World Series Game 5 Live Blog
| 5:00 |
: Hello, all. Jeff should be here shortly. Get your questions in now.
|
| 5:01 |
: I’m right here guys
|
| 5:01 |
: I got confused because David opened this before I did
|
| 5:01 |
: WHO GAVE YOU PERMISSION TO DO THAT
|
| 5:01 |
: Early bird and whatnot
|
| 5:01 |
: oh right I did
|
| 5:02 |
: time for the obligatory polls!
|
| 5:02 |
: I will have the alternate commercial viewings starting the next go-round
|
| 5:02 |
Did you bring strong opinions Jeff? |
| 5:03 |
: My opinion is I really hope this game is interesting
|
| 5:03 |
Pro-tip of the night: Do not chicken fry steak without wearing a shirt. |
| 5:03 |
: Several of these words are unnecessary
|
| 5:03 |
: You can’t smell handsome.
|
| 5:04 |
: Handsomeness reflects visual appeal.
|
| 5:05 |
Is anyone trying to pass off milk cartons with Shelby Miller’s likeness as WS memorabilia? |
| 5:05 |
: I may buy that.
|
| 5:08 |
In what situation would you send in Mujica, if you were the Cardinals’ manager? |
| 5:08 |
: Up or down by … 7.
|
| 5:09 |
: Someone’s going to have to explain to me the Silverado Strong scandal
|
| 5:09 |
what’s wrong with Mujica? His regular season numbers don’t look that bad |
| 5:09 |
: I believe it is some sore ot marketing malarkey.
|
| 5:09 |
: They claim he’s fatigued, just like they say about Miller. Yet they remain on the roster anyway
|
| 5:10 |
: That looked like a gift?
|
| 5:10 |
: Nope. Good pitch.
|
| 5:11 |
Where does Wainright’s curve rank for you in terms of aesthetically pleasing pitches to watch? |
| 5:11 |
: It’s up there. Along with Harvey’s two-seam thing. (RIP)
|
| 5:11 |
: I prefer watching Kershaw’s curve, but he throws it a lot less often
|
| 5:12 |
: One of the amazing things about Wainwright’s is the frequency
|
| 5:13 |
: Pasta diving Craig.
|
| 5:13 |
: I feel like the Cardinals should pitch to Ortiz better
|
| 5:13 |
: Just keep trying to pick Ortiz off until he gets tired
|
| 5:14 |
Can we get a desired potential crazy endings poll? Walk off suicide squeeze, walk off bean etc.. |
| 5:14 |
: Way too many options!
|
| 5:14 |
: defensive interference defensive interference defensive interference defensive interference defensive interference defensive interference defensive interference
|
| 5:15 |
Current bet on WS MVP? Papi? |
| 5:15 |
: Walk-off balk
|
| 5:15 |
: hell, even if they lose
|
| 5:15 |
More handsome, CJ Wilson or Josh Hamilton? |
| 5:15 |
: Wilson in some parts of the country, Hamilton in others
|
| 5:15 |
: mostly the more liberal parts
|
| 5:15 |
: well that was a spicy meatball
|
| 5:16 |
: Rare Daniel Nava sighting.
|
| 5:16 |
: Didn’t even realize he was a switch-hitter until the other ady
|
| 5:16 |
: *day
|
| 5:17 |
: Who would want to try to hit a cantaloupe?
|
| 5:17 |
: I meant rare in the general sense of the postseason, by the way.
|
| 5:17 |
: Ouch!!
|
| 5:17 |
Gallagher |
| 5:17 |
: Ya’ll wanna smash some fruit?!
|
| 5:18 |
Jeff! You didn’t cover the Buccholz start! I thought that was your thing! |
| 5:18 |
: He did a great job of staying down
|
| 5:18 |
Top 3 players in the series you’d want on your side in a bench clearing brawl- |
| 5:18 |
: Gomes and Molina to fight, Descalso to sacrifice
|
| 5:19 |
: Zing.
|
| 5:19 |
: Alternate commercial viewing: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ga0ohgZFVqc
|
| 5:19 |
: Perfect last pitch of the inning
|
| 5:20 |
: Ramona Falls, of Portland, OR!
|
| 5:20 |
: Womp it up!
|
| 5:21 |
How much do you believe Napoli’s defensive ratings from this year? is there an argument for him coming in as a defensive-sub for Ortiz late in the game? |
| 5:22 |
: I believe he improved a lot once he was able to concentrate on 1B full-time instead of part-time catching. Yes, that argument exists and is valid under certain circumstances
|
| 5:23 |
Wainwright now at 270 innings for the year. At what point does that start to matter? Completely depend upon the player? |
| 5:23 |
: Pretty much. I think that’s something people are trying to figure out all the time.
