When the Ump Show Takes Center Stage
This is Ashley MacLennan’s third piece as part of her August residency at FanGraphs. Ashley is a staff writer for Bless You Boys, the SB Nation blog dedicated to the Detroit Tigers, and runs her own site at 90 Feet From Home. She can also be found on Twitter. She’ll be contributing regularly here over the next month. Read the work of all our residents here.
Umpires are a necessary part of any baseball game. They’re nearly as integral to the sport as the ball itself. But just as the ball has been the object of considerable interest over the last couple years, so too has the role of the umpire become a topic for re-examination.
Baseball is currently in a state of flux, commissioner Rob Manfred having dedicated himself broadly to the “improvement” of the game. His intent? To make it more efficient, streamlined, and watchable in order to compete in an increasingly demanding media landscape. His ambiguous mandate has led to a number of proposals (some of which have become reality): the elimination of pitches for intentional walks, the possibility of flat bases at first, and the ever-popular prospect of robot umpires. Regarding that last point, there would appear to be some interest from the players, as well. Just recently, for example, Ben Zobrist of the Chicago Cubs was so infuriated by a call that he publicly stated his approval of replacing umpires with electronic zone readers.
Before we get carried away, though, a few things need to be noted, the first (and most important) being that Rob Manfred himself has said he has no intention of getting rid of human umpires any time soon. At the quarterly owners’ meeting he said, “It would be a pretty fundamental change in the game, to take away a function that has been performed by our umpiring staff, really with phenomenal accuracy. The fact of the matter is they get them right well over 90% of the time.”
The other important factor is that the technology simply isn’t there yet. Manfred admitted, “I don’t believe the current technology is sufficient to call balls and strikes on a real-time basis. If and when we get to that technology — and sooner or later we’re going to get there — there’s still a fundamental question about whether or not we want to remove that human element from the game.”
Which brings us back to the human element. Even with umpires’ jobs relatively secure for the moment, the league now faces an interesting question; just how much interaction between players and umpires is too much? Right now, it appears, no one is particularly happy with the current arrangement.
Over the weekend, some umpires wore white wristbands to protest what they felt was an overly light punishment for Ian Kinsler, who made some pointedly disparaging remarks about Angel Hernandez last week.
In a game in Arlington on August 14th, Kinsler was thrown out of a game by Hernandez after Kinsler looked back to see if the umpire would call a particular pitch a strike or a ball. Kinsler had visibly disagreed with the most recent call Hernandez had made, and the umpire clearly viewed this second look back as an attempt by Kinsler to argue balls and strikes with him. As soon as Kinsler was tossed, he began shouting at Hernandez. While neither man was mic’d, amateur lip readers could make out Kinsler suggesting that Hernandez should do his job properly so Kinsler could do his.
Kinsler didn’t mince words on the topic afterwards. When asked if he was surprised by his ejection he replied, “No, I’m surprised at how bad of an umpire he is.” Kinsler went on to offer an idea more compelling than one might expect from an annoyed player just throwing barbs. Of Hernandez, he said: “He’s messing with baseball games, blatantly. It has to do with changing the game. He’s changing the game.”
The guiding regulations for umpires, from the Professional Baseball Umpires Corp, very specifically gives an umpire the right to throw a player out if he refuses to stop arguing, provided the player has had an adequate opportunity to make a point and a warning has been previously issued. It’s hard to tell if Hernandez warned Kinsler after his first display of dissatisfaction, but a sideways glance can hardly be considered an adequate opportunity to argue a point. In fact none of the reasons available to an umpire to eject a player seem to extend to what happened to Kinsler during the game on the 14th. One might argue that Hernandez viewed Kinsler’s glance as “unsportsmanlike conduct,” but that seems to be a stretch given how often players demonstrate their ire in the box with an eye roll or head shake.
Since the home plate umpire’s word is law, and arguing balls and strikes is grounds for an ejection, it puts managers and players in an unusual position. Everywhere else on the field, if a call is seen as incorrect, there’s a process in place to remedy the error. Managers are given the opportunity to challenge a call — and lose the right if they challenge one incorrectly. It’s a smart system that keeps game play moving and can often help teams reverse decisions that could cost them the game.
Applying the challenge regulations to calls made by home-plate umpires would be a tricky business, since both (a) the pace of play is much faster at home and (b) creating pauses over things like balls and strikes would only seem likely to slow down the game. However, in instances like Kinsler’s ejection or Zobrist’s game-ending called third strike, it seems like having an option to take a second look might not be such a bad thing. Certainly most managers wouldn’t want to waste a challenge on simple bad calls, but to allow them a review — especially in a high-leverage moment — might alleviate some of the pressure at home plate that leads to such impressive blow-ups.
And perhaps, if such a system existed, players would be less likely to engage in the kind of “escalating verbal attacks” that the World Umpires Association cited as reason for their protest of Kinsler’s lack of suspension. Right now, at home plate, players have no recourse if they feel a call is missed, and that frustrating lack of control can’t help but lead to tension between the player and the umpire. Maybe the game would be better served, for both players and umpires, if balls and strikes had the same kind of check-and-balance system that other plays have.
Umpires are held to an impossible standard, one by which any display of human emotion seems to come back and bite them — whether it’s Kinsler’s heated reaction to Hernandez’s rash ejection or Joe West’s recent suggestion that Texas Ranger Adrian Beltre is “the biggest complainer” in baseball (a comment that earned him a suspension).
Umpires are required to be as accurate as possible as often as possible, but there will always be an element of human error to the process. Baseball is a game of pauses and deep breaths, but when the action does occur, it’s a matter of split-second calls. Baseball is working to make this system as accurate as possible, but it’s a work in progress. Umpires need to be held accountable for their mistakes, and not let personal feelings cloud their judgment. At the same time, however, players and managers must recognize that they are taking umbrage with actual human beings, and just as the emotions of players are not expected to be kept in check 100% of the time, it is unrealistic to expect umpires to never react in the moment.
Clearly, it is not in anyone’s best interest for players and umpires to be publicly criticizing each other. Given the current tensions, perhaps it is worth considering whether the status quo is contributing to needless hostilities.
