recapping the game in the first 3 paragraphs the rest of the article focused on how overpowering the Yankees relievers were last night.

Why in the world are you bringing WAR into the discussion?

TheCornerDrive
8 years ago
Reply to  besgueToDiffer

> You’re being downvoted because your post makes it seem like you missed the point of the article.

I just think it’s an article that is large on hyperbole. Yes, the Yankees lead the MLB in Bullpen FA velocity but it’s not an overpowering margin in 95.5 vs. 95 for 2nd place.

>Why in the world are you bringing WAR into the discussion?

Great question actually.

Edit: I have made the egregious mistake of questioning any Yankee praising.

besgueToDiffer
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

“I just think it’s an article that is large on hyperbole.”

I think if you’d led off with that instead you might not have gotten the downvotes that you got. Comparing their Runs scored/allowed, griping about their opponents pitching staffs and the YS short porch all seem to miss the point.

I don’t think you can come up with an objective argument that they are/are not the most powerful team. The way he uses “powerful” is ambiguous and deciding how to value power arms in relation to power bats is subjective. And that’s ignoring historical context. It’s a fun article with some interesting stats re: velo from the game. It struck me as an article appreciating the first playoff game of the year and highlighting what may be to come.

TheCornerDrive
8 years ago
Reply to  besgueToDiffer

Fair enough. I just think, if you’re making the claim of “best in history”, you need to show something in support of that claim.

I do think a decent amount of those downvotes are from Yankee fans though. Even my comments clarifying things are being downvoted to oblivion!

Mike NMN
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

I’m a devoted Yankee fan. Would it help if I upvoted you? I don’t want to mess with cosmic karma here.

thetireswings
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

I’m a die hard indians fan and I downvoted you for the reasons mentioned here already.

david k
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

Your comments trying to clarify things weren’t exactly helping.

scott
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

“Judge is an absolute monster but, outside of him, it’s not exactly a scary lineup relative to history.”

Gary Sanchez has 53 Hrs in 675 career Abs.

david k
8 years ago
Reply to  scott

They also have a LOT of power in their middle infield. Not too many 2B-SS tandems hit as many XBH as Didi and Starlin. Houston comes to mind, but not much other than that.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  scott

There is a good reason that you are not saying he has 53 HR this year, because he didn’t. That stat should be taken with a grain of salt as it looks a lot like a season of work, but its not. Lots of guys have put together great arbitrary stretches, especially in 2017. Those HR also completely coincide with the juiced ball era. To be clear, he has some serious power, but historic talent – nope. Everyone is free to decide what they want to call historic, but for me it has to be over several years and the era needs to define itself. It is clear that Mike Trout is great, but outside of him I don’t know who is what yet. I have no idea how to judge power production in the current environment. At some point things will stabilize and I am reserving judgment until then. There are many reasons to be skeptical of fluky performances in this environment. I think juiced balls make the fluky performances even more extreme.

Fearandloathing
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

@ronniedobbs I actually think this is more silly than taking issue with the yankees “all time power.” Sanchez is a young guy playing well behind the plate; he’s fairly rare regardless of era.

John Autin
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

It’s fine to point out a touch of hyperbole, but all you said to the contrary were generalized opinions. Where’s your counterevidence?

The Yanks led MLB with 241 HRs, which is the #16 total of all time, and 1 more than the ’61 team with Maris & Mantle. That alone isn’t historically great, given today’s environment, but it’s just one prong of the “powerful” claim.

nicketz
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

Gardners HR was second deck, and Didi’s cleared the wall by 10 rows.

both we’re over 390. those were homeruns just about anywhere.

FrodoBeck
8 years ago
Reply to  nicketz

If anything, the short porch hurt them on Dozier’s home run.

Edit: Aaaand I scrolled down to see people had already made my point.

BryzMember since 2019
8 years ago
Reply to  FrodoBeck

You mean Rosario’s home run. Dozier’s was pulled to left/left-center.

Baron Samedi
8 years ago
Reply to  nicketz

how does this get 31 upvotes

kuri3460Member since 2025
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

“Power” equates to strength or force in this context. That I agree with – everyone throws hard.

Judge’s Homer was probably a double in most other stadiums, but Gardner and Gregarious would have still gone yard in most ballparks.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  kuri3460

Yankee Stadium’s LF isn’t exactly a HR alley, haha

scott
8 years ago
Reply to  kuri3460

I believe 386 to left center is gone in most parks.

noseeumMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  kuri3460

Judge’s homer was a rocket, but it was a line drive. The power was ridiculous, but in a deeper LF it wouldn’t have made it. Still, left center in YS is 399. Is that noticeably shorter than most?