|
| 5:23 |
: Have to imagine it’s a factor in there somewhere. He can’t be 100%
|
| 5:24 |
: But keep in mind, he was awesome right before this WS, in which he’s facing the best offense in baseball
|
| 5:24 |
: I think it’s fair to assume that many innings wears a pitcher down no matter what. To what degree is the question.
|
| 5:24 |
I wonder what it is like to watch the team you root for play in October. I hate you Mariners. |
| 5:24 |
: I watched a team I root for play in October on Sunday. They lost to the San Jose Sharks 🙁
|
| 5:25 |
: I’m hoping the Timberwolves make that a reality this year.
|
| 5:25 |
What the worlds needs now is another indie band like I need a hole in my head! |
| 5:25 |
: Meaning getting knocked out in the first round. But still.
|
| 5:25 |
: Ramona Falls has been around for years
|
| 5:26 |
Has anyone done a study on the effectiveness of World Series pitching staffs in the year after the WS? Seems like the weeks of lost rest and the extra innings would hurt performance, but do the numbers support that idea? |
| 5:26 |
: and there’s a partial defensive run saved for Jon Lester
|
| 5:26 |
: This sounds like a weekend piece I need to start tomorrow.
|
| 5:26 |
: No promises, though.
|
| 5:26 |
Is Rosenthal that short or is everyone he interviews super tall? |
| 5:26 |
: He’s quite petite.
|
| 5:27 |
: he’s 5’4.5″
|
| 5:27 |
: Also, the championship hangover effect is a popular theory in the NHL, re: fatigue
|
| 5:27 |
: Short people love breaking it down by half inch.
|
| 5:27 |
: (phrasing)
|
| 5:28 |
: Holliday sure does make a habit of swinging under the ball
|
| 5:28 |
: Feel free to touch that dial: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2DO3BwRZpZo
|
| 5:28 |
Is there a way to view a player’s stats for just the World Series? I’m curious what Ortiz’s wRC+ is right now. |
| 5:29 |
Why do people in Boston still think Lester is an ace despite him being barely better than Rick Porcello? |
| 5:29 |
: I think FG only breaks it down by Postseason/Regular Season
|
| 5:29 |
: Because he used to look like an ace, he still looks like an ace sometimes, and people have trouble letting go
|
| 5:29 |
: No, Nick, that is not possible
|
| 5:30 |
I’m just gonna watch that Russian song from a few chats ago a few dozen times |
| 5:30 |
: Yes. Do that.
|
| 5:30 |
: I’m convinced they broke into that condo to film that.
|
| 5:32 |
: Bogaerts can strike out in four different languages.
|
| 5:33 |
: First three whiffs of the game for Wainwright
|
| 5:33 |
When you have a serious rooting interest in a game, do you actually watch it? Virtually no one in my family can stand to watch their favorite teams in the playoffs. |
| 5:33 |
: I can only relate to this with hockey, but the answer is yes, I plan around the games
|
| 5:34 |
Shane Robinson has actually hit worse against LHP in his career than RHP. Seems like another example of Matheny’s “recency” bias Dave Cameron has been talking about. |
| 5:35 |
: Tiny little samples, though. Can’t conclude a whole lot
|
| 5:35 |
What do you guys think of BA’s farm system rankings that came out today? |
| 5:36 |
: On the other hand, Robinson was bad against LHP in the minors, too!
|
| 5:36 |
: So…!
|
| 5:36 |
: I take any prospect stuff with some grains of salt, but I always like reading them. The Astros system is bonkers.
|
| 5:36 |
: Whether you like their plan or not, they are executing it, it seems.
|
| 5:37 |
The ridiculous thing is that the Cardinals could be even better next year with no big signings |
| 5:37 |
: Also true.
|
| 5:37 |
: This has been making the rounds today, but if you missed it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNe0ZUD19EE
|
| 5:37 |
: And that’s how you respond to speculation that innings have worn you down
|
| 5:38 |
How much do the Astro’s impact the A’s playoff seeding? win/loss record |
| 5:38 |
: Haven’t looked, but they certainly helped the Rangers.
|
| 5:38 |
: We’ve written about this a few times
|
| 5:38 |
: It was a matter of like 2 or 3 or 4 games
|
| 5:38 |
: There you go.
|
| 5:39 |
I’m surprised that overhead marching band formations hasn’t morphed into a genre of porn |
| 5:39 |
: I know hard core marching dudes. It basically has.
|
| 5:39 |
Do batters hit better against a pitcher the second time around in a series? |
| 5:39 |
: Can’t tell if serious…
|
| 5:40 |
: Hehe
|
| 5:40 |
: Carlos! Did you put your retainer in?!