Ashley MacLennan is a writer and editor for the Detroit Tigers blog Bless You Boys, and deputy manager for the Tampa Bay Rays blog DRaysBay. Her writing has been featured at FanGraphs, and the Hardball Times, as well as on her own website 90 Feet From Home. Find her on Twitter @90feetfromhome
Here’s an idea.
If you get a terrible call, and you’re going to get a lot of those when Angel Hernandez is behind the plate, don’t argue. Instead, compliment the umpire PROFUSELY, and do it on every single strike and ball call the rest of the game, with a HUGE smile on your face.
I, for one, would like to see the commissioner’s response in an ESPN article titled “Ump ejects player for sarcasm”.
Wait, isn’t sarcasm exactly what Kinsler got ejected for? Not the exact scenario you paint but he looked back to check on a pitch that was obviously a ball. Maybe he even said “good job!” I think ESPN missed an awesome headline on that one.
I’m thinking like after each pitch thrown, turn to the ump with a big smile on your face (think Jim Carrey in The Truman Show) and, with your best Shakespearean accent, say something along the lines of, “Wow! That was a great call! You are a fantastic umpire!” (Thumbs up – maybe even flash a smile directly at the nearest camera)
Basically, REALLY get under their skin, while making sure that everyone in the stadium and on TV can see that you’re doing nothing except offer profuse, exuberant praise.
Even people up in the nosebleed seats would be able to see through that ploy. In fact I would guarantee that something exactly like this has already happened in the past.
This happened once to J.D. Martinez! He casually asked the ump how his day was going and got tossed.
I remember Albert Belle getting ejected after striking out looking for putting his bat and arm guard down right at home plate (he was the third out) and slowly walking out to his position. His mouth never moves, and the home plate umpire ejects him.
Sadly, I can’t find a link to this, but I swear it happened.
I also remember Albert Belle being ejected but for a different reason
I believe that was the day J.D. slept with that umpire’s wife.
Are you talking about the infamous 8/27/16 Tigers/Angels game when Mike Everitt ejected 4(!) Tigers’ players/coaches?
“I don’t know, man, he had a short leash today, I guess,” J.D. Martinez said after the game, via Matthew Mowery of the Oakland Press. “I just told him he’s having a bad day. Honestly, that’s what I said. ‘You’re having a bad day today, huh?’ And he goes, ‘What’d you say?’ I said, ‘You’re having a bad day today’ and he’s like, ‘You’re gone.’ I said, ‘Why am I gone?’ He said, ‘Because you said it twice.’ I said, ‘You asked me what I said.’ I was shocked,” J.D. Martinez said of his first career ejection. “Yeah, I was kind of laughing at first. I was walking away and I was like, what just happened? Did I just get ejected? Hold on, what did I do? That was it.”
http://www.theoaklandpress.com/sports/20160827/vmart-tossed-after-3rd-inning-argument-with-home-plate-ump-ausmus-jd-joyner-tossed-too
Yup! That game was insane.
Nobody comes to a ball game to see an umpshow.
As someone who has refereed different sports for many years, players who compliment sarcastically or clap are the worst.
Umpires are not “integral” to baseball as the game can be played without them. Theoretically you could pick random fans or have the players make the calls themselves and it would still be baseball. Maybe it would be chaotic but the only people necessary are the 18 or 19 in the game. Everyone else is not “necessary”, including he umpires.
Obviously this is impractical and you need a third party to make the decisions but it doesn’t have to be human beings and certainly not this arrogant, flawed, overly sensitive group. Do you need a highly trained arbiter to make this call? http://nypost.com/2017/08/16/mets-rue-bad-call-that-led-to-didi-gregorius-game-winning-hit/
Maybe it didn’t matter or maybe that call will decide a Wild Card spot.
Unless and until Fred Manfred fires incompetent umpires like Angel Hernandez and the umpires have higher standards for themselves instead of whining about how mean everyone is to them, this great game will be needlessly damaged. I eagerly await the arrival of technology that will totally replace these umpires.
I preferred when Angel and Country Joe were on the same crew. When that crew came up in the rotation you knew you were in for a bad series, but at least it was isolated instead of being spread around.
Bmfc1 will now leave and join the latest anti-police march.
I don’t know, are there any instances of umpires shooting baseball players for being black?
I feel like there could be a rotation between the major and minor league umps that is performance based. If you do a terrible job at the majors, enjoy a month-long stint as a minor league umpire. And vice-versa. Maybe not that punitively, but it would be a better solution than having these guys get cocky and/or entitled because they’ve been around for a long time, while also providing some opportunities for the younger umpires.
This is actually a really clever idea.
I like it too, but the union would never let that happen. Sigh.
They could hire good umps (college, minors) who aren’t part of the union. And then let the quality umps from the union that they can still have jobs if they leave the union.
You’re massively underestimating the power of the umps union if you think this would work
Another statement showing the problems with modern unions. The power to keep underperforming folks in work is not a power anyone should hold.
We need to break the damned union.
I think that removing the bottom four (or some other reasonable number) rated umpires and replacing them with the top candidates from the minors every year would have a remarkable effect on the concentration of the umpires. The removed umpires could go back to minors and try to work their way back or retire; I don’t care which.
The players have a union too, but they don’t protest when a veteran or marginal player who can’t produce is released or sent to the minors. Why should being made a major league umpire give someone virtual tenure until they retire?
I support the umpires in this disagreement and I think I might be the only one who does. With that said, the blame falls upon major league baseball. If the process of how umpires are judged was more transparent, I think we’d get a lot fewer arguments. If players knew the process and the repercussions of making a bad call, they’d be far less likely to take the calls personally which I believe is where all the trouble starts. If players knew that the channels other than in-game verbal sparring resulted in action, I think we’d get fewer alpha-male BS arguments.
Hmm. I’ve never seen a perfectly reasonable post get this many minuses without a few (lame) counterposts as to (lamely) why. The “only one” thing? The “alpha-male” remark?
