Athletics Complete Roster Construction with Adam Dunn

When I recently wrote about Adam Dunn for this site, the circumstances were a bit different. That was about Adam Dunn pitching. This is about Adam Dunn becoming a member of the Oakland Athletics via trade, because that is exactly what happened on Sunday. As you know, Dunn was traded to the A’s in exchange for minor leaguer Nolan Sanburn. Just like Adam Dunn pitching, Adam Dunn playing for the A’s just seemed like something that eventually had to happen. The A’s were one of the first teams to really value the OBP/power guys. Adam Dunn is the posterchild of the high-OBP, high-power mold.

And so now, here we have it. Adam Dunn is a member of the Oakland Athletics. It’s no secret why they traded for him. It was no surprise when they traded for him. The trade was completed on August 31, the last day a player could be acquired and still be eligible for a team’s playoff roster. The A’s got Dunn for the playoffs. The A’s got Dunn to hit homers in the playoffs. We’re not in the playoffs yet, but here’s what Adam Dunn did in his first at-bat with Oakland:

dunn

All good so far.

Despite the obvious Dunn-Athletics connection, the trade seemed, at least to me, a bit peculiar on the surface. Dunn is a first baseman/occasional corner outfielder who bats left-handed. The A’s have Brandon Moss, a first baseman/corner outfielder who bats left-handed and is one of the best power hitters in all of baseball. They’ve got Stephen Vogt, a first baseman who bats left-handed and has hit surprisingly well. And they appear to be set in the corner outfield positions, with Sam Fuld and Josh Reddick, who both bat left-handed. But the Dunn trade is just the latest of a handful of moves that Billy Beane has made to construct a roster that looks quite a bit different from what the A’s rolled out on Opening Day:

Needless to say, Billy Beane has been a busy man.

I’m not going to dive too deep into the evaluation of what Beane gave up to get Dunn. I don’t know much about Sanburn, but I do know that he used to be a starter who was something of a prospect and is now a reliever who is not as much of a prospect because of shoulder problems. They gave up a reliever with shoulder problems. That’s about as far as we’ll go there.

So let’s begin with the why. Why did the Athletics trade for Adam Dunn? The easiest thing to point to is the A’s offense being, we’ll say, less than good, recently. In August, they had an 85 wRC+. That was 22nd in MLB and last among the 10 teams currently expected to make the playoffs. Dunn, against righties, has a 129 wRC+ this season. People like to say guys are acquired to provide “sparks” for a struggling offense. The A’s could be looking for Dunn to be that spark.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed. We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member. 1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other. 2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off. 3. Dark mode and Classic mode! 4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them. 5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects. 6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.) 7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only. 8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO. 9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members. 10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features! We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it. In case you didn't read all that, here's the short version. Membership includes:
✓Ad-free browsing
✓Unlimited FanGraphs & RotoGraphs articles
✓Historical & platoon projections
✓Leaderboard & player-page stat heatmaps
✓One-click data exports
✓Customizable player-page dashboards
✓Dark & Classic site modes
✓Weekly Members-only mailbag
✓FanGraphs Walk-Off, your year in review
✓Optional homepage photo removal
✓Gift articles to non-members

Let’s look forward to the playoffs. The A’s are likely going to be playing in the Wild Card play-in game. Their opponent will probably be either the Seattle Mariners, Kansas City Royals or the Detroit Tigers. Schedules doesn’t always work out perfectly, but teams are pretty good at lining up their pitchers at the end of the regular season to have their best arms throwing the most important games. The best pitchers for those teams are as follows:

The A’s don’t know who they’ll playing in the Wild Card game and they certainly don’t know which pitcher they’ll be facing. But outside of David Price, every pitcher whom the A’s might be worried about throws right-handed, making Dunn a factor.