|
| 5:40 |
: (that was his mom)
|
| 5:40 |
: So much for the no-hitter you guaranteed, Lester.
|
| 5:41 |
: I bet his ribs hurt all the time, Tim.
|
| 5:41 |
Just got here. Have you guys ranted enough about Robinson batting second? |
| 5:41 |
: No. Ranting is unprofessional! And implies emotional investment.
|
| 5:41 |
: IT’S TERRIBLE. FIRE EVERYONE!
|
| 5:42 |
Hey Jeff, how were you able to go back and see individual at-bats in MLB Gameday view to use in your articles? I can get the pitch-by-pitch listing but not the actual graphic. |
| 5:42 |
: Classic tab
|
| 5:42 |
: if that ever goes away I’m lighting my own apartment on fire
|
| 5:42 |
: Trade secret.
|
| 5:42 |
: You can stay with me.
|
| 5:42 |
: I’ll just stay in my apartment and die.
|
| 5:43 |
what kind effect do you think buzzing ortiz with a couple pitches would have? he’s awfully comfortable at the plate |
| 5:43 |
: Fair enough.
|
| 5:43 |
: It would cost the Cardinals some balls
|
| 5:43 |
Have you ever seen a reverse platoon split over a big enough sample to think it might be real? |
| 5:43 |
: I think Ichiro? Haven’t checked in a while though in case that reversed
|
| 5:43 |
Is there anything — anything at all — to catchers’ ERA? It does seem like Ross is better for the pitchers. Does it show up in statistics? |
| 5:43 |
: The metric itself isn’t really useful, but the concept makes sense
|
| 5:44 |
: Ross is an excellent receiver; don’t know about his game-calling
|
| 5:44 |
: There’s that outer-edge cutter
|
| 5:44 |
Will Cards address the SS situation or will Kozma still have his job next season? |
| 5:44 |
: Dang.
|
| 5:44 |
: They are most certainly getting somebody new
|
| 5:45 |
: They got the $$.
|
| 5:45 |
Ichiro, 114 wRC+ vs lefties, 104 vs righties. |
| 5:45 |
: There you go.
|
| 5:45 |
They have money, but there isn’t much to spend it on. Drew? Peralta? |
| 5:46 |
: Peralta makes sense.
|
| 5:46 |
: Depending on years.
|
| 5:46 |
: Commercial alternative: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3Ydz9ld_A
|
| 5:47 |
: Wainwright: 37 pitches, five curveballs
|
| 5:48 |
So, any idea what the record is for most Ks by a team in a world series game? |
| 5:48 |
: 17!
|
| 5:48 |
: That’s so many.
|
| 5:48 |
: Only game at 17. No games at 16.
|
| 5:48 |
: GAH!
|
| 5:49 |
: Pitcher hitting!
|
| 5:49 |
: Watching playoff baseball always informs me of popular television shows that are on that I”ve never heard of before
|
| 5:50 |
Any idea who has the highest single-game WPA in a World Series game? |
| 5:50 |
: David Freese. 2011.
|
| 5:50 |
: And now Jon Lester is hitless in 41 career plate appearances
|
| 5:50 |
: At least for hitters.
|
| 5:50 |
Wait, Lester guaranteed a no-hitter? |
| 5:51 |
: Yeah it was all over the internet, what a jerk
|
| 5:51 |
You think the players hate McCarver’s and Bucks comment as much as most of us? I know LoMo has said some things |
| 5:51 |
: Highest WPA in a WS for a pitcher was Babe Ruth, btw.
|
| 5:51 |
: I doubt very many of them care or pay attention, but some of those on Twitter have made their remarks
|
| 5:51 |
: 1916. Game 2.
|
| 5:52 |
What are your thoughts on Lester? #2 on most pitching staffs? |
| 5:52 |
: Sounds about right
|
| 5:52 |
: This game is flying by. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_DS3wmldJYw
|
| 5:53 |
: /is on pace for ordinary three-hour game
|
| 5:53 |
Wouldn’t catcher’ xFIP be a better stat if for no other reason than that xFIP is a much better stat than ERA? |
| 5:53 |
: It would probably be better, but something to be said for calling the right pitches/locations that keep people off balance
|
| 5:53 |
Does Fangraphs’ stats page have any way to look at a pitcher’s pitch type frequency base on who is caatching? |
| 5:53 |
: Nope 🙁
|
| 5:53 |
Is an injured Craig the better option than Adams? |
| 5:54 |
: Against Lester, yeah, probably. But I don’t know to what extent his swing is restricted
|
| 5:55 |
True or False: Lester’s success depends on his changeup more than any other pitch |
| 5:55 |
: I’m going with cutter due to recency bias
|
| 5:55 |
: If I recall he barely used his changeup in the first game
|
| 5:56 |
: There’s one nice and unsatisfying hit for David Freese
|
| 5:56 |
In my experience, most players are more like McCarver than McCarthy. |
| 5:56 |
Walk Ortiz regardless of circumstances next AB? |
| 5:56 |
: Don’t think I can ever get behind that approach
|
| 5:57 |
: I mean you’ve got Adam Wainwright on the mound
|
| 5:57 |
: Kinda looked like Kozma was safe?