After reading through all the posts, I guess it’s the “I support the umps” part. Apparetnly lotta people really emotionally invested in the notion that they’re far superior professional beings to MLB umpires.
You can blame it on whatever cognitive bias you’d like, but there isn’t a single fan-base who believes that the umpires deliver them favourable calls on purpose. The combination of a negativity bias and a hostile attribution bias lead fans to basically assume the umpire is playing favourites and their team is at the short end of the stick. Thus, umpires are just universally hated. The fact that it’s gotten to the point where players can charge umpires and rely on a teammate or manager to hold them back is too much. Everyone understands that this is a players game, but I think it’s too much to ask of anyone to sit behind the plate and get shit on for 3 hours a day. Umpiring has gotten to the point where it’s akin to raising teenagers and both kids think you’re playing favourites and that you’re infinitely worse than Little Johnny’s dad. I’m sure there’s plenty of parents on here, and I’d love to here how they deal with their kids when they start raising hell. I would guess that “You don’t talk to your mother like that, get your ass to your room,” would be a rather common sentiment.
Kristopher, the problem is that Angel Hernandez is infinitely worse than Johnny’s dad. In fact, Johnny’s dad is both the better parent and the better umpire umpire. Hernandez’s umpiring is the parenting equivalent of asking a child which color popsicle they want, giving the kid the wrong color, then sending the kid to their room when complain.
I’m a parent, and I hate complaining as much as any other parent, but one part of parenting is knowing how to not walk yourself into such situations and how to defuse them without a melt down.
Anyway, one thing is for sure, Angel Hernandez is not the parent in the room on the baseball field.
This is my issue, and why I’ve pointed to cognitive biases and fan’s inability to actually pass judgment on this situation yet continue to receive downvotes.
I’ve seen Joe’s name, Angel’s name, and CB’s name numerous times in this thread but none of them appear at the top of the leaderboard for ejections. Using this data which very well may be inaccurate, it looks like Will Little, Phil Cuzzi, Sam Holbrook, John Tumpane, Bill Welke, Tripp Gibson, D.J. Reyburn, Stu Scheurwater, Carlos Torres, Jordan Baker, Ramon De Jesus, Paul Emmel, Greg Gibson, Mike Muchlinkski, Hunter Wendelstedt, Barry Scott, Chris Conroy, Fieldin Culbreth, Andy Fletcher all appear before we get to Angel Hernandez.
Historically, it looks like Joe West averages the most ejections, but then we have Foster, Davidson, Timmons, Holbrook, Wendelstedt before Hernandez.
Joe West, the leader in ejections, pops in at about 5.5 per year.
I get that Angel Hernandez isn’t the greatest umpire. I asked earlier for the standards, data, and repercussions for bad umpiring but I can only assume the person isn’t actually reading the thread.
I would hate to jump to a conclusion without looking at the data, but I would be very interested to see the correlation. Everyone’s argument here is essentially predicated on the fact that incompetence is the reason for arguments and ejections, but name game everyone’s playing doesn’t seem to bear those numbers out.
I get that the data set is small enough to allow for a rather substantial margin of error (e.g. fights get high ejection totals and there’s no real reason to say that has anything to do with the umpire) but if anyone has the data on a HP umpires missed calls, it’ll take two seconds to run the correlation.
The data seems to suggest that on any given day, the team playing has a greater impact on whether or not someone will be ejected than the umpire calling the game.
You are exactly right, Richie. This is just a reflection on the times, where umps, cops, anyone in authority are to be ridiculed and disrespected. Kindler should have had a suspension, but instead he’s the ump hater crowds hero.
Or maybe you’re a blind follower of authority? I think most people just want those in positions of power to justify the respect they are given and behave to a higher standard.
So for umps, they are like judges. They should be objective, patient and dispassionate, even when players are flipping out. They’re supposed to set an example, not be part of the sideshow, like Hernandez, West and Bucknor seem to constantly do.
Those three are the worst three umpires in recent baseball history. Just awful.
I’d put West in his own category because unlike Hernandez and Bucknor, West isn’t entirely incompetent, he’s just an A-hole. Bucknor, for all I’ve seen, could likely be a very nice guy, a terrible umpire, but a nice guy.
This exactly. The umpire isn’t a “boss” or even a standard “authority figure”. They’re an arbiter. Their decisions affect not just the person they are judging at the time, but everyone on both teams. A single decision from an umpire, good or bad, can massively tip the scales in one direction or another. And that’s not even counting their effects on the people watching.
Yes, umpiring is an extremely difficult job. I understand and respect that. That’s why I dislike players like Jose Bautista and Yunel Escobar, who seem to complain every time a call doesn’t go their way. Sometimes an umpire is going to make mistakes and bad calls. That happens But in a tight game, where the win probability shifts noticeably from every single pitch? In a crucial series with a division rival? Or in a playoff game where there are no second chances in any sense? I can completely understand a player’s intense frustration with umpires. And having played baseball myself in college, I can say from experience that expecting a player to be rational with all the adrenaline and tension and heartbreak of a game is ludicrous. It’s beyond ludicrous. Because this isn’t a game to these players. It’s not even a job. It’s their life. And when an umpire takes it into their hands to drastically change the outcome of a game by ejecting a player, it becomes more than frustrating.
My point is that you can’t depend on the players to be rational. It won’t happen, probably 80% of the time. That’s exactly WHY we have umpires in the first place. Not to keep every call perfect. But to ensure that rationality still has a place on the baseball diamond even in the most overwhelming of situations. And when umpires continually make bad calls (not just a few times, but repeating the same cycle of questionable decisions like Hernandez has), they aren’t doing that.
That’s why I think there should be a greater amount of turnover with umpires. If their job security is actually at some degree of risk, instead of umpires being flatly untouchable aside from slaps on the wrist like the current system, they will feel more motivated to keep their egos in check. Bad calls are one thing. But blatant egotism like Hernandez has shown for years is another entirely. Failing that, the umpires should have a greater degree of accountability towards each other. If the home plate umpire is making bad calls multiple times, perhaps the crew chief could be notified (via someone analyzing the balls and strikes with computerized data) between innings, and have a talk with the home plate umpire. A simple “hey, computer says your strike zone’s a little big tonight, might want to tighten it up” from a fellow arbiter might make a big difference. But we can’t just continue doing what we’ve been doing. It’s not going to work.
