2024 ZiPS Projections: Boston Red Sox
For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Boston Red Sox.
Batters
As last-place teams go, the 2023 Red Sox were a pretty good one. Nobody puts a 78–84 season on their sizzle reel, but they played adequate baseball for most of the season, enough that they hovered two to four games out of a wild card spot for a large chunk of the summer. An 8–19 September suffocated those chances, but Boston still managed to have an 81–81 Pythag record. If the Red Sox played in a Central division, they would have been competitive for even longer. But Boston’s coastline is on the Atlantic Ocean, not a Great Lake, so this is where they compete.
The offense highlights the awkward situation the Sox are in. They may be happy with the value they got for a year of Mookie Betts, but he offers something that the Red Sox don’t have: someone who can go out of their minds for a year and put an 8–9-WAR season on the leaderboard. Rafael Devers is very good, and one of the premier power-hitting third basemen of this generation; ZiPS gives him a final median home run total among his active compatriots at the hot corner (442) that’s behind only Manny Machado. But he’s not a multi-dimensional all-around monster. Nor is Trevor Story going to fill that role, even if he has as juicy a comeback season as ZiPS thinks he will. Triston Casas should be good as well, but the rest of the roster is just “there.” To upgrade on this group, you need to find 3–4-WAR players, and those don’t come cheap. Boston would be better off with a few more sixes and zeroes on the depth chart.
On the plus side, some of the reinforcements may help, with ZiPS finding a lot of interesting possibilities in Boston’s top prospects. Ceddanne Rafaela didn’t hit in his brief debut, but my Total Zone-esque coordinate measurement system had him as the second-best center fielder in the minors, behind only Jorge Barrosa. ZiPS also already has Marcelo Mayer at the two wins-per-600 PA threshold in 2025 and is certainly more into Kyle Teel than Steamer is. But like the main offense, there just isn’t that phenom guy, though Mayer could take a big step up if his shoulder doesn’t give him too much more trouble. This isn’t a great offseason to make big offensive additions via free agency, and given how the Red Sox have been run in recent years, I can’t imagine they’ll go into any rentals.
Pitchers
The story here is similar. The Sox aren’t bad anywhere, but there just isn’t a tremendous amount of upside either. Expecting Chris Sale to channel the old Chris Sale for 160 innings is a big ask, and Brayan Bello looks more like a good number two than an ace for the franchise that had Roger Clemens and Pedro Martinez. With Steamer, we have the Red Sox rotation as the middle of the pack, and I don’t think anything ZiPS is saying here will change that. On the good side, there are quite a few above-replacement Plan Bs, Cs, and Ds for the rotation — necessary given the injury history of several of the starters — but nobody with amazingly high potential. And maybe someone like Wikelman Gonzalez will change that, but it’s a little too soon for projections to see that as a median outcome. This is one place I can see the team spending some money this winter.
When Steamer came out, I was a little surprised to see the Red Sox projected as a top-10 bullpen, but ZiPS actually agrees with that. I suspect Garrett Whitlock is likely to stay in the bullpen from here on out — this has not been confirmed as far as I’ve seen one way or the other — and as a full-time reliever, ZiPS sees him with an ERA in the low threes. Chris Martin joined the team in a whisper on a two-year contract last offseason and served as one of the team’s indispensable parachutes, with an ERA just over one. Clocks are a concern given his age, and there’s a clear warning sign in the strikeout rate decline, but he should still put hitters in their place for another season. As veteran relievers go, ZiPS isn’t as confident about Kenley Jansen given his age and some erosion in his peripheral metrics, and I’d like to see the Red Sox slowly transition their closer job to Whitlock if they keep him in relief. The bottom of the ‘pen isn’t exciting, but it’ll get the job done.
The Red Sox look like an 80–86 win team or so. That kind of team can surprise, and with the coins flipping a bit different last year, they could have made a real wild card run. The Orioles, Blue Jays, and Rays are a clear tier above them, though, and when all is said and done by winter’s end, I think the Yankees may be as well. But that last question is a tale for another ZiPS entry.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | L | 27 | 3B | 655 | 586 | 95 | 164 | 38 | 1 | 33 | 107 | 58 | 126 | 4 | 2 |
Alex Verdugo | L | 28 | RF | 591 | 536 | 83 | 157 | 36 | 3 | 14 | 65 | 46 | 88 | 4 | 2 |
Trevor Story | R | 31 | SS | 411 | 370 | 54 | 91 | 23 | 2 | 15 | 54 | 33 | 117 | 15 | 3 |
Justin Turner | R | 39 | 1B | 514 | 454 | 67 | 128 | 26 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 46 | 90 | 3 | 1 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | R | 23 | CF | 557 | 521 | 76 | 136 | 29 | 6 | 15 | 76 | 23 | 133 | 20 | 8 |
Masataka Yoshida | L | 30 | LF | 553 | 501 | 67 | 148 | 29 | 2 | 16 | 74 | 43 | 68 | 5 | 1 |
Triston Casas | L | 24 | 1B | 502 | 428 | 67 | 113 | 22 | 2 | 22 | 71 | 69 | 119 | 1 | 1 |
David Hamilton | L | 26 | SS | 496 | 443 | 62 | 104 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 121 | 35 | 9 |
Wilyer Abreu | L | 25 | LF | 474 | 414 | 63 | 102 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 127 | 9 | 4 |
Kyle Teel | L | 22 | C | 456 | 410 | 51 | 107 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 51 | 42 | 100 | 6 | 2 |
Jarren Duran | L | 27 | CF | 453 | 415 | 60 | 106 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 31 | 114 | 21 | 3 |
Enmanuel Valdez | L | 25 | 2B | 457 | 411 | 57 | 104 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 40 | 109 | 6 | 3 |
Adam Duvall | R | 35 | CF | 389 | 355 | 48 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 21 | 61 | 26 | 119 | 3 | 1 |
Nick Sogard | B | 26 | 3B | 444 | 394 | 55 | 101 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 42 | 85 | 10 | 4 |
Bobby Dalbec | R | 29 | 3B | 486 | 433 | 57 | 97 | 15 | 3 | 22 | 69 | 42 | 177 | 7 | 1 |
Eddy Alvarez | L | 34 | 2B | 264 | 224 | 36 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 24 | 69 | 8 | 2 |
Ronaldo Hernández | R | 26 | C | 403 | 372 | 41 | 94 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 55 | 21 | 82 | 1 | 1 |
Chase Meidroth | R | 22 | 3B | 489 | 422 | 63 | 102 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 53 | 106 | 7 | 1 |
Rob Refsnyder | R | 33 | LF | 294 | 252 | 38 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 68 | 4 | 1 |
Roman Anthony | L | 20 | CF | 490 | 431 | 56 | 99 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 53 | 132 | 7 | 4 |
Connor Wong | R | 28 | C | 373 | 346 | 46 | 86 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 20 | 114 | 6 | 2 |
Ryan Fitzgerald | L | 30 | 3B | 411 | 372 | 42 | 86 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 114 | 5 | 4 |