|
| 5:57 |
: nope
|
| 5:57 |
Can anything tonight top Cody Ross’s twitter performance last night? |
| 5:57 |
: I have absolutely no idea what you mean
|
| 5:58 |
What are the ideas bouncing around on how to develop a metric for measuring catcher play calling? |
| 5:58 |
: If there are any good ones, I haven’t heard of them
|
| 5:58 |
Cody Ross retweeted a bunch of tweets where people mistook David Ross for him. |
| 5:59 |
: Easy mistake to make
|
| 5:59 |
Jeff, Can we have a chat with Appelman? Tog suggest features and chance for Fangraphs? |
| 5:59 |
: Just bother Dave about suggestions in all of his chats. Email him and call him personally after hours too
|
| 5:59 |
: If you can penetrate his crystal palace, go for it.
|
| 6:00 |
bunting in front of the pitcher? really? |
| 6:00 |
: Also basically bunting with a pitcher
|
| 6:00 |
: First one to PayPal me $100 gets Cameron’s phone number.
|
| 6:00 |
Tango’s walk Bonds chart- http://tangotiger.net/walkbondschart.html |
| 6:00 |
:
|
| 6:01 |
If Kozma hadn’t ducked and the ball had hit him, he would have been out? |
| 6:01 |
: I believe only if the umpire deemed it intentional
|
| 6:02 |
Is Appelman a real person or just a computer AI? |
| 6:02 |
: Convincing and clammy hologram
|
| 6:03 |
: Zoinks.
|
| 6:03 |
: Well that sure didn’t look like much of a strike
|
| 6:03 |
: Holy actual shit
|
| 6:03 |
: Ross’d
|
| 6:03 |
: Classic commercial alternative: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTH71AAxXmM
|
| 6:03 |
: That wasn’t even over the blurry Gameday strike zone line
|
| 6:04 |
Way inside. Didn’t come close to cutting the plate |
| 6:04 |
he called that same exact pitch a ball 3 pitches earlier |
| 6:05 |
great pitch |
| 6:05 |
: Is it that thing where the batter takes off for first right away? Do umps really hate that?
|
| 6:05 |
: I’m sure they don’t like it, but if that informs the calls they make, they really suck then
|
| 6:06 |
Has anyone tried to make a FIP using HitTracker’s SOB/VLA/HLA instead of HR? |
| 6:06 |
: I think both are true.
|
| 6:06 |
: How would that work? And no, not to my knowledge
|
| 6:06 |
: lol
|
| 6:06 |
: Ortiz…
|
| 6:06 |
: awful pitch though
|
| 6:07 |
: well, not awful, but not good
|
| 6:07 |
: These interviews are the worst, right?
|
| 6:07 |
Can someone working for fangraphs be bullied into looking at at-bats where the batter preemptively runs towards first, and see if that affects umpire calls? |
| 6:07 |
: I used to not care. But now I care and I don’t like them.
|
| 6:07 |
: Good god know. I mean, lovely idea, but good luck, researcher!
|
| 6:08 |
: I liked the interview with Fister they did in the ALCS. But by and large, yes, waste of everybody’s time
|
| 6:08 |
: It’s more that the camera stays on them. I’d like to watch the game.
|
| 6:09 |
: I like looking at Chris Carpenter
|
| 6:09 |
: Gomes sure does have a short swing
|
| 6:09 |
Hover over the player search, 10 common searches lately: 8 players in the WS right now, Mike Trout, ……….and Sergio Santos |
| 6:09 |
: For those interested, coming into today, Ortiz has a 2.114 OPS in the WS.
|
| 6:10 |
are players and managers somewhat obligated to do these god-awful interviews? |
| 6:10 |
: They get managers betewen innings, then players who’re uninvolved. I don’t know how they get hooked up but I imagine there’s a semi-obligation
|
| 6:10 |
: like, you can volunteer, but ultimately someone has to do it
|
| 6:10 |
: One more White Stripes: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlcMRq3gb1s
|
| 6:11 |
No kidding. no follow through at all!! |
| 6:11 |
: re: Gomes. His homer swing yesterday was just like swinging an axe
|
| 6:11 |
Re: Santos. An MLB team’s analytics dept doing research on a potential trade with the Jays? |
| 6:11 |
: That would be cool.