If the A’s win the play-in game, they could face – in addition to one of the three teams listed above – the Orioles, who have four right-handed starters, or the Angels, whose two best pitchers throw right-handed. Obviously, there are more right-handed pitchers than there are left across the majors, but the American League playoffs will look different from the National League playoffs in that there will be no Clayton Kershaw and there will be no Hyun-Jin Ryu. There will be no Gio Gonzalez or Madison Bumgarner. There might not be a Mike Minor or Alex Wood in the NL playoffs, but there definitely won’t be in the AL. The biggest left-handed threats in the AL playoffs after Price will be Jon Lester and Scott Kazmir, and the A’s don’t have to worry about facing them. Point is, Dunn will get his fair share of at-bats against right-handed pitching if the A’s are to make a deep postseason run.

Let’s pull away from Dunn, specifically, for a moment and focus more on the A’s roster as a whole. There’s no telling which bench players will make the A’s postseason roster, but whatever that bench looks like, it will be a fascinating one.

When a right-handed pitcher starts, the A’s bench will likely look something like this: Geovany Soto, Alberto Callaspo, Sam Fuld, Craig Gentry, Jonny Gomes

When a left-handed pitcher starts, the A’s bench will likely look something like this: Stephen Vogt, Eric Sogard, Sam Fuld, Josh Reddick, Adam Dunn

That could be complicated by the return of John Jaso, who, as he told Eno earlier this week, expects to be back, but for the moment we’re dealing with the above lists. You’ll notice a couple things about those two collections of players. One: They are all quality major leaguers. Two: With the exception of Fuld, they are entirely different groups of players. It goes without saying that the A’s like to play the matchups. Athletics batters have held the platoon advantage in 72% of their at-bats this season. Only the Indians best them in that regard. But when you look at those units, it gets even more fascinating.

Both of those units have a player who can catch in Soto and Vogt (and Jaso), without ever replacing starter Derek Norris. Both of those units have a player who can play each infield position in Callaspo and Sogard. Both of those units have elite defensive outfielders — prime for late-inning substitutions — in Fuld, Gentry and Reddick. And then my favorite part of the bench, and the last piece of the puzzle completed by the Dunn trade: both of those units have perfect late-game pinch hitters. When a lefty gets the start against the A’s, Gomes and his 120 wRC+ against left-handed pitching will get the start while Dunn will be sent to the bench. If, late in the game, Gomes is still set to face a lefty – great. If the opposition counters with a right-handed reliever, bring Dunn and his 129 wRC+ against righties in. Vice-versa when a righty starts.

Billy Beane has been as active as any general manager in baseball this year and has now completed the construction of one of the most interesting playoff rosters in baseball. Stephen Vogt’s flexibility gives the A’s three (or four) players who can catch. Callaspo and Sogard give them utility infielders. Fuld and Gentry give them elite defensive outfield replacements. And the Adam Dunn trade ensures the Athletics will always have an elite pinch hitter waiting on the bench.

Plus, you can never count out Dunn as a late-inning relief option.





August used to cover the Indians for MLB and ohio.com, but now he's here and thinks writing these in the third person is weird. So you can reach me on Twitter @AugustFG_ or e-mail at august.fagerstrom@fangraphs.com.

26 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
hookstrapped
12 years ago

I thought this was FanGraphs, not BeanehagioGraphs.

*rim shot*

But seriously, I think a good argument could be made that Dan Duquette has been more active than Beane, it’s just that his activity has been mostly within the organization — something that doesn’t get much attention unless you follow the team closely. The other difference is Duquette’s activity appears to have improved his team.

Richie
12 years ago
Reply to  hookstrapped

Yeah, when you gut your team’s entire future because “that’s where we are on the win curve!” (yeesh), it’s pretty easy to fashion your roster exactly as you wish. Other than it still not being good enough to avoid the playin game.

Slacker George
12 years ago
Reply to  Richie

The future ain’t what it’s cracked up to be.

Santos
12 years ago

Here’s something that’s really going to bake your noodle. In 2002 Adam Dunn had 19 steals.

Edgardo
12 years ago
Reply to  Santos

Not really, he is one smart baserunner. He may be older and heavier now, but if you read on Dunn you will notice that he was quite successful in situation steals. Google it and you will come out more surprised at how he achieved those steals.

KK-Swizzle
12 years ago
Reply to  Santos

and an 18.9% BB rate!!!