Marcelo Mayer | L | 21 | SS | 393 | 357 | 43 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 31 | 110 | 6 | 3 |
Reese McGuire | L | 29 | C | 250 | 230 | 22 | 61 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 56 | 1 | 1 |
Niko Goodrum 구드럼 | B | 32 | 1B | 321 | 276 | 40 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 90 | 8 | 3 |
Nick Yorke | R | 22 | 2B | 500 | 459 | 59 | 107 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 133 | 9 | 4 |
Mark Contreras | L | 29 | CF | 417 | 380 | 50 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 28 | 128 | 13 | 4 |
Christian Arroyo | R | 29 | 2B | 287 | 266 | 33 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 14 | 58 | 2 | 2 |
Pablo Reyes | R | 30 | 2B | 352 | 319 | 48 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 62 | 8 | 4 |
Marcus Wilson | R | 27 | LF | 365 | 320 | 44 | 67 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 143 | 10 | 2 |
Elih Marrero | B | 27 | C | 213 | 190 | 22 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | 57 | 6 | 4 |
Yu Chang | R | 28 | SS | 256 | 236 | 29 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 15 | 70 | 4 | 1 |
Christian Koss | R | 26 | SS | 417 | 390 | 46 | 94 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 17 | 108 | 9 | 3 |
Stephen Scott | L | 27 | C | 391 | 346 | 47 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 41 | 91 | 3 | 1 |
Niko Kavadas | L | 25 | 1B | 481 | 402 | 49 | 81 | 18 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 68 | 183 | 1 | 1 |
Corey Rosier | L | 24 | RF | 445 | 402 | 61 | 99 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 104 | 25 | 5 |
Brainer Bonaci | B | 21 | SS | 417 | 379 | 47 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 102 | 6 | 3 |
Max Ferguson | L | 24 | 2B | 422 | 370 | 52 | 76 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 45 | 131 | 16 | 2 |
Narciso Crook | R | 28 | LF | 362 | 323 | 39 | 69 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 48 | 29 | 128 | 7 | 3 |
Eddinson Paulino | L | 21 | SS | 535 | 490 | 66 | 116 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 133 | 13 | 4 |
Alex Binelas | L | 24 | 1B | 378 | 346 | 46 | 74 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 28 | 137 | 6 | 1 |
Alex Erro | B | 26 | C | 301 | 278 | 34 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 64 | 3 | 2 |
Bradley Zimmer | L | 31 | CF | 338 | 294 | 40 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 136 | 13 | 5 |
Phillip Sikes | R | 25 | CF | 445 | 401 | 54 | 87 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 150 | 18 | 4 |
Eduardo Lopez | B | 22 | RF | 333 | 301 | 37 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 27 | 97 | 6 | 2 |
Matthew Lugo | R | 23 | 3B | 434 | 405 | 48 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 20 | 117 | 7 | 4 |
Tyler McDonough | B | 25 | LF | 413 | 380 | 45 | 84 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 130 | 12 | 4 |
Caleb Hamilton | R | 29 | C | 249 | 220 | 22 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 90 | 1 | 1 |
Nathan Hickey | L | 24 | C | 396 | 350 | 45 | 81 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 39 | 118 | 1 | 1 |
Tyler Dearden | L | 25 | LF | 356 | 318 | 38 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 103 | 0 | 1 |
Edwin Díaz | R | 28 | 2B | 267 | 245 | 23 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 18 | 110 | 1 | 1 |
Bryan Gonzalez | R | 18 | 2B | 119 | 111 | 10 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 2 | 1 |
Blaze Jordan | R | 21 | 1B | 549 | 512 | 55 | 135 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 65 | 30 | 99 | 1 | 1 |
Tyler Esplin | L | 24 | 1B | 222 | 207 | 23 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 65 | 1 | 1 |
Nick Decker | L | 24 | LF | 280 | 251 | 33 | 47 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 111 | 4 | 2 |
Tyler Miller | L | 24 | 1B | 399 | 373 | 44 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 19 | 120 | 9 | 3 |
Player | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA | RC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | 655 | .280 | .351 | .517 | 131 | .237 | .307 | -6 | 3.6 | .366 | 108 |
Alex Verdugo | 591 | .293 | .350 | .450 | 115 | .157 | .329 | 3 | 2.2 | .344 | 86 |
Trevor Story | 411 | .246 | .314 | .441 | 102 | .195 | .319 | 5 | 2.2 | .323 | 55 |
Justin Turner | 514 | .282 | .356 | .438 | 114 | .156 | .324 | 4 | 2.0 | .346 | 72 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | 557 | .261 | .300 | .426 | 94 | .165 | .324 | 7 | 1.9 | .312 | 74 |
Masataka Yoshida | 553 | .295 | .356 | .457 | 119 | .162 | .317 | -2 | 1.9 | .349 | 83 |
Triston Casas | 502 | .264 | .367 | .479 | 127 | .215 | .317 | -4 | 1.9 | .364 | 76 |
David Hamilton | 496 | .235 | .312 | .361 | 82 | .126 | .304 | 4 | 1.6 | .298 | 61 |
Wilyer Abreu | 474 | .246 | .338 | .408 | 101 | .162 | .320 | 7 | 1.5 | .327 | 61 |
Kyle Teel | 456 | .261 | .336 | .361 | 89 | .100 | .332 | 1 | 1.5 | .309 | 52 |
Jarren Duran | 453 | .255 | .313 | .424 | 98 | .169 | .328 | 0 | 1.5 | .318 | 61 |
Enmanuel Valdez | 457 | .253 | .322 | .436 | 103 | .182 | .308 | -2 | 1.4 | .326 | 60 |
Adam Duvall | 389 | .239 | .298 | .485 | 107 | .245 | .298 | -2 | 1.3 | .330 | 52 |
Nick Sogard | 444 | .256 | .332 | .358 | 88 | .102 | .316 | 4 | 1.1 | .306 | 50 |
Bobby Dalbec | 486 | .224 | .305 | .425 | 95 | .201 | .321 | -3 | 1.0 | .316 | 58 |
Eddy Alvarez | 264 | .254 | .347 | .406 | 104 | .152 | .342 | -1 | 1.0 | .332 | 34 |
Ronaldo Hernández | 403 | .253 | .303 | .414 | 92 | .161 | .295 | -2 | 1.0 | .310 | 47 |
Chase Meidroth | 489 | .242 | .342 | .336 | 86 | .095 | .307 | 0 | 1.0 | .307 | 50 |
Rob Refsnyder | 294 | .266 | .358 | .405 | 107 | .139 | .343 | 1 | 0.9 | .336 | 38 |
Roman Anthony | 490 | .230 | .316 | .360 | 83 | .130 | .310 | 3 | 0.9 | .300 | 52 |
Connor Wong | 373 | .249 | .296 | .416 | 91 | .168 | .339 | -3 | 0.8 | .307 | 45 |
Ryan Fitzgerald | 411 | .231 | .297 | .392 | 85 | .161 | .309 | 4 | 0.8 | .298 | 46 |
Marcelo Mayer | 393 | .238 | .300 | .403 | 89 | .165 | .314 | -2 | 0.7 | .304 | 46 |
Reese McGuire | 250 | .265 | .308 | .365 | 82 | .100 | .343 | 3 | 0.7 | .294 | 26 |
Niko Goodrum | 321 | .236 | .336 | .373 | 93 | .138 | .324 | 5 | 0.7 | .314 | 38 |
Nick Yorke | 500 | .233 | .292 | .351 | 74 | .118 | .309 | 7 | 0.6 | .282 | 51 |
Mark Contreras | 417 | .232 | .295 | .382 | 82 | .150 | .322 | 1 | 0.5 | .294 | 47 |
Christian Arroyo | 287 | .256 | .301 | .387 | 85 | .132 | .307 | 2 | 0.5 | .298 | 32 |
Pablo Reyes | 352 | .263 | .325 | .395 | 94 | .132 | .308 | -4 | 0.5 | .314 | 44 |
Marcus Wilson | 365 | .209 | .301 | .372 | 82 | .163 | .341 | 6 | 0.5 | .297 | 39 |
Elih Marrero | 213 | .226 | .305 | .305 | 67 | .079 | .318 | 3 | 0.4 | .276 | 21 |
Yu Chang | 256 | .237 | .290 | .394 | 83 | .157 | .308 | -2 | 0.3 | .297 | 28 |
Christian Koss | 417 | .241 | .282 | .356 | 72 | .115 | .316 | 1 | 0.3 | .278 | 42 |
Stephen Scott | 391 | .228 | .312 | .376 | 86 | .147 | .282 | -7 | 0.3 | .302 | 42 |
Niko Kavadas | 481 | .201 | .326 | .373 | 90 | .172 | .317 | 1 | 0.2 | .311 | 50 |
Corey Rosier | 445 | .246 | .308 | .358 | 80 | .112 | .321 | 2 | 0.1 | .293 | 51 |