Right on the money. Umps are paid to be objective. Players are paid to entertain us. Not the other way around.
“Apparetnly lotta people really emotionally invested in the notion that they’re far superior professional beings to MLB umpires.”
Compared to the likes of Angel Hernandez and Country Joe West I think that almost anything sentient can make a case that it is a “superior professional being.”
We know the process by which umps are judged. (That’s an unreasonable premise.) The idea that players would react differently if they knew this information (that we already know)…that’s not reasonable either (even if you pretend like we didn’t know how umps are evaluated). It’s a conclusory statement of Kristopher’s belief. And the final statement is just a re-packaging of the first conclusory statement.
Dude state his opinion and provides no evidence or even a strong argument in favor…Why should that not receive downvotes? Especially when the original opinion is in support of Ump Show.
I am certainly unaware of how umpires are judged or the repercussions they face for doing a piss-poor job. Currently, my understanding is just that good crews get playoff games and the ability to crew chief, and then my ignorance begins. My ignorance is what fuels the belief that there has to be more, there has to be some form of reward/punishment. If you have access to something that shows the criteria by which umpires are judged and more importantly, the corresponding punishment or reward, please post it.
Obviously, if you believe that we currently have full transparency and umpires simply aren’t punished or rewarded, then the transparency argument is void and the argument becomes one focused around discipline.
I do not think it’s a false argument to state that baseball players would react the same way as anyone else facing a problem with an authority figure in the workplace.
Give them confidentiality so that it’s not held against them. Give them a clear method for expressin grievances, and let them know that a grievance results in some form of action.
#BlueLivesMatter
No idea why you’re being downvoted. Good points
This is the smartest response to ever have a -12 score.
Players care about the game that they’re in and how an umpire’s bad performance is interfering with their own. No player is ever going to ignore a terrible call because it might prevent that umpire from receiving a playoff assignment. Sometimes player actions merit ejections and even suspensions, but when an ejection is completely unwarranted, that has a significant effect on the teams involved and the fans who paid to watch them. Umpires like Angel Hernandez need to get better and stop trying to be part of the show, otherwise they’re going to be replaced.
Is there actually talk of making first base flat? Other than Scott Boras trying to hide the fact that Bryce Harper doesn’t understand that rain makes things wet?
If they did this, presumably it would not be making first base flat, it would be inserting a “run-through base” to the right of first base that would be flat, like you see in some youth baseball leagues.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-worst-called-strike-of-the-first-half-3/
I’ve seen an even worse one recently. Unfortunately, since I take a high dose of medication for my neuropathy, I can’t remember in what game it occurred. But the called strike was not only well off the plate, it was was low too.
The batter showed remarkable restraint on that pitch.
But I’m with what many commentators have said for years: the strike zone varies from umpire to umpire. As long as they’re consistent with their calls (e.g., they consistently call high strikes), IMO that’s the most we can ask of them.
According to baseball reference.com the average number of pitches thrown in a game is 146. That’s a lot of pitches to get right.
When you consider how many different types of pitches—at varying speeds—an ump sees in a typical game, I’m amazed they don’t get it wrong more often.
Here’s a proposal:
Stop letting umpires eject players from games. Well, mostly stop it. Any physical contact between player and ump = ejection. And if a pitcher is throwing at a hitter intentionally, have the ump call NY and get approval to toss him (hopefully that staves off absurd ejections like the Gausman one earlier this year).
Other than that, just eliminate that aspect of the game. If an ump thinks what a player said to him warrants discipline, then he can write it up after the game and send it to the league office. If the league agrees, they can suspend him for the next game. If they think it was bad but not egregious, they can fine him but not suspend him. And if they think the ump needs to grow a pair, they can do nothing.
But it’s absolutely awful watching a game and seeing an umpire eject a player who fans paid money to see. What a crazy system! Nobody gives a flying f*** about umpires, and they’re out there ejecting the actual players because they say something that hurts their feelings? It’s nuts, it can have a real impact on the outcome of games (and therefore the outcome of the season), and it serves no purpose.
No other league comes anywhere close to it. The NFL barely ever ejects players. In the NBA, it’s at least keyed to technical fouls, and most of those are reviewed. I don’t watch much NHL, but I don’t recall ever seeing a player ejected for arguing. I know they can get ejected for major penalties, but that’s again keyed to a standard.
I’m also all in favor of robot balls/strikes for all the obvious reason. But in the meantime, stop letting umps’ egos to ruin the fan experience and interfere with the actual outcome of the game.
nice in theory but it might result in a lot more arguing if the players knew the ump had no recourse, which could relay slow things down. arguing with the ref doesn’t stop the clock in the NFL so you risk delay of game or offside, it’s not really comparable. How about yellow and red cards like in soccer? at least then the player has a chance to back off before getting ejected, but he knows it is a risk
The ump would have recourse though, and the player would face consequences. It would just come the next day. I don’t think we’d see a sudden increase in arguing if players thought they’d be suspended for an entire game rather than ejected from the one they’re currently playing in.
And if it’s really that concerning, you could do it all in-game. Just mic the umps. If an ump thinks a player got so out of hand it merits ejection, then between innings he can notify New York, they can listen in, and they can give him permission to eject. The thing we absolutely have to eliminate is the hot-headed, reactionary ejection. It’s crazy that baseball permits it.
The only thing crazy is supporting players’ right to whine about everything, remove the right of umps to eject them and have them call someone halfway across the country to beg pretty please to do so. Oh, and I’m shocked you want a robot to call balls and strikes. Incredible that there’s so many childish authority haters that claim to be baseball fans. Is it a millennialist thing?
@sgvette Business Insider reports: Millennials Are Killing the Umpire Industry!
Stole my next post idea.
Wanting correct calls is a “millennialist” thing? If the technology exists (which it may not right now), why would anyone support having more incorrect calls than necessary? It’s lunacy.
