Analyzing the Umpires: Play-In Games Edition
Here is a quick look at the called strike zone and strikeout and walk rates for the three home plate umpires over the next three nights.
Monday: Rays vs. Rangers
Jeff Kellogg is basically league average. His called zone is expanded low and squeezed a bit on the sides. Left-handed hitters may expect to see a little bigger strike zone than right-handed hitters.
2013 Rates
K/9: 7.0 (League Average: 7.0)
BB/9: 2.6 (League Average: 2.8)
Called strike zone compared to league average (courtesy of Baseballheatmaps.com).
Note: All maps are from the catcher’s perspective and show the percentage difference in decimal format (.10 = 10%) for the umpire’s strike zone compared to the strike zone of all umpires.
vs. LHH
vs. RHH
Tuesday: Reds vs Pirates
Joe West is a little more likely to call a strike than the average umpire. For both right and left handed hitters, he likes to call the low strike on the 3B side.
2013 rates
K/9: 7.3 (League Average: 7.0)
BB/9: 2.7 (League Average: 2.8)
Called strike zone compared to league average (courtesy of Baseballheatmaps.com).
vs. LHH
vs. RHH
Wednesday: Indians vs Rangers/Rays winner
Gerry Davis is kind of a pitcher’s friend. He has one of the league’s highest strikeout and lowest walk rates this year, but it would be tough to tell with his called strike zone. He does not like to call the inside strike to both left and right-handed hitters. Instead he extends the zone both up and down a bit.
2013 Rates
K/9: 7.5 (League Average: 7.0)
BB/9: 2.3 (League Average: 2.8)
Called strike zone compared to league average:
vs. LHH
vs. RHH
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
DEAR GOD! Joe West is in charge of a play-in game?!!? Why don’t we have Angel Hernandez call the AL game to balance out the insanity?
Or CB Bucknor