Brainer Bonaci | 417 | .243 | .305 | .354 | 78 | .111 | .315 | -4 | 0.1 | .290 | 43 |
Max Ferguson | 422 | .205 | .295 | .305 | 64 | .100 | .306 | 1 | -0.1 | .271 | 37 |
Narciso Crook | 362 | .214 | .296 | .359 | 77 | .146 | .323 | 3 | -0.1 | .290 | 37 |
Eddinson Paulino | 535 | .237 | .295 | .376 | 81 | .139 | .305 | -10 | -0.1 | .293 | 59 |
Alex Binelas | 378 | .214 | .275 | .384 | 76 | .171 | .311 | 5 | -0.2 | .286 | 38 |
Alex Erro | 301 | .241 | .292 | .320 | 66 | .079 | .303 | -2 | -0.2 | .272 | 27 |
Bradley Zimmer | 338 | .190 | .290 | .289 | 58 | .099 | .329 | 2 | -0.3 | .264 | 29 |
Phillip Sikes | 445 | .217 | .285 | .339 | 69 | .122 | .328 | -3 | -0.4 | .276 | 44 |
Eduardo Lopez | 333 | .223 | .288 | .312 | 63 | .090 | .315 | 5 | -0.4 | .268 | 29 |
Matthew Lugo | 434 | .230 | .273 | .338 | 65 | .109 | .309 | 2 | -0.4 | .267 | 40 |
Tyler McDonough | 413 | .221 | .277 | .326 | 63 | .105 | .322 | 7 | -0.5 | .265 | 38 |
Caleb Hamilton | 249 | .191 | .281 | .323 | 64 | .132 | .290 | -5 | -0.5 | .270 | 21 |
Nathan Hickey | 396 | .231 | .313 | .406 | 93 | .174 | .311 | -19 | -0.5 | .313 | 45 |
Tyler Dearden | 356 | .233 | .307 | .358 | 80 | .126 | .319 | -3 | -0.6 | .294 | 35 |
Edwin (II) Diaz | 267 | .184 | .247 | .339 | 57 | .155 | .291 | 0 | -0.6 | .256 | 21 |
Bryan Gonzalez | 119 | .207 | .261 | .261 | 43 | .054 | .310 | -3 | -0.7 | .236 | 8 |
Blaze Jordan | 549 | .264 | .308 | .395 | 89 | .131 | .307 | -6 | -0.8 | .304 | 63 |
Tyler Esplin | 222 | .213 | .266 | .300 | 53 | .087 | .305 | 2 | -0.9 | .251 | 17 |
Nick Decker | 280 | .187 | .268 | .315 | 58 | .127 | .311 | 0 | -1.0 | .260 | 23 |
Tyler Miller | 399 | .231 | .273 | .351 | 68 | .121 | .318 | 0 | -1.1 | .272 | 39 |
Player | Hit Comp 1 | Hit Comp 2 | Hit Comp 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | Kyle Seager | Willie Jones | Richie Hebner |
Alex Verdugo | Norm Larker | Lloyd Waner | Whitey Lockman |
Trevor Story | Pat Kelly | Juan Samuel | Niko Goodrum |
Justin Turner | Paul Konerko | Pedro Guerrero | Charlie Grimm |
Ceddanne Rafaela | Ivan Calderon | Corey Patterson | Glenn Burke |
Masataka Yoshida | Manny Jimenez | Rip Radcliff | Melky Cabrera |
Triston Casas | Boog Powell | Craig Kusick | Mike Epstein |
David Hamilton | Andy Fox | Scott Earl | Ricky Gutierrez |
Wilyer Abreu | Andy Van Slyke | Rusty Torres | Johnny Lewis |
Kyle Teel | Jack Hiatt | Al Lopez | Gene Dusan |
Jarren Duran | Mark Little | Scott Cousins | Jason Repko |
Enmanuel Valdez | Jim Gantner | James Christensen | Fran Mullins |
Adam Duvall | Bill Renna | Ray Sadler | Alfonso Soriano |
Nick Sogard | Sergio Ferrer | Larry Huff | Torre Tyson |
Bobby Dalbec | Lee Elia | Billy Myers | Tom Dodd |
Eddy Alvarez | Chris Clapinski | Shawn Gilbert | Jace Peterson |
Ronaldo Hernández | Josh Phegley | Jim Price | Damon Berryhill |
Chase Meidroth | Bob Juday | Kevin Seitzer | Roger Holt |
Rob Refsnyder | Gene Hermanski | Dave Stegman | Tim Hendryx |
Roman Anthony | Aaron Hicks | Brian Goodwin | Karl Rhodes |
Connor Wong | John Hester | Jim Command | Darrell Miller |
Ryan Fitzgerald | Chris Basak | Scott Pratt | Jeff Moronko |
Marcelo Mayer | Ramon German | Sammy Esposito | Brian Burgamy |
Reese McGuire | Bryan Holaday | John Sevcik | Jacob Stallings |
Niko Goodrum | Jason McDonald | Ryan Langerhans | Joe Christopher |
Nick Yorke | Manny Francois | Ramon Bautista | Dave Orndorff |
Mark Contreras | Clete Thomas | Colin Porter | Nic Jackson |
Christian Arroyo | Ryan Brett | Jeff Richardson | Lipso Nava |
Pablo Reyes | Jeff Huson | Jordany Valdespin | Eddy Garabito |
Marcus Wilson | Skip Kiil | Brett Jackson | Willie Argo |
Elih Marrero | Mike Napoli | Dennis Pelfrey | Chris O’Dowd |
Yu Chang | Benji Gil | Juan Silverio | Ryan Mount |
Christian Koss | Leo Vargas | Tony Beasley | Charlie Benson |
Stephen Scott | JD Closser | Adam Melhuse | Greg Mahlberg |
Niko Kavadas | Josh Ockimey | Matt Skole | Ryan Noda |
Corey Rosier | William Ray | Alejandro De Aza | Tom Goodwin |
Brainer Bonaci | Chris Pittaro | Justin Bohn | Marcus Lemon |
Max Ferguson | R.D. Long | Jason McDonald | Anderson Machado |
Narciso Crook | Chad Hermansen | Willie Argo | Mike Kelly |
Eddinson Paulino | Ian Desmond | Ehire Adrianza | Osvaldo Abreu |
Alex Binelas | Derek Jones | Todd Dunn | Jake Adams |
Alex Erro | Phil Avlas | John Wilson | Johnny Hawkins |
Bradley Zimmer | Lorenzo Scott | Chris Powell | Tyrone Pendergrass |
Phillip Sikes | Todd Samples | Juan Tolentino | Tony Fisher |
Eduardo Lopez | Mark Simmons | Tarrence Patterson | Wang-Wei Lin |
Matthew Lugo | Jeff Eure | Bobby Marshall | Frank Garnett |
Tyler McDonough | Rashad Crawford | Robbie Garvey | Thomas Milone |
Caleb Hamilton | Buddy Pryor | Rick Colbert | John Stefero |
Nathan Hickey | Mike Martin | Alex Avila | Pete Varney |
Tyler Dearden | Jeff Baldwin | Brad Downing | Curt Reed |
Edwin (II) Diaz | Tom Epperly | Bryan Britt | Chris Maples |
Bryan Gonzalez | Lance Hudson | Willis Whitehurst | George Goodrich |
Blaze Jordan | Gerald Orlandini | Carlos Rivera | Fred Hopke |
Tyler Esplin | Brian Hertel | Ryan Davis | Jose Medina |
Nick Decker | Drew Rundle | Jesus Hernandez | Lute Johnson |
Tyler Miller | Alonzo Harris | Jeremy Jackson | Aaron Harvey |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | .305 | .375 | .573 | 150 | 5.1 | .256 | .324 | .460 | 111 | 2.1 |
Alex Verdugo | .322 | .377 | .503 | 136 | 3.8 | .264 | .323 | .402 | 96 | 0.9 |
Trevor Story | .271 | .340 | .493 | 124 | 3.3 | .218 | .289 | .379 | 82 | 1.2 |
Justin Turner | .309 | .384 | .488 | 132 | 3.1 | .250 | .324 | .384 | 92 | 0.7 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | .287 | .325 | .481 | 113 | 3.2 | .235 | .275 | .377 | 74 | 0.5 |
Masataka Yoshida | .323 | .385 | .508 | 139 | 3.3 | .264 | .326 | .404 | 98 | 0.5 |
Triston Casas | .293 | .395 | .541 | 150 | 3.2 | .237 | .338 | .412 | 106 | 0.6 |
David Hamilton | .263 | .341 | .411 | 102 | 2.8 | .209 | .289 | .320 | 66 | 0.5 |
Wilyer Abreu | .273 | .363 | .469 | 121 | 2.7 | .219 | .310 | .362 | 84 | 0.5 |
Kyle Teel | .294 | .362 | .407 | 107 | 2.4 | .231 | .300 | .317 | 69 | 0.2 |
Jarren Duran | .281 | .336 | .482 | 116 | 2.6 | .226 | .280 | .374 | 76 | 0.3 |
Enmanuel Valdez | .281 | .347 | .492 | 122 | 2.5 | .227 | .295 | .390 | 83 | 0.3 |
Adam Duvall | .266 | .323 | .552 | 130 | 2.4 | .211 | .271 | .415 | 86 | 0.2 |
Nick Sogard | .283 | .360 | .403 | 106 | 2.0 | .232 | .305 | .318 | 71 | 0.1 |
Bobby Dalbec | .251 | .331 | .489 | 116 | 2.3 | .197 | .282 | .370 | 76 | -0.1 |
Eddy Alvarez | .284 | .376 | .466 | 125 | 1.7 | .226 | .319 | .352 | 82 | 0.3 |
Ronaldo Hernández | .289 | .335 | .481 | 117 | 2.3 | .224 | .276 | .364 | 73 | 0.1 |
Chase Meidroth | .267 | .366 | .379 | 102 | 1.9 | .212 | .315 | .300 | 69 | 0.0 |
Rob Refsnyder | .298 | .392 | .457 | 127 | 1.6 | .234 | .328 | .355 | 86 | 0.2 |
Roman Anthony | .260 | .345 | .416 | 105 | 2.1 | .200 | .289 | .303 | 63 | -0.3 |
Connor Wong | .277 | .327 | .474 | 110 | 1.7 | .220 | .267 | .358 | 67 | -0.3 |
Ryan Fitzgerald | .263 | .331 | .454 | 109 | 1.9 | .204 | .268 | .343 | 66 | -0.3 |
Marcelo Mayer | .272 | .337 | .464 | 115 | 2.0 | .213 | .272 | .356 | 70 | -0.2 |
Reese McGuire | .303 | .347 | .420 | 106 | 1.5 | .234 | .280 | .318 | 63 | 0.1 |