Haha, right? I love how wanting the correct result more often registers for them as some attack on authority.
I umpire HS baseball, and one of the best moves my state has made is dugout restrictions for managers. Obviously a little different premise, because this is exclusive to coaches/managers, but it’s a move to explore.
There were multiple times this season where I could have easily ejected a coach for his actions/words (continual arguing, excessive language, etc.), but quietly restricting him to the dugout saved a lot of unnecessary fireworks. It also earns an umpire tremendous respect: to take a bad situation and keep the coach in the game, as opposed to tossing him.
As far as ejecting players, most of it comes down to getting over yourself. Players aren’t going to be happy with bad/border-line calls. If it’s excessive, toss him. If it’s jovial or just a comment, ignore it and move on. Maybe even warn the player.
None of this is that hard. Sadly, the umpires union wants to protect the dumb ejections.
I like the idea, but to me it still solves the symptom, not the problem. The problem is the Angel Hernandez, Bucknor and a couple others are terrible at their job. They should be replaced by people who aren’t terrible at their job. If the problem persists, then implement something like this, but until you remove the problem, trying to fix all of the symptoms it creates is likely to create unintentional consequences.
As others have stated, the problem is the bad umpires. Everybody knows that Angel Hernandez is terrible at his job — probably the worst umpire out there. EVERYBODY! For years, players and fans and other have concurred on this point. The best way to handle this is to give the Commissioner or some impartial body the ability to fire bad umpires.
Failing that, there really needs to be more oversight on umpires: more suspensions of umps for when they screw up–like when they put on an “ump show” or eject players for virtually no reason.
Joe West’s recent sarcasm was not deserving of a suspension. On the other hand, Angel Hernandez does things that should get him suspended every other week or so.
Sign this petition to voice your displeasure with Angel Hernandez: http://www.thepetitionsite.com/269/063/489/fire-angel-hernandez/
Kinsler WAS ejected for sarcasm. After Angel called an ankle high pitch a strike, the next one wasn’t close and Kinsler said “How about that one?” And got run. Hernandez is terrible and goes way out of his way to bait players and managers.
He deserved to get tossed and should have been suspended.
It doesn’t matter what job you have in life – if you do 1/2 assed work – people are going to tell you about it. And if you do 1/2 assed work, you deserve to hear about it.
Most people expect better performance and see the umpire’s human error rate as totally unnecessarily in the modern era. It’s particularly vexing – in the Mr. Hernandez example – where an umpire’s poor performance is combined with seemingly low emotional intelligence.
Respect is a two way street. No one gives two shits about your title, it’s all about your performance.
Bring on the machines, eliminate the bad calls and the doubt and let the players play.
Ankle high? You can see the pitch touching the zone on this very page.
The umpire is there to call balls and strikes, safe and out, and maintain order. Most of them do a very good job of that. A very few want to be the center of attention. Bad calls can change the course of a game, but that’s human nature/judgement and I believe most of this washes out in the long run. Bad umpiring is a different and needs to be looked at.
How about a hybrid ump? Half robot and half human. Have the home plate umpire wear an ear piece that simply says if a pitch crossed the plate. Technology can easily and accurately measure this piece. The ump gets buzzed in his ear if the pitch was horizontally a ball or strike. The umpire is responsible for the vertical north/south portion of the strike zone.
How about we rebuild umpires as cyborgs instead? Like Robocop.
I gotta think the first iteration of automated balls and strikes is to implement essentially the challenge structure from tennis, where the umpire makes the calls and the player/manager can challenge up to say, 3 times for the game (and only max once per at bat)… or you could just roll it into existing challenge structure for non ball/strike call events. Like the HawkEye for tennis, the StatCast strike zone graphic then appears on the scoreboard and confirms/overrules the ball or strike call.
This keeps the tempo and simplifies the ease of communication issues and retains the generally accepted look and feel of viewing a baseball game. It will give a few years set of data to see how often the call is overturned to give whichever side the necessary ammunition and if needed, will also allow for a period where this becomes an accepted part of the game so it can eventually be implemented full time.
The “technology isn’t there yet” angle seems to come up every time the umpiring situation and replacing them is discussed. And I mean this as a genuine question, but is that really even true? Or what exactly is meant by that?
Are we saying, “the ability/tech to do this doesn’t exist in the world yet?” Because that seems inaccurate at best. I find it hard to believe that with the advanced pitch-tracking available, automation, machine learning and using things like RF chips even, that it’s not possible to create with a solution that brings together all these useful aspects of modern technology.
Or are we saying, “we just haven’t created the tech yet?” Because that’s a different statement, and again, it seems like a multi-billion dollar sports enterprise could come up with a solution if they so desired. The pieces for the solution exist, it just seems like a matter of interest and willpower to get it done. But again, maybe I’m totally off base.
Since they can automatically show the location on TV as the game is played I have a little trouble believing the tech isn’t available, I think it might be more “how do we make this work in real-time at a game” ie: who announces the plays and keeps the game rolling. As some have suggested above an interesting solution might involve keeping the umpire but having a system that signals them when something is within the zone to minimize the errors.
It’ll be interesting to see how this develops.
But even the TV gets it wrong sometimes. I was watching a game where Kelly of the Red Sox was throwing high strikes to Aaron Judge—properly called per the definition of the strike zone—and the box on TV indicated the pitches were above the strike zone. Just check out the box on the pitch to Hicks as shown by one of the posts above. Does that look like it corresponds to the strike zone? It certainly doesn’t to me.
I think that’s the part of the technology isn’t there. It’s accurately calibrating the strike zone and lining up the pitch with that zone. On the Zobrist call noted in the article, from a side angle the pitch was 4 inches below his knee. On the TV strike zone and the graphs on FG (http://www.fangraphs.com/wins.aspx?date=2017-08-12&team=Diamondbacks&dh=0) the pitch appeared to catch the bottom of the strike zone (or just missed).
That said, the technology isn’t there for human beings to call the strike zone. Pitches are traveling at 90-100 MPH and moving and the ump has to judge where it crosses the front of the plate which he has NO way to determine.
