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The Most Unbelievable Moment of the World Series So Far

This has been a crazy World Series. Last night’s game was particularly nuts, but this whole series has been one long string of unlikely outcomes. Even the run-of-the-mill 3-1 Dodgers victory in Game 1 was remarkable for how short it was. Nothing in this series is usual.

But amidst all the bonkers plays that we’ve seen, I think there was one particular moment last night that still lingers. As I sit here roughly 12 hours after the game ended, I still don’t know how this happened.

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So What Do We Think About Bullpenning Now?

For most of this postseason, the primary story tying all these disparate series together has been the significant change in the way pitchers are deployed. After Andrew Miller’s dominance last October, aggressive bullpen usage has become the norm. The tone was set in the very first Wild Card game, when Luis Severino got one out but the Yankees advanced anyway, thanks to 8.2 dominant innings from their relief corps.

But now, here we are at the end of the month, and the two bullpens left standing combined to give up 15 runs last night. To be fair, the two starters combined to give up 10 runs, so they didn’t exactly impress either, but neither bullpen had any ability to hold any kind of lead last night. And the players entrusted with those opportunities just looked exhausted.

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So That Happened


Source: FanGraphs

One of the most insane baseball games anyone has ever seen. We will have attempts at analysis later. Now, just amazement.


2017 World Series Game 4 Live Blog

8:12
Dave Cameron: Happy Game 4, everyone.

8:13
Dave Cameron: Just having a quick dinner, then will start chatting.

8:13
Dave Cameron: In the mean time, let’s have some polls.

8:13
Dave Cameron:

Alex Wood goes

1-3 innings (15.0% | 28 votes)
 
4+ innings (53.7% | 100 votes)
 
5+ innings (23.6% | 44 votes)
 
6+ innings (4.3% | 8 votes)
 
7+ innings (1.0% | 2 votes)
 
8+ innings (1.0% | 2 votes)
 
9 innings (1.0% | 2 votes)
 

Total Votes: 186
8:14
Dave Cameron:

Gurriel Suspension

Should Have Been Tonight (54.0% | 126 votes)
 
5 Games Next Year is Fair (45.9% | 107 votes)
 

Total Votes: 233
8:16
Dave Cameron:

1 World Series Game is Worth

0-10 Regular Season Games (36.7% | 72 votes)
 
11-20 Regular Season Games (32.1% | 63 votes)
 
21-30 Regular Season Games (14.2% | 28 votes)
 
31-40 Regular Season Games (5.6% | 11 votes)
 
41-50 Regular Season Games (11.2% | 22 votes)
 

Total Votes: 196

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In Defense of Dave Roberts

Well, that was one of the craziest baseball games anyone has ever seen. A would-be triple that hit the bill of Chris Taylor’s cap and then bounced right to Joc Pederson, a pickoff at second base that looked like Laz Diaz got challenged to an impromptu game of dodgeball, and finally, an extra inning home run derby led to a 7-6 Astros victory, tying the series at one game apiece. If we get any more baseball games like that one, this series will be a classic.

But before most of those crazy things happened, Dave Roberts made a decision that seemingly set the wheels in motion. In the top of the fifth inning, the Dodgers’ manager summoned Kenta Maeda from the bullpen to take over for Rich Hill.

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2017 World Series Game 2 Live Blog

7:55
Dave Cameron: Welcome to the Game 2 Live Blog, everyone.

7:56
Dave Cameron:

I am rooting for

Houston (57.9% | 131 votes)
 
LA (42.0% | 95 votes)
 

Total Votes: 226
7:56
Dave Cameron:

I think

Houston will win (56.1% | 127 votes)
 
LA will win (43.8% | 99 votes)
 

Total Votes: 226
7:57
Dave Cameron:

Rich Hill goes

1-3 innings (5.5% | 12 votes)
 
4+ innings (44.9% | 97 votes)
 
5+ innings (41.6% | 90 votes)
 
6+ innings (5.5% | 12 votes)
 
7+ innings (0.9% | 2 votes)
 
8+ innings (0.4% | 1 vote)
 
9 innings (0.9% | 2 votes)
 

Total Votes: 216
7:58
Dave Cameron:

The Better Justin Tonight

Verlander (82.3% | 182 votes)
 
Turner (17.6% | 39 votes)
 

Total Votes: 221
7:58
Dave Cameron:

Too Many Polls, Dave

True (31.5% | 72 votes)
 
False (68.4% | 156 votes)
 

Total Votes: 228

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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat – 10/25/17

12:00
Dave Cameron: Happy Wednesday, everyone.