DatDudeEP
12 years ago
Reply to  Santos

Dunn hit lead-off for the reds fairly often early in his career, and he was recruited to at Texas as a dual threat QB, so it’s not that surprising. He was never a good fielder, and in the last 5 or so years he’s really packed on the pounds, but people forget that he was a really good athlete early in his career.

Hurtlocker
12 years ago

I’m just glad the Giants didn’t get Dunn.

Wei-Yin Chen
12 years ago

No respect for me! Also, how come we get a full article on Adam Dunn and not even an instagraphs on De Aza and Kelly Johnson?

frivoflava29
12 years ago

Everyone should go back and appreciate 2011 Adam Dunn for a moment. It’s a shame he was mostly DHing or he’d probably have compiled an even worse defensive value.

Hurtlocker
12 years ago
Reply to  frivoflava29

Amazingly bad.

mikecws91
12 years ago
Reply to  frivoflava29

It doesn’t help when you have a loudmouth idiot manager who not only runs a struggling player out there every day, but keeps batting him third, because he writes his lineups based on who makes the most money.

Spit Ball
12 years ago

“The biggest left-handed threat in the AL playoffs after Price will be Scott Kazmir”………. Is Jon Lester somehow certainly worse than Scott Kazmir? Trivial to the Adam Dunn situation I know, but that statement is not true….says almost every advanced metric on this site.

Spit Ball
12 years ago

Also Vogt is out for the next couple weeks at least maybe all of September with two bad wheels. Your point remains valid though…Vogt or Norris.

Spit Ball
12 years ago
Reply to  Spit Ball

*Vogt or Jaso

MDLMember since 2021
12 years ago

The biggest left-handed threat in the AL playoffs after Price will be Scott Kazmir, and the A’s don’t have to worry about facing him.

Probably Lester, actually. But, uh, well, I guess your point stands.

MJC
12 years ago
Reply to  MDL

It’s incredible that not just you but another commenter made the same error. If I wrote this article I would have ignored your blunder, but I guess Fagerstrom is an abnormally nice person. Even if the A’s are lucky enough to make the ridiculous wild card “play-in game” (go back to 4 teams per league and make the 1st round a best-of-7), they would be the weakest team of all AL qualifiers and would likely be ousted quickly. That coming from a die-hard A’s fan. Their only hope is to do what the majority of good teams do and do away with the platooning. Play your best players every day. Go with a set lineup and stick with it until the end. That way at least a few of these guys might get hot at the right time.

Ballfan
12 years ago

I hate that this is what sticks out after the article, good read

but didn’t the samardzija trade happen in july?

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/07/athletics-to-acquire-jeff-samardzija-and-jason-hammel.html

EL
12 years ago
Reply to  Ballfan

That trade was a straight-up present value for future value trade.

The A’s, by getting a jump on the trading season, got an extra month of starts from the two starting pitchers they were trading for. The Cubs, by virtue of starting 13-27, were one of the few teams that both had committed to non-contention and had readily tradeable assets. For the Cubs, dealing early meant greater value given up, allowing the expectation of a greater return.

As an aside, the Cubs also managed to time Hammel’s turning into a pumpkin perfectly (+2.0 WAR for the Cubs, -0.7 WAR for the A’s).

Go Nats
12 years ago

has anyone in the history of baseball had a worse 5 year run defensively than Dunn 2005-2008? I do not know, but I doubt it!!!

Go Nats
12 years ago
Reply to  Go Nats

I meant 2009 not 2008

I believe in Stephen Vogt
12 years ago

“Stephen Vogt’s flexibility gives the A’s three (or four) players who can catch.”

He can’t catch. Vogt had a right foot injury that prevents him from catching. He also recently injured his left foot. He hasn’t caught a game for several weeks and won’t catch again this season. He’s mostly playing 1B with Moss in the OF (Coco is injured).

Miggy
12 years ago

The A’s (including Vogt) have 5 catchers. Donaldson came up as a catcher. Soon they will have a catcher at every position! Jk;-) LETS GO OAKLAND!!!!!!

Nerio Rodriguez
12 years ago

Correction: Orioles are going to have 3 righty starters and 1 lefty (Chen) as their playoff rotation.