Oh yeah, the hybrid angle is what I’ve heard talked about. It’s also what they tried in independent league baseball in that HBO series, Real Sports.
https://youtu.be/4gAlKCUac10
That particular example looks a bit silly since Eric Byrnes hams it up, but that seems like the reasonable approach. A human ump to make “human” calls (like with any on-field antics or even things like obstruction, etc), and the computer to relay the call to him immediately.
I did a separate comment on this, but this is the idea I think would be best. Keep the ump, but display the Statscast zone on the scoreboard for all to see; then everyone’s working off the same data, and the room to argue becomes very small. Pitchers and batters would have real-time feedback on location/adjustments to make.
If a problem developed with the tech during the game (scoreboard failure, weather interfering with the equipment, whatever – you’ve still got the ump.
Games would be faster, whining WAY down. Seems like an easy, and good solution.
I believe that current technology has a margin of error that’s viewed as excessive.
I’d be curious to see it compared to the margin of error allowed for umpires. I think (and I have nothing to back this in front of me, so take it with an enormous grain of salt) that umps are required to be something like 92% accurate. I wonder how far off that the tech is. I think it would need to be at at least a 98% to justify removing umpires from their roles. Definitely very curious though.
Even if the tech is say 95% on the pitches we test it on, I’m a bit worried that the 5% errors might come in a pattern that can be exploited. But a high starting standard like 98% would mitigate this.
My worry is what if there’s a glitch that causes say, high pitches to be called strikes too much. Pitchers discover that and throw more of those, and so they adjust the error up to 10%.
Fortunately pitchers have limited command.
“Even if the tech is say 95% on the pitches we test it on, I’m a bit worried that the 5% errors might come in a pattern that can be exploited.”
You mean like the way human umpires call a completely different zone for left-handed hitters vs. right-handed hitters?
There is basically no chance that human umpires are either more accurate or more consistent at ball and strike calls than the best available automated system today. All objections to automated ball and strike calls are based on grounds other than accuracy and consistency.
The part I find most believable is the emphasis on real-time application.
There are times when having a call made immediately is paramount to play continuing. Sure, Fox can throw up a graphic between pitches. But is that information immediately available? How would that call be immediately communicated to players who might be stealing or trying to steal? Or unsure of a foul tip? That’s the aspect I wonder about.
I don’t doubt that the (relatively) simple task of discerning balls and strikes is possible. I wonder about the the ability to accurately and safely communicate this info to players instantly. So, I’m willing to the give the ‘tech isn’t ready’ crowd the benfit of the doubt.
A simple remedy for this particular situation would be to require the warning for arguing balls and strikes be documented. I was unaware a player even had to be warned before an ejection could take place, but if that’s the case then the ump should have to gesture to the hitter that he’s been warned just as they do with both benches for pitchers. That would at least take away the hair-trigger ejection. And umps should be instructed to not automatically issue a hitter a warning for every sideways glance, grumble, or simple showing of agitation. He should have to engage the ump verbally in an actual argument.
And yes, Hernandez is particularly brutal. I think he may be the only ump who couldn’t even get a homerun call right on a replay review a few years ago and Torre had to confess the ump got it wrong. I wish I could remember the year and game, but that’s about as bad as it gets.
It was May 8th 2013 A’s vs Indians: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CLE/CLE201305080.shtml
Adam Rosales was given a double in the top the ninth with the A’s down 4-3. A’s fans have never forgiven Hernandez.
The silliness with Chris Segal last week was the worst case of the umpire taking over the game I’ve ever seen. The “I need a break” time out was just the final straw in what had been an incredibly biased game already.
http://www.stltoday.com/sports/columns/jose-de-jesus-ortiz/ortiz-umpires-are-out-of-line-lately/article_662155b0-12c8-5746-b2aa-22b8e7c30b72.html
Because Cardinal Fans think they lost the game because their pitcher couldn’t take 15 minutes to stare at the runner in some brilliant strategic ploy, rather than blowing up and giving up 3 runs in the ninth.
Regardless of where you fall on the debate, and I suspect few favor the umpires, can we all at least agree that the organized protest was likely one of the most tone-deaf and ill-conceived Ideas they could have possible executed?
No we can’t agree. I favor the umpires, and the protest for Kinsler not being suspended was appropriate. Not everyone hates all authority like a child.
I would argue that the on-field authority should be seen as an impartial enforcer of the rules of the game and do not comment on or have an opinion on the punishments for breaking the rules. And in the Kinsler situation, those are things done and said outside the game itself. By doing this, the umps have raised suspicion that they will enact their own punitive measures on players they feel are “abusive” and don’t see a punishment from the league that they agree with.
And why are these “impartial enforcers of the rules” allowed to make those flamboyant punch-outs of batters on a called third strike? Who do they think they are? Frank Drebin?
Are you Angel Hernandez?
But almost everyone (you seem to be an exception) hates an abuse of authority by someone incompetent.
Yeah. Umps protesting the decision made by the authority is so childish!
“you don’t agree with me, so you must hate authority”-yeah, you have quite the solid argument here to really show those children!
I’m gonna give you the benefit of the doubt and just assume you are a troll because your posts are just filled with conclusory statements, ad hominems, and total hypocrisy.
It also might have been the most tone-deaf weekend in the history of the US to wear an armband.
Following is an excerpt from a newspaper article discussing the HBO segment “Man vs. Machine” that dealt with umpires vs. technology:
30,000 Estimated number of inaccurate ball-strike calls each season
How accurate are the strike zone boxes? A lot more accurate than the umpires, the HBO producers found.
They asked Yale professor Dr. Toby Moskowitz to study the Pitch f/x data from MLB games in recent seasons. Moskowitz analyzed every pitch called by major league umpires – nearly a million in all – over the last 3 ½ years.
MLB claims its umpires call 97 percent of balls and strikes correctly. But according to Moscowitz and HBO, the study showed that only about 88 percent of the calls were accurate.
Roughly one of every eight pitches, in other words, were called incorrectly. As Frankel pointed out, that adds up to more than 30,000 bogus balls or strikes each season.