|
| 6:11 |
Do you think the fact that watching network broadcasts makes fans less informed hurts the long-term popularity of the game? |
| 6:12 |
: No, because the NFL is more popular than ever, and NFL announcers are complete idiots
|
| 6:12 |
: mostly because they played in the NFL
|
| 6:12 |
: and the NFL renders one mentally handicapped
|
| 6:13 |
Could Ortiz possibly get the World Series MVP award if the Cardinals win the series? |
| 6:13 |
: I think he definitely could!
|
| 6:14 |
: I doubt the Cardinals would mind, either, if this keeps up
|
| 6:14 |
re: player interviews mid-game. Verlander’s a good interview usually |
| 6:14 |
: CUTTER
|
| 6:14 |
: Dirty.
|
| 6:14 |
: NOTHING YOU CAN DO
|
| 6:15 |
So if axe-swinging Gomes faces hachet-throwing Collmenter does the ball go right back to him? |
| 6:15 |
: I think both players are simultaneously murdered
|
| 6:15 |
: Clutch.
|
| 6:15 |
: DING DONG
|
| 6:16 |
: Sure, NOW they cheer.
|
| 6:16 |
: slamma lamma-
|
| 6:16 |
TIE GAME! |
| 6:16 |
CRUSHED |
| 6:16 |
: Oh boy.
|
| 6:17 |
: aww
|
| 6:17 |
: I mean, /unbiased
|
| 6:17 |
and think if beltran were batting second probably a 2 run dinger |
| 6:17 |
: Not really how all this works
|
| 6:17 |
can a FG researcher figure out if stadiums that pour smoke after HRs have fewer back-to-backs hit at home? |
| 6:17 |
: I’ll text Eno.
|
| 6:18 |
: For the record, all that smoke is really just in the outfield
|
| 6:18 |
: Spiderman!
|
| 6:18 |
: Doubt it affects hitters at all
|
| 6:18 |
: Commercial alternative, because I miss him: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHQ7FwJQtN8
|
| 6:19 |
the holliday pitch didnt cut b/c it wasnt a cutter… |
| 6:20 |
Long foul flies correlate to home runs later in the at bat? |
| 6:20 |
: Not one clue! Wish I could investigate
|
| 6:20 |
How are the TV ratings for this World series so far? |
| 6:20 |
: Fine and low at the same time
|
| 6:20 |
Cardinals hit Lester hard that inning, couple of loud outs and nice defense. Can’t defend against the HR though. |
| 6:20 |
: Signs of life against a lefty, which is rare for them
|
| 6:21 |
Calcaterra had good article on HBT regarding ratings today. |
| 6:21 |
TV rating are pretty terrible according to Olbermann |
| 6:21 |
: And it still doesn’t matter
|
| 6:21 |
Who is the best single player on either team? Yadi? |
| 6:21 |
: That’s my pick. David?
|
| 6:22 |
: Sorry. Beer run. Uh, yeah. That seems reasonable.
|
| 6:23 |
: by the way, here’s a working WE% chart http://www.fangraphs.com/livewins.aspx?date=2013-10-28&team=Cardinals&dh=0&season=2013
|
| 6:23 |
Is Yadier Molina going to be HOFer? His counting stats aren’t that impressive |
| 6:23 |
: Drew with the Pete Kozma special from the other day
|
| 6:23 |
: If writers are still voting when he’s eligible? Yes.
|
| 6:23 |
: Molina’s case is going to depend on advances in catcher evaluation over the next couple decades
|
| 6:23 |
: Good point. The voters of now won’t be voting then. Didn’t think that through.
|
| 6:24 |
: Classic Temple.
|
| 6:24 |
And why don’t ratings matter? |
| 6:25 |
: Yadier Molina drops ball. Runners don’t advance. Gets strike anyway. Remember this moment
|
| 6:26 |
who has the brightest future out of anyone on the rosters? Bogaerts? |
| 6:26 |
: oh yes
|
| 6:26 |
: Really trying to get Lester to bunt at a curve
|
| 6:27 |
Article about ratings: http://www.businessinsider.com/keith-olbermann-why-no-one-watches-baseball-2013-10 |
| 6:27 |
: Price is Right noise.
|
| 6:27 |
: How did something called Business Insider get all clicky and Internetty?
|
| 6:27 |
: Yeah. It’s like a BuzzFeed clone now.
|
| 6:27 |
: When did that happen? Was it always like that? Why is it called that then?
|
| 6:28 |
: It’s such trash! Jesus!
|
| 6:28 |
: I noticed it not that long ago.
|
| 6:28 |
: It’s all such trash!