12:00
Dave Cameron: Travis and I will be live blogging Game 2 tonight, so it’s a chatting kind of day for me.

12:01
Dave Cameron: Plenty of WS stuff to talk about, but we’ll also do some off-season stuff if you’re a fan of one of the other 28 teams that just wants the hot stove season to get here already.

12:01
Not Jeff Luhnow: The Astros have looked lost at the plate for the majority of this postseason.  I know Kershaw is a great pitcher, but how much of last night was him pitching well vs. the Astros not having a good plan and letting a lot of hittable pitches go.

12:02
Dave Cameron: It’s impossible to know, obviously, but it did seem like Houston just wasn’t seeing the ball very well most of the night. They complained repeatedly about clear strikes, Reddick especially. I wonder if they weren’t use to the Dodgers Stadium batters eye or something.

12:03
Josh R: My favorite nugget of the post season: The Dodger bullpen has given up the fewest runs of any team this post season, including the Rockies and Twins one game.

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The Astros’ Bewildering Offensive Approach

Last night, the Dodgers’ domination of the postseason continued. Winning a World Series game by two runs isn’t exactly steamrolling your opponent, but given what Clayton Kershaw, Brandon Morrow, and Kenley Jansen did to the Astros offense, the game never really felt in doubt. Houston got their only run on an Alex Bregman solo home run and never really threatened again.

The rest of their offensive production consisted of a pair of singles, but neither runner would get past first base. The Astros didn’t put a single runner in scoring position all night long. There were no rallies, no trouble out of which a Dodger pitcher had to work. Just outs, and most of them quick outs.

It took Los Angeles just 107 pitches to face 30 batters. Usually, when you see low pitch counts and quick innings, it’s because a team was overly aggressive, swinging at pitches early in counts and making quick outs. In Game 1, though, the Astros seemingly made it easy on the Dodgers by just not swinging at strikes.

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It’s Time for the Astros to Trust Their Relievers

The World Series kicks off tonight with a battle of elite left-handed starters, Clayton Kershaw and Dallas Keuchel. The game will also feature the two best offenses in MLB this year. And yet, for all the talent on the field to begin the game, the series may very well hinge on whether A.J. Hinch is willing to once again trust his bullpen.

During the regular season, the Astros’ relief corps was better than their reputation suggests. As a group, they posted the second-highest strikeout rate of any bullpen, and while their 101 ERA- was a bit below average, their 84 xFIP- was second only to the Indians.

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The Yankees’ Path Forward

On Saturday night, the Astros ended the Yankees season with a 4-0 shutout. For New York, even reaching Game 7 of the ALCS was a surprising accomplishment, as this was a team widely considered to still be in rebuilding mode heading into 2017. As a young team who became a good team faster than expected, the easy comparisons are to teams like the 2015 Cubs or the 2008 Rays, and expectations for the 2018 Yankees are now going to be particularly high given the team’s success this year.

And the Yankees are certainly setup well for the future. With Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, and Greg Bird, they have three enviable offensive building blocks for the middle of their order, and plenty of quality all-around performers like Didi Gregorius and Aaron Hicks, plus the potential upside of Clint Frazier and Gleyber Torres. And that’s just the young hitters. Few organizations in the game have a similar kind of talent base to build off of going forward.

But, similar to the Cubs, there are some legitimate questions on the pitching side of things, and a winter of inaction while counting on the kids to develop further and carry the team to the 2018 World Series is unlikely. The Yankees are both extremely well positioned for the future, but also need to do some real work this winter.

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