That figure includes the obvious calls where the pitches are right down the middle or way outside. When Moscowitz narrowed his analysis to pitches that were within two inches, either way, of the corners of the plate, the umpires got the call wrong 31.7 percent of the time – nearly one of every three pitches!
Why do millions of people sitting at home get to know whether or not it was a ball or strike, yet the poor dude behind home plate is the one who’s left in the dark?
Former big leaguer Eric Byrnes
Byrnes’ argument is clear. Why doesn’t MLB use a technology that it already has installed, that Sportvision has already fine-tuned, and that is available for TV networks and on stadium scoreboards and even on spectators’ phones through the MLB At-Bat app?
As Byrnes put it, “Why do millions of people sitting at home get to know whether or not it was a ball or strike, yet the poor dude behind home plate is the one who’s left in the dark?”
Because, of course, major league umpires like the dark.
These guys have gotten so good, so good, at calling balls and strikes, they’re not missing any pitches.
Former MLB umpire Jerry Crawford
Former umpire Jerry Crawford, who retired in 2010 after 34 years, called the idea “ridiculous” of having Pitch f/x call major league balls and strikes. The exact exchange sounded like an interrogation at Jurassic Park:
Frankel: Could you ever see a situation where you might want technology to call pitches?
Crawford: Never.
Frankel: But progress is a good thing, isn’t it?
Crawford: Not in the game of baseball.
Crawford went on to cite tradition, hot dogs, blah, blah, blah.
“I don’t care what the guy at Yale has looked at, to be honest with you,” Crawford told Real Sports. “He’s absolutely incorrect.
“These guys have gotten so good, so good, at calling balls and strikes, they’re not missing any pitches.”
You mean they’re calling perfect games, Frankel asked incredulously?
“Yes, they’re calling perfect games,” Crawford smugly replied.
Allow that arrogance, that ignorance, to sink in for a moment . . . because it gets worse.
MLB provides the home plate umpire with video after each game where he can review every ball and strike call. While we assume baseball does this as a modern way of tutoring its umpires and refining their performance, it also seems like a subtle admission that maybe they don’t get “97 percent” of the balls and strikes correct.
Twenty minutes after each game, Crawford said, somebody would knock on the umpires room door and hand him a CD with the pitch video on it.
“I threw it in the trash,” Crawford said.
How accurate are the Pitch f/x measurements? According to Sportvision, testing has shown the system is accurate to within one half-inch.
Note that the pitch graphic is left to the networks to determine how it wants to display it. Each ballpark has its own centerfield camera positions, but they don’t affect the Pitch f/x tracking. If the graphic box doesn’t seem calibrated, that’s likely a problem in the TV control truck. TBS had those issues during last season’s playoffs.
So here’s where the nightmarish 2011 World Series comes in. Moscowitz’s data showed that most of the missed balls and strikes tend to favor the home team.
“Social influence,” Moscowitz called it.
That’s when Real Sports with Bryant Gumbel rolls the tape on Game 7 in St. Louis.
“Our Game 7 data shows that the home plate umpire (Layne) missed 14 calls in favor of the home team Cardinals – against only three for the Rangers.
“Guess who won?” Frankel asks.
Be sure to watch the feature on HBO. You’ll never look at home plate umpiring the same way again.
Maybe Angel should take a lesson from Rizzo about taking the high road.
http://chicago.cbslocal.com/2016/10/20/watch-cubs-anthony-rizzo-apologizes-to-plate-ump-angel-hernandez/
The problem is the worst of the worst get to persist. Angel Hernandez, CB Bucknor and Joe West are BY FAR the most terrible umpires I have ever seen in my 35 years of watching baseball. They should have been fired years ago, yet continue to work and work in high profile games as well. Why do these idiots get to continue in their jobs?
Why were players allowed to take PEDs for so long? Unions and labour organizations have a purpose in sports, and in life in general. If the MLB wants the ability to fire someone who maintains a missed-call rate of 2 or 3 standard deviations below the average, they should bring that to the table in 2019. Obviously, they’ll need to provide concessions for that ability which’ll certainly be more money. With that said, if paying umpires an extra 100K per year meant that you could relegate the bad ones, I don’t think a single fan would mind and I’m sure the MLB could spare the 10M in wages and pension contributions (whatever the number works out to)
I do not actually know any of the specifics regarding the CBA for umpires, so for all I know this could already be implemented. My point is that there has to be more transparency. Umpires and the MLB should agree on a cut-off, and players and fans should know what it is and what the repercussions of continued incompetence are.
Why should MLB have to make concessions to get rid of incompetent umpires? Seems like that ought to be an obvious goal for everyone, especially competent umpires.
Yeah, worst case scenario, these guys should only be allowed to work Philly-San Diego type series. They should never see a game in which a team in contention is involved.
There’s no reason to think that automating the strike zone means we won’t need umpires anymore, even at home plate.
Here’s my proposal:
1) Officially rule whether the strike zone is a two-dimensional or three-dimensional space, i.e. where does “touching the plane” count as a strike.
2) Use a multi-camera system like Hawkeye/SpotShot/PitchFX to determine whether the ball touches that plane at any point. This may be challenging when the bat or the catcher’s glove also may touch the plane.
3) The home plate umpire gets buzzed on a device (in ear, in pocket, in hand, etc.) if it is a strike. No strike = no call = ball.
4) If there is an egregiously missed call by the camera system (maybe on a strange curveball, eephus, etc.), the umpire can overrule it.
5) Umpires who overrule the system and are shown to be wrong get disciplined, with eventual firing for continued incorrect overrules.
6) The home plate umpire can now focus entirely on things like balks, checked swings, catcher’s interference, foul balls, hit by pitch, etc.
7) If the system goes down or clearly stops working for some reason, and the umpires all agree, the home plate umpire takes over and calls the game manually.
8) Have an independent entity compare the camera system accuracy to pre-camera accuracy to determine if this new system is better.
This would really lessen the tension between ump and player, as the player can no longer get angry about missed balls and strikes. I think most player’s realize how difficult checked swings and hit by pitch and foul ball calls are, and while there would still be some arguing, it wouldn’t be nearly as much as there is over balls and strikes.