Niko Goodrum | .262 | .365 | .419 | 110 | 1.4 | .207 | .300 | .323 | 71 | -0.1 |
Nick Yorke | .263 | .321 | .399 | 93 | 1.7 | .207 | .270 | .308 | 57 | -0.5 |
Mark Contreras | .262 | .324 | .438 | 103 | 1.7 | .204 | .260 | .334 | 60 | -0.5 |
Christian Arroyo | .286 | .334 | .442 | 105 | 1.2 | .224 | .274 | .334 | 61 | -0.3 |
Pablo Reyes | .294 | .358 | .445 | 113 | 1.3 | .233 | .297 | .344 | 73 | -0.4 |
Marcus Wilson | .234 | .329 | .428 | 102 | 1.3 | .178 | .271 | .315 | 59 | -0.5 |
Elih Marrero | .256 | .345 | .344 | 88 | 0.9 | .192 | .275 | .257 | 46 | -0.2 |
Yu Chang | .271 | .318 | .453 | 106 | 1.1 | .212 | .264 | .341 | 64 | -0.3 |
Christian Koss | .271 | .308 | .409 | 92 | 1.3 | .214 | .252 | .307 | 53 | -0.7 |
Stephen Scott | .261 | .342 | .433 | 108 | 1.4 | .201 | .278 | .322 | 66 | -0.7 |
Niko Kavadas | .232 | .355 | .429 | 108 | 1.2 | .169 | .293 | .317 | 65 | -1.2 |
Corey Rosier | .273 | .331 | .409 | 97 | 1.0 | .222 | .281 | .321 | 64 | -0.8 |
Brainer Bonaci | .269 | .331 | .407 | 97 | 1.0 | .216 | .280 | .307 | 59 | -0.8 |
Max Ferguson | .237 | .326 | .352 | 84 | 0.9 | .176 | .268 | .263 | 44 | -1.1 |
Narciso Crook | .243 | .324 | .416 | 97 | 0.8 | .186 | .267 | .313 | 57 | -0.9 |
Eddinson Paulino | .269 | .327 | .432 | 102 | 1.3 | .210 | .268 | .332 | 64 | -1.2 |
Alex Binelas | .246 | .304 | .428 | 96 | 0.7 | .186 | .246 | .323 | 56 | -1.2 |
Alex Erro | .274 | .329 | .365 | 88 | 0.7 | .206 | .261 | .280 | 48 | -0.9 |
Bradley Zimmer | .224 | .322 | .347 | 82 | 0.6 | .161 | .258 | .245 | 39 | -1.2 |
Phillip Sikes | .244 | .309 | .386 | 88 | 0.6 | .187 | .258 | .298 | 52 | -1.4 |
Eduardo Lopez | .253 | .318 | .357 | 84 | 0.4 | .195 | .263 | .268 | 47 | -1.1 |
Matthew Lugo | .253 | .298 | .379 | 81 | 0.4 | .201 | .246 | .292 | 46 | -1.5 |
Tyler McDonough | .253 | .308 | .371 | 82 | 0.6 | .195 | .253 | .280 | 46 | -1.3 |
Caleb Hamilton | .226 | .317 | .387 | 87 | 0.2 | .163 | .247 | .272 | 43 | -1.1 |
Nathan Hickey | .262 | .343 | .465 | 116 | 0.5 | .197 | .280 | .351 | 69 | -1.6 |
Tyler Dearden | .258 | .332 | .407 | 98 | 0.2 | .204 | .278 | .310 | 62 | -1.4 |
Edwin (II) Diaz | .216 | .277 | .417 | 83 | 0.2 | .154 | .217 | .288 | 37 | -1.3 |
Bryan Gonzalez | .246 | .298 | .305 | 66 | -0.4 | .175 | .234 | .227 | 27 | -0.9 |
Blaze Jordan | .290 | .337 | .448 | 108 | 0.5 | .233 | .278 | .344 | 68 | -2.2 |
Tyler Esplin | .244 | .299 | .343 | 74 | -0.3 | .182 | .236 | .249 | 35 | -1.4 |
Nick Decker | .216 | .299 | .365 | 78 | -0.3 | .156 | .240 | .261 | 36 | -1.7 |
Tyler Miller | .263 | .301 | .404 | 87 | -0.2 | .207 | .248 | .305 | 49 | -2.0 |
Player | BA vs. L | OBP vs. L | SLG vs. L | BA vs. R | OBP vs. R | SLG vs. R |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rafael Devers | .269 | .338 | .463 | .285 | .357 | .540 |
Alex Verdugo | .277 | .335 | .406 | .299 | .356 | .467 |
Trevor Story | .256 | .328 | .470 | .241 | .307 | .427 |
Justin Turner | .276 | .353 | .434 | .285 | .358 | .440 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | .260 | .299 | .433 | .262 | .301 | .422 |
Masataka Yoshida | .279 | .344 | .434 | .301 | .361 | .466 |
Triston Casas | .250 | .352 | .441 | .271 | .373 | .497 |
David Hamilton | .228 | .303 | .349 | .238 | .316 | .367 |
Wilyer Abreu | .233 | .319 | .377 | .254 | .347 | .425 |
Kyle Teel | .252 | .323 | .348 | .264 | .340 | .366 |
Jarren Duran | .246 | .309 | .397 | .260 | .315 | .436 |
Enmanuel Valdez | .245 | .310 | .406 | .258 | .329 | .453 |
Adam Duvall | .245 | .306 | .491 | .237 | .295 | .482 |
Nick Sogard | .262 | .343 | .362 | .253 | .325 | .355 |
Bobby Dalbec | .236 | .319 | .435 | .217 | .296 | .419 |
Eddy Alvarez | .243 | .341 | .400 | .260 | .350 | .409 |
Ronaldo Hernández | .261 | .310 | .429 | .246 | .297 | .403 |
Chase Meidroth | .252 | .357 | .348 | .236 | .332 | .330 |
Rob Refsnyder | .274 | .381 | .427 | .259 | .338 | .385 |
Roman Anthony | .216 | .302 | .333 | .234 | .321 | .369 |
Connor Wong | .248 | .301 | .428 | .249 | .293 | .408 |
Ryan Fitzgerald | .221 | .290 | .371 | .237 | .301 | .405 |
Marcelo Mayer | .238 | .302 | .400 | .238 | .300 | .405 |
Reese McGuire | .246 | .295 | .298 | .272 | .312 | .387 |
Niko Goodrum | .259 | .360 | .400 | .225 | .326 | .361 |
Nick Yorke | .235 | .295 | .350 | .232 | .290 | .351 |
Mark Contreras | .219 | .286 | .342 | .239 | .301 | .406 |
Christian Arroyo | .260 | .304 | .385 | .253 | .299 | .389 |
Pablo Reyes | .275 | .342 | .437 | .254 | .311 | .362 |
Marcus Wilson | .219 | .320 | .393 | .197 | .277 | .345 |
Elih Marrero | .221 | .302 | .273 | .230 | .307 | .327 |
Yu Chang | .242 | .299 | .404 | .234 | .284 | .387 |
Christian Koss | .243 | .286 | .358 | .240 | .278 | .355 |
Stephen Scott | .227 | .306 | .364 | .229 | .315 | .381 |
Niko Kavadas | .192 | .315 | .358 | .206 | .331 | .379 |
Corey Rosier | .232 | .297 | .328 | .253 | .313 | .372 |
Brainer Bonaci | .241 | .305 | .365 | .244 | .305 | .347 |
Max Ferguson | .198 | .285 | .289 | .209 | .300 | .313 |
Narciso Crook | .217 | .304 | .362 | .211 | .288 | .357 |
Eddinson Paulino | .225 | .284 | .359 | .241 | .300 | .382 |
Alex Binelas | .206 | .268 | .343 | .217 | .278 | .402 |
Alex Erro | .235 | .283 | .306 | .244 | .297 | .328 |
Bradley Zimmer | .190 | .293 | .253 | .191 | .289 | .302 |
Phillip Sikes | .226 | .301 | .368 | .211 | .276 | .321 |
Eduardo Lopez | .216 | .283 | .284 | .226 | .291 | .327 |
Matthew Lugo | .234 | .278 | .360 | .226 | .268 | .322 |
Tyler McDonough | .217 | .278 | .326 | .223 | .276 | .326 |
Caleb Hamilton | .198 | .298 | .349 | .184 | .266 | .298 |
Nathan Hickey | .222 | .297 | .364 | .235 | .319 | .422 |
Tyler Dearden | .223 | .302 | .320 | .237 | .310 | .377 |
Edwin (II) Diaz | .179 | .250 | .321 | .187 | .245 | .353 |
Bryan Gonzalez | .217 | .265 | .239 | .200 | .257 | .277 |
Blaze Jordan | .276 | .325 | .398 | .256 | .297 | .392 |
Tyler Esplin | .209 | .264 | .284 | .214 | .267 | .307 |
Nick Decker | .173 | .262 | .280 | .193 | .270 | .330 |
Tyler Miller | .217 | .263 | .330 | .236 | .277 | .360 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brayan Bello | R | 25 | 11 | 11 | 4.28 | 28 | 27 | 147.3 | 154 | 70 | 16 | 54 | 134 |
Garrett Whitlock | R | 28 | 6 | 4 | 3.73 | 30 | 12 | 89.3 | 86 | 37 | 11 | 19 | 94 |
Nick Pivetta | R | 31 | 8 | 9 | 4.55 | 32 | 20 | 132.7 | 123 | 67 | 21 | 49 | 138 |
Chris Sale | L | 35 | 5 | 5 | 4.30 | 18 | 18 | 90.0 | 85 | 43 | 13 | 29 | 106 |
Kutter Crawford | R | 28 | 6 | 6 | 4.49 | 26 | 19 | 106.3 | 104 | 53 | 15 | 33 | 103 |
Josh Winckowski | R | 26 | 6 | 5 | 4.36 | 43 | 12 | 99.0 | 102 | 48 | 12 | 33 | 90 |
Isaac Coffey | R | 24 | 8 | 8 | 4.61 | 22 | 21 | 109.3 | 112 | 56 | 16 | 33 | 94 |
Tanner Houck | R | 28 | 7 | 7 | 4.62 | 25 | 21 | 103.3 | 100 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 107 |
James Paxton | L | 35 | 7 | 9 | 4.78 | 23 | 22 | 107.3 | 113 | 57 | 17 | 45 | 112 |
Brian Van Belle | R | 27 | 6 | 9 | 4.94 | 24 | 22 | 118.3 | 136 | 65 | 18 | 33 | 82 |
Victor Santos | R | 23 | 6 | 7 | 4.93 | 22 | 18 | 107.7 | 117 | 59 | 14 | 33 | 75 |
Brandon Walter | L | 27 | 4 | 4 | 4.72 | 27 | 16 | 103.0 | 111 | 54 | 13 | 32 | 82 |
Hunter Dobbins | R | 24 | 6 | 7 | 4.79 | 20 | 19 | 97.7 | 108 | 52 | 13 | 31 | 73 |