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  noseeum

It’s longer than most.

Francis C.
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

Disagree with your last point about the short porches. According to Espn homerun tracker, Gardner, Didi and Judge’s homeruns would have went out of 30, 27 and 21 stadiums respectively. It was the Twins who took advantage of the porch. Rosario’s HR would have went out of only 1 stadium and Dozier’s 16.

TheCornerDrive
8 years ago
Reply to  Francis C.

Fair enough. My issue is with Dave using “we’ve ever seen”.

ShauncoreMember since 2019
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

Here are the homers the Yankees hit, superimposed over Kauffman Stadiums dimensions (one of the worst HR parks in baseball and doesn’t feature any weird outfield quirks):

comment image?1

Those balls went:

386 feet
391 feet
393 feet

With exit velos of:

108 MPH
102 MPH
102 MPH

Those weren’t cheapy home runs

TheCornerDrive
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

Yup, I was wrong on that and acknowledged it in another post. Doesn’t change the fact that this Yankee’s team is not the “most powerful team we’ve ever seen” though. Or maybe I’m ignoring exit velocity data in historical terms and concentrating on outcome stats like wOBA, ISO, etc.

I’d be interested to see *any* objective stats that back up this Yankees team as the most powerful ever in any context. Exit velocity, ISO, whatever.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

Judge lead the league in HR/FB%.

Severino lead qualified starters in vFA.

Chapman lead relievers in vFA. Betances was 6th. Kahnle was 9th.

So…yeah.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

You can’t just superimpose landing spots in another stadium. The environment matters a lot. Maybe they were home-runs and maybe there were not. I didn’t watch anything, but I know that balls fly differently in different parks. As we see in extreme parks, its not really the dimensions that matter the most.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

I agree with both you and Dave here.

On the one hand, Dave is right that this is a very powerful team (as defined by pitching velocity and dingers).

On the other hand, I don’t know if I care. I’d rather have a “good” team than a “powerful” one. Part of the reason why we’re talking about the pitching velocity is that they bullpenned the game, and the bullpen has especially big velocity. And it’s amazing how quickly the narrative shifts about teams when they’re winning versus losing. If they get swept by Cleveland (which is not likely, but still possible) all that velocity becomes a footnote.

It’s not that Dave is wrong, but I just don’t know how useful the idea of “powerful teams” is.

TheCornerDrive
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I’d be much more interested in an article highlighting the exit velocity, pithcing velocity, and other metrics that showcase this Yankees team relative to history.

Maybe Dave is right and we’ve never seen a team hit the ball as hard or throw it as hard as they do. But, as you highlighted, what matters are results and, by that measure, this Yankees team is not particularly amazing relatively speaking.

Would be great to see a complete analysis though!

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

As I noted above, they have the league leader in each of Exit Velo (and HR/FB%), SP vFA and RP vFA.

That has never happened since we started measuring exit velocity…although one team did have the leader all but one of those categories last season (along with second place in SP vFA): The New York Yankees.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Just to hit this again–from the NL Wild Card chat:

“Rockies have a lot of hard-throwing arms in the pen who don’t seem to miss many bats.”

This is what we say when a team has a lot of velocity and is down 4-0 in the 3rd. All things equal, more velocity is better, but velocity doesn’t always win.

John Autin
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Well said, sad. It’s what I tried to say when Dave tagged Chris Sale’s season one of the “most dominant” of all time. Whatever meaning one gives that phrase to fit Sale, separates it from more important measures of results.

I do think “more powerful” is a bit more specific and has more points of connection to these Yankees.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  TheCornerDrive

While I agree with your general idea, it is just a fun article. Nobody cares about who is the most “powerful” team in the first place. Literally nobody is playing that game and Dave can declare any team he wants to be the winner. Stanton is pretty clearly more powerful than Judge relative to on-field baseball ability. Perhaps Judge can really hit a 4-wood or something like that… I think he makes the assertion that Judge is the most powerful player just to set the fun tone for the article. I am going to declare that Angels as baseballs most fun team, don’t worry about my methodology, I assure you that it is sound.

christopherMember since 2024
8 years ago

wrong david roberts(on) tagged with hyperlink

emh1969
8 years ago

Of course, if we’re going to talk about power, then we should also talk about where the Yankees struggle: batting against power pitchers.

Granted the BR splits between power, finesse, and averge power/finesse are a bit crude. But the Yankees only put up a .694 OPS against power pitchers. Which was just a little above league average (.670).