|
| 6:28 |
: Does culture reflect what’s on the Internet, or vice versa?
|
| 6:28 |
: Oh, don’t get me wrong, we’re all trash.
|
| 6:28 |
: The internet just holds up the mirror 🙁
|
| 6:29 |
Poll idea: What is the gender breakdown of the FG Chats? |
| 6:29 |
: That poll would have one option
|
| 6:29 |
: Tune in tomorrow for German media theory chat.
|
| 6:29 |
Did you guys know that Curtis Leskanic used to shave his arm. He thought it made him throw faster |
| 6:30 |
: What was that noise just now?
|
| 6:30 |
: Anyone?
|
| 6:30 |
: Whooooooosh
|
| 6:30 |
: Big wiffah!
|
| 6:30 |
How does the rulebook classify the difference between bunting on 2 strikes and a weak swing? Seems like it would be hard |
| 6:31 |
: Off the top of my head: hand position? Or umpire judgment. Generally pretty easy to tell
|
| 6:31 |
: Commercial alternate from when MTV played videos: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEjutUbgpH8
|
| 6:31 |
who has the bleakest future? Most likely to produce less then 0 war for the remainder of there career? Carlos Beltran? |
| 6:31 |
: Tony Cruz
|
| 6:31 |
david do you actually watch the game or spend the whole time finding commercial alternatives |
| 6:31 |
: I prep most before hand.
|
| 6:32 |
: beforehand
|
| 6:32 |
: Going back a few minutes in the chat:
|
| 6:32 |
It’s always been like that. It was started by a douche with an Internet business plan, and he just got lucky. |
| 6:32 |
In 2014, everything will be an infographic. |
| 6:32 |
I really wish Buzzfeed would cease to exist. |
| 6:32 |
Brian Kenney bitching on twitter about Lester bunting. Seems like he’s taking the killthebunt thing a little too far he’s a pitcher. |
| 6:33 |
: Yeah, I don’t know what he wants. Lester has never had a hit ever
|
| 6:33 |
Is that true? Can most pitchers not throw curves out of the stretch? That seems crazy. |
| 6:33 |
: I assume it’s McCarver nonsense, with a 5% chance of being somewhat legitimate
|
| 6:33 |
: Research topic!
|
| 6:33 |
How many curveballs now for Wainwright? |
| 6:34 |
: 17 out of 70
|
| 6:34 |
: which means 12 out of last 33
|
| 6:34 |
True or false: Tonight’s pitchers are okay. |
| 6:34 |
: Love a good duel
|
| 6:35 |
there is always a relevant one – http://xkcd.com/1273/ |
| 6:35 |
I’m very bad at research. Does someone offer a tutorial on Play Index? |
| 6:35 |
: Somebody should. I fell in love with the event finder, but no one ever told me of how much it is capable.
|
| 6:35 |
this is what game 1 was supposed to be |
| 6:36 |
: Remember Lee vs. Lincecum?
|
| 6:36 |
If Lester goes 1-2-3 this inning, do you pinch hit for Wainwright in bottom of 6th? I know Matheny doesn’t, but would you? |
| 6:36 |
: Depends a little on other circumstances, but probably
|
| 6:36 |
Wainwright pitching better, worse, or equal to game 1? |
| 6:36 |
: Considerably better
|
| 6:37 |
If you had to pitch the whole game with one pitcher’s pitch only (ie. Jeff Sullivan’s Changeup), which would it be? |
| 6:37 |
: I’ll concede that I can’t say Rivera’s cutter anymore since he’s retiring
|
| 6:37 |
: So Kenley Jansen’s cutter
|
| 6:38 |
: Hey, a Vince Vaughn movie! He’s making millions for this!
|
| 6:38 |
Now Lester has thrown the most pitches of any pitcher this season, just passing Verlander |
| 6:38 |
McCarver still talking about that cutter to Holliday that wasn’t a cutter… |
| 6:39 |
Is there any difference in pitch speed between Wainwright’s game 1 and game 5? |
| 6:39 |
: nothing that I see
|
| 6:39 |
what would jeff sullivan’s changeup be clocked at? 55? |
| 6:39 |
: around there, if it went in the direction of the radar gun, which it wouldn’t. changeups are so hard!
|
| 6:39 |
What is your fave recent playoff duel? I’ve got Carpenter and Halladay in 2011. |
| 6:39 |
: Crowdsource!