Grant Gambrell | R | 26 | 6 | 7 | 5.12 | 20 | 20 | 103.7 | 115 | 59 | 16 | 39 | 77 |
Wikelman Gonzalez | R | 22 | 6 | 7 | 5.16 | 25 | 25 | 104.7 | 100 | 60 | 14 | 66 | 107 |
Shane Drohan | L | 25 | 6 | 9 | 5.20 | 24 | 23 | 107.3 | 116 | 62 | 15 | 55 | 88 |
Chris Murphy | L | 26 | 5 | 5 | 5.04 | 29 | 14 | 103.7 | 108 | 58 | 14 | 49 | 88 |
Angel Bastardo | R | 22 | 4 | 5 | 5.19 | 23 | 23 | 102.3 | 109 | 59 | 15 | 53 | 85 |
Yusniel Padron-Artiles | R | 26 | 4 | 6 | 5.16 | 19 | 14 | 82.0 | 94 | 47 | 13 | 26 | 62 |
Justin Hagenman | R | 27 | 3 | 4 | 4.57 | 38 | 4 | 69.0 | 73 | 35 | 9 | 21 | 61 |
Corey Kluber | R | 38 | 5 | 7 | 5.26 | 21 | 17 | 87.3 | 100 | 51 | 14 | 26 | 75 |
Chih-Jung Liu | R | 25 | 5 | 8 | 5.31 | 23 | 21 | 95.0 | 102 | 56 | 15 | 47 | 81 |
John Schreiber | R | 30 | 3 | 2 | 4.24 | 52 | 2 | 57.3 | 54 | 27 | 7 | 23 | 61 |
Matt Dermody | L | 33 | 3 | 3 | 4.92 | 13 | 10 | 56.7 | 64 | 31 | 8 | 16 | 42 |
Chris Martin | R | 38 | 3 | 2 | 3.95 | 49 | 0 | 43.3 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 40 |
Kenley Jansen | R | 36 | 4 | 3 | 4.17 | 49 | 0 | 45.3 | 41 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 52 |
Nick Robertson | R | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4.21 | 45 | 1 | 51.3 | 50 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 54 |
Mauricio Llovera | R | 28 | 1 | 2 | 4.58 | 26 | 4 | 37.3 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 13 | 38 |
Isaiah Campbell | R | 26 | 5 | 4 | 4.21 | 44 | 1 | 47.0 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 18 | 45 |
Brennan Bernardino | L | 32 | 1 | 2 | 4.57 | 47 | 5 | 45.3 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 19 | 46 |
Jacob Webb | R | 30 | 3 | 3 | 4.30 | 59 | 1 | 60.7 | 54 | 29 | 8 | 24 | 67 |
Rio Gomez | L | 29 | 2 | 4 | 5.34 | 25 | 10 | 64.0 | 69 | 38 | 10 | 32 | 57 |
Ryan Fernandez | R | 26 | 4 | 4 | 4.32 | 37 | 0 | 50.0 | 52 | 24 | 7 | 16 | 46 |
Chase Shugart | R | 27 | 3 | 5 | 5.26 | 33 | 8 | 63.3 | 74 | 37 | 9 | 23 | 42 |
Sterling Sharp | R | 29 | 3 | 5 | 5.64 | 19 | 16 | 75.0 | 90 | 47 | 11 | 36 | 45 |
Bryan Mata | R | 25 | 3 | 5 | 5.60 | 18 | 15 | 62.7 | 64 | 39 | 9 | 40 | 57 |
Frank German | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.29 | 28 | 7 | 51.0 | 52 | 30 | 7 | 26 | 48 |
Alex Hoppe | R | 25 | 3 | 4 | 4.60 | 42 | 0 | 47.0 | 50 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 40 |
Taylor Broadway | R | 27 | 2 | 2 | 4.81 | 32 | 1 | 43.0 | 46 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 35 |
Norwith Gudiño | R | 28 | 3 | 5 | 5.53 | 24 | 7 | 53.7 | 61 | 33 | 8 | 27 | 38 |
Joely Rodríguez | L | 32 | 1 | 2 | 4.73 | 36 | 0 | 32.3 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 34 |
Andrew Politi | R | 28 | 4 | 6 | 5.06 | 43 | 3 | 58.7 | 61 | 33 | 8 | 27 | 52 |
Brendan Nail | L | 28 | 2 | 4 | 5.32 | 33 | 3 | 45.7 | 48 | 27 | 6 | 22 | 39 |
Zack Kelly | R | 29 | 3 | 3 | 5.18 | 34 | 2 | 41.7 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 24 | 42 |
Oddanier Mosqueda | L | 25 | 3 | 4 | 5.14 | 44 | 2 | 56.0 | 55 | 32 | 8 | 30 | 55 |
Zack Weiss | R | 32 | 2 | 2 | 5.10 | 36 | 0 | 42.3 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 23 | 47 |
Ryan Miller | R | 28 | 3 | 4 | 5.14 | 34 | 1 | 49.0 | 54 | 28 | 7 | 19 | 40 |
Dinelson Lamet | R | 31 | 2 | 2 | 5.54 | 22 | 4 | 37.3 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 20 | 43 |
Teddy Stankiewicz | R | 30 | 3 | 5 | 6.04 | 17 | 14 | 70.0 | 86 | 47 | 11 | 34 | 37 |
Joe Jacques | L | 29 | 2 | 4 | 5.26 | 46 | 2 | 53.0 | 58 | 31 | 7 | 21 | 42 |
Ryan Zeferjahn | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.66 | 30 | 5 | 47.7 | 49 | 30 | 7 | 30 | 45 |
Christopher Troye | R | 25 | 1 | 1 | 5.15 | 36 | 0 | 43.7 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 33 | 53 |
Cam Booser | L | 32 | 2 | 4 | 5.16 | 39 | 0 | 45.3 | 48 | 26 | 7 | 24 | 41 |
Andrés Núñez | R | 28 | 3 | 4 | 5.37 | 41 | 1 | 52.0 | 56 | 31 | 7 | 23 | 41 |
Kyle Barraclough | R | 34 | 3 | 5 | 5.87 | 21 | 7 | 53.7 | 57 | 35 | 9 | 35 | 45 |
Jake Faria | R | 30 | 2 | 2 | 6.08 | 20 | 8 | 53.3 | 62 | 36 | 9 | 31 | 42 |
Robert Kwiatkowski | R | 27 | 1 | 2 | 5.51 | 31 | 2 | 50.7 | 61 | 31 | 8 | 19 | 27 |
Justin Garza | R | 30 | 2 | 3 | 5.76 | 37 | 3 | 50.0 | 53 | 32 | 8 | 29 | 45 |
Theo Denlinger | R | 27 | 2 | 4 | 5.49 | 34 | 0 | 41.0 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 25 | 38 |
Dylan Spacke | R | 26 | 1 | 3 | 5.90 | 29 | 2 | 50.3 | 58 | 33 | 7 | 27 | 34 |
Brendan Cellucci | L | 26 | 1 | 3 | 5.94 | 36 | 2 | 47.0 | 50 | 31 | 7 | 35 | 44 |
Wyatt Olds | R | 24 | 3 | 7 | 6.33 | 25 | 15 | 69.7 | 73 | 49 | 10 | 48 | 58 |
Skylar Arias | L | 27 | 1 | 2 | 6.59 | 21 | 1 | 27.3 | 26 | 20 | 4 | 23 | 30 |
Cody Scroggins | R | 27 | 1 | 2 | 6.27 | 27 | 0 | 33.0 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 21 | 24 |
Jorge Benitez | L | 25 | 2 | 4 | 5.94 | 37 | 0 | 50.0 | 52 | 33 | 8 | 36 | 48 |
Player | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brayan Bello | 147.3 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 8.4% | 20.8% | .317 | 104 | 4.03 | 96 | 2.2 |
Garrett Whitlock | 89.3 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5.1% | 25.4% | .309 | 119 | 3.49 | 84 | 1.9 |
Nick Pivetta | 132.7 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 8.6% | 24.3% | .289 | 98 | 4.45 | 103 | 1.7 |
Chris Sale | 90.0 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.7% | 28.0% | .313 | 103 | 3.98 | 97 | 1.4 |
Kutter Crawford | 106.3 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 7.3% | 22.8% | .299 | 99 | 4.20 | 101 | 1.4 |
Josh Winckowski | 99.0 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 7.7% | 21.1% | .310 | 102 | 4.10 | 98 | 1.4 |
Isaac Coffey | 109.3 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 7.0% | 20.0% | .298 | 96 | 4.59 | 104 | 1.3 |
Tanner Houck | 103.3 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 8.8% | 24.0% | .305 | 96 | 4.34 | 104 | 1.3 |
James Paxton | 107.3 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 9.4% | 23.4% | .321 | 93 | 4.54 | 108 | 1.1 |
Brian Van Belle | 118.3 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 6.3% | 15.7% | .309 | 90 | 4.78 | 112 | 1.1 |
Victor Santos | 107.7 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 7.1% | 16.1% | .300 | 90 | 4.61 | 111 | 1.1 |
Brandon Walter | 103.0 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 7.1% | 18.3% | .309 | 94 | 4.44 | 106 | 1.0 |
Hunter Dobbins | 97.7 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 7.2% | 17.0% | .308 | 92 | 4.60 | 108 | 1.0 |
Grant Gambrell | 103.7 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 8.5% | 16.7% | .305 | 87 | 5.05 | 116 | 0.8 |
Wikelman Gonzalez | 104.7 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 13.6% | 22.1% | .301 | 86 | 4.96 | 116 | 0.8 |
Shane Drohan | 107.3 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 11.2% | 17.9% | .309 | 85 | 5.08 | 117 | 0.8 |
Chris Murphy | 103.7 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 10.6% | 19.0% | .304 | 88 | 4.90 | 114 | 0.7 |
Angel Bastardo | 102.3 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 11.2% | 17.9% | .305 | 85 | 5.14 | 117 | 0.7 |