The other AL playoff teams all performed better against power pitchers: Red Sox (.716), Indians (.720), Astros (.757).

Granted all teams struggle against power pitchers but the Yankees had the largest OPS droppoff relative to their overall OPS. They had a 91 point drop, vs drops of 68 points (Indians), 66 points (Astros) and 20 points (Red Sox).

(and all of that is without having to face their own power pitchers).

And yeah, I know OPS isn’t the best measure to use but it’s what Baseball Reference has available.

Joey Butts
8 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

The league average OPS against all pitchers was .762. The Yankees were at .787. They were better than average against all pitchers by 25 points. They were better than average against power pitchers by 24 points. I wouldn’t call that a struggle, although they certainly don’t compare well to the other playoff teams. It’s a bad indicator, given that the increased usage of power pitchers out of the bullpen in the playoffs.

JimMember since 2016
8 years ago

The Yanks are going to win it all (over the Dodgers in six) and reinvent the way pitching staffs are used in the playoffs.

Baron Samedi
8 years ago

Boring Yankees beat Boring Twins Boring Baseball writer uses Boring superlatives to make Boring game less Boring

Mike NMN
8 years ago
Reply to  Baron Samedi

Maybe you shouldn’t bore yourself by reading Boring Writer using Boring superlatives to make Boring game less Boring? Because Boring is in the eye of the Beholder.

Baron Samedi
8 years ago
Reply to  Mike NMN

Sorry if my comment triggers you, Mike from Minnesota.

Joey Butts
8 years ago
Reply to  Baron Samedi

You can’t make yourself relevant by pretending you get people triggered. You’re boring.

Baron Samedi
8 years ago
Reply to  Joey Butts

Boring is in the eye of the beholder.

david k
8 years ago
Reply to  Baron Samedi

Hmm, I think most people would consider that game far from boring. Sounds like a fan with an axe to grind to me.

Baron Samedi
8 years ago
Reply to  david k

I think most people would consider that game boring.

kaynab
8 years ago
Reply to  Baron Samedi

I think most people would consider you the reason there should be a way to ignore posters or hide posts with at a certain vote threshold.

You bring nothing useful to anything you touch.

Baron Samedi
8 years ago
Reply to  kaynab

You are, obviously, entitled to your bad and wrong opinion.

JeremyMember since 2016
8 years ago

Kahnle only ended up throwing 29 pitches (to get 7 outs!) so he might be available tomorrow. A top three of Betances, Kahnle, and Chapman is still pretty impressive, and while Warren and Shreve aren’t exactly elite, I’d still call them above average middle relievers. This is going to be a fun series.

Edward2715
8 years ago

The Yankees-Indians series is going to be a really close one both teams have elite bullpen, Yankees bullpen a little bit better, Yankees Offense have more power but have less experience and less contact hitters than Indians offense and the Starting Pitchers that is where I think the Indians are way better in my opinion the 3 Indians SP have really great seasons and have postseason experience in the other hand only 1 of the 4 Yankees SP have Postseason experience and that is CC Sabathia, Gray and Severino are really good pitcher but no Postseason experience whatsoever.

noseeumMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  Edward2715

Severino certainly does have postseason experience! I don’t know if that disaster is going to help him or hurt him moving forward.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  noseeum

Tanaka has a postseason start under his belt, as well.

ChinaConor
8 years ago
Reply to  Edward2715

Gray pitched very well for Oakland against Detroit a few seasons ago. I believe both games he matched up against Verlander.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  Edward2715

I don’t think it is a good match-up. The Indians staff is hands-down better, and their defense is hands-down better (the parts that matter, not sure what defensive metrics have to say about the outfield). The Indians bullpen is hardly a weakness – both are elite. I’ll take the Indians offense as well, although I am sure most people would cite the minuscule edge that advanced metrics cite for NYY. In a single game, consistency is the recipe for success and the Indians have much more consistent hitters. I know there is no metric for this, but I am just talking about what I see. Those aggregate stats don’t know the difference between an eight HR game and four 2 HR games. I will be a bit surprised if the Yankees don’t get outclassed. Anything can happen over the course of a few games… if it was as easy as picking the better team then Las Vegas would be out of business!

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago

So, I guess this upcoming series is power vs finesse. Just trying to create some kind of narrative here. I’ll put my money on finesse all day long. You never know who will win a series though. We have the most powerful staff vs the best staff in history based on the past weeks FG content. Should be the best series ever – we have the data to prove it!