Twin Killings

The Minnesota Twins have determined that interleague play is their friend, catching fire while beating up on NL opponents en route to a nine game winning streak. With this surge, they now find themselves a half game behind the White Sox for first place in the A.L. Central, and with the Indians and Tigers continuing to disappoint, it’s not out of the realm of possibility that the Twins could find themselves fighting for a playoff spot down the stretch.

Which, when you look at their offense, is really quite amazing. Joe Mauer (1.24 WPA/LI) and Justin Morneau (0.72 WPA/LI) are doing their jobs, but as a group, the rest of the position players are just amazingly bad. Look at the following five players who are playing practically everyday for the Twins:

Carlos Gomez, CF: .272/.302/.376, -0.85 WPA/LI
Delmon Young, LF: .275/.326/.366, -1.31 WPA/LI
Mike Lamb, 3B: .222/.260/.299, -1.06 WPA/LI
Brendan Harris, SS/2B: .250/.310/.359, -0.40 WPA/LI
Michael Cuddyer, RF: .254/.323/.382, -0.17 WPA/LI

Five of their nine regulars are below average hitters, including their entire outfield and the left side of their infield. It’s not like Harris and Lamb make up for it with stellar glove work, either. Gomez can be somewhat excused because he plays a legit center field, so his production isn’t that bad relative to his peers, and Young/Cuddyer probably aren’t in any danger of losing their jobs because of their name values. But Minnesota can’t stand pat with this offense and hope they score enough runs, because this nine is not a playoff caliber offense.

Realistically, the Twins should be in the market for a third baseman or a shortstop, and maybe both, if they want to capitalize on this hot streak and make a playoff run in 2008. They simply can’t continue to get this level of non-production from so many hitters and keep winning games. Smoke eventually clears and mirrors crack.





Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.

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okobojicat
15 years ago

Dave,

You might have noticed that during this amazing streak of beating up on the NL, Delmon Young and Mike Lamb are not regulars and are barely even getting at bats. Craig Monroe is dominating the pinch hit at-bats.

You should mention that Brian Buscher is playing out of his mind, and he’s much better defensively than Lamb. Harris is still a sub-standard defensive option at SS, but he was even worse at 2B. In the last 12 games (Twins are 11-1) Harris has a WPA of .713. So yes, he is making major contributions to this run. Over that same span Buscher has a WPA of .735. They do have everyday players making contributions. However, I am with you that Buscher can’t keep this up. There is a reason he’s 27 and this is his first significant playing time.