Yusniel Padron-Artiles | 82.0 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 7.2% | 17.2% | .313 | 86 | 4.86 | 116 | 0.6 |
Justin Hagenman | 69.0 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 7.0% | 20.5% | .312 | 97 | 4.18 | 103 | 0.6 |
Corey Kluber | 87.3 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 6.8% | 19.5% | .322 | 84 | 4.76 | 119 | 0.5 |
Chih-Jung Liu | 95.0 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 10.8% | 18.6% | .306 | 84 | 5.24 | 120 | 0.5 |
John Schreiber | 57.3 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 9.3% | 24.7% | .305 | 105 | 4.07 | 96 | 0.5 |
Matt Dermody | 56.7 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 6.5% | 17.0% | .311 | 90 | 4.72 | 111 | 0.5 |
Chris Martin | 43.3 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4.3% | 21.6% | .326 | 112 | 3.83 | 89 | 0.5 |
Kenley Jansen | 45.3 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 8.8% | 26.9% | .296 | 106 | 4.23 | 94 | 0.5 |
Nick Robertson | 51.3 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 8.1% | 24.2% | .312 | 105 | 3.84 | 95 | 0.4 |
Mauricio Llovera | 37.3 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 8.1% | 23.8% | .304 | 97 | 4.25 | 103 | 0.4 |
Isaiah Campbell | 47.0 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 8.7% | 21.8% | .301 | 105 | 4.28 | 95 | 0.4 |
Brennan Bernardino | 45.3 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 9.5% | 23.1% | .310 | 97 | 4.53 | 103 | 0.3 |
Jacob Webb | 60.7 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 9.3% | 25.9% | .293 | 95 | 4.10 | 105 | 0.2 |
Rio Gomez | 64.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 11.0% | 19.5% | .312 | 83 | 5.19 | 121 | 0.3 |
Ryan Fernandez | 50.0 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.4% | 21.4% | .310 | 103 | 4.26 | 97 | 0.3 |
Chase Shugart | 63.3 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 8.0% | 14.7% | .313 | 84 | 5.01 | 119 | 0.2 |
Sterling Sharp | 75.0 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 10.3% | 12.9% | .312 | 79 | 5.56 | 127 | 0.2 |
Bryan Mata | 62.7 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 13.7% | 19.5% | .302 | 79 | 5.51 | 126 | 0.2 |
Frank German | 51.0 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 11.2% | 20.6% | .308 | 84 | 4.86 | 119 | 0.2 |
Alex Hoppe | 47.0 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 8.2% | 19.2% | .310 | 96 | 4.36 | 104 | 0.1 |
Taylor Broadway | 43.0 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 8.2% | 17.9% | .305 | 92 | 4.56 | 109 | 0.1 |
Norwith Gudiño | 53.7 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 10.8% | 15.3% | .308 | 80 | 5.40 | 125 | 0.1 |
Joely Rodríguez | 32.3 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 9.7% | 23.4% | .337 | 94 | 4.06 | 107 | 0.1 |
Andrew Politi | 58.7 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 19.7% | .306 | 88 | 4.84 | 114 | 0.1 |
Brendan Nail | 45.7 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 10.7% | 18.9% | .307 | 83 | 4.96 | 120 | 0.0 |
Zack Kelly | 41.7 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 12.6% | 22.0% | .304 | 85 | 5.13 | 117 | 0.0 |
Oddanier Mosqueda | 56.0 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 12.0% | 21.9% | .301 | 86 | 5.13 | 116 | 0.0 |
Zack Weiss | 42.3 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 12.0% | 24.5% | .319 | 87 | 4.65 | 115 | 0.0 |
Ryan Miller | 49.0 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 8.7% | 18.3% | .313 | 86 | 4.89 | 116 | 0.0 |
Dinelson Lamet | 37.3 | 10.4 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 11.7% | 25.1% | .316 | 80 | 4.81 | 125 | -0.1 |
Teddy Stankiewicz | 70.0 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 10.4% | 11.3% | .310 | 73 | 5.83 | 136 | -0.1 |
Joe Jacques | 53.0 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 8.9% | 17.8% | .311 | 84 | 5.03 | 119 | -0.1 |
Ryan Zeferjahn | 47.7 | 8.5 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 13.4% | 20.1% | .307 | 78 | 5.48 | 128 | -0.1 |
Christopher Troye | 43.7 | 10.9 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 15.9% | 25.6% | .306 | 86 | 5.02 | 116 | -0.1 |
Cam Booser | 45.3 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 11.4% | 19.5% | .308 | 86 | 5.11 | 116 | -0.1 |
Andrés Núñez | 52.0 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 9.8% | 17.5% | .306 | 83 | 5.16 | 121 | -0.1 |
Kyle Barraclough | 53.7 | 7.5 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 13.8% | 17.7% | .300 | 76 | 5.94 | 132 | -0.1 |
Jake Faria | 53.3 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 12.2% | 16.5% | .317 | 73 | 5.84 | 137 | -0.1 |
Robert Kwiatkowski | 50.7 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 8.2% | 11.6% | .305 | 80 | 5.54 | 124 | -0.2 |
Justin Garza | 50.0 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 12.6% | 19.6% | .308 | 77 | 5.46 | 130 | -0.2 |
Theo Denlinger | 41.0 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 13.0% | 19.8% | .311 | 81 | 5.35 | 124 | -0.2 |
Dylan Spacke | 50.3 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 11.5% | 14.5% | .311 | 75 | 5.62 | 133 | -0.3 |
Brendan Cellucci | 47.0 | 8.4 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 15.2% | 19.1% | .314 | 75 | 5.74 | 134 | -0.3 |
Wyatt Olds | 69.7 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 14.3% | 17.3% | .301 | 70 | 6.21 | 143 | -0.4 |
Skylar Arias | 27.3 | 9.9 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 17.3% | 22.6% | .306 | 67 | 6.26 | 149 | -0.4 |
Cody Scroggins | 33.0 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 13.4% | 15.3% | .308 | 71 | 6.13 | 142 | -0.4 |
Jorge Benitez | 50.0 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 15.0% | 20.0% | .308 | 75 | 5.94 | 134 | -0.5 |
Player | BA vs. L | OBP vs. L | SLG vs. L | BA vs. R | OBP vs. R | SLG vs. R | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brayan Bello | .269 | .333 | .459 | .258 | .321 | .365 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 3.81 | 5.00 |
Garrett Whitlock | .256 | .299 | .423 | .240 | .282 | .385 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 3.02 | 4.61 |
Nick Pivetta | .237 | .316 | .411 | .243 | .306 | .427 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 3.93 | 5.22 |
Chris Sale | .222 | .291 | .306 | .249 | .318 | .444 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.62 | 5.52 |
Kutter Crawford | .254 | .332 | .454 | .247 | .290 | .390 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 3.96 | 5.18 |
Josh Winckowski | .274 | .335 | .430 | .249 | .308 | .404 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 3.74 | 5.08 |
Isaac Coffey | .253 | .320 | .414 | .265 | .326 | .449 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 4.05 | 5.31 |
Tanner Houck | .258 | .346 | .458 | .239 | .308 | .371 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 3.90 | 5.46 |
James Paxton | .300 | .373 | .422 | .254 | .324 | .453 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 4.10 | 5.80 |
Brian Van Belle | .283 | .338 | .470 | .281 | .325 | .460 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 4.37 | 5.42 |
Victor Santos | .255 | .313 | .425 | .286 | .340 | .450 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 4.44 | 5.64 |