|
| 6:40 |
Ortiz hasn’t made any defensive mistakes in St. Louis, right? |
| 6:40 |
: Nothing major that I’ve seen
|
| 6:40 |
Who went further in (playing) baseball, Cameron or Sullivan? |
| 6:40 |
: I think I did
|
| 6:40 |
Lester has only thrown 59 pitches. Any chance he goes the distance due to somewhat thin bullpen? |
| 6:41 |
: Doubt it, given the offday
|
| 6:41 |
What would Jeff Sullivan’s peak fastball be clocked at? |
| 6:41 |
: somewhere in the 70s 🙁
|
| 6:41 |
Bout the only misplay so far for him is failing to pick that Bogaerts throw yesterday, and that wasn’t particularly egregious. |
| 6:41 |
carp vs halladay has to be the best duel since morris vs smoltz |
| 6:41 |
Verlander/Gray! |
| 6:41 |
do the cardinals have any plans for shelby miller in the series? |
| 6:41 |
: Not on the field
|
| 6:41 |
were you a pitcher? I think Cameron was a catcher. what would your meetings on the mound be like? |
| 6:42 |
: I was a LHP. Our meetings would be high-schooly, because we’d be in high school
|
| 6:42 |
circumstances gives carp vs halladay the edge |
| 6:42 |
: Time for Ortiz!
|
| 6:43 |
: Don’t throw a fastball over the plate this time!
|
| 6:43 |
: So far, punished two inner-half fastballs
|
| 6:43 |
: aaaaand a cutter right down the middle.
|
| 6:44 |
: That was below the belt, McCarver.
|
| 6:44 |
That was Napoli who didn’t field the Bogaerts throw. |
| 6:44 |
1-2 count! |
| 6:45 |
great pitch |
| 6:45 |
Jeff, I’m listening to the radio. What did McCarver say that was below the belt? |
| 6:45 |
: He said a pitch below the belt was high out of the zone
|
| 6:45 |
: Oh, he didn’t say anything indecent
|
| 6:46 |
: McCarver with the mechanical insight!
|
| 6:46 |
This is an awesome battle. |
| 6:46 |
did either of you catch the mccarver interview on MLB network? he basically said that he doesnt think before he speaks |
| 6:46 |
: Who does, honestly?
|
| 6:46 |
: Curveball lineout. Nobody wins
|
| 6:46 |
Why did WE go up for the Red Sox when Pedroia grounded out? Over the history of baseball, teams with nobody on and nobody out won less than teams with nobody on and… one out in the top of the sixth? |
| 6:47 |
: It didn’t
|
| 6:47 |
The Red Sox radio feed had discussion on how Wainwright was changing windup speed to disrupt Ortiz. |
| 6:47 |
: McCarver was on it too!
|
| 6:48 |
: Maybe something to write about later
|
| 6:48 |
: No way is Wainwright about to get PH for
|
| 6:48 |
: it helps that the bench is just terrible
|
| 6:49 |
Eno just retweeted someone who says Waino does this all the time |
| 6:49 |
: Think Wainwright’s doing ok
|
| 6:49 |
Matheny definitely won’t PH for Wainwright, and maybe he’d be right, but probably not? |
| 6:49 |
: To be honest, with an effective Wainwright and a terrible bench, I’d probably just leave him be for now
|
| 6:49 |
: OK. Sorry about the absence, but for those interested, from 2007-2012, 42% of curveballs have been thrown with at least one runner on base.
|
| 6:50 |
: That’s the best I could do for from-the-stretch data
|
| 6:50 |
: Thanks David!
|
| 6:50 |
: That took too long.
|
| 6:50 |
Wainwright changes where he starts on the rubber and his glove positioning throughout the game. He is resorting to new tricks because his normal system isn’t enough right now |
| 6:50 |
wainwright does the little hesitation thing all the time |
| 6:50 |
that thing Eno RT’ed – “McCarver is completely wrong, as usual. Wainwright varies his windup ALL THE TIME.” |
| 6:51 |
If Adams were to face a righty, and there was a runner on, I think you PH for Waino, but short of that not really. |
| 6:51 |
I rarely miss a Cardinals game. While Wainwright may vary his wind up speed a little to throw the hitters off, I don’t remember him doing it like that |
| 6:51 |
: Nuaaannnncceee
|
| 6:51 |
: Cardinals at 57% WE% by the way
|
| 6:51 |
: Not to brag, but my wife looks like that Kindle lady
|
| 6:52 |
: NO
|
| 6:52 |
is she just as sweet? |
| 6:55 |
Why is the cardinals WE 1.2% higher than it was at this point last inning? |
| 6:55 |
: Greater ratio of remaining outs
|
| 6:55 |
: I feel like turnover might not be the best descriptor.
|
| 6:55 |
: haha Lester tripped like some idiot
|
| 6:55 |
Heyman’s last tweet is a fun one. |
| 6:55 |
Jon Heyman ?@JonHeymanCBS 1m theres still folks who say theres no such thing as clutch in baseball. in basketball yes, but not baseball. come on. #papi |
| 6:56 |
: #papi
|
| 6:56 |
Does Win expectancy take into account a teams struggle against say lefties? And is there a right up on how it is calculated i’m intrigued. |
| 6:56 |
: No, it is not that complex
|
| 6:56 |
: It’s all just run-scoring probabilities based on averages
|
| 6:56 |
: That’s some next level shiz.
|
| 6:57 |
is it just me or does Ortiz look not half bad at first base? |
| 6:57 |
: Red Sox fans say he’s actually perfectly capable out there
|
| 6:57 |
: There was just a local news promo about a dog’s fight for its life.
|
| 6:57 |
: I live in a major metropolitan city.
|
| 6:57 |
Minnesota had the same commercial |
| 6:58 |
: That’s where I live!
|
| 6:58 |
David hates dogs!!!!!! |
| 6:58 |
Shouldn’t ellsbury bunt at craig? |
| 6:58 |
: FALSE
|
| 6:58 |
jeff where did you go to college |
| 6:58 |
: Trinity College in CT
|
| 6:58 |
Minnesota is a major metropolitan city? |
| 6:59 |
: It was the Minneapolis news. That’s what I assumed he meant.
|
| 6:59 |
RISP two outs does Lester bat??? |
| 6:59 |
: Probably shouldn’t?
|
| 7:00 |
: In that situation you have to PH
|
| 7:00 |
Has anyone ever hit a walkoff dong in game 7 of the World Series? |
| 7:00 |
: Maz!
|
| 7:00 |
David does it bother people in Minneapolis that there are no teams that just rep the city, only the state at large? |
| 7:01 |
: I don’t think so. I mean, they all play in MSP. But I’m not from here.
|
| 7:01 |
: The Lakers used to.
|
| 7:01 |
This game has moved along at a fairly good pace. |
| 7:01 |
: I’m as surprised as you are
|
| 7:01 |
: except, tied
|
| 7:01 |
and Joe Carter, no? |
| 7:01 |
: Game 6
|
| 7:01 |
what’s the most Ks in a WS game? |
| 7:01 |
: 17, by Bob Gibson
|
| 7:02 |
Bogaerts has looked silly in all his at bats against Waino |
| 7:02 |
: Boy is there egg on your face!
|
| 7:02 |
: GROSS!
|
| 7:02 |
Cardinals might want to start playing Boegarts up the middle |
| 7:02 |
Well he did look silly in his first at bat! so Hah! |
| 7:03 |
Who is the MLB equivalent to Calvin Johnson? In that they’re just a complete physical/athletic freak. Trout probably? |
| 7:03 |
: That’s a good comp. Puig?
|
| 7:03 |
Bo Jackson |
| 7:03 |
Cespedes? |
| 7:03 |
David Wells? |
| 7:04 |
: OK. You seem to like that question.
|
| 7:04 |
Matt Holliday’s forearms |
| 7:04 |
I appreciate well-gifed articles are much as the next guy, but if any of your lives turn into that guy’s from Deadspin, please quit. It’s not worth it. |
| 7:04 |
: That dude is a machine. And he owns many machines.
|
| 7:05 |
: It’s like the desk of the worst super villain.
|
| 7:05 |
Who would be Lebron’s baseball comp? |
| 7:05 |
: N/A
|
| 7:05 |
: Deadspin dude seems to have the worst life
|
| 7:06 |
: I mean, I don’t think he realizes it, but good god damn
|
| 7:06 |
Lebron would be like if Trout also pitched. |
| 7:06 |
: We could have that Lester situation in a minute…
|
| 7:06 |
oh god what do you do with lester |
| 7:07 |
: You need to PH if he bats with the game tied. If Ross drives a run home here, you probably just keep him
|
| 7:08 |
: Drama.
|
| 7:08 |
: and now Lester bats
|
| 7:08 |
: controversy-free
|
| 7:08 |
: somewhat controversy-free
|
| 7:08 |
Squeeze play with Lester? |
| 7:09 |
: No.
|
| 7:09 |
: Oh man. Has there ever been a pinch bunt? There has to have been, right?
|
| 7:10 |
: Like in the 30s or whatever?
|
| 7:10 |
: And that happened
|
| 7:10 |
: Should not be Wainwright here
|
| 7:11 |
: Should not be Wainwright here…
|
| 7:11 |
: Waiting….
|
| 7:11 |
: haha
|
| 7:11 |
: Waiting…
|
| 7:11 |
: Damn.
|
| 7:12 |
: It’s not like Ellsbury has a huge platoon split but damn
|
| 7:12 |
: Lookie look
|
| 7:12 |
: Matheny burned AGAIN. Amazing.
|
Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.
Best anthem so far. Short, sweet, and to the point.