Yeah, we are not even close to not needing umpires at all. I like your idea. Of course there would be kinks to work out. The ability for the umpire to go rogue would be one issue. Is this public? I can imagine that players would be even madder if the umpire changes the call away from their favor. I mean, if it is egregious, like the ball bounces and then it is called a strike because it bounces up through the zone, sure, but I’d just let the computer be wrong. Humans are more likely to mess up on the borderline calls, so don’t give them that power.
90% isn’t good enough anywhere else in life so why is it accepted in baseball? These players are getting paid millions by owners. If I was an owner 90% wouldn’t be close to acceptable for me.
It is funny reading this article and then the one about Lars where a Japanese manager threw a chair onto the field and didn’t get ejected.
Make things interesting: a challenge system for balls and strikes. Human makes the call. If a player wants to challenge, it goes to the technology. If player is right, call is reversed. If player is wrong and the call confirmed, player is ejected from the game for arguing balls and strikes. Same goes for the pitcher. Should be great fodder for sports writers.
I am not a fan of robot umps for a couple very simple reasons.
1) I am not a fan of everything being automated, in general. Dangerous jobs, sure, automate to help for safety concerns, but I just feel like actual humans give things a quality that no machine can.
2)There are going to be situations this will affect more than balls and strikes. An instance of this that comes to mind would be in a 0-2, 1-2, 2-2 count on a dropped third strike the hitter can attempt to advance to first. If the catcher gets crossed up on a borderline call, what will tell the batter to run? Does he just take off, risking potential injury? If there is a runner on first and they take off in a normal passed ball/wild pitch situation, should the catcher even risk throwing to first in a rush, when it could result in an error, or should they just pocket it hoping it was called a ball. There are probably other situations like this that are not being fully thought out yet.
In my opinion, the best solution is human umps assisted by tech. Give them a pair of glasses that is adjustable to player that gives them a rough square of what the strike zone should be based on that player’s height and stance. Then go from their and make adjustments to the system as necessary.
The irony of the current setup is — the fans at home on TV, the fans with cellphones following gamecast/espn, and the dugouts, all can see the little outline of the strike zone and where the ball passed, in real-time; the only people who can’t, are the guys who have to make the call about it being a ball/strike. It’s really a bizarre situation.
Just let the ump see what all the rest of us see — either give him a hand-held, or put the image up on the scoreboard for all to see at the same time; at least then everyone sees the same thing – imagine how much griping would then be gone? Hell, how much would it speed up the game to eliminate all that looking back at the ump, eye-rolling, stepping out of the box to look skyward after what the batter felt was a bad call, etc?
Keep the ump, just give him what the rest of us have.
If there was ever a use for google glass and augmented reality app…
That’s indeed an interesting application for augmented reality. Give the umpire a strike zone display visor that he can (intuitively) adjust according to batter height, maybe even some way to display where the pitch passed through the zone.
Honestly, what are we all doing? The problem is Angel Hernandez, and has been for awhile. In 99% of cases these things don’t escalate like this. In that 1%, it almost ALWAYS involves Angel Hernandez
“The fact of the matter is they get them right well over 90% of the time.”
I know this is a quote for Manfred, but we need to get away from the idea that this is somehow OK. Most calls in baseball are easy — so easy you could pull a high school player from the stands and he’d get them all right — caught fly balls, foul balls into the screen or stands, grounders where the runner is out by two steps.
It’s pretty well established on close plays umps are right 1/3 of the time, wrong 1/3 of the time, and too close to call 1/3 of the time.
Umpires should be right 98% of the time.
My employer would not be very happy, if I were right only 90% of the time.
If you remove the umps, you remove the controversy. If you remove the controversy, you remove the interest in the controversy. If you remove the interest in the controversy, you remove the money. If you remove the money – then they have to find the new controversy.
Think about the player strike followed by the steroid era – Think about the 2015 pre- ASG ball followed by the post 2015 ASG ball.
MLB is winning! Not in spite of the controversy, but because of it! It would be too easy to get all the calls right. What would we have to argue about then?
“Alright, this is it… Bottom of the ninth, bases loaded, two outs, Altuve digs in. Jansen gets the sign and comes set … wait… what’s this!? CB Bucknor has called time and it looks like he is attempting to slip a sweatband over wrist!!!!”
*CROWD ROARS*
“It’s past his knuckles and over his hand, and… and… HE’s done it!! Bucknor has successfully protested Ian Kinsler being mean!!!”
My overall point is that MLB doesn’t mind the controversy – It brings attention to the game. Attention brings money.
You’re an idiot if you think Selig didn’t turn a blind eye to steroids to regain interest after the strike -and- if you don’t think Manfred implemented the juiced baseball when HR/offense was stagnant.
The bottom line is money.
Ashley, nice piece, objective presentation.
Here’s another idea: The union should stop protecting awful umpires like Angel Hernandez and CB Bucknor and they should be replaced. It seems like about 75% of the issues with umpires are the result of a handful of guys, just get rid of those guys.
I thought this article was going to be about Utley’s ejection last week. He got his second career ejection, and it was allegedly for asking the umpire at 2nd base to reposition himself to improve Utley’s sight of home. Incredible.
I really wish umpires would avoid showing solidarity for actions put in motion by terrible representatives of their profession. I mean, I understand why they do it, but these horrible umpires just draw negative attention to all of them, even if it unfair.
Great article Ashley and very thought provoking! I often think a lot of mutual jealousy is involved to a small degree between players and umps simply from the financial element. While umpires are well paid compared to the average baseball fan and many players are paid much more than both I can see potential friction when different personalities cross paths. However I have seen Angel Hernandez ump may times and he is consistently bad behind the plate. But unless you are close to the field you don’t hear the interaction between the player and the ump. So while visually I may support the player or the guy in the dugout I really have no way to hear how much grief the ump is getting.
I forgot to explain that I think some of the players don’t like a guy like the ump being able to influence his numbers which influences his contract thus my financial element thought!