Brandon Walter | .242 | .313 | .348 | .282 | .339 | .468 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 4.24 | 5.44 |
Hunter Dobbins | .284 | .347 | .437 | .265 | .320 | .441 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 4.31 | 5.40 |
Grant Gambrell | .279 | .343 | .474 | .272 | .341 | .443 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 4.57 | 5.68 |
Wikelman Gonzalez | .270 | .376 | .454 | .225 | .336 | .374 | 1.5 | -0.1 | 4.55 | 5.87 |
Shane Drohan | .306 | .383 | .460 | .255 | .345 | .438 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 4.65 | 5.82 |
Chris Murphy | .233 | .331 | .333 | .275 | .355 | .467 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 4.52 | 5.87 |
Angel Bastardo | .258 | .349 | .467 | .274 | .357 | .425 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.72 | 5.76 |
Yusniel Padron-Artiles | .275 | .331 | .450 | .286 | .340 | .486 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 4.58 | 5.85 |
Justin Hagenman | .269 | .333 | .462 | .263 | .310 | .410 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.82 | 5.43 |
Corey Kluber | .291 | .359 | .497 | .271 | .320 | .442 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 4.53 | 6.18 |
Chih-Jung Liu | .293 | .393 | .497 | .249 | .322 | .418 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 4.79 | 6.00 |
John Schreiber | .257 | .339 | .426 | .231 | .304 | .372 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.41 | 5.22 |
Matt Dermody | .260 | .326 | .416 | .288 | .341 | .464 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 4.36 | 5.51 |
Chris Martin | .256 | .301 | .423 | .289 | .314 | .464 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.04 | 5.26 |
Kenley Jansen | .262 | .333 | .429 | .211 | .287 | .400 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 3.11 | 5.59 |
Nick Robertson | .247 | .319 | .400 | .250 | .313 | .397 | 0.9 | -0.1 | 3.34 | 5.24 |
Mauricio Llovera | .258 | .347 | .439 | .241 | .299 | .392 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.74 | 5.60 |
Isaiah Campbell | .247 | .333 | .435 | .253 | .312 | .384 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.61 | 5.06 |
Brennan Bernardino | .232 | .317 | .321 | .262 | .350 | .459 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 3.75 | 5.59 |
Jacob Webb | .225 | .316 | .373 | .238 | .306 | .408 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 3.53 | 5.46 |
Rio Gomez | .260 | .348 | .377 | .274 | .361 | .480 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 4.75 | 6.23 |
Ryan Fernandez | .261 | .327 | .455 | .264 | .311 | .418 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 3.59 | 5.29 |
Chase Shugart | .276 | .343 | .423 | .294 | .353 | .500 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 4.70 | 5.99 |
Sterling Sharp | .313 | .392 | .513 | .270 | .348 | .434 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 5.13 | 6.23 |
Bryan Mata | .265 | .392 | .436 | .252 | .353 | .420 | 0.6 | -0.3 | 5.10 | 6.38 |
Frank German | .258 | .352 | .409 | .259 | .347 | .444 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 4.64 | 6.07 |
Alex Hoppe | .276 | .344 | .448 | .257 | .315 | .406 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 3.89 | 5.16 |
Taylor Broadway | .265 | .337 | .446 | .270 | .320 | .427 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 4.25 | 5.55 |
Norwith Gudiño | .295 | .370 | .505 | .265 | .354 | .416 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 4.92 | 6.46 |
Joely Rodríguez | .255 | .327 | .362 | .277 | .344 | .470 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 3.89 | 5.89 |
Andrew Politi | .264 | .347 | .462 | .260 | .345 | .402 | 0.6 | -0.5 | 4.33 | 6.05 |
Brendan Nail | .254 | .343 | .373 | .268 | .359 | .455 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 4.58 | 6.07 |
Zack Kelly | .247 | .363 | .377 | .256 | .356 | .477 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 4.49 | 6.31 |
Oddanier Mosqueda | .221 | .337 | .338 | .268 | .367 | .465 | 0.4 | -0.6 | 4.45 | 6.18 |
Zack Weiss | .263 | .371 | .461 | .244 | .330 | .400 | 0.4 | -0.5 | 4.25 | 6.44 |
Ryan Miller | .274 | .352 | .453 | .275 | .342 | .441 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 4.47 | 6.04 |
Dinelson Lamet | .270 | .372 | .486 | .233 | .321 | .397 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 4.56 | 6.89 |
Teddy Stankiewicz | .321 | .408 | .534 | .277 | .343 | .447 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 5.47 | 6.83 |
Joe Jacques | .225 | .309 | .310 | .296 | .380 | .500 | 0.4 | -0.5 | 4.50 | 6.11 |
Ryan Zeferjahn | .271 | .404 | .494 | .250 | .347 | .385 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 5.02 | 6.67 |
Christopher Troye | .250 | .394 | .425 | .218 | .337 | .379 | 0.2 | -0.6 | 4.49 | 6.34 |
Cam Booser | .241 | .333 | .414 | .276 | .362 | .463 | 0.2 | -0.7 | 4.45 | 6.39 |
Andrés Núñez | .264 | .352 | .440 | .274 | .363 | .436 | 0.3 | -0.6 | 4.67 | 6.33 |
Kyle Barraclough | .273 | .387 | .444 | .261 | .368 | .470 | 0.2 | -0.7 | 5.20 | 6.99 |
Jake Faria | .276 | .395 | .449 | .292 | .368 | .500 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 5.27 | 6.89 |
Robert Kwiatkowski | .322 | .392 | .544 | .269 | .328 | .429 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 4.98 | 6.18 |
Justin Garza | .250 | .385 | .393 | .278 | .349 | .496 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 5.04 | 6.64 |
Theo Denlinger | .280 | .386 | .480 | .250 | .356 | .409 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 4.87 | 6.44 |
Dylan Spacke | .309 | .405 | .521 | .261 | .352 | .396 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 5.41 | 6.69 |
Brendan Cellucci | .250 | .400 | .383 | .273 | .382 | .477 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 5.22 | 6.86 |
Wyatt Olds | .282 | .434 | .492 | .248 | .370 | .399 | 0.1 | -1.0 | 5.75 | 7.17 |
Skylar Arias | .235 | .422 | .353 | .250 | .402 | .472 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 5.52 | 7.64 |
Cody Scroggins | .274 | .392 | .484 | .282 | .395 | .451 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 5.55 | 7.22 |
Jorge Benitez | .220 | .356 | .322 | .279 | .400 | .500 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 5.12 | 7.11 |
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
This is the sort of team that probably should only be going after the best of the younger free agents. They’re not close to making a big push. They need guys who will still be just as good 3 and 4 years down the line.
I know the rumors that they’re in on Ohtani but I think Yamamoto is a cleaner fit (and would cost somewhere between a third and half as much). Soto next offseason as well. If they didn’t already have a zillion outfielders, Jung-hoo Lee. Maybe they go get him anyway.
Is Ohtani/Boston really a thing? I struggle to see what they could offer him that’s not beat by other teams. There’s better teams right now, there’s teams that are better set up for the next 5 years, theres teams with stable management with track records, teams in places it’s warmer, with good food and pleasant people (sometimes all those things!).
Hey now Boston has good food
This has been my heel promo on Boston. I could have added that he might want to go watch an American football game sometime and there’s another point in favor of anywhere else…
The rest was tongue in cheek, but the baseball points are legit if he’s as serious about winning be the key factor as it seems.
I have fond memories of Boston. I also have horrible memories of Boston. That place really made an impression on me, I guess.
Although I imagine if I had lived in Philadelphia or New York City I would say the same thing.
I have lived in both Boston and NY for more than 5 years each. They are both great. Boston’s belief that its sports are somehow uniquely important to the rest of America is wild.
You all love your teams! It’s great, I swear I’m happy for you. Your teams have been on an incredible run of success for the last 20 years. But they’re not some special magical place. Brady is the football goat and everyone outside of Boston and Tampa is thrilled he’s retired. Everyone else liked showtime better than Larry and McHale. Boston’s overestimation of Jason Varitek is surpassed in the catcher realm only by St. Louis thinking that Yadier Molina cured cancer during pitching changes. We all thought it was hilarious when the best regular season hockey team ever lost to an 8 seed.
If Ohtani wants to be exalted by the Boston metro area, specifically, he’d get that in spades signing there. His national and international legacy isn’t going to change one bit signing with Boston vs 15 plus other teams that are not the Royals or Pirates
I didn’t like showtime more than Bird/McHale/Parish.
And they’ve had success with bringing Japanese players to town, even though Boston’s not a haven for Japanese immigration etc.
But, then again, if this were a factor Ohtani probably wouldn’t have chosen the Angels over the Mariners or others. I still have a gut that the Cubs will win the battle over the Dodgers and Mariners to get him.
I think the Dodgers have to be considered the favorite if they’re close with money because they can offer everything. Giants will offer the most, Cubs and Blue Jays are dark horses. The bidding might get beyond Seattle.
That said, I have no idea how much more money they would have to pay Ohtani to come play for a last-place team that replaces its front office every four years.
There’s money. And money can be exchanged for goods and services.
And there are plenty of teams with just as much as Boston. This feels like an NBA situation where there will be several teams offering about the same money so other stuff will be the deciding factor.
Ohtani himself has been saying that winning is the main thing, and I tend to believe until there’s evidence to the contrary. He did come over early and have to live with a standard pre-arb contract when he could have waited and gotten a bag as a full free agent.
I don’t think the Red Sox will get him so I guess we agree there. I do think that if they significantly outbid the field, they have as good a chance as most teams. The Dodgers, Braves, and maybe a couple others have an edge with all things being equal. Other teams that are likely to be willing to spend on him include the Mets, Angels, and Yankees, none of whom have been in contention much more than the Red Sox recently.
I’m not at all worried about the “disarray” issue. I don’t think players are particularly worried about GMs changing a couple times in the past 8 years. They are probably more interested in continuity at the manager position, where the Red Sox have had Cora since 2018 (sort of lol).
Disagree with this. Boston has a pretty big Asian population, the new balance headquarters, and is one of the biggest markets/most storied franchises in baseball. Plus, they’d probably be good w him. I mean, if Ohtani was playing in Boston they’d probably be the biggest show in baseball and he’d get even more national recognition. Look at how huge Ortiz/Brady were and how big Tatum is even w/o a ring. Tatum is probably the most marketable new gen NBA player and he’s probably not even a top 5 guy.
I don’t think they actually sign him, bc I don’t think they’d actually spend that money on 1 guy, but I’d imagine there would be mutual interest if they were serious.
tatums top fye and he isnt 5-2
What in there doesn’t apply to LA or New York, San Fran or Seattle? They all have significant Asian populations with lots of big corporations and they’ve all produced major sports stars in multiple sports. None of what you cited distinguishes Boston from those cities. And all of those cities have teams that are better positioned, except maybe San Francisco depending on whether they break the bank this offseason. That’s not even mentioning places like Dallas and Atlanta that are plenty large, cosmopolitan cities that have produced big sports stars and have even better teams
Disagree, Being a star in Seattle or Atlanta is definitely not the same as Boston.
Yankees/Redsox/Dodgers will always have that iconic edge for marketing purposes. Those aren’t just big baseball franchises, they are 3 of the biggest in American sports.
Ohtani being partnered with New Balance which is why I mentioned that company.
While all those teams have a real selling point, I do think your underselling Bostons 4 recent championships, great farm system and decent history of turning things around quickly.
Right, cause Ken Griffey jr did not have every kid in America wearing their hats backwards in the 90s. No one paid any attention to him. Hank Aaron too. No one knows who he is except the super baseball nerds here.
This is disingenuous in so many ways.
(1) Saying one city is better than another for marketing purposes (which is self-evident for NY and LA) is not analogous to saying that no one except baseball nerds will ever pay attention to any player in another market. No one was making that point.
(2) Everyone loved (and loves!) Griffey, but I don’t remember him single-handedly starting any fashion trends. Some kids wore their hats backwards, and Griffey wore his hat backwards, but I’m not sure he directly caused “every kid to wear their hat backwards in the 90s”. Did he have some influence? Probably! Was pop culture at large taking their fashion cues from him? Likely not.
(3) How much attention Hank Aaron got in the 60s and 70s (when baseball occupied much more of a prominent place in culture; when marketing was notably different than 50+ years hence; and as the single greatest home run hitter ever of all time, at the time) isn’t particularly germane to the discussion at hand, and may actually be a point in his favor – if we half to reach back half a century for a player in Atlanta that anyone besides baseball nerds really paid attention to, and even then it took someone chasing and breaking baseball’s single most hallowed record.
(4) I like numbered lists and italics.
If you’d like a more contemporary example, Mike Vick was just about the most popular sports dude alive for several years. ESPN just did a retrospective on how his
Madden character is still a legend. Boston is not better positioned nationally from a marketing perspective than other large, coastal cities
I never said they were irrelevant. Just that the Redsox are not just a team but a worldwide brand, similar to Yankees, Cubs, Dodgers
That type of stuff is important. Ohtani on one of those teams is maybe the biggest name in sports which is quite hard to do in baseball
Tatum is probably the most marketable new gen NBA player and he’s probably not even a top 5 guy
Lol, what? More than Giannis, Wemby, Doncic?
In America? Yeah, he probably is. Maybe #2 behind Wemby
He is interested in his legacy, so the park he calls home will be important. That will work against the Giants. Fenway is a great park for hitting, the best in the AL. Yankee Stadium is great for lefty hitters who can get the ball in the air and pull it down the line, but it actually decreases overall hitting, while Fenway significantly increases it. That certainly seems like it might be appealing. What better way to be the modern Babe Ruth than go back to Ruth’s first baseball home?
Not saying it will happen, but it’s something that can work in the Red Sox’s favor. That, and money! He’s getting paid, so it’s the secondary things that could sway him. What no east coast team can overcome is they’re on the east coast. If he prefers California, he’ll get the money he needs to stay there.
Fenway does weird things to offense. If you are in the business of smacking doubles off the Green Monster, it works out better than having your homers swallowed by right field.
You make an excellent point (except I bring it up as a Yankee fan)…..the best 3 players considering age would be Yamamoto, Jung Hoo Lee and Soto. Some teams need to wake up and quit going after 30 year olds. I’m not going to argue with people but Ohtani may well be the worst contract a team can sign. 500 to 550 million for a DH turning 30 years old is a bad gamble. A lot depends on if he returns to be a very good pitcher but there are lots of red flags on that front. If I had my choice for the Yankees next contract I would want Yamamoto over Ohtani by a mile.
Ohtani is just an awful fit for this roster. They need someone (or sometwo) who can provide durability at the top or near the top of the rotation, which Ohtani won’t provide next year and may provide in the future.
They also have 2-3 guys who are playing the field but really belong at DH or at least an easier position. Plugging Ohtani in at DH ensures the defense will remain subpar.
Given the likely difference in price, I agree that Yamamoto is very likely to end up as the better choice, so as a Red Sox fan, I hope the Yankees go all in on Ohtani.
Them getting him has two advantages, spends a lot of Hal’s money, and also let’s me watch Ohtani a bunch of times each year.
There seems to be no discussion of Ohtani and the Yankees. Then again, all negotiation talk with all teams are locked down. I think the Yankees are focused on a deal for Soto, and signing Yamamoto. They may not achieve either, but that seems to be their direction at the moment.
I think there are a lot of teams for whom Ohtani is the best player for the roster. If the team is ready to make a push now (or in 2-3 years, since he’ll theoretically be pitching again then), there isn’t another player who is going to make a difference like he will. But the Red Sox aren’t in that situation. They probably need a top-flight middle infielder and at least one top-flight starting pitcher and they’ll be in the area where an immediate push will make sense.
One of the nice things about getting someone younger is that it gives them a longer window to acquire multiple top players when they are still good.
You guys just spent a LOT of words on a guy that isn’t even rostered by Boston right now and won’t truly affect the ZiPS outcomes for the players listed anyways.
At least the digression was about baseball